To: From: Subject: Date:

John Rogers, NRCC John McLaughlin & Brian Larkin MA CD 06 Executive Summary October 12th, 2012

The results of our poll taken on October 10th & 11th, 2012 indicate that Richard Tisei built on his lead over John Tierney and now leads with near majority support. Tisei receives 50% on the ballot, compared to just 33% for the embattled Democratic incumbent, John Tierney. This represents a net 15 point swing in favor of Republican challenger Richard Tisei.
Now, if the general election for United States Congress were held today and the candidates were Richard Tisei, the Republican, John Tierney, the Democrat and Dan Fishman, the Libertarian candidate, for whom would you vote? 9/12 10/12 COMBO RICHARD TISEI 41% 50% Vote Tisei 37% 49% Lean Tisei 4% 1% COMBO JOHN TIERNEY 39% 33% Vote Tierney 36% 31% Lean Tierney 3% 2% COMBO DAN FISHMAN 6% 6% Vote Fishman 5% 5% Lean Fishman 1% 1% UNDECIDED 14% 11%

Richard Tiseis 9 point increase in his ballot rating has coincided with a 10 point increase in his favorable rating. In September Tisei had a 37% favorable to 25% unfavorable. Today Tisei is 47% favorable to 25% unfavorable.
Please tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Richard Tisei:
FAVORABLE Very Favorable Somewhat Favorable UNFAVORABLE Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unfavorable NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF 9/12 37.0% 18.3% 18.7% 24.7% 12.7% 12.0% 24.0% 14.3% 10/12 47.0% 30.8% 16.3% 24.8% 8.0% 16.8% 20.3% 8.0%

__________________________________________________________________ 919 Prince Street * Alexandria, Virginia 22314 * Phone: 703-518-4445 * FAX: 703-518-4447 566 South Route 303 * Blauvelt, NY 10913 * Phone: 845-365-2000 * FAX: 845-365-2008

Conversely, John Tierneys favorable rating has decreased by 6 points. Tierney went from 38% favorable in September to 32% favorable today. Moreover Tierneys unfavorable rating went increased by 8 points, going from 46% in September to 54% today.
Please tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Tierney:
FAVORABLE Very Favorable Somewhat Favorable UNFAVORABLE Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unfavorable NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF 9/12 38.0% 14.7% 23.3% 46.0% 17.7% 28.3% 13.0% 3.0% 10/12 32.3% 18.5% 13.8% 54.3% 12.3% 42.0% 12.0% 1.5%

Scott Brown continues to hold a commanding lead over Elizabeth Warren 55% to 40%, with 5% undecided.
If the election were held today, which one of the following best describes how you are likely to vote in the election for United States Senate between Scott Brown, the Republican candidate and Elizabeth Warren, the Democratic candidate?
COMBO SCOTT BROWN Definitely Probably Lean COMBO ELIZABETH WARREN Definitely Probably Lean UNDECIDED 9/12 53.7% 48.3% 4.3% 1.0% 41.7% 34.0% 5.7% 2.0% 4.7% 10/12 54.5% 48.0% 5.3% 1.3% 40.3% 33.3% 4.5% 2.5% 5.3%

Conclusion: With less than 4 weeks to go till Election Day, Richard Tisei has a strong lead over John Tierney. It is crucial for the Richard Tisei to build on his momentum and have enough resources in the coming weeks to ensure a victory in November.

__________________________________________________________________ 919 Prince Street * Alexandria, Virginia 22314 * Phone: 703-518-4445 * FAX: 703-518-4447 566 South Route 303 * Blauvelt, NY 10913 * Phone: 845-365-2000 * FAX: 845-365-2008

Demographics: Party Republican Democrat Independent Age 18-29 30-40 41-55 56-65 Over 65 Methodology: This survey of political attitudes was conducted among 400 general election voters in Massachusettss Sixth Congressional District, on October 10th and 11th, 2012. All interviews were conducted by professional interviewers via telephone. Interview selection was at random within predetermined election units. These units were structured to statistically correlate with actual general election voter turnout. The accuracy of the sample of 400 general election voters in Massachusettss Sixth Congressional District is within +/- 4.9%, at a 95% confidence interval. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations. Total 5.3% 13.3% 27.3% 27.3% 23.8% Gender Male Female Total 48.0% 52.0% Total 14.8% 29.8% 52.5% Geography Middlesex County Essex County Total 28.0% 72.0%

__________________________________________________________________ 919 Prince Street * Alexandria, Virginia 22314 * Phone: 703-518-4445 * FAX: 703-518-4447 566 South Route 303 * Blauvelt, NY 10913 * Phone: 845-365-2000 * FAX: 845-365-2008