Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Market Outlook Market Outlook: Dealer's Diary
Market Outlook Market Outlook: Dealer's Diary
Dealers Diary
Domestic Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
The Indian markets are expected to open in the red following negative start to SGX
Nifty and other major Asian indices.
BSE Sensex
0.3
48.6 18,759
Nifty
0.2
13.9
5,705
MID CAP
0.2
10.1
6,659
SMALL CAP
(0.2)
(12.1)
7,161
BSE HC
(0.4)
(27.5)
7,570
BSE PSU
(0.2)
(12.4)
7,347
BANKEX
0.4
46.6 13,340
AUTO
0.6
59.3 10,207
METAL
(0.2)
(20.9) 10,235
Going ahead, earning releases and economic data may attract attention on Friday.
The Commerce Department is scheduled to release its initial report on US GDP in
the third quarter.
Dow Jones
0.2
NASDAQ
0.2
4.4
2,986
FTSE
0.0
0.3
5,805
Markets Today
Nikkei
1.1
100.9
9,055
Hang Seng
0.2
46.5 21,810
The trend deciding level for the day is 18,749 / 5,703 levels. If NIFTY trades above
this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally
up to 18,799 18,840 / 5,721 5,736 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below
18,749 / 5,703 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to
18,708 18,658 / 5,688 5,670 levels.
Straits Times
0.4
12.8
3,058
(0.7)
(14.4)
2,102
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
INFY
1.1
0.5
$43.5
Indices
SENSEX
NIFTY
WIT
(0.2)
(0.0)
$8.1
IBN
1.4
0.5
$40.3
HDB
1.6
0.6
$37.4
S2
18,658
5,670
S1
18,708
5,688
PIVOT
18,749
5,703
R1
18,799
5,721
R2
18,840
5,736
Shanghai Com
Indian ADRs
0.2
13.9
8,470
(0.1)
(5.8)
5,692
(Pts)
(Close)
Chg (%)
26.3 13,104
News Analysis
Purch
2,319
297
Sales
1,893
495
Net
427
(198)
MTD
12,637
(2,284)
YTD
57,842
(10,206)
Purch
6,317
8,429
Sales
5,413
9,160
Net
904
(731)
Open Interest
10,172
27,933
Gainers / Losers
Gainers
Company
Losers
Price (`)
chg (%)
Price (`)
chg (%)
Oriental Bank
314
7.1
IRB Infra.
119
(15.7)
Indiabulls Fin.
254
4.7
Havells India
620
(4.2)
Bajaj Finserve
922
4.4
Sun TV Network
344
(3.5)
Yes Bank
417
4.3
Oberoi Realty
270
(3.4)
M&M
858
3.6
United Spirits
1,225
(3.1)
www.angelbroking.com
Company
Advances / Declines
BSE
NSE
Advances
1,288
603
Declines
1,556
903
138
67
Unchanged
Volumes (` cr)
BSE
2,543
NSE
13,541
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
Result Review
Mahindra and Mahindra (CMP: `858/ TP: `944/ Upside: 10%)
Mahindra and Mahindra (MM) reported extremely strong results for 2QFY2013
riding on the robust growth of its automotive segment. For 2QFY2013, top-line
registered an in-line growth of 33.4% yoy (4.8% qoq) to `9,813cr driven by 58.3%
yoy (13.9% qoq) growth in the automotive segment revenues. Total volumes
registered a modest growth of 6.9% yoy (2.9% qoq) as the farm equipment
segment volumes declined 13.1% yoy (16.3% qoq) in the wake of a below normal
monsoon. Automotive segment volumes, however, posted a strong 16.3% yoy
(12.1% qoq) growth led by 31.5% yoy growth in the utility vehicle portfolio backed
by XUV5OO. The net average realization jumped 15.6% yoy (down 6% qoq) led by
higher share of premium products (mainly XUV5OO) in the volume-mix and price
increases over the last one year.
On the operating front, EBITDA margins contracted 60bp yoy (44bp qoq) to 11.4%
largely due to raw-material cost pressures. As a result, total raw-material cost as a
percentage of sales increased 234bp yoy (flat qoq) to 74.9%. However, employee
and other expenditure declined by 100bp and 80bp yoy respectively mainly due to
operating leverage benefits. EBIT margins in the automotive and farm equipment
segments declined by 53bp (up 59bp qoq) and 55bp yoy (90bp qoq) to 9.4% and
14.8%, respectively. Nonetheless, led by strong volume growth in the automotive
segment, automotive EBIT registered an impressive growth of 49.9% yoy (21.5%
qoq). As a result, MMs adjusted net profit grew strongly by 22.4% yoy (24.3%
qoq) to `902cr. The benefits of 30% yoy growth in other income (due to 28.2%
increase in dividends from subsidaries) were negated by 41.9% yoy (15.2% qoq)
increase in depreciation expense (related to Quanto launch) during the quarter. At
`858, the stock is trading at 15.2x FY2014E earnings. Currently we have an
Accumulate rating on the stock with a target price of `944. We shall revise our
estimates and come up with a detailed result update soon.
Y/E
March
FY2013
FY2014
Sales
(` cr)
OPM
(%)
PAT
(` cr)
EPS
(`)
ROE
(%)
P/E
(x)
P/BV
(x)
EV/EBITDA
(x)
EV/Sales
(x)
37,434
42,860
11.6
11.5
2,966
3,317
50.4
56.3
22.6
21.5
17.0
15.2
3.6
3.0
9.5
8.1
1.0
0.8
Sales
(` cr)
OPM
(%)
PAT
(` cr)
EPS
(`)
ROE
(%)
P/E
(x)
P/BV
(x)
EV/EBITDA
(x)
EV/Sales
(x)
11,198
16.3
1,161
121.0
37.4
32.4
10.9
20.0
3.3
13,184
16.3
1,389
144.8
35.3
27.0
8.5
16.8
2.7
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
Net sales grew marginally by 0.1% yoy to `1,586cr (below our estimate of
`1,890cr). Its aluminium production decreased by 2.9% yoy to 102,000 tonnes
while alumina production increased by 2.6% yoy to 398,000 tonnes. Power costs
as a percentage of net sales stood at 47.5%, compared to 40.3% in 2QFY2012.
Further, other manufacturing expenses as a percentage of net sales stood at
19.4%, compared to 6.3% in 2QFY2012. Hence, Nalco reported an EBITDA loss
of `2cr, compared to an EBITDA of `153cr reported in 2QFY2012. Other income,
however, grew by 5.3% yoy to `139cr. Consequently, the company reported a net
profit of `5cr (significantly above our estimate of `212cr), compared to `139cr in
2QFY2012. We recommend Reduce rating on the stock while we keep our target
price under review.
Y/E
March
FY2013
FY2014
Sales
(` cr)
OPM
(%)
PAT
(` cr)
EPS
(`)
ROE
(%)
P/E
(x)
P/BV
(x)
EV/EBITDA
(x)
EV/Sales
(x)
7,401
7,841
16.7
19.2
882
1,055
3.4
4.1
7.4
8.4
14.6
12.2
1.1
1.0
7.5
6.3
1.3
1.2
The bank has shed ~6,000cr of bulk deposits during the last 6 months
leading to slower growth on the advances front. The bank is expected to pick
up pace in its loan growth hereon and as per the management excess SLR and
traction in retail deposits, despite further reduction in bulk deposits, should be
able to fund higher loan growth. Reduction in bulk deposits has led to
improvement in margins for the bank on a sequential basis.
The banks restructuring book increased by `329cr during 2QFY2013, taking
the total restructuring book to `11,493cr. The management expects `2,500cr
of restructuring during 2QFY2013. Slippages were under control during
2QFY2012 with annualised slippage rate at 2.3%. Gross NPA stood at 2.9%
while the net NPA for the bank stood at 2.1%.
Following the strong run-up in the stock recently, we recommend Neutral
rating on the stock
Y/E
March
Op. Inc
NIM
PAT
EPS
ABV
ROA
ROE
P/E
P/ABV
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2013
6,278
2.7
1,654
56.7
405.6
0.9
14.1
5.0
0.7
FY2014
7,125
2.8
1,827
62.6
457.2
0.9
13.9
4.5
0.6
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
Y/E
March
FY2013
FY2014
Sales
(` cr)
OPM
(%)
PAT
(` cr)
EPS
(`)
ROE
(%)
P/E
(x)
P/BV
(x)
EV/EBITDA
(x)
EV/Sales
(x)
2,850
3,474
20.7
20.7
368
462
29.2
36.6
26.1
26.1
15.9
12.6
3.7
3.0
10.7
8.7
2.2
1.8
www.angelbroking.com
Sales
OPM
PAT
EPS
Mar
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
FY2013E
FY2014E
3,649
4,235
5.3
7.7
98
182
10
18
ROIC
P/E
P/BV
EV/EBITDA
EV/sales
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
18.3
29.4
21.8
11.8
2.8
2.3
12.0
7.0
0.6
0.5
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
Result Preview
NTPC (CMP: `170 / TP: - / Upside: - %)
For 2QFY2013, we expect NTPC to record a 4.9% yoy increase in its top line to
`16,126cr, driven largely by better realizations. Operating Margins are expected
to expand by 114bp yoy to 22.2% due to better plant availability. However, Net
profit is expected to decline by a marginal 2.5% yoy to `2,365cr. We remain
Neutral on the stock.
Y/E
March
Sales OPM
(` cr)
PAT
EPS ROE
(`)
(%)
P/E P/BV
EV/EBITDA
EV/Sales
(%)
(` cr)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2013E
74,111 22.7
9,972
1.7
11.0
2.5
FY2014E
85,789 23.1
11,333
1.6
10.0
2.3
Op. Inc
NIM
PAT
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(%)
(x)
P/E
P/ABV
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2013E
22,304
2.9
7,904
68.6 568.6
1.4 14.2
15.7
1.9
FY2014E
26,855
3.0
9,456
82.0 622.1
1.4 15.5
13.2
1.7
www.angelbroking.com
Y/E
Sales OPM
March
(` cr)
(%)
PAT
(` cr)
EPS ROE
(`)
(%)
P/E P/BV
(x)
EV/EBITDA
EV/Sales
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2013E
25,350 13.9
3,081
33.2
4.6
FY2014E
28,974 13.9
3,561
28.6
4.0
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
Sales OPM
March
(` cr)
PAT
EV/EBITDA
EV/Sales
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
4,488
1.8
5.2
0.8
4,634
36.5 17.0
1.6
4.3
0.7
(%)
(` cr)
FY2013E
50,176 15.5
FY2014E
55,815 15.8
EPS ROE
(`)
P/E P/BV
(%)
9.9
Op. Inc
NIM
PAT
EPS
ABV
ROA
ROE
P/E
P/ABV
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2013E
19,934
3.3
5,011
147.7
843.3
1.0
17.7
5.4
0.9
FY2014E
22,705
3.3
5,638
166.2
990.5
1.0
17.3
4.8
0.8
Sales OPM
March
(` cr)
(%)
PAT
(` cr)
EPS ROE
(`)
(%)
P/E P/BV
(x)
EV/EBITDA
EV/Sales
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2013E
6,124 17.0
779
22.6
3.8
FY2014E
7,030 16.8
902
19.7
3.3
9.7
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
Y/E
Sales OPM
March
(` cr)
PAT
(%)
(` cr)
EPS ROE
(`)
(%)
P/E P/BV
EV/EBITDA
EV/Sales
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2013E
38,740 17.2
1,782
79.9 10.4
9.1
0.9
4.9
0.9
FY2014E
41,459 17.0
1,994
89.4 10.6
8.2
0.8
4.8
0.8
Sales OPM
(` cr)
PAT
EPS ROE
(`)
P/E P/BV
EV/EBITDA
EV/Sales
(%)
(` cr)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2013E
7,704 33.6
3,737
42.0 22.3
4.0
0.8
6.6
2.2
FY2014E
8,034 34.6
3,830
43.1 19.2
3.9
0.7
6.0
2.1
Op. Inc
NIM
PAT
EPS
ABV
ROA
ROE
P/E
P/ABV
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2013E
7,343
2.5
1,274
16.0 139.8
0.5
11.3
4.9
0.6
FY2014E
8,391
2.5
1,697
21.3 157.7
0.6
13.6
3.7
0.5
March
Op. Inc
NIM
PAT
EPS
ABV
ROA
ROE
P/E
P/ABV
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2013E
3,572
2.8
700
17.2 121.7
0.7
14.2
3.7
0.5
FY2014E
4,041
2.9
875
22.0 141.0
0.7
16.2
2.9
0.5
March
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
2QFY13E
2QFY12
y-o-y (%)
1QFY13
q-o-q (%)
1,515
1,262
20
1,462
EBITDA
272
241
13
232
17
18.0
19.1
Net profit
199
174
14
172
16
2QFY13E
2QFY12
y-o-y (%)
1QFY13
q-o-q (%)
11,270
9,699
16
11,089
1,761
1,676
1,922
(8)
15.6
17.3
1,060
1,094
(3)
1,134
(7)
2QFY13E
2QFY12
y-o-y (%)
1QFY13
q-o-q (%)
6,273
5,522
14
6,250
EBITDA
929
827
12
976
(5)
14.8
15.0
Net profit
772
689
12
1,331
(42)
2QFY13E
2QFY12
y-o-y (%)
1QFY13
q-o-q (%)
1,874
1,815
1,503
25
2QFY13E
2QFY12
y-o-y (%)
1QFY13
q-o-q (%)
428
524
(18)
381
12
2QFY13E
2QFY12
y-o-y (%)
1QFY13
q-o-q (%)
15,552
15,378
15,960
(3)
3,392
3,560
(5)
3,837
(12)
21.8
23.1
2,170
2,424
Net sales
15.9
Gail (26/10/2012)
Particulars (` cr)
Net sales
EBITDA
EBITDA margin (%)
Net profit
17.3
15.6
NTPC (26/10/2012)
Particulars (` cr)
Net sales
EBITDA
EBITDA margin (%)
Net profit
24.0
(10)
2,499
(13)
2QFY13E
2QFY12
y-o-y (%)
1QFY13
q-o-q (%)
1,241
1,205
1,246
(0)
2QFY13E
2QFY12
y-o-y (%)
1QFY13
q-o-q (%)
373
784
(52)
1,725
(78)
96
260
(63)
676
(86)
25.6
33.2
Net profit
596
Net sales
EBITDA
www.angelbroking.com
39.2
45746
964
(38)
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
2QFY13E
2QFY12
y-o-y (%)
1QFY13
q-o-q (%)
532
516
427
25
2QFY13E
2QFY12
y-o-y (%)
1QFY13
q-o-q (%)
Net sales
8,972
8,134
10
9,902
(9)
EBITDA
1,529
1,394
10
1,908
(20)
17.0
17.1
Net profit
496
(665)
(175)
51
873
2QFY13E
2QFY12
y-o-y (%)
1QFY13
q-o-q (%)
11,176
10,299
83,262
(87)
1,886
1,959
(4)
1,202
57
16.9
19.0
1,346
1,412
(5)
921
46
2QFY13E
2QFY12
y-o-y (%)
1QFY13
q-o-q (%)
779
491
59
887
(12)
2QFY13E
2QFY12
y-o-y (%)
1QFY13
q-o-q (%)
Net sales
780
657
19
736
EBITDA
157
131
20
162
(3)
20.1
19.9
Net profit
122
100
Net profit
19.3
BHEL (29/10/2012)
Particulars (` cr)
Net sales
EBITDA
EBITDA margin (%)
Net profit
1.4
Colgate (29/10/2012)
Particulars (` cr)
22.0
22
117
Decision on sugar import duty revision after three months: Sharad Pawar
India seeks Israeli expertise in renewable energy sector
Commerce ministry to approach Cabinet over tax incentives to SEZs
Corporate News
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
Result Calendar
Date
Company
NTPC, ICICI Bank, HUL, GAIL, Punjab Natl.Bank, Sesa Goa, IDFC, Dabur India, IOB, United Bank, Hind. Const.
JSW Steel
Wipro, Rural Elec.Corp., Union Bank, Marico, Apollo Tyres, Indoco Remedies, Dishman Pharma
Tech Mahindra, Allahabad Bank, Gujarat Gas, Vijaya Bank, Madras Cements, India Cements, CEAT, ITD
Cementation, Vesuvius India
Hindalco, Tata Power Co., Bosch India, ABB, Andhra Bank, Central Bank, Britannia, ITNL, Dena Bank, Amara Raja
Batteries, GIPCL
Bharti Airtel, Cadila Healthcare, Indraprasth Gas, GSPL
ONGC, BPCL, GSK Pharma, GlaxoSmith Con, Tata Chemicals, Aurobindo Pharma, Subros
Country
Event Description
Unit
Period
Bloomberg Data
Last Reported Estimated
India
3Q A
1.30
1.80
Value
Oct F
(25.60)
(25.60)
Oct 30
8.00
8.00
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Oct
49.80
50.40
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Oct F
45.70
45.70
Thousands
Oct
114.00
121.00
Value
Oct F
49.30
--
% Change
Sep
(1.20)
--
% Ratio
Nov 8
0.50
0.50
US
Nov 6 2012 12:00AM Germany
UK
% Change
% Change
Oct
1.90
--
Exports YoY%
% Change
Oct
9.90
--
% Change
Sep
2.70
--
CPI (YoY)
% Change
Oct
2.20
--
% Change
Oct
7.81
--
% Change
3Q P
0.50
--
Oct
0.41
--
www.angelbroking.com
Industrial Production
Market Strategy
October 26, 2012
Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends
(%)
(%)
10.0
8.0
9.2
9.0
8.5
9.0
8.2
7.5
8.0
6.0
8.0
7.6
6.0
6.7
7.0
6.1
5.7
5.3 5.5
5.0
(%)
Aug-12
Jul-12
Jun-12
May-12
Apr-12
Mar-12
Feb-12
(2.8)
(4.0)
(1.8)
(6.0)
(5.0)
Mfg. PMI
60.0
Services PMI
58.0
9.5
7.7
8.0
(0.2)
12.0
9.9
(1.3)
10.0
Jan-12
Dec-11
Nov-11
1QFY13
4QFY12
3QFY12
2QFY12
1QFY12
4QFY11
3QFY11
2QFY11
1QFY11
4QFY10
3QFY10
2QFY10
1QFY10
Oct-11
(2.0)
4QFY09
1.0
3.5
3.0
6.9
7.4
7.7
7.5
7.6
7.6
7.5
7.6
7.8
56.0
Sep-12
Aug-12
Jul-12
Jun-12
May-12
Apr-12
Mar-12
Feb-12
Jan-12
Dec-11
Nov-11
Sep-11
Sep-12
Aug-12
Jul-12
Jun-12
May-12
Apr-12
Mar-12
Feb-12
48.0
Jan-12
50.0
0.0
Dec-11
2.0
Nov-11
52.0
Oct-11
4.0
Oct-11
54.0
6.0
60.0
(%)
9.00
45.0
8.00
30.0
7.00
Repo rate
CRR
8.00
7.00
6.00
4.50
5.00
www.angelbroking.com
Aug-12
Jul-12
Jun-12
May-12
Apr-12
Mar-12
Feb-12
Jan-12
Dec-11
Nov-11
Jul-12
Jun-12
May-12
Apr-12
Mar-12
Feb-12
4.00
Sep-11
(30.0)
Jan-12
Dec-11
Nov-11
Oct-11
Sep-11
Aug-11
0.0
Sep-12
15.0
(15.0)
2.5
2.7
2.5
2.0
Oct-11
4.0
4.3
2.7
Sep-11
6.0
4.0
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
Neutral
147
2,864
1,466
1,686
14.8
14.8
7.0
8.1
21.0
18.2
4.5
3.8
22.6
22.5
2.0
1.7
United Phosphorus
Buy
124
170
5,730
8,421
9,263
16.5
16.5
15.0
17.0
8.3
7.3
1.2
1.1
15.6
15.5
0.8
0.7
Neutral
220
3,754
2,844
3,275
15.4
15.6
15.9
18.8
13.8
11.7
3.6
2.8
28.9
26.9
1.3
1.1
Apollo Tyres
Accumulate
90
99
4,531
13,412
15,041
11.3
11.0
12.1
14.2
7.4
6.4
1.3
1.1
19.6
19.2
0.5
0.4
Ashok Leyland
Buy
24
30
6,439
14,920
16,850
9.0
9.3
2.2
2.8
11.1
8.8
2.0
1.8
13.3
15.6
0.5
0.4
Automotive Axle#
Accumulate
405
430
612
993
1,140
11.6
11.5
36.9
43.0
11.0
9.4
2.2
1.9
21.2
21.3
0.7
0.5
Bajaj Auto
Neutral
1,797
52,011
21,121
23,642
18.4
18.5
108.7
122.6
16.5
14.7
6.9
5.5
46.2
41.6
2.1
1.8
Bharat Forge
Buy
300
351
6,973
7,004
7,985
16.2
16.4
20.3
25.1
14.7
12.0
2.7
2.3
20.0
20.9
1.2
1.0
Bosch India*
Neutral
8,453
26,543
8,793
10,294
17.4
18.5
348.3
435.8
24.3
19.4
4.7
3.9
19.4
20.1
2.8
2.4
CEAT
Buy
113
164
386
4,989
5,634
8.7
8.5
32.7
41.1
3.4
2.7
0.5
0.4
15.8
16.9
0.3
0.2
Exide Industries
Accumulate
148
155
12,601
6,229
7,200
14.8
15.8
7.2
9.0
20.7
16.6
3.6
3.1
18.5
19.9
1.6
1.3
FAG Bearings*
Neutral
1,645
2,734
1,505
1,768
17.5
18.0
111.2
132.7
14.8
12.4
3.1
2.5
22.8
22.2
1.7
1.4
Hero Motocorp
Accumulate
1,924
1,956
38,414
24,743
27,996
14.8
15.2
118.2
130.4
16.3
14.8
7.0
5.5
48.3
41.9
1.2
1.0
JK Tyre
Accumulate
107
135
440
7,517
8,329
6.1
6.3
26.2
38.5
4.1
2.8
0.5
0.4
13.4
17.2
0.4
0.3
846
944
51,958
37,434
42,860
11.6
11.5
50.4
56.3
16.8
15.0
3.5
3.0
22.6
21.5
1.1
0.9
Maruti
Neutral
1,314
37,970
41,796
49,350
7.6
8.6
66.6
92.6
19.7
14.2
2.3
2.0
12.0
14.8
0.7
0.6
Motherson Sumi
Neutral
220
8,626
24,285
27,317
6.7
7.2
8.1
10.6
27.4
20.8
5.8
4.7
22.9
24.7
0.5
0.5
Subros
Buy
30
34
178
1,230
1,378
8.8
8.6
4.5
5.7
6.6
5.2
0.6
0.6
9.8
11.8
0.4
0.3
Tata Motors
Buy
263
316
12.8
13.0
39.0
44.9
6.8
5.9
1.9
1.5
32.6
28.8
0.4
0.4
TVS Motor
Buy
42
49
2,017
7,611
8,443
7.9
7.9
4.7
5.4
9.0
7.8
1.5
1.3
17.9
18.1
0.2
0.2
ABB*
Sell
779
593
16,509
8,760
10,023
6.2
8.7
14.5
24.7
53.9
31.5
5.9
5.1
11.6
17.6
1.8
1.6
BGR Energy
Neutral
274
1,977
3,669
4,561
11.0
11.0
24.7
29.6
11.1
9.3
1.6
1.5
15.3
16.7
1.0
1.0
BHEL
Neutral
253
61,949
47,801
43,757
19.0
18.8
25.3
22.8
10.0
11.1
3.1
2.6
34.3
25.3
1.1
1.2
Blue Star
Buy
179
249
1,611
2,763
2,948
3.2
5.6
3.5
9.1
51.8
19.7
3.9
3.4
7.7
18.4
0.7
0.7
Crompton Greaves
Accumulate
129
141
8,291
12,691
14,126
7.4
8.9
7.0
9.7
18.5
13.3
2.1
1.9
11.9
15.0
0.7
0.6
Jyoti Structures
Buy
46
54
382
2,622
2,744
10.7
10.5
9.6
12.2
4.9
3.8
0.5
0.5
10.8
12.3
0.4
0.3
KEC International
Accumulate
71
78
1,825
6,858
7,431
7.1
7.5
8.3
9.8
8.6
7.3
1.5
1.2
25.1
24.0
0.4
0.4
LMW
Neutral
1,987
2,238
2,369
2,727
11.7
11.7
143.4
166.0
13.9
12.0
2.3
2.1
17.4
18.4
0.5
0.4
Thermax
Neutral
564
6,719
5,514
5,559
8.9
10.2
26.9
30.3
21.0
18.6
3.6
3.2
18.4
18.2
1.1
1.0
Capital Goods
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
Cement
ACC
Neutral
1,429
26,836
11,085
12,415
21.6
21.4
79.4
83.1
18.0
17.2
3.5
3.2
20.1
19.2
2.1
1.8
Ambuja Cements
Neutral
202
31,169
10,272
11,884
26.4
26.1
11.5
12.9
17.7
15.7
3.9
3.5
20.8
21.1
2.7
2.2
India Cements
Neutral
92
2,840
4,354
4,929
18.6
18.7
9.8
12.3
9.4
7.5
0.8
0.8
8.6
10.2
1.2
1.0
J K Lakshmi Cements
Neutral
106
1,295
1,964
2,278
19.5
20.4
16.3
17.9
6.5
5.9
0.9
0.8
14.7
14.6
0.9
1.3
Madras Cements
Neutral
185
4,404
3,608
3,928
27.6
27.0
15.7
18.3
11.8
10.1
1.9
1.6
16.9
17.0
1.9
1.6
Shree Cements^
Neutral
3,700
12,889
5,701
6,210
29.7
28.1
240.7
260.7
15.4
14.2
3.7
3.0
27.1
23.6
2.0
1.6
UltraTech Cement
Neutral
1,883
51,608
21,368
24,043
22.5
23.5
103.5
121.4
18.2
15.5
3.4
2.9
20.2
20.1
2.5
2.4
227
304
1,195
2,034
2,315
22.4
22.4
27.1
31.7
8.4
7.2
1.0
0.9
13.1
13.4
1.8
2.1
Construction
Ashoka Buildcon
Buy
Consolidated Co
Neutral
15
270
2,262
2,522
6.7
7.5
1.5
2.7
9.8
5.5
0.4
0.4
4.4
7.5
0.4
0.4
Hind. Const.
Neutral
18
1,116
4,239
4,522
9.9
11.2
(2.3)
(1.0)
(8.2)
(19.1)
1.0
1.1
(11.4)
(5.6)
1.2
1.2
IRB Infra
Buy
158
166
5,248
3,964
4,582
42.3
40.2
15.7
16.9
10.0
9.3
1.6
1.4
16.6
15.8
2.7
2.6
ITNL
Buy
183
232
3,562
6,840
7,767
26.4
26.1
24.4
30.3
7.5
6.1
1.1
1.0
16.0
16.2
2.7
2.9
IVRCL Infra
Buy
48
51
1,473
5,510
6,722
8.8
9.0
2.5
4.6
19.0
10.5
0.6
0.6
3.4
5.8
0.7
0.7
Jaiprakash Asso.
Neutral
82
17,437
15,259
17,502
25.7
24.7
4.0
4.8
20.5
17.2
1.6
1.5
8.5
9.3
2.6
2.3
Neutral
1,562
95,865
60,474
69,091
12.1
11.5
79.7
85.4
19.6
18.3
3.3
2.9
16.3
15.1
1.9
1.7
Madhucon Proj
Buy
38
56
281
2,206
2,502
10.7
10.7
4.6
4.7
8.2
8.2
0.4
0.4
5.2
5.0
0.7
0.7
Nagarjuna Const.
Reduce
45
45
1,152
5,804
6,513
8.0
8.6
3.0
3.5
14.8
12.8
0.5
0.5
3.2
3.6
0.6
0.7
Patel Engg.
Neutral
77
539
3,609
3,836
13.1
13.1
14.0
14.6
5.5
5.3
0.3
0.3
6.3
6.1
1.0
1.0
Punj Lloyd
Neutral
54
1,792
11,892
13,116
8.9
8.9
1.7
3.1
31.8
17.5
0.6
0.6
1.9
3.4
0.6
0.5
Sadbhav Engg.
Buy
143
182
2,155
2,506
3,147
10.3
10.7
7.5
10.4
19.1
13.7
2.4
2.1
13.5
16.0
1.0
0.9
Simplex Infra
Buy
208
265
1,031
6,732
7,837
8.1
8.4
23.4
29.4
8.9
7.1
0.8
0.7
9.2
10.6
0.5
0.5
Allahabad Bank
Reduce
146
131
7,283
6,944
7,884
3.0
3.1
35.5
37.0
4.1
3.9
0.7
0.6
17.2
15.7
Andhra Bank
Reduce
111
97
6,200
4,929
5,633
3.1
3.1
23.7
24.5
4.7
4.5
0.8
0.7
16.6
15.3
Axis Bank
Accumulate
1,125
1,402
46,627
15,686
18,687
3.1
3.2
116.8
138.0
9.6
8.2
1.8
1.5
20.0
20.2
Bank of Baroda
Accumulate
774
864
30,310
15,473
18,142
2.6
2.6
115.3
139.4
6.7
5.6
1.0
0.9
16.2
17.2
Bank of India
Accumulate
302
340
17,302
12,573
14,971
2.3
2.4
58.2
68.0
5.2
4.4
0.9
0.7
15.9
16.3
Bank of Maharashtra
Neutral
49
2,860
3,442
3,802
3.1
3.2
8.9
11.4
5.5
4.2
0.7
0.6
13.5
15.5
Canara Bank
Neutral
438
19,406
10,905
12,783
2.1
2.2
74.9
85.1
5.9
5.2
0.9
0.8
15.1
15.3
Central Bank
Neutral
77
5,701
7,095
8,102
2.5
2.7
15.6
21.0
5.0
3.7
0.8
0.7
12.2
14.7
Financials
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
Financials
Corporation Bank
Accumulate
408
447
6,037
4,886
5,669
2.1
2.2
101.3
101.8
4.0
4.0
0.7
0.6
17.0
15.1
Dena Bank
Neutral
103
3,597
3,147
3,495
2.8
2.9
24.8
24.4
4.1
4.2
0.7
0.6
18.7
15.9
Federal Bank
Neutral
438
7,486
2,617
2,968
3.3
3.2
45.9
51.7
9.6
8.5
1.2
1.1
13.1
13.3
HDFC
Neutral
761
117,126
7,336
8,802
3.5
3.5
31.5
37.8
24.1
20.1
4.8
4.3
34.8
32.1
HDFC Bank
Neutral
630
148,721
21,696
26,811
4.4
4.5
28.7
36.0
22.0
17.5
4.2
3.6
20.7
22.0
ICICI Bank
Buy
1,064
1,245
122,306
22,304
26,855
2.9
3.0
68.6
82.0
15.5
13.0
1.9
1.7
14.2
15.6
IDBI Bank
Accumulate
Indian Bank
Neutral
IOB
Accumulate
J & K Bank
98
112
12,503
7,761
9,484
1.9
2.2
17.1
22.9
5.7
4.3
0.7
0.6
11.9
14.4
189
8,110
6,062
6,818
3.4
3.4
40.5
41.6
4.7
4.5
0.8
0.7
18.1
16.3
78
87
6,197
7,343
8,391
2.5
2.5
16.0
21.3
4.9
3.7
0.6
0.5
11.3
13.6
Neutral
921
4,465
2,600
2,850
3.6
3.5
192.3
188.0
4.8
4.9
0.9
0.8
21.0
17.7
Buy
274
301
13,825
1,867
2,338
2.4
2.4
21.1
28.5
13.0
9.6
2.1
1.8
17.5
20.4
Oriental Bank
Neutral
283
8,245
6,278
7,125
2.7
2.8
56.7
62.6
5.0
4.5
0.7
0.6
14.1
13.9
Punjab Natl.Bank
Buy
833
966
28,262
19,934
22,705
3.3
3.3
147.8
166.2
5.6
5.0
1.0
0.8
17.7
17.3
South Ind.Bank
Accumulate
23
25
3,018
1,556
1,750
2.8
2.7
3.5
3.9
6.5
5.9
1.1
1.0
19.1
16.9
St Bk of India
Accumulate
2,228
2,353
149,522
63,806
73,435
3.5
3.6
225.7
258.4
9.9
8.6
1.7
1.4
17.7
17.8
Syndicate Bank
Neutral
107
6,420
6,722
7,719
2.9
3.0
24.3
27.2
4.4
3.9
0.7
0.6
17.0
16.8
UCO Bank
Neutral
75
5,002
5,411
6,124
2.4
2.5
17.0
16.5
4.4
4.6
0.9
0.8
16.7
14.4
Union Bank
Accumulate
203
226
11,154
9,924
11,647
2.8
2.9
38.6
46.3
5.2
4.4
0.9
0.7
15.4
16.3
United Bank
Buy
62
81
2,220
3,572
4,041
2.8
2.9
17.2
22.1
3.6
2.8
0.5
0.4
14.2
16.2
Vijaya Bank
Neutral
56
2,763
2,490
2,881
2.1
2.2
9.2
11.4
6.1
4.9
0.7
0.7
11.5
13.0
Yes Bank
Accumulate
374
453
13,298
3,270
4,240
2.8
3.0
34.5
42.2
10.9
8.9
2.3
1.9
23.5
23.5
3,888
37,289
11,198
13,184
16.3
16.3
121.0
144.8
32.1
26.9
10.8
8.5
37.4
35.3
3.3
2.8
479
584
5,727
5,835
6,824
5.7
6.0
20.7
25.4
23.2
18.9
9.1
7.0
43.1
41.9
0.9
0.8
1,200
16,325
3,018
3,429
20.9
22.2
35.7
42.3
33.6
28.4
31.1
23.1
101.0
93.5
5.5
4.8
FMCG
Asian Paints
Neutral
Britannia
Buy
Colgate
Neutral
Dabur India
Neutral
124
21,647
6,124
7,030
17.0
16.8
4.5
5.2
27.8
24.0
11.5
9.1
43.2
41.5
3.8
3.2
GlaxoSmith Con*
Neutral
2,926
12,305
3,124
3,663
17.1
17.6
104.5
123.8
28.0
23.6
8.7
7.0
34.4
32.8
3.8
3.2
Godrej Consumer
Neutral
661
22,499
6,097
7,233
18.4
18.6
21.9
26.5
30.2
25.0
6.7
5.5
25.5
25.4
4.1
3.4
HUL
Neutral
528
114,094
25,350
28,974
13.9
13.9
14.3
16.5
37.0
32.0
22.0
17.0
70.9
59.8
4.7
4.0
ITC
Neutral
263
206,778
29,409
34,060
35.7
36.1
9.3
10.9
28.2
24.1
9.4
7.8
35.8
35.3
7.4
6.4
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY13E
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FMCG
Marico
Neutral
201
12,965
4,840
5,643
13.1
13.1
6.8
8.5
29.7
23.8
8.2
6.2
31.4
29.7
2.8
2.3
Nestle*
Neutral
4,343
41,870
8,610
10,174
20.9
21.2
114.8
139.8
37.8
31.1
22.8
15.9
71.2
60.3
5.3
4.4
Tata Global
Neutral
131
8,073
7,207
7,927
9.7
10.0
6.6
7.8
19.8
16.7
2.0
1.9
8.6
9.5
1.3
1.1
HCL Tech^
Accumulate
568
648
39,393
24,214
26,772
19.5
18.1
44.0
48.0
12.9
11.8
3.1
2.6
24.0
22.0
1.7
1.5
Hexaware*
Buy
120
140
3,553
1,966
2,161
22.5
21.4
11.6
12.2
10.3
9.9
2.7
2.3
26.8
23.9
1.4
1.2
Infosys
Accumulate
2,587
2,573
148,542
39,174
41,580
29.5
30.4
159.2
171.6
16.3
15.1
3.9
3.5
24.1
23.1
2.9
2.6
Infotech Enterprises
Accumulate
189
202
2,102
1,886
2,032
17.9
17.3
18.7
20.2
10.1
9.4
1.5
1.3
14.9
14.0
0.8
0.7
KPIT Cummins
Buy
125
142
2,227
2,191
2,364
16.1
16.5
11.3
13.0
11.1
9.6
2.4
1.9
21.8
20.0
1.0
0.8
Mahindra Satyam
Neutral
107
12,634
7,628
8,062
19.9
18.4
9.7
10.0
11.0
10.7
3.1
2.4
27.7
22.2
1.2
1.1
Mindtree
Accumulate
667
747
2,725
2,324
2,437
20.0
17.7
73.3
74.7
9.1
8.9
2.2
1.7
24.1
19.7
0.9
0.8
Mphasis&
Neutral
394
8,281
5,700
5,993
18.0
16.9
37.0
37.3
10.6
10.6
1.5
1.3
14.3
12.6
1.0
0.9
NIIT
Accumulate
32
36
524
1,034
1,146
9.9
11.0
5.2
6.4
6.1
5.0
0.8
0.7
12.8
14.3
0.3
0.2
Persistent
Neutral
411
1,644
1,261
1,352
26.4
24.7
48.2
54.0
8.5
7.6
1.6
1.4
19.0
17.9
1.2
1.0
TCS
Accumulate
1,286
1,410
251,767
61,053
67,313
28.7
29.1
69.7
76.2
18.5
16.9
6.0
4.9
32.6
29.1
4.0
3.6
Tech Mahindra
Accumulate
938
1,046
11,973
6,603
7,196
18.2
17.1
92.7
99.6
10.1
9.4
2.4
1.9
23.6
20.5
1.9
1.6
Wipro
Buy
380
421
93,477
43,800
48,332
19.5
19.3
25.6
28.1
14.9
13.5
2.8
2.4
18.9
17.9
1.6
1.3
D B Corp
Buy
198
259
3,631
1,581
1,784
23.3
25.0
11.6
14.4
17.1
13.7
3.3
2.9
21.0
22.3
2.4
2.1
HT Media
Accumulate
92
113
2,172
2,111
2,272
15.0
15.2
7.4
8.3
12.6
11.2
1.4
1.2
11.3
11.4
0.8
0.7
Jagran Prakashan
Accumulate
91
112
2,884
1,488
1,664
22.7
22.8
6.2
7.1
14.7
12.8
3.6
3.2
25.2
26.3
2.4
2.1
PVR
Neutral
187
485
625
732
17.4
17.1
13.3
15.6
14.0
11.9
1.5
1.4
13.2
13.8
1.3
1.1
Sun TV Network
Neutral
328
12,916
1,981
2,239
77.0
76.7
18.6
21.3
17.7
15.4
4.4
3.9
27.1
27.5
6.6
5.6
Bhushan Steel
Neutral
473
10,043
11,979
14,584
31.6
31.0
49.2
61.4
9.6
7.7
1.3
1.1
14.1
15.2
2.9
2.4
Coal India
Accumulate
358
385
226,221
69,808
75,550
27.4
27.4
26.0
28.3
13.8
12.7
4.0
3.2
32.5
28.1
2.3
2.0
Electrosteel Castings
Buy
19
29
668
1,984
2,074
10.6
11.6
0.8
2.0
23.1
9.5
0.4
0.1
1.7
4.1
0.6
0.5
Hind. Zinc
Accumulate
133
145
56,070
12,446
13,538
52.3
52.9
15.0
16.4
8.9
8.1
1.7
1.5
21.4
19.7
2.6
2.0
Hindalco
Neutral
117
22,334
84,855
92,446
8.7
9.3
13.2
16.2
8.8
7.2
0.7
0.6
7.8
8.9
0.6
0.6
JSW Steel
Neutral
741
16,522
38,740
41,459
17.3
17.0
79.9
89.4
9.3
8.3
0.9
0.8
10.4
10.6
0.9
0.8
MOIL
Accumulate
255
271
4,284
918
993
50.7
50.9
24.5
26.1
10.4
9.8
1.6
1.5
16.0
15.5
2.2
1.9
Monnet Ispat
Buy
305
379
1,965
2,511
3,303
23.8
26.0
46.3
57.3
6.6
5.3
0.8
0.7
12.4
13.7
1.7
1.2
IT
Media
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
Sales ( cr )
FY13E
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
EV/Sales(x)
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
Neutral
NMDC
Buy
51
13,260
7,401
7,841
16.7
19.2
3.4
4.1
15.0
12.6
1.1
1.0
7.4
8.4
1.3
1.2
188
214
74,675
12,934
14,266
79.4
80.1
21.1
23.4
8.9
8.1
2.4
1.9
29.6
26.5
3.8
3.2
SAIL
Sesa Goa
Neutral
89
36,803
47,252
60,351
14.2
14.8
9.6
11.7
9.3
7.6
0.8
0.8
9.4
10.6
1.2
1.0
Neutral
176
15,279
7,704
8,034
33.6
34.6
42.0
43.1
4.2
4.1
0.9
0.7
22.3
19.2
2.2
2.0
Sterlite Inds
Neutral
101
33,841
41,680
45,382
24.2
23.2
16.3
16.9
6.2
6.0
0.7
0.6
11.3
10.7
0.8
0.7
Tata Steel
Buy
396
481
10.3
11.2
48.6
63.3
8.1
6.3
0.8
0.7
10.5
12.4
0.5
0.5
Sarda
Buy
131
148
471
1,251
1,321
22.7
23.4
33.0
37.1
4.0
3.5
0.6
0.5
15.1
14.8
0.7
0.7
Prakash Industries
Godawari Power and
Ispat
Oil & Gas
Buy
56
73
751
2,694
2,906
14.6
16.6
16.4
20.8
3.4
2.7
0.3
0.3
11.4
12.8
0.5
0.4
Buy
121
161
385
2,341
2,425
15.6
17.3
33.3
43.2
3.6
2.8
0.4
0.4
13.2
14.4
0.5
0.5
Cairn India
Accumulate
333
380
63,647
16,605
17,258
75.4
71.7
57.0
54.9
5.9
6.1
1.1
0.9
20.2
16.3
2.9
2.3
GAIL
Neutral
386
48,900
50,176
55,815
15.5
15.8
35.4
36.5
10.9
10.6
1.9
1.7
18.9
17.0
0.6
0.5
ONGC
Accumulate
281
312
33.9
33.7
30.7
32.3
9.2
8.7
1.6
1.4
18.3
17.2
1.3
1.2
Reliance Industries
Neutral
844
7.9
8.0
60.0
63.3
14.1
13.3
1.4
1.2
11.1
10.6
0.7
0.7
Gujarat Gas*
Neutral
310
3,819
11.5
11.3
19.2
22.1
16.2
14.0
4.3
3.9
28.7
29.0
1.1
0.9
Indraprastha Gas
Neutral
260
3,633
3,040
3,135
24.3
26.7
24.8
27.9
10.5
9.3
2.4
2.0
25.5
23.6
1.2
1.0
Petronet LNG
Gujarat State Petronet
Ltd.
Pharmaceuticals
Accumulate
161
183
12,064
30,077
33,570
6.6
6.3
15.1
15.3
10.6
10.5
2.7
2.2
28.4
23.1
0.4
0.4
79
4,465
1,041
939
91.8
91.9
8.5
7.4
9.4
10.7
1.6
1.4
18.1
14.0
5.1
5.6
Alembic Pharma
Buy
73
91
1,374
1,624
1,855
14.2
15.6
6.6
9.1
11.1
8.0
2.8
2.1
27.9
29.9
1.0
0.8
Aurobindo Pharma
Neutral
140
4,087
5,243
5,767
14.6
14.6
11.8
12.6
11.9
11.1
1.5
1.3
17.9
16.4
1.4
1.2
Aventis*
Neutral
2,267
5,221
1,482
1,682
15.5
15.5
95.1
104.4
23.8
21.7
4.2
3.3
18.6
17.0
3.3
2.8
Cadila Healthcare
Accumulate
845
953
17,295
6,148
7,386
18.6
19.6
36.0
46.1
23.5
18.3
5.5
4.4
25.8
26.8
3.1
2.5
Cipla
Accumulate
373
399
29,917
8,031
9,130
23.4
22.4
18.4
20.0
20.3
18.6
3.4
2.9
17.8
16.6
3.4
2.9
Dr Reddy's
Accumulate
1,627
1,859
27,617
10,696
11,662
20.7
21.0
83.7
92.9
19.4
17.5
4.0
3.4
22.4
20.8
3.0
2.7
Dishman Pharma
Neutral
97
784
1,280
1,536
17.8
17.8
9.2
11.3
10.6
8.6
0.8
0.7
7.7
8.5
1.3
1.1
GSK Pharma*
Neutral
2,000
16,944
2,651
2,993
31.7
31.2
76.0
82.4
26.3
24.3
7.6
6.8
20.1
26.3
5.6
4.8
Indoco Remedies
Buy
71
92
653
685
837
15.2
15.2
7.4
8.9
9.6
8.0
1.5
1.3
16.4
17.0
1.1
0.9
Ipca labs
Neutral
460
5,799
2,850
3,474
20.7
20.7
29.2
36.6
15.8
12.6
3.7
2.9
26.1
26.1
2.2
1.8
Lupin
Accumulate
585
647
26,159
8,426
10,082
19.7
20.0
26.3
31.3
22.3
18.7
5.2
4.2
26.0
24.7
3.0
2.5
Orchid Chemicals
Neutral
115
812
1,667
1,835
13.9
13.9
11.4
13.3
10.1
8.7
0.7
0.6
6.6
7.3
0.9
0.8
Neutral
www.angelbroking.com
3,973
3,228
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
Pharmaceuticals
Ranbaxy*
Neutral
536
22,648
12,046
11,980
18.0
15.8
31.3
29.8
17.1
18.0
5.8
4.7
39.1
28.9
1.9
1.9
Sun Pharma
Neutral
676
69,877
9,752
12,134
41.6
41.6
26.0
28.2
26.0
24.0
4.9
4.2
20.3
18.8
6.7
5.2
CESC
Neutral
332
4,149
5,218
5,644
24.2
23.8
44.6
47.6
7.5
7.0
0.8
0.7
11.0
10.6
1.6
1.6
GIPCL
Accumulate
NTPC
Neutral
Power
70
77
1,060
1,557
1,573
29.3
28.7
10.8
11.0
6.5
6.4
0.7
0.6
10.8
10.2
1.1
1.0
165
135,968
74,111
85,789
22.7
23.1
12.1
13.7
13.6
12.0
1.7
1.5
12.6
13.2
2.5
2.3
Real Estate
Anant Raj
Neutral
67
1,980
657
875
52.0
56.1
8.4
12.7
8.0
5.3
0.5
0.5
6.3
8.9
4.9
3.7
DLF
Neutral
234
39,695
9,878
12,033
44.7
46.1
9.6
13.4
24.4
17.4
1.5
1.5
6.4
8.7
6.0
5.0
HDIL
Accumulate
98
115
4,085
2,441
3,344
55.1
48.2
22.7
26.6
4.3
3.7
0.4
0.3
8.8
9.4
3.6
2.7
MLIFE
Neutral
378
1,543
813
901
26.2
26.6
32.0
37.1
11.8
10.2
1.2
1.1
10.4
11.0
2.4
2.1
Bharti Airtel
Neutral
265
100,711
79,147
86,745
31.1
32.5
9.9
15.1
26.7
17.6
1.9
1.7
7.0
9.7
2.0
1.7
Idea Cellular
Neutral
86
28,457
22,234
24,161
26.9
27.7
3.3
4.9
26.0
17.4
2.0
1.8
7.7
10.3
1.7
1.5
Rcom
Neutral
63
13,045
20,650
20,935
32.3
33.0
4.2
5.8
14.9
11.0
0.4
0.3
2.3
3.1
2.2
2.1
Abbott India
Neutral
1,584
3,365
1,602
1,833
10.4
11.8
54.7
71.7
29.0
22.1
5.5
4.7
20.0
22.7
1.7
1.5
Bajaj Electricals
Neutral
199
1,980
3,670
4,290
7.6
8.8
15.0
23.0
13.2
8.6
2.4
2.0
18.6
22.4
0.6
0.5
Cera Sanitaryware
Accumulate
338
411
427
427
528
15.7
14.6
30.0
34.0
11.3
9.9
2.5
2.0
24.6
22.5
1.2
1.0
Cravatex
Buy
443
682
114
289
340
5.2
5.9
41.0
57.0
10.8
7.8
2.8
2.1
25.2
26.5
0.5
0.4
CRISIL
Neutral
940
6,594
982
1,136
34.3
34.3
34.3
40.0
27.4
23.5
12.4
9.9
50.9
46.9
6.4
5.4
Finolex Cables
Buy
42
61
639
2,334
2,687
6.2
6.5
8.0
10.0
5.2
4.2
0.7
0.6
13.0
14.9
0.2
0.2
Force Motors
Accumulate
435
537
567
2,318
2,700
5.0
5.7
45.0
67.0
9.7
6.5
0.5
0.5
5.0
7.0
0.2
0.2
Goodyear India
Neutral
320
738
1,543
1,654
6.5
7.3
24.8
31.1
12.9
10.3
2.1
1.8
17.1
19.0
0.3
0.2
Graphite India
#N/A
Greenply Industries
Accumulate
195
309
471
1,925
2,235
10.6
10.9
29.6
44.1
6.6
4.4
1.1
0.9
16.8
21.0
0.6
0.5
Hitachi
Neutral
126
289
868
977
3.9
6.6
2.7
10.9
45.9
11.6
1.7
1.5
3.7
13.6
0.4
0.4
Honeywell Automation
Accumulate
2,712
2,842
2,397
1,745
1,993
4.0
5.3
59.5
90.4
45.6
30.0
3.5
3.0
8.1
11.3
1.2
1.1
Buy
630
744
1,107
1,056
1,081
8.1
10.6
34.0
47.0
18.5
13.4
2.6
2.2
14.7
17.5
1.1
1.0
ITD Cementation
Neutral
254
292
1,451
1,669
12.3
12.4
32.4
41.5
7.8
6.1
0.7
0.6
9.4
10.9
0.6
0.6
Jyothy Laboratories
Neutral
165
2,664
1,248
1,468
9.8
10.4
5.9
7.2
27.9
23.1
4.0
3.7
15.0
16.6
2.6
2.1
MCX
Neutral
1,300
6,628
553
624
65.3
66.3
62.5
72.0
20.8
18.1
5.7
4.9
27.5
27.4
9.9
8.3
MRF
Buy
10,203
12,884
4,327
11,804
12,727
10.4
7.9
7.1
1.5
1.3
21.3
19.4
0.5
0.5
Telecom
zOthers
www.angelbroking.com
83
1,627
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
3,226
715
821
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
3,598
887
1,108
18.3
18.6
95.0
120.9
34.0
26.7
17.7
14.4
57.4
59.5
4.2
3.4
858
1,019
1,208
12.3
13.0
51.0
68.4
14.0
10.5
3.7
2.8
30.3
30.2
1.0
0.9
zOthers
Page Industries
Neutral
Relaxo Footwears
Accumulate
Sintex Industries
Accumulate
66
79
1,798
4,751
5,189
16.3
16.6
13.6
15.8
4.8
4.2
0.6
0.6
12.9
13.2
0.8
0.6
Buy
290
392
272
1,042
1,173
12.4
12.5
66.3
78.5
4.4
3.7
0.9
0.7
21.1
20.8
0.5
0.4
S. Kumars Nationwide
Buy
20
24
607
7,134
7,985
19.7
19.4
12.2
14.1
1.7
1.5
0.2
0.2
11.3
11.5
0.6
0.6
SpiceJet
Buy
38
43
1,821
5,720
6,599
5.3
6.8
3.6
5.4
10.4
7.0
15.1
4.8
0.4
0.3
TAJ GVK
Buy
68
108
423
300
319
35.8
36.2
7.9
9.1
8.5
7.4
1.1
1.0
13.9
14.4
1.9
1.6
Buy
309
384
476
750
803
18.6
18.4
65.4
69.1
4.7
4.5
0.7
0.6
16.5
15.3
0.3
0.2
TVS Srichakra
Accumulate
303
335
232
1,476
1,643
7.0
8.2
32.6
55.9
9.3
5.4
1.5
1.2
16.8
24.8
0.4
0.3
United Spirits
Neutral
1,158
15,140
10,289
11,421
13.5
14.3
31.0
42.9
37.3
27.0
2.9
2.6
8.1
10.3
2.3
2.1
Vesuvius India
Neutral
336
682
560
611
16.1
17.0
24.7
28.8
13.6
11.7
2.0
1.8
15.8
16.2
1.2
1.0
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on October 25, 2012
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
October 26, 2012
www.angelbroking.com