The markets are currently experiencing extreme volatility, and asset prices have declined substantially. While current markets offer attractive buying opportunities for investors, we also see continued volatility for the foreseeable future. Written by LPL Financial Services.
The markets are currently experiencing extreme volatility, and asset prices have declined substantially. While current markets offer attractive buying opportunities for investors, we also see continued volatility for the foreseeable future. Written by LPL Financial Services.
The markets are currently experiencing extreme volatility, and asset prices have declined substantially. While current markets offer attractive buying opportunities for investors, we also see continued volatility for the foreseeable future. Written by LPL Financial Services.
Ivesting a FINANCIAL RESEARCH
‘a road
‘recovery
The markets are currently experiencing extreme volatility, and asset prices have
declined substantially. While current markets offer attractive buying opportunities for
investors, we also see continued volatility for the foreseeable future. It is important
to keep the lines of communication open in times like these.
LPL Financial Research believes we will have a potential multi-stage market
recovery spanning across the next few quarters and possibly years. Detailed below
are what we believe those stages will be and our implementation plans.
Liquidity Returns, Bull Market for Volatility
We beliove we are in the beginning of this stage, during which LPL Financial Research is using The three stages:
a two-pronged approach. On the equity side, we recommend mutual fund investment stratoges Stage 1
that potentially benefit from volatility, such as Covered Calls, Global Macro, and Opportunistic Liquidity Returns;
Balanced strategies. Keep in mind such strategies are subject to increased risk duo tothe Bull Market for
use of derivatives and futures, may not be suitable for all investors and should be considered Volatility
a5 an investment for the risk captal portion of the portfolio. The strategies employed in the Stage 2
management of atemative investments may accelerate the velouty of potential losses. As We'Ve Light at the End
seen before, strong ales ae followed by down drafts that r-test and eventually help to shape ane tunnel
the market's bottom,
Stage 3
(On the fixed income side, unprecedented valuations and potential opportunities are present The Next Bull
across the fixed income spectrum, as volatility has spiked among many bond asset classes. ‘Market Begins
Consequently, we recommend allacating assets from relatively more aggressive to relatively
less aggressive fixed income sectors, but remain positioned to benefit when liquidity returns,
‘Attractive opportunities exist in Municipal Bonds, investment-grade Corporate Bonds, High Yield
Bonds, Bank Loans, and Preferred Stocks
Light at the End of the Tunnel
We anticipate Stage 2 will begin sometime in eatly-to mid-2009. LPL Financial Research intends
to manage this second stage of the recovery with an increased allocation to relatively more
aggressive equities, as the markets react to seeing the economic growth “light” at the end of the
recession” tunnel. In this stage, we want to be invested in equities that can help in strong up
markets. We will allocate out of some of the volatility thriving, less aggressive equity strategies
that benefited in Stage 1 but retain the relatively more aggressive fixed income exposure that will
potentially continue to pay off in this stage.
Companies and sectors that can take advantage of such markets but do not depend on economic
expansion to drive sales and earnings include "recession-proof" sectors such as Healthcare:
‘and Consumer Staples. They are sort of “motorboat” investments, as opposed to “sailboat
investments that depend on economic expansion to fill their sails.
il LPL FinancialINVESTING INSIGHTS.
a
The Next Bull Market Begins x ] "
‘This isthe last and final stage of the recovery. Stage 1 saw liquidity improve Stage 1 saw liquidity
and Stago 2 sav the stock market improve. Stago 3 willbe marked by the ; d
Jeconomy improving, which we believe may begin n the second haf of 008, IMprove and Stage 2
LPL Financial Research wil use Stage 3to shift our recommendations from sayy the stot ren
the "mototboats” used in Stage 2 to "sailboats" in Stage 3 Investments that S ‘
potentially benefit from an economic expansion that fills their sails include improve. Stage ill
cyclical sectors like Energy and Industrials, as well as REITs, Commodities,
and Emerging Markets, Using these sailboats during the economic expansion @ Marked by the
‘hat accompanies the next bull market should pay off in this stage economy improving,
: which we believe
what's may begin in the
the p | an f second half of 2009.
‘Any changes LPL Financial Research makes to our models are designed to help investors with the current markt volatility, quit, and
other conditions. These timely adjustments help investors stay on track to address their long-term investment goals. As the markets move
through the thee stages of recovery, LPL Financial Research will continue to look for ways to position portfolios.
appropriately for the given market conditions. 2008 has provided a challenging market for investment professionals and the
ents we serve. LPL Financial Research remains dedicated to finding ways to help our advisors provide the best advice possible to you inthis, as
in any, market environment
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