Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1404 Goedehoop Mine
1404 Goedehoop Mine
April 2010
Agenda
1. Overview of Anglo American Thermal Coal (AATC) 2. Market Overview 3. Strategy & Growth Pipeline
Agenda
1. Overview of Anglo American Thermal Coal (AATC) 2. Market Overview 3. Strategy & Growth Pipeline
Historical Timeline
1897 1897 Vereeniging Estates Limited (VEL) incorporated into a newly listed company
1975 1975 Anglo American merges its various coal ventures into VEL which changes its name to Anglo American Coal Corporation Ltd (Amcoal)
1998 1998 Production reaches 53Mt 1998 1998 Amcoal absorbed into Anglo American Corporation of SA
2009 Anglo American splits its coal operations into focused Thermal & Metallurgical product divisions
1900
1930
1940 .
.1950
1960
1970
. .
1980
1990
. . .. . 2000
. 2009
1936 1936 VEL combines its coal interests with those of A&E to form Amalgamated Collieries, then the largest coal group in Africa
1999 1999 Acquisition of Shell Coal 1999 1999 Anglo American lists in London
Mine
Holding
Total Attributable production 2009 6.9Mt 3.8Mt 4.4Mt 4.2Mt 11.2Mt 3.7Mt 17.6Mt 5.1Mt 2.2Mt 0.1Mt 59.2Mt
Export Mt
Domestic Mt
LOM Years
1 Goedehoop 1.
100% 100% 100% 100% 73% 100% 100% 100% 50% 73%
0.5 2.4 0.3 11.2 3.7 17.6 5.1 1.0 0.0 41.8
10 12 14 11 16 31 18 17 20 17
2 2. Greenside 3 3. Kleinkopje Mine Holding Total Attributable production 2009 10.2Mt Export Mt Domestic Mt LOM Years 4. Landau 4
5 Kriel 5. 6 New Denmark 6.
1 Cerrejn 1.
33%
10.2
23 US$305m
EBIT (2009)
9. 9 Mafube
14,446 US$439m
Notes: 1. Zibulo was previously known as Zondagsfontein Project. Steady state production will be 6.6Mtpa 2. Production of AIC assets reported at 100% Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal
20%
For 2004-09 Thermal Coal on average accounted for 9% of Anglo American EBIT
15%
10%
5%
Fatalities 8
7 6
2 Fatalities in 2009 vs. 4 in 2008. Zero for 2010 YTD LTIFR improvement of 9.4% AATC 2009 fatal injury frequency rate was 0.009 compared to 0.05 for the RSA coal industry AATC 2009 LTIFR was 0.29 compared to 0.31 for the RSA coal industry Isibonelo more than two years LTI free Rapid Loading Terminal Zero harm in 2009 HPI reporting fully implemented
0.4
0.3
5 4
0.2
3 2
2006
2007
2008
AATC has 27% shareholding in RBCT RBCT capacity is 72Mt going to 91Mtpa from 2010 - post Phase V expansion
Mining Methods
A.
Surface/Opencast Mining
B.
Underground Mining
1.
2.
1.
2.
Longwall Mining
3.
3.
Pillar Extraction
Mafube Waterberg
9%
20% 14%
16%
AATC is the leading coal producer in South Africa & holds around a quarter of market share
Source: Wood Mackenzie, Company Financial Statements
10
50
50
40
40
30
30
20
20
10
10
All AATC South African export operations within the 1st cost quartile of the AME 2010 global cost structures Opportunity exists to further reduce costs. Project underway to review costcurve and asset portfolio
Source: AME FOB Cost Curve 2010
11
50
27%
Export
40
30
62% Eskom
c. 36Mt to Eskom for power generation Eskom average CV (air dried) 4,550kc/kg ( 19.1MJ/kg) Pricing strategy a combination of long term cost-plus arrangements and some at fixed price + escalation c. 7Mt of other domestic tonnage including: 5Mt from Isibonelo supplying to Sasol 2Mt to a range of other industrial customers
20
10
11%
0
Other Domestic
AATC a major supplier of coal to Eskom Opportunity exists to further reduce costs. Project underway to review cost structures and asset portfolio and expected to grow
Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal
12
Export Sales, Mt
Export Sales, Mt
27%
Export
12
2.4 Mt
3.8 Mt
12
40
11%
Other Domestic
7.0Mt
30 8
Power Utility
8
20
62%
Eskom
4
Physical Trader
4
3.7 Mt
ARA1
10
4.9 Mt
0
India
13
Cost Breakdown
ACSA AATC South are currently well positioned on the 2008 AME Cost Curve operations Africa cost breakdown
2009 Actual
8% 0% 3% 7% 43%
Labour&contractors Maintenance&stores Rail,wharfage&othersellingcosts Consumables Power Royalties
Royalties will be applicable from 2010 expected to account for ~1% of costs Electricity a relatively small share of total costs: Eskom power price increases will add 1% to overall costs in 2010 - but will continue to rise
15%
Other
24%
Opportunity exists to further reduce costs. Project underway to review cost structures and asset portfolio
Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal
Labour the major cost component showing cost increases of over 9% per annum over the past 3 years
14
1000
EBIT EBIT Margin
800
80%
15
60%
10
40%
5
200
10% 5%
20%
0
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
0%
0% 2005
2006
15
Pamodzi Coal
33%
Communities
15%
Anglo Coal
73%
Inyosi
27 %
Anglo Inyosi Coal formed in November 2007 for R7bn 27% BEE participation from inception Resources of 4.1 billion tonnes
Optimal asset mix (existing operations & projects) Stable cashflow stream through Kriel Colliery
Kriel Zibulo New Largo Elders Heidelberg Projects Operations
Dynamic consortium partner grouping with strong women & community participation
Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal
16
Social Responsibility
Progress against Mining Charter BEE procurement spend 2009: R5.6Bn (56%) HDSA in Management: 45% (target 40%) Women in Mining: 16.5% (target 10%) Women in Management: 17% Women in Technical Occupations: 11% Learnerships in AATC SA: 545 (88% HDSA) Focus Areas of Social and Labour Plans (SLPs) Infrastructure Education and Skills Development SMME development Agriculture Environment Sports, Arts and Culture Strengthening partnerships with government and NGOs Guided by the Anglo Social Way
Vegetable garden at Edward Matjeka Primary School
17
Kleinkopje
Greenside
South Witbank
Addresses environmental impact of mine water whilst alleviating water shortage in local community of Emalahleni
Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal
18
Mt
5/Top 10 = Anglo
1.2
Asset optimisation is clearly focused on key mining equipment and supporting activities Opencast mines Draglines (DIG Initiative)
1.0
0.8
Position
Section G/Side Vumagara Other Other G/Side Thandeka Other Kriel Ngw enya G/Hoop Isikhonyane G/Hoop Mangw apa Other Other
Miner 12HM31 ABM30 ABM30 12HM31 ABM30 12HM21 12HM31 12HM31 12HM31 12HM31
Hauler 20 ton S/C Cont Haulage Cont Haulage 20 ton S/C Cont Haulage 16/20 ton S/C 20 ton S/C 20 ton S/C 16 ton S/C 20 ton S/C
0.6
1 2 3
0.4
4 5 6
0.2
7 8 9 10
0.0
AATCs mines operate 5 out of the top 10 performing Continuous Miners in South Africa
Source: Mining Consultancy Services - www.mcs-com.net
19
Agenda
1. Overview of Anglo American Thermal Coal (AATC) 2. Market Overview 3. Strategy & Growth Pipeline
20
1990-2007
8%
5000
2030 2007
2007-2015 2007-2030
4000
6%
3000
4%
2000
2%
1000
0% China India Brazil Russia Africa Middle East OECD
0 Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Hydro Biomass Other and renew. waste
21
Twh
16,000 14,000 12,000
Total 15,300 13,500 11,750 10,500 Asia China India Africa Middle East South America
10,000
8,200
8,000 6,000 4,000
North America
2,000
0.5% 0.5%
Europe
0
2007
2015
2020
2025
2030
Majority of thermal coal market is domestic, with only ~10%-15% of volume entering the seaborne export market
Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2009 (Reference scenario)
22
Indonesia, Australia and Colombia with the highest expected supply growth
Supply, Mt
1,250
CAGR Total 2.5% 1.0% 0.5% 1.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 3.1%
1,000
1,000
750
681
750
India
500
500
250
Other Asia
1.9%
250
Indonesia
0 0
3.1%
2009
2015
2025
2009
2015
2025
Seaborne export market trends highlight key supply and demand markets across the globe
Source: Wood Mackenzie
23
Russia 69Mt exports Europe 160Mt imports USA/Can. 22Mt imports 35% of
world thermal demand in the Atlantic basin
Minor trade flows Major trade flows Importer Exporter Colombia 65Mt exports
36 Mt
26 Mt
to Asia
Note: Only major trade flows shown; rounded figures, 2009 basis
24
AATC maintains its position as swing supplier to Atlantic and Indo-Pacific markets
South African exports 20032009
Volume in Mt 1 (% of total sales) 75 71 8% 2% 8% 68 8% 2% 10% 12% 5% 7% 68 12% 4% 7% 68 10% 7% 70 672 14% 6% 8% Others 12% Other Asia +1% +28% CAGR '03'09
Declining volumes to Europe Overall stagnating market demand due to economic and environmental factors Competition from Colombian coal suppliers and softer gas prices
Increasing volumes to India Strong growth of Indian seaborne demand South Africa geographically favorably positioned to supply India Complementary product properties to lower CV, high moisture Indonesian coal
-11%
-2%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
-1%
25
1981 - 2001
2002 - 2007
2008 - 2009
2010 - 2014
Source: McCloskey
26
Market trend
Export market growth will be driven by two key markets Moderate slow-down in Chinese GDP growth and delays to Indian expansion not expected to change structural market shift Restricted rail and port facilities in key geographies, particularly Australia and Southern Africa, limit growth Supply constraints could result in pricing upside
Alternative Fuels
Coal is expected to maintain its share of growing world primary energy to 2030 Impact of cheaper gas expected to be limited on main growth markets for coal Important to keep track of impact of - and potential opportunities in - related fields
27
Agenda
1. Overview of Anglo American Thermal Coal (AATC) 2. Market Overview 3. Strategy & Growth Pipeline
28
140
Limpopo
120 100 80 60 40 20 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Elders OC Cerrejon P500 Waterberg Elders UG Heidelberg UG New Largo Cerrejon P40 Existing and Approved
29
Description
Approved in Dec. 2007 Project includes colliery and Phola coal wash plant Mining started Q4 2009 (0.1Mt) Full capacity 6.6Mt reached in 2012
People
Ownership
20 year life @ 8mtpa ROM 8 CM production units supported by battery haulers & shuttle cars
30
Description
Feasibility study: 2010 2011 First coal: 2013 Full capacity: 2017
Products Eskom
Financials
People
Ownership
31
280
80
Anglo TFR Allocation
270
60
40
Others TFR Allocation
260
20
250
2011 2011
2012 2012
2013 2013
2014 2014
2015 2015
240 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
SA infrastructure capacity expected to expand but both rail and power supply expected to be limited in medium-term
Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal, Eskom, TFR
32
Botswana
Limpopo
Maputo
Richards Bay
33
GROOTEGELUK COLLIERY
LEPHALALE
Cleaner energy from coal leading the exploration of CBM in Southern Africa
34
Project under evaluation: fluidised bed boiler technology, ~300MW Third party ownership est. capex ~US$600m Power for use of Anglo American - could enable growth projects and hedge against future costs of power Technical advisers appointed
35
Conclusion
Stable cash generating business and consistent contributor to AA plc profitability Positive market outlook for RSA thermal coal in the medium term driven by export demand in the Indo-Pacific region & domestic South African power demand Thermal export prices expected to remain at historically high levels in the medium term AATC South African operations in the 1st quartile of the global cost curve Strong growth pipeline but infrastructure constraints will need to be resolved Strong resource & reserve position with reserves of 1.2 billion saleable tons (proved & probable) & further resources of 1.9 billion MTIS1 (measured & indicated) Global growth opportunities under evaluation
Notes: 1. MTIS = minable tonnage in situ. Reserves & resources include South Africa and Colombia
36
Appendix
Net Exporters
18%
3% 4%
13%
Export
1.3
5% 6% 8% 16%
1.0
0.8
Coal Produced
87% 41%
1.0
Domestic
0.5
Coal Consumed
China
0.3
0.0
Production by Country
Production by Market
Small imbalances in large domestic markets like China & India have a significant impact on the export market
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2009, Wood Mackenzie *Note: Includes all coal types
Colombia
Canada
USA
38
Management Team
Head of Safety
P. Fourie
L. Horne*
* Acting
39