AAOC ZC111 (EC-2 Regular) Page 1 of 2

Birla Institute of Technology & Science, Pilani

Distance Learning Programmes Division
Second Semester 2008-2009

Comprehensive Examination
(EC-2 Regular)

Course No. : AAOC ZC111
Course Title : PROBABILITY & STATISTICS
Nature of Exam : Open Book
Weightage : 60%
Duration : 3 Hours
Date of Exam : 04/04/2009 (FN)
Note:
1. Please follow all the Instructions to Candidates given on the cover page of the answer book.
2. All parts of a question should be answered consecutively. Each answer should start from a fresh page.
3. Mobile phones and computers of any kind should not be used inside the examination hall.
4. Use of any unfair means will result in severe disciplinary action.

Q.1 Suppose that a laboratory test on blood sample yields one of two results, positive
or negative. It is found that 95% of people with a particular disease produce a
positive. But 2% of people without the disease will also produce a positive result.
Suppose that 1% of the population actually has the disease. What is the probability
that a person chosen at random from the population
(a) will have positive result.
(b) will have the disease, given that the persons blood yields a positive result?
[6 + 4 =10]

Q.2 It has been found that 80% of all printers used on home computers operate
correctly at the time of installation. The rest require some adjustment. A particular
dealer sells 10 units during a given month. Find the probability that at least nine of
the printers operate correctly upon installation. [5]

Q.3 If a continuous random variable has the probability density function

2( 2)
; 0 1
( ) 5
0 ; . .
x
x
f x
e w
+
< <

=
`

)

(a) Find the distribution function for X.
(b) Find
|

\
|
< <
2
1
4
1
X P [5 + 3 = 8]

Q.4 Suppose the temperature T during May is normally distributed with mean 68
0
and
standard deviation 6
0
, Find the probability that the temperature during May is

(a) between 70
0
and 80
0
, (b) less than 60
0
. [3 + 3 = 6]
No. of Pages = 2
No. of Questions = 8

AAOC ZC111 (EC-2 Regular) Page 2 of 2
AAOC ZC111 (EC-2 Regular) Second Semester 2008-2009 Page 2


Q.5 Let X
1
and X
2
have the following joint probability distribution

X
2

0 1 2 3
0 0.409 0.108 0.027 0.008
1 0.308 0.047 0.015 0.006
X
1

2 0.045 0.012 0.011 0.004

(a) Find P(X
1
1, X
2
1).
(b) Find the marginal pdf for X
1.

(c) Find the marginal pdf for X
2.

(d) Find E(X
1
+ X
2
). [3 + 3 + 3 + 3 = 12]


Q.6 Two random samples of size 8 and 10 are drawn from two normally distributed
populations having variance 20 and 36 respectively. Find the probability that the
variance of the first sample is more than twice the variance of the second sample.
[4]

Q.7 The Edison Electric Institute has published figures on the annual number of
kilowatt hours expended by various home appliances. It is claimed that a vacuum
cleaner expends on average of 46 kilowatt hours per year. If a random sample of
12 homes included in a planned study indicates that a vacuum cleaner expends on
average of 42 kilowatt hours per year with a standard deviation of 11.9 kilowatt
hours. Test the null hypothesis = 46 kilowatt hours against the alternative
hypothesis < 46 kilowatt hours at the 0.01 level of significance. Assume that the
population distribution is normal. [8]

Q.8 The grades of a class of 5 students on a midterm report (x) and on the final
examination (y) are as follows:

x 77 50 71 96 81
y 82 66 78 99 47

Write the normal equations using the method of least squares and hence estimates a
regression line. [7]


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