Rational Cost Analysis

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Rational Cost Analysis

Mark Johnson Kern Global

WHY???

Prove It

HOW, with So Many Variables

Equipment Models???

Speed (Cutter & Inserter)???


Equipment Models???

Equipment Cost (Price)???


Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)???

Monthly Mail Volumes???


Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)???

Pre-Sort & Postage???


Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes???

Page Counts Per Envelope???


Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes??? Pre-Sort & Postage???

Page Distributions???
Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes??? Pre-Sort & Postage??? Page Counts per Envelope???

Labor Costs???
Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes??? Pre-Sort & Postage??? Page Counts per Envelope??? Page Distributions???

Employee Benets Costs???


Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes??? Pre-Sort & Postage??? Page Counts per Envelope??? Page Distributions??? Labor Costs???

Floor Space???
Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes??? Pre-Sort & Postage??? Page Counts per Envelope??? Page Distributions??? Labor Costs??? Employee Benets Cost???

Electricity and HVAC???


Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes??? Pre-Sort & Postage??? Page Counts per Envelope??? Page Distributions??? Labor Costs??? Employee Benets Cost???

Value of Floor Space???

Damaged Pieces &


Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes??? Pre-Sort & Postage??? Page Counts per Envelope??? Page Distributions??? Labor Costs??? Employee Benets Cost??? Value of Floor Space??? Electricity and HVAC Consumption???

Service and Maintenance???


Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes??? Pre-Sort & Postage??? Page Counts per Envelope??? Page Distributions??? Labor Costs??? Employee Benets Cost??? Value of Floor Space??? Electricity and HVAC Consumption??? Damaged Pieces & Replacement Costs???

Spare Parts???
Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes??? Pre-Sort & Postage??? Page Counts per Envelope??? Page Distributions??? Labor Costs??? Employee Benets Cost??? Value of Floor Space??? Electricity and HVAC Consumption??? Damaged Pieces & Replacement Costs??? Service & Maintenance Costs??? Cost of Spare Parts???

Down Time???
Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes??? Pre-Sort & Postage??? Page Counts per Envelope??? Page Distributions??? Labor Costs??? Employee Benets Cost??? Value of Floor Space??? Electricity and HVAC Consumption??? Damaged Pieces & Replacement Costs??? Service & Maintenance Costs??? Cost of Spare Parts??? Impact of Down Time???

Staff Productivity???
Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes??? Pre-Sort & Postage??? Page Counts per Envelope??? Page Distributions??? Labor Costs??? Employee Benets Cost??? Value of Floor Space??? Electricity and HVAC Consumption??? Damaged Pieces & Replacement Costs??? Service & Maintenance Costs??? Cost of Spare Parts??? Impact of Down Time???

Supervision???
Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes??? Pre-Sort & Postage??? Page Counts per Envelope??? Page Distributions??? Labor Costs??? Employee Benets Cost??? Value of Floor Space??? Electricity and HVAC Consumption??? Damaged Pieces & Replacement Costs??? Service & Maintenance Costs??? Cost of Spare Parts??? Impact of Down Time??? Staff Productivity???

Management Costs???
Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes??? Pre-Sort & Postage??? Page Counts per Envelope??? Page Distributions??? Labor Costs??? Employee Benets Cost??? Value of Floor Space??? Electricity and HVAC Consumption??? Damaged Pieces & Replacement Costs??? Service & Maintenance Costs??? Cost of Spare Parts??? Impact of Down Time??? Staff Productivity??? Supervision???

Equipment Models??? Speed (Cutter & Inserter)??? Equipment Cost (Price)??? Monthly Mail Volumes??? Pre-Sort & Postage??? Page Counts per Envelope??? Page Distributions??? Labor Costs??? Employee Benets Cost???

Value of Floor Space??? Electricity and HVAC Consumption??? Damaged Pieces & Replacement Costs??? Service & Maintenance Costs??? Cost of Spare Parts??? Impact of Down Time??? Staff Productivity??? Supervision??? Management and Overhead Costs???

Total Cost of Ownership


Wikipedia: Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) is a nancial estimate whose
purpose is to help consumers and enterprise managers determine direct and indirect costs of a product or system.

$1,300/Month

$22,000!!!

Vendor K

$3,100,000

Vendor P

$2,600,000

Conventional Logic:
DecisionBuy from Vendor P and save $500,000!!!

6 Months Later

Vendor K Systems TCO per Month


Depreciation expense! ! Labor (3 shifts) !! Supervision! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! $29,524 $123,750 $12,375 ! $51,666 $45,000 $4,224

Service/Maintenance contract! ! Production oor space! ! ! !

$295,763

Power (electricity) operating consumption!! HVAC consumption!! ! ! ! $4,224

System-related mail re-prints and re-processing!

$25,000

(All others postage, missed SLAs, management, $0 liability insurance, and other

Vendor P Systems TCO per Month


Depreciation expense! Labor (3 shifts) !! Supervision!!
! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! $27,857 $154,688 $15,468 ! $43,333 $56,250 $5,280

Service/Maintenance contract! ! Production oor space! ! HVAC consumption!!


! ! !

$345,656

Power (electricity) operating consumption!!


! ! $5,280

System-related mail re-prints and re-processing!

$37,500

(All others postage, missed SLAs, management, $0 liability insurance, and other ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !

Conventional Logic: Buy from Vendor P and save $500K

1 Year

$688,704

5 Years $3,893,460 7 Years $6,080,760 10 Years $9,586,680

Vendor P

Conventional Logic:Buy from Vendor P and save $500K

Vendor K
Comprehensive (TCO) Analysis:
Buy from Vendor K and save: 1 Year $688,704

5 Years $3,893,460 7 Years $6,080,760 10 Years $9,586,680

CMON MAN!!....

How can that be possible???

Asset Price vs FTE


Monthly Cost of a Single FTE (Operator) $3,437

! ! ! ! ! !

Equivalent Monthly Financial Impact of a Capital Asset Acquisition


1 Shift 2 Shifts 3 Shifts

Asset with 5-Year Life Expectancy ! $275K Asset with 7-Year Life Expectancy ! $361K

$550K $722K

$825K $1.08M

Asset with 10-Year Life Expectancy ! $485K

$971K

$1.46M

Total Cost of Ownership - Side-By-Side VENDOR Comparison


2,000,000 Kern Pitney Bowes

1,500,000

Monthly Cost

1,000,000

500,000

0 Scenario 1: 5 Million Pieces per Month Scenario 2: 10 Million Pieces per Month Scenario 3: 20 Million Pieces per Month Scenario 4: 30 Million Pieces per Month Scenario 5: 40 Million Pieces per Month Scenario 6: 50 Million Pieces per Month

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