Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2012IFANS
2012IFANS
International
R e l a t i o n s
2012
ISSN 2005-8691
11-1260000-000448-10
2012
2012
2012 1 6
2012 1 6
2572
3497-7600
575-5245
http://www.ifans.go.kr
Tel. 2267-3956
, 2012
2012
2012 , , Post-
,
. , , ,
,
. , G8,
G20, BRICS
,
. ,
. ,
. , ,
.
,
.
,
,
. ,
. 2012 3
.
,
, ,
.
, 2012
.
.
,
, ,
, ,
.
2012 1
| 2012 7
1. _19
2. _20
3. _21
4. _22
5. _24
6. _25
7. _26
|
1. : _31
. _31
. _33
. _34
2. : _37
. _37
. , _39
. _40
. 6 3 _41
|
1. : _45
. _46
. _48
. 6 _49
2. : _50
. _50
. _51
. _52
. _53
. 6 _54
3. : 5 _55
. 5 _55
. _56
. _57
. : _59
. _60
. 20 _61
. _62
4. : _63
. _63
. _64
. _65
. _67
2012
5. : _69
. _69
. _70
. CIS _71
. _72
. APEC _73
. _74
|
1. : _79
. _79
. _81
. _85
. _87
2. : _88
. _88
. EU _90
. _91
3. : _93
. _93
. _96
. _98
4. : _99
. _99
. _100
. _102
. (Great Game) _103
. _104
. 20 _105
5. : _106
. _106
. _107
. () _108
. 6% _109
6. : _111
. _111
. _113
. _114
. _115
7. : _117
. _117
. _118
. TPP _118
2012
|
1. _123
. _123
. G8 G20 _124
. _125
4. : _136
. _136
. _138
. _138
. _139
5. _140
. _140
. _142
. _143
2012 7
2012 ,
.
,
. , DDA
.
.
,
.
2012 (process)
.
,
(wag the dog) ,
2012
.
,
() ,
.
.
(coalition of value) (coalition of
interest) .
. 2012 3
.
2012
.
Post-
.
,
,
.
.
2012 , , ,
.
(re-engagement)
.
.
.
2012 .
BRICS
. 2012
. 2012
.
,
(TPP)
. , 3 , FTA
. +3 (EAFTA)
TPP .
2012
,
.
2012
,
. ,
,
.
2012
2012
.
, .
2012 .
. ,
.
,
,
.
.
2012
.
,
.
.
.
2012
. ,
. .
2012
5.24
. , 5.24
.
.
,
. , 2011
, ,
.
2012
. ,
. 6
, .
2012
.
2012
, .
. 1~2
2012
.
,
. ,
.
.
,
. 2012
,
. ,
. ,
.
,
2012 ,
,
.
.
IT CNC ,
.
6
. 6
. ,
. ,
.
,
.
6 3
2012 6 ,
. 6
, 6
.
.
, 2012 2013
. ,
.
2012
. ,
.
.
.
2012
,
. , , ,
.
,
. 6
, .
2012 .
, , ,
,
. TPP
.
2012
.
,
. ,
. 2012
(EDPC)
.
5
2012
.
.
2012
4 5 .
.
, ,
.
. ,
.
.
20 ,
/ FTA .
2012 ,
, ,
.
,
, 2012 ,
.
. , , ,
2012
. 2012
,
.
2012
2011 12
, 2012 3
.
. ,
, ,
.
2012 ,
.
, 2012 WTO
. , 2012
CIS .
2012 .
,
MD , .
6 ,
. ,
.
(ASEAN)
2012 ,
. 2011 (EAS)
.
.
10
.
.
, ,
. ,
. ,
, 2012 ,
.
2010 2012
. ,
.
,
.
2012 (ESM)
EU .
2012
.
2012
. , ,
, , 2012
.
,
, NATO EU
2012
11
. ,
, 2012
.
2012 10
.
,
. ,
.
. ,
,
.
2008 ,
,
.
.
G2 ,
. 2012
, EU
, .
G-X
12
, .
G-X G7/G8 G20 ,
.
.
: , IMF SDR
2010 2012
. 2012
. , 2012
, .
.
2012 ,
.
2011 G20 IMF (SDR)
, SDR
.
. 2012
.
2012 IMF IMF
. 2010
G20 2013 , 2015
5 15 (General Quota Review) 2
2014 1 . 2012
.
2012
13
WTO/DDA FTA
2012 , WTO
DDA .
DDA 2013 12 9
.
2012 WTO/DDA WTO
. , (single undertaking)
.
,
(PTA) .
TPP 2012 1
3 .
TPP 2012 . ,
2012 TPP , / FTA
. / FTA
.
, 2012 EU, , , (MERCOSUR) FTA
, FTA
.
2011 11 17 (COP)
2013 5 8
. EU
2 .
2012 .
14
, 2020
. , 2020
. 2020
,
.
,
(GCF) .
1,000
, ,
.
, EU ,
,
,
, .
2012 ,
.
,
, .
IAEA (NGOs)
. , 2013
,
.
,
2012 . ,
(UEP)
2012
15
NPT .
,
.
. 2012
.
16
2012 7
| 2012 7
1.
2012 , , , ,
,
.
, .
,
.
. (global public
goods) (particular national interest) ,
.
, (DDA: Doha Development Agenda)
,
.
.
.
2012
19
. ,
,
.
2.
2012 (process)
. ,
,
(wag the dog) . ,
,
. ()
. 2012
.
,
. ,
.
.
2012
.
.
.
.
, G8
20
2012 7
, G20, BRICS
.
, .
.
,
. 2012 3
, .
,
(minilateral) .
(coalition of value) (coalition
of interest) .
3.
2012
, ,
. Post-
.
, ,
.
,
.
1 .
2012
21
,
. (
, ) ,
. ,
.
. ,
.
Post-
.
,
.
.
. ,
. ,
.
.
4.
2012 , , ,
.
, (re-engagement)
.
22
2012 7
.
.
2012 .
(Barack Obama) 2012
.
2011 (TPP: Trans-Pacific strategic
economic Partnership) (FTA: Free
Trade Agreement) . 2012 TPP
.
. , , ,
. ,
. ,
2011 (Darwin)
.
2011 12 .
. 2011
(EAS: East Asia Summit) TPP
+3
.
2012
. TPP
FTA, FTA .
2012
23
+3 . ,
(ASEAN: Association of Southeast Asian
Nations) - FTA FTA
.
. 2011 .
2011 12 2012
. 2012
.
.
5.
2012 .
.
2011
2012 . 2011 11
.
,
. , 2011
EAS . BRICS
.
2012 .
2012
.
24
2012 7
TPP 8(, , , , ,
, , ) . , ,
TPP .
G2
, . , +3
(EAFTA: East Asian Free Trade Area) TPP
.
6.
2012
. 2008
,
. , 2012 , , ,
.
2012
. 2011 , 2012
.
2012
25
. ,
.
2012
. 2011 12 (EU: European Union)
(ESM: European Stability Mechanism)
2012 . ,
. ,
.
2012
.
, , .
(Real) ,
.
2012 , EU ,
.
2012
.
, .
7.
2012 .
2012
. , (Muammar Gaddafi)
,
. 2011 11
26
2012 7
.
.
, 2011 11 (IAEA: International Atomic Energy
Agency) ,
.
, .
, 2012
. ,
4,000
.
. ,
(R2P: Responsibility to Protect) .
, (Al Qaeda)
.
.
.
2012
27
1. :
2012
.
,
.
2011 12 17 3
. 3
. 10
, 12 29
. 12 30
, ()
. 2012 1 1
3
.
2012
31
. ,
2012
.
.
2
, 2011 ,
, .
. , 6
. , ,
32
, .
2012
. 2012
. , 2012
.
.
.
(FAO: Food and Agriculture Organization) 2011 11
, 2011
4.8% 440 .
100 ,
.
.
.
2011 , ,
. 2012
,
.
,
6 .
2010
9.11 (2001) .
,
. ,
2012
33
,
, 6
, 5
.
,
, , 5.24 ,
, ,
.
.
2011
.
.
2012
. ,
. 2012
,
.
.
5.24
(2010) .
34
, ,
. 2012 5.24 .
5.24 . 2011
5.24
,
.
,
. , 2011
, ,
, .
.
,
.
, 2004 ,
.
. 2011 123 4
8 , 10 .
2011
, ,
.
.
2012
35
2012
. 2008
2015 750 30
.
,
2011 .
2011 8 (Dmitry Medvedev)
, , 3
3 . 8 24
.
,
, .
,
.
.
.
.
.
, 1
. ,
,
.
36
6
,
2012
.
2. :
.
2011 12
.
. 2012
. 2012
,
.
. 1~2
.
, ,
, , ,
,
.
3 , 3 3
. , ,
(, ) (, )
,
2012
37
. , 1~2
3 .
, .
3
.
20 (1994)
.
4
. ,
.
, 2012
. ,
.
(, ) (, , )
.
, . ,
.
,
.
.
,
38
. 2012
,
. ,
.
.
. ,
2012 ,
,
.
.
IT CNC ,
.
,
. ,
,
.
1998
, 2012
. 100
2012 ,
.
, 4
.
, 2012
.
2012
39
,
(downward spiral) .
,
. 1990
,
.
.
()
. 2012 ,
.
2012
. 1994 1
,
6 . 6
.
, . 1994
,
.
. , 17
2
() ,
.
.
40
,
. ,
.
.
.
.
.
, 6
. 6 3
2012 6 ,
. 6
, 6
.
6 ,
. 3
,
. ,
3 .
2012
41
.
,
2012 2013
.
. ,
.
42
1. :
,
.
, , ,
.
2012
,
.
,
. ,
. 6 ,
.
2012
45
.
2011
. 2012
.
.
.
2011 .
2010
. , 2011
.
, , , () ,
. ,
.
2011 . 2010
.
(Air-Sea Battle)
,
. ,
, ,
. ,
(EAS: East Asia Summit), (APEC:
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation)
.
46
2012
. ,
.
. , ,
.
2012
. ,
.
2012
. ,
.
2012
.
.
.
(relative gain) .
. 2012
.
.
.
2012
47
.
. ,
. 2012
. , ,
.
, .
2010 ()
. 2011
. , () (TPP: Trans-Pacific
48
.
.
. , (Barack Obama)
(engagement) . 2012
.
,
. 2012
,
. , ,
. 6
(UEP: Uranium Enrichment Program),
() 2012 .
,
6
.
UEP ,
6 .
, ,
(IAEA: International Atomic Energy Agency) ,
UEP .
2012
49
,
. 2012
, 6
. UEP
.
3 .
2012 6
.
. ,
.
.
2012 . ,
. ,
. UEP
.
2. :
.
2012
. 9%
,
50
. , 2010 ,
,
.
2012
. ,
, , 3
. , , (Osama
Bin Laden) .
. ,
.
2012
.
. 2011
, 9% ,
.
3,500 2 .
.
2010 5 2
, 2012
. , (Bill Clinton)
2012
51
, (TPA: Trade
Promotion Authority)
.
TPP .
TPP
. 2011 12 , ,
TPP , . TPP
.
.
2012
. 2009
(strategic reassurance)
. 2010 ,
. (Hillary Clinton)
(forward-deployed diplomacy) , 2011 11
Foreign Policy .
.
. 2012
.
,
. (George Bush)
.
,
.
2012 . ,
52
. , ,
. ,
. (Leon Panetta) 2011 10
2010
.
,
. 2012
, TPP
.
.
2012
. 2011 11
. 2009 6
.
,
, ,
. 2011 FTA ,
.
2011 10 43 (SCM: ROKU.S. Security Consultative Meeting)
, .
(EDPC: Extended Deterrence Policy Committee)
. , 2015 2015
.
2012
53
, 2016
.
EDPC
. , , ,
(MD: Missile Defense) ,
, ,
.
, 2012
. MD , 2012
MD 107 . MD
.
,
. EDPC
,
. ,
.
. 6
2012 6 .
2012 ,
.
2012 , 6
.
,
6 .
54
. 2010 6
, .
2011
,
.
, 6 2012
, .
UEP . UEP
, , 6
. 6 UEP
, . , 9.19
UEP
3. : 5
. 5
2012 () ()
4 5
. 5 2011 . 2011
10 17 6 (17 6)
2012 18 (18 ) .
6 18 .
18 18 1 (18 1) 2012
2012
55
10 . 2012 8 17
7 (17 7) . 17
10 18 , , ()
. 17 7 10
.
5 () (
) . 18
18 1 , (),
(), (), (), (), ()
.
.
,
. 2012
.
.
. ,
.
.
2012 .
, 9%
.
, .
56
.
. 2011 .
.
.
.
,
.
2008
.
2011.
2012
.
.
,
. ,
2011 ,
.
.
2012 125
.
2012
57
, , ,
.
,
, . 2011
2 3 , , ,
. 2011
.
2012
.
.
.
2012
. , (, )
()
. , (Dharam
Shala) 2011 (Lobsang
Sangay) . (Dalai Lama)
.
.
. ,
.
.
58
. :
2012
. ,
.
. , , ,
, . , ,
. 2012
.
, TPP , ,
. , (S&ED: Strategic and Economic
Dialogue), 2011 1
(China-U.S. Consultation on the Asia-Pacific Region)
. 2012
.
.
.
.
, , ,
, . 2011 10
.
.
.
2012
59
.
.
.
2012 () .
2009 2010
. , 2012
5
.
() .
2012
.
.
.
2012 , ,
.
.
. ,
. ,
.
. ()
. ,
()
60
.
()
.
.
. 20
2012 20 ,
.
. FTA
. TPP
TPP TPP
.
TPP
FTA . FTA
. FTA
2012 20
.
2012 40 .
40 FTA FTA
.
. 20 , ,
.
2012
61
.
2011 12 2012
. 2012
.
5 .
.
. ,
. ,
.
. 2012 6
. , ,
2012 4
100 .
. 2012 4
, . 2012 5
18 9 .
18 18 1
, 2012 12 2013 .
.
. 2012
. ,
.
62
4. :
.
2012
3 9
.
2006 .
2011 9 ()
. 60% 3 20%
. ,
,
.
3 3.11 TPP
.
, .
TPP ,
. ,
() , , 2011
.
2012 .
GDP . ()
, 5%
2010 10% .
2012 1~3
, .
,
.
2012
63
, ()
.
, .
, ()
.
, , , 2012
.
2012 ,
. 3.11 ()
() ,
.
, 2010 4 2011 2
GDP .
2011 8 1 6060 ( 211 ) .
, ,
, , .
2011 7 , 2011 GDP
0.4% , 2012 2.9%
. 2011 8 98%
, ,
. , 2011 7
. 5 19
64
, .
, , ,
.
2011 9 54 11 ,
2012 5 .
,
() (75~77/) . ,
()
(M&A),
. ,
, , ()
.
, .
.
2012 , , , ,
. ()
,
.
2012
. 2010
, () ,
( 4 ) ,
.
2012
65
, .
, 3
. , , ,
,
. (ODA: Official Development Assistant)
1990 10 1 , 2012 1997
. (PKO: Peace Keeping
Operation) () .
. 1990 25%
( )
.
TPP , 3 ,
, PKO
.
. ()
, 2011
, (SOFA: Status of Forces
Agreement) . , EAS,
TPP TPP
,
.
() . 2012
. 2010 9 ()
66
,
. , ,
, , , , ,
, . ,
3
.
.
.
2011
, .
, 2012
. 4 12
, ,
.
,
.
2011
. , 3.11
, (6) (10)
5 , (9), (10),
(12)
. ,
.
. 2012
. 2010 924
2012
67
. 2011 1,000
. 2010 361
. .
() 3
.
() 2010 500
. 2012 3 / FTA
.
, .
21
.
. 2011
(3) .
. 2012 ,
, . ,
, (2011 8)
.
,
. 2012
3 .
,
,
.
68
5. :
.
(Vladimir Putin) 2011 9 24 (
) 2012 3 4
. , (Dmitry
Medvedev) 2012
. 2011 12 () ,
,
, ,
.
2011
.
.
,
.
.
80% 40~50%
2012 3 ,
5 - .
.
, 3
(2000, 2004, 2008) 2 .
, 12 4 ,
, , . ,
2012
69
(5 )
.
.
2011 4%
2012 . ,
,
. 2012
. , (WTO: World Trade Organization)
.
, , , WTO
.
(2000~2008) 7% GDP
, , , .
2009 2008 ,
. 2010~2011 5
, , , ,
, IT
.
2012 .
, ,
, , ,
, , . ,
, , ,
70
. 2011 12 WTO
, ,
.
. CIS
2011 11 ,
(EURASEC: Eurasian Economic Community)
(Eurasian Economic Union) .
2012 (CIS: Commonwealth
of Independent States) . ,
2012
,
.
, 2012 (CSTO: Collective Security
Treaty Organization) ,
(SCO: Shanghai Cooperation Organization)
CIS
. ,
.
CIS
,
. , CSTO
(NATO: North Atlantic Treaty Organization)
. CSTO 2006
. , ,
,
2012
71
CIS .
2010 7 ,
.
2011 11 3
. 3 2015 1
2012 1 3
. 3 1 6
, (EU: European Union)
.
.
2011
2012 .
2012
.
,
. 11
.
(New START: Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty) , ,
,
. NATO MD
,
. , (
, ) , .
72
,
.
, ( , ) [APEC,
EAS, BRICS, SCO, (ASEM: Asia-Europe Meeting) ]
. ,
.
EU , 2011 1 EU
.
(PCA: Partnership and Cooperation Agreement) , 4
(The Common Space: , , ,
) , , (WTO: World Trade
Organization) .
2012 EU
, () 4
, 2011
. , 2010 (
4 ) . 2012 5
.
.
. APEC
2010~2011 ASEM EAS , 2013 G20
. 2012 9 8~9
2012
73
APEC , 3
2014
.
, ,
. , G8, G20, APEC,
BRICS, (OSCE: Organization for Security and Cooperation
in Europe) . ,
1993 WTO 2011 12 . , WTO
, G20 WTO
. , EU
( ) WTO .
.
.
2011
. 8 24 9 ,
11 2 .
, 6
2012 . , 2012
,
3 .
3 6
.
2008 9
74
. ,
,
. , 20
2011 .
2010 2011
.
, , , APEC
,
2011
. 2012 4 15
. , .
9
,
2012
75
1. :
.
2012 (ASEAN: Association of Southeast Asian Nations) , ,
()
. , ,
2011 .
.
.
,
. 2011
, 6
. ,
.
2012
79
.
2011 11 ,
+3 , (EAS: East Asia Summit)
. +3
, EAS
.
(APEC: Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation)
(TPP: Trans-Pacific strategic economic
Partnership) EAS
. , 2011
.
2012 ,
. ,
2011
. ,
.
.
.
80
.
.
.
. 2011 EAS
2012 .
.
.
.
. , 2011 +3
EAS
.
2 (EAVG II:
. EAVG II
,
.
.
2012
. 2011 , , ,
2012
81
.
.
.
.
2011 5 ,
(PAP: People's Action Party) . PAP 60%
, 87 81 . , 1~2
40% 6
. .
, (George Yeo)
.
.
(Lee Kuan Yew) PAP
.
, PAP
.
.
.
, , ,
. 1~2
.
82
(United Malays National Organization) 1957
. 1998 ,
,
.
. 2011 2.0(Bersih 2.0)
. 2003
(Mahathir Mohamad)
(Abdullah Badawai) .
2008 2/3
(Najib Razak)
. .
(Emergency rule),
(Internal Security Act) .
. , ,
.
. , 2012
,
.
2012 . 2011
,
. 2011
2012
83
.
(Thein Sein)
.
, . ,
(Aung San Suu Kyi)
.
.
, (Yangon)
.
, , , (EU: European Union)
. , 2011 12
56
.
, .
,
.
,
. ,
.
,
.
.
84
.
2012 ,
. 2015 , ,
3 (ASEAN Community)
.
(ASEAN Economic Community)
. (Single Market
and Production Base) , , , ,
. ,
,
.
,
. 1970 (PTA: Preferential Trading
Agreement) , 1990 (AFTA:
ASEAN Free Trade Area) (AIA: ASEAN Investment
Area) .
2003
. EU
. ,
.
6(, , , ,
, ) 99% .
, 4(, , , ) 98.6%
0~5% .
(National Single Window)
2012
85
2015
. 1970
. 1990 , ,
, .
,
. ,
.
.
2015 ,
(ASEAN Connectivity)
.
2012
.
.
,
.
2015
.
86
.
2012 (Labor Party)
. 2011 (Julia Gillard)
. (Queensland)
.
(Treaty of
Raratonga) .
,
.
. 2010 (Green Party),
.
2011 (Liberal Party)
150
76 74 .
2012
.
,
(Kevin Rudd) .
2013
.
, 2012
. (John Key)
(National Party) 2011 11
121 60 .
ACT(Association of Consumers and Taxpayers)
(United Future)
2012
87
. , 34 . 2011
2012
.
2012
.
, ,
. 2011 EAS
,
.
2012
. ,
.
.
2. :
.
2010 2011 (Eurozone)
2012 .
. ,
.
2010
.
88
. ,
, ,
.
.
.
PIIGS(
) . 2 2
14 (Fine Gael)
. 6
. 11
(Silvio Berlusconi) . 19 EU
(Mario Monti)
.
. ,
(Borut Pahor) 9
12 4 .
(default) , 10 EU
(haircutting) 2
.
(George Papandreou) 2
, EU
. 11 9 ,
(ECB: European Central Bank) (Lucas
Papademos) (PASOK: Panhellenic Socialist Movement)
(ND: New Democratic Party) .
2012
89
.
PIIGS
. 2011 2012
.
,
.
,
. ,
. ,
.
,
.
. EU
2012 EU
EU .
2012 ,
.
2011 2010 EU
. 4 (True Finns)
200 39 .
EU
.
90
.
(PVV: Partij voor de Vrijheid)
(SaS: Sloboda a Solidarita) (EFSF:
European Financial Stability Facility)
EU . PVV
.
10 (Iveta Radicova) EFSF
EFSF
.
, 2012 3
. EU EU
.
2012
. PASOK ND
2012 2 .
.
. 3
. ,
EU
,
.
.
2012 EU 2011 (fiscal compact)
. EU
2012
91
. 2011
. ,
, 2012
.
2011
ECB , () EFSF
.
, EFSF
.
. 2011 7 17 EFSF , 10
. 7,800 EFSF
.
2011 12 EU 17
EU .
EU
. , EU EU
(ESM: European Stability Mechanism)
2012 7 .
, EU
.
2012
. , , 2012 3 EU
92
. 2012 3
,
. ,
, .
EU 2012 .
3. :
.
,
, ,
2012 .
,
.
. 2011 10
(Ennahda, )
. ,
.
60
11 .
, (Salafist) (Muslim Brotherhood)
. 2012
. (NDP:
National Democratic Party)
2012
93
. .
,
.
.
(Tripolitania-Cyrenaica) ,
(Tripoli) (Benghazi) () .
140 ,
(Muammar Gaddafi) (Qaddafa)
(Warfala) (Zuwayya) .
(NTC: National Transitional Council)
.
.
()
2012 .
. 2011
. .
. ,
(Al-Hasa) .
(Hezbollah)
.
, 2011
.
(Muqtada Al Sadr)
. ---
94
(Shiite crescent)
.
2011
. ,
.
. NATO, EU
.
,
(non-violent pluralism)
. , ,
, .
(hard power)
(smart power) .
.
2012
. 2011 11
.
(2010 9% )
.
.
2012
95
.
,
.
.
.
(Likud)- (Israeli Beiteinu)
.
(Muhammad Mubarak) ,
,
.
2011 5 .
.
. ,
(Kneset) 3
(Avigdor Lieberman)
.
,
.
, (Fatah)
96
2011
.
. ,
,
.
.
. ,
, .
, 2012
. 2012
2012
97
.
2011 11 (IAEA: International Atomic Energy
Agency) ,
.
.
, ,
. .
,
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
98
.
, .
(Shiite horseshoe area) .
(GCC: Gulf Cooperation Council)
.
. GCC
(RCC:
Royal Cooperation Council) .
.
4. :
, 2012 .
2012 , , ,
.
.
2010 4 (Roza
2012
99
Otunbayeva) , 2011 10 30
(Almazbek Atambayev) .
, 2011 4 21
(Nursultan Nazarbayev) . 2012 2
22 (Islam Abduganievich
Karimov) . 2013 2014
.
, .
,
70
. 58 (Emomali
Rahmon) 1992 , 1992~1997
.
.
.
, .
5 , , ,
,
.
.
2011
100
.
2012 . ,
,
.
2010 7.3%, 2011 6.5% GDP ,
2012 . 2010
, ,
. ,
.
2010 9.2%[EIU(Economist
Intelligence Unit) 6% ], 2011 11% GDP ,
, ,
2012 .
,
. 2010 8.5%, 2011
8.0% GDP , 2012
. , ,
, 2012
.
2012
,
.
.
2010 4 -1.4%
GDP , 2011 11% .
, ,
2012
101
2010~2011 6% GDP
.
.
, 2012 .
2012 ,
(EURASEC: Eurasian Economic Community) (Custom Union)
. ,
2012 (CSTO: Collective Security Treaty
Organization), (SCO: Shanghai Cooperation Organization)
.
.
, CSTO,
EURASEC, SCO .
.
, ,
.
. 1992
(CICA: Conference on Interaction and Confidence-building measures
in Asia) , 4 . ,
. , 2010 1 ,
. 2012 1
.
102
, CIS
, .
CSTO .
. (Great Game)
,
,
, 2012 . ,
, , EU, , ,
.
, 2012 . CSTO,
EURASEC, SCO
, . 2012
, EURASECCSTO ,
. ,
2011
(Manas)
. 2012
SCO
.
2012 SCO
.
,
, . ,
2012
103
.
.
SCO
2005 . , 2011
10 2014
. 2012
.
,
. ,
. EU
.
, 2012 .
, ,
,
.
.
.
,
, 2012 .
104
2009 4 5
(Aral Sea) .
.
,
. , ,
.
.
. ,
.
. CSTO
.
CSTO .
. ,
.
. 20
2012 20
.
. , ,
2012
105
. ,
2012 .
,
.
,
. 2006
, 2007
. , 5
.
2011
. 8,
2009
. , 2011 11 5
.
5. :
.
2012 .
2012
. ,
2011
.
106
2011
, , .
,
.
,
.
. , ,
.
2011 , , 2012
. ,
2011 ,
.
, ,
.
2012
107
, 2012 5
.
, .
, .
(50 , 40 )
,
.
. ()
2012 20 ,
. , 2007
, 2008 , 2010
. 2012
.
, 2012
. , (Robert Gabriel Mugabe)
, ,
.
, 2012
. (ANC:
African National Congress) .
, ANC 2013
ANC .
2011 5 18 ANC
108
ANC .
(Michael Sata)
(Rupiah Banda)
2012
.
.
2011 4 16
(Goodluck Jonathan) , 2012
.
.
(Umaru Yar'Adua) 2010
, 4
.
2011 11 6
(Ellen Johnson Sirleaf)
, . 2 1 2
(CDC: Congress for Democratic Change)
(Winston Tubman)
.
, , ,
.
. 6%
2012 6%
2012
109
, EU . ,
,
2012 2011 .
,
.
2012
.
EU
,
. ,
.
.
. 2011 6
1 10% , 7.5%
.
.
, 2011
3.5% 2012 3%
.
, ,
,
.
. ,
110
, .
.
. ,
.
6. :
.
10
. 2000
BRICS
10 8% GDP . 2012
.
1991
. 2010 GDP 1
5,000 10
.
. 12
( IT )
.
.
, ,
2012
111
(SAARC: South Asia Association for Regional Cooperation)
. , Look
East Policy
. 1
2009 PTA .
2 . 2000
FTA , EAS
(ARF: ASEAN Regional Forum) ASEM
.
,
(global power) .
. 2000
G-4 ,
. , 2010 11
. (emerging)
(emerged) . ,
G20
.
,
. , ,
.
.
112
.
.
.
.
. ,
, 2008
.
SAARC
,
.
,
LeT(Lashkar-e-Toiba)
. ,
. ,
( ) ,
. ,
.
.
. ,
16 (MFN: Most
Favored Nation) .
.
2012
113
. 9.11
.
. 2011 5
.
. , 2011 11
.
.
.
2012
. ,
. 2012 40 13
( ) 4 . 2012
2014
.
2011
. 2011 7
(Hamid Karzai) (Ahmaed Ali
Karzai) . , 11 20
(Burhanuddin Rabbani) ( )
.
(Haqqani Network)
(ISAF: International Security Assistance Force)
114
.
,
.
.
.
(Asia Foundation) ,
29% , 46%
.
.
.
.
, ,
. 2012
.
,
. 19
~20 .
1, 2
.
,
(Kyaukpyu), (Chittagong),
(Hambantota), (Gwadar)
.
(string of
2012
115
pearls) .
.
.
, .
.
, (ISA: International Seabed Authority)
15 .
, 2011 8 (Varyag)
,
.
, (Lhasa) (Kathmandu)
. , 2010
-(Gilgit-Baltistan)
.
(strategic encirclement) .
. 2010 11
. ,
(NSG: Nuclear Suppliers Group)/
(MTCR: Missile Technology Control Regime)
, .
,
. ,
.
116
.
,
,
.
7. :
.
2012
. , ,
.
2011 6 5 (Keiko
Sofa Fujimori Higuchi) (Ollanta
Humala) .
.
(Hugo Rafael Chavez Frias)
. (Lula da
Silva) , , 10
FTA , .
2011 10 23
(Cristina Fernandez) 53% .
8 . 2009 ,
8 8% .
,
.
2012
117
, .
4
.
.
2012 , ,
4% .
, , ,
.
. (ECLAC: Economic
Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean) , 2012
1,700 7% .
.
. ,
.
. 2012
.
. TPP
. 2011 4 28
(Acuerdo del Pacifico) . ,
, ,
. , ,
(AIP: Acuerdo de Intergrado Profundo)
. ,
118
2012
119
1.
.
2008 2011
.
,
.
.
,
. , BRICS
.
. 2012
, (EU: European Union)
,
.
G2 .
2012
123
G2
.
G0 .
. G8 G20
2008 G20
(Global Governance) G7/G8
. , G8
G20 . 2010
G8 G20 G8
G8 , G20 (),
.
2011 5 26~27 (Deauville) G8
G8 . ,
,
.
124
, G8
.
G8 ,
. BRICS
,
G8 G8 BRICS
. G20 ,
G8, BRICS G20 ,
.
.
. ,
,
.
,
G-X .
G-X G7/G8 G20 ,
.
(regional
multilateralism) .
. ,
(natural economic territory) . ,
2012
125
, 3
.
, 2008
G20
, G20
,
.
3 ,
.
,
.
.
2. : , IMF SDR
.
2010 2011
. 2012
.
1 9% 2011 10,
(countervailing duty)
(the Currency Exchange Rate Oversight
126
. 2011
4.5% .
. 2012 ,
.
.
2012
127
.
IMF SDR
2012 ,
.
2011 G20
,
. , , ,
(IMF: International Monetary Fund) (SDR: Special
Drawing Rights)
. SDR
.
SDR SDR
. SDR
. 2009 3
SDR (reserve asset)
. .
2
.
. 2
.
5 17
. ,
.
.
128
2012
.
.
, , ,
2011 2010 13 9,576
.
.
.
2
.
.
IMF SDR
.
, 1 . ,
, 2015~2020(12 5
)
.
. IMF
2008 IMF
. IMF
, 2012
2012
129
.
IMF .
,
. IMF
5 , 2008
. 2008 ,
. 2010 G20
2013 , 2012
.
IMF 2010 G20
. 2008
, 2013 6% ,
(Executive Board) 24 2
. , IMF 10 , ,
, , , , , , , ,
. IMF
BRICS .
.
, G20 IMF
2015 5 15
. 2012 10~15
IMF ,
. 2012 IMF
.
130
3. WTO/DDA FTA
. WTO/DDA
G20 2011
8 . 2012
, .
2011 8 (DDA: Doha Development
Agenda) 2011 4 .
DDA (progress report)
, . ,
.
(WTO: World Trade Organization)
DDA WTO
, WTO 2011 12 15~17
. 12
,
. , DDA
-(DFQF: Duty-Free Quota-Free)
(LDCs: Least Developed Countries)
LDCs .
.
8 , (GPA: Government
Procurement Areement) , ,
. , (Montenegro),
(Vanuatu), (Samoa) WTO 157
. WTO 99%
2012
131
, . ,
2009 2
2013 2 .
(TRIPS: Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual
Property Rights)
. , WTO GPA
42
.
2012 ,
DDA .
DDA 2013 12 9 .
DDA .
2012 WTO/DDA WTO
. , (single undertaking)
.
,
(PTA: Plural Trade Agreement)
. WTO , WTO
G7(, EU, , , , , )
.
. FTA : FTA
(TPP: Trans-Pacific strategic economic
Partnership) 2012 1 3
2012 . 2009 11
132
/ FTA
2012
133
2011 12 3 3 FTA
, 2012 3 FTA . ,
() 2012 , 20
2012 .
FTA .
/ FTA ,
. FTA
, FTA
.
, 2011 +3 3 FTA
2012 .
. (2003
), (1992, 2007 ), (1989) ,
3
.
. , 3
. 3 ,
, ,
(Pre-NT) . ,
, . 2012 3
,
3 FTA .
FTA
2012 EU FTA , (MERCOSUR: Mercado
Comn del Sur) , FTA
. EU 2007 EU FTA ,
134
2011 13 2012 . EU
FTA , , .
2012 EU
. MERCOSUR FTA 2000 ,
. 2011 11 7
2012 .
EU (EIA: Economic Integration Agreement)
, 2011
. 2012 . 2009
10 , 2012
, ,
.
2012 , EU FTA
. 2010 (EPA: Economic Partnership
Agreement) , EPA
FTA , , FTA
. FTA
, , . ,
, FTA
.
, (2010), (2011)
(CEPA: Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement)
, 2012 EU FTA .
FTA , 2007
10 . , 2009 6 -MERCOSUR
(PTA: Preferential Trade Agreement)
FTA .
2012
135
MERCOSUR FTA
, 2012 EU FTA
. MERCOSUR FTA
, PTA . MECOSUR PTA
, , , , (CAN: Comunidad Andina
de Naciones) . ,
(SACU: Southern African Customs Union) .
MERCOSUR PTA(, SACU, ) FTA
, EU, (GCC: Gulf Cooperation Council),
, PTA FTA .
FTA 2009 7 MERCOSUR FTA MOU
. EU FTA
. 2012 EU MERCOSUR
FTA .
4. :
.
(Durban) 2011 11 28~12 11
136
. , 2012 (Post-2012)
.
, , , (77)
2 . ,
,
.
,
,
. ,
, 1
.
, , ,
.
EU (EU-ETS: EU
Emissions Trading System) (CDM: Clean Development
Mechanism) . , EU
. ,
2015
, 2020
EU .
2013
5 8 . EU
2 .
, , ,
.
30% EU
.
2012
137
.
2020
. , 2020
. 2012
2015
, 2020 ,
.
2020
, (a protocol, another
legal instrument, or an agreed outcome with legal force)
.
2020
,
. , ,
(legally binding) EU
, , .
2020 , EU
,
.
.
2009 , 2010
. 2010~2012
300 2013~2020 1
138
.
. (new and additional)
,
.
(GCF: Green Climate Fund) .
.
.
, .
. ,
,
.
1,000 ,
, .
,
.
EU,
2020
. ,
(AOSIS:
Alliance of Small Island States), LDCs,
EU .
2012
139
.
, 2009
EU
. , , ,
. ,
,
.
.
,
.
,
. ,
.
.
5.
.
140
.
,
. (CTBT:
Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty) (FMCT: Fissile
Material Cut-off Treaty)
. CTBT FMCT 2011
2012
141
,
2012 .
.
,
(NWFZ: NuclearWeapon-Free Zone).
(UEP: Uranium Enrichment Program)
2012 .
(NPT: Non-Proliferation Treaty) 7 ,
.
. 1995 5 NPT
, .
2010 8 NPT 1995
,
2012 .
UEP .
UEP
. 2011 IAEA 10
, , IAEA
. IAEA
.
UEP
NPT 2012
.
142
,
,
.
.
(nuclear safety) 2012
. 2011 3 13
.
.
.
.
2011 9 IAEA
, ,
(Action Plan on Nuclear Safety) .
,
.
,
.
.
. , 1,600,
500 , 437, 250
2012
143
.
.
, 2011 4
.
(nuclear security culture) ,
(security by design)
. , 2012
.
144
A
ACT
AFTA
AIA
AIP
ANC
()
AOSIS
APEC
ARF
ASEAN
ASEAN+3
+, ,
ASEM
Asia-Europe Meeting
AU
African Union
B
BRICS
, , , ,
Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa
5
C
CAN
CDC
()
CDM
CEPA
2012
147
CICA
CIS
COP
( )
CPPNM
CSTO
CTBT
CU
Custom Union
DDA
DFQF
Duty-Free Quota-Free
EAFTA
EAS
EAVG II
ECB
ECLAC
()
EDPC
EEU
EFSF
EIA
EIU
148
EPA
ESM
EU
European Union
EU-ETS
EURASEC
FAO
()
FMCT
FTA
G2
Group of Two
G4
Group of Four
, , ,
G7
Group of Seven
, , , ,
, ,
G8
Group of Eight
G-7,
G20
Group of Twenty
G-8, EU, , ,
, , , ,
, , ,
,
GCC
GCF
GDP
GICNT
GPA
2012
149
H
HEU
IAEA
ICSANT
IMF
INGO
International Non-Governmental
Organization
ISA
ISAF
LDCs
LEU
M&A
MD
Missile Defence
K
KMD
150
MFN
MTCR
NATO
ND
()
NDP
()
()
NGO
Non-Governmental Organization
NPT
NSG
NTC
()
NWFZ
Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone
ODA
OECD
OSCE
in Europe
P
PAP
()
PASOK
()
2012
151
PCA
P-4
4(,
, , )
PIIGS
5
(, ,
, , )
PKO
()
PSI
PTA
PTA
PVV
()
RCC
R2P
Responsibility to Protect
SAARC
SACU
SaS
Sloboda a Solidarita
()
SCM
SCO
SDR
S&ED
SLOCs
152
SOFA
START
TMD
TPA
TPP
TRIPS
U
UEP
UMNO
UN
United Nations
W
WTO
2012
153
| | 2012 7
( , , )
- : ( )
- : ( )
: ( )
: ( )
: 5 ( )
: ( )
: ( )
: ( )
: ( )
: ( )
: ( )
: [(POSCO )]
: ( , )
: [(
)]
( )
: , IMF SDR ( )
WTO/DDA FTA ( )
: ( )
( )
( )
| |