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Bank of Maharashtra: Performance Highlights
Bank of Maharashtra: Performance Highlights
Bank of Maharashtra
Performance Highlights
NEUTRAL
CMP Target Price
% chg (qoq) 10.4 7.4 18.2 2QFY12 633 425 100 % chg (yoy) 13.6 11.3 65.3
`53 -
Investment Period
Stock Info Sector Market Cap (` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Avg. Daily Volume Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Bloomberg Code
During 2QFY2013, Bank of Maharashtra reported a strong 65.3% yoy growth in net profit to `166cr, as provisioning expenses declined by 20% yoy (due to high base in 2QFY2012). The key highlight of the result was the stability witnessed on the asset quality front, with slippages coming at normalized levels. Business growth strong, NIM improves, Asset quality witnessed stability: During 2QFY2013, the bank reported a strong growth in its business, with advances and deposits growth of 27.6% and 24.7% yoy, respectively. CASA deposits were higher by 14.7% on a yoy basis, aided by a 17.4% growth in current deposits and 14.0% growth in savings deposits. The CASA ratio declined by 214bp sequentially to 37.4%. However, the bank witnessed strong traction in its overall retail deposits, with a growth of 25.0% yoy aided by a strong growth of 34.1% yoy in its retail term deposits. As of 2QFY2013, the share of bulk deposits (including CDs) stood at 12.8% compared to 13.8% as of 1QFY2013. The reported NIM for the bank improved by 8bp qoq to 3.0% as a 26bp sequential improvement in the yield on funds fully negated the 19bp qoq increase in costs of funds. The noninterest income (excluding treasury) for the bank grew by 10.0% yoy to `161cr, as subdued growth of 4.2% yoy was witnessed in CEB income stream. On the asset quality front, the bank witnessed stability with the gross NPA remaining flat qoq and the net NPA witnessing a marginal increase of 1.7% sequentially, on an absolute basis. The gross NPA ratio improved by 24bp sequentially to 2.0% during the quarter, while the net NPA ratio improved from 1.0% to 0.9%. Slippages came in at `210cr during the quarter compared to `441cr in 4QFY2012. The annualized slippage ratio came in at 1.5% compared to 3.1% witnessed in 1QFY2013 and 3.9% in 4QFY2012. The provisioning coverage ratio for the bank improved by 80bp qoq to 80.1%. Outlook and valuation: At the CMP, the stock is trading at valuations of 0.7x FY2014E ABV, which we believe factors in an expected 33.4% CAGR in earnings over FY2012-14E. Owing to the asset quality concerns arising due to weak macro-economic outlook, we recommend a Neutral rating on the stock. Key financials
Y/E March (` cr) NII % chg Net profit % chg NIM (%) EPS (`) P/E (x) P/ABV (x) RoA (%) RoE (%)
Source: Company, Angel Research
Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters MF / Banks / Indian Fls FII / NRIs / OCBs Indian Public / Others 79.0 11.1 0.9 9.1
3m 11.9 15.7
FY2011 1,968 51.9 330 (24.8) 2.8 6.2 8.6 0.9 0.4 11.3
FY2012 2,517 27.9 431 30.4 3.2 6.2 8.5 0.8 0.5 11.2
FY2013E 2,847 13.1 630 46.1 3.1 9.7 5.4 0.7 0.6 14.6
FY2014E 3,142 10.4 767 21.8 3.1 12.0 4.4 0.7 0.7 16.1
Vaibhav Agrawal
022 3935 7800 Ext: 6808 vaibhav.agrawal@angelbroking.com
Varun Varma
022 3935 7800 Ext: 6847 varun.varma@angelbroking.com
Sourabh Taparia
022 3935 7800 Ext: 6872 sourabh.taparia@angelbroking.com
2QFY13 2,257 1,674 571 1 12 1,538 719 177 162 116 16 30 16 896 423 277 146 473 223 250 84 166 33.7
1QFY13 2,039 1,553 474 1 10 1,387 651 179 155 96 24 22 36 830 390 259 130 440 316 125 (16) 140 (12.8)
% chg (qoq) 10.7 7.7 20.4 (22.2) 13.2 10.9 10.4 (0.9) 4.6 20.5 (36.1) 35.8 (56.4) 8.0 8.6 6.9 12.1 7.4 (29.5) 101.0 18.2 -
2QFY12 1,800 1,371 427 0 3 1,167 633 145 147 112 (2) 24 12 778 353 228 125 425 278 147 46 100 31.5
% chg (yoy) 25.4 22.1 33.8 300.0 325.5 31.8 13.6 22.5 10.0 4.2 26.0 33.4 15.2 20.0 21.6 17.2 11.3 (20.1) 70.7 82.4 65.3 216bp
FY2012 4,295 3,227 1,045 1 22 2,925 1,370 356 316 213 40 51 52 1,726 813 537 276 913 538 375 68 306 18.3
FY2011 3,445 2,608 828 1 8 2,220 1,224 318 311 248 7 40 24 1,543 703 457 246 840 502 338 115 222 34.2
% chg (qoq) 24.7 23.7 26.2 15.3 195.9 31.8 11.9 11.9 1.6 (14.1) 486.0 29.0 117.6 11.9 15.7 17.5 12.4 8.7 7.2 11.0 (40.7) 37.8 (1590)bp
Var. (%) 6.6 9.7 7.2 0.6 13.9 (8.8) 46.3 146.4 21.3
2QFY13 63,839 86,542 73.8 7,662 24,742 32,404 37.4 10.8 6.8 11.7 7.7 9.4 6.4 3.0 47.2 1,292 2.0 559 0.9 80.1 1.5
1QFY13 56,872 79,880 71.2 7,596 24,023 31,619 39.6 12.5 6.7 11.2 7.2 9.1 6.2 2.9 47.0 1,294 2.2 549 1.0 79.3 3.1
% chg (qoq) 12.2 8.3 257bp 0.9 3.0 2.5 (214)bp (171)bp 16bp 51bp 50bp 26bp 19bp 8bp 28bp (0.2) (24)bp 1.7 (9)bp 80bp (165)bp
2QFY12 50,043 69,376 72.1 6,550 21,699 28,249 40.7 11.9 6.3 11.5 7.1 9.2 6.0 3.2 45.3 1,094 2.2 284 0.6 86.0 0.8
% chg (yoy) 27.6 24.7 163bp 17.0 14.0 14.7 (328)bp (113)bp 47bp 13bp 52bp 16bp 42bp (25)bp 188bp 18.1 (15)bp 96.6 31bp (583)bp 72bp
39.0
36.0
24.0 12.5
14.0 11.4
19.6 14.5
22.7 17.4
27.6 24.7
40.7
41.0
41.3
39.6
5.0 -
37.4
5.0 -
2.0
2.2 0.6
2.1 0.5
2.3 0.8
2.2 1.0
2.0 0.9
20.0 80.0 47.2 60.0 40.0 20.0 1.8 -
390 130
Capital infused by Govt. and LIC, still tier-1 CAR at a low 7.1%
The bank had approached the government for an infusion of ~`860cr in 1QFY2012. The bank in FY2012 has received `605cr via equity capital infusion from the government and LIC. As of 2QFY2013, excluding 1HFY2013 profits, the banks total CAR stood at 10.75%, with tier-1 ratio at 7.1%, which still remains on the lower side.
Investment arguments
Healthy CASA franchise ensures low-cost funding
Bank of Maharashtra has enjoyed a healthy CASA franchise for the past several years on the back of strong rural and semi-urban presence (accounting for 53.3% of the entire branch network). Branch expansion stood at a modest 53 branches in FY2012, but the management has guided for an addition of 200 branches in FY2013 (till 1HFY2013 branch addition has been moderate at 49). Also, the management has been constantly focusing on reduction of dependence on bulk deposits. The benefit of a healthy CASA ratio and a relatively lower dependence on bulk deposits is reflected in the banks relatively lower cost of deposits than peers (at 6.8% for 2QFY2013).
Earlier estimates FY2013 13.0 11.0 40.7 3.1 7.3 11.0 10.0 2.9 78.0 FY2014 11.0 11.0 40.3 3.2 1.2 12.0 10.0 2.4 75.0
Revised estimates FY2013 18.0 15.0 39.2 3.1 11.8 11.0 10.0 2.5 80.0 FY2014 11.0 11.0 38.9 3.1 2.4 12.0 10.0 2.4 75.0
FY2014 Earlier estimates 3,106 696 3,802 2,024 1,777 693 1,084 352 732 Revised Var. (%) estimates 3,142 734 3,876 2,024 1,851 716 1,135 368 767 1.2 5.4 2.0 4.2 3.3 4.7 4.7 4.7
Earlier estimates 2,755 687 3,442 1,818 1,624 939 685 103 582
Revised Var. (%) estimates 2,847 716 3,563 1,818 1,745 938 807 178 630 3.3 4.2 3.5 7.4 (0.1) 17.8 72.7 8.1
Feb-05
Nov-08
Sep-04
Feb-10
Oct-06
Sep-09
May-06
May-11
Oct-11
Jun-08
Dec-05
Dec-10
Jan-08
Aug-07
Mar-07
Mar-12
Aug-12
Apr-09
Apr-04
Jan-13
Jul-05
Jul-10
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note:*Target multiples=SOTP Target Price/ABV (including subsidiaries), #Without adjusting for SASF
Company Background
Bank of Maharashtra is a mid-sized Pune-based public sector bank, with operations mostly concentrated in the parent state of Maharashtra (~64% branches as of 2QFY2013). The bank has the highest number of branches in Maharashtra (1,046 as of 2QFY2013) after State Bank of India, which has allowed the bank to grow in-line with the state's progress over the past decade.
Income statement
Y/E March (` cr) Net Interest Income - YoY Growth (%) Other Income - YoY Growth (%) Operating Income - YoY Growth (%) Operating Expenses - YoY Growth (%) Pre - Provision Profit - YoY Growth (%) Prov. & Cont. - YoY Growth (%) Profit Before Tax - YoY Growth (%) Prov. for Taxation - as a % of PBT PAT - YoY Growth (%) Preference Dividend PAT avl. to Eq. shareholders - YoY Growth (%) FY09 1,257 11.3 500 31.5 1,757 16.4 963 15.1 794 18.0 282 88.2 511 (2.2) 136 26.6 375 14.2 375 14.2 FY10 1,296 3.2 591 18.2 1,887 7.5 1,073 11.4 815 2.6 246 (13.0) 569 11.3 129 22.7 440 17.2 440 17.2 FY11 1,968 51.9 531 (10.2) 2,499 32.4 1,644 53.2 855 5.0 467 90.1 388 (31.8) 57 14.8 330 (24.8) 34 297 (32.5) FY12 2,517 27.9 641 20.7 3,158 26.3 1,643 (0.1) 1,515 77.2 856 83.3 659 69.9 228 34.6 431 30.4 64 367 23.8 FY13E 2,847 13.1 716 11.8 3,563 12.8 1,818 10.7 1,745 15.2 938 9.5 807 22.5 178 22.0 630 46.1 58 571 55.6 FY14E 3,142 10.4 734 2.4 3,876 8.8 2,024 11.4 1,851 6.1 716 (23.7) 1,135 40.7 368 32.4 767 21.8 58 709 24.0
Balance sheet
Y/E March (` cr) Share Capital - Equity - Preference Reserve & Surplus Deposits - Growth (%) Borrowings Tier 2 Capital Other Liab. & Prov. Total Liabilities Cash Balances Bank Balances Investments Advances - Growth (%) Fixed Assets Other Assets Total Assets - Growth (%) FY09 431 431 2,087 52,255 25.1 190 2,068 2,001 59,030 3,881 224 18,382 34,291 17.1 655 1,597 59,030 22.6 FY10 431 431 2,428 63,304 21.1 129 2,668 2,096 71,056 5,315 1,379 21,324 40,315 17.6 660 2,063 71,056 20.4 FY11 1,070 482 588 2,901 66,845 5.6 577 2,500 2,550 76,442 3,846 203 22,491 46,881 16.3 667 2,354 76,442 7.6 FY12 1,178 590 588 3,545 76,529 14.5 1,325 2,500 2,941 88,017 4,535 1,209 22,911 56,060 19.6 601 2,701 88,017 15.1 FY13E 1,178 590 588 3,979 88,008 15.0 2,276 2,438 3,048 100,927 3,960 1,386 25,664 66,151 18.0 668 3,098 100,927 14.7 FY14E 1,178 590 588 4,517 97,689 11.0 2,233 2,377 3,395 111,388 3,908 1,530 28,390 73,427 11.0 715 3,419 111,388 10.4
Ratio analysis
Y/E March Profitability ratios (%) NIMs Cost to Income Ratio RoA RoE B/S ratios (%) CASA Ratio Credit/Deposit Ratio CAR - Tier I Asset Quality (%) Gross NPAs Net NPAs Slippages Loan Loss Prov. /Avg. Assets Provision Coverage Per Share Data (`) EPS ABVPS (75% cover.) DPS Valuation Ratios PER (x) P/ABVPS (x) Dividend Yield DuPont Analysis NII (-) Prov. Exp. Adj. NII Treasury Int. Sens. Inc. Other Inc. Op. Inc. Opex PBT Taxes RoA Pref. Div. RoA after Pref. Div Leverage RoE 2.3 0.5 1.8 0.3 2.1 0.6 2.8 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 28.0 19.6 2.0 0.4 1.6 0.3 1.9 0.6 2.5 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.7 29.1 19.7 2.7 0.6 2.0 0.1 2.1 0.6 2.8 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.4 27.6 11.3 3.1 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.8 2.8 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.5 24.5 11.2 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.1 0.7 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.6 23.8 14.6 3.0 0.7 2.3 0.0 2.3 0.7 3.0 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.7 23.8 16.1 6.0 1.1 2.8 5.2 1.1 3.8 8.6 0.9 3.8 8.5 0.8 4.2 5.4 0.7 3.8 4.4 0.7 4.7 8.7 46.3 1.5 10.2 48.9 2.0 6.2 57.5 2.0 6.2 63.8 2.2 9.7 71.1 2.0 12.0 80.3 2.5 2.3 0.8 1.2 0.3 65.9 3.0 1.6 2.5 0.4 54.7 2.5 1.3 1.7 0.5 65.6 2.3 0.8 1.8 0.8 80.4 2.7 1.0 2.5 0.8 80.0 4.0 1.5 2.4 0.6 75.0 35.7 65.6 10.8 5.5 36.9 63.7 12.8 5.7 40.4 70.1 13.4 8.0 41.3 73.3 12.4 8.3 39.2 75.2 11.5 8.0 38.9 75.2 11.2 8.0 2.5 54.8 0.7 19.6 2.1 56.8 0.7 19.7 2.8 65.8 0.4 11.3 3.2 52.0 0.5 11.2 3.1 51.0 0.6 14.6 3.1 52.2 0.7 16.1 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14E
10
E-mail: research@angelbroking.com
Website: www.angelbroking.com
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Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Analyst ownership of the stock 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock 4. Broking relationship with company covered
Bank of Maharashtra No No No No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors
Ratings (Returns):
11