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2 Easy Income Plays For 2012: Pro'S High Yield Handbook
2 Easy Income Plays For 2012: Pro'S High Yield Handbook
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ews Flash: Stocks have been flat for 13 years! Since 1999, the S&P 500 index is unchanged. It traded around 1,300 in 1999. It trades there right now.
Thats 13 years a sobering 17% of the average American mans lifespan! where the index that holds the 500 strongest, most popular companies in the world went absolutely nowhere. And the problem is, there are good reasons to believe the coming years wont be much better. With government austerity programs bringing Europes economy to its knees, and with the U.S. facing the same budgetary music soon, too, its hard to see where strong, sustainable growth is going to come from. Especially when you remember that, worldwide, Baby Boomers are reaching an age where they save, rather than spend. This huge demographic of people is going to spend less and less in the future and theyre easily a big enough group to affect economies, just as they have all their lives. In short, as we head into what may be another lost decade for stocks, you do not want to be relying on a rising stock market to reach your longterm financial goals. You need something better you need something more. Something that works again and again, and is simple yet powerful.
STARTING YOUR OWN INCOME STREAMS How many times have you bought shares of a stock only to see it decline? If youre like most people, its most times. Its just how it works out. When you buy a stock, its likely to trade lower at some point (usually soon) after you bought it. That comes with investing. But it doesnt have to be this way. Instead of buying a stock and watching it drop, why not wait to buy it when it declines, and get paid while you wait?
Thats exactly what selling (or writing) simple put options allows you to do. A quick primer: When you sell a put option, youre agreeing to buy a stock if it declines to your strike price by your options expiration. For that agreement, you are paid on day one. You collect income called a premium, because youre basically selling someone insurance. The put buyer knows that if the stock falls, they can sell the stock to you at a set price. So, theyre paying you for that. Lets take a real-world example.
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At a Glance
Intel (Nasdaq: INTC): $25.30 April 2012 $24 puts: $0.95 per share Yield on potential share purchase ($0.95/$24): 3.9% in just over three months (more than 15% annualized) Trade: Sell to open one April $24 put for every 100 shares of Intel youre willing to buy Potential outcome #1: Intel ends the April expiration above $24. You keep the $0.95 per share you were paid, earning nearly 4% in three months even if the stock did nothing or went down some. Potential outcome #2: Intel ends the April expiration below $24. You agree to buy shares. You still keep the $0.95 you were paid, so your net start price is $23.05 (8.8% below the current price). See how easily you could earn 4% income in just over three months, even if Intel stock goes nowhere or dips? Now imagine doing this again and again on stocks you trust, basically writing yourself checks month after month as these stocks just hold their ground or bounce around. Thats how reliable and steady writing puts on strong companies is, even over the last 12 volatile (but flat!) years for stocks.
would be another 4.3% yield on your purchase price. Lets walk through this presumed trade. Intel (Nasdaq: INTC): $24ish come April 2012 August 2012 $25 calls: $1 Yield on your purchase ($1/$23.05): 4.3% in just over three months (more than 15% annualized) Estimated Trade: Sell to open one August $25 call for every 100 shares of Intel you already own Potential outcome #1: Intel ends the August expiration period below $25, so you collect all of the income, and still keep your stock. You can write covered calls again for more income. Potential outcome #2: Intel ends the August expiration period above $25, so you let your shares be called away, or sold. You still keep the $1 you were paid, so your net sell price is $26. Youve made 12.7% on your $23.05 purchase price in trades that took eight months. And now that youve sold your Intel stock, you can turn around and write new put options, to potentially get new shares again lower. You can see how this excellent income strategy can be used again and again on strong but generally range-bound stocks (although if the stocks go up, you also make money). With 500 of Americas best companies on average going nowhere since 1999, this has been a fantastic way to make money on them again and again as they bounce around a range. Sell to open puts to earn income and potentially buy shares on dips. And then sell to open covered calls on the shares you own, to earn income while waiting to sell on a rebound. And repeat that again and again. This is such a viable strategy across a wide array of stocks that it will change how you invest, give you much more flexibility, produce regular streams of income, and still let you enjoy upside in these positions and the rest of your portfolio. And youll no longer mind flat or range-bound stocks.
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Our Take
Plum Creek isnt your typical real estate investment trust (REIT). While most REITs are required to pay out at least 90% of ordinary income as dividends, Plum Creek isnt bound to that rule because timber harvests are predominately classified as long-term capital gains. This actually benefits investors because the dividend payments qualify for a lower income tax rate. Unlike other timber-based REITs, such as Potlatch (NYSE: PCH) and Rayonier (NYSE: RYN), Plum Creek is predominately focused on timberlands. In fact, its 7.5 million acres make it the largest and most geographically diverse private landowner in the United States. (To put that in perspective, Plum Creek owns 1.6 million more acres than youll find in the entire state of Vermont.) In addition to the timber itself, the company owns excellent real estate assets as well as subsurface assets like cement and natural gas that third parties pay Plum Creek to extract. Similarly, third parties wishing to build wind turbines, roads, or power lines through the land need to pay Plum Creek royalties. Finally, Plum Creek earns additional profits through strategic buying and selling of land, typically making a few transactions a year. Plum Creeks timber falls into two major categories: pulpwood (for paper) and sawlogs (for construction). Sawlogs offer better margins and contribute about 70% of the companys cash flow, but both types are important to the business. The pulpwood and sawlog markets can behave independently of each other, and Plum Creek has a knack for predicting these market shifts, managing its harvests accordingly. In 2006, as construction slowed, Plum Creek slowed its sawlog harvest and ramped up pulpwood. This management know-how cant be found on the balance sheet, but its what makes this company the best in its field.
and 2030. Plum Creek is also well-positioned to benefit from the green energy movement its the first timber company to have 100% of its lands certified under the Sustainable Forestry Initiative. Plus, the company sees opportunity for the use of wood pellets and chips in biofuels. While Plum Creeks future may not get your heart racing immediately, the company can reasonably achieve sustainable growth rates over the long run. Coupled with a 4.4% dividend and sensible options strategies for more income, double-digit annualized returns with low risk are the name of the game here.
ACTION: Buy half of a full allocation in the stock, in round lots of 100 shares. So, if youd be comfortable holding 6% of your portfolio in Plum Creek, as we are, then buy just 3% to start, in round lots of 100.
Recent share price: $37.50
NEXT ACTIONS: Sell to open a strangle option strategy on the stock, like this:
Sell to open August 2012 $35 puts, one for every 100 shares you just bought Sell to open August 2012 $39 calls, one for every 100 shares you just bought By doing these two simple trades (buying stock, and then selling to open these two options on it in one other trade), youll buy shares lately around $37.50, locking in a 4.4% yield. Next, this first round of options will pay you (as of January 10, 2012) about $3.50 in credits, on day one. Thats a 9.3% yield on your share purchase price that youll earn between now and August as long as the stock is between $35 and $39 the range it has frequented way back since 2009. Add in a few dividend payments, and in the next seven months, youre on track to earn double-digit income returns on this stock even if it goes nowhere. And thats just the start. As weve done in PRO since 2009, you can repeat this strategy again and again. Even if Plum Creek stock drifts up or down, or even if it crosses one of your option strike prices, you can roll this strangle up or down by expiration to typically keep much of the income, and the stock, and set up another income trade.
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Because the strangle pays you $3.50 to start, your income profit range on the stock is $31.50 all the way to $42.50. Thats right: a very large range for this stable stock.
Earn income if the stock is anywhere between $31.50 and $42.50 Earn the full income if the stock is between $35 and $39 by August Keep the trade going longer if you want to, even if the stock has moved, by closing your options before expiration, and writing new ones that expire later Within a few years, you could have a 54% return the way we do; a few more years after that, and your position could be all profit, even if (or especially if!) the stock hasnt gone anywhere. This is an income strategy you cant afford to ignore, because its steady, reliable, and easy on solid companies you already know and love. Its called a Covered Strangle, and we use it often in Motley Fool PRO, where members have come to love it. The Motley Fool owns and has a covered strangle on Plum Creek.
STAY TUNED!
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