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AI AndThe Future of Free Journalism Vf2
AI AndThe Future of Free Journalism Vf2
David Nordfors
Stanford Center for Innovation and Communication Stanford University
Feb. 2011
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Table of Contents
1 INTRODUCTION....................................................................................... ......... 3 2 DEFINING JOURNALISM IN THE DIGITAL AGE ....................................... 7 3 ESTABLISHING THE DNA OF JOURNALISTIC CONTENT........................... 9 3.1 CONTENT BASED IMAGE RETRIEVAL (CBIR) 3.2 VIDEO INFORMATION RETRIEVAL 3.4 THE DNA OF LITERATURE 3.3 HUMAN CENTERED CONTENT ANALYSIS .................................................... 10 ......................................................... 11 ...................................................................... 11 ............................................................................ 12 .......................................................... 12 .................................... 15 ............................................... 15
4 JOURNALISM CONTENT AND CONSUMER ENGAGEMENT..................... 12 4.1 THE CONCEPT OF MEDIA ENGAGEMENT 4.2 BEHAVIORAL TARGETING AND JOURNALISTIC CONTENT 4.3 BEHAVIORAL TARGETING IN SOCIAL NETWORKS 4.4 PROJECT SMART PUSH
................................................................................ 16 ...... 17
5 AI: DIGITAL IDENTITIES AND BEHAVIORAL TARGETING ENGINE 5.1 MANAGING DIGITAL IDENTITIES DEVELOPING A UNIVERSAL STANDARD 5.2 DIGITAL IDENTITIES AND SOCIAL NETWORKS 5.3 SOCIO-GENETICS AND DIGITAL IDENTITY CONSUMER DIGITAL IDENTITY 21 7 DIGITAL IDENTITIES AND THE PRACTICE OF JOURNALISM .................. 22 8 PRINCIPLES OF JOURNALISM AND DIGITAL IDENTITIES........................ 24 8.1 PRINCIPLES FOR USING DIGITAL IDENTITIES FOR JOURNALISM .......................... 25 ......... 25 8.2 NEED FOR FURTHER DISCUSSION BETWEEN STAKEHOLDERS IN SOCIETY .......... 17
.................................................... 18 ....................................................... 19
5.4 BEHAVIORAL TARGETING AI ENGINE BASED ON JOURNALISTIC CONTENT AND ................................................................................ 20 6 DIGITAL IDENTITIES AND W EBLINING......................................................
1. Introduction
Computer-assisted intelligence is part of life: augmented intelligencei of individuals using personal computers and collective intelligence of groups when networking. Finally, there is Artificial Intelligence (AI), when computers act intelligently without human interaction, mimicking human intelligence (Turing, 1950) These intelligences are blending and converging. Augmented individual intelligence, Collective intelligence and AI are co-evolving. The Internet is becoming part of our minds and our minds are becoming part of the Internet. Journalism is part of IT-assisted intelligence. Personal computing entered journalism in the 80s, the Internet in the 90s, and we are now seeing the explosion of social interaction enter journalism, ranging from reader comments to crowdsourcing.
The interaction between journalism, the Internet and social interaction is familiar and intensely discussed, helping us understand how journalism can help increase our collective intelligence. Here we study how AI may contribute through algorithms being developed for rating news, based on mixing systems for aggregating crowd opinions (collective intelligence) and smart algorithms for contextual analysis (AI). Ratings help control societal systems. Any recognized rating method influences societal development; people will try to improve their ratings. A rating that changes peoples lives represents a complex issue. Even if everyone finds a rating annoying and counterproductive, it will still influence the system, given that people think others recognize the rating. Indeed, journalism must scrutinize and challenge rating systems and explore alternatives. Intelligent algorithms rating journalism, such as TechMemeii, strive to share in public perception of which tech journalism matters more than others. This may incent journalism to optimize stories to rank high. This is only one example of how AI is co-evolving with journalism. Journalisms role is to focus attention on stories that interest the public. For journalism to remain meaningful, it should also empower the audience. So how does it interact with individuals augmented intelligence, societys collective intelligence and machine AI? Ideally, journalism raises intelligenceempowering the audienceas it uses higher intelligence around it, i.e. the audience and the machines. AI algorithms are changing professional journalism and related academic research. AI is penetrating journalisms traditional pillars: journalistic content (via automatic content analysis in all media formats and delivery systems) and advertising (by measuring consumer attention and targeting ads per user digital identity or personality, measured by behavior). Both content and advertising are changing dramatically. The new media and AI technology based on computings growing power are the change agents. Interactive new media is permitting, for the first time, accurate measurement of the attention each user gives to journalistic content. Advertisers will demand full validation of consumer ratings. Existing measuring methods will
5 vanish. Fierce competition will arise in selling consumer attention to advertisers, whose ROI (Return On Investment) will determine the fate of channels for advertising, including journalism paid by ads, across all media formats. Journalistic content is undergoing major changes via interactive platforms that make media content available continually, everywhere. Until recently, the mass media for distributing content were controlled by the same companies that produced content. The traditional business model for news and entertainment included controlling and bundling both medium and content. But with the Internet, a new generation of media incumbents is arising. Companies such as Twitter, Facebook or Google consciously avoid producing content. They do not do journalism; they only provide access to journalism. Journalism is separating from the media (Nordfors, 2008)iii. The latest generation of producers of journalism is no longer involved in the processes or infrastructures of mass communication. They focus on producing content and publishing on-line, delivering it via the infrastructures of the new content-neutral media entities. The Huffington Post and TechCrunch, started as blogs, are now large and important publications, without controlling the infrastructure for spreading content. Traditional media spend hugely to measure readerships, estimating their sizes and attention probabilities and creating statistics and probabilities for advertisers. On the Internet, the new media offer content producers and advertisers not probabilities but hard data: which user looked at what, where, when and for how long. Advertisers know if a reader clicked their ad. Traditional media ads are indiscriminate, broadcast to all consumers and costing the same, regardless of how many people pay attention or act. The Internet enables contextual advertising, where advertisements shown to each user are selected and served by automated systems based on content displayed to the user. Monitoring users and adapting content and ads to individuals is revolutionizing content, media and marketing. In a digital-interactive world, marketing must account for media spending. The ROI in advertising and targeting content is becoming a science, driving development of advertising, media and content. In 2007, global ad spending was estimated at $385Biv, equal to the 2008 GDP of the worlds 26th largest economyv.
Targeting content per consumer digital identity will require AI engines to analyze multi-dimensional content vs. attributes of the engaging experience and a consumers total beingrelate human DNA, content DNA and context DNA (attempts to identify successful music and literature DNA already exist). Research in biology, genetics and psychology that explore and identify links between individuals genetic codes, cognitive attributes and pro-/anti-social behavior is merging with data mining relating to Web 2.0 social-network activities aimed at consumer profiling. Digital Identities will integrate a person's genetic code with data derived from web clicks. People will pay with privacy for social networks benefits. New AI algorithms analyze contenttext, video, audio and still imagesto annotate (tag) content automatically. Global efforts are creating unified digitalidentity standards to individuals and use AI engines to target, code and annotate content automatically vs. digital identity. This will affect journalistic content significantly and may revolutionize journalism and its academic research. Journalism must adapt and investigate new business models (Lemelshtrich Latar & Nordfors, 2009)vi. In this article, we describe digital identities and new global standards for digital identities, the use of social networks, genetics and virtual worlds for creating digital identities and the new AI research being used for adapting content to digital identities. Scientists are converting journalistic content to math formulations (signatures) to understand content and context. We probe the popular concept of media engagement and its derivativesbehavioral targeting, contextual targeting, and how AI is used in social networks to target content and ads. An AI engine that can filter and target journalistic content based on the consumers digital identity, to maximize the ROI of every dollar spent on advertising will be described. We highlight some concerns and discuss how using digital identities and AI can be complex versus current journalistic principles. We stress the need for ethical principles in using digital identities in journalism, and suggest examples of such principles. We issue a call for stakeholders to jointly explore the potential effects of AI algorithms on the journalism profession and journalism's role in a democratic
journalist noun, a person who writes for newspapers or magazines or prepares news or features to be broadcast on radio or television.
Ironically, the on-line dictionary does not include the Internet in the list of media. But merely including the Internet would not save the definition. Now everybody can broadcast news over the Internet, but that does not make everybody who does it a journalist. Until now, there have been communication infrastructures for one-to-many communicationmedia, and one-to-one communicationtelephone. One-to-many communication has been seen as the media, mainly journalism and entertainment, where publishers are responsible for broadcasting and consumers have no responsibilitythey can choose to receive the broadcast or not. One-to-one communication, mainly telephone, has not been considered media but personal conversations, mediated by an impartial infrastructure and telecom service provider. Nobody is responsible for the entire communication, the responsibility lies between the interacting parties. With the Internet there is no longer a difference between infrastructure used for one-to-one or one-to-many communication. Whats more, it enables many-to-many communication. Web 1.0 spread the one-to-many communication possibility beyond the media. Everybody could publish. Web 2.0 introduces many-to-many communication. Now the crowd can publish together. The new media companies the ones not providing their own contenthave no problems with this. In trying to preserve their practices and identities, old media companies tend to
8 hold on to dated one-to-many media technologies. Their business models, based on controlling the medium and the content, have been difficult to move to the Internet. In cases where new business models for ads have succeeded, such as Google, eBay or Craigslist, the brokering of ads is not integrated with the practice of journalism. Journalisms essence is described in principles of journalism, as suggested by the Pew Research Centers Project for Excellence in Journalism (PEJ) and the Committee of Concerned Journalistsviii: 1. Journalisms first obligation is to the truth; 2. Its first loyalty is to the citizens; 3. Its essence is a discipline of verification; 4. Its practitioners must maintain independence from those they cover; 5. It must serve as an independent monitor of power; 6. It must provide a forum for public criticism and compromise; 7. It must strive to make the significant interesting and relevant; 8. It must keep the news comprehensive and proportional; 9. Its practitioners must be allowed to practice their personal conscience. These principles remain, even when we no longer know what the media are. Consider a new, short definition of journalism, separating it from the media, connecting journalistic principles based on the relation between journalism and its audience, rather than on its relation to the communications medium it uses (which is what is causing the confusion today). Take, for example, the following suggestion (Nordfors, 2009)
Journalism is the production of news and feature stories, bringing public attention to issues that interest the public. Journalism gets its mandate from the audience.
Journalism must act on behalf of its audience, not its sources or advertisers. Journalism often has business models based on attention work (Nordfors, 2006). generating and brokering attention, such as selling ads. Therefore, much journalism is attention work performed with a mandate from the audience. When attention work is done with a mandate from the sources, it is public relations and publicity, not
9 journalism. Journalisms role as agenda-setter of public debate (as described by McCombs and Shaw in their agenda-setting theory [1972]) depends on journalisms ability to focus public attention on issues that interest the public. This is for many a raison-detre for journalism; it requires a business model that incentivizes focusing public attention. Business models for journalism based on brokering knowledge, not attention - such as newsletters - do not necessarily incentivize broad public attention and may dis-incentivize it. Who will pay a high price for a newsletter containing information already known to the public, and probably available on the Internet? The central question for journalisms survival as an independent business is not how to adapt to the Internet but what new business models will satisfy journalistic principles in the innovation economy.
10 content automatically searches for consumers based on their digital identities. But first we describe current research on automatic knowledge retrieval from journalism multimedia content. Most research tools used by the different communities aim at dividing content into small content digital units, analyzing them, tagging these sub-content units and then carrying an integrative analysis to conceptualize the entire content meaningfully for the consumers. Some researchers convert the visual content into mathematical formulations that can then be subjected to analysis employing AI algorithms (Jeon, Laverenko, and Mammatha, 2007).
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13 the competition for consumer attention fierce and complex. The journalism industry now needs to develop new ways to measure consumer attention in multiple parameters, including the consumer cognitive and behavioral profiles and context parameters. The interactive nature of the new media platforms begins to allow for scientific measurement of consumer attention along personal dimensions. In this new battle for consumer attention the concept of engagement, a relatively new term, is being used to describe the new relations between consumers and journalistic content. The Advertising Research Council (ARC) has devised the following definition of media engagement: Engagement is turning on a prospect to a brand idea enhanced by the surrounding context the working definition proposed by ARC encapsulates the ultimate objective of linking positive effects towards a brand with brand advertising within the environment of the program content" (Kilger, and Romer, 2007). Context within which content is delivered is becoming of prime importance. Kilger
14 The personal parameters Kilger and Romer examined were those traditionally used in socialscience research: gender, age, education, income, race and marital status. Age, income and race mattered. In the TV and Internet, people with lower education expressed higher levels of trust in the media and older people reported lower engagement. The finding that personal attributes affect media engagement is, as can be expected, of great relevance regarding digital identities. Digital identities are valuable to advertisers who will not hesitate to take advantage of them once available on a large scale and accessible automatically. The road to influence journalistic content in the direction of higher consumer engagement is short. Kilger
and Romer considered a limited number of personal parameters, as a larger number was too
many to fill within the space constraints of this article." (ibid). The Internet offers ways to measure and broker not only consumer attention and engagement but also consumer interaction. A pay-per-click model does this, as advertisers will pay not for being visible but for consumer clicks, an action. This can be taken further. For example, a click on an ad will usually lead to a sales site and may result in further interaction between the consumer and the vendor, including a purchase. So ads, thus journalistic content, could in principle be paid by finders fees. This could, however, introduce business incentives for journalists that might jeopardize journalistic principles. To convert the content-engagement/product-purchase relations into a science requires the analysis of many variables including contextual ones, and requires automation and the introduction of artificial intelligence: Excelling during an era of frugality in high expectations requires digital marketers to be accountable for every dollarThe ROI focus will force agencies to improve effectiveness and we see increased dependence on automation recent shifts [in the liberal direction] in user privacy perceptions have created a window for marketers to use AI to run efficient campaigns."
(ibid). The ultimate goal of engagement as perceived by the advertising industry is to target advertisements to consumers based on contextual and personal parameters as listed by the Kilger group: cognition, emotions and behavior. This today is being done and researched in the new media channels, termed Behavioral Targeting' by academic researchers, journalists and the advertising industry.
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16 identify sociograms among members and identify for advertisers the more influential members and the viral propagators by studying message dynamics. Universal Pictures is using 33Across to study how people share studio trailers or content with their friends (ibid). Other companies that started to use behavioral targeting on social networks for marketing advertisements include Reverence Science and Tacoda Systems (bought by AOL, now a full subsidiary). Yahoo launched SmartAds, to combine behavioral information with demographic data for targeting ads. Behavioral targeting ad spending is projected at $1B in 2010, growing to $3.8B by 2011 (Mills, 2007). Behavioral targeting raises serious privacy issues discussed extensively in academic literature and political circles. The issue of privacy vis-a-vis consumer profiling is beyond the scope of this paper. Tim Berners-Lee, credited with inventing the World Wide Web, spoke before the U.K. parliament on privacy and the Internet. He said that he came to raise awareness to the technical, legal and ethical implications of the interception and profiling by ISPs in collaboration with behavioral targeting companies. (Watson, 2009). He continued: It is very important that when you click, you click without a thought that a third party knows what we are clicking on I have come here to defend the Internet as a medium. (ibid). But surveys by TRUSTe (a privacy company) shows that the public show a willingness to submit to monitoring and enhanced content delivery. (Olsen, 2008). This is a remarkable finding that should be followed.
17 When a powerful research institute like SRI promotes concepts like Smart Push, news media, when rating is king, will adjust journalistic content to fit consumers digital profiles. This may be done by using an AI engine to filter or webline services based on digital identities.
surfers on various platforms and management of those identities; and it allows mobilizing various parts of the surfers identity definition, defined on different social networks, and merging them into one virtual profile. The standard was successfully assimilated in financial organizations, academic institutions, the American electronic government and more. Adoption of international standards for defining digital identities is significant. It will enable researchers to follow surfers in any site in cyberspace and carry out widespread studies on the connection between the users digital identities and their personalities, fields of interest and cognitive abilities. Every surfer has a uniquely dynamic way of surfingderived from the person's ability to make decisions,
18 memory and additional cognitive factorsrendered to automatic cognitive diagnosis through AI algorithms. Soon AI algorithms will be able to construct a personal digital identity for every person performing actions on the Internet. Data-mining robots will be able to analyze texts, video and audio contents and transform them into sociological DNA (SDNA) that will describe the individual personality (Lemelshtrich Latar, 2004). Constructing the digital identity is a dynamic process updated as long as the person is active on the Web.
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The mind and the body hang together, and science is constantly improving the knowledge about it. We know today that social behavior is linked to genetics. Understanding these connections, and how they work in a social context, is powerful for constructing digital identities and can be valuable for analyzing the body, mind and ecosystem surrounding them: society. So information about peoples genetic codes may be as rewarding for constructing digital identities as the information from social networks. Research and instrumentation for mapping mans genetic code, gene sequencing, are developing rapidly at leading research institutes and large commercial companies worldwide. Their main objective is to identify genes associated with hereditary diseases and to develop medication based on genetic treatment. Since the completion of the Human Genome Project in 2001, commercial competition has arisen between companies for producing machines that map the genetic code of man. The main research project in this field is the Personal Genome Project.
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The connection between genes and human traits, and the entry of information-age giants such as Google and leading research centers such as Harvard and Cornell into the field of genetic research, should close the knowledge research gaps much faster. The large volume of participants in these studies, the vast databases holding participants digital identities and data mining peoples social behavior on the Internet, together with the use of smart algorithms is helping science to begin to predict social behavior, both pro-social and anti-social, according to the genetic mapping of humanity.
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5.4 Behavioral Targeting AI Engine Based on Journalistic Content and Consumer Digital Identity
The behavioral-targeting AI engine above outlines the basic information-flow elements that will automatically analyze journalistic content in all platforms and transmit relevant content and advertisements to consumers per their digital Identities.
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The model shows a dynamic learning model constantly updated as it learns the consumer profile and content preferences. Unknown factors are expressed by probabilities constantly updated in the learning process. Journalistic content will be monitored constantly as consumers interact and make choices. The AI engine will also monitor context parameters and consumers emotional state during interaction by analyzing verbal or other reactions. A brief description of the information flow: Step One: All journalistic content is analyzed by AI smart algorithms and receive automatic annotations (tags); Step Two: Consumers digital identities and annotated content are fed to the Assessment Rule Engine for initial content determination; proper ads are sent to consumers based on their profiles; Step Three: Consumers interact with the content and advertisements; this interactivity is monitored constantly and consumer attention measured; Step Four: The Learning Engine analyzes consumer feedback and automatically adjusts the probabilities to better describe consumer behavior; new content is sent to consumers; Step Five: The Learning Engine transmits updated information to a Personal Memory database where a consumer media profile is created and constantly updated; Steps four and five continue indefinitely to allow the AI engine to accurately predict consumer content and product interests/choices in varying contextsthe Learning Process section.
22 where lenders and other businesses mark neighborhoods off limits. Cyber space doesnt have geography but thats no impediment to weblining [] weblining may permanently close doors to you or your business." (Sterpanek, 2000). New York University sociologist Marshall Blonsky adds to the meaning of weblining: If I am weblined and judged to be of minimum value, I will never have the product and services channeled to me or the economic opportunities that flow to others over the net." (ibid). Digital identity is at the core of weblining. Though the emphasis of Stepanek and Blonsky is on economic aspects of commercial organizations, the described phenomenon is also true in spreading journalistic content based on profiling. The economic forcesadvertisers and the journalism organizationscannot be expected to show altruism and create mechanisms to protect our right to equal accessibility to content. More seriously, no one can protect us from the effects of the need to target content per consumer profiles on the quality of journalistic content.
23 stories and paid advertising, will blur. For example, consider a situation where readers use their digital identities, combined with a series of filters, to select news stories they want to be brought to their attention. Lets say the quality of filters and digital identities is good enough to estimate both the chance that a story will catch the reader attention and the chance it will lead to action by the reader. Now consider a set of contextual advertisers (these can also be digital identities) that will pay for attention and interaction with readers. Consider a journalist with access to these digital identities and filters, as well as access to the contextual advertisers, when writing a story. The journalist can test the story on digital identities representing both audience and advertisers as the story is written. The journalist can adjust the writing to receive the best results, a combination of what the journalist, the audience wants and the advertisers want. Consider, finally, that the journalists own digital identity will be included in the interaction, The journalists digital identity is combined with a set of filters for selecting themes that the journalist wishes to cover, connected to readers and advertisers digital identities, and exposed to a news ticker type flow of events, e.g. all the twitter feeds, the blogosphere and all the other news feeds on the Internet. It can be data flow from stock markets, sensors measuring weather or earthquakes etc. The journalist can then be tipped off about events that will produce suitable matching between his/her own interests, and the interests of the audience and advertisers. Thus producing a successful story is equal to solving a dynamic equation involving the journalist, the audience and the business model, e.g. the advertiser. Producing a journalistic story while guided by the interaction between the digital identities and the filters can be seen as an iterative, heuristic solution of the equation, identifying overlapping interests and optimizing the combined actions into a result maximizing value for each party. In each interaction, real-life users behind the digital identities give feedback, reinforcing or modifying digital identities and filters actions, to improve the outcome in the next round.
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These are only quick, simple examples of types of issues that need to be considered while developing systems of digital identities and filters for journalism.
26 Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI). Dr Horvitz of Microsoft, who organized the meeting, said he believed computer scientists must respond to the notions of superintelligent machines and artificial intelligence run amok the panel was seeking ways to guide research so that technology improved society rather than move it toward technological catastrophe" (ibid). It is time to organize a similar conference with computer scientists, AI experts, academic researchers in the area of multimedia information retrieval, journalism professionals and experts, social communication experts and economists who specialize in media business models, to explore the potential effects of AI algorithms on the journalism profession and its role in a democratic society. Some of the questions to be explored: 1. Will people control or be controlled by their digital identities? 2. How will the definition of journalism be influenced by digital identities? 3. With the Internet, journalism is no longer only broadcasting but also interacting with readerships and facilitating public discussions. What is the role of journalism in society? 4. How will journalistic principles be affected by interaction between digital identities? 5. Which business models are enabled by digital identities? To what extent will journalists be attention workers, paid by brokering the readership attention to advertisers; to what extent will they be knowledge workers, paid by brokering knowledge? 6. What are suitable principles for journalism, in a situation where interaction with and between digital identities guides the production of journalism, the ways it generates value for people, and the ways it creates profits for the journalism industry? 7. What is the match between journalism and journalistic business models? 8. How will journalistic principles and matching business models be updated? 9. How are journalistic principles, and the process for updating them, be implemented in an environment of digital identities?
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ii
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iii
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vii
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