Polynomials: Extrapolation and Curve-Fitting Project

Mozambique

John Ortega Mark Mendez Algebra II, Period 6 December 2, 2011 PART I: DATA QUESTIONS
1.

Write down the equation to the line. y = -148x3 + 1,611x2 + 6,442x + 25,016

What curve did you choose as best fit (quadratic, cubic, quartic, quintic)? The function that best fit our data was cubic.
2.

How many new HIV cases have you predicted in the next 5 years (with 5 years of data)? Does this number make sense? Why or why not? We predict that there will be 100,000 new HIV cases in 2000. This is a valid number because if they do something to help HIV it should go down.
3.

4.(How many new HIV cases have you predicted in the next 5 years (with 20 years of data)? Does this number make sense? Why or why not? We predict that there will be 135,000 new HIV cases in 2013. This number could make sense because the number of new cases may increase if they do nothing to stop HIV.

PART II: ARTICLE QUESTIONS (3-4 Complete sentences per question)

1.

What are the major factors for the spread of HIV in your selected country? The major factors for the spread of HIV in Mozambique are the civil war that occurred from 1977-1992. It destroyed nearly 50% of Mozambiques public health sector. The country only had 3 doctors left for all the citizens of Mozambique What has been done to decrease the number of new cases? Mozambique has been testing pregnant women for HIV before having the baby. They also counsel the women on HIV so they are more aware. The organization Africare is providing the citizens with agriculture, water, more doctors, and emergency care.

2.

What are some of the barriers that contribute to the spread of HIV? Some barriers are that fro every 100,000 people there are only 21 nurses which isnt enough. Also, there are only registered doctors for the whole population of Mozambique. 4. What are your suggestions for this country that could effectively help reduce the number of new cases? We suggested that they build more adult schools dedicated to learning about HIV. This will give them more knowledge on HIV. This will also prevent them from believing myths. They should also build schools for teenagers so they can also know about safe sex.
3.

PART III: WHITE PAPER

1. 2.

Overview- Summarize findings from articles. Use Article Questions as a Guide Contributing factors- summarize factors SPECIFIC to your country that have contributed to the increase or decline. Data analysis- Copy and paste your table. Explain in words what trends are present. Predictions- Copy and paste graph for 20 years in the future. Explain in words what the graph illustrates. Recommendations- Suggest possible future actions that can be taken or continued based on their effectiveness.

3.

4.

5.

SAMPLE:
1

WHITE PAPER: Women and HIV/AIDS

_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

The Feminization of AIDS (Overview) Two decades ago, AIDS first came to the worlds attention as a mysterious infection among gay males. Today, AIDS has the face of a woman. The disease now infects and affects more women than ever before, accounting for nearly half the 40 million people living with HIV worldwide.
2

Contributing factors While a variety of economic, legal, cultural, religious, political, biological and sexual factors make women more vulnerable to HIV/AIDS than men, pervasive gender inequality is at the root of the spread of the pandemic, especially in developing countries. The many and varied links between this inequity and increased vulnerability to HIV infection among women and girls has been well documented. Furthermore, cultural and/or social norms often restrict womens access to basic information about sexual and reproductive health.
12 13 14

Even if women have access to information, these gender norms prescribe an unequal and more passive role for women in sexual decision-making; make women vulnerable to sexual coercion; and prevent them from insisting on abstinence or condom use by their male partners. In addition, women bear the triple jeopardy of the disease: As infected-persons; as mothers of infected children; and as caregivers of partners, parents or orphans with AIDS.
15 16

Data Analysis The number of women and girls living with HIV continues to steadily increase worldwide. In 2008, 15.7 million women were living with HIV/AIDS compared to 15.4 million in 2007 and with 13.8 million in 2001. The prevalence of HIV infection in women is most marked in sub-Saharan Africa where 60 percent of the people living with HIV are female.5
3 4

HIV is the leading cause of death and disease among women of reproductive age (15-49 years) worldwide.
8

In Southern Africa, prevalence among young women aged 15-24 years living with HIV is on average about three times higher than among men of the same age. In 2005, African-American and Latina women represented 24 percent of all U.S. women, but accounted for 82 percent of the total AIDS diagnoses that year. Predictions Unless the global and national communities respond immediately to the pandemic, women face a bleak future: more and more women infected and dying; more women exhausted from caring for the ill and dying; boys and girls continuing to be orphaned with the girl-child especially vulnerable to sexual exploitation; more women caring for orphans; widows driven from their homes, deprived of land and inheritance rights; and families, especially women, with little hope of escaping poverty.
17

Recommendations In order to reverse the spread of AIDS among women and girls and lessen the effects of the disease, women and girls must have greater control over their decisions, bodies and lives, as well as a greater say in their governments and public policies.91 As such, realistic strategies that address the triple challenge of poverty, gender inequality and HIV/AIDS must be found. These include: addressing womens social and economic disempowerment; ending violence against women; educating women and girls; and involving men and boys. It is very hard for a HIV-positive woman to access services if she lives in poverty, because not only does poverty weaken her body, but her mind and soul as well. Our Rights, Our Realities International Community of Women Living with HIV/AIDS

PART IV: GPS Reflection (1 from each team member)

Team Member A Reflection
1.

Please provide a detailed summary describing the artifact and its purpose. Identify and list the GLPO(s) that were satisfied in completing this artifact. In addition, please explain how these GLPO(s) were met by specifically referring to the examples or evidence from the artifact. (Please specifically refer to the indicators within each domain, and do not simply state that you Took Action or Communicated Ideas.) What skills and concepts were learned throughout the process of completing this artifact? Looking back on the process of completing this artifact, what might you do differently if you were able to recreate or revise the final product? How has process of completing this artifact positively affected your future?

2.

3.

4.

Team Member B Reflection

1.

Please provide a detailed summary describing the artifact and its purpose. Identify and list the GLPO(s) that were satisfied in completing this artifact. In addition, please explain how these GLPO(s) were met by specifically referring to the examples or evidence from the artifact. (Please specifically refer to the indicators within each domain, and do not simply state that you Took Action or Communicated Ideas.) What skills and concepts were learned throughout the process of completing this artifact? Looking back on the process of completing this artifact, what might you do differently if you were able to recreate or revise the final product? How has process of completing this artifact positively affected your future?

2.

3.

4.

*Extra Credit* (+5 points)

Find a nonprofit or non-governmental organization (NGO) to helps with the prevention of HIV in your country. Type up the following: 1. Name of organization 2. Location (address) 3. Mission Statement 4. Services they provide/offer 5. Website (url)