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Clase8 Endesa Eurogen
Clase8 Endesa Eurogen
Clase8 Endesa Eurogen
Forward-looking Statements:
Cautionary Statement for Purposes of the Safe Harbor Provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a safe harbor for forward-looking statements. This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements regarding the proposed acquisition of Elettrogen (the Acquisition), including the timing thereof and the financial and other results expected to be achieved following the Acquisition, that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Forward- looking statements include information regarding: the timing of necessary regulatory approvals; the timing of the consummation of the Acquisition; estimated future revenues, earnings, EBITDA, return on invested capital, return on equity and other financial targets; the structure of the Acquisition; management strategy; synergies; operational efficiencies; cost and tax savings; tariffs and pricing structure; capital expenditures and other investments; asset disposals. For all of these forward- looking statements, we claim the protection of the safe harbor for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.The following important factors, in addition to those discussed elsewhere in this presentation, could affect the timing of the Acquisition and the future financial and other results of Endesa and Elettrogen, including after the consummation of the Acquisition, and could cause the Acquisition to be delayed or not to be consummated, or those results or other outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in our forward-looking statements: Economic and Industry Conditions: materially adverse changes in economic or industry conditions generally or in our markets; the effect of existing regulations and regulatory changes; tariff reductions; the impact of any fluctuations in interest rates; the impact of fluctuations in exchange rates; natural disasters; the impact of more stringent environmental regulations and the inherent environmental risks relating to the companies business operations; the potential liabilities relating to the companies nuclear facilities. Transaction or Commercial Factors: any delays in or failure to obtain necessary regulatory, antitrust and other approvals for the Acquisition, or any conditions imposed in connection with such approvals; our ability to integrate the businesses of Endesa and Elettrogen successfully; the challenges inherent in diverting management's focus and resources from other strategic opportunities and from operational matters during the integration process; the outcome of any negotiations with partners and governments. Political/Governmental Factors: political stability in Latin America; changes in Spanish and foreign laws, regulations and taxes. Operating Factors: technical difficulties; changes in operating conditions and costs; the ability to implement cost reduction plans; the ability to maintain a stable supply of fuel and the impact of fluctuations on fuel prices; other acquisitions or restructurings;the ability to implement an international and diversification strategy successfully. Competitive Factors: the actions of competitors; changes in competition and pricing environments; the entry of new competitors in our markets. 2
Transaction Highlights l Consortium led by ENDESA with a 45% stake l Final price to be paid: Euro 2.63 bn (Euro 3.69 bn EV) l ENDESAs total investment: Euro 990 m l IRR = 9.5%. ENDESAs return on investment= 14% l EPS neutral in 2002, 2% accretive in 2003 l Consolidated by the equity method. l EU approval expected in 60 days l Completion expected in 4Q 2001
Implementation of Endesas European Strategy The Elettrogen acquisition is an excellent investment opportunity
4 Endesa has developed a strategic plan for Italy platform on Elettrogens power plants and geared towards value creation: 4 in competitive terms (repowering of plants) 4 focusing on energy supply and trading 4 Elettrogen (5.5TW) in Italy, together with SNET (2.6TW) in France and TEJO (0.6TW) in Portugal will allow: 4 to complete the construction of a competitive business base with growth potential 4 to balance the country risk of Endesas portfolio 4 to achieve a unique position in a priority market (southern Europe) 4 Plans for Elettrogen foresee: 4 a 12.3% EBITDA annual growth over next five years 4 earnings accretion for Endesa from year 1 4 achieving a return for shareholders of 14%
4
Implementation of Endesas European strategy The Elettrogen bid is the result of an in-depth analysis of the available opportunities in Europe that fit Endesas strategic objectives
11 were disregarded as they did not meet minimum required returns Endesa has been analysing 28 potential investment opportunities in Europe 10 were analyzed in depth but no binding offers were submitted 4 of them were successful (NRE, REMU, SNET, Elettrogen)
150%
Saturated interconnection with neighbouring countries: no levelling effect on prices A progressive renewal of the generation assets will
c/kWh
Italy
Switzerland
Peak demand
100%
>9GWh/a 40%
7
Meeting profitability requirements An IRR that meets Endesas profitability requirements for its strategic plan
IRR: 9.5%
6.5%
7.5%
8 - 8.5%
9.5 - 10%
10
ENDESA
45% Euro 986 M
BSCH
40% Euro 876 M
ASM BRESCIA
15% Euro 328 M
ROIC*
+389 pb 10,6 6,7
EBITDA
CAGR 12,3% 356
(Euro M)
635
2001
2006
2001
2006
With the price offered for Elettrogen the transaction is expected to be EPS neutral in 2002 and 2% accretive in 2003
*ROIC = FCF/IC, FCF = EBITDA - CAPEX-TAXES
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Operating costs
Workforce: From 2004 onwards meet the benchmark of our domestic operations Expected reduction through early retirement programmes: already agreed with the unions 290 employees until 2005 Estimated Investment in repowering: Euro 904 M The EPC contract for Ostiglia signed with Enel Power.
Investments
Repowering will allow to maintain margins through time by: a 26% increase in net power of thermal groups a 5% increase in their availability a 41% increase in the fuel efficiency a 57% decrease in fuel cost per kw/h
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Tax effect
Asset revaluation allows the elimination of goodwill and its tax deductable. Positive impact on the valuation of Euro 500 M DIT (Dual Income Tax): tax benefit (lower corporate tax) for the net increase in equity (considered in 5 years). Positive impact in valuation: Euro 90 M.
Supply and trading: Energy sold to eligible customers reaches 50% of Elettrogens output Other sources in 2004 and 100% in 2008. of value CTCs In accordance with the domestic regulator they will cover the difference between the fixed revenues recognised and the pool prices. Estimated CTC amount for Elettrogen: Euro 135 M
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Employees/MW
0.26 0.22 0.22
-15%
9.26
-38%
6.19 5.77
...
-46%
5.8 4.3
1996
1999 2000
Endesa Current 2007 Elettrogen 15
EV/EBITDA 2002 Enel Edison ACEA Roma AEM Milano Elettrogen 8.1 9.5 6.3 16.8 9.3
CAGR 02-06
12.3%
42.4%
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Plant Total Type Capacity MW Gas (CCGT) 3510 Fuel/Coal/Orimulsion 1201 Hydro 1014 EV after repowering 5725 Repowering capex EV before repowering
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18
Back-up slides
(% share in generation)
Interconnection capacity
Capacidad de las interconexiones MW Switz. 4,182 Austria 285
Capacity of
Interconnection: 9,582 MW % on peak demand: 18%
Gas Infrastructure
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B. Hydro Penalty
Hydro plants will pay 12 Lit/Kwh as a compensation for their low variable costs
CTCs = A - B
This structure allows to modelize CTCs in accordance with the current Italian legislation A readjustment of the model will be required once some regulatory uncertainties are solved A preliminary valuation of CTCs would be Euro 135 M
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Generation
Enel Distribuzion e
New competitors
Non-eligible Non-eligiblecustomers customers (Regulated) (Regulated) Eligible EligibleCustomers Customers (Competitive (Competitivesupply) supply)
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Ostiglia Oil / Gas Year comm.of operations (avge) 1974 Generation( GWh) 5,796 Installed capacity (MW) 1,251 Employees 216
Nucleodi Terni Year comm. of operations (avge) ---Installed capacity (MW) 530 Fiume Santo Year comm. of operations ( avge) 1983 Installed capacity (MW) 880 Orimulsion Generation (GWh) 4,983 Employees 358
7,0
5,5
4,9
2,6
Eurogen Elettrogen
Edison/Sondel Interpower
Trapani Oil Year comm. of operations (avge) 1988 Generation ( GWh) 147 Installed capacity (MW) 168 Employees 3
* Net
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Orimulsion
Orimulsion: synthetic fuel, similar to fuel-oil, with the same density as water, with a similar price to coal but with a lower calorific value (6,450-6,900 Kcl/Kg) and higher levels of sulphur (3%) and water (30%). This fuel is currently being used at the Fiume Santo plant in Sardinia, with two groups of 160 MW each (fuel-oil) and two other groups of 320 MW each. Enels plant in Brindisi, with three groups of 660 MW each, also uses this fuel Fiumesantos groups 3 and 4 were initially designed to burn coal and count on all the necessary approvals. Additionally the plant counts on a harbour which can receive coal ships of up to 120,000 tonnes as well as all the necessary transport infrastructure. None of the coal plants were used as ENEL decided to change the fuel to be used maybe due to pressures from the local authorities. The presence of nearby industrial facilities around Porto Torres (ENICHEM, the plant itself) the running of coal-fired facilities should be accepted . The use of orimulsion carries some extra costs, since the design of the desulphurisation equipment contemplates fuels with a lower sulphur content. Still, there is the possibility that the new buyer negotiates the authorisation to burn coal, which would result in an important increase in value.
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ASM Brescia
Description: One of the four largest municipality-owned utilities in Italy with its own generation capacity. Ownership: 100% Council of Brescia Activitie: Generation of electricity, distribution and supply of electricity, water and gas. Treatment of water and waste. Lighting, public transport. Operating data: Generation: 1,695 GWh Distribution of electricity: 1,680 GWh (505 GWh to electric utilities, 1,175 GWh to the grid) Customers: 117,640 Gas supply: 332 million m3 Customers:149,181 water distribution: 46 mm 3 Customers: 132,700 Employees: 1,425 Revenues: Euro 427 m. Investments: Euro 79 m. Net Income: Euro 85 m Strategy: In generation, carry out the repowering of the Mincio and Cassano plants and increase the production capacity through agreements (agreements for greenfields signed with Ansaldo Energia and AEM Cremona)
Plants
Thermoelectric Power Plant of Ponti sul Mincio Power Plant of Cassano Cogeneration Power Plant Sud Lamarmora Power Plant Diesel Nord Power Plant Termoutilizzatore (Waste ) Hydroelectric Caffaro Power Plant (shareholder) Prevalle Chiese Power Plant Prevalle Naviglio Power Plant Ro Volciano Power Plant Pompegnino Power Plant Biogas (Buffalora, Passirano and Calcinato Plants) Photovoltaic Gas Turboexpander (Ponti sul Mincio Plant)
(kW)
221,288 115,538 105,75 221,131 139,161 23,97 58 8,18 1,508 2,13 1 2,2 1,55 5,475 96 1,971
TOTAL
458,349
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