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The Scoggins Report by Jason Scoggins & Cindy Kaplan May 20, 2013

May 2013 Spec Market Scorecard

Consider the following remarkable stats: There has been 24% less new material on the market so far this year than last (100 specs in 2013 vs 132 in 2012), yet there have been 10% more spec sales (44 this year vs 40 in 2012). Seems like good news, right? Well, yes, but as youll plainly see from the grids on the following pages, theres a big, fat elephant in the room: With two exceptions (Fox and Universal), the studios and their labels simply arent buying spec scripts or pitches at anywhere near the velocity of years past. The numbers are so striking that we created a new chart on page 4 of the Scorecard which shows what it looks like when the major studios cut their spending by roughly 45%. In short, the studios seem to have stopped arent acting like studios. Thank heaven the non-studio buyers have stepped into the gap -- the more spec script sales the better, obviously -- but we the repurcussions this trend will have if it continues through the end of the year are troubling. Think about it this way: Imagine the impact if Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google, Microsoft and Yahoo cut their collective R&D budget by 45%. Sure, theyd be way more protable for a few quarters, but their ability to innovate for the long term would crumble.

2013 Overall Numbers

Of 2013s 44 spec sales, 9 (20%) have been of scripts that originally went out prior to 2012. Here are the overall spec market numbers through May 17...
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total 19 16 22 26 17 100 8 8 10 13 5 44
12 3 1 3 13 13 10 12 14 15 7 10 12 9 13 9 12 7 4 10 15 12 7 6 5 10 0 5 13 5 1 3 9 7 6 4 13 20 7 5 7 8 5 4 7 10 1 1 132 132 65 72

New Specs Spec Sales

2012 2011 * 2010 * 2009

* For 2010 and 2011, sales of scripts that originally went to market in years prior are not distributed monthly in the above table but have been added to the year-end totals.

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...and here are the monthly spec sales numbers in graph form. 20 15 10 5 0 Jan Feb Mar 2013 Apr May 2012 Jun 2011 Jul Aug 2010 Sep Oct 2009 Nov Dec

The following are combined total spec and pitch sales numbers through May 17, with year over year monthly comparisons...
Jan Feb Mar 8 8 10 3 10 8 11 18 18
20 7 20 21 22 28

Specs Pitches Totals

2012 Total 2011 Total

Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total 2012 13 5 44 132 10 4 35 81 23 9 79 213
26 16 16 15 22 28 13 20 16 9 13 12 19 30 10 16 15 24

2011 132 106

238

...and here are those combined spec and pitch sales numbers in graph form as well. 30 25 20 15 10 5 Jan Feb Mar Apr May 2013 Jun Jul Aug 2011 Sep Oct Nov Dec

2012

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Spec Sales By Genre

J Action/Adventure 2 Comedy Drama 1 Horror 1 Sci- 2 Thriller 2 F M A 2 2 3 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 4 4 M J 1 1 3 J A S O N D Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 9 29 20 16 15 3 28 28 17 23 4 10 14 7 7 5 13 8 0 0 7 15 15 5 7 15 36 37 17 21

Spec Sales By Buyer - Studios

J CBS Films Columbia Dimension Disney DreamWorks Fox Fox 2000 Lionsgate* MGM New Line New Regency Paramount Par. Insurge Relativity Universal Warner Bros. Totals F M A M J 1 1 1 1 1 1 J A S O N D Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 1 0 3 0 2 0 8 7 1 5 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 8 2 3 1 1 1 2 0 3 4 2 1 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 3 0 2 2 1 11 5 4 5 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 2 6 3 2 9 5 2 6 1 7 14 9 6 16 57 56 32 43

2 1

1 1 1 1 2 3 3 1 6 1 1 2

* 2011 and 2012 numbers for Lionsgate and Summit are combined.

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The following grid shows the combined pitch and spec purchase numbers for the Studio Buyers so far in 2013:
Pitches Columbia Disney Fox Fox 2000 Lionsgate* Paramount Universal Warner Bros. 1 1 5 1 1 1 9 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 Specs 2013 1 2 6 2 4 2 11 2 2012 16 12 12 1 5 20 20 18 2011 16 11 16 3 6 17 19 30

* 2011 and 2012 numbers for Lionsgate and Summit are combined.

Here are the above numbers for the six major studios in chart form: 30

20

10

Columbia

Disney 2011

Fox

Paramount Universal Warner Bros. 2012 2013

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Spec Sales By Buyer - Other Buyers

J 1821 Pictures 1984 Aldamisa Amazon Atlas Independ. Atmosphere Big Beach Boies/Shiller Gold Circle Incognito Mammo Media Nostromo Pics. Preferred Cntnt. QED RadioactiveGiant Sentinel Sierra/Afnity Skydance Sollipsist Start Mtn. Pics. The Exchange Thunder Road Treehouse Vendome Voltage Working Title Totals F M A M J 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 1 7 1 8 5 J A S O N D Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 3 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 29 17 9 4 1

Here are the combined pitch and spec purchase numbers for Non-Studio Buyers that have bought at least one of each so far in 2013.
Pitches 1984 QED Treehouse 1 1 1 Specs 1 1 1 2013 2 2 2 2012 2 4 0 2011 1 0 0

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Each of the following production companies has been attached to at least one spec sale so far this year. Names in bold are new or have set up an additional spec since the last Scorecard. Allison Shearmur Productions Anonymous Content Apocalyptic Entertainment Atlas Entertainment Benderspink Bluegrass Films Broken Road (2) ContentFilm Crave Films De Line Pictures Disruption Entertainment (2) Electric Entertainment Energy Entertainment (3) Friendly Films Hutch Parker Entertainment Industry Entertainment Intrigue Entertainment Jerry Bruckheimer Films Jon Shestack Productions Le Grisbi Productions Madhouse Entertainment Mandeville Films Midnight Kitchen Platinum Dunes Rosa Entertainment Sean Daniel Company Silver Pictures/Zinc Entertainment Sunny Field Entertainment

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Spec Sales by Seller - Agencies

J APA CAA Gersh ICM Kaplan Stahler Original Artists Paradigm Resolution UTA Verve WME Totals F M A 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 7 7 10 M J 1 1 J A S O N D Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 3 10 8 4 2 3 16 26 11 14 1 8 8 1 3 1 8 13 4 10 2 0 0 0 0 1 6 4 3 4 3 9 10 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 9 24 17 7 10 2 5 4 1 0 8 35 22 10 0 34 121 112 43 44

1 2 1 1 5

2 1 5

Here are the combined pitch and spec sales numbers for the agencies that have sold at least one of each in 2013:
Pitches CAA Gersh ICM Paradigm UTA WME 9 3 3 3 4 9 Specs 3 1 1 3 9 8 Total 12 4 4 6 13 17 2012 32 11 15 15 34 61 2011 50 14 27 14 30 50

The following 39 agents have been involved with at least one spec sale so far this year. Names in bold are new or sold an additional spec since the last Scorecard. Five: Mike Esola! ! Two: Charlie Ferraro ! Daniel Cohan! David Boxerbaum! David Park! ! ! ! ! ! ! (WME) (UTA) (WME) (Paradigm) (UTA) Two (continued): Geoff Morley !! Ida Ziniti! ! Jason Burns! Jon Huddle ! ! Marissa Devins! Rob Herting!! Shan Ray! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! (UTA) (Paradigm) (UTA) (UTA) (UTA) (Verve) (KSA)

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One: Aaron Hart ! ! ! Abram Nalibotsky ! ! Adam Levine! ! Adam Perry !! ! Adriana Alberghetti! ! Billy Hawkins! ! Carolyn Sivitz! ! Chris Licata! ! ! Chris Ridenhour! ! Dan Erlij ! ! ! David Saunders! ! Debbie Deuble-Hill! ! Greg McKnight ! ! Harley Copen! !

(Verve) (Resolution) (Verve) (APA) (WME) (CAA) (UTA) (Paradigm) (APA) (UTA) (APA) (APA) (CAA) (ICM)

Holly Jeter! ! James Kearney! John Garvey! Josh Hornstock! Julien Thuan!! Matt Leipzig! ! Max Michael! Mickey Berman! Ryan Saul! ! Sandra Lucchesi! Tim Phillips!! Todd Feldman! Will Lowery ! !

! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !

(WME) (UTA) (CAA) (UTA) (UTA) (Original) (UTA) (UTA) (APA) (Gersh) (UTA) (CAA) (APA)

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Spec Sales by Seller - Management Companies

J Anthem Apostle Benderspink Caliber Circle of Confusion Energy Fourth Floor Hung Ent. Industry Jeff Ross Ent. Kapital Linda Seifert Luber-Roklin Madhouse Manus Ent. Mosaic New Wave Oasis Media Grp. Principato Young Prolic Rosa Ent. Think Tank Wet Dog Ent. Zero Gravity Totals 1 F M A M J 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 1 6 9 14 5 1 1 1 J A S O N D Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 5 2 5 1 3 2 2 0 1 5 5 4 3 7 9 7 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 0 1 2 4 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 6 2 2 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 1 1 3 8 7 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 3 1 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 39 59 35 17 19

1 1

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Here are the combined pitch and spec sales for management companies that have sold at least one of each in 2013.
Pitches Apostle Benderspink Caliber Energy Industry Madhouse Mosaic New Wave Principato Young 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 Specs 2 4 1 7 2 1 1 1 1 Total 4 5 3 9 3 2 3 2 2 2012 2 9 7 15 5 6 10 10 6 2011 3 6 2 7 3 2 5 11 4

The following 29 managers have been involved with at least one spec sale so far in 2013. Seven: Brooklyn Weaver! Four: Jake Wagner! Three: Josh Adler! ! Mike Goldberg! Two: George Heller! Jeff Belkin! ! Marc Manus ! One: Aaron Kaplan! Adam Kolbrenner! Ava Jamshidi! Ben Rowe! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! (Energy) (Benderspink) (New Wave) (New Wave) (Apostle) (Zero Gravity) (Manus Ent.) (Kapital) (Madhouse) (Industry) (Oasis) One (continued): Bryan Brucks! ! C. Campos-Greenberg ! Dallas Sonnier! ! David Alpert! ! ! David Lonner! ! DJ Talbot Evan Cavic! ! ! Greg Shephard! ! Jeff Ross! ! ! Jeff Silver! ! ! Jonathan Hung! ! Langley Perer! ! Linda Seifert Michael Botti!! ! Sidney Sherman! ! Stephanie Davis! ! Tom Drumm! ! Will Rowbotham! ! (Luber-Roklin) (Anthem) (Caliber) (Circle) (Oasis) (PYE) (Circle) (Jeff Ross Ent.) (Fourth Floor) (Hung) (Mosaic) (Industry) (Rosa Ent.) (Wet Dog) (Think Tank) (Prolic)

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About The Scoggins Report: The Scoggins Report is a terribly unscientic analysis of the feature lm development business based on information assembled from a variety of public and non-public sources. The numbers in the reports are by no means ofcial statistics. Caveat emptor. Check out the newsletters beautiful new home on SpecScout.com.

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