Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Module 4A - Thinking in Two Markets - VN
Module 4A - Thinking in Two Markets - VN
Module 4A - Thinking in Two Markets - VN
S dng cc S giao dch C ph Vic hiu r nhng s khc bit gia cc th trng ti chnh v th trng hng ha thc l rt quan trng:
Khc bit
Th trng a phng/ Th trng C ph thc Th trng Ton cu/ Th trngTi chnh
FOB
Quintales
Lbs/pound
* Gi tng lai l gi giao n kho c cp php c ngha l c ph c cho l c giao t im i v n cng n v giao vo kho c cp php. Do dng CIF trong iu kin giao hng.
S giao dch C ph
T duy trn hai th trng
Th trng hng thc
Ngi SX Ngi SX Ngi SX Ngi SX Ngi SX Ngi SX Ngi SX
Cc th trng Ti chnh
Chnh lch c bn (Basis) l s khc bit gia gi c ph trn th trng tng lai v gi c ph thc trn th trng ni a. Ri ro c bn gia tng khi tng quan gia gi ni a v quc t thay i theo thi gian. Chnh lch c bn phn nh cht lng ca c ph ni a so snh vi c ph lm c s tnh gi trn th trng th gii (chnh lch cht lng) s chnh lch ny thay i theo tng khu vc v quc gia. Chnh lch c bn cng phn nh mt lot cc im khc bit gia c ph thc v c ph quy trong hp ng tng lai. V d: gi ca hp ng tng lai thng bao gi cng cao hn gi c ph thc ni a v gi bao gm cc vn chuyn v chi ph giao n kho.
Chnh lch c bn c tnh thi v, v c th gin ra hay co li vo cc thi im khc nhau trong v c ph. Trong mt s trng hp c bit, v th th trng thng thng c th b o ngc, v d trong nhng thi im thiu ht c ph ngn hn trn th trng ni a. Khi c tng quan yu gia hai th trng (khi gi c ph trn th trng ni a v gi trn th trng quc t i theo cc hng khc nhau theo thi gian) th phng nga ri ro bng hedging gi quc t km hiu qu hn.
C
B
Khi khng th thc hin thng v gip lng cho c ph thc th ngi kinh doanh c ph s quay sang S giao dch C ph s dng cc cng c ti kinh doanh nh vi mt i tc Ti chnh cho n khi no tm c i tc Thc cho thng v ca mnh Th trng c ph thc v th trng ti chnh l cc th trng hon ton khc nhau:
Th trng ti chnh cho ta mt sn giao dch xc nh gi v qun l ri ro v gi. Th trng c ph thc l ni hng ha c chuyn giao thc t t ngi ny sang ngi kia theo mt qu trnh bun bn thc.
Hedging v u c
Hedging khng phi l u c. u c bng hp ng tng lai (futures) l vic thc hin cc hp ng tng lai m khng c v th mua/bn tng ng trn th trng c ph thc. Hedging l vic thc hin cc v th gip gim thiu mc ri ro v gi m ngi kinh doanh c ph phi ginh chu. Ngi kinh doanh c ph, ngay t u, khng nn u c bng hp ng tng lai v: u c bng hp ng tng lai lm tng ri ro m khng tng t l li nhun d kin. Ngi kinh doanh thc hin Hedging c th hy vng v th tng lai s lm gim ri ro, nhng khng nn ch i li nhun u n t cc giao dch H tng lai.