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Britannia 2QFY2013RU
Britannia 2QFY2013RU
Britannia 2QFY2013RU
Britannia
Performance Highlights
Quarterly Highlights (Standalone)
Y/E March (` cr) Revenue EBITDA OPM (%) PAT
Source: Company, Angel Research
BUY
CMP Target Price
Investment Period
2QFY12 1,294 62 4.8 38 % yoy 8.4 (3.4) (52)bp 18.9 1QFY13 1,222 65 5.3 43 % qoq 14.8 (7.7) (104)bp 3.7
`468 `584
12 Months
Stock Info Sector Market Cap (` cr) Net Debt (` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Avg. Daily Volume Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Bloomberg Code FMCG 5,593 (265) 0.5 600/400 26,411 2 18,471 5,631 BRIT.BO BRIT@IN
For 2QFY2013, Britannia Industries (Britannia) posted a top-line growth of 8.4% yoy to `1,403cr (`1,294cr in 2QFY2012). Net profit grew by 18.9% yoy to `45cr, aided by a 141.2% yoy growth in other income to `27cr. Key highlights for the quarter: Britannias top-line grew by 8.4% yoy largely on account of higher prices as volume growth is expected to be ~1% for the quarter. Gross margin rose marginally by 47bp yoy to 35.5% aided by higher prices. The prices of key raw materials such as wheat and sugar have gone up considerably, thereby putting pressure on the gross margins. Advertising expenses as a percentage of sales rose by 61bp on a yoy basis as the company which is facing stiff competition from the likes of ITCs Sunfeast biscuits had to step up advertising in a low demand scenario. Other expenses as a percentage of sales rose by 145bp yoy, which we believe, is to an extent due to the royalty it has to pay to promoter group w.e.f 2QFY2013. The company registered a 52bp yoy decline in its OPM to 4.3%, resulting in the EBITDA declining by 3.4% on a yoy basis. Outlook and valuation: We expect Britannia to post a revenue and bottom-line CAGR of ~15.3% and 25.6% respectively over FY2012-14E. At the current market price, the stock is trading at 19.0x FY2014 EPS; we recommend Buy on the stock with a target price of `584. Key financials (Standalone)
Y/E March (` cr) Net sales % chg Net profit (Adj.) % chg EBITDA margin (%) EPS (`) P/E (x) P/BV (x) RoE (%) RoCE (%) EV/Sales (x) EV/EBITDA (x)
Source: Company, Angel Research
Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters MF / Banks / Indian Fls FII / NRIs / OCBs Indian Public / Others 51.0 14.9 15.1 19.1
3m 4.2 0.9
FY2011 4,198 23.4 145 24.7 4.9 12.2 38.5 12.4 34.3 18.8 1.2 24.8
FY2012E 4,947 17.8 187 28.5 5.1 15.6 29.9 10.7 38.4 27.7 1.0 20.3
FY2013E 5,627 13.7 219 17.1 4.9 18.3 25.6 9.3 39.1 36.6 0.9 18.6
FY2014E 6,581 17.0 295 34.8 5.7 24.7 19.0 7.2 42.7 42.7 0.8 13.7
V.Srinivasan
022 3935 7800 Ext: 6831
v.srinivasan@angelbroking.com
2QFY13 1,403 905 64.5 37 2.7 118 8.4 283 20.2 1,343 60 4.3 9 14 27 64 64 4.5 19 29.3 45 3.2 12 3.8 45
2QFY12 1,294 841 65.0 48 3.7 101 7.8 242 18.7 1,232 62 4.8 10 12 11 52 52 4.0 14 27.1 38 2.9 12 3.2 38
% yoy 8.4 7.6 (22.7) 16.9 16.8 9.0 (3.4) (9.2) 23.5 141.2 22.4 22.4 32.0 18.9
1QFY13 1,222 757 62.0 38 3.1 99 8.1 263 21.5 1,157 65 5.3 9 13 18 60 60 4.9 17 28.2 43 3.6 12
% qoq 14.8 19.5 4.0 (1.3) (14.0) 19.4 4.0 7.7 (6.2) 16.1 (7.7) (7.1) 9.6 49.0 5.3 0.0 5.3 (8.3) 9.3 3.9 3.7 (9.7) 0.1 3.6 3.7
1HFY2013 2,624 1,662 63.3 75 2.9 216 8.2 546 20.8 2,499 126 4.8 18 27 44 125 125 4.8 36 28.6 89 3.4 12 7.4 89
1HFY2012 2,393 1,567 65.5 79 3.3 183 7.6 460 19.2 2,288 106 4.4 19 23 45 109 109 4.6 30 27.0 80 3.3 12 6.7 80
% chg 9.7 6.1 (4.6) 18.3 18.7 9.2 18.9 (3.9) 20.5 (1.3) 14.2 14.2 20.7 11.8
18.8 18.9
3.6 43
11.7 11.8
Investment arguments
Renewed product portfolio to aid growth: Britannia has recently forayed into breakfast cereals, milk and premium category biscuits. We believe this rejig in product portfolio offers significant uptrading benefits to the company, thereby fuelling growth. Also, with increased per capita consumption and penetration, the company will continue to grow at a pace faster than its historical growth.
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research; Note: Blue line represents 5-yr average
CMP (`)
4,014 468 1,325 129 693 3,006 533 277 226 4,730 179
TP (`)
584 -
Upside (%)
25 -
CAGR # Sales
17.0 15.3 15.2 15.9 24.7 16.8 15.5 17.2 18.6 16.5 9.7
FY14E
27.4 19.0 31.2 24.6 25.1 22.8 31.3 25.3 29.0 33.8 22.9
FY14E
2.8 0.7 4.8 3.1 3.2 3.0 3.8 6.0 2.4 4.4 1.3
FY14E
35.3 42.7 98.5 41.4 26.1 34.0 59.8 35.3 22.6 60.3 9.5
EPS
19.2 25.6 13.8 18.9 31.1 24.9 19.7 17.7 25.4 15.0 16.6
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: Denotes CAGR over FY2012-14E, *December Year Ending.
Company background
Britannia is one of the foremost food companies in India. The company is present across the biscuits, dairy products and breads segments and has recently forayed into the breakfast cereals category with the launch of Healthy Start. Britannia derives ~85% of its revenue from the biscuits segment, where it has formidable brands such as Tiger (glucose biscuits), Treat (cream biscuits), 50-50 (crackers), Good Day (premium cookies and the company's highest selling brand) and NutriChoice (premium high-fiber biscuits).
FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E 3,112 20.4 2,849 1,910 211 96 632 263 13.4 8.4 33 229 13.1 7.4 16 40 15.8 253 4.1 20.63 233 52 20.6 201 201 180 (5.6) 5.8 15.1 15.1 (5.6) 3,403 9.4 3,241 2,164 269 106 703 162 (38.2) 4.8 38 125 (45.6) 3.7 8 51 30.4 167 (33.9) 46.64 121 4 2.5 163 163 117 (35.4) 3.4 9.8 9.8 (35.4) 4,198 23.4 3,992 2,764 304 120 804 206 27.1 4.9 45 162 29.6 3.9 38 74 37.4 198 18.3 198 53 26.6 145 145 145 24.7 3.5 12.2 12.2 24.7 4,947 17.8 4,695 3,180 381 146 988 252 22.2 5.1 47 205 26.6 4.1 38 86 34.0 252 27.4 252 66 26.0 187 187 187 28.5 3.8 15.6 15.6 28.5 5,627 13.7 5,352 3,594 450 169 1,139 275 9.0 4.9 50 225 9.8 4.0 8 84 28.0 301 19.5 301 83 27.5 219 219 219 17.1 3.9 18.3 18.3 17.1 6,581 17.0 6,206 4,144 526 197 1,339 375 36.5 5.7 57 318 41.5 4.8 8 99 24.1 409 35.7 409 115 28.0 295 295 295 34.8 4.5 24.7 24.7 34.8
Note: Some of the figures from FY2011 onwards are reclassified; hence not comparable with
FY2009 24 801 825 25 10 860 512 234 278 6 423 539 41 195 303 413 126 27 860
FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E 24 372 396 430 (7) 819 548 266 282 10 491 529 23 198 308 492 37 819 24 427 451 431 6 16 123 1,027 594 290 304 12 545 142 480 29 83 368 456 25 1,027 24 496 520 28 8 20 117 693 677 298 379 80 429 125 660 31 194 434 979 (320) 693 24 575 599 28 6 20 122 775 793 348 444 79 441 125 855 65 294 496 1,170 (314) 775 24 758 782 28 6 20 133 969 902 405 497 90 641 125 920 81 294 545 1,304 (384) 969
Note: Some of the figures from FY2011 onwards are reclassified; hence not comparable with
FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E 233 33 0.5 (5) 52 (3) 7 26 224 (55) (42) (97) (81) 50 (1) (130) (3) 44 41 121 38 100 (25) 73 33 12 2 183 (40) (68) (108) (2) 112 (21) (93) (17) 41 23 198 45 (43) 13 53 20 48 189 (47) (54) (102) 1 70 13 (81) 5 23 29 252 47 490 5 66 23 (142) 564 (152) 116 (36) (402) 118 6 (526) 2 29 31 301 50 199 (79) 83 (3) (178.7) 213 (115) (115) 140 (76) (64) 34 31 65 409 57 125 (74) 115 (3) (28) 377 (120) (200) (320) 112 (71) (41) 16 65 81
Note: Some of the figures from FY2011 onwards are reclassified; hence not comparable with
Key ratios
Y/E March Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) P/CEPS P/BV Dividend yield (%) EV/Sales EV/EBITDA Per Share Data (`) EPS (fully diluted) Cash EPS DPS Book Value Returns (%) RoCE Angel ROIC (Pre-tax) RoE Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover (Gross Block) Inventory / Sales (days) Receivables (days) Payables (days) WC (ex-cash) (days)
previous year numbers
FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 31.0 23.8 6.8 1.6 1.6 19.5 15.1 19.6 8.0 69.0 26.7 58.8 25.4 6.1 30 6 31 19 48.0 27.9 14.1 1.5 1.5 31.6 9.8 16.8 5.0 33.2 14.9 42.3 26.7 6.2 29 4 33 8 38.5 29.4 12.4 1.2 1.2 24.8 12.2 15.9 6.5 37.8 18.8 36.6 34.3 7.1 27 5 31 4
FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E 29.9 23.9 10.7 1.0 1.0 20.3 15.6 19.6 8.5 43.5 27.7 133.4 38.4 7.3 32 5 63 (23) 25.6 20.8 9.3 0.9 0.9 18.6 18.3 22.5 10.0 50.1 36.6 118.3 39.1 7.1 28 5 66 (20) 19.0 15.9 7.2 0.8 0.8 13.7 24.7 29.4 8.0 65.4 42.7 203.6 42.7 7.3 26 5 66 (24)
Note: Some of the figures from FY2011 onwards are reclassified; hence not comparable with
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Website: www.angelbroking.com
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Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Analyst ownership of the stock 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock 4. Broking relationship with company covered
Britannia No No No No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors
Ratings (Returns):
10