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What GOP & Obama Can't Say About Job Market - Forbes

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Forbes

Kenneth Rapoza, Contributor


Covering Brazil, Russia, India & China.

INVESTING

/12/08/2011

2:44PM

/ 1,354

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What GOP & Obama Can't Say About Job Market


Washington political leaders can't say it, but the Oprah Winfrey of Main Street investing can. Wednesday night on the Joy Behar show, Suze Orman said that the .obs lost du . g the Great R .on that started in 2008 will - for the most part never come back. It's not just because the jobs are being moved to lower wage nations. It's mostly because of productivity gains. "Before the 2008, I had a secretary who booked all my travel arrangements and engagements. I had to let her go in the recession. But now I don't need her anymore. I can do it myself," she said, pushing her Suze bangs over her ear. Americans have become more roductive. Hiring managers know they can get 4f'c two for one. Where they cannot, technology will undercut the need for more workers. Cutting taxes on the so-called job creators isn't the answer. Class warfare is a good emotional drama for the 2012 campaign season, but there is ample evidence to suggest that there is no correlation between lo~r taxes and emplOYment. In the early 1990S, the U.S. government raised \ CY-' personal and corporate income tax rates and the country had around 5% unemployment. Brazil has some of the highest corporate tax rates in the world, and historically low unemployment over the last several years.
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Michigan does not have a corporate income tax. But most of the automotive manufacturing jobs lost in Detroit are gone for good. Those jobs that remain or will come online in the years ahead won't come with the same pension benefits previous employees enjoyed. Cities like Detroit are the modern day C.u' 1<:\ &1 equivalent of the Oklahoma farm towns during the Great Depression. Then, C "",' like now, the U.S. economy underwent a structural shift in the job market. Like the tectonic activity caused by an earthquake, when the plates shift, there is no going back to where they were before. Here in Massachusetts, one of the three richest states in the country, the factory hubs of Bristol County have been turned into retirement homes. An

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