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&'( 37/37
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
0 .1+
2+3 .4'2%5
3) 4?H+(0< %&0<4Hs+3 5$ C.00&04Hs+3, GDP, GNP, C.00=s&04Hs+3
($0, ( , =-00), M4Hs+3A33-, M0+, M.
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%$%&04Hs+3, $0-&0<4Hs+3
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
0 .1+
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
0 .1+
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- Operating Leverage
- Business Risk
Liability
o
o
Equity
o
o
Short term
Long term
Financial Leverage
Financial Risk
Common stock
Retain earning
Financial
Investment
- $0<: 0<
;, 0+<%'%
;%$, D/E ratio %'.$&$;, Net worth
Equity I
I
2) 0/;<& (Income Statement)
Sales
Less: Cost
EBIDA
Less : Depreciation + Amortization
EBIT
Less : Interest rate
EBT
Less : Tax rate
Net Income before Preferred stocking
Less : Preferred stocking
Net Income
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
&'( 40/40
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
0 .1+
2+3 .4'2%5
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX (A)
I-5'$0>?0A5; 00+&
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(;<%)
(A5;) <:, ',<$;<% ,$0;
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a. 0+&
%',&'A( 5A</+0&2+ (Net operating working capital): I-<K0 0K:+
C<,=+313 EBIT Operating Assets
:./1:
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0+3K:0& .$A53$,&'(;<%C<, -C%-+
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< ',
%(
3-<
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NOPAT = EBIT (1-Tax rate)
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:./1:
FCF = NOPAT Investment
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EVA = NOPAT & 00+&
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&'( 41/41
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
0 .1+
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&'( 42/42
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
0 .1+
2+3 .4'2%5
>6
$ ) / &0/0$+
Day Sales Outstanding (DSO) DSO = Receivables / Average sales per day
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= Receivables / (Sales/360)
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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0 .1+
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
0 .1+
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Price/Earnings ratio (P/E ratio) P/E ratio = Price per share / Earning per share
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(-H! = 53)
Price/Cash Flow ratio
P/CF ratio = Price per share /
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Book Value / share
BV / share = Equity / share outstanding
6)
Dupont
Net Income
Total Assets
Sales
ROE =
Sales
Total Assets
Common Equity
Equity Multiplier
$
$
%&'
&'( 45/45
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
0 .1+
2+3 .4'2%5
i
Systematic risk
$$
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K^ = I=1-n KiPi
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risk
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&'( 46/46
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
0 .1+
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Portfolio
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-
+,& > KRF & > SML line
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(
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&'( 47/47
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
0 .1+
2+3 .4'2%5
&'( 48/48
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
0 .1+
2+3 .4'2%5
()#%
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f
3
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--
&'( 49/49
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
0 .1+
2+3 .4'2%5
Inverse floaters: I-S0+&'(% ' -< ', ,-%<-5' -< ', O?0( -K & 0-S
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MBA Comprehensive
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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2. Premium bonds: =-2-&'(%'.:0$ Par value +<?% ( -K &&'(
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&'( 52/52
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
0 .1+
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Premium
bond
Par bond
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bond
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N =
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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0 .1+
2+3 .4'2%5
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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o Closely Held Corporations: %'3 0 2-3 . IK:+
0.9
o Publicly Owned Corporations: +H-&%
5&'%( '
3/% K:>
;%$;<IK:+
<, 0
o Over-the-Counter Market (OTC): <&'(I$ (%'3<
&',)
o M& 0O ,
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Ks= -K &&'( 03
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T =
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0.93A
0+<I/;3
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-3
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A5- 0.9&'(/-0+C
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$
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
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Dividend
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%% -(. 3<&'( WACC %'.$ (/&'(<&/A
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.$8'(,G;<
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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& 0
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-0
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Kp = Dp / PN : (%)
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K &3:0
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%$ (Ke)
DCF=Ks=K^s=(D1/g)+expected g
%( expected g= beta(ROE)
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3 &'(3;%$3$,K$/;0&$ =( A
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A5=( /
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%%
0 0.9A5IR
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<- -< ',
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$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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Rate of Return
(%)
WAC
C
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#
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rate
Risk
Low
Risk
AVG
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High
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o N
',( -& 00+&
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3) N
./1& 00+&
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%% <:$30&&$A<<,:,% (%) $ 03 0 (%) C<, 0%'& 00+& (WACC)
(/&'(<$ A
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% Cost of Capital
Cost of Equity
Stock price
Maximum Stock
price
WACC
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%Debt
&'( 58/58
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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FVn= PV (1+I)
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PV = %:.$33-
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N = 3/@
PVn = FVn / (1+I)n
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PV = %:.$33-
FV = %:.$A .
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<3$,&B0<
FVAn(Due)= PMT (FVIFAi,n)(1+i)
PVn = FVn / (1+I)n
1) Ordinary Annuity: /
<3$,&
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PVAn(Oridinary)= PMT (PVIFAi,n)
2) Annuity Due: /
<3$,&B0<
PVAn(Due)= PMT (PVIFAi,n)(1+i)
Perpetuities
PV = PMT / i
%( PMT = 3$,K
I = -$<
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6
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FVIF
PVIF
1) FVIFA i,n
2) FVIFA i,n
1) PVIFAi,n
PVIF I,n
FVIF I,n
&'( 59/59
- 0+<&'(;<- 3%$@.-0
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-
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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0 .1+
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&'( 60/60
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
0 .1+
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o &'/ &-$
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&'( 61/61
$
)
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$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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o C.0&'(&<&-;< (Mutually exclusive project): ;<=',0 1 C.0
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Net Present Value: NPV
0
=+31.%%>A5/< ',.0+ (.%&)
+
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Internal rate of return: IRR
+
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5.6.2 Constant Growth stock valuation Model: P^0 = D1 / (Ks g)
7
D1
P^0 =
>
>
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6
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o Bird-In-the-hand Theory (Myron Gordon & John Linter): -0&,+<'3-0+KO?(0.+<$%'%:.$
%$/;3.
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&'( 62/62
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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, # "0$(
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&'( 63/63
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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5.6.5
Undervalue = 0$(
#
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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Step 1
Step 2
Step 3
Step 4
Step 5
Step 6
Step 5
Step 6
Step 5
Step 6
Step 7
Step 8
&'( 66/66
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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5.9.3
<
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<&'($
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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1)
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3)
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5.10.6
1)
2)
3)
&'( 69/69
$0 , .%',( 0&0<% 0 <-0-+H-&%5+ 0=+31C &'(30&'( G+.A
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$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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MBA Comprehensive
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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Environment
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&
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External
Environment
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Environment
Task
Environment
.
"
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Internal
Environment
The Seven Os
and Ws
Value Chain
Black Box
Buying motives
#
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Product
Price
Place
Promotio
n
Implementation
&'( 73/73
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
+&,-,%./
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(Want) "$ #;
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$#-)-$
&'( 74/74
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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4) .1.$&0<M=-H19 (Image Value): M=-H19 0 0.9A,:.
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Growth Stage
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MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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-
&'( 76/76
03:0A3&'( +<3-K+M-1J9 (Product buying motives): <,03:0A3-=s (Primary buying motives)
03:0A3AO K+M-1J9- (Selective buying motives)
03:0A3&'( +<3
K (Rational buying motives): .%
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$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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4. h*,*
6*,&7(f
(William J. Stanton):
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Group forces
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forces
0 .
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Information
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&'( 153/153
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<I- % =( /; plot 0A GE Matrix (>;%$-(0A
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Internal Factors
1. Market share
2. Share growth
3. Product quality
4. Brand reputation
5. Distribution network
6. Promotional effectiveness
7. Productive capacity
8. Unit Cost
9. Material supplies
10. R&D performance
11. Managerial personal
Total
&'( 154/154
A
B
C
1
3
5
A1
B3
C5
1.00
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2) Grand Strategy
Strength
IFAS
Weakness
Quarter-1
Growth Strategy
Quarter-2
Stability Strategy
Quarter-3
Stability Strategy
Quarter-4
Retrenchment Strategy
Opportunity
EFAS
Threats
Question Mark:
Growth Strategy
Concentration
o Vertical
o Horizontal
Diversification
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Dogs:
Retrenchment Strategy
Turnaround
Captive company
Sell-out / Divestment
Bankruptcy / Liquidation
&'( 155/155
MBA Comprehensive
$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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Growth Strategy:
Diversification
Stability Strategy: Profit
Stability Strategy
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Stability Strategy
Retrenchment Strategy:
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Retrenchment Strategy:
Bankruptcy/Liquidation
&'( 156/156
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,
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&'( 157/157
Low Cost
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Customer Solution
Cost of Customer
Convenience
Communication
Caring
Completion
Comfort
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Product
Price
Place
Promotion
People
Process
Physical Evidence
&'( 158/158
MBA Comprehensive
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o
o
o
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Turnaround specialist
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Professional liquidator
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$%&'( 1 $ 10 %
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0 .1+
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&'( 161/161
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0 .1+
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&'( 162/162
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