Professional Documents
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Can Myanmar Do What Vietnam Has Done?
Can Myanmar Do What Vietnam Has Done?
Randy Barker
11th Airborne Division 1953-55. UPCA-Cornell (UPCO) program 1965-66. Social Science Division, IRRI 1966-78, 2007-08. UP teaching (one course a year) 1965-78 IRRI softball team 1965-78 College Country Club (tennis), 1965-78 Rotary Club of Los Baos, 1969-78 IRRI Emeritus International Staff, 2012 to present
Grant Singleton
Rodent Ecologist/Irrigated Rice Research Consortium Coordinator Crop & Environmental Sciences Division
David Johnson
Weed Scientist/Consortium for Unfavorable Rice Environment Coordinator Crop & Environmental Sciences Division
Prior to World War II Burma and Indochina were leading world rice exporters; Vietnam after the fall of Saigon: A road map for Myanmar agriculture? The situation in Myanmar: Problematic but promising IRRI prepares to help
Indochina
Thailand
Burma
19 00
19 02
19 04
19 06
19 08
19 10
19 12
19 14
19 16
19 18
19 20
19 22
19 24
19 26
19 28
19 30
19 32
19 34
19 36
19 38
Note: 1900-1940 source is Rose, 1985: Appendix to the rice economy of Asia
19 40
VIETNAM
RXB
Thousand tons
10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 5000
Years
1990 1995 2000
Water Law
Cau Sap (1996) Bach Nguu (2000) Vinh My (1997) Pho Sinh (1998) Chu Chi (1997) Ca Mau (2000) Lang Tram (1998)
Saline water
2000
2001
Rice
Seafood
Values in US$ million
638
1475
588
1800
Yield (t/ha)
Myanmar
Vietnam
19 60 19 /196 62 1 / 19 196 64 3 19 /196 66 5 19 /196 68 7 19 /196 70 9 19 /197 72 1 / 19 197 74 3 19 /197 76 5 19 /197 78 7 19 /197 80 9 19 /198 82 1 / 19 198 84 3 19 /198 86 5 19 /198 88 7 19 /198 90 9 19 /199 92 1 / 19 199 94 3 19 /199 96 5 19 /199 98 7 20 /199 00 9 20 /200 02 1 / 20 200 04 3 20 /200 06 5 20 /200 08 7 20 /200 10 9 /2 01 1
LCC training in 2002, and (below) LCC critical values experiment , Yezin, 2004
IRRC training course (2005) and (below) LCC demonstration at extension camp 2004
Grain Yield
IWM Farm
Dry season yield gaps on farmers fields with better weed control
Rodent research
2003-2006
1. Ecology, damage assessment, management options 2. Assessed KAP of farmers (IntJPestMgmt 54: 69-76, 2008) 3. Two MSc, 4 PhD students (local universities) 2007 -2012 1. Study of rodent outbreak in Chin hills 2. Rodent outbreaks & cyclone Nargis: included GIS modelling paper in press Pest Management Science 3. PhD student (Nyo Me Htwe) at Northern Arizona Univ
Since 2006 33 sites AWD; 18 sites aerobic rice Training /on-site briefings with 180 staff; 480 farmers
Ayeyarwady
Postharvest Development
2006 Partners Myanmar Agricultural Services Myanmar Rice and Paddy Traders Association Pioneer Postharvest Development Group 2011
Delay in harvesting High physical losses on farm Improper drying No mechanical dryers Poor storage
IRRC Support Dryer manufacturing training in Vietnam Capacity building at IRRI and in Myanmar Hermetic storage pilots Support to dryer manufacturer
Local storage bag NGO Pioneer Postharvest development Group for out-scaling
Drought-prone areas
State/Division Mandalay Area (ha) 58482
Sagaing
Magway
45741
44868
Rakhine
Bago (East) Bago (West) Total
39854
35985 28956 253886
1.89 1.84
3.08 -
2.9 t of registered Swarna sub1 seed distributed to 7 townships 0.88 t foundation seed produced
Promising lines for salt affected coastal and inland salinity areas - Myanmar
Yn 3220-MAS-77-2-8 Yn 3220-MAS-62-2-4 Yn 3220-MAS-76-4-1 Yn 3220-MAS-108-2-3-1
IR 72046-B-R-4-3-2-1
IR 72044-B-R-22-3-1 IR 72593-B-B-2-11
Meeting with the Minister, Nay Pyi Taw, January, 2012, and his visit to IRRI
New developments
Outputs of LIFT-IRRI
1. Improved rice crop management practices demonstrated and new varieties tested in three townships in the lower delta 2. Strengthened capacity of partners including scientists and extension personnel Advise on resource management of current rice varieties
Future activities
Overview
Exciting developments By mid 2012 expect to have 3 IRS permanently located in Myanmar plus 11 local staff More calls from donors likely (e.g. SDC) In 2012 further in-country consultation on priorities for R&D & capacity? Visit by DG and/or DDG-R to reinforce IRRIs strategy for Myanmar
Vietnam s success has been due to major policy changes and institutional reforms. To a significant degree they followed the road map of China state capitalism and land reform. Will Myanmar be able to make the necessary institutional and policy changes that will allow agricultural productivity and the economy to grow. MAYBE over 10 to 20 years. Dont forget that in 1965 there was a general feeling around Los Baos that IRRI would never amount to anything.
19 60 /
Yield (t/ha)
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Source: USDA
Thailand Vietnam
19 19 62 61 1 9 /1 9 64 63 1 9 /1 9 66 65 1 9 /1 9 68 67 1 9 /1 9 70 69 1 9 /1 9 72 71 1 9 /1 9 74 73 1 9 /1 9 76 75 1 9 /1 9 78 77 1 9 /1 9 80 79 1 9 /1 9 82 81 1 9 /1 9 84 83 1 9 /1 9 86 85 1 9 /1 9 88 87 1 9 /1 9 90 89 1 9 /1 9 92 91 1 9 /1 9 94 93 1 9 /1 9 96 95 1 9 /1 9 98 97 2 0 /1 9 00 99 2 0 /2 0 02 01 2 0 /2 0 04 03 2 0 /2 0 06 05 2 0 /2 0 08 07 2 0 /2 0 10 09 /2 01 1
Myanmar
Philippines