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Tuan Sing Holdings: Singapore
Tuan Sing Holdings: Singapore
Singapore
Company Update
3 January 2012
Stock Information
Description: Investment holding company with diverse interests spanning property development and investment, hotel investment, industrial services and production of printed circuit boards. Ticker: Shares Issued (m): Market Cap (US$ m): 3-mth Avg Daily Volume (m): ST Index: Free float (%): Major Shareholders: Nursalim family TSH SP 1,154.3 231.4 3.8 2,646.35 54.4 % 45.6
Key Indicators
ROE annualised (%) Net gearing (%): NTA/shr (S$): Interest cover (x): 3.5 32.1 0.49 6.1
Historical Chart
Performance: 52-week High/Low 1-mth Absolute (%) Relative (%) -3.7 0.9
S$0.42/S$0.24 3-mth 4.0 5.1 6-mth -25.7 -11.9 1-yr -33.3 -19.6 YTD 0.0 0.0
Net Gearing (%) 45.2 ROE (%) 9.7 ROA (%) 5.2 Consensus Net Profit (S$ m) NA Source: Company data, Kim Eng estimates
Future launches Singapore Serene House Seletar Road Mont Timah Upper Serangoon Source: Kim Eng
Location Cluny Park Road Seletar Road Hindhede Drive Upper Serangoon/Pheng Geck Ave
2011
Market rental rate (S$psf pm) Gross rent (S$m) Net property income (S$m) Valuation (S$m) - Per NLA (S$)
Estimated GFA (sq ft) Construction cost including development charge (S$m) Incremental NAV (S$m) - Per share (S$)
150,732.87
Probability Probability weighted incremental NAV (S$m) - Per share (S$) Source: Kim Eng
50%
30%
3 January 2012
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119.4
0.10
16.5
0.01
564.4
0.49
SOTP
616.3
0.54
50%
0.245
3 January 2012
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PROFIT AND LOSS FYE Dec (S$ m) Sales Cost of goods sold Gross profit Other Income Distribution costs Administrative expenses Other operating expenses Share of associates' profits Finance income Finance costs Profit b/f tax & exceptionals Exceptional items Profit before tax Income tax write-back / (exp) Profit from continuing ops Loss from discontinued ops Profit for the year Minority interests Net profit to shareholders EBITDA EPS after exceptionals (S cts) BALANCE SHEET FYE Dec (S$ m) Total assets Current assets Cash & ST investment Trade & other debtors Inventories Development prop Assets held for sale Non-current assets Net fixed assets Investment prop Investment in assoc Others Total liabilities Current liabilities Trade & other creditors ST borrowings Others Long-term liabilities LT borrowings Others Shareholder's equity Share capital Reserve Minority interests 2009 928.6 502.1 93.9 55.0 17.2 90.7 245.3 426.5 12.3 261.7 152.5 0.0 426.4 266.6 82.7 175.6 8.2 159.8 145.4 14.4 492.3 158.2 334.1 9.9 2010 994.9 508.1 191.9 70.9 4.4 240.9 0.0 486.7 5.9 304.8 175.6 0.3 418.6 261.8 205.6 52.6 3.6 156.8 142.1 14.6 564.4 160.0 404.4 11.9 2011F 965.9 479.2 94.6 49.1 7.4 328.0 0.0 486.7 5.9 304.8 175.6 0.3 360.1 109.0 52.8 52.6 3.6 251.1 236.5 14.6 592.6 160.0 432.6 13.2 2012F 911.2 424.5 75.3 61.4 8.9 278.8 0.0 486.7 5.9 304.8 175.6 0.3 262.9 111.8 55.6 52.6 3.6 151.1 136.5 14.6 634.1 160.0 474.1 14.2 2013F 1,045.2 558.5 195.1 110.4 16.0 237.0 0.0 486.7 5.9 304.8 175.6 0.3 321.2 170.2 114.0 52.6 3.6 151.1 136.5 14.6 708.7 160.0 548.7 15.3 2009 220.2 -167.6 52.6 5.4 -5.5 -10.8 -3.9 9.5 1.0 -8.5 39.9 11.1 51.0 -2.9 48.1 -5.3 42.8 1.9 47.8 49.2 4.2 2010 274.0 -223.9 50.1 2.2 -4.0 -9.2 -2.1 9.8 3.0 -5.1 44.7 38.3 83.0 -9.5 73.5 -5.0 68.5 -0.2 73.0 48.2 6.4 2011F 221.2 -184.8 36.4 2.3 -4.4 -9.6 -2.2 10.4 2.1 -4.8 30.1 0.0 30.1 -5.1 25.0 0.0 25.0 -1.3 23.7 32.8 2.1 2012F 276.5 -222.6 54.0 2.4 -5.5 -10.1 -2.4 10.5 1.5 -6.0 44.4 0.0 44.4 -7.5 36.8 0.0 36.8 0.0 36.8 48.9 3.2 2013F 496.9 -398.9 98.0 2.6 -9.9 -10.6 -2.5 10.6 1.0 -4.7 84.4 0.0 84.4 -14.3 70.0 0.0 70.0 0.0 70.0 88.1 6.1
CASH FLOW FYE Dec (S$ m) Operating cash flow Pretax profit Op cashflow b/f wc changes Change in working capital Interest received Income tax paid Investment cash flow Net capex Net additions to invt prop Change in other assets Financing cash flow Change in share capital Net change in debt Div paid to s/holders Change in other LT liab. Net cash flow Free cash flow 2009 93.4 45.9 35.7 62.8 0.9 -6.1 -12.0 6.6 -33.6 15.0 -9.3 0.0 2.2 -0.2 -11.3 72.0 81.3 2010 -20.4 77.9 37.9 -47.4 2.3 -13.2 248.1 -1.5 245.2 4.5 -124.7 0.0 -116.8 -1.6 -6.3 103.0 227.7 2011F -179.9 30.1 44.3 -221.2 2.1 -5.1 -2.3 -1.6 -0.7 0.0 84.9 0.0 94.3 -4.6 -4.8 -97.3 -182.2 2012F 93.7 44.4 61.5 38.2 1.5 -7.5 -2.4 -1.7 -0.7 0.0 -110.6 0.0 -100.0 -4.6 -6.0 -19.3 91.3 2013F 131.6 84.4 100.8 44.1 1.0 -14.3 -2.5 -1.8 -0.8 0.0 -9.3 0.0 0.0 -4.6 -4.7 119.8 129.1
KEY RATIOS FYE Dec Growth (% YoY) Sales Operating profit EBITDA Net profit EPS Profitability (%) Gross margin Operating margin EBITDA margin Net margin ROA ROE Stability Gross debt(cash)/equity (%) Net debt(cash)/equity (%) Int. coverage (x) Current ratio (x) Net debt/(cash) (S$ m) Per share data (S$) EPS CFPS BVPS SPS EBITDA/share DPS 4.2 8.2 43.3 19.4 4.3 0.3 6.4 -1.8 49.2 23.9 4.2 0.4 2.1 -15.7 51.7 19.3 2.9 0.4 3.2 8.2 55.3 24.1 4.3 0.4 6.1 11.5 61.8 43.3 7.7 0.4 63.9 45.2 5.6 1.9 227.1 33.8 0.5 9.3 1.9 2.8 47.7 32.1 6.8 4.4 194.4 29.2 17.5 8.2 3.8 113.7 26.1 -0.8 18.6 3.3 -6.1 23.9 18.1 22.3 21.7 5.2 9.7 18.3 16.3 17.6 26.6 7.3 12.9 16.4 13.6 14.9 10.7 2.5 4.0 19.5 16.1 17.7 13.3 4.0 5.8 19.7 17.0 17.7 14.1 6.7 9.9 -9.1 178.9 116.0 1679.8 1679.8 24.5 12.1 -2.0 52.5 51.3 -19.3 -32.7 -31.8 -67.6 -67.6 25.0 47.5 48.9 55.6 55.6 79.7 90.1 80.1 90.1 90.1 2009 2010 2011F 2012F 2013F
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ANALYSTSCOVERAGE/RESEARCHOFFICES
MALAYSIA
WONG Chew Hann, CA Head of Research (603) 2297 8686 wchewh@maybank-ib.com Strategy Construction & Infrastructure Desmond CHNG, ACA (603) 2297 8680 desmond.chng@maybank-ib.com Banking - Regional LIAW Thong Jung (603) 2297 8688 tjliaw@maybank-ib.com Oil & Gas Automotive Shipping ONG Chee Ting (603) 2297 8678 ct.ong@maybank-ib.com Plantations Mohshin AZIZ (603) 2297 8692 mohshin.aziz@maybank-ib.com Aviation Petrochem Power YIN Shao Yang, CPA (603) 2297 8916 samuel.y@maybank-ib.com Gaming Regional Media Power WONG Wei Sum (603) 2297 8679 weisum@maybank-ib.com Property & REITs LEE Yen Ling (603) 2297 8691 lee.yl@maybank-ib.com Building Materials Manufacturing Technology Farouq Azizul MAHMUD (603) 2297 8687 farouq@maybank-ib.com Automotive LEE Cheng Hooi Head of Retail chenghooi.lee@maybank-ib.com Technicals
SINGAPORE
Stephanie WONG Head of Research (65) 6432 1451 swong@kimeng.com Strategy Small & Mid Caps Gregory YAP (65) 6432 1450 gyap@kimeng.com Conglomerates Technology & Manufacturing Telcos - Regional Rohan SUPPIAH (65) 6432 1455 rohan@kimeng.com Airlines Marine & Offshore Wilson LIEW (65) 6432 1454 wilsonliew@kimeng.com Hotel & Resort Property & Construction Anni KUM (65) 6432 1470 annikum@kimeng.com Conglomerates REITs James KOH (65) 6432 1431 jameskoh@kimeng.com Finance Logistics Resources Eric ONG (65) 6432 1857 ericong@kimeng.com Marine & Offshore Transportation Energy OOI Yi Tung (65) 6433 5712 ooiyitung@kimeng.com Property & Construction YEAK Chee Keong, CFA (65) 6433 5730 yeakcheekeong@kimeng.com Retail & Consumer Engineering Infrastructure Alison FOK (65) 6433 5745 alisonfok@kimeng.com Services
PHILIPPINES
Luz LORENZO Head of Research +63 2 849 8836 luz_lorenzo@atr.com.ph Strategy Laura DY-LIACCO (63) 2 849 8840 laura_dyliacco@atr.com.ph Utilities Conglomerates Telcos Lovell SARREAL (63) 2 849 8841 lovell_sarreal@atr.com.ph Consumer Media Cement Mining Kenneth NERECINA (63) 2 849 8839 kenneth_nerecina@atr.com.ph Conglomerates Property Ports/ Logistics Katherine TAN (63) 2 849 8843 kat_tan@atr.com.ph Banks Construction
VIETNAM
Michael Kokalari, CFA Head of Research (84) 838 38 66 36 x 116 michael.kokalari@kimeng.com.vn Strategy Nguyen Thi Ngan Tuyen (84) 838386636 x163 tuyen.nguyen@kimeng.com.vn Conglomerates Confectionary and Beverage Oil and Gas Ngo Bich Van (84) 838 38 66 36 x 171 van.ngo@kimeng.com.vn Banking Insurance Nguyen Quang Duy (84) 838386636 x162 duy.nguyenquang@kimeng.com.vn Industrial Property Trinh Thi Ngoc Diep (84) 422 21 22 08 x 102 diep.trinh@kimeng.com.vn Property & Construction Power Dang Thi Kim Thoa (84) 838 38 66 36 x 164 thoa.dang@kimeng.com.vn Consumer Services Hoang Nam Phu (84) 838 38 66 36 x 171 phu.hoang@kimeng.com.vn Technology & Telecom Transport Resources Truong Quang Binh (84) 838386636 x169 quangbinh.truong@kimeng.com.vn Pharmaceutical Plantation & Fishery
INDONESIA
Katarina SETIAWAN Head of Research (62) 21 2557 1125 ksetiawan@kimeng.co.id Consumer Strategy Telcos Rahmi MARINA (62) 21 2557 1128 rmarina@kimeng.co.id Banking Multifinance Lucky ARIESANDI, CFA (62) 21 2557 1127 lariesandi@kimeng.co.id Base metals Coal Heavy Equipment Oil & gas Adi N. WICAKSONO (62) 21 2557 1130 anwicaksono@kimeng.co.id Generalist Arwani PRANADJAYA (62) 21 2557 1129 apranadjaya@kimeng.co.id Technicals
ECONOMICS
Suhaimi ILIAS Chief Economist (603) 2297 8682 suhaimi_ilias@maybank-ib.com Luz LORENZO Economist (63) 2 849 8836 luz_lorenzo@atr.com.ph Philippines Indonesia
INDIA
Jigar SHAH Head of Research (91) 22 6623 2601 jigar@kimeng.co.in Oil & Gas Automobile Cement Anubhav GUPTA (91) 22 6623 2605 anubhav@kimeng.co.in Metal & Mining Capital goods Property Haripreet BATRA (91) 226623 2606 haripreet@kimeng.co.in Software Media Ganesh RAM (91) 226623 2607 ganeshram@kimeng.co.in Telecom Contractor
THAILAND
Mayuree CHOWVIKRAN Head of Research (66)-2658-6300 ext 1440 mayuree.c@kimeng.co.th Strategy Suttatip PEERASUB (66)-2658-6300 ext 1430 suttatip.p@kimeng.co.th Media Commerce Sutthichai KUMWORACHAI (66)-2658-6300 ext 1400 sutthichai.k@kimeng.co.th Energy Petrochem Termporn TANTIVIVAT (66)-2658-6300 ext 1520 termporn.t@kimeng.co.th Property Woraphon WIROONSRI (66)-2658-6300 ext 1560 woraphon.w@kimeng.co.th Bank Jaroonpan WATTANAWONG (66)-2658-6300 ext 1404 jaroonpan.w@kimeng.co.th Transportation Small cap.
REGIONAL
ONG Seng Yeow (65) 6432 1832 ongsengyeow@kimeng.com Regional Products & Planning
3 January 2012
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APPENDIX 1
Definition of Ratings
Kim Eng Research uses the following rating system: BUY HOLD SELL Total return is expected to be above 10% in the next 12 months Total return is expected to be between -5% to 10% in the next 12 months Total return is expected to be below -5% in the next 12 months
Applicability of Ratings
The respective analyst maintains a coverage universe of stocks, the list of which may be adjusted according to needs. Investment ratings are only applicable to the stocks which form part of the coverage universe. Reports on companies which are not part of the coverage do not carry investment ratings as we do not actively follow developments in these companies.
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APPENDIX I
Additional information on mentioned securities is available on request. Jurisdiction Specific Additional Disclaimers: THIS RESEARCH REPORT IS STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL TO THE RECIPIENT, MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED TO THE PRESS OR OTHER MEDIA, AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED IN ANY FORM AND MAY NOT BE TAKEN OR TRANSMITTED INTO THE REPUBLIC OF KOREA, OR PROVIDED OR TRANSMITTED TO ANY KOREAN PERSON. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF SECURITIES LAWS IN THE REPUBLIC OF KOREA. BY ACCEPTING THIS REPORT, YOU AGREE TO BE BOUND BY THE FOREGOING LIMITATIONS. THIS RESEARCH REPORT IS STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL TO THE RECIPIENT, MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED TO THE PRESS OR OTHER MEDIA, AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED IN ANY FORM AND MAY NOT BE TAKEN OR TRANSMITTED INTO MALAYSIA OR PROVIDED OR TRANSMITTED TO ANY MALAYSIAN PERSON. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF SECURITIES LAWS IN MALAYSIA. BY ACCEPTING THIS REPORT, YOU AGREE TO BE BOUND BY THE FOREGOING LIMITATIONS. Without prejudice to the foregoing, the reader is to note that additional disclaimers, warnings or qualifications may apply if the reader is receiving or accessing this report in or from other than Singapore. As of 3 January 2012, Kim Eng Research Pte. Ltd. and the covering analyst do not have any interest in Tuan Sing Holdings Limited. Analyst Certification: The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst's personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. 2012 Kim Eng Research Pte Ltd. All rights reserved. Except as specifically permitted, no part of this presentation may be reproduced or distributed in any manner without the prior written permission of Kim Eng Research Pte. Ltd. Kim Eng Research Pte. Ltd. accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect.
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