Professional Documents
Culture Documents
FINAL National Marginals March 26 2012-1
FINAL National Marginals March 26 2012-1
FINAL National Marginals March 26 2012-1
National Survey
REG
region
N=
Northeast ......................................
South ..........................................
Midwest ........................................
West ...........................................
1
2
3
4
1070 100%
227 21%
353 33%
260 24%
230 21%
START
Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for Suffolk
University and I would like to get your opinions on some political questions
and issues of the day. {RANDOMIZE} Would you like to spend a few minutes
to help us out?
N=
Continue ....................................... 1
1070 100%
1070 100%
GEND
Record Gender
N=
Male ...........................................
Female .........................................
1070 100%
502 47%
568 53%
1
2
1070 100%
415 39%
365 34%
239 22%
51
5%
0
0%
S3. How likely are you to vote in the general election for
likely, somewhat likely, 50-50 or not likely?
N=
Very likely ....................................
Somewhat likely ................................
50/50 ..........................................
Not very likely ................................
Not at all likely ..............................
1
2
3
4
5
1070 100%
1011 94%
59
6%
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
1
3
4
5
6
7
8
1070 100%
126 12%
156 15%
227 21%
249 23%
188 18%
112 10%
12
1%
President--very
S5. For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me what your ethnic
background / ancestry is?
N=
White/Caucasian ................................ 1
Black/African-American ......................... 2
American Indian/Alaska Native .................. 3
Asian .......................................... 4
Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander ......... 5
Hispanic/Latino ................................ 6
Other (DO NOT READ) ............................ 7
Refused (DO NOT READ) .......................... 8
1070 100%
825 77%
85
8%
11
1%
15
1%
6
1%
101
9%
12
1%
15
1%
Suffolk University
1070 100%
439 41%
147 14%
303 28%
90
8%
28
3%
63
6%
Q7. Do you feel the country is headed in the right direction or is on the
wrong track?
N=
Right direction ................................ 1
Wrong track .................................... 2
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3
1070 100%
385 36%
576 54%
109 10%
1070 100%
140 13%
398 37%
67
6%
234 22%
93
9%
42
4%
23
2%
73
7%
PRE9
Great, I am going to read you a list of individuals in state and local
politics. For each, please tell me if your opinion of them is generally
favorable or generally unfavorable. If you are undecided or if you have never
heard of someone, just tell me that. First take Barack Obama.
N=
Continue ....................................... 1
1070 100%
1070 100%
1070 100%
0
0%
557 52%
463 43%
50
5%
generally
1
2
3
4
generally
1
2
3
4
1070 100%
12
1%
410 38%
471 44%
177 17%
1070 100%
15
1%
272 25%
658 61%
125 12%
1070 100%
53
5%
301 28%
461 43%
255 24%
Suffolk University
generally
1
2
3
4
1070 100%
5
0%
327 31%
640 60%
98
9%
1070 100%
42
4%
349 33%
494 46%
185 17%
1070 100%
24
2%
443 41%
453 42%
150 14%
1070 100%
162 15%
226 21%
388 36%
294 27%
PRE17
The following are questions about national politicians and issues.
N=
Continue .......................................
1070 100%
1070 100%
Q17. IF THIS IS THE FIRST STATEMENT: If the General Election for United States
President was held today and the candidates were... (READ 1-3)
REST READ: Now how about if the race were between... (READ 1-3)
for who will you vote or towards whom do you LEAN at this time?
N=
Democrat Barack Obama .......................... 1
Republican Mitt Romney ......................... 2
Third party candidate .......................... 3
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 4
Refused (DO NOT READ) .......................... 5
1070 100%
503 47%
401 37%
80
7%
79
7%
7
1%
Q18. IF THIS IS THE FIRST STATEMENT: If the General Election for United States
President was held today and the candidates were... (READ 1-3)
REST READ: Now how about if the race were between... (READ 1-3)
for who will you vote or towards whom do you LEAN at this time?
N=
Democrat Barack Obama .......................... 1
Republican Rick Santorum ....................... 2
Third party candidate .......................... 3
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 4
Refused (DO NOT READ) .......................... 5
1070 100%
520 49%
371 35%
75
7%
93
9%
11
1%
Q19. IF THIS IS THE FIRST STATEMENT: If the General Election for United States
President was held today and the candidates were... (READ 1-3)
REST READ: Now how about if the race were between... (READ 1-3)
for who will you vote or towards whom do you LEAN at this time?
N=
Democrat Barack Obama .......................... 1
Republican Newt Gingrich ....................... 2
Third party candidate .......................... 3
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 4
Refused (DO NOT READ) .......................... 5
1070 100%
536 50%
331 31%
116 11%
80
7%
7
1%
Suffolk University
Q20. IF THIS IS THE FIRST STATEMENT: If the General Election for United States
President was held today and the candidates were... (READ 1-3)
REST READ: Now how about if the race were between... (READ 1-3)
for who will you vote or towards whom do you LEAN at this time?
N=
Democrat Barack Obama .......................... 1
Republican Ron Paul ............................ 2
Third party candidate .......................... 3
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 4
Refused (DO NOT READ) .......................... 5
1070 100%
522 49%
299 28%
131 12%
108 10%
10
1%
1070 100%
496 46%
484 45%
90
8%
1070 100%
440 41%
547 51%
83
8%
Q23. Has the recent Republican Primary made you more likely or less likely to
support the Republican candidate in the general election?
N=
More likely .................................... 1
Less likely .................................... 2
No difference .................................. 3
Undecided/no opinion (DO NOT READ) ............. 4
1070 100%
315 29%
465 43%
228 21%
62
6%
Q24. Thinking about the current presidential primary process for electing
party nominees, would you support a national primary election held on one day
as opposed to the current, state-based process that takes over six months?
N=
Yes ............................................ 1
No ............................................. 2
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3
1070 100%
583 54%
370 35%
117 11%
Q25. In the 2008 presidential election did you vote for Barack Obama, John
McCain or did you not vote?
N=
Obama .......................................... 1
McCain ......................................... 2
Other .......................................... 3
Did not vote ................................... 4
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 5
1070 100%
504 47%
436 41%
27
3%
77
7%
26
2%
Q26. Regardless of who you personally support for president this year, who do
you expect our next president will be?
N=
Barack Obama ................................... 1
Mitt Romney .................................... 2
Rick Santorum .................................. 3
Someone else ................................... 4
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 5
1070 100%
550 51%
300 28%
50
5%
40
4%
130 12%
1070 100%
784 73%
257 24%
29
3%
Suffolk University
1070 100%
144 13%
36
3%
178 17%
587 55%
125 12%
Now, we'd like to ask some questions about the economy, money and taxes.
Q29. Is the recession over in the United States?
N=
Yes ............................................ 1
No ............................................. 2
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3
1070 100%
146 14%
885 83%
39
4%
Q30. It is estimated that each person in the United States would have to pay
just over forty-six thousand dollars to completely pay off the national debt.
Knowing this, how much more in federal taxes would you be willing to pay if
you knew that all the money would go only towards paying off the national
debt?
N=
Less than $500 ................................. 01
1070 100%
51
5%
$500-$1,999 ....................................
02
34
3%
$2,000-$4,999 ..................................
03
28
3%
$5,000-$14,999 .................................
04
47
4%
$15,000+ .......................................
05
32
3%
1-10% ..........................................
10
74
7%
Other .........................................
00
14
1%
None/Nothing ...................................
96
510
48%
98
280
26%
1070 100%
259 24%
582 54%
171 16%
58
5%
Q32. Do you think that reducing the national debt will directly contribute to
improving the economy?
N=
Yes ............................................ 1
No ............................................. 2
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3
1070 100%
698 65%
295 28%
77
7%
Q33
Q33. Do you agree or disagree that making changes or cuts to entitlement
programs like Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security are necessary to reduce
the national debt?
N=
Agree .......................................... 1
Disagree ....................................... 2
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3
1070 100%
326 30%
689 64%
55
5%
Q34. Do you believe that the Social Security and Medicare programs will be
available to you in your retirement?
N=
Yes ............................................ 1
No ............................................. 2
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3
767 100%
366 48%
345 45%
56
7%
Suffolk University
1070 100%
365 34%
346 32%
243 23%
116 11%
Q36. In your opinion, was the primary goal of the national healthcare reform
law, enacted in March 2010, to reduce the cost of healthcare or to expand
coverage for the uninsured?
N=
Control costs .................................. 1
Expand coverage ................................ 2
Both ........................................... 3
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 4
1070 100%
86
8%
569 53%
207 19%
208 19%
Q37.Do you think the goal of health care reform in the United States should be
to control the costs of health care, to expand coverage or to do both?
N=
Control costs .................................. 1
Expand coverage ................................ 2
Both ........................................... 3
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 4
1070 100%
140 13%
65
6%
747 70%
118 11%
Q38. Do you think you are better or worse off as a result of the national
healthcare reform law, enacted in March 2010?
N=
Better off ..................................... 1
Worse off ...................................... 2
No difference .................................. 3
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 4
1070 100%
219 20%
353 33%
428 40%
70
7%
1070 100%
489 46%
474 44%
107 10%
The next few questions are about energy policy and gas prices.
Q40. If the price of regular gas were to increase to $4.50/gallon by October
will you vote Democrat, Republican or Independent for President in the General
Election?
N=
Democrat ....................................... 1
Republican ..................................... 2
Independent .................................... 3
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 4
1070 100%
382 36%
396 37%
64
6%
228 21%
Q41. How much influence do you think the President has on gas prices - a lot,
some, a little, or none at all?
N=
A lot .......................................... 1
Some ........................................... 2
A little ....................................... 3
None at all .................................... 4
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 5
1070 100%
268 25%
294 27%
286 27%
200 19%
22
2%
Q42. Should the United States explore options to increase its domestic oil
production, even if that includes more offshore drilling?
N=
Yes ............................................ 1
No ............................................. 2
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3
1070 100%
832 78%
199 19%
39
4%
Suffolk University
Q43. Should the federal government eliminate tax breaks and subsidies for oil
companies?
N=
Yes ............................................ 1
No ............................................. 2
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3
1070 100%
641 60%
324 30%
105 10%
Q44. Can federal money spent helping to develop alternative energy technology
significantly contribute to creating jobs and fixing the economy?
N=
Yes ............................................ 1
No ............................................. 2
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3
1070 100%
723 68%
286 27%
61
6%
threat to the
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
Q46. If Iran and Israel were to engage in military conflict, what do you think
the United States should do?
N=
Fully support Israel military .................. 1
1070 100%
389 36%
87
8%
19
2%
0
0%
290 27%
95
9%
4
0%
30
3%
71
7%
85
8%
1070 100%
340 32%
366
34%
187
17%
Do nothing .....................................
136
13%
41
4%
1070 100%
180 17%
82
8%
304 28%
77
7%
108 10%
66
6%
26
2%
27
3%
200 19%
1070 100%
38
4%
70
7%
48
4%
56
5%
24
2%
22
2%
26
2%
27
3%
28
3%
22
2%
16
1%
11
1%
19
2%
12
1%
6
1%
Suffolk University
Charlie Rose..................................
David Gregory.................................
Ed Schultz....................................
Jim Lehrer....................................
Bret Baier....................................
Lawrence O'Donnell ...........................
Scott Pelley..................................
Christiane Amanpour...........................
Cokie Roberts.................................
David Brooks..................................
Greta Van Susteren............................
John Stossel..................................
Katie Couric..................................
Lou Dobbs.....................................
Paul Krugman..................................
Piers Morgan..................................
Shepard Smith.................................
Tom Brokaw....................................
Name or Description of Person ..................
None ...........................................
Undecided ......................................
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
00
96
98
4
6
5
7
6
5
5
3
3
5
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
80
269
262
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
7%
25%
24%
Q49. Thinking about Major League Baseball, do you think that off-the-field
illegal activity should prohibit a player from being inducted into the
Baseball Hall of Fame?
N=
Yes ............................................ 1
No ............................................. 2
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3
1070 100%
589 55%
320 30%
161 15%
Q50. Major League Baseball recently outlawed performance enhancing drugs which
could prohibit players from being inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame. Do
you believe these players should be prohibited from being inducted because of
the recent rule change, despite the fact that the rule was not enforced during
their careers?
N=
Yes/Prohibit from Hall of Fame ................. 1
No/Don't prohibit from hall of Fame ............ 2
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3
1070 100%
418 39%
528 49%
124 12%
1070 100%
321 30%
299 28%
312 29%
138 13%
Live have a
1
2
3
4
DEMO
THE FINAL 5 QUESTIONS WILL HELP US CLASSIFY YOUR ANSWERS WITH OTHERS TAKING
THE SURVEY
N=
Continue .......................................
1070 100%
1070 100%
1
2
3
4
5
1070 100%
454 42%
272 25%
136 13%
100
9%
108 10%
Q53. Would you describe your household finances as excellent, good, fair or
poor?
N=
Excellent ...................................... 1
Good ........................................... 2
Fair ........................................... 3
Poor ........................................... 4
Undecided ...................................... 5
1070 100%
210 20%
415 39%
311 29%
104 10%
30
3%
Suffolk University
Q54. Do you consider yourself poor, working class, middle class, or wealthy?
N=
Poor ........................................... 1
Working class .................................. 2
Middle class ................................... 3
Wealthy ........................................ 4
Undecided ...................................... 5
1070 100%
85
8%
328 31%
582 54%
35
3%
40
4%
1070 100%
376 35%
402 38%
242 23%
26
2%
24
2%
Q56. What is your primary source for political news and information?
N=
Political Blogs ................................ 1
Newspapers and Magazines (online or in print) .. 2
Social Media Websites like Twitter and Facebook
3
Television and Cable News Networks ............. 4
Friends and Family ............................. 5
Radio .......................................... 6
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 7
1070 100%
40
4%
233 22%
50
5%
607 57%
21
2%
93
9%
26
2%
LIST
N=
Landline .......................................
Cell only.......................................
1
2
1070 100%
808 76%
262 24%