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CA-10 PPP For DFA (Aug. 2012)
CA-10 PPP For DFA (Aug. 2012)
CA-10 PPP For DFA (Aug. 2012)
Q1 How likely would you say you are to vote in Novembers general election? Are you certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50/50, or will you probably not vote?
Certain to vote ................................................ 97% Will probably vote ........................................... 3% Chances are 50/50 ......................................... 0% Probably not vote ........................................... 0%
Q6
Do you favor or oppose ending the Bush tax cuts for people earning over $250,000 a year?
Favor .............................................................. 47% Oppose ........................................................... 41% Not sure .......................................................... 11%
Q7
Q2
If the election for President were held today, and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
Obama ............................................................ 47% Romney .......................................................... 47% Undecided....................................................... 6%
Q8
Would you be more or less likely to vote for a candidate who supports President Obamas healthcare law, or does it make no difference?
More likely....................................................... 38% Less likely ....................................................... 47% No difference .................................................. 15%
Q3
Q9
Do you favor or oppose turning Medicare into a voucher program? If you favor it, press 1. If oppose, press 2. If youre not sure, press 3.
Favor .............................................................. 14% Oppose ........................................................... 48% Not sure .......................................................... 38%
Q4
Q5
If the election for the first congressional district were held today, and the candidates were Democrat Jose Hernandez and Republican Jeff Denham, who would you vote for?
Hernandez ...................................................... 41% Dunham .......................................................... 48% Undecided....................................................... 12%
Q10 If you were faced with the choice of two candidates -- one who supported preserving Medicare and Social Security without any cuts, and one who advocated for transitioning to a privatized voucher system -- for whom would you vote?
Vote for cand. who'd preserve Med. & SS ...... 67% Vote for cand. who'd make them a voucher program .......................................................... 15% Not sure .......................................................... 17%
Q11 Do you believe that the Democratic party or the Republican party does a better job of supporting women?
Democrats do a much better job..................... 43% Democrats do a somewhat better job ............. 13% Republicans do a much better job................... 28% Republicans do a somewhat better job ........... 3% Both parties do an equally good job................ 5% Neither party does a good job......................... 4% Not sure .......................................................... 3%
Q14 Is the most important issue that you are considering while voting in this election Healthcare, Medicare and Social Security, Women's rights, Jobs and the Economy, Military and Veterans issues, Good government and ending partisan gridlock, or something else?
Healthcare ...................................................... 12% Medicare & Social Security ............................. 13% Women's rights ............................................... 3% Jobs and the economy.................................... 47% Military and veterans issues............................ 2% Good government and ending partisan gridlock ........................................................... 16% Something else / Not sure............................... 7%
Q12 Do you believe that the Democratic party or the Republican party does a better job of supporting veterans and the military?
Democrats do a much better job..................... 33% Democrats do a somewhat better job ............. 11% Republicans do a much better job................... 34% Republicans do a somewhat better job ........... 5% Both parties do an equally good job................ 6% Neither party does a good job......................... 5% Not sure .......................................................... 4%
Q13 Do you believe that the Democratic party or the Republican party does a better job of supporting working families?
Democrats do a much better job..................... 43% Democrats do a somewhat better job ............. 11% Republicans do a much better job................... 31% Republicans do a somewhat better job ........... 7% Both parties do an equally good job................ 2% Neither party does a good job......................... 4% Not sure .......................................................... 2%
Q16 Do you personally identify as being a Progressive Democrat, a Moderate Democrat, an Independent who leans Democratic, an Independent, an Independent who leans Republican, a Moderate Republican, or a Conservative Republican?
Progressive Democrat .................................... 19% Moderate Democrat ........................................ 18% Independent who leans Democratic................ 12% Independent.................................................... 10% Independent who leans Republican ................ 10% Moderate Republican...................................... 7% Conservative Republican ................................ 24%
Q18 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29........................................................... 12% 30 to 45........................................................... 24% 46 to 65........................................................... 44% Older than 65 .................................................. 20%
Crosstabs
Gender Base Wom an Obam a/Rom ney Obam a 47% Rom ney 47% Undecided 6% 49% 46% 5% 45% 48% 7% Man
Gender Base Wom an Dunham Favorability Favorable 41% Unfavorable 26% Not sure 33% 41% 21% 38% 42% 32% 26% Man
Gender Base Wom an Hernandez Favorability Favorable 32% Unfavorable 18% Not sure 50% 31% 14% 54% 33% 22% 45% Man
Crosstabs
Gender Base Wom an Hernandez/Dunham Hernandez 41% Dunham 48% Undecided 12% 42% 45% 13% 39% 51% 11% Man
Gender Base Wom an Fav or Oppose Ending Bush Cuts for Rich Favor 47% Oppose 41% Not sure 11% 45% 38% 16% 50% 44% 6% Man
Gender Base Wom an Favor or Oppose Obam a Healthcare Law Favor 41% Oppose 51% Not sure 8% 41% 49% 10% 40% 53% 7% Man
Crosstabs
Gender Base Wom an More or less likely to support a supporter of Obam a's HC law ? More likely 38% Less likely 47% No difference 15% 38% 47% 15% 37% 48% 15% Man
Gender Base Wom an Favor or Oppose m aking Medicare a voucher prog? Favor 14% Oppose 48% Not sure 38% 9% 47% 45% 20% 50% 29% Man
Gender Base Wom an Choose cand. w ho'd not cut Med. & SS or one w ho'd do vouchers? Vote for cand. w ho'd 67% preserve Med. & SS Vote for cand. w ho'd 15% m ake them a voucher program Not sure 17% 68% 12% 67% 19% Man
20%
14%
Crosstabs
Gender Base Wom an Ds or Rs better support w om en? Dem ocrats do a 43% m uch better job Dem ocrats do a 13% som ew hat better job Republicans do a 28% m uch better job Republicans do a som ew hat better job Both parties do an equally good job Neither party does a good job Not sure 3% 44% 13% 41% 13% Man
28% 3%
28% 4%
5% 4% 3%
4% 3% 5%
7% 5% 2%
Gender Base Wom an Ds or Rs better support vets and m ilitary? Dem ocrats do a 33% m uch better job Dem ocrats do a 11% som ew hat better job Republicans do a 34% m uch better job Republicans do a som ew hat better job Both parties do an equally good job Neither party does a good job Not sure 5% 36% 10% 31% 12% Man
34% 5%
35% 6%
6% 5% 4%
4% 5% 6%
8% 6% 2%
Gender Base Wom an Ds or Rs do a better job supporting w orking fam ilies? Dem ocrats do a 43% m uch better job Dem ocrats do a 11% som ew hat better job Republicans do a 31% m uch better job Republicans do a som ew hat better job Both parties do an equally good job Neither party does a good job Not sure 7% 45% 12% 41% 10% Man
30% 5%
33% 9%
2% 4% 2%
2% 2% 4%
1% 5% 1%
Crosstabs
Gender Base Wom an Most im portant issue Healthcare 12% Medicare & Social 13% Security Wom en's rights 3% 16% 16% 4% 44% 1% 11% 7% 10% 2% 50% 3% 21% Man
Good governm ent 16% and ending partisan gridlock Som ething else / Not sure 7%
7%
6%
Party/Ideology Base Obam a/Rom ney Obam a 47% Rom ney 47% Undecided 6% 90% 7% 2% 88% 7% 5% 80% 9% 11% 27% 54% 19% 6% 92% 3% 14% 77% 9% 1% 96% 3% Progressive Moderate Independent w ho Independent w ho Moderate Conservative Dem ocrat Dem ocrat leans Dem ocratic Independent leans Republican Republican Republican
Party/Ideology Base Dunham Favorability Favorable 41% Unfavorable 26% Not sure 33% 24% 41% 35% 21% 43% 36% 21% 42% 36% 39% 25% 36% 63% 7% 30% 45% 20% 35% 71% 5% 25% Progressive Moderate Independent w ho Independent w ho Moderate Conservative Dem ocrat Dem ocrat leans Dem ocratic Independent leans Republican Republican Republican
Crosstabs
Party/Ideology Base Hernandez Favorability Favorable 32% Unfavorable 18% Not sure 50% 62% 12% 26% 53% 5% 42% 48% 8% 44% 17% 24% 59% 14% 34% 52% 14% 18% 68% 4% 28% 68% Progressive Moderate Independent w ho Independent w ho Moderate Conservative Dem ocrat Dem ocrat leans Dem ocratic Independent leans Republican Republican Republican
Party/Ideology Base Hernandez/Dunham Hernandez 41% Dunham 48% Undecided 12% 80% 13% 6% 75% 11% 14% 62% 12% 26% 25% 54% 21% 7% 90% 3% 11% 70% 19% 1% 94% 5% Progressive Moderate Independent w ho Independent w ho Moderate Conservative Dem ocrat Dem ocrat leans Dem ocratic Independent leans Republican Republican Republican
Party/Ideology Base Fav or Oppose Ending Bush Cuts for Rich Favor 47% Oppose 41% Not sure 11% 73% 18% 9% 65% 23% 11% 73% 20% 7% 52% 44% 4% 23% 61% 16% 24% 54% 22% 16% 70% 14% Progressive Moderate Independent w ho Independent w ho Moderate Conservative Dem ocrat Dem ocrat leans Dem ocratic Independent leans Republican Republican Republican
Crosstabs
Party/Ideology Base Favor or Oppose Obam a Healthcare Law Favor 41% Oppose 51% Not sure 8% 80% 10% 11% 70% 15% 15% 73% 15% 12% 28% 68% 4% 1% 93% 5% 16% 71% 13% 1% 98% 1% Progressive Moderate Independent w ho Independent w ho Moderate Conservative Dem ocrat Dem ocrat leans Dem ocratic Independent leans Republican Republican Republican
Party/Ideology Base More or less likely to support a supporter of Obam a's HC law ? More likely 38% Less likely 47% No difference 15% 81% 9% 10% 61% 13% 26% 54% 14% 32% 19% 62% 20% 7% 87% 6% 14% 64% 23% 5% 92% 3% Progressive Moderate Independent w ho Independent w ho Moderate Conservative Dem ocrat Dem ocrat leans Dem ocratic Independent leans Republican Republican Republican
Party/Ideology Base Favor or Oppose m aking Medicare a voucher prog? Favor 14% Oppose 48% Not sure 38% 19% 55% 26% 6% 57% 37% 11% 49% 39% 19% 38% 43% 19% 43% 38% 8% 59% 33% 15% 39% 45% Progressive Moderate Independent w ho Independent w ho Moderate Conservative Dem ocrat Dem ocrat leans Dem ocratic Independent leans Republican Republican Republican
Crosstabs
Party/Ideology Base Choose cand. w ho'd not cut Med. & SS or one w ho'd do vouchers? Vote for cand. w ho'd 67% preserve Med. & SS Vote for cand. w ho'd 15% m ake them a voucher program Not sure 17% 89% 5% 85% 2% 83% 4% 46% 29% 54% 23% 68% 8% 44% 33% Progressive Moderate Independent w ho Independent w ho Moderate Conservative Dem ocrat Dem ocrat leans Dem ocratic Independent leans Republican Republican Republican
6%
13%
14%
25%
23%
24%
23%
Party/Ideology Base Ds or Rs better support w om en? Dem ocrats do a 43% m uch better job Dem ocrats do a 13% som ew hat better job Republicans do a 28% m uch better job Republicans do a som ew hat better job Both parties do an equally good job Neither party does a good job Not sure 3% 84% 10% 73% 12% 73% 8% 27% 21% 7% 13% 10% 17% 2% 14% Progressive Moderate Independent w ho Independent w ho Moderate Conservative Dem ocrat Dem ocrat leans Dem ocratic Independent leans Republican Republican Republican
1% 0%
4% -
6% -
18% 8%
63% 5%
30% 12%
67% 5%
5% 4% 3%
1% 1% 2%
6% 4% 0%
6% 5% 2%
9% 13% 3%
3% 5% 3%
14% 4% 14%
5% 2% 5%
Party/Ideology Progressive Moderate Independent w ho Independent w ho Moderate Conservative Dem ocrat Dem ocrat leans Dem ocratic Independent leans Republican Republican Republican Base Ds or Rs better support vets and m ilitary? Dem ocrats do a 33% m uch better job Dem ocrats do a 11% som ew hat better job Republicans do a 34% m uch better job Republicans do a som ew hat better job Both parties do an equally good job Neither party does a good job Not sure 5% 77% 9% 55% 12% 54% 11% 13% 17% 6% 14% 4% 8% 1% 9%
2% -
5% 5%
8% 6%
25% 15%
70% 4%
54% 11%
79% 4%
6% 5% 4%
5% 2% 5%
15% 5% 4%
4% 10% 5%
8% 17% 6%
1% 5% 1%
9% 3% 12%
3% 2% 2%
Crosstabs
Party/Ideology Progressive Moderate Independent w ho Independent w ho Moderate Conservative Dem ocrat Dem ocrat leans Dem ocratic Independent leans Republican Republican Republican Base Ds or Rs do a better job supporting w orking fam ilies? Dem ocrats do a 43% m uch better job Dem ocrats do a 11% som ew hat better job Republicans do a 31% m uch better job Republicans do a som ew hat better job Both parties do an equally good job Neither party does a good job Not sure 7% 82% 8% 78% 12% 79% 7% 20% 15% 4% 25% 19% 11% 1% 10%
4% 2%
4% 3%
3% 1%
25% 17%
57% 10%
38% 18%
78% 8%
2% 4% 2%
2% 2%
1% 1% 1%
1% 8% 2%
1% 18% 5%
1% 1% 2%
4% 2% 9%
1% 1% 1%
Party/Ideology Base Most im portant issue Healthcare 12% Medicare & Social 13% Security Wom en's rights 3% 15% 18% 6% 34% 3% 15% 16% 15% 6% 35% 3% 21% 13% 18% 4% 27% 2% 28% 9% 4% 1% 60% 2% 18% 8% 14% 3% 63% 1% 7% 3% 16% 2% 50% 24% 11% 7% 1% 64% 2% 9% Progressive Moderate Independent w ho Independent w ho Moderate Conservative Dem ocrat Dem ocrat leans Dem ocratic Independent leans Republican Republican Republican
Good governm ent 16% and ending partisan gridlock Som ething else / Not sure 7%
9%
4%
8%
7%
4%
5%
7%
Race Base Hispanic White Other Obam a/Rom ney Obam a 47% Rom ney 47% Undecided 6% 62% 31% 7% 42% 52% 6% 60% 36% 5%
Crosstabs
Race Base Hispanic White Other Dunham Favorability Favorable 41% Unfavorable 26% Not sure 33% 35% 28% 37% 43% 26% 31% 39% 21% 40%
Race Base Hispanic White Other Hernandez Favorability Favorable 32% Unfavorable 18% Not sure 50% 48% 24% 28% 28% 17% 55% 31% 15% 55%
Race Base Hispanic White Other Hernandez/Dunham Hernandez 41% Dunham 48% Undecided 12% 63% 28% 9% 35% 53% 12% 42% 43% 15%
Crosstabs
Race Base Hispanic White Other Fav or Oppose Ending Bush Cuts for Rich Favor 47% Oppose 41% Not sure 11% 51% 31% 17% 46% 44% 10% 55% 35% 10%
Race Base Hispanic White Other Favor or Oppose Obam a Healthcare Law Favor 41% Oppose 51% Not sure 8% 57% 35% 8% 36% 55% 9% 46% 46% 8%
Race Base Hispanic White Other More or less likely to support a supporter of Obam a's HC law ? More likely 38% Less likely 47% No difference 15% 48% 34% 18% 33% 52% 15% 56% 33% 11%
Crosstabs
Race Base Hispanic White Other Favor or Oppose m aking Medicare a voucher prog? Favor 14% Oppose 48% Not sure 38% 22% 38% 40% 12% 51% 37% 17% 47% 36%
Race Base Hispanic White Other Choose cand. w ho'd not cut Med. & SS or one w ho'd do vouchers? Vote for cand. w ho'd 67% preserve Med. & SS Vote for cand. w ho'd 15% m ake them a voucher program Not sure 17% 72% 15% 66% 16% 68% 15%
13%
18%
17%
Race Base Hispanic White Other Ds or Rs better support w om en? Dem ocrats do a 43% m uch better job Dem ocrats do a 13% som ew hat better job Republicans do a 28% m uch better job Republicans do a som ew hat better job Both parties do an equally good job Neither party does a good job Not sure 3% 60% 14% 37% 13% 50% 11%
15% 1%
33% 4%
17% 6%
5% 4% 3%
2% 4% 4%
6% 4% 3%
7% 5% 5%
Crosstabs
Race Base Hispanic White Other Ds or Rs better support vets and m ilitary? Dem ocrats do a 33% m uch better job Dem ocrats do a 11% som ew hat better job Republicans do a 34% m uch better job Republicans do a som ew hat better job Both parties do an equally good job Neither party does a good job Not sure 5% 51% 12% 27% 12% 53% 2%
19% 2%
40% 6%
23% 3%
6% 5% 4%
3% 3% 10%
7% 6% 3%
8% 7% 4%
Race Base Hispanic White Other Ds or Rs do a better job supporting w orking fam ilies? Dem ocrats do a 43% m uch better job Dem ocrats do a 11% som ew hat better job Republicans do a 31% m uch better job Republicans do a som ew hat better job Both parties do an equally good job Neither party does a good job Not sure 7% 55% 12% 38% 12% 58% 3%
15% 4%
37% 7%
21% 13%
2% 4% 2%
3% 7% 5%
2% 3% 1%
3% 2%
Race Base Hispanic White Other Most im portant issue Healthcare 12% Medicare & Social 13% Security Wom en's rights 3% 15% 18% 3% 42% 2% 11% 11% 12% 3% 47% 2% 19% 14% 7% 5% 59% 6% 5%
Good governm ent 16% and ending partisan gridlock Som ething else / Not sure 7%
8%
6%
5%
Crosstabs
Age Base Obam a/Rom ney Obam a 47% Rom ney 47% Undecided 6% 56% 37% 7% 48% 48% 3% 49% 44% 8% 38% 57% 5% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Age Base Dunham Favorability Favorable 41% Unfavorable 26% Not sure 33% 37% 19% 44% 45% 18% 37% 37% 32% 31% 49% 27% 24% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Age Base Hernandez Favorability Favorable 32% Unfavorable 18% Not sure 50% 33% 22% 44% 31% 15% 54% 33% 17% 49% 29% 21% 50% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Crosstabs
Age Base Hernandez/Dunham Hernandez 41% Dunham 48% Undecided 12% 48% 37% 15% 38% 48% 14% 43% 46% 11% 34% 58% 8% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Age Base Fav or Oppose Ending Bush Cuts for Rich Favor 47% Oppose 41% Not sure 11% 52% 30% 19% 46% 43% 11% 50% 41% 9% 40% 47% 12% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Age Base Favor or Oppose Obam a Healthcare Law Favor 41% Oppose 51% Not sure 8% 52% 48% 40% 52% 8% 42% 47% 11% 33% 58% 9% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Crosstabs
Age Base More or less likely to support a supporter of Obam a's HC law ? More likely 38% Less likely 47% No difference 15% 41% 44% 15% 38% 48% 14% 38% 44% 18% 35% 53% 12% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Age Base Favor or Oppose m aking Medicare a voucher prog? Favor 14% Oppose 48% Not sure 38% 26% 37% 37% 14% 34% 52% 14% 53% 33% 8% 61% 31% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Age Base Choose cand. w ho'd not cut Med. & SS or one w ho'd do vouchers? Vote for cand. w ho'd 67% preserve Med. & SS Vote for cand. w ho'd 15% m ake them a voucher program Not sure 17% 67% 19% 54% 21% 69% 14% 80% 10% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
15%
25%
17%
10%
Crosstabs
Age Base Ds or Rs better support w om en? Dem ocrats do a 43% m uch better job Dem ocrats do a 13% som ew hat better job Republicans do a 28% m uch better job Republicans do a som ew hat better job Both parties do an equally good job Neither party does a good job Not sure 3% 44% 19% 44% 15% 44% 12% 37% 9% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
22% 4%
29% 2%
25% 4%
38% 3%
5% 4% 3%
4% 4% 4%
2% 5% 3%
8% 4% 3%
5% 4% 4%
Age Base Ds or Rs better support vets and m ilitary? Dem ocrats do a 33% m uch better job Dem ocrats do a 11% som ew hat better job Republicans do a 34% m uch better job Republicans do a som ew hat better job Both parties do an equally good job Neither party does a good job Not sure 5% 30% 15% 34% 10% 35% 11% 31% 10% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
26% 11%
32% 5%
33% 5%
45% 2%
6% 5% 4%
11% 7%
3% 8% 7%
8% 6% 2%
4% 4% 4%
Age Base Ds or Rs do a better job supporting w orking fam ilies? Dem ocrats do a 43% m uch better job Dem ocrats do a 11% som ew hat better job Republicans do a 31% m uch better job Republicans do a som ew hat better job Both parties do an equally good job Neither party does a good job Not sure 7% 52% 15% 40% 14% 46% 11% 36% 8% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
11% 11%
34% 7%
30% 6%
44% 5%
2% 4% 2%
7% 4%
1% 2% 2%
2% 4% 2%
2% 3% 2%
Crosstabs
Age Base Most im portant issue Healthcare 12% Medicare & Social 13% Security Wom en's rights 3% 22% 11% 41% 4% 7% 13% 6% 56% 2% 14% 8% 15% 4% 48% 2% 19% 13% 25% 1% 39% 2% 18% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Good governm ent 16% and ending partisan gridlock Som ething else / Not sure 7%
15%
8%
5%
3%