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Residential Sales Report

A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE AUSTIN BOARD OF REALTORS

June 2012
Were halfway through 2012, and what a year its been. Residential real estate
has finally taken some meaningful strides toward recovery, and theyve all been
self-powered without divine (or governmental) intervention. Yes, there have
been some head fakes in the past, but there's real reason to believe that market
turnaround awaits us. Beyond home prices, key metrics to watch include Days
on Market, Percent of List Price Received and Months Supply of Inventory.
Locally, several indicators showed improvement. Let's see what the rest of our
local data has to say.
New Listings in the Austin region increased 5.5 percent to 3,748. Pending Sales
were up 28.1 percent to 2,802. Inventory levels shrank 24.7 percent to 9,154
units.
Prices moved higher. The Median Sales Price increased 8.6 percent to
$215,000. Days on Market was down 24.7 percent to 54 days. The supplydemand balance stabilized as Months Supply of Inventory was down 38.5
percent to 4.5 months.
We seem to be at a critical inflection point in our search for more employment
opportunities. Job growth provides the dual benefit of stimulating new
household growth as well as relieving distressed homeowners. There's also the
positive feedback loop of housing creating jobs and jobs creating housing.
Keeping the affordability picture afloat, the Fed has vowed to keep interest rates
around 4.0 percent through mid-2013.

Quick Facts
+ 12.4%

+ 8.6%

- 24.7%

Change in
Closed Sales

Change in
Median Sales Price

Change in
Inventory

Market Overview
New Listings
Pending Sales
Closed Sales
Days On Market Until Sale
Median Sales Price
Average Sales Price
Percent of List Price Received
Housing Affordability Index
Inventory of Homes for Sale
Months Supply of Inventory

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Click on desired metric to jump to that page.

Market Overview
Key market metrics for the current month and year-to-date.

Key Metrics

Historical Sparklines

New Listings
6-2009

6-2010

6-2011

6-2010

6-2011

6-2010

6-2011

6-2010

6-2011

6-2010

6-2011

6-2010

6-2011

6-2010

6-2011

6-2010

6-2011

6-2010

6-2011

6-2010

6-2011

20,492

+ 1.1%

2,187

2,802

+ 28.1%

11,610

14,530

+ 25.2%

2,356

2,647

+ 12.4%

10,363

12,088

+ 16.6%

72

54

- 24.7%

82

68

- 17.1%

$198,000

$215,000

+ 8.6%

$190,000

$200,000

+ 5.3%

$262,654

$278,501

+ 6.0%

$253,084

$260,876

+ 3.1%

93.8%

96.1%

+ 2.5%

93.0%

95.1%

+ 2.2%

166

166

- 0.2%

172

176

+ 2.4%

12,160

9,154

- 24.7%

--

--

--

7.3

4.5

- 38.5%

--

--

--

6-2012

Months Supply
of Homes for Sale
6-2009

20,276

6-2012

Inventory of Homes for Sale


6-2009

+ 5.5%

6-2012

Housing Affordability Index


6-2009

3,748

6-2012

Percent of Original
List Price Received
6-2009

3,551

6-2012

Average Sales Price


6-2009

+/

6-2012

Median Sales Price


6-2009

YTD 2011 YTD 2012

6-2012

Days on Market Until Sale


6-2009

+/

6-2012

Closed Sales
6-2009

6-2012

6-2012

Pending Sales
6-2009

6-2011

6-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 2

New Listings
A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

June
3,796

Year To Date
3,551

3,748

23,710
20,276

-6.5%
2010

2011

+5.5%
2012

-14.5%
2010

2011

20,492

+1.1%
2012

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

July

3,674

3,164

-13.9%

August

2,978

2,702

-9.3%

September

2,683

2,484

-7.4%

October

2,543

2,483

-2.4%

November

2,083

2,052

-1.5%

December

1,795

1,585

-11.7%

January

2,785

2,593

-6.9%

February

2,669

2,892

+8.4%

March

3,971

3,740

-5.8%

April

3,756

3,693

-1.7%

May

3,544

3,826

+8.0%

June

3,551

3,748

+5.5%

12-Month Avg

3,003

2,914

-3.0%

1-2010

1-2011

Historical New Listing Activity


5,500
5,000
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 3

Pending Sales
A count of the properties on which contracts have been accepted in a given month.

June

Year To Date
2,802
2,187

14,530
11,673

11,610

1,656

+32.1%
2010

2011

+28.1%
2012

-0.5%
2010

2011

+25.2%
2012

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

July

1,639

2,104

+28.4%

August

1,527

1,862

+21.9%

September

1,396

1,697

+21.6%

October

1,423

1,635

+14.9%

November

1,293

1,465

+13.3%

December

1,163

1,267

+8.9%

January

1,451

1,704

+17.4%

February

1,569

2,031

+29.4%

March

2,042

2,504

+22.6%

April

2,107

2,671

+26.8%

May

2,254

2,818

+25.0%

June

2,187

2,802

+28.1%

12-Month Avg

1,671

2,047

+22.5%

1-2010

1-2011

Historical Pending Sales Activity


3,500

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 4

Closed Sales
A count of the actual sales that have closed in a given month.

June

Year To Date
2,647

2,211

2,356

+6.6%
2010

2011

12,088
11,038

+12.4%
2012

10,363

-6.1%
2010

2011

+16.6%
2012

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

July

1,654

2,182

+31.9%

August

1,686

2,226

+32.0%

September

1,425

1,823

+27.9%

October

1,346

1,603

+19.1%

November

1,340

1,498

+11.8%

December

1,573

1,736

+10.4%

January

1,059

1,196

+12.9%

February

1,225

1,432

+16.9%

March

1,782

2,101

+17.9%

April

1,860

2,130

+14.5%

May

2,081

2,582

+24.1%

June

2,356

2,647

+12.4%

12-Month Avg

1,616

1,930

+19.3%

1-2010

1-2011

Historical Closed Sales Activity


3,500

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 5

Days on Market Until Sale


Average number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.

June

Year To Date
72

82

67
54

+8.3%
2010

2011

2012

68

68

-24.7%

+20.9%
2010

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

July

70

74

+5.8%

August

72

77

+7.1%

September

77

78

+0.7%

October

88

80

-8.7%

November

86

80

-8.0%

December

92

84

-8.8%

January

88

83

-5.8%

February

93

82

-11.5%

March

92

79

-14.4%

April

81

65

-20.1%

May

76

61

-20.0%

June

72

54

-24.7%

12-Month Avg

81

73

-10.2%

Month

2011

-17.1%
2012

Historical Days on Market Until Sale


100

90

80

70

60

50

40
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 6

Median Sales Price


Median price point for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

June

Year To Date
$215,000

$198,000

$198,000

0.0%
2010

$185,000

+8.6%

2011

2012

$190,000

+2.7%
2010

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

July

$211,555

$190,000

-10.2%

August

$194,000

$191,500

-1.3%

September

$188,731

$185,000

-2.0%

October

$190,000

$187,785

-1.2%

November

$179,500

$184,000

+2.5%

December

$189,000

$186,950

-1.1%

January

$184,500

$176,500

-4.3%

February

$185,000

$190,000

+2.7%

March

$182,250

$197,000

+8.1%

April

$189,900

$205,000

+8.0%

May

$192,000

$209,153

+8.9%

June

$198,000

$215,000

+8.6%

12-Mo. Median

$190,913

$195,000

+2.1%

Month

2011

$200,000

+5.3%
2012

Historical Median Sales Price


$220,000
$210,000
$200,000
$190,000
$180,000
$170,000
$160,000
$150,000
$140,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 7

Average Sales Price


Average sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

June
$265,235

Year To Date
$262,654

$278,501
$238,921

- 1.0%
2010

2011

2012

$253,084

+ 5.9%

+ 6.0%
2010

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

July

$275,446

$255,611

-7.2%

August

$257,321

$250,351

-2.7%

September

$241,609

$244,565

+1.2%

October

$255,409

$247,299

-3.2%

November

$243,559

$242,519

-0.4%

December

$245,024

$242,411

-1.1%

January

$241,053

$223,203

-7.4%

February

$237,568

$248,306

+4.5%

March

$241,250

$255,172

+5.8%

April

$261,662

$263,838

+0.8%

May

$259,972

$269,407

+3.6%

June

$262,654

$278,501

+6.0%

12-Month Avg

$253,366

$254,572

+0.5%

Month

2011

$260,876

+ 3.1%
2012

Historical Average Sales Price


$280,000
$270,000
$260,000
$250,000
$240,000
$230,000
$220,000
$210,000
$200,000
$190,000
$180,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 8

Percent of Original List Price Received


Percentage found when dividing a propertys sales price by its original list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month,
not accounting for seller concessions.

June

Year To Date
94.3%

94.1%

93.8%

-0.3%
2010

2011

93.0%

95.1%

96.1%

+2.5%
2012

-1.3%
2010

2011

+2.2%
2012

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

July

93.1%

93.5%

+0.4%

August

92.4%

93.2%

+0.8%

September

91.9%

92.9%

+1.1%

October

91.2%

93.0%

+2.0%

November

91.3%

92.8%

+1.7%

December

91.5%

92.6%

+1.2%

January

91.6%

92.8%

+1.4%

February

92.3%

93.5%

+1.3%

March

92.6%

94.6%

+2.2%

April

93.4%

95.6%

+2.4%

May

93.4%

95.8%

+2.5%

June

93.8%

96.1%

+2.5%

12-Month Avg

92.5%

94.1%

+1.7%

1-2010

1-2011

Historical Percent of Original List Price Received


99%
98%
97%
96%
95%
94%
93%
92%
91%
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 9

Housing Affordability Index


This index measures housing affordability for the region. An index of 120 means the median household income was 120% of what is necessary
to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability.

June
156

2010

Year To Date
166

166
165

+6.9%

-0.2%

2011

2012

2010

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

July

145

172

+18.3%

August

161

173

+7.7%

September

167

179

+7.7%

October

164

179

+9.4%

November

173

182

+5.0%

December

164

180

+9.8%

January

171

192

+12.6%

February

169

182

+7.2%

March

172

176

+1.9%

April

166

169

+1.6%

May

168

167

-0.3%

June

166

166

-0.2%

12-Month Avg

166

176

+6.7%

Month

172

176

+4.5%

+2.4%

2011

2012

Historical Housing Affordability Index


200
190
180
170
160
150
140
130
120
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 10

Inventory of Homes for Sale


The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.

June

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

July

14,647

11,911

-18.7%

August

13,968

11,269

-19.3%

September

13,250

10,561

-20.3%

October

12,417

10,076

-18.9%

November

11,348

9,407

-17.1%

December

10,016

8,291

-17.2%

January

10,100

8,281

-18.0%

February

10,287

8,434

-18.0%

Month

14,349
12,160
9,154

+6.9%
2010

-24.7%

2011

2012

March

11,185

8,886

-20.6%

April

11,861

9,160

-22.8%

May

12,079

9,235

-23.5%

June

12,160

9,154

-24.7%

12-Month Avg

11,943

9,555

-19.9%

Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale


15,000
14,000
13,000
12,000
11,000
10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 11

Months Supply of Inventory


The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.

June

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

July

8.2

7.0

-14.9%

August

8.0

6.5

-18.9%

September

7.8

6.0

-23.0%

October

7.4

5.7

-24.0%

November

6.8

5.2

-22.8%

December

6.0

4.6

-23.1%

January

6.0

4.5

-24.8%

February

6.2

4.5

-27.2%

March

6.9

4.7

-32.2%

April

7.6

4.7

-38.2%

May

7.4

4.6

-37.7%

June

7.3

4.5

-38.5%

12-Month Avg

7.1

5.2

-27.0%

Month

7.9

7.3

4.5

-7.3%
2010

-38.5%

2011

2012

Historical Months Supply of Inventory


9

3
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 12

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