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2013

Working Paper
Adhoc

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Roger Bootle 7



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Bootle R., 2012, Leaving the euro: A practical guide, Capital Economics
European Central Bank Legal Working Paper Series No. 10 by Phoebus Athanassiou

(December 2009) Withdrawal and expulsion from the EU and EMU: Some Reflections

16

Allen
Overy 20119.

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Allen and Overy (October 2011) The euro and currency unions

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Ashurst (January 2012) Exiting the Euro the legal consequences

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Broin (2012) The Euro Crisis: Orderly Default or Euro Exit

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. 12 H Flassbeck13


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, SOAS

13

Ex - Director of the Division on Globalization and Development Strategies of the United

Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) and State Secretary (Vice
Minister) from October 1998 to April 1999 at the German Federal Ministry of Finance
responsible for international affairs, the European Union and IMF.

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, ( 3).

1: - : H. Flassbeck
(November 2012) - The Systemic Crisis of the Euro - Causes and Therapies

2: % : H. Flassbeck (November
2012) - The Systemic Crisis of the Euro - Causes and Therapies

24

3: : Societe Generale


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4.
4: : H. Flassbeck (November 2012) The Systemic Crisis of the Euro - Causes and Therapies

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, 28 29
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European Commision (November 2012) - COM(2012) 777 final, A blueprint for a deep and

genuine economic and monetary union

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DG EcFin, European Commission Occasional Papers 123 (December 2012) - The

economic adjustment programme for Greece. First Review, pg 10


16

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24% 2012 55,4%


2012.
Marc17
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17

http://greece.greekreporter.com/2013/02/07/austerity-cuts-greek-household-income-38/

31

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3,2%19.

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.

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http://www.portugaldailyview.com/whats-new/statistics-agency-debt-tops-e200bn-gdp-

confirmed-at-6-4-in-2012
19

http://euobserver.com/economic/119729

20

http://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/europe/portugal-court-rejects-austerity-

measures-1.1351938

32

:
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2011 2013.23

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21

DG EcFin, European Commission Occasional Papers 124 (Autumn 2012) - The Economic

Adjustment Programme for Portugal Sixth Review Autumn 2012, pg 43


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..

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.., 41

24

http://euobserver.com/economic/119729

25

http://www.portugaldailyview.com/whats-new/state-reform-50000-public-sector-jobs-lost-in-

last-two-years

33

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2007
2010
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26

DG EcFin, European Commission Occasional Papers 127 (Autumn 2012) - The Economic

Adjustment Programme for Ireland Autumn Review Autumn 2012, pg 43

34

: 44,5% 2008
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46

5.


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: Barry Eichengreen,
Berkeley, "The breakup of the euro area"
.


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Eichengreen,
.

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"Leaving the euro: a practical guide",
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36

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/03/14/cyprus-natgas-exports-idUKL6N0C6AG520130314

66

Source: US Energy Information Administration PwC

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Memorandum of Understanding on Specific Economic Policy Conditionality ( 2013),

. 30: [] the plan should take account of the current uncertainty over the actual size of
domestic, offshore, commercially-viable, natural gas fields and possible changes in
international gas prices and demand, and appropriate data should be firmly based on
alternative world energy scenarios from an internationally-reputed organisation. The plan will
be based on an appropriate level of technical assistance on technical aspects in this context.

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