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IT Sector Update 24-09-12
IT Sector Update 24-09-12
IT Sector Update S t U d t
September 24, 2012 We have revisited ratings and earnings estimates of our coverage universe stocks to factor in recent interaction with managements, weaker Rupee assumptions and valuations. The management commentaries have been mixed. TCS and HCL Tech maintain optimism about growth and g p g demand environment, whereas Infosys and Wipro continue to guide a challenging demand environment. Rampups in recent deal wins have led to relatively optimistic commentary from TCS and HCL Tech. Companies continue to experience slower decision-making and elongated sales cycles. Clients from the financial services industry (mainly, from the investment banking segment) are under pressure and players with higher exposure here are likely to be hurt more in the near-term.
TCS expects growth to be front-ended while Infosys, Wipro and MindTree are banking on back-ended growth in F13. In our view, ramp-ups in recent deal wins, deal pipeline and different business mixes explains partly the differences in growth patterns and expectations. Salary hikes and promotions would impact margins of IT companies under coverage this quarter - Wipro (2 months incremental impact), HCL Tech (w.e.f. Jul), Persistent Systems (offshore w.e.f. Jul), Hexaware (onsite w.e.f. Jul), w e f Jul) MindTree (18% employees w e f Sep 2 months incremental impact of 80% employees) and Infosys w.e.f. Sep, employees), (~20,000 promotions). Barring a few instances, the managements have guided a stable pricing environment and have suggested no undue pressure on pricing. However, further deterioration in macroeconomic environment could delay investment into technology and thus, put pressure on pricing. Since our last sector update report (dated June 12, 2012), CNXIT index has underperformed Nifty index by ~5%. We maintain our view that the sector will deliver in line/lower relative returns considering (a) no change in nearterm demand outlook, (b) major policy announcements by the Government, which can be construed as steps taken towards achieving economic reforms and liberalisation, thus strengthening the Rupee, (c) high possibility of reversal of tightening monetary policy stance to support a slowing domestic economy and (d) relative valuation gaps.
Analyst Email
F 13e F 14e F 13e F 14e Infosys 2,593 ADD 2,700 6.1 12.0 167.5 179.5 TCS 1,304 REDUCE 1,275 12.0 12.1 69.6 75.0 Wipro 378 ADD 390 5.2 11.9 26.9 28.7 HCL Tech* 570 ADD 610 12.4 13.0 44.8 48.0 Persistent 413 ADD 465 12.0 13.1 44.0 52.0 Hexaw are^ 125 REDUCE 125 20.1 16.0 11.4 12.0 MindTree 689 ADD 735 10.3 12.3 69.7 76.1 MphasiS** 389 REDUCE 360 (6.1) 1.6 37.1 37.8 NIIT Technologies 290 ADD 330 12.3 12.0 37.7 41.0 *Jun year end; ^Dec year end (F13e corresponds to C12e); **Oct year end (F12e, F13e) Source: Company, Bloomberg, SSLe
CMP Index / Stock CNX Nifty 5,691 CNX IT 6,380 Infosys 2,593 TCS 1,304 1 304 Wipro 378 HCL Tech 570 Persistent 413 Hexaw are 125 MindTree 689 MphasiS 389 NIIT Technologies 290 Source: Bloomberg, SSL
1M 5.0 4.8 7.7 0.4 04 6.3 2.2 6.4 3.1 6.0 0.4 9.7
3M 10.2 5.6 4.1 6.5 65 (5.9) 18.3 6.2 (0.7) 13.2 10.8 1.8
Return (%) 6M 6.1 (2.2) (9.2) 11.6 11 6 (11.6) 15.9 29.1 2.1 43.7 (7.8) 18.0
1Y 9.8 16.6 8.5 27.6 27 6 7.6 44.0 37.7 71.7 98.2 14.9 40.5
3Y 5.2 10.6 4.8 33.2 33 2 4.7 20.8 51.4 5.4 (13.6) 37.8
% Outperform ance / Underperform ance w rt Nifty 1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y (0.1) 2.7 (4.6) (4 6) 1.3 (2.8) 1.4 (1.8) 1.0 (4.6) 4.8 (4.6) (6.1) (3.7) (3 7) (16.1) 8.1 (4.0) (10.9) 3.0 0.6 (8.3) (8.3) (15.2) 5.5 55 (17.7) 9.8 23.0 (3.9) 37.6 (13.9) 11.9 6.8 (1.3) 17.8 17 8 (2.3) 34.1 27.9 61.9 88.4 5.1 30.6 5.4 (0.4) 28.0 28 0 (0.5) 15.5 46.2 0.2 (18.9) 32.6
Sep 12 quarter
We expect revenue growth performance to be broadly similar to the June quarter with TCS and HCL Tech outgrowing Infosys and Wipro. However, we expect Infosys to narrow down its underperformance this quarter. IT companies operating margin performance would vary this quarter depending upon salary hike cycles. Cross-currency movements thus far this quarter have been stable to marginally negative.
Exchange rates volatility continued this quarter as well, though the extent of the volatility dampened slightly. well slightly By and large, the Rupee has been more volatile and has depreciated to a greater extent than the Euro, the British Pound and the Australian Dollar, with the US Dollar as the benchmark.
ADD
TP 2,700
3,000 3 000
2,000
1,000
Apr-02 2
Apr-04 4
Apr-06 6
Apr-08 8
Apr-10 0
Dec-02 2
Aug-03 3
Dec-04 4
Aug-05 5
Dec-06 6
Aug-07 7
Dec-08 8
Aug-09 9
Dec-10 0
Price
10x
13x
16x
19x
22x
REDUCE
TP 1,275 ,
Aug-04
Aug-05
Aug-06
Aug-07
Aug-08
Aug-09
Aug-10
Aug-11
Aug-11
25x
Apr-12 2
26x
Price
6x
10x
14x
18x
22x
Aug-12
Feb-05
Feb-06
Feb-07
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
ADD
TP 390
(Rs)
400 200 0
Jun-06
Feb-03
Feb-08
Jun-11
Oct-04
Oct-09
Apr-02
Apr-07
Dec-03
Aug-05
Dec-08
Price
8x
12x
16x
20x
Aug-10
24x
ADD
TP 610
750
(Rs)
500
250
0
Nov-05 5 Jan-08 8 Jun-01 May-11 Feb-09 9 Aug-02 2 Sep-03 3 Dec-06 6 2 Jun-12
21x
Oct-04 4
Price
6x
9x
12x
15x
Apr-10 0
18x
Apr-12
28x
ADD
TP 465
650
500
350
200
Oct-10
Oct-11
Apr-10
Apr-11
Aug-10
Aug-11
Apr-12
Price
7x
9x
11x
13x
15x
REDUCE
TP 125
(Rs)
100 50 0
Dec c-05
Dec c-06
Dec c-07
Dec c-08
Dec c-09
Dec c-10
Dec c-11
Jun n-05
Jun n-06
Jun n-07
Jun n-08
Jun n-09
Jun n-10
Jun n-11
Price
3x
6x
9x
12x
15x
18x
Jun n-12
Aug-12
Dec-10
Dec-11
Jun-10
Jun-11
Feb-11
Feb-12
Jun-12
ADD
TP 735
400 200 0
Apr-09 Apr-12 Nov-08 Nov-11 Sep-09 Aug-07 Aug-10 Sep-12 Jan-11 Jan-08 Jun-08 Mar-07 Mar-10 Jun-11
Price
6x
8x
10x
12x
14x
REDUCE
TP 360
900
(Rs)
600
300
Better execution and cost rationalisation have resulted into improvement in profitability and cash generation, despite significant pressure on business. In the near-term, the managements handling of its pricing situation in the new MSA with HP ( f S (w.e.f. Nov 1) is f ) a key event to watch.
Oct-09
Apr-07
Sep-04 4
Aug-05
Nov-06
Sep-07
Dec-08
Aug-10
Nov-11
Apr-12
22x
9 May-09
Price
6x
10x
14x
18x
Sep-12
Jan-06
Jun-06
Jan-11
Mar-05 5
8 Feb-08
0 Mar-10
Jun-11
Jul-08 8
ADD
TP 330
Oct-09
Apr-07
Nov-06
Nov-11
Sep-04
Aug-05
Sep-07
Aug-10
Apr-12
14x
May-09
Price
2x
5x
8x
11x
Sep-12
Dec-08
Jan-06
Jun-06
Jan-11
Mar-05
Feb-08
Mar-10
Jun-11
Jul-08
Financials
10
Infosys Financials
Income statement
Y/E Mar (Rs m n) Revenue YoY (%) EBITDA YoY (%) Depreciation & amortisation p EBIT YoY (%) Other income PBT Provision for taxation Effective tax rate (%) Profit after tax YoY (%) Exceptional items Net incom e F 11 275,010 20.9 89,640 14.2 8,620 81,020 17.3 12,110 93,130 24,900 26.7 68,230 9.7 68,230 F 12 337,340 22.7 107,160 19.5 9,370 97,790 20.7 19,040 116,830 33,670 28.8 83,160 21.9 83,160 F 13e 405,126 20.1 126,783 18.3 10,478 116,306 18.9 17,799 134,105 37,898 28.3 96,207 15.7 96,207 F 14e 432,360 6.7 132,773 4.7 11,771 121,002 4.0 23,181 144,183 41,092 28.5 103,091 7.2 103,091
Balance sheet
Y/E Mar (Rs m n) Net fixed assets Goodw ill and intangible assets Investments Cash & bank balance Debtors and unbilled revenues Other current assets Other non-current assets Total assets Equity Borrow ings Unearned and deferred revenues Other current liabilities Non-current liabilities Total liabilities F 11 48,440 8,730 1,670 166,660 58,960 15,530 12,640 312,630 273,030 5,180 31,050 3,370 312,630 F 12 54,090 11,660 3,890 205,910 77,550 15,230 15,150 383,480 334,610 5,450 42,210 1,210 383,480 F 13e 56,321 17,652 4,000 249,070 91,558 15,000 20,150 453,751 403,939 7,292 38,400 4,120 453,751 F 14e 57,216 17,706 4,000 315,302 97,713 15,000 20,150 527,087 476,785 7,782 38,400 4,120 527,087
Financial ratios
Y/E Mar Profitability & return ratio(%) EBITDAM EBITM NPM RoE Per share data (Rs) EPS CEPS BV DPS Valuation ratios PE (x) P/BV (x) ( ) P/S (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EV/Sales (x) Turnover ratio DSO (days) Source: Company, SSLe F 11 32.6 29.5 24.8 26.6 119.4 134.5 477.9 60.0 21.7 5.4 5.4 14.7 4.8 78 F 12 31.8 29.0 24.7 27.4 144.8 161.1 582.7 47.0 17.9 4.5 4.4 11.9 3.8 84 F 13e 31.3 28.7 23.7 26.1 167.5 185.8 703.3 40.0 15.5 3.7 3.7 9.8 3.1 82 F 14e 30.7 28.0 23.8 23.4 179.5 199.9 829.9 45.0 14.5 3.1 3.4 8.8 2.7 82
TCS Financials
Income statement
Y/E Mar (Rs m n) Revenue YoY (%) EBITDA YoY (%) Depreciation & amortisation p EBIT YoY (%) Other income PBT Provision for taxation Effective tax rate (%) Profit after tax YoY (%) Non-controlling interest Reported net profit F 11 373,245 24.3 111,961 28.9 7,185 104,776 31.6 5,355 110,131 21,661 19.7 88,470 27.1 1,189 87,281 F 12 488,938 31.0 144,205 28.8 9,036 135,169 29.0 4,041 139,210 31,688 22.8 107,522 21.5 1,111 106,411 F 13e 620,979 27.0 182,749 26.7 9,988 172,762 27.8 7,154 179,915 42,400 23.6 137,515 27.9 1,348 136,167 F 14e 664,560 7.0 192,876 5.5 10,633 182,243 5.5 12,800 195,043 46,810 24.0 148,233 7.8 1,400 146,833
Balance sheet
Y/E Mar (Rs m n) Net fixed assets Goodw ill and intangible assets Investments Cash & bank balance Debtors and unbilled revenues Other current assets Other non-current assets Total assets Equity Borrow ings Unearned and deferred revenues Other current liabilities Non-current liabilities Total liabilities F 11 51,996 34,064 77,218 15,538 95,396 21,009 31,086 326,307 257,302 748 7,720 49,942 10,596 326,307 F 12 64,548 34,973 80,740 19,936 137,501 26,976 47,374 412,049 330,722 1,266 8,230 60,726 11,105 412,049 F 13e 80,000 34,973 102,830 29,115 173,874 27,420 54,083 502,295 410,151 1,266 9,315 70,064 11,500 502,295 F 14e 95,000 34,973 154,430 42,804 186,077 28,291 59,583 601,157 503,427 1,266 9,968 74,596 11,900 601,157
Financial ratios
Y/E Mar Profitability and return ratios (%) EBITDAM EBITM NPM RoE Per share data (Rs) EPS CEPS BV DPS Valuation ratios PE (x) P/BV (x) ( ) P/S (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EV/Sales (x) Turnover ratios DSO (days) Source: Company, SSLe F 11 30.0 28.1 23.4 37.6 44.6 48.3 131.5 14.0 29.2 9.9 6.8 22.0 6.6 93 F 12 29.5 27.6 21.8 36.6 54.4 59.0 169.0 25.0 24.0 7.7 5.2 17.0 5.0 103 F 13e 29.4 27.8 21.9 37.1 69.6 74.7 209.6 21.0 18.7 6.2 4.1 13.3 3.9 102 F 14e 29.0 27.4 22.1 32.5 75.0 80.5 257.2 24.0 17.4 5.1 3.8 12.2 3.5 102
Wipro Financials
Income statement
Y/E Mar (Rs m n) Revenue YoY (%) EBITDA YoY (%) Depre. & amorti. p EBIT YoY (%) Other income PBT Provision for taxation Effective tax rate (%) Profit for the period YoY (%) Non-controlling interest Net Profit F 11 310,542 14.2 65,880 11.0 8,211 57,669 12.0 5,366 63,035 9,714 15.4 53,321 15.6 345 52,977 F 12 371,971 19.8 74,141 12.5 10,130 64,011 11.0 5,737 69,748 13,762 19.7 55,986 5.0 256 55,730 F 13e 439,354 18.1 88,316 19.1 11,067 77,249 20.7 6,863 84,112 17,521 20.8 66,591 18.9 337 66,254 F 14e 475,775 8.3 93,738 6.1 11,894 81,843 5.9 9,320 91,163 20,056 22.0 71,107 6.8 320 70,787
Balance sheet
Y/E Mar (Rs m n) Net fixed assets Goodw ill & intangible assets Investments Cash & bank balance Debtors and unbilled revenues Other current assets Other non-current assets Total assets Equity Borrow ings Unearned and deferred revenues Other current liabilities Non-current liabilities Total liabilities F 11 55,094 58,369 49,282 61,141 85,776 36,115 25,666 371,443 240,371 52,802 6,595 60,980 10,695 371,443 F 12 58,988 72,166 41,961 77,666 110,353 43,508 31,359 436,001 286,163 58,958 9,569 71,668 9,643 436,001 F 13e 64,509 71,646 60,000 89,271 127,413 44,543 32,506 489,888 328,606 58,958 10,545 81,419 10,360 489,888 F 14e 71,313 71,146 70,000 112,621 137,975 45,343 33,546 541,944 372,736 58,958 11,419 87,772 11,060 541,944
Financial ratios
Y/E Mar Profitability and return ratio (%) EBITDAM EBITM NPM RoE Per share data (Rs) EPS CEPS BV DPS Valuation ratios PE (x) P/BV (x) ( ) P/S (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EV/Sales (x) Turnover ratios (days) DSO + unbilled revenues Source: Company, SSLe F 11 21.2 18.6 17.2 24.4 21.6 25.1 97.7 6.0 17.5 3.9 3.0 13.2 2.8 101 F 12 19.9 17.2 15.1 21.3 22.7 26.9 116.1 6.0 16.7 3.3 2.5 11.7 2.3 108 F 13e 20.1 17.6 15.2 21.7 26.9 31.5 133.1 8.0 14.1 2.8 2.1 9.5 1.9 106 F 14e 19.7 17.2 14.9 20.3 28.7 33.6 150.7 9.0 13.2 2.5 2.0 8.6 1.7 106
Balance sheet
Y/E Jun (Rs m n) Net fixed assets Goodw ill and intangible assets Investments Cash & bank balance Debtors and unbilled revenues Other current assets Other non-current assets Total assets Equity Borrow ings Unearned and deferred revenues Other current liabilities Other liabilities Total liabilities F 11 22,180 41,905 19,773 5,201 34,087 12,554 10,630 146,329 84,399 21,254 8,066 28,635 3,975 146,329 F 12p 24,776 49,408 21,327 6,671 53,442 15,212 18,450 189,287 107,318 19,224 10,546 42,467 9,731 189,287 F 13e 29,357 47,807 25,147 7,441 58,046 17,822 20,696 206,316 124,941 15,074 10,517 48,542 7,241 206,316 F 14e 34,596 46,176 28,969 9,845 63,365 19,290 21,243 223,484 144,139 10,920 11,075 49,317 8,034 223,484
Financial ratios
Y/E Jun Profitability and return ratio (%) EBITDAM EBITM NPM RoE Per share data (Rs) EPS CEPS BV DPS Valuation ratios PE (x) P/BV (x) ( ) P/S (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EV/Sales (x) Turnover ratios DSO incl. unbilled (days) Source: Company, SSLe F 11 17.1 14.0 10.7 22.1 24.8 32.1 122.5 7.5 22.9 4.7 2.4 14.2 2.4 77 F 12p 19.1 16.5 12.0 26.4 36.4 44.6 154.8 12.0 15.6 3.7 1.9 9.6 1.8 92 F 13e 19.2 16.7 12.5 27.0 44.8 54.0 178.9 12.5 12.7 3.2 1.6 7.9 1.5 84 F 14e 18.1 15.6 12.3 25.1 48.0 57.6 205.0 12.5 11.9 2.8 1.5 7.5 1.4 84
Balance sheet
Y/E Mar (Rs m n) Net fixed assets Goodw ill and intangible assets Investments Cash & bank balance Debtors and unbilled revenues Other current assets Other non-current assets Total assets Equity Borrow ings Unearned and deferred revenues Other current liabilities Non-current liabilities Total liabilities F 11 2,213 602 2,500 1,000 1,687 893 209 9,103 7,471 96 1,249 287 9,103 F 12 2,986 739 2,038 1,375 2,173 576 256 10,143 8,405 7 89 1,571 71 10,143 F 13e 3,271 551 2,123 2,070 2,745 575 256 11,591 9,862 7 90 1,557 75 11,591 F 14e 3,336 382 2,323 3,578 2,959 575 256 13,408 11,615 7 95 1,611 80 13,408
Financial ratios
Y/E Mar Profitability & return ratio (%) EBITDAM EBITM NPM RoE Per share data (Rs) EPS CEPS BV DPS Valuation ratios PE (x) P/BV (x) ( ) P/S (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EV/Sales (x) Turnover ratios DSO (days) Source: Company, SSLe F 11 20.4 14.9 18.0 20.2 34.9 45.5 186.8 5.5 11.8 2.2 2.1 8.2 1.7 74 F 12 22.9 16.8 14.2 17.9 35.4 50.7 210.1 6.0 11.6 2.0 1.6 5.7 1.3 74 F 13e 25.6 19.6 13.9 19.3 44.0 63.1 246.6 6.5 9.4 1.7 1.3 3.8 1.0 74 F 14e 24.2 18.3 15.2 19.4 52.0 72.1 290.4 7.0 7.9 1.4 1.2 3.2 0.8 74
Hexaware Financials
Income statement
Y/E Dec (Rs m n) Revenue YoY (%) EBITDA YoY (%) Depreciation & amortisation p EBIT YoY (%) Other income PBT Provision for taxation Effective tax rate (%) Profit after tax YoY (%) Exceptional items Net incom e C 10 10,546 1.5 938 (53.6) 242 696 (60.3) 249 945 92 9.7 853 (36.5) 224 1,077 C 11 14,505 37.5 2,646 182.1 248 2,398 244.5 677 3,075 407 13.2 2,668 212.8 2,668 C 12e 19,927 37.4 4,473 69.1 298 4,175 74.1 63 4,238 839 19.8 3,398 27.4 3,398 C 13e 22,521 13.0 4,786 7.0 337 4,449 6.6 125 4,574 1,006 22.0 3,568 5.0 3,568
Balance sheet
Y/E Dec (Rs m n) Net fixed assets Goodw ill and intangible assets Investments Cash & bank balance Debtors and unbilled revenues Other current assets Other non-current assets Total assets Equity Borrow ings Unearned revenues Other current liabilities Non-current liabilities Total liabilities C 10 2,919 1,160 397 4,356 2,253 1,298 182 12,564 9,655 112 85 2,700 13 12,564 C 11 3,408 1,377 229 4,377 3,507 1,433 195 14,525 10,162 135 4,196 32 14,525 C 12e 3,755 1,377 229 4,583 4,204 1,440 195 15,783 11,484 150 4,116 32 15,783 C 13e 4,113 1,377 229 5,027 4,751 1,490 195 17,182 12,961 200 3,988 32 17,182
Financial ratios
Y/E Dec Profitability and return ratio(%) EBITDAM EBITM NPM RoE Per share data (Rs) EPS CEPS BV DPS Valuation ratios PE (x) P/BV (x) ( ) P/S (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EV/Sales (x) Turnover ratio DSO (days) Source: Company, SSLe C 10 8.9 6.6 8.1 11.9 3.7 4.5 33.2 1.5 33.6 3.7 1.7 14.3 1.3 78 C 11 18.2 16.5 18.4 26.9 9.1 9.9 34.6 4.0 13.7 3.6 2.5 12.1 2.2 88 C 12e 22.4 21.0 17.1 31.4 11.4 12.4 38.7 6.0 10.9 3.2 1.9 7.2 1.6 77 C 13e 21.2 19.8 15.8 29.2 12.0 13.1 43.5 6.0 10.4 2.9 1.7 6.7 1.4 77
MindTree Financials
Income statement
Y/E Mar (Rs m n) Revenue YoY (%) EBITDA YoY (%) Depreciation & amortisation p EBIT YoY (%) Other income PBT Provision for taxation Effective tax rate (%) Profit after tax YoY (%) Non-controlling interest Net incom e F 11 15,090 16.4 1,778 (27.6) 712 1,066 (40.9) 242 1,304 288 22.1 1,016 (52.7) 1,016 F 12 19,152 26.9 2,930 64.8 695 2,235 109.7 385 2,615 430 16.4 2,185 115.1 2,185 F 13e 24,189 26.3 4,707 60.6 722 3,985 78.3 (295) 3,678 842 22.9 2,837 29.8 2,837 F 14e 25,936 7.2 4,451 (5.4) 852 3,599 (9.7) 437 4,025 926 23.0 3,099 9.2 3,099
Balance sheet
Y/E Mar (Rs m n) Net fixed assets Goodw ill Investments Cash & bank balance Debtors and unbilled revenues Other current assets Other non-current assets Total assets Equity Borrow ings Unearned revenues Other current liabilities Non-current liabilities Total liabilities F 11 3,007 1,112 459 3,275 1,549 743 10,145 7,762 41 41 2,095 206 10,145 F 12 2,676 1 3,082 602 4,556 1,308 1,122 13,346 9,572 444 19 3,277 34 13,346 F 13e 3,004 2 4,507 690 5,635 1,319 1,165 16,321 12,171 444 19 3,653 34 16,321 F 14e 3,052 3 6,907 1,042 6,043 1,389 1,215 19,648 15,008 444 19 4,143 34 19,648
Financial ratios
Y/E Mar Profitability and return ratio(%) EBITDAM EBITM NPM RoE Per share data (Rs) EPS CEPS BV DPS Valuation ratios PE (x) P/BV (x) ( ) P/S (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EV/Sales (x) Turnover ratio DSO (days) Source: Company, SSLe F 11 11.8 7.1 6.7 14.0 25.4 43.2 193.9 2.5 27.2 3.6 1.8 14.7 1.7 79 F 12 15.3 11.7 11.4 25.2 53.9 71.0 236.1 4.0 12.8 2.9 1.5 8.4 1.3 87 F 13e 19.5 16.5 11.7 26.1 69.7 87.4 299.1 5.0 9.9 2.3 1.2 5.0 1.0 85 F 14e 17.2 13.9 11.9 22.8 76.1 97.1 368.8 5.5 9.1 1.9 1.1 4.6 0.8 85
MphasiS Financials
Income statement
Y/E Oct (Rs m n) Revenue YoY (%) EBITDA YoY (%) Depreciation & amortisation p Operating profit YoY (%) Other income (net) PBT Provision for taxation Effective tax rate (%) Profit after tax YoY (%) Exceptional items Net profit F 10 50,365 18.1 12,649 12.2 1,638 11,011 19.0 1,088 12,099 1,192 9.8 10,908 20.0 10,908 F 11 50,980 1.2 9,845 (22.2) 1,552 8,294 (24.7) 1,752 10,046 1,828 18.2 8,218 (24.7) 8,218 F 12e 54,282 6.5 10,494 6.6 1,757 8,737 5.3 1,398 10,135 2,348 23.2 7,787 (5.2) 7,787 F 13e 56,162 3.5 10,674 1.7 1,761 8,913 2.0 1,407 10,320 2,374 23.0 7,946 2.0 7,946
Balance sheet
Y/E Oct (Rs m n) Fixed assets Goodw ill Investments Cash and bank balances Debtors and unbilled revenues Other current assets Other non-current assets Total assets Equity Borrow ings Unearned revenues Other current liabilities Other non-current liabilities Total liabilities F 10 2,512 3,886 14,602 1,784 11,977 9,446 754 44,960 32,991 454 158 11,354 3 44,960 F 11 2,946 8,698 17,766 2,897 13,072 9,641 975 55,994 38,998 2,923 368 13,683 22 55,994 F 12e 2,557 9,698 22,000 3,884 13,385 9,944 975 62,443 45,187 3,290 297 13,646 22 62,443 F 13e 2,392 9,298 28,000 4,135 13,848 10,244 975 68,892 51,412 3,290 308 13,859 22 68,892
Financial ratios
Y/E Oct Profitability and return ratios (%) EBITDAM EBITM NPM RoE Per share data (Rs) EPS CEPS BV DPS Valuation ratios PE (x) P/BV (x) ( ) P/S (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EV/Sales (x) Turnover ratios DSO (days) Source: Company, SSLe F 10 25.1 21.9 21.7 38.6 52.0 59.8 157.2 4.0 7.5 2.5 1.6 5.2 1.3 87 F 11 19.3 16.3 16.1 22.8 39.1 46.5 185.7 6.5 10.0 2.1 1.6 6.5 1.3 94 F 12e 19.3 16.1 14.3 18.5 37.1 45.4 215.1 6.5 10.5 1.8 1.5 5.6 1.1 90 F 13e 19.0 15.9 14.1 16.5 37.8 46.2 244.7 7.0 10.3 1.6 1.5 5.0 0.9 90
Balance sheet
Y/E Mar (Rs m n) Net fixed assets Goodw ill and intangible assets Investments Cash & bank balance Debtors and unbilled revenues Other current assets Other non-current assets Total assets Equity Borrow ings Unearned revenues Other current liabilities Non-current liabilities Total liabilities F 11 2,312 955 443 1,139 3,533 , 1,267 491 10,139 7,521 107 1 2,507 3 10,139 F 12 2,868 1,365 549 2,223 4,642 , 1,013 602 13,262 9,222 486 59 3,491 3 13,262 F 13e 3,636 1,398 650 2,343 5,706 , 1,207 661 15,600 10,931 486 76 4,104 3 15,600 F 14e 4,099 1,458 750 3,209 6,315 , 1,304 706 17,841 12,799 486 90 4,461 3 17,841
Financial ratios
Y/E Mar Profitability and return ratio(%) EBITDAM EBITM NPM RoE Per share data (Rs) EPS CEPS BV DPS Valuation ratios PE (x) P/BV (x) ( ) P/S (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EV/Sales (x) Turnover ratio DSO (days) Source: Company, SSLe F 11 19.5 17.0 14.8 27.3 30.8 36.1 126.9 7.5 9.4 2.3 1.4 6.5 1.3 109 F 12 17.0 14.7 12.5 23.6 33.1 39.2 154.6 8.0 8.8 1.9 1.1 5.6 1.0 112 F 13e 17.5 15.0 11.4 22.4 37.7 45.9 182.4 8.5 7.7 1.6 0.9 4.3 0.7 109 F 14e 17.6 15.0 11.2 20.7 41.0 50.3 213.6 9.0 7.1 1.4 0.8 3.6 0.6 109
Key to investment Ratings Guide to the expected return over the next 12 months. 1=BUY (expected to give absolute returns of 20 or more percentage points); 2=ACCUMULATE/ADD (expected to give absolute returns between 10 to 20 percentage points); 3=REDUCE (expected to give absolute returns between 0 to 10 percentage points); 4=SELL (expected to give absolute negative returns)
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