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PPI Europe 5 July 2012
PPI Europe 5 July 2012
PPI Europe 5 July 2012
@ppi_europe
In This Issue:
Price Watch: UK Graphic Paper Focus: June SCA builds new tissue PM Packaging Focus: June CEPI slaps EoW guidance 2 3 4 5 9
Improved (68 ISO) Uncoated mechanical SC rotogravure reels SC rotogravure reels SC rotogravure reels SC offset reels SC offset reels SC offset reels Coated mechanical LWC rotogravure reels LWC offset reels Uncoated woodfree A4 copy (B grade) A4 copy (C grade) Offset reels Offset sheets Coated woodfree Reels Sheets PACKAGING P&B4 Virgin fiber containerboard Unbleached kraftliner
White-top kraftliner Recycled containerboard Testliner 2 140-g 380 - 430*** 471 - 533 400 - 430 485 - 500 -18 Testliner 3 140-g 360 - 410*** 446 - 508 380 - 410 465 - 480 -19 Fluting 100-g+ 360 - 410*** 446 - 508 380 - 410 465 - 480 -19 Fluting 90-g 380 - 425*** 471 - 527 400 - 425 485 - 490 -17 White-top testliner 140-g 520 - 560*** 645 - 694 540 - 560 560 - 590 -6 Cartonboard Coated duplex (GC2) 270-g+ 965 - 1,065 1,197 - 1,321 965 - 1,065 965 - 1,085 -1 White-lined chipboard (GD2) 300-g+ 655 - 740 812 - 918 655 - 740 675 - 760 -3 RECOVERED PAPER5 1.02 - mixed P&B (sorted) 60 - 70 74 - 87 70 - 80 75 - 90 -21 1.05 - old corrugated containers 65 - 80 81 - 99 75 - 90 90 - 105 -26 1.11 - sorted graphic paper for deinking 100 - 110 124 - 136 100 - 110 115 - 125 -13 2.01 - newspapers 110 - 120 136 - 149 110 - 120 120 - 135 -10 2.08 - colored woodfree magazines 125 - 140 155 - 174 125 - 140 160 - 180 -22 Multigrade 110 - 130 136 - 161 120 - 140 170 - 180 -31 1: The Euro column reflects July 2012 prices in euros at the rate of 0.8064 per euro. Comparison of July 2012 prices with those of July 2011 uses the midpoint of price ranges. 2: The 42.5-g newsprint price is a mix of collected prices and prices calculated by the half-yield formula, using the 45-g grade as the base price. Prices for 52-g improved newsprint have been added to the Price Watch and those for 55-g have been removed as consumption of the former has climbed and the latter has fallen. 3: Range reflects standard double-coated grades. 4: Kraftliner prices are CIF prices for European and American imports. White-top testliner prices are for uncoated board with a brightness of ISO70. 5: Recovered paper nomenclature comes from the list of standard European qualities developed by CEPI and BIR, except for multigrade, which is a blend of coated and uncoated woodfree paper. This quality is not covered by the EN 643 standard developed by CEPI and BIR. na = not available. *Some contacts reported settling some new contracts at lower prices, but negotiations are still ongoing. **Some buyers reported bigger price decreases, while some suppliers reported stable prices. ***Sources reported that recycled containerboard prices started decreasing as of July 1. Price drops of up to 20/tonne are expected to be fully implemented in the market in the course of July. To use your free online price analysis tools, log in at www.risi.com/pricewatch. For over 20 years of historical prices, subscribe to the Global Price History Database: www.risi.com/pricehistory. DISCLAIMER: While the information contained in the price table has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, RISI does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the information. Prices are generally best estimates of prices before regular volume and contract discounts and are composite prices as opposed to median or average prices. Actual transaction prices may vary.
-8 -7 -7 -8
NEWSPRINT 45 G
530
490
450
France Germany UK
410
Italy
370
Jul 2010
Sep 2010
Nov 2010
Jan 2011
Mar 2011
May 2011
Jul 2011
Sep 2011
Nov 2011
Jan 2012
Mar 2012
May 2012
Mechanical paper prices to slide: Sellers of supercalendered (SC) and lightweight coated (LWC) paper are also facing the likelihood of price reductions. In June, some negotiations were still ongoing, but price drops of some Euro 10-20/tonne were discussed in the major eurozone markets, while UK players talked about cuts of some 20-30/tonne. Some contacts did not expect any price changes at all. European demand for coated mechanical paper has been down during the first five months of the year compared to the same period in 2011, while the same figure for SC paper showed a marginal plus year on year, according to EURO-GRAPH figures. Some producers complained about one seller in particular offering lower prices more easily than others, and that other companies were following this move.
650
SC ROTOGRAVURE REELS 56 G
630
610
590
France Germany UK
570
Italy
550
Jul 2010
Sep 2010
Nov 2010
Jan 2011
Mar 2011
May 2011
Jul 2011
Sep 2011
Nov 2011
Jan 2012
Mar 2012
May 2012
UWF prices stabilizing: Following the increases in continental Europe in May, uncoated woodfree (UWF) paper prices largely leveled out in June. In France, some market contacts reported price increases for copy paper. All in all, prices for UWF offset reels and sheets rose by approximately Euro 10/tonne in continental Europe in the second quarter, while the levels for copy paper were lifted by up to Euro 20/tonne. In the UK, where prices did not rise in May due to the strength of the pound sterling, levels remained unchanged in June, too. Now market players are speculating about what course the European UWF market might take over the summer vacation period. Several contacts said they expected order books, which stood at around three to four weeks in June, to become thinner in the months ahead and expressed their concern that some suppliers might resort to summer rebates in order to boost sales.
890
860
830
France Italy
Germany UK
800
Jul 2010
Sep 2010
Nov 2010
Jan 2011
Mar 2011
May 2011
Jul 2011
Sep 2011
Nov 2011
Jan 2012
Mar 2012
May 2012
830
780
730
680
France Italy
Germany UK
630
Jul 2010
Sep 2010
Nov 2010
Jan 2011
Mar 2011
May 2011
Jul 2011
Sep 2011
Nov 2011
Jan 2012
Mar 2012
May 2012
No contracts were traded in the period June 27 - July 3. Total Open Interest for the complex stands at 260 contracts.
FOEX INDICES
PIX NBSK Benchmark ($) July 3 820.36 June 26 831.20 PIX NBSK Benchmark (Euro) July 3 651.60 June 26 662.89 PIX BHKP Benchmark ($) July 3 781.13 June 26 784.38 PIX BHKP Benchmark (Euro) July 3 620.44 June 26 625.55
650
600
550
500
France Germany UK
450
Italy
400
Jul 2010
Sep 2010
Nov 2010
Jan 2011
Mar 2011
May 2011
Jul 2011
Sep 2011
Nov 2011
Jan 2012
Mar 2012
May 2012
Recycled containerboard weak: Recycled containerboard prices continued falling in June on the continent, following Euro 20-25/tonne decreases in May. Germany and Italy showed the largest price drops of up to Euro 30/tonne, with spot tonnage being offered at prices that were Euro 40/tonne lower than in May. In France, prices fell by Euro 25/tonne last month. According to sources, declining recovered paper prices, high mill inventories and weak demand across Europe continued to weigh on paper prices in June. They added that further price erosion of some Euro 25/tonne is expected in July. White-top testliner prices also eroded in June, falling by Euro 20-25/tonne. In the UK, prices for the brown grades as well as white-top testliner started weakening in the last week of June. The 20/ tonne decreases are expected to be implemented overall in the market in the beginning of July.
600 550 500 450 400 350 300
TESTLINER 2 - 140 G
France Italy
Germany UK
Jul 2010
Sep 2010
Nov 2010
Jan 2011
Mar 2011
May 2011
Jul 2011
Sep 2011
Nov 2011
Jan 2012
Mar 2012
May 2012
Jul 2010
Sep 2010
Nov 2010
Jan 2011
Mar 2011
May 2011
Jul 2011
Sep 2011
Nov 2011
Jan 2012
Mar 2012
May 2012
WLC prices largely stable: Prices for white-lined chipboard (WLC) remained mainly flat in June, as sluggish demand, good availability of board order backlogs generally amounted to two to three weeks and some recent declines in production costs largely prevented several suppliers plans to raise prices. The majority of price negotiations between suppliers and buyers have been postponed until the autumn, and no major price movement is expected during the summer months. Many sources believe that manufacturers will take extended downtime at their mills in July and August in order to rebalance the market. However, no official announcement has been made yet. General market prospects are uncertain and rather glum for the coming months. Suppliers have managed to keep their machines running but [the market] is fragile and patchy and we do not really know from one week to another if demand is going to improve or not, said a major recycled board manufacturer.
PPI EUROPE/July 5, 2012
Italy
Jul 2010
Sep 2010
Nov 2010
Jan 2011
Mar 2011
May 2011
Jul 2011
Sep 2011
Nov 2011
Jan 2012
Mar 2012
May 2012
velopment and sales promotion at Papyrus Switzerland. We are present with a team of our own in Switzerland now in order to increase the brand awareness of Gmund and to boost sales. Gmund Schweiz will intensify our advisory service for end customers, agents, printers and converters, thus supporting the wholesale, the firm said in a statement.
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Copyright 2012 by RISI, Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction in any form whatsoever is forbidden without express permission of the copyright owner. Editorial Staff Steven Sachoff, Editor (market pulp) ........................................................................ ssachoff@risi.com; 32.2.536.0736 Daniela Wortmann, Deputy Editor (recovered paper, uncoated woodfrees) .......... dwortmann@risi.com; 32.2.536.0737 Irina Van den Neste, News Editor (containerboard) ......................................... ivandenneste@risi.com; 32.2.536.0763 Eva Nyman, News Editor (mechanical papers, coated woodfrees)........................... enyman@risi.com; 32.2.536.0756 Anne Grimbert, Associate News Editor (cartonboard, sack kraft) ...........................agrimbert@risi.com, 32.2.536.0767 Editorial office RISI, 326, Avenue Louise, Box 22, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium; tel 32.2.538.6040; fax 32.2.537.5626; web www.risi.com Subscriptions and customer service Call 32.2.536.0748 (Belgium) or 866.271.8525 (U.S.); visit www.risi.com/catalog (new subscriptions) or www.risi.com/cs (online customer service); email info@risi.com; fax 32.2.537.5626, or mail to PPI EUROPE, 326, Avenue Louise, Box 22, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium. Published 48 times per year on a weekly basis. Advertising PPI EUROPE accepts advertising. For information on pricing and availability, contact Remy Poos at +32.2.536.0735, email rpoos@risi.com. Executives Mike Coffey ....................................................................................................... President and Chief Executive Officer Matt Graves ..................................................................................... Senior Vice President, Pulp & Paper Information Todd Petracek ......................................................................... Vice President, Pulp & Paper News, Markets & Prices
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