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High Impact Coastal Storm Friday through Saturday, 2/8-9/2013 Weather Briefing

Prepared 4:45 pm EST Thursday, February 7, 2013

NOAAs National Weather Service New York, NY Office

Purpose of Briefing
Promote Situational Awareness Provide Guidance for Planning Briefing Applies to Area Shaded in Blue

HAZARDS SUMMARY

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Executive Summary
Weather Elements FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
FORECAST CONFIDENCE 80+ PERCENT, Blizzard Warnings for southern CT, New York
City Metro, and Long Island; Winter Storm Warnings for the rest of area, Coastal Flood Warning for portions of the area.

PRECIPITATION Heavy Snow with Blizzard conditions in warning area WINDS Speeds increasing to 25-40 with Gusts to 60 mph COASTAL FLOODING Minor to Moderate. Surge of 3 to 5 feet above astronomical tides with battering wave action on northeast facing shores TEMPERATURES 30s Friday; 20s Friday Night and Saturday TIMING Precipitation develops from SW to NE after 1 am Friday
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Executive Summary
High Impact Event
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS Blowing and drifting snow, making roads impassable. All modes of Travel will be seriously impacted, especially Friday afternoon through early Saturday. POWER OUTAGES Likely due to heavy wet snow, icing and high wind gusts. FLOODING Widespread flooding of vulnerable shore roads and/or basements due to height of storm tide and heavy wave action BEACH EROSION Significant to Severe, especially along the north and south forks of Suffolk County
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Satellite Image 3:15 pm Thursday Afternoon

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Forecast CHANGES
Slightly Colder Temperatures

- Earlier Change from Rain to Snow Along Coast Impacting Evening Commute - Higher Snowfall Amounts

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7 PM Friday Evening

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Storm Total Precipitation


(Liquid Equivalent) Forecast

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Latest Storm Total Snowfall Forecast

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Coastal Flooding
New Moon Predicted 2/10 Coastal Flood Warning in Effect Friday Evening (Western Long Island Sound, and Peconic/Gardiners Bays of LI, and south shore Bays of LI) Coastal Flood Advisory for southeast CT and New York Harbor Strongest East Winds Friday Afternoon shifting North Fri. Eve. Highest Surge: 3-5 ft Fri Aftn/Eve Widespread Minor to locally Moderate Flooding NY Harbor and SE CT Moderate Flooding Western LI SoundGreat South Bayand Twin Forks of LI High Wave action will exacerbate effects along N/NE facing shorelinesand immediate ocean facing shorelines
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Social Media
Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeath erService.NewYorkNY.gov

Follow us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY

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Contact Information

National Weather Service New York, NY - http://www.weather.gov/nyc


I.Ross.Dickman@noaa.gov - Office 631-924-0037 x222 Gary.Conte@noaa.gov - Office 631-924-0037 x223
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