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Market Outlook, 19 June 2013
Market Outlook, 19 June 2013
Dealers Diary
Indian markets are expected to open in the red tracking SGX Nifty which is down
by 0.3%. Most of the Asian indices too are trading in the negative zone.
The US markets showed a strong upward move on Tuesday, adding to the
gains posted in the previous session. The rally came despite the uncertainty
ahead of Federal Reserves announcement on Wednesday. The strength on US
markets was bolstered by a report from the Commerce Department which
showed a notable rebound in housing starts in the month of May. The report
said housing starts climbed 6.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of
914,000 in May from the revised April estimate of 856,000. European markets
were mixed on Tuesday, as they awaited the outcome of U.S. Federal Reserves
meet on quantitative easing.
Meanwhile, Indian markets fell on Tuesday snapping two-day gaining streak
ahead of the Federal Reserves announcement. INR remained weak and closed
at a record low of INR 58.77/ USD on Tuesday.
Markets Today
The trend deciding level for the day is 19,266/ 5,827 levels. If NIFTY trades above
this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally
up to 19,341 19,458 / 5,850 5,886 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below
19,266 / 5,827 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to
19,149 19,074 / 5,791 5,768 levels.
Indices
SENSEX
NIFTY
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
19,074
5,768
19,149
5,791
19,266
5,827
19,341
5,850
19,458
5,886
` cr
FII
MFs
Purch
1,693
387
Sales
1,797
412
Net
(104)
(25)
MTD
(1,374)
(556)
YTD
80,462
(12,633)
Purch
1,316
1,951
Sales
1,636
1,389
Net
(321)
562
Open Interest
12,266
28,882
Gainers / Losers
Company
Gainers
Price (`)
chg (%)
Company
Losers
Price (`)
chg (%)
RCOM
124
11.1
MMTC
155
(5.0)
Piramal Ent
560
5.6
Ranbaxy Lab
352
(3.6)
Adani Enter
186
4.8
Essar Oil
68
(3.2)
Future Retail
138
4.7
BOB
617
(2.9)
Financial Tech
813
4.5
Jubilant food
935
(2.7)
www.angelbroking.com
(Close)
(0.5)
(0.6)
(36)
5,814
MID CAP
0.0
6,203
SMALL CAP
0.2
14
5,810
BSE HC
0.1
8,763
BSE PSU
(0.9)
(57)
6,269
BANKEX
(1.2)
(164) 13,520
AUTO
(0.2)
(25) 10,876
METAL
OIL & GAS
BSE IT
Global Indices
(103) 19,223
0.7
59
7,989
(0.6)
(49)
8,551
0.6
34
6,073
(Pts)
(Close)
Chg (%)
Dow Jones
0.9
NASDAQ
0.9
30
3,482
FTSE
0.7
44
6,374
Nikkei
(0.2)
Hang Sang
(0.0)
138 15,318
(26) 13,007
(0) 21,226
Straits Times
1.4
46
3,230
Shanghai Com
0.4
2,159
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
INFY
(1.6)
(0.7)
$41.6
WIT
(0.9)
(0.1)
$7.4
IBN
(2.1)
(0.9)
$40.8
HDB
(2.7)
(1.0)
$36.6
BSE
NSE
Advances
1,148
673
Declines
1,182
673
136
94
Unchanged
(Pts)
Nifty
Advances / Declines
Chg (%)
BSE Sensex
Indian ADR
S2
News Analysis
Domestic Indices
Volumes (` cr)
BSE
1,638
NSE
8,842
Market Outlook
June 19, 2013
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Market Outlook
June 19, 2013
Corporate News
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Market Outlook
June 19, 2013
Global economic events release calendar
Date
Time
Unit
Period
Bloomberg Data
Last Reported Estimated
11:30PM
US
Jun 19
0.25
0.25
1:00PM
Value
Jun A
49.40
--
1:00PM
Value
Jun A
49.70
--
7:30PM
Value
Jun A
(21.90)
--
7:30PM
US
Million
May
4.97
5.00
7:30PM
US
Consumer Confidence
S.A./ 1985=100
Jun
76.20
--
7:30PM
US
Thousands
May
454.00
--
6:00PM
US
% Change
1Q T
2.40
--
1:25PM
Thousands
Jun
21.00
--
2:00PM
UK
GDP (YoY)
% Change
1Q F
0.60
--
6:30AM
China
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Jun
50.80
--
2:00PM
UK
PMI Manufacturing
4:30PM
UK
5:15PM
6:00PM
US
6:00PM
US
Unnemployment rate
July 9, 2013
7:00AM
China
4:29PM
China
7:30AM
July 1, 2013
July 4, 2013
July 5, 2013
Value
Jun
51.30
--
% Ratio
Jul 4
0.50
0.50
Jul 4
0.50
--
Thousands
Jun
175.00
--
Jun
7.60
--
% Change
Jun
2.10
--
Exports YoY%
% Change
Jun
1.00
--
China
% Change
Jun
9.20
--
7:30AM
China
% Change
2Q
7.70
--
11:30AM
% Change
2Q P
(1.40)
--
2:30PM
% Change
2Q A
(0.20)
--
11:00AM
India
% Change
2Q
4.80
--
Market Outlook
June 19, 2013
Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends
(%)
(%)
10.0
11.4
6.0
4.0
2.0
Jun-12
(%)
Mfg. PMI
58.0
8.0
8.1
7.3
Apr-13
(4.0)
7.5
(1.0) (0.6)
(0.7)
(2.0)
Mar-13
(0.1)
May-12
4QFY13
3QFY13
2QFY13
1QFY13
4QFY12
3QFY12
2QFY12
1QFY12
4QFY11
3QFY11
2QFY11
1QFY11
4QFY10
3QFY10
7.3
7.2
7.3
7.3
Services PMI
56.0
5.7
5.0
4.9
4.7
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
54.0
52.0
(%)
May-13
Apr-13
Mar-13
Feb-13
Jan-13
Dec-12
Nov-12
Oct-12
Sep-12
Aug-12
Jul-12
Jun-12
May-12
15.0
48.0
Apr-12
May-13
Apr-13
Mar-13
Feb-13
Jan-13
Dec-12
Nov-12
Oct-12
Sep-12
Aug-12
Jul-12
50.0
Mar-12
9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
(2.0)
Jan-13
4.7 4.8
2.3
0.5
Dec-12
3.4
2.5
2.0
Nov-12
6.0
2.5
Oct-12
6.5
Feb-13
7.5
Sep-12
9.2
7.7
Aug-12
8.6
8.4
8.0
9.9
Jul-12
9.5
9.3
2QFY10
12.0
11.0
10.0
9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
(%)
9.00
CRR
8.00
7.00
6.00
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4.00
Jun-13
May-13
Apr-13
Mar-13
Feb-13
Jan-13
Dec-12
Nov-12
Oct-12
Sep-12
3.00
Aug-12
May-13
Apr-13
Mar-13
Feb-13
Jan-13
Dec-12
5.00
Jul-12
(15.0)
Nov-12
Oct-12
Sep-12
Aug-12
Jul-12
Jun-12
0.0
Market Outlook
June 19, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
Sales ( cr )
FY14E
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
Neutral
139
2,706
1,657
1,906
14.1
14.1
7.7
8.9
18.1
15.6
3.8
3.2
22.2
21.9
1.6
1.3
United Phosphorus
Buy
140
232
6,203
10,298
11,310
16.5
16.5
20.5
23.2
6.8
6.0
1.1
1.0
18.0
17.4
0.6
0.5
Buy
247
285
4,211
3,418
3,892
14.5
14.5
18.5
20.4
13.3
12.1
3.2
2.6
26.6
23.8
1.3
1.0
Apollo Tyres
Neutral
69
3,458
13,852
15,487
11.4
11.5
12.8
14.9
5.3
4.6
0.9
0.7
17.5
17.3
0.4
0.4
Ashok Leyland
Buy
21
27
5,707
14,038
16,442
7.6
8.7
1.1
2.2
20.5
9.6
1.8
1.6
6.2
12.5
0.5
0.4
Automotive Axle#
Neutral
234
353
834
965
9.3
10.6
17.3
27.1
13.5
8.6
1.3
1.2
9.5
14.0
0.5
0.4
Bajaj Auto
Buy
1,708
2,056
49,428
22,684
25,908
18.0
18.5
117.3
137.1
14.6
12.5
5.2
4.2
39.9
37.2
1.8
1.5
Bharat Forge
Neutral
222
5,176
6,198
6,793
14.6
14.9
14.5
17.3
15.3
12.9
2.0
1.8
13.6
14.7
0.9
0.8
Bosch India*
Neutral
8,981
28,199
9,821
11,394
17.0
17.3
373.5
438.7
24.0
20.5
4.3
3.7
18.0
17.9
2.6
2.2
CEAT
Buy
105
170
361
5,325
5,974
8.4
8.3
40.8
48.5
2.6
2.2
0.4
0.4
17.3
17.6
0.2
0.2
Exide Industries
Buy
126
150
10,672
7,053
8,061
14.2
14.5
7.8
9.1
16.0
13.8
2.7
2.4
18.1
18.2
1.2
1.0
FAG Bearings*
Neutral
1,441
2,395
1,525
1,742
14.5
15.7
88.4
109.5
16.3
13.2
2.4
2.0
15.5
16.5
1.4
1.2
Hero Motocorp
Accumulate
1,609
1,819
32,127
25,274
27,658
14.1
13.7
110.2
139.9
14.6
11.5
5.3
4.2
39.8
40.7
1.1
0.9
JK Tyre
Buy
107
154
441
7,972
8,754
7.1
7.1
37.5
44.0
2.9
2.4
0.4
0.4
16.4
16.6
0.3
0.3
923
1,090
56,664
45,254
51,197
11.4
11.7
61.2
70.2
15.1
13.1
3.2
2.7
22.7
21.9
1.0
0.8
1,456
1,847
43,968
48,455
55,723
11.2
10.9
107.8
123.2
13.5
11.8
2.0
1.8
16.2
16.0
0.7
0.6
198
222
11,616
28,442
31,493
7.5
7.8
12.5
14.8
15.8
13.4
3.9
3.1
27.5
25.8
0.6
0.5
Buy
22
30
131
1,479
1,685
10.0
9.9
5.5
7.5
4.0
2.9
0.4
0.4
11.1
13.7
0.4
0.3
Tata Motors
Buy
283
347
13.3
13.6
36.2
41.5
7.8
6.8
1.7
1.4
24.6
23.2
0.4
0.4
TVS Motor
Buy
35
41
1,656
7,715
8,584
6.0
6.1
5.0
5.8
7.0
6.0
1.2
1.0
18.1
18.5
0.2
0.1
ABB*
Sell
592
461
12,553
8,073
9,052
5.5
6.9
11.5
16.9
51.4
35.0
4.7
4.5
9.3
13.1
1.5
1.3
BGR Energy
Neutral
133
963
4,114
4,886
11.4
10.7
24.9
28.0
5.4
4.8
0.7
0.7
25.2
22.6
0.5
0.5
BHEL
Neutral
175
42,833
44,054
39,326
16.8
15.1
20.6
16.1
8.5
10.9
1.9
1.7
23.5
16.1
0.9
0.9
Blue Star
Buy
160
230
1,434
2,896
3,087
5.6
6.2
9.3
11.7
17.1
13.6
2.8
2.4
17.6
19.2
0.6
0.5
Crompton Greaves
Buy
85
117
5,459
13,446
15,272
6.7
7.6
6.6
8.9
12.8
9.6
1.4
1.3
11.4
14.0
0.5
0.5
Jyoti Structures
Neutral
24
195
3,360
3,597
9.7
9.8
7.3
10.2
3.2
2.3
0.7
0.6
8.8
11.4
0.3
0.3
KEC International
Buy
37
63
938
7,709
8,399
6.7
7.2
6.1
8.5
6.0
4.3
0.8
0.7
20.2
23.0
0.3
0.3
Thermax
Neutral
595
7,087
5,780
6,430
9.5
9.6
29.8
33.0
20.0
18.0
3.4
2.9
17.9
17.4
1.0
0.9
1,205
1,361
22,615
11,979
13,254
19.7
21.3
77.1
91.4
15.6
13.2
2.8
2.5
18.7
20.0
1.6
1.4
Maruti
Buy
Motherson Sumi
Accumulate
Subros
Capital Goods
Cement
ACC
Accumulate
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Market Outlook
June 19, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
Cement
Ambuja Cements
Neutral
175
27,016
10,232
11,762
23.5
24.5
10.3
12.2
17.0
14.4
2.8
2.6
17.2
18.6
2.1
1.7
India Cements
Neutral
63
1,948
4,929
5,434
17.4
17.1
8.9
10.9
7.1
5.8
0.5
0.5
7.7
9.1
0.7
0.6
J K Lakshmi Cement
Buy
106
143
1,241
2,247
2,742
21.0
23.1
17.8
21.8
5.9
4.8
0.9
0.7
15.5
16.4
0.5
0.9
Madras Cements
Neutral
235
5,590
4,234
4,788
23.9
24.0
18.5
22.8
12.7
10.3
2.0
1.7
17.2
18.2
1.7
1.4
Shree Cement^
Neutral
4,615
16,076
6,540
7,452
27.4
26.6
319.7
369.9
14.4
12.5
3.6
2.9
27.5
25.4
1.8
1.4
UltraTech Cement
Neutral
1,822
49,964
21,947
25,049
23.8
23.8
106.1
119.8
17.2
15.2
2.8
2.5
17.7
17.3
2.4
2.0
189
255
996
1,928
2,234
21.0
21.5
18.0
22.2
10.5
8.5
0.9
0.8
10.2
10.1
1.9
1.9
10
185
2,281
2,492
5.9
6.9
0.7
2.0
14.7
5.0
0.3
0.3
2.3
6.5
0.4
0.3
Construction
Ashoka Buildcon
Buy
Consolidated Co
Neutral
IRB Infra
Buy
114
157
3,787
3,997
4,312
45.5
46.4
15.7
16.6
7.3
6.9
1.1
0.9
15.2
14.5
3.4
3.6
ITNL
Buy
175
230
3,407
7,444
8,041
27.4
28.9
29.8
32.1
5.9
5.5
0.8
0.7
14.9
14.2
2.6
2.6
IVRCL Infra
Buy
16
29
480
5,673
5,892
8.1
8.4
1.4
1.8
10.9
8.5
0.2
0.2
2.0
2.6
0.5
0.5
Jaiprakash Asso.
Buy
61
90
13,481
14,850
15,631
24.9
25.1
2.5
2.9
24.0
21.3
1.0
0.9
4.2
4.7
2.7
2.7
Buy
1,393
1,761
85,837
68,946
78,040
10.5
10.5
77.9
88.3
17.9
15.8
2.6
2.3
15.5
15.6
1.4
1.2
Nagarjuna Const.
Buy
29
42
731
6,167
6,945
8.0
8.2
2.7
3.6
10.7
7.8
0.3
0.3
2.7
3.6
0.5
0.5
Punj Lloyd
Neutral
41
1,352
12,954
14,740
9.9
9.9
0.5
0.9
80.2
43.7
0.5
0.5
0.6
1.1
0.5
0.5
Sadbhav Engg.
Buy
101
139
1,525
2,462
2,731
10.6
10.6
5.9
6.7
17.2
15.2
1.7
1.5
10.2
10.5
0.9
0.8
Simplex Infra
Buy
91
131
452
6,308
7,033
9.5
9.6
11.9
18.7
7.7
4.9
0.3
0.3
4.5
6.7
0.5
0.5
Unity Infra
Buy
27
41
198
2,146
2,339
13.7
13.8
11.0
11.5
2.4
2.3
0.2
0.2
9.3
9.0
0.6
0.6
Allahabad Bank
Buy
110
139
5,500
6,876
7,545
2.6
2.5
28.2
30.9
3.9
3.6
0.6
0.5
12.8
12.7
Andhra Bank
Neutral
85
4,745
5,254
5,900
2.8
2.8
21.2
22.9
4.0
3.7
0.6
0.5
13.3
13.0
Axis Bank
Buy
1,269
1,853
59,468
19,055
22,710
3.3
3.2
130.7
152.3
9.7
8.3
1.6
1.4
17.2
17.6
Bank of Baroda
Buy
625
851
26,310
16,365
18,781
2.2
2.3
121.3
142.5
5.2
4.4
0.8
0.7
15.1
15.7
Bank of India
Buy
281
339
16,721
14,482
16,383
2.3
2.3
58.1
68.1
4.8
4.1
0.7
0.6
14.4
15.0
Bank of Maharashtra
Buy
52
64
3,460
4,392
4,743
3.1
3.0
12.6
13.7
4.1
3.8
0.7
0.6
16.8
16.0
Canara Bank
Buy
381
481
16,874
11,928
13,467
2.1
2.2
74.8
86.0
5.1
4.4
0.7
0.6
13.7
14.2
Central Bank
Accumulate
63
69
6,576
8,249
9,211
2.4
2.5
14.9
18.2
4.2
3.5
0.6
0.5
12.5
13.8
Corporation Bank
Buy
372
476
5,695
5,558
6,121
2.0
2.0
98.4
107.7
3.8
3.5
0.6
0.5
14.9
14.5
Dena Bank
Buy
83
97
2,893
3,187
3,582
2.3
2.4
23.8
25.5
3.5
3.2
0.5
0.5
15.9
15.1
Federal Bank
Accumulate
422
459
7,216
2,873
3,413
3.0
3.1
52.7
62.0
8.0
6.8
1.0
0.9
13.4
14.2
Financials
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
June 19, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
Financials
HDFC
Accumulate
813
898
125,969
8,573
10,142
3.6
3.6
37.0
43.6
22.0
18.6
4.5
4.0
30.0
30.3
HDFC Bank
Accumulate
656
732
156,590
28,361
34,747
4.6
4.6
33.9
41.0
19.3
16.0
3.7
3.1
20.7
21.2
ICICI Bank
Buy
1,068
1,503
123,236
25,705
30,330
3.1
3.2
83.9
96.3
12.7
11.1
1.7
1.5
15.2
15.7
IDBI Bank
Buy
75
89
10,022
9,477
10,678
2.0
2.1
19.6
22.6
3.9
3.3
0.5
0.4
12.8
13.4
Indian Bank
Buy
128
164
5,520
6,185
6,978
3.0
3.0
37.0
42.2
3.5
3.0
0.5
0.5
14.8
15.1
IOB
Accumulate
57
62
5,290
8,142
8,956
2.5
2.5
16.5
20.7
3.5
2.8
0.4
0.4
11.8
13.4
J & K Bank
Accumulate
1,218
1,315
5,904
3,074
3,140
3.5
3.2
224.7
201.5
5.4
6.0
1.0
0.9
20.6
16.1
Buy
250
298
12,622
2,113
2,525
2.3
2.3
25.4
29.2
9.9
8.6
1.7
1.5
18.4
18.3
Oriental Bank
Accumulate
229
261
6,674
6,835
7,588
2.6
2.6
56.5
63.8
4.1
3.6
0.5
0.5
13.1
13.4
Punjab Natl.Bank
Buy
721
994
25,487
20,876
23,929
3.3
3.4
151.7
177.0
4.8
4.1
0.8
0.7
16.1
16.5
South Ind.Bank
Neutral
St Bk of India
Buy
Syndicate Bank
Accumulate
UCO Bank
Neutral
Union Bank
United Bank
24
3,277
1,839
2,091
2.9
2.8
4.2
4.5
5.8
5.4
1.0
0.9
18.2
17.0
2,020
2,637
138,161
67,243
76,612
3.1
3.0
242.4
284.8
8.3
7.1
1.3
1.1
16.3
16.8
127
142
7,630
7,238
8,249
2.7
2.6
27.1
30.4
4.7
4.2
0.7
0.6
16.1
15.9
76
5,720
6,250
6,738
2.6
2.5
12.1
14.7
6.3
5.2
1.0
0.8
11.8
13.0
Buy
208
260
12,398
11,229
12,794
2.6
2.6
40.7
48.2
5.1
4.3
0.7
0.6
14.6
15.4
Buy
50
65
1,859
3,443
3,998
2.4
2.6
15.1
20.4
3.3
2.4
0.4
0.4
12.1
14.8
Vijaya Bank
Neutral
50
2,478
2,730
3,059
1.9
2.0
10.2
11.3
4.9
4.4
0.6
0.5
11.8
12.0
Yes Bank
Accumulate
456
520
16,395
4,390
5,411
2.8
2.8
41.6
47.9
11.0
9.5
2.3
1.9
23.2
22.1
FMCG
Asian Paints
Neutral
4,442
42,606
12,332
14,524
16.5
16.3
141.6
162.7
31.4
27.3
9.9
7.9
35.4
32.2
3.3
2.8
Britannia
Neutral
674
8,066
6,417
7,502
6.1
6.3
23.2
27.9
29.1
24.2
10.0
7.9
38.3
36.4
1.2
1.0
Colgate
Neutral
1,310
17,821
3,588
4,130
20.5
20.9
44.2
51.8
29.7
25.3
28.9
21.1
108.6
96.2
4.8
4.1
Dabur India
Neutral
150
26,222
7,183
8,340
16.8
16.8
5.4
6.3
28.0
23.9
10.9
8.5
41.5
40.1
3.6
3.1
GlaxoSmith Con*
Neutral
5,683
23,898
3,617
4,259
16.1
16.4
122.2
148.7
46.5
38.2
14.5
11.6
34.1
33.7
6.1
5.1
Godrej Consumer
Neutral
775
26,380
7,801
9,017
16.2
15.9
25.1
29.7
30.8
26.1
6.7
5.5
24.9
24.2
3.5
3.0
HUL
Neutral
595
128,613
29,167
33,164
13.6
13.7
17.1
18.4
34.8
32.3
33.5
24.2
113.4
87.0
4.3
3.7
ITC
Neutral
327
258,232
34,294
39,991
36.8
37.0
11.3
13.3
29.0
24.5
9.6
7.7
36.1
34.9
7.2
6.1
Marico
Neutral
222
14,318
5,273
6,044
14.8
14.9
7.3
8.7
30.6
25.6
6.0
4.9
21.4
21.0
2.7
2.3
Nestle*
Neutral
5,111
49,275
9,447
10,968
22.1
22.3
127.5
154.1
40.1
33.2
20.0
14.5
57.7
50.7
5.2
4.4
Tata Global
Neutral
139
8,602
8,069
8,957
9.8
9.7
7.8
8.6
17.8
16.2
2.1
2.0
9.5
9.7
1.0
0.9
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
June 19, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
755
863
52,613
28,633
32,216
21.5
20.7
57.3
61.7
13.2
12.2
3.1
2.6
24.0
21.5
1.7
1.4
79
96
2,358
2,091
2,289
19.0
18.8
10.6
11.3
7.4
7.0
1.7
1.5
22.8
21.7
1.0
0.8
IT
HCL Tech^
Accumulate
Hexaware*
Buy
Infosys
Neutral
2,379
136,617
43,338
47,244
27.5
27.7
169.4
182.6
14.1
13.0
2.9
2.5
20.8
19.3
2.5
2.2
Infotech Enterprises
Accumulate
170
185
1,897
1,956
2,174
17.9
17.7
20.4
21.9
8.3
7.8
1.2
1.1
14.7
13.7
0.6
0.5
KPIT Cummins
Buy
111
135
2,141
2,513
2,819
16.1
15.5
12.6
14.0
8.8
7.9
1.5
1.3
17.9
16.6
0.8
0.6
Mahindra Satyam
Accumulate
112
126
13,157
8,278
9,062
20.3
20.1
10.5
11.4
10.6
9.8
2.5
2.0
23.1
20.0
1.2
1.0
Mindtree
Accumulate
801
920
3,326
2,599
2,871
19.4
19.2
85.2
92.3
9.4
8.7
2.0
1.6
21.4
18.9
1.0
0.8
Mphasis&
Neutral
390
8,192
6,096
6,646
17.6
17.4
38.1
41.6
10.2
9.4
1.5
1.3
14.2
13.7
0.9
0.7
NIIT
Buy
21
30
347
1,144
1,267
9.0
9.1
4.3
5.4
4.9
3.9
0.5
0.5
10.3
12.0
0.1
Persistent
Buy
501
593
2,006
1,445
1,617
25.2
25.0
55.3
59.3
9.1
8.5
1.7
1.4
18.2
16.5
1.0
0.7
TCS
Accumulate
1,444
1,585
282,672
71,833
81,893
28.4
28.0
78.5
88.0
18.4
16.4
5.6
4.6
30.2
27.9
3.7
3.2
Tech Mahindra
Buy
968
1,170
12,434
7,779
8,398
19.7
19.3
107.4
117.8
9.0
8.2
1.9
1.6
21.2
19.0
1.6
1.4
Wipro
Accumulate
340
385
83,775
40,173
43,697
20.4
20.6
26.2
28.5
13.0
11.9
2.6
2.2
19.7
18.4
1.6
1.3
D B Corp
Buy
231
290
4,244
1,750
1,925
25.1
26.6
14.2
16.8
16.3
13.8
3.5
3.0
23.4
23.4
2.3
2.1
HT Media
Buy
100
117
2,351
2,205
2,380
15.1
15.6
8.3
9.1
12.1
11.0
1.3
1.2
11.5
11.4
0.7
0.6
Jagran Prakashan
Buy
91
119
3,024
1,664
1,825
20.9
23.0
6.4
7.8
14.2
11.7
2.9
2.6
21.0
23.1
1.9
1.7
PVR
Neutral
322
1,276
1,359
1,540
17.3
17.4
17.2
21.6
18.7
15.0
1.9
1.7
10.3
12.0
1.4
1.2
Sun TV Network
Neutral
356
14,024
2,287
2,551
69.7
70.5
20.0
23.3
17.8
15.3
4.4
3.9
26.4
27.3
5.8
5.1
Bhushan Steel
Neutral
462
10,470
13,794
17,088
30.9
33.5
49.3
66.6
9.4
6.9
1.0
0.9
11.3
13.5
2.4
1.9
Coal India
Buy
299
345
188,891
72,174
76,311
33.3
28.4
28.4
30.9
10.5
9.7
2.9
2.5
37.6
36.2
1.8
1.6
Electrosteel Castings
Buy
14
24
441
1,976
2,017
11.8
12.7
1.3
2.6
10.7
5.2
0.1
0.1
2.6
5.2
0.5
0.1
GMDC
Buy
122
193
3,883
1,920
2,239
53.2
52.9
21.6
25.0
5.7
4.9
1.3
1.1
25.1
23.8
1.5
1.1
Hind. Zinc
Buy
108
145
45,528
12,358
13,659
51.4
51.6
16.0
17.6
6.7
6.1
1.2
1.1
19.4
18.4
1.4
0.9
Hindalco
Neutral
97
18,543
89,352
93,672
8.8
9.2
13.4
15.0
7.2
6.5
0.5
0.5
7.3
7.6
0.6
0.5
JSW Steel
Neutral
671
14,975
39,973
40,926
17.2
17.0
71.9
82.8
9.3
8.1
0.8
0.7
9.0
9.6
0.7
0.6
MOIL
Buy
204
248
3,430
1,010
1,046
46.5
47.6
26.8
28.8
7.6
7.1
1.1
1.0
15.4
14.7
1.0
0.7
Monnet Ispat
Buy
122
193
780
2,326
2,709
21.4
23.1
33.3
43.1
3.7
2.8
0.3
0.3
8.3
9.9
1.4
1.0
Nalco
Neutral
30
7,629
7,656
7,988
13.1
13.5
2.6
2.6
11.6
11.3
0.6
0.6
5.5
5.5
0.4
0.5
NMDC
Buy
107
156
42,601
10,461
11,892
71.6
72.6
16.3
17.6
6.6
6.1
1.4
1.2
22.1
21.4
2.3
2.0
Media
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
June 19, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY14E
FY15E
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
EV/Sales(x)
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
Neutral
Sesa Goa
Buy
53
22,075
44,060
54,786
9.4
11.5
5.2
7.2
10.2
7.5
0.5
0.5
5.2
6.8
0.8
0.6
140
166
12,172
3,742
4,426
32.9
32.8
30.0
29.8
4.7
4.7
0.6
0.6
14.3
12.5
4.0
3.3
Sterlite Inds
Tata Steel
Buy
82
100
27,389
44,462
45,568
23.2
24.7
18.1
20.2
4.5
4.0
0.5
0.4
11.3
11.4
0.6
0.5
Buy
266
378
9.7
10.8
30.9
47.6
8.6
5.6
0.8
0.7
9.6
13.4
0.6
0.5
Sarda
Buy
101
153
363
1,494
1,568
19.1
20.3
31.3
36.5
3.2
2.8
0.4
0.3
11.8
12.4
0.6
0.5
Prakash Industries
Godawari Power and
Ispat
Oil & Gas
Buy
30
45
405
2,615
2,776
12.1
12.0
9.8
10.4
3.1
2.9
0.2
0.2
6.5
6.5
0.4
0.4
Buy
76
102
249
2,344
2,509
14.9
15.4
38.7
47.0
2.0
1.6
0.2
0.2
12.3
12.9
0.5
0.4
Cairn India
Buy
290
345
55,398
16,482
16,228
69.4
53.3
53.3
49.6
5.4
5.9
0.8
0.8
16.5
13.6
2.0
1.7
GAIL
Neutral
297
37,661
52,102
52,876
15.7
16.1
34.1
35.7
8.7
8.3
1.4
1.2
16.4
15.3
0.3
0.2
ONGC
Buy
309
372
36.3
36.9
34.7
38.3
8.9
8.1
1.5
1.4
18.3
17.9
1.3
1.0
Reliance Industries
Neutral
789
9.9
69.3
69.3
78.0
11.4
10.1
1.1
1.0
11.5
11.7
0.6
0.6
Gujarat Gas*
Neutral
208
2,670
3,707
3,850
11.7
12.4
23.7
25.7
8.8
8.1
2.5
2.1
29.6
28.2
0.6
0.5
Indraprastha Gas
Neutral
279
3,905
3,700
4,218
23.4
22.8
26.7
30.4
10.5
9.2
2.2
1.8
22.7
21.8
1.1
0.9
Petronet LNG
Gujarat State Petronet
Ltd.
Pharmaceuticals
Buy
132
167
9,870
40,356
40,872
5.8
6.4
15.0
16.7
8.8
7.9
1.8
1.6
23.0
21.5
0.3
0.3
53
3,005
1,171
1,287
91.9
91.9
10.1
11.3
5.3
4.7
0.9
0.7
17.3
16.8
Alembic Pharma
Accumulate
129
139
2,427
1,736
2,008
17.1
18.9
10.7
13.9
12.0
9.3
3.8
2.8
35.0
34.7
1.5
1.2
Aurobindo Pharma
Buy
166
271
4,828
6,641
7,637
15.9
15.9
17.3
20.6
9.6
8.1
1.5
1.3
19.5
18.9
1.2
1.0
Aventis*
Neutral
2,470
5,688
1,682
1,917
16.6
16.6
92.4
99.1
26.7
24.9
3.8
3.8
15.7
14.8
3.0
2.5
Cadila Healthcare
Buy
741
929
15,168
7,280
8,640
15.5
15.7
38.3
46.5
19.3
15.9
4.2
3.4
23.5
23.5
2.4
2.0
Cipla
Buy
379
477
30,419
9,274
10,796
23.1
23.1
21.0
23.8
18.0
15.9
2.9
2.5
17.2
16.8
3.0
2.5
Dr Reddy's
Buy
2,157
2,535
36,647
13,377
15,350
20.4
20.1
112.3
126.8
19.2
17.0
4.1
3.4
23.5
21.8
2.8
2.4
Dishman Pharma
Buy
GSK Pharma*
Neutral
Indoco Remedies
Buy
Ipca labs
Neutral
60
168
480
1,394
1,534
22.5
22.4
15.0
16.8
4.0
3.5
0.4
0.4
11.0
11.2
1.0
0.8
2,469
20,912
2,854
3,145
28.6
28.6
76.6
83.3
32.2
29.6
9.7
8.8
31.1
31.0
6.5
5.8
64
78
594
760
922
15.3
15.3
6.1
7.8
10.6
8.3
1.3
1.1
12.9
14.7
1.0
0.8
Neutral
641
8,084
3,243
3,826
20.5
21.5
36.0
44.4
17.8
14.4
4.2
3.3
26.0
25.4
2.6
2.2
Lupin
Buy
760
877
34,026
11,641
13,933
21.3
21.3
34.8
41.8
21.8
18.2
5.1
4.0
26.2
24.8
3.0
2.4
Ranbaxy*
Neutral
374
15,818
11,400
12,060
10.5
12.5
17.5
22.5
21.4
16.6
3.4
3.0
17.0
19.1
1.3
1.2
Sun Pharma
Neutral
949
98,171
13,509
15,846
41.0
41.0
33.0
39.8
28.8
23.9
5.8
4.8
22.0
22.0
6.7
5.5
70
78
1,059
1,444
1,482
33.4
33.0
13.7
14.8
5.1
4.7
0.6
0.5
12.3
12.0
0.8
0.6
Power
GIPCL
Accumulate
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Market Outlook
June 19, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
Accumulate
150
163
123,476
76,734
86,680
24.5
24.3
13.4
14.5
11.2
10.3
1.4
1.3
12.8
12.7
2.3
2.2
DLF
Buy
187
236
33,192
8,293
9,622
36.5
36.1
5.7
6.7
32.7
27.7
1.2
1.1
3.7
4.1
6.1
5.1
MLIFE
Buy
398
476
1,623
888
1,002
30.6
30.6
38.8
43.4
10.2
9.2
1.1
1.0
11.2
11.4
2.4
2.1
Bharti Airtel
Buy
288
338
109,217
86,592
95,860
31.4
31.8
10.9
14.5
26.4
19.8
2.0
1.9
7.7
9.3
1.9
1.6
Idea Cellular
Neutral
135
44,789
25,122
27,663
27.0
27.2
4.0
4.8
34.0
28.4
2.8
2.6
8.3
9.1
2.2
1.9
Rcom
Neutral
106
21,775
22,801
24,628
31.0
31.3
3.6
5.3
29.6
20.0
0.6
0.6
2.2
3.1
2.5
2.2
1,445
1,659
3,070
1,863
2,081
11.8
12.4
71.2
83.0
20.3
17.4
4.1
3.5
21.6
21.5
1.4
1.1
Power
NTPC
Real Estate
Telecom
Others
Abbott India*
Accumulate
Bajaj Electricals
Buy
166
237
1,658
3,885
4,472
5.4
7.2
11.0
19.7
15.2
8.4
2.1
1.7
13.5
20.3
0.4
0.4
Cera Sanitaryware
Accumulate
522
562
660
630
795
14.4
13.6
42.8
51.1
12.2
10.2
2.9
2.3
26.6
25.2
1.0
0.8
Cravatex
Buy
314
459
81
248
284
6.5
7.3
27.2
38.2
11.6
8.2
1.8
1.5
15.7
18.5
0.5
0.4
Finolex Cables
Buy
50
68
757
2,563
2,899
9.8
9.8
10.1
11.3
4.9
4.4
0.7
0.6
14.3
13.8
0.2
0.2
Force Motors
Buy
290
437
377
2,304
2,649
3.1
3.6
28.0
43.7
10.4
6.6
0.3
0.3
3.1
4.7
0.1
0.1
Goodyear India*
Accumulate
301
345
693
1,458
1,542
8.3
9.0
32.3
37.0
9.3
8.1
1.7
1.5
19.5
19.3
0.3
0.2
Hitachi
Buy
130
177
353
1,053
1,169
6.3
7.1
13.8
17.7
9.4
7.3
1.3
1.1
15.0
16.7
0.4
0.3
2,449
2,165
1,842
2,131
7.7
7.8
112.4
132.4
21.8
18.5
2.7
2.4
13.3
13.8
1.1
0.9
Buy
159
198
143
495
651
12.7
12.9
29.3
39.5
5.4
4.0
0.8
0.7
15.4
17.6
0.4
0.3
ITD Cementation
Buy
164
234
189
1,430
1,573
11.1
11.0
19.1
26.9
8.6
6.1
0.5
0.4
4.9
6.3
0.5
0.5
Jyothy Laboratories
Neutral
191
3,075
1,220
1,476
13.3
13.6
5.5
9.0
34.6
21.1
4.0
3.5
12.1
17.7
2.9
2.3
MRF
Neutral
14,357
6,089
11,799
12,587
14.1
8.0
8.0
1.7
1.4
23.5
19.2
0.6
0.6
Page Industries
Buy
3,988
4,611
4,448
1,057
1,282
19.4
19.6
124.8
153.7
32.0
25.9
15.8
11.7
56.3
51.8
4.3
3.5
Relaxo Footwears
Buy
664
791
797
1,146
1,333
10.9
11.4
45.9
60.9
14.5
10.9
3.0
2.4
23.0
24.6
0.9
0.7
Buy
247
343
232
1,158
1,322
11.9
11.9
72.9
85.7
3.4
2.9
0.6
0.5
19.9
19.6
0.4
0.4
Buy
415
617
730
1,068
1,223
9.6
9.6
38.1
44.1
10.9
9.4
1.5
1.3
14.5
14.7
0.7
0.6
TAJ GVK
Buy
60
108
378
300
319
35.8
36.2
7.9
9.1
7.6
6.6
1.0
0.9
13.9
14.4
1.6
1.3
Buy
277
371
426
814
849
17.0
17.6
64.6
69.2
4.3
4.0
0.6
0.5
14.5
13.8
0.1
(0.1)
TTK Healthcare
Buy
533
686
414
435
516
6.2
7.1
24.3
33.3
21.9
16.0
3.6
3.1
17.6
20.8
0.8
0.6
Tree House
Accumulate
274
297
986
153
194
53.0
52.8
12.4
15.6
22.1
17.5
2.6
2.3
11.8
13.1
6.6
5.1
TVS Srichakra
Buy
183
252
140
1,591
1,739
6.1
6.6
24.5
41.9
7.5
4.4
0.8
0.7
10.9
17.2
0.3
0.3
United Spirits
Neutral
2,332
33,896
12,294
14,162
12.0
12.0
42.1
67.7
55.4
34.5
3.9
3.5
9.1
10.7
3.1
2.7
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Market Outlook
June 19, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
365
439
741
600
638
20.1
19.4
35.7
36.6
10.2
10.0
1.8
1.6
19.4
17.1
1.0
0.9
Others
Vesuvius India*
Buy
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on June 18, 2013
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Market Outlook
June 19, 2013
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