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Market Outlook

June 24, 2013

Dealers Diary
Indian markets are expected to open in the red tracking negative opening trades in
SGX Nifty and the other Asian indices which are trading in the negative zone.
The US markets showed lack of direction throughout much of the trading on Friday
before ending the day mixed. The choppy trading seen over the course of the
session was on the back of the comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben
Bernanke that the Fed might be able to unwind some of its asset purchases if
economic conditions warrant later this year. European markets extended their
losses and finished the day in red for fourth consecutive session reacting negatively
to the comments of Fed Chairman.
Meanwhile, Indian markets rebounded from two month low and ended the session
marginally higher on Friday. Weakness came in on the heel of heightened worries
about the Federal Reserve scaling back its stimulus measures sooner than expected
before and the rupee slipping in early trade.

Markets Today
The trend deciding level for the day is 18,737/ 5,657 levels. If NIFTY trades above
this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally
up to 18,858 18,942 / 5,697 5,726 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below
18,737 / 5,657 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to
18,653 18,531 / 5,628 5,588 levels.
Indices

S2

S1

PIVOT

R1

R2

SENSEX
NIFTY

18,531
5,588

18,653
5,628

18,737
5,657

18,858
5,697

18,942
5,726

News Analysis

CCEA approves coal price pass-through mechanism


Bharti Airtel to cut 4G charges by 31%
Sterlite's copper plant to restart from today
Refer detailed news analysis on the following page

Net Inflows (June 20, 2013)


` cr
FII
MFs

Purch
2,255
366

Sales
4,392
344

Net
(2,136)
22

MTD
(4,532)
(481)

YTD
77,304
(12,558)

Purch
2,227
3,184

Sales
2,495
2,605

Net
(269)
579

Open Interest
13,843
28,866

Gainers / Losers
Company

Gainers
Price (`)
chg (%)

Company

Gujarat Mnrl

133

6.2

Future Retail

Indian Hotels

52

4.9

Karnataka Bank

Godrej Cons

798

4.7

South Indian Bank

Prestige Estates

160

4.2

Indusind Bank

464

3.3

www.angelbroking.com

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

BSE Sensex

0.3

55 18,774

Nifty

0.2

12

5,668

MID CAP

(1.3)

(78)

6,038

SMALL CAP

(0.4)

(21)

5,717

BSE HC

(0.3)

(22)

8,657

6,075

BSE PSU

0.0

BANKEX

(0.4)

(48) 12,967

AUTO

0.3

36 10,648

METAL

(1.4)

(112)

7,605

OIL & GAS

0.2

14

8,350

BSE IT

1.4

85

6,011

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

Global Indices

Dow Jones

0.3

41 14,799

NASDAQ

(0.2)

(7)

3,357

FTSE

(0.7)

(43)

6,116

Nikkei

1.7

216 13,230

Hang Sang

(0.6)

(120) 20,263

Straits Times

(0.3)

(9)

3,124

Shanghai Com

(0.5)

(10)

2,073

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

INFY

0.9

0.3

$40.1

WIT

1.3

0.1

$7.2

IBN

0.7

0.3

$38.0

HDB

1.8

0.6

$35.5

Indian ADR

Advances / Declines

BSE

NSE

Advances

946

471

1,381

890

135

84

Declines
Unchanged
Volumes (` cr)

FII Derivatives (June 21, 2013)


` cr
Index Futures
Stock Futures

Domestic Indices

Losers
Price (`)
chg (%)
99

(32.8)

117

(15.5)

21

(8.7)

Jindal Steel

204

(8.1)

Apollo Tyres

57

(6.9)

BSE

2,269

NSE

11,939

Market Outlook
June 24, 2013

CCEA approves coal price pass-through mechanism


The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) has approved coal price
pass-through mechanism which allows power producers to pass on the cost of
expensive imported coal to Distribution Company/ consumers.
According to Fuel Supply Agreement (FSA), Coal India is supposed to supply 65%
of the total coal requirement through domestic mines and 15% can be imported
through CIL or independently by the power producer. Since imported coal is
expensive, PPAs signed by some of the private companies were rendered
unviable. However, CCEAs decision to directly pass on the higher cost of imported
coal to the Distribution Company/ consumers will ensure viability of these
contracts. The move is expected to benefit power plants commissioned after 2009
by power generation companies such as Reliance Power, Tata Power, Adani Power
and Lanco Infratech, among others.

Bharti Airtel to cut 4G charges by 31%


As per media reports, Bharti Airtel will cut 4G data charges by 31% today in an
aggressive bid to boost mass appetite for 4G wireless broadband services and
also make life more difficult for future challengers. The move comes barely a week
after Bharti Airtel cut 2G data charges by ~90% to shore up data usage and spur
revenue streams. According to the report, Bharti Airtel will offer 4G speeds at 3G
price-points to make fourth generation wireless broadband services more
affordable and stiffen the challenge for new competition. Bharti Airtel is expected
to lower its base 4G data plan from 650 to 450 to offer more value to customers
in Kolkata, Bangalore, Pune and Chandigarh where it runs 4G wireless
broadband services.
Under the revised data tariff plan, entry-level customers will be allowed 2GB, 3GB
and 4GB of free data usage at faster 4G speeds at 3G data charges of Rs.450,
Rs.650 and Rs.750 a month respectively. But they won't have access to Bharti
Airtel's 4G entertainment library services, which will be reserved for customers on
higher data plans, from Rs.999 and above. Bharti Airtel customers on these
higher-end 4G plans will have free access to a digital library of 1,000-odd movies
and 100 games evolved in partnership with BigFlix and Indiagames. At the highest
end, Bharti Airtel 4G customers on Rs.2,999 and Rs.4,799 data plans will be
offered bigger free usage limits of 45GB and 80GB compared with the earlier
levels of 30GB and 50GB respectively. It is expected to be a consumer-friendly
move to increase penetration but is unlikely to result in serious market expansion
in near-term since currently Bharti Airtel's 4G operation is confined to only four
cities. We maintain our Buy rating on the stock with a target price of Rs.328.

Sterlite's copper plant to restart from today


Sterlite Industries copper smelter plant in Tuticorin is expected to commence
production from today. The Supreme Court on 10th June 2013 had refused to stay
the National Green Tribunal order permitting Sterlite to start operations. The
National Green tribunal in its preliminary inspection had not found any severe
violation of pollution norms and had permitted the company to re-start operations.
The green tribunal is to hear the case against Sterlite in second week of July. This
development is as per our expectations and hence we maintain our Buy rating on
the stock with a target price of `100.

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 24, 2013

Economic and Political News

Rupee weakness affects India credit profile: Moody's


FIIs put in bids worth `39,000cr to buy government bonds
CCEA okays sale of 10.5mn tonne FCI food grains in open market
Proposed FDI cap review by Cabinet in 3rd week of July: FM

Corporate News

SBI objects to Paramount's revival plan over dues


Reliance Capital suspends sale of gold coins, gold saving fund
Hitachi Solutions forms new subsidiary in India
Unilever's USD 5.4bn open offer for HUL begins
Blackstone, Temasek eye stake in Shriram Ventures
Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 24, 2013
Global economic events release calendar
Date

Time

Country Event Description

Unit

Period

Bloomberg Data
Last Reported Estimated

June 25, 2013

7:30PM

US

Consumer Confidence

S.A./ 1985=100

Jun

76.20

75.00

7:30PM

US

New home sales

Thousands

May

454.00

460.00

June 26, 2013

6:00PM

US

GDP Qoq (Annualised)

% Change

1Q T

2.40

2.40

June 27, 2013

6:00PM

US

Initial Jobless claims

Thousands

Jun 22

354.00

345.00

2:30PM

Euro Zone Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence

Value

Jun F

(18.80)

(18.80)

1:25PM

Germany Unemployment change (000's)

Thousands

Jun

21.00

8.00

2:00PM

UK

% Change

1Q F

0.60

0.60

1:25PM

Germany PMI Manufacturing

Value

Jun F

48.70

--

6:30AM

China

PMI Manufacturing

Value

Jun

50.80

--

2:00PM

UK

PMI Manufacturing

Value

Jun

51.30

--

July 3, 2013

1:25PM

Germany PMI Services

Value

Jun F

51.30

--

July 4, 2013

4:30PM

UK

% Ratio

Jul 4

0.50

0.50

5:15PM

Euro Zone ECB announces interest rates

Jul 4

0.50

--

6:00PM

US

Change in Nonfarm payrolls

Thousands

Jun

175.00

165.00

6:00PM

US

Unnemployment rate

Jun

7.60

7.50

2:00PM

UK

Industrial Production (YoY)

% Change

May

(0.60)

--

7:00AM

China

Consumer Price Index (YoY)

% Change

Jun

2.10

--

4:29PM

India

Imports YoY%

% Change

Jun

7.00

--

4:29PM

India

Exports YoY%

% Change

Jun

(1.10)

--

July 1, 2013

July 5, 2013
July 9, 2013
July 10, 2013

GDP (YoY)

BOE Announces rates

4:29PM

China

Exports YoY%

% Change

Jun

1.00

--

July 12, 2013

11:00AM

India

Industrial Production YoY

% Change

May

2.30

--

6:00PM

US

Producer Price Index (mom)

% Change

Jun

0.50

--

July 15, 2013

12:00PM

India

Monthly Wholesale Prices YoY%

% Change

Jun

4.70

--

7:30AM

China

Industrial Production (YoY)

% Change

Jun

9.20

--

7:30AM

China

Real GDP (YoY)

% Change

2Q

7.70

--

2:00PM

UK

CPI (YoY)

% Change

Jun

2.70

--

6:00PM

US

Consumer price index (mom)

% Change

Jun

0.10

--

2:30PM

Euro Zone Euro-Zone CPI (YoY)

Jun F

1.40

--

6:45PM

US

Jun

0.04

--

July 16, 2013

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

Industrial Production

Market Outlook
June 24, 2013

Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends

Exhibit 2: IIP trends

(%)

(%)
10.0

11.4
9.2

6.0
4.0
2.0

Apr-13

Jun-12

Mfg. PMI

58.0
7.5

Mar-13

(4.0)

Exhibit 4: Manufacturing and services PMI

(%)
8.0

(1.0) (0.6)

(0.7)

(2.0)

Source: MOSPI, Angel Research

Exhibit 3: Monthly WPI inflation trends

Services PMI

8.1
7.3

7.3

7.2

7.3

7.3

56.0
5.7
4.9

4.7

54.0
52.0

Source: MOSPI, Angel Research

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion

Exhibit 5: Exports and imports growth trends


(%)

48.0

Mar-12

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

50.0

Jul-12

8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0

(0.1)

May-12

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

1QFY13

4QFY12

3QFY12

2QFY12

1QFY12

4QFY11

3QFY11

2QFY11

1QFY11

4QFY10

3QFY10

Source: CSO, Angel Research

9.0

(2.0)

Jan-13

4.7 4.8

2.3
0.5

Dec-12

5.1 5.4 5.2

3.4

2.5

2.0

Nov-12

6.0

2.5

Oct-12

6.5

Feb-13

7.5

Sep-12

7.7

Aug-12

8.6

8.4

8.0

9.9

Jul-12

9.5

9.3

2QFY10

12.0
11.0
10.0
9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0

Exports yoy growth

Exhibit 6: Key policy rates


Repo rate

(%)
9.00

Imports yoy growth

15.0

Reverse Repo rate

CRR

8.00
7.00
6.00

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

0.0

5.00
4.00

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

www.angelbroking.com

Source: RBI, Angel Research

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

(15.0)

Jul-12

3.00

Market Outlook
June 24, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

Sales ( cr )
FY14E

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

Agri / Agri Chemical


Rallis

Neutral

137

2,660

1,657

1,906

14.1

14.1

7.7

8.9

17.8

15.4

3.7

3.1

22.2

21.9

1.5

1.3

United Phosphorus

Buy

136

232

6,017

10,298

11,310

16.5

16.5

20.5

23.2

6.6

5.9

1.1

1.0

18.0

17.4

0.6

0.5

Amara Raja Batteries

Accumulate

249

285

4,254

3,418

3,892

14.5

14.5

18.5

20.4

13.5

12.2

3.2

2.7

26.6

23.8

1.3

1.1

Apollo Tyres

Neutral

57

2,886

13,852

15,487

11.4

11.5

12.8

14.9

4.5

3.9

0.7

0.6

17.5

17.3

0.3

0.3

Ashok Leyland

Buy

21

27

5,654

14,038

16,442

7.6

8.7

1.1

2.2

20.3

9.5

1.8

1.6

6.2

12.5

0.5

0.4

Automotive Axle#

Neutral

234

353

834

965

9.3

10.6

17.3

27.1

13.5

8.6

1.3

1.2

9.5

14.0

0.5

0.4

Bajaj Auto

Accumulate

1,830

2,056

52,954

22,684

25,908

18.0

18.5

117.3

137.1

15.6

13.4

5.6

4.5

39.9

37.2

1.9

1.6

Bharat Forge

Neutral

219

5,104

6,198

6,793

14.6

14.9

14.5

17.3

15.1

12.7

2.0

1.8

13.6

14.7

0.9

0.8

Bosch India*

Neutral

8,908

27,969

9,821

11,394

17.0

17.3

373.5

438.7

23.9

20.3

4.3

3.6

18.0

17.9

2.5

2.1

CEAT

Buy

110

170

375

5,325

5,974

8.4

8.3

40.8

48.5

2.7

2.3

0.4

0.4

17.3

17.6

0.2

0.2

Exide Industries

Buy

122

150

10,370

7,053

8,061

14.2

14.5

7.8

9.1

15.6

13.4

2.7

2.3

18.1

18.2

1.2

1.0

FAG Bearings*

Neutral

1,430

2,376

1,525

1,742

14.5

15.7

88.4

109.5

16.2

13.1

2.3

2.0

15.5

16.5

1.4

1.2

Hero Motocorp

Accumulate

1,625

1,819

32,447

25,274

27,658

14.1

13.7

110.2

139.9

14.8

11.6

5.4

4.2

39.8

40.7

1.1

0.9

JK Tyre

Buy

109

154

448

7,972

8,754

7.1

7.1

37.5

44.0

2.9

2.5

0.4

0.4

16.4

16.6

0.3

0.3

Auto & Auto Ancillary

Mahindra and Mahindra Buy

942

1,090

57,840

45,254

51,197

11.4

11.7

61.2

70.2

15.4

13.4

3.2

2.7

22.7

21.9

1.0

0.9

1,555

1,847

46,972

48,455

55,723

11.2

10.9

107.8

123.2

14.4

12.6

2.2

1.9

16.2

16.0

0.8

0.7

200

222

11,778

28,442

31,493

7.5

7.8

12.5

14.8

16.0

13.6

4.0

3.2

27.5

25.8

0.6

0.5

Buy

22

30

132

1,479

1,685

10.0

9.9

5.5

7.5

4.0

2.9

0.4

0.4

11.1

13.7

0.4

0.3

Tata Motors

Buy

287

347

77,361 215,016 237,404

13.3

13.6

36.2

41.5

7.9

6.9

1.8

1.5

24.6

23.2

0.4

0.4

TVS Motor

Buy

33

41

1,551

7,715

8,584

6.0

6.1

5.0

5.8

6.6

5.6

1.1

1.0

18.1

18.5

0.1

0.1

ABB*

Sell

608

461

12,893

8,073

9,052

5.5

6.9

11.5

16.9

52.8

35.9

4.8

4.6

9.3

13.1

1.6

1.4

BGR Energy

Neutral

130

941

4,114

4,886

11.4

10.7

24.9

28.0

5.2

4.7

0.7

0.6

25.2

22.6

0.5

0.5

BHEL

Neutral

171

41,768

44,054

39,326

16.8

15.1

20.6

16.1

8.3

10.6

1.8

1.6

23.5

16.1

0.8

0.9

Blue Star

Buy

160

230

1,439

2,896

3,087

5.6

6.2

9.3

11.7

17.2

13.6

2.8

2.4

17.6

19.2

0.6

0.5

Crompton Greaves

Buy

81

117

5,190

13,446

15,272

6.7

7.6

6.6

8.9

12.2

9.1

1.3

1.2

11.4

14.0

0.5

0.4

Jyoti Structures

Neutral

21

169

3,360

3,597

9.7

9.8

7.3

10.2

2.8

2.0

0.6

0.5

8.8

11.4

0.3

0.3

KEC International

Buy

32

63

818

7,709

8,399

6.7

7.2

6.1

8.5

5.2

3.7

0.7

0.6

20.2

23.0

0.3

0.3

Thermax

Neutral

587

6,997

5,780

6,430

9.5

9.6

29.8

33.0

19.7

17.8

3.3

2.9

17.9

17.4

1.0

0.9

1,166

1,361

21,889

11,979

13,254

19.7

21.3

77.1

91.4

15.1

12.8

2.7

2.4

18.7

20.0

1.5

1.3

Maruti

Buy

Motherson Sumi

Accumulate

Subros

Capital Goods

Cement
ACC

Buy

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 24, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

Cement
Ambuja Cements

Neutral

186

28,760

10,232

11,762

23.5

24.5

10.3

12.2

18.1

15.3

3.0

2.7

17.2

18.6

2.3

1.9

India Cements

Neutral

61

1,863

4,929

5,434

17.4

17.1

8.9

10.9

6.8

5.6

0.5

0.5

7.7

9.1

0.7

0.6

J K Lakshmi Cement

Buy

110

143

1,298

2,247

2,742

21.0

23.1

17.8

21.8

6.2

5.1

0.9

0.8

15.5

16.4

0.5

0.9

Madras Cements

Neutral

221

5,253

4,234

4,788

23.9

24.0

18.5

22.8

12.0

9.7

1.9

1.6

17.2

18.2

1.6

1.3

Shree Cement^

Neutral

4,645

16,182

6,540

7,452

27.4

26.6

319.7

369.9

14.5

12.6

3.6

2.9

27.5

25.4

1.8

1.4

UltraTech Cement

Neutral

1,814

49,734

21,947

25,049

23.8

23.8

106.1

119.8

17.1

15.1

2.8

2.4

17.7

17.3

2.3

2.0

183

255

964

1,928

2,234

21.0

21.5

18.0

22.2

10.2

8.3

0.9

0.8

10.2

10.1

1.9

1.8

10

192

2,281

2,492

5.9

6.9

0.7

2.0

15.3

5.2

0.3

0.3

2.3

6.5

0.4

0.3

Construction
Ashoka Buildcon

Buy

Consolidated Co

Neutral

IRB Infra

Buy

110

157

3,653

3,997

4,312

45.5

46.4

15.7

16.6

7.0

6.6

1.0

0.9

15.2

14.5

3.3

3.6

ITNL

Buy

164

230

3,185

7,444

8,041

27.4

28.9

29.8

32.1

5.5

5.1

0.8

0.7

14.9

14.2

2.5

2.6

IVRCL Infra

Buy

15

29

465

5,673

5,892

8.1

8.4

1.4

1.8

10.5

8.3

0.2

0.2

2.0

2.6

0.5

0.5

Jaiprakash Asso.

Buy

58

90

12,793

14,850

15,631

24.9

25.1

2.5

2.9

22.8

20.2

0.9

0.9

4.2

4.7

2.7

2.6

Larsen & Toubro

Buy

1,394

1,761

85,896

68,946

78,040

10.5

10.5

77.9

88.3

17.9

15.8

2.6

2.3

15.5

15.6

1.4

1.2

Nagarjuna Const.

Buy

24

42

616

6,167

6,945

8.0

8.2

2.7

3.6

9.0

6.6

0.2

0.2

2.7

3.6

0.5

0.4

Punj Lloyd

Neutral

35

1,156

12,954

14,740

9.9

9.9

0.5

0.9

68.6

37.3

0.4

0.4

0.6

1.1

0.5

0.5

Sadbhav Engg.

Buy

95

139

1,439

2,462

2,731

10.6

10.6

5.9

6.7

16.2

14.3

1.6

1.4

10.2

10.5

0.9

0.8

Simplex Infra

Buy

86

131

425

6,308

7,033

9.5

9.6

11.9

18.7

7.2

4.6

0.3

0.3

4.5

6.7

0.5

0.5

Unity Infra

Buy

26

41

193

2,146

2,339

13.7

13.8

11.0

11.5

2.4

2.3

0.2

0.2

9.3

9.0

0.6

0.6

Allahabad Bank

Buy

101

136

5,030

6,782

7,440

2.5

2.5

15.5

22.8

6.5

4.4

0.5

0.5

7.2

9.9

Andhra Bank

Accumulate

81

89

4,541

5,254

5,900

2.8

2.8

21.2

22.9

3.8

3.6

0.6

0.5

13.3

13.0

Axis Bank

Buy

1,259

1,871

59,025

19,079

22,765

3.3

3.2

137.8

156.8

9.1

8.0

1.6

1.4

18.1

17.9

Bank of Baroda

Buy

549

849

23,140

16,163

18,549

2.2

2.3

116.9

137.3

4.7

4.0

0.7

0.6

14.6

15.3

Bank of India

Buy

244

335

14,549

14,272

16,038

2.2

2.2

56.0

64.3

4.4

3.8

0.6

0.6

13.9

14.3

Bank of Maharashtra

Neutral

51

3,383

4,328

4,669

3.0

2.9

10.9

12.7

4.7

4.0

0.8

0.7

17.7

17.9

Canara Bank

Buy

355

481

15,727

11,928

13,467

2.1

2.2

74.8

86.0

4.8

4.1

0.7

0.6

13.7

14.2

Central Bank

Accumulate

61

68

6,419

8,124

9,075

2.4

2.4

14.2

17.7

4.3

3.5

0.6

0.5

12.0

13.5

Corporation Bank

Buy

367

476

5,605

5,558

6,121

2.0

2.0

98.4

107.7

3.7

3.4

0.5

0.5

14.9

14.5

Dena Bank

Buy

74

97

2,599

3,187

3,582

2.3

2.4

23.8

25.5

3.1

2.9

0.5

0.4

15.9

15.1

Federal Bank

Accumulate

417

459

7,138

2,873

3,413

3.0

3.1

52.7

62.0

7.9

6.7

1.0

0.9

13.4

14.2

Financials

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 24, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

Financials
HDFC

Accumulate

822

898

127,379

8,573

10,142

3.6

3.6

37.0

43.6

22.2

18.8

4.6

4.1

30.0

30.3

HDFC Bank

Buy

636

732

151,814

28,361

34,747

4.6

4.6

33.9

41.0

18.7

15.5

3.6

3.0

20.7

21.2

ICICI Bank

Buy

1,043

1,503

120,414

25,705

30,330

3.1

3.2

83.9

96.3

12.4

10.8

1.7

1.5

15.2

15.7

IDBI Bank

Buy

73

89

9,696

9,477

10,678

2.0

2.1

19.6

22.6

3.7

3.2

0.5

0.4

12.8

13.4

Indian Bank

Buy

125

164

5,355

6,185

6,978

3.0

3.0

37.0

42.2

3.4

3.0

0.5

0.4

14.8

15.1

IOB

Buy

52

62

4,847

8,142

8,956

2.5

2.5

16.5

20.7

3.2

2.5

0.4

0.3

11.8

13.4

J & K Bank

Accumulate

1,179

1,315

5,714

3,074

3,140

3.5

3.2

224.7

201.5

5.3

5.9

1.0

0.9

20.6

16.1

LIC Housing Finance

Buy

258

298

13,018

2,113

2,525

2.3

2.3

25.4

29.2

10.2

8.8

1.8

1.6

18.4

18.3

Oriental Bank

Buy

214

261

6,248

6,835

7,588

2.6

2.6

56.5

63.8

3.8

3.4

0.5

0.5

13.1

13.4

Punjab Natl.Bank

Buy

667

987

23,584

20,632

23,646

3.3

3.3

147.2

171.8

4.5

3.9

0.7

0.6

15.6

16.1

South Ind.Bank

Buy

20

25

2,741

1,814

2,061

2.9

2.8

4.1

4.4

5.0

4.7

0.9

0.8

17.6

16.6

St Bk of India

Buy

1,990

2,637

136,150

67,243

76,612

3.1

3.0

242.4

284.8

8.2

7.0

1.3

1.1

16.3

16.8

Syndicate Bank

Buy

115

141

6,916

7,158

8,169

2.6

2.6

26.7

30.0

4.3

3.8

0.6

0.6

15.8

15.7

UCO Bank

Accumulate

67

76

5,020

6,250

6,738

2.6

2.5

12.1

14.7

5.5

4.6

0.9

0.7

11.8

13.0

Union Bank

Buy

193

259

11,542

11,107

12,650

2.6

2.6

39.4

46.8

4.9

4.1

0.7

0.6

14.2

15.0

United Bank

Buy

47

65

1,752

3,443

3,998

2.4

2.6

15.1

20.4

3.1

2.3

0.4

0.3

12.1

14.8

Vijaya Bank

Neutral

46

2,297

2,730

3,059

1.9

2.0

10.2

11.3

4.6

4.1

0.5

0.5

11.8

12.0

Yes Bank

Buy

453

524

16,280

4,429

5,502

2.8

2.9

42.3

49.5

10.7

9.2

2.3

1.9

23.5

22.8

FMCG
Asian Paints

Neutral

4,548

43,627

12,332

14,524

16.5

16.3

141.6

162.7

32.1

28.0

10.2

8.1

35.4

32.2

3.4

2.9

Britannia

Neutral

663

7,925

6,417

7,502

6.1

6.3

23.2

27.9

28.6

23.7

9.8

7.7

38.3

36.4

1.2

1.0

Colgate

Neutral

1,304

17,731

3,588

4,130

20.5

20.9

44.2

51.8

29.5

25.2

28.8

21.0

108.6

96.2

4.8

4.1

Dabur India

Neutral

154

26,876

7,183

8,340

16.8

16.8

5.4

6.3

28.7

24.5

11.2

8.7

41.5

40.1

3.7

3.1

GlaxoSmith Con*

Neutral

4,930

20,734

3,617

4,259

16.1

16.4

122.2

148.7

40.4

33.2

12.6

10.1

34.1

33.7

5.3

4.4

Godrej Consumer

Neutral

798

27,141

7,801

9,017

16.2

15.9

25.1

29.7

31.7

26.9

6.8

5.7

24.9

24.2

3.6

3.1

HUL

Neutral

591

127,770

29,167

33,164

13.6

13.7

17.1

18.4

34.6

32.1

33.3

24.1

113.4

87.0

4.2

3.7

ITC

Neutral

323

255,111

34,294

39,991

36.8

37.0

11.3

13.3

28.6

24.2

9.4

7.6

36.1

34.9

7.1

6.0

Marico

Neutral

209

13,480

5,273

6,044

14.8

14.9

7.3

8.7

28.8

24.1

5.6

4.6

21.4

21.0

2.6

2.2

Nestle*

Neutral

5,048

48,668

9,447

10,968

22.1

22.3

127.5

154.1

39.6

32.8

19.8

14.3

57.7

50.7

5.2

4.3

Tata Global

Accumulate

136

145

8,435

8,069

8,957

9.8

9.7

7.8

8.6

17.4

15.9

2.1

2.0

9.5

9.7

1.0

0.9

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 24, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

759

863

52,892

28,633

32,216

21.5

20.7

57.3

61.7

13.3

12.3

3.1

2.6

24.0

21.5

1.7

1.4

79

96

2,364

2,091

2,289

19.0

18.8

10.6

11.3

7.5

7.0

1.7

1.5

22.8

21.7

1.0

0.8

IT
HCL Tech^

Accumulate

Hexaware*

Buy

Infosys

Neutral

2,419

138,916

43,338

47,244

27.5

27.7

169.4

182.6

14.3

13.3

3.0

2.6

20.8

19.3

2.6

2.2

Infotech Enterprises

Accumulate

174

185

1,946

1,956

2,174

17.9

17.7

20.4

21.9

8.5

8.0

1.3

1.1

14.7

13.7

0.6

0.5

KPIT Cummins

Accumulate

120

135

2,319

2,513

2,819

16.1

15.5

12.6

14.0

9.6

8.6

1.7

1.4

17.9

16.6

0.9

0.7

Mahindra Satyam

Accumulate

115

126

13,494

8,278

9,062

20.3

20.1

10.5

11.4

10.9

10.1

2.5

2.0

23.1

20.0

1.2

1.0

Mindtree

Accumulate

818

920

3,399

2,599

2,871

19.4

19.2

85.2

92.3

9.6

8.9

2.0

1.6

21.4

18.9

1.0

0.8

Mphasis&

Neutral

389

8,177

6,096

6,646

17.6

17.4

38.1

41.6

10.2

9.4

1.5

1.3

14.2

13.7

0.9

0.7

NIIT

Buy

20

30

329

1,144

1,267

9.0

9.1

4.3

5.4

4.6

3.7

0.5

0.4

10.3

12.0

0.1

Persistent

Buy

504

593

2,018

1,445

1,617

25.2

25.0

55.3

59.3

9.1

8.5

1.7

1.4

18.2

16.5

1.0

0.8

TCS

Accumulate

1,423

1,585

278,424

71,833

81,893

28.4

28.0

78.5

88.0

18.1

16.2

5.5

4.5

30.2

27.9

3.6

3.1

Tech Mahindra

Buy

993

1,170

12,756

7,779

8,398

19.7

19.3

107.4

117.8

9.2

8.4

2.0

1.6

21.2

19.0

1.6

1.4

Wipro

Accumulate

349

385

85,948

40,173

43,697

20.4

20.6

26.2

28.5

13.3

12.2

2.6

2.3

19.7

18.4

1.6

1.4

D B Corp

Buy

228

290

4,182

1,750

1,925

25.1

26.6

14.2

16.8

16.0

13.6

3.5

2.9

23.4

23.4

2.3

2.0

HT Media

Buy

97

117

2,276

2,205

2,380

15.1

15.6

8.3

9.1

11.7

10.6

1.3

1.2

11.5

11.4

0.7

0.6

Jagran Prakashan

Buy

86

119

2,856

1,664

1,825

20.9

23.0

6.4

7.8

13.4

11.1

2.7

2.4

21.0

23.1

1.8

1.6

PVR

Neutral

327

1,295

1,359

1,540

17.3

17.4

17.2

21.6

19.0

15.2

1.9

1.7

10.3

12.0

1.4

1.2

Sun TV Network

Neutral

366

14,429

2,287

2,551

69.7

70.5

20.0

23.3

18.3

15.7

4.5

4.0

26.4

27.3

6.0

5.2

Bhushan Steel

Neutral

462

10,467

13,794

17,088

30.9

33.5

49.3

66.6

9.4

6.9

1.0

0.9

11.3

13.5

2.4

1.9

Coal India

Buy

299

345

188,986

72,174

76,311

33.3

28.4

28.4

30.9

10.5

9.7

2.9

2.5

37.6

36.2

1.8

1.6

Electrosteel Castings

Buy

14

24

448

1,976

2,017

11.8

12.7

1.3

2.6

10.9

5.3

0.1

0.1

2.6

5.2

0.5

0.1

GMDC

Buy

133

193

4,234

1,920

2,239

53.2

52.9

21.6

25.0

6.2

5.3

1.4

1.2

25.1

23.8

1.7

1.3

Hind. Zinc

Buy

107

145

45,000

12,358

13,659

51.4

51.6

16.0

17.6

6.6

6.1

1.2

1.0

19.4

18.4

1.4

0.9

Hindalco

Neutral

94

17,921

89,352

93,672

8.8

9.2

13.4

15.0

7.0

6.2

0.5

0.5

7.3

7.6

0.5

0.5

JSW Steel

Neutral

670

14,941

39,973

40,926

17.2

17.0

71.9

82.8

9.3

8.1

0.8

0.7

9.0

9.6

0.7

0.6

MOIL

Buy

199

248

3,349

1,010

1,046

46.5

47.6

26.8

28.8

7.4

6.9

1.1

1.0

15.4

14.7

0.9

0.7

Monnet Ispat

Buy

139

193

883

2,326

2,709

21.4

23.1

33.3

43.1

4.2

3.2

0.3

0.3

8.3

9.9

1.4

1.1

Nalco

Neutral

30

7,603

7,656

7,988

13.1

13.5

2.6

2.6

11.6

11.3

0.6

0.6

5.5

5.5

0.4

0.5

NMDC

Buy

105

156

41,669

10,461

11,892

71.6

72.6

16.3

17.6

6.5

6.0

1.4

1.2

22.1

21.4

2.2

1.9

Media

Metals & Mining

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 24, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY14E

FY15E

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

EV/Sales(x)

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

Metals & Mining


SAIL

Neutral

Sesa Goa

Buy

52

21,621

44,060

54,786

9.4

11.5

5.2

7.2

10.0

7.3

0.5

0.5

5.2

6.8

0.7

0.6

138

166

12,028

3,742

4,426

32.9

32.8

30.0

29.8

4.6

4.6

0.6

0.5

14.3

12.5

4.0

3.3

Sterlite Inds
Tata Steel

Buy

81

100

27,087

44,462

45,568

23.2

24.7

18.1

20.2

4.5

4.0

0.5

0.4

11.3

11.4

0.5

0.5

Buy

272

378

26,383 140,917 151,537

9.7

10.8

30.9

47.6

8.8

5.7

0.8

0.7

9.6

13.4

0.6

0.5

Sarda

Buy

101

153

362

1,494

1,568

19.1

20.3

31.3

36.5

3.2

2.8

0.4

0.3

11.8

12.4

0.6

0.5

Prakash Industries
Godawari Power and
Ispat
Oil & Gas

Buy

30

45

397

2,615

2,776

12.1

12.0

9.8

10.4

3.0

2.8

0.2

0.2

6.5

6.5

0.4

0.4

Buy

77

102

253

2,344

2,509

14.9

15.4

38.7

47.0

2.0

1.7

0.2

0.2

12.3

12.9

0.5

0.4

Cairn India

Buy

293

345

55,952

16,482

16,228

69.4

53.3

53.3

49.6

5.5

5.9

0.9

0.8

16.5

13.6

2.0

1.7

GAIL

Neutral

290

36,830

52,102

52,876

15.7

16.1

34.1

35.7

8.5

8.1

1.3

1.2

16.4

15.3

0.3

0.2

ONGC

Buy

308

372

263,509 170,063 193,024

36.3

36.9

34.7

38.3

8.9

8.1

1.5

1.4

18.3

17.9

1.3

1.0

Reliance Industries

Neutral

794

256,385 380,031 407,721

9.9

69.3

69.3

78.0

11.5

10.2

1.1

1.0

11.5

11.7

0.6

0.6

Gujarat Gas*

Neutral

206

2,636

3,707

3,850

11.7

12.4

23.7

25.7

8.7

8.0

2.4

2.1

29.6

28.2

0.6

0.5

Indraprastha Gas

Neutral

275

3,851

3,700

4,218

23.4

22.8

26.7

30.4

10.3

9.0

2.2

1.8

22.7

21.8

1.1

0.9

Petronet LNG
Gujarat State Petronet
Ltd.
Pharmaceuticals

Buy

123

167

9,259

40,356

40,872

5.8

6.4

15.0

16.7

8.2

7.4

1.7

1.5

23.0

21.5

0.3

0.3

Neutral

53

2,957

1,171

1,287

91.9

91.9

10.1

11.3

5.2

4.6

0.8

0.7

17.3

16.8

Alembic Pharma

Neutral

133

2,511

1,736

2,008

17.1

18.9

10.7

13.9

12.5

9.6

3.9

2.9

35.0

34.7

1.5

1.3

Aurobindo Pharma

Buy

171

271

4,978

6,641

7,637

15.9

15.9

17.3

20.6

9.9

8.3

1.6

1.3

19.5

18.9

1.2

1.0

Aventis*

Neutral

2,525

5,815

1,682

1,917

16.6

16.6

92.4

99.1

27.3

25.5

3.8

3.8

15.7

14.8

3.1

2.5

Cadila Healthcare

Buy

771

929

15,795

7,280

8,640

15.5

15.7

38.3

46.5

20.1

16.6

4.3

3.6

23.5

23.5

2.5

2.1

Cipla

Buy

381

477

30,623

9,274

10,796

23.1

23.1

21.0

23.8

18.2

16.0

2.9

2.5

17.2

16.8

3.0

2.5

Dr Reddy's

Buy

2,124

2,535

36,088

13,377

15,350

20.4

20.1

112.3

126.8

18.9

16.8

4.0

3.3

23.5

21.8

2.8

2.4

Dishman Pharma

Buy

GSK Pharma*

Neutral

Indoco Remedies

Buy

Ipca labs

61

168

493

1,394

1,534

22.5

22.4

15.0

16.8

4.1

3.6

0.4

0.4

11.0

11.2

1.0

0.8

2,485

21,044

2,854

3,145

28.6

28.6

76.6

83.3

32.4

29.8

9.7

8.8

31.1

31.0

6.5

5.8

62

78

572

760

922

15.3

15.3

6.1

7.8

10.2

8.0

1.3

1.1

12.9

14.7

1.0

0.8

Neutral

676

8,531

3,243

3,826

20.5

21.5

36.0

44.4

18.8

15.2

4.4

3.5

26.0

25.4

2.8

2.3

Lupin

Accumulate

788

877

35,266

11,641

13,933

21.3

21.3

34.8

41.8

22.6

18.8

5.3

4.2

26.2

24.8

3.1

2.5

Ranbaxy*

Neutral

349

14,785

11,400

12,060

10.5

12.5

17.5

22.5

20.0

15.5

3.2

2.8

17.0

19.1

1.2

1.1

Sun Pharma

Neutral

950

98,213

13,509

15,846

41.0

41.0

33.0

39.8

28.8

23.9

5.8

4.8

22.0

22.0

6.7

5.5

69

78

1,039

1,444

1,482

33.4

33.0

13.7

14.8

5.0

4.6

0.6

0.5

12.3

12.0

0.8

0.5

Power
GIPCL

Accumulate

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 24, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

Accumulate

143

163

117,951

76,734

86,680

24.5

24.3

13.4

14.5

10.7

9.9

1.3

1.2

12.8

12.7

2.2

2.1

DLF

Buy

175

236

31,145

8,293

9,622

36.5

36.1

5.7

6.7

30.7

26.0

1.1

1.1

3.7

4.1

5.9

4.9

MLIFE

Buy

380

476

1,554

888

1,002

30.6

30.6

38.8

43.4

9.8

8.8

1.1

1.0

11.2

11.4

2.3

2.1

Bharti Airtel

Accumulate

293

328

111,097

86,592

95,860

31.4

31.8

10.9

14.5

26.8

20.1

2.1

1.9

7.7

9.3

1.9

1.6

Idea Cellular

Neutral

140

46,397

25,122

27,663

27.0

27.2

4.0

4.8

35.3

29.4

2.9

2.7

8.3

9.1

2.3

2.0

Rcom

Neutral

120

24,727

22,801

24,628

31.0

31.3

3.6

5.3

33.6

22.8

0.7

0.7

2.2

3.1

2.7

2.3

11.8

12.4

71.2

83.0

20.2

17.3

4.1

3.5

21.6

21.5

1.4

1.1

Power
NTPC
Real Estate

Telecom

Others
Abbott India*

Buy

1,436

1,659

3,051

1,863

2,081

Bajaj Electricals

Buy

172

237

1,717

3,885

4,472

5.4

7.2

11.0

19.7

15.7

8.7

2.1

1.8

13.5

20.3

0.4

0.4

Cera Sanitaryware

Accumulate

516

562

654

630

795

14.4

13.6

42.8

51.1

12.1

10.1

2.9

2.3

26.6

25.2

1.0

0.8

Cravatex

Buy

307

459

79

248

284

6.5

7.3

27.2

38.2

11.3

8.0

1.8

1.5

15.7

18.5

0.5

0.4

Finolex Cables

Buy

50

68

767

2,563

2,899

9.8

9.8

10.1

11.3

5.0

4.4

0.7

0.6

14.3

13.8

0.2

0.2

Force Motors

Buy

274

437

358

2,304

2,649

3.1

3.6

28.0

43.7

9.8

6.3

0.3

0.3

3.1

4.7

0.1

0.1

Goodyear India*

Buy

295

345

680

1,458

1,542

8.3

9.0

32.3

37.0

9.1

8.0

1.7

1.4

19.5

19.3

0.3

0.2

Hitachi

Buy

129

177

350

1,053

1,169

6.3

7.1

13.8

17.7

9.3

7.3

1.3

1.1

15.0

16.7

0.4

0.3

2,426

2,145

1,842

2,131

7.7

7.8

112.4

132.4

21.6

18.3

2.7

2.4

13.3

13.8

1.1

0.9

Honeywell Automation* Neutral


IFB Agro

Buy

150

198

135

495

651

12.7

12.9

29.3

39.5

5.1

3.8

0.7

0.6

15.4

17.6

0.4

0.3

ITD Cementation

Buy

160

234

184

1,430

1,573

11.1

11.0

19.1

26.9

8.4

6.0

0.4

0.4

4.9

6.3

0.5

0.5

Jyothy Laboratories

Neutral

199

3,299

1,220

1,476

13.3

13.6

5.5

9.0

36.0

22.0

4.2

3.7

12.1

17.7

3.0

2.4

MRF

Accumulate

12,971

14,416

5,501

11,799

12,587

14.1

13.5 1,792.4 1,802.0

7.2

7.2

1.5

1.3

23.5

19.2

0.6

0.5

Page Industries

Accumulate

4,034

4,611

4,499

1,057

1,282

19.4

19.6

124.8

153.7

32.3

26.3

16.0

11.8

56.3

51.8

4.3

3.6

Relaxo Footwears

Accumulate

737

791

884

1,146

1,333

10.9

11.4

45.9

60.9

16.1

12.1

3.4

2.7

23.0

24.6

0.9

0.8

Siyaram Silk Mills

Buy

235

343

220

1,158

1,322

11.9

11.9

72.9

85.7

3.2

2.7

0.6

0.5

19.9

19.6

0.4

0.4

Styrolution ABS India*

Buy

415

617

730

1,068

1,223

9.6

9.6

38.1

44.1

10.9

9.4

1.5

1.3

14.5

14.7

0.7

0.6

TAJ GVK

Buy

60

108

375

300

319

35.8

36.2

7.9

9.1

7.6

6.6

1.0

0.9

13.9

14.4

1.6

1.3

Tata Sponge Iron

Buy

278

371

427

814

849

17.0

17.6

64.6

69.2

4.3

4.0

0.6

0.5

14.5

13.8

0.1

TTK Healthcare

Buy

510

686

396

435

516

6.2

7.1

24.3

33.3

21.0

15.3

3.5

3.0

17.6

20.8

0.8

0.6

Tree House

Accumulate

269

297

968

153

194

53.0

52.8

12.4

15.6

21.7

17.2

2.6

2.3

11.8

13.1

6.5

5.0

TVS Srichakra

Buy

177

252

136

1,591

1,739

6.1

6.6

24.5

41.9

7.3

4.2

0.8

0.7

10.9

17.2

0.3

0.3

United Spirits

Neutral

2,410

35,024

12,294

14,162

12.0

12.0

42.1

67.7

57.2

35.6

4.0

3.6

9.1

10.7

3.2

2.7

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 24, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

360

439

731

600

638

20.1

19.4

35.7

36.6

10.1

9.9

1.8

1.6

19.4

17.1

1.0

0.9

Others
Vesuvius India*

Buy

Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on June 21, 2013

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
June 24, 2013

www.angelbroking.com

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