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2013

Issue 34

Week Ending 23-08-2013

Weekly Market Wrap Up


Stat Page
Weekly Stock Trends
S&P SL20 Watch

Pg 02
Pg 03
Pg 04

Local Economy in Brief


Currency Moves
Inflation & Interest Rates
Colombo Tea Auction
Tourism

Pg 05
Pg 06
Pg 06
Pg 06

Global Market
Equity Market Outlook
Global Commodity Trend

Pg 07
Pg 08

Research Chat:
Lanka IOC Quick View on Earnings

Our Core Coverage

Pg 09
Pg 10- Pg 11

Weekly Stat Page


Weekly Market Statistics

Weekly Turnover and Volume

Daily Index Movement


6,300

5,000

6,200

4,000

6,000
5,900

150

3,000
100
2,000

0
2-Aug

9-Aug

ASPI

Turnover (LHS)

16-Aug

23-Aug

Volume (RHS)

Weekly Foreign Purchases and Sales

Daily Foreign Activity


80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%

ASPI
S&P SL20
Turnover (LKR 'bn)
Volume ('mn)
Market Cap. (LKR 'bn)

Net Foreign -971

362

989

Weekly Foreign Flow


LKR ('mn)
Foreign Purchases
Foreign Sales
Net Foreign Inflow
Foreign Participation

Current Previous
16.9
17.7
2.3
2.4
2.6
2.5

PER
PBV
DY

LKR ('Mn)

2,000
1,500
1,000
500
2-Aug

9-Aug

Foreign Buying

16-Aug

23-Aug

Foreign Sales

Change in Foreign Holding

HNB[X.0000] (+)
SAMPATH (+)
HDFC (+)
TOKYO CEMENT
COMMERCIAL BANK (+)

Growth in Growth in
Value
Foreign Decline in Foreign Holding
LKR 'mn
Holding
802.7
381.6
257.3
147.1
77.5

28.47%
10.13%
4236.6%
10.14%
0.24%

WoW %
-4.5%
-4.5%
4.0%

Weekly Sector Statistics

Growth in Foreign Holding

WoW %
6.9%
9.7%
3.3%
-3.4%

Weekly Market Valuations

2,500

Linear (Foreign Activity)

Current Previous
2,398.2
2,243.7
1,376.9
1,254.9
1,021.3
988.8
40%
41%

1021

3,000

Foreign Activity

WoW %
-4.5%
-4.3%
-6.3%
-34.3%
-4.5%

50

1,000

5,800

('Mn)

LKR ('Mn)

6,100

Current Previous
5951.83
6233.21
3342.96
3491.55
3,715.3
3,964.7
94.2
143.4
2,451.4
2,567.3

200

JKH
UNION BANK (+)
LION BREWERY
CHEVRON (+)
KELANI TYRES

Decline in
Value
LKR 'mn
-581.5
-39.0
-24.2
-9.8
-4.8

Decline in
Foreign
Holding
-0.50%
-1.42%
-0.25%
-0.1%
-1.21%

BANKS FINANCE & INS.


BEV. FOOD & TOBACCO
CHEM. & PHARMA.
CONS. & ENG.
DIVERSIFIED
HEALTH CARE
HOTELS & TRAVELS
LAND & PROPERTY
MANUFACTURING
MOTORS
PLANTATIONS
TELECOM

Current Previous
12,799.6 13,097.1
20,099.1 22,656.4
6,600.6
6,768.1
2,793.9
2,899.0
1,835.6
1,911.8
646.0
655.9
3,171.8
3,219.4
548.9
572.1
2,969.3
3,053.6
15,091.2 15,518.4
703.6
720.1
156.9
160.9

WoW %
-2.3%
-11.3%
-2.5%
-3.6%
-4.0%
-1.5%
-1.5%
-4.1%
-2.8%
-2.8%
-2.3%
-2.4%
Page | 2

Weekly Stock Trends


Weekly Top Gainers
Company

Current

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

Volume

Turnover

52 High

52 Low

SINHAPUTHRA FIN

108.00

82.40

31.07%

108.00

82.30

13,202

1,168,655

109.00

67.00

G S FINANCE

675.00

550.00

22.73%

675.00

675.00

675

1,500.00

200.00

0.80

0.70

14.29%

0.80

0.70

2,242,312

1,609,175

12.50

0.50

AMF CO LTD

366.90

330.00

11.18%

367.70

360.00

2,925

439.50

300.00

ASIA CAPITAL

21.90

20.00

9.50%

21.90

20.00

612

13,188

38.00

19.50

PCH HOLDINGS

Weekly Top Losers


Company

Current

CIFL

High

Low

Volume

Turnover

52 High

52 Low

0.90

-22.22%

1.00

0.70

1,498,245

1,251,670

11.80

0.70

140.00

180.00

-22.22%

178.00

135.00

5,659

792,202

210.00

81.50

1,108.20

1,365.30

-18.83%

1,385.00

1,100.00

13,514

16,931,207

1,400.50

670.00

110.50

132.90

-16.85%

130.00

110.50

5,170

594,441

151.00

72.00

1,102.60

1,299.00

-15.12%

1,105.40

1,100.70

156

172,002

1,300.00

735.00

CARGO BOAT
CEYLINCO INS.

WoW %

0.70

SERENDIB ENG.GRP
CEYLON TOBACCO

Previous

Weekly Top Performers


Company

Current

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

Volume

Turnover

52 High

52 Low

HNB[NON VOTING]

114.30

114.10

0.18%

115.00

114.00

7,289,980

855,803,214

132.50

95.50

JKH

240.30

256.80

-6.43%

260.00

240.00

3,451,221

844,652,981

299.80

195.00

SAMPATH

189.00

191.80

-1.46%

193.90

188.50

2,785,713

529,298,937

242.00

172.50

34.30

35.00

-2.00%

36.00

33.10

7,512,238

300,419,494

67.40

33.10

117.00

119.50

-2.09%

119.80

116.50

1,945,021

230,098,367

126.00

99.00

Volume

Turnover

52 High

52 Low

HDFC
COMMERCIAL BANK

Weekly Top Volume


Company

Current

HDFC

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

34.30

35.00

-2.00%

36.00

33.10

7,512,238

300,419,494

67.40

33.10

114.30

114.10

0.18%

115.00

114.00

7,289,980

855,803,214

132.50

95.50

0.30

0.30

0.00%

0.40

0.30

5,834,984

1,751,636

0.60

0.30

HEMAS HOLDINGS

32.00

33.20

-3.61%

34.00

32.00

5,296,187

181,205,887

38.40

23.10

TEXTURED JERSEY

13.60

13.90

-2.16%

14.00

13.50

4,561,741

62,090,833

15.00

7.80

HNB[NON VOTING]
S M B LEASING[NON VOTING]

Page | 3

S & P SL20 Debrief

Announcements
DIVIDENDS

Daily Index Movement

Company

3,550
3,500
3,450
3,400

Dividend (LKR)

XD Date

Payment

Renuka Agri Foods

0.10

26-09-2013

04-10-2013

Renuka Holdings

0.70

26-09-2013

04-10-2013

Renuka Shaw Wallace

0.30

26-09-2013

04-10-2013

Elpitiya Plantations

0.50

27-09-2013

07-10-2013

Distilleries Company

3.00

30-09-2013

08-10-2013

3,350

Colonial Motors

3.00

To be notified

00-01-1900

3,300

Chilaw Finance

0.50

To be notified

00-01-1900

0.00

00-01-1900

00-01-1900

0-Jan-1900

3,250

RIGHTS ISSUE
Company
S&P SL20

S&P SL20 Companies


JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS
COMMERCIAL BANK
THE BUKIT DARAH
HATTON NATIONAL BANK
CARSONS CUMBERBATCH
SAMPATH BANK
CEYLON TOBACCO COMPANY
DFCC BANK
AITKEN SPENCE
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT BANK
C T HOLDINGS
DISTILLERIES
HAYLEYS
CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA
DIALOG AXIATA
CARGILLS (CEYLON)
AITKEN SPENCE HOTEL HOLDINGS
NESTLE LANKA
ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES
SRI LANKA TELECOM

Current
240.30
117.00
683.80
150.00
390.00
189.00
1,108.20
128.00
121.00
153.10
140.00
192.00
293.00
300.00
8.50
150.50
66.70
2,205.20
68.50
39.40

Previous
256.80
119.50
690.00
155.00
393.00
191.80
1,365.30
129.50
122.00
162.20
140.10
192.70
300.00
308.00
8.60
152.00
69.00
2,441.30
71.90
40.90

WoW %
-6.43%
-2.09%
-0.90%
-3.23%
-0.76%
-1.46%
-18.83%
-1.16%
-0.82%
-5.61%
-0.07%
-0.36%
-2.33%
-2.60%
-1.16%
-0.99%
-3.33%
-9.67%
-4.73%
-3.67%

Turnover
844,652,981
230,098,367
286,616
21,287,072
278,845
529,298,937
16,931,207
14,479,011
1,204,578
8,320,441
496,657
51,443,173
36,495
20,852,780
2,171,384
10,963,617
1,811,928
52,857,653
252,026
101,977

Proportion

XR Date

Renunciation

The Kingsbury

03 for 08 @ LKR10.0

15-08-2013

02-09-2013

Pelwatte Sugar

01 for 04 @ LKR18.0

Delayed

Delayed

###

###

###

Proportion

EGM Date

XD Date

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

Proportion

EGM Date

XC Date

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

Proportion

EGM Date

Trading Date

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

Proportion

EGM Date

Trading Date

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

SCRIP DIVIDEND
Company

CAPITALIZATION OF RESERVES
Company

SUBDIVISION OF SHARES
Company

CONSOLIDATION OF SHARES
Company

Page | 4

Local Economy
CURRENCY MOVES

LKR
134

USD : LKR

132

LKR
180

EURO : LKR

LKR
210

175

205

170

200

165

195

124

160

190

122

155

185

130

128
126

LKR
1.40
1.35
1.30
1.25
1.20

Japanese Yen : LKR

LKR
105
104
103
102
101
100
99
98

Singapore Dollar : LKR

LKR
2.30
2.25
2.20
2.15
2.10
2.05
2.00
1.95

GBP : LKR

Indian Rupee : LKR

Page | 5

Local Economy
BALANCE OF TRADE

TOURISM

Balance of Trade

Tourist Arrivals

140,000
120,000

2,000
1,600
1,200
800
400
0
-400
-800
-1,200

100,000
80,000

60,000
40,000
20,000
Jan

Exports

Imports

Balance of Trade

Jun-13

Exports
Imports
Balance of Trade

May-13
794
1,549
-755

MoM %
2%
6%
-10%

Jun-12
756
1,419
-663

Apr

May

Jun

2011

Jul

Aug

2012

Sep

Oct

Dec

Jun-13
2013
73,628
512,281

Jun-13
YTD

Nov

2013

For the Month Ending:

YoY %
7%
15%
-25%

INFLATION & INTEREST RATE

2012 Change %
65,245
13%
452,867
13%

COLOMBO TEA AUCTION STATISTICS

Inflation and Treasury Bill Rate

14%

Mar

2010

For the Month Ending:


Jun-13
807
1,637
-829

Feb

Elevation

12%

10%

High Grown
Mid Grown
Low Grown
Total

8%
6%
4%

Sale of
14-Aug-13
402.23
388.31
453.08
437.32

Sale of
08-Jul-13
392.57
383.46
446.96
430.11

WoW %
2.46%
1.26%
1.37%
1.68%

Corres. 2012
424.31
363.20
408.23
404.91

WoW %
0.00%
0.00%

Sale of
30-Jul-13
411.50
410.00

YoY %
-5.20%
6.91%
10.99%
8.00%

2%
Jul-12

1-Yr T-Bill

Sep-12

Nov-12

Point to Point

Jan-13

Mar-13

For the Month Ending:


Point to Point
Annual Average Change
1-Yr T-Bill

May-13

Annual Average Change

Jul-13

COLOMBO RUBBER AUCTION STATISTICS

Jul-2013
Jun-13
6.8%
8.6%
12.37%

Jul-13
6.1%
8.3%
10.56%

Basis Points
70
30
181

Elevation
RSS 1
Brown Crepe 1X

Sale of
15-Aug-13
411.50
410.00

Sale of
08-Jun-13
411.50
410.00

WoW %
0.00%
0.00%
Page | 6

Global Markets
EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK

Index
16,000

Dow Jones Industrial Average

Index
1,750
1,700

15,500

1,650

15,000

1,600

14,500

1,550

14,000

1,500

Index
6,800
6,600
6,400
6,200
6,000
5,800
5,600

S&P 500 Index

FTSE 100 Index

Index
17,000

Nikkei 225

Index
2,900
2,800
2,700
2,600
2,500
2,400
2,300

Index
23,000

15,000

22,000

13,000

21,000

11,000

20,000

9,000

19,000

7,000

18,000

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

Page | 7

Global Markets
GLOBAL COMMODITY TREND

USD/bbl
110

WTI CRUDE FUTURE

USD/t oz.
1,450
1,400
1,350
1,300
1,250
1,200
1,150
1,100
1,050

GOLD 100 OZ FUTURE

COTTON NO.2 FUTURE

USd/bu.
720
700
680
660
640
620
600

WHEAT FUTURE(CBT)

105
100
95

90
85

USd/lb.
95
90
85
80
75

USd/lb.
340
330
320
310
300
290
280

COPPER FUTURE

Commodity
WTI Crude

USD/bbl

Gold
Copper

USD/t oz.
USd/lb.

Cotton
Wheat

USd/lb.
USd/bu.

This
Week

Last
Week

WoW
Change

105.20

107.39

-2.0%

1,375.10
335.20

1,361.90
336.85

1.0%
-0.5%

84.47
642.25

92.45
648.25

-8.6%
-0.9%

Page | 8

Net earnings surged 603% YoY to LKR1.3 bn backed by strong GP margin growth of 630 bps YoY backed by the
bearish sentiment in crude oil prices which prevailed during 2013 amidst marginal revenue dip of 1.2% YoY. PBIT
margin expanded 650 bps YoY to 9.8% and net earnings margin grew 630 bps YoY to 7.3%.
Revenue dip of 1.2% YoY and 4% QoQ: The revenue dip is on a YoY and QoQ basis is primarily reasoned by a
slowdown in LIOCs bunkering segment due to less ship movements along the coast.

LKR ('mn)
Revenue
Gross Profit
Gross Margin
PBIT
PBIT margin
Net Profit
Net Profit Margin

Quarterly Performance
1QFY14 1QFY13 YoY %
4QFY13 QoQ %
18,472
18,691
-1.2% 19,210 -3.8%
2,413
1,270
90.0%
1,450 66.4%
13.1%
6.8%
7.5%
1,812
609
197.5%
791 129.1%
9.8%
3.3%
4.1%
1,350
192
603.4%
806 67.5%
7.3%
1.0%
4%

GP margin expanded 630 bps YoY and 560 bps QoQ to 13.1%: GP margin growth primarily stemmed from
improvements in procurement with the bearish trend of oil prices. This reflected an average YTD dip in crude oil
prices of 4% YoY to USD95.79 per barrel (Appendix 1). Amidst the decline, LIOC raised petrol price by LKR3.0 per
litre to LKR162.0 per litre w.e.f 23rd February 2013 and kept diesel prices at LKR121.0 per litre in line with CPC as it had earlier raised diesel by LKR6.0 per litre above the CPC price.
LIOC currently sells petrol with a profit of c.LKR2.85 per litre and diesel at a loss of LKR2.5 per litre. The loss on diesel is outweighed by higher sales of petrol leading to GP margin
growth of 630 bps YoY and 560 bps QoQ to 13.1%.
Net earnings grew 603% YoY expanding margin to 7.3% from 1.0% in 1QFY13: PBIT margin expanded 650 bps YoY to 9.8% backed by a 10% dip in operating costs. Net financing
costs dipped 50% reflecting 32% YoY gain in finance income to LKR47 mn and 43% dip in finance costs to LKR252 mn as a result of dollar denominated borrowings leading to PBT
margin growth of 760 bps YoY to 8.7%. This resulted in strong net earnings growth of 603% YoY and 68% QoQ to LKR1.3 bn. Income tax paid increased on a YoY and QoQ basis as a
result of the expiration of the 10 year tax holiday granted by the BOI from February 2013 onwards and a concessional rate of 15% is now charged.

We expect LIOC to denote strong earnings growth in the upcoming quarters backed by the growth trajectory in its
key segments which is likely to further improve if oil prices continue on a bearish trend. LIOC is a beneficiary of the
Government policy of trimming CPC losses which enables them to bring prices in line with CPC. LIOC expects the
slowdown in its bunkering segment to be temporary while a change in strategy in this segment is likely to improve
performance in the coming quarters. A possible impact of forecasted oil price dip may improve earnings further. The
USA Energy Information Administration forecasts crude oil prices to dip by 0.9% YoY and 1.4% YoY on average for
2013E and 2014E respectively (Appendix 2). LIOC underscores its peers with a trailing PER of 3.7x while trading at book value at current price (Appendix 3) hence we rate it a
BUY.

Softlogic Equity Research

Page | 9

Name

Y/E

Rec

Mkt Price Book Val.

Share

Market

23-Aug-13

Cap.
('Mn)

Cap.
('Mn)

('Mn)

NAVPS

Earnings

P / BV

EPS

EPS Growth (%)

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E

Mar'15E

4Q

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E Mar'15E

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E

Dec'14E

Trailing

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E Trailing

3,437

3,829

3,057

25.51

29.00

2,006

57.08

73.94

4Q

PER

DPS

Mar'12

Mar'13 Mar'14E Mar'14E

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E Mar'15E

Dec'11

Dec'12 Dec'13E Dec'13E

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E Trailing

4Q

Mar'13
Dec'12

Trailing

ROE

DY (%)

(%)

Banking, Finance & Insurance


Centra l Fi na nce

CFIN.N0000

Ceyl i nco Ins ura nce

CINS.N0000

Commerci a l Ba nk

COMB.N0000 D

Commerci a l Ba nk [X]

COMB.X0000

DFCC Ba nk

Buy

180.10

16,109

104.9

18,889 153.59

1.17

2,675

3,041

1,102.60

14,202

26.4

29,125 537.64

2.05

1,508

1,953

Buy

117.00

52,962

848.7

99,293

62.41

1.87

8,048

10,080

10,685

12,591

9,462

9.48

11.88

12.59

Buy

93.80

52,962

848.7

79,604

62.41

1.50

8,048

10,080

10,685

12,591

10,056

9.48

11.88

DFCC.N0000

MTB

128.00

28,139

265.1

33,933 106.14

1.21

2,900

3,523

3,453

3,915

3,523

10.94

Ha tton Na ti ona l Ba nk

HNB.N0000

Buy

150.00

51,055

398.9

59,833 127.99

1.17

6,149

8,111

9,258

11,113

7,815

Ha tton Na ti ona l Ba nk [X]

HNB.X0000

Buy

114.30

51,055

398.9

45,593 127.99

0.89

6,149

8,111

9,258

10,908

La nka Ori x Lea s i ng Compa ny LOLC.N0000

50.50

19,962

475.2

23,998

42.01

1.20

2,933

1,863

LB Fi na nce

LFIN.N0000

Buy

104.20

5,329

69.3

7,217

76.94

1.35

1,714

1,703

2,114

Na ti ona l Devel opment Ba nk NDB.N0000

Buy

153.10

22,926

164.7

25,215 139.21

1.10

2,706

8,854

Na ti ons Trus t Ba nk

NTB.N0000

Buy

60.50

10,113

230.6

13,952

43.85

1.38

1,534

Pa n As i a Ba nk

PABC.N0000

Buy

16.90

4,089

295.0

4,986

13.86

1.22

Peopl e's Lea s i ng

PLC.N0000

Buy

14.20

19,236

1,579.9

22,434

12.18

Sa mpa th Ba nk

SAMP.N0000

Buy

189.00

27,959

167.8

Seyl a n Ba nk

SEYB.N0000

58.80

19,775

La nka Ori x Fi na nce

LOFC.N0000

3.00

Sample Sector (16)

29.14

46

14

75.96

57

30

14.84

11.15

46

25

12.59

14.84

11.15

46

25

13.29

13.02

14.77

13.29

(43)

15.42

20.33

23.21

27.86

19.59

8,086

15.42

20.33

23.21

27.86

1,947

6.17

3.92

2,494

1,771

24.75

24.58

30.52

3,533

4,286

8,660

16.43

53.76

1,951

2,438

2,990

2,012

6.65

824

811

859

995

766

1.17

4,542

3,073

3,015

3,590

31,706 166.66

1.13

4,151

5,212

4,089

5,339

345.0

20,284

57.32

1.03

1,006

2,063

5,424

2,800.0

8,400

1.94

1.55

1,246

686

297,279

7,771.3

399,262

38.25

1.34

41,935

52,924

Full Sector (60)

541,910

898

1,026

32.77

7.1

6.2

19.3

14.9

18

12.3

9.9

9.3

18

9.9

7.9

21

(2)

13

11.7

28

32

14

20

19.59

28

32

14

20

4.10

(24)

(36)

36.01

25.57

68

(1)

24

21.45

26.03

52.58

26

227

8.46

10.57

12.96

8.72

41

2.79

2.75

2.91

3.37

2.60

3,045

2.87

1.95

1.91

2.27

4,773

24.74

31.07

24.37

31.83

2,170

2.92

5.98

629

0.44

0.25

69,778

5.40

6.81

0.32

36.51

0.37

13

6.2

2.9

1.6

16.6

14.5

12.5

1.1

10.6

7.9

10.5

4.5

3.8

15.2

7.5

6.3

8.4

4.5

4.8

15.2

9.6

9.8

8.7

9.6

5.0

3.9

10.3

9.7

7.4

6.5

5.4

7.7

8.5

5.7

12.0

7.4

5.6

4.9

4.1

5.8

8.5

7.4

12.0

8.2

12.9

12.3

0.5

1.0

14.7

18

4.2

4.2

3.4

2.9

4.1

6.5

6.2

32.2

(60)

21

9.3

2.8

7.1

5.9

2.9

15.0

9.8

11.8

27

25

23

9.1

7.2

5.7

4.7

6.9

2.1

3.5

15.2

128

(2)

16

6.1

6.1

5.8

5.0

6.5

1.0

5.9

20.2

1.93

74

(32)

(2)

19

4.9

7.3

7.4

6.2

7.4

1.3

8.8

23.6

28.45

19

26

(22)

31

7.6

6.1

7.8

5.9

6.6

6.0

3.2

14.8

6.29

(17)

105

20.2

9.8

9.3

1.0

1.7

5.1

0.22

(0)

(45)

6.7

12.2

13.4

23.0

8.98

19

26

9.5

7.5

31

11

14

5.5

9.4

4.9

8.2

5.7

1.47

14.1

8.2

Beverage, Food and Tobacco


Ca rgi l l s

CARG.N0000

150.50

7,760

224.0

33,712

Ceyl on Toba cco Compa ny

CTC.N0000

1,108.20

3,660

187.3

207,592

Di s ti l l eri es

DIST.N0000

192.00

49,381

300.0

57,600 164.60

Li on Brewery

LION.N0000

360.00

5,910

80.0

28,800

Nes tl e (La nka )

NEST.N0000

2,205.20

3,071

53.7

69,783

845.0

LTB

Sample Sector (5)


Full Sector (20)

34.64

4.34

1,079

578

577

4.82

2.58

2.58

(1)

(46)

19.54 56.72

6,569

8,176

8,734

9,545

8,152

35.07

43.65

46.63

50.95

43.52

29

24

1.17

5,675

5,520

5,816

6,452

5,520

18.92

18.40

19.39

21.51

18.40

(30)

4.87

1,262

1,046

1,146

1,553

1,046

15.78

13.07

14.33

19.41

13.08

25

118,475

57.17 38.58

2,633

2,994

3,513

3,822

3,446

49.01

55.73

65.39

71.14

64.15

39

14

446,180

82.58

17,219

18,313

18,742

20.38

21.67

22.18

73.88

528,570

6.39

31.2

58.4

31.6

25.4

58.4

2.0

1.3

13.9

21.7

25.5

43.6

3.9

179.5

(3)

11

10.1

10.4

(17)

10

35

22.8

27.5

9.9

8.9

10.4

3.0

1.6

11.5

25.1

18.5

27.5

4.0

1.1

17

45.0

39.6

33.7

21.4

31.0

34.4

54.0

2.4

25.9

24.4

85.7

23.8

23.8

4.76

24.7

21.8

Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals


CIC Hol di ngs

CIC.N0000

58.40

7,760

94.8

5,535

81.88

0.71

863

231

239

9.11

2.44

2.52

(7)

(73)

6.4

24.0

23.2

1.6

2.8

11.1

La nkem Ceyl on

LCEY.N0000

126.20

4,459

24.0

3,029 185.81

0.68

513

297

307

21.39

12.36

12.80

(55)

(42)

5.9

10.2

9.9

0.0

0.0

11.5

12,219

118.8

8,563 102.88

0.70

1,376

528

546

11.59

4.44

4.60

(33)

(62)

6.2

16.2

15.7

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (10)

19,550

0.93

11.3

12.6

Construction & Engineering


Col ombo Dockya rd

DOCK.N0000

212.00

Sample Sector (1)

10,172

71.9

15,234 141.55

1.50

1,804

1,977

1,564

25.10

27.51

21.77

(13)

10

8.4

7.7

9.7

10,172

71.9

15,234 141.55

1.50

1,804

1,977

1,564

25.10

27.51

21.77

(13)

10

8.4

7.7

9.7

19,322

1.31

Full Sector (4)

8.0

3.8

17.7
17.7

5.1

Diversified Holdings
Ai tken Spence

SPEN.N0000

121.00

28,053

406.0

49,126

69.10

1.75

3,488

3,267

3,267

8.59

8.05

8.05

38

(6)

14.1

15.0

15.0

1.5

1.2

CT Hol di ngs

CTHR.N0000

140.00

13,219

183.1

25,634

72.20

1.94

1,159

1,150

1,150

6.33

6.28

6.28

34

(1)

22.1

22.3

22.3

0.7

0.5

8.8

Ca rs ons Cumberba tch

CARS.N0000

390.00

34,692

196.4

76,591 176.65

2.21

7,017

4,570

4,014

35.73

23.27

20.44

55

(35)

10.9

16.8

19.1

2.0

0.5

20.2

Expol a nka Hol di ngs

EXPO.N0000

7.40

9,081

1,954.9

14,466

Ha yl eys

HAYL.N0000

293.00

22,459

75.0

Hema s Hol di ngs

HHL.N0000

32.00

12,153

515.3

John Keel l s Hol di ngs

JKH.N0000

240.30

89,819

857.9

Ri cha rd Pei ri s

RICH.N0000

6.90

7,949

1,958.1

13,511

Softl ogi c Hol di ngs

SHL.N0000

8.70

8,040

779.0

6,777

Va l l i bel One

VONE.N0000

15.90

27,640

1,086.6

17,276

253,107

8,012.2

448,002

LTB

Buy

Sample Sector (10)


Full Sector (18)

4.65

1.59

1,033

1,061

1,061

0.53

0.54

0.54

(33)

14.0

13.6

13.6

0.1

1.6

11.4

21,975 299.45

0.98

1,038

1,854

1,855

13.84

24.72

24.73

43

79

21.2

11.9

11.8

4.5

1.5

4.6

16,489

23.59

1.36

1,165

1,658

1,658

2.26

3.22

3.22

(4)

42

14.2

9.9

9.9

0.8

2.3

9.6

206,157 104.69

2.30

9,687

12,201

12,201

11.29

14.22

14.22

17

26

21.3

16.9

16.9

3.5

1.5

10.8

4.06

1.70

2,575

1,903

1,903

1.32

0.97

0.97

53

(26)

5.2

7.1

7.1

0.2

2.9

32.4

10.32

0.84

483

301

301

0.62

0.39

0.39

(42)

(38)

14.0

22.5

22.5

0.3

3.4

6.0

25.44

0.63

2,025

1,403

1,403

1.86

1.29

1.29

250

(31)

8.5

12.3

12.3

0.0

0.0

31.59

1.77

29,669

29,367

28,812

3.70

3.67

3.60

30

(1)

15.1

15.3

505,930

1,302

2,323

0.67

2.14

23

66

1.74

11.1

12.4

7.4

15.5

7.3
11.7

15.0

Healthcare
As i ri Hos pi ta l Hol d.

ASIR.N0000

13.60

6,430

1,099.1

14,948

5.85

2.32

600

777

777

0.55

0.71

0.71

215

29

24.9

19.2

19.2

0.3

1.9

9.3

Na wa l oka Hos pi ta l s

NHL.N0000

2.90

3,781

1,409.5

4,088

2.68

1.08

271

454

454

0.19

0.32

0.32

(75)

68

15.1

9.0

9.0

0.1

1.7

7.2

La nka Hos pi ta l s

LHCL.N0000

39.50

27,164

223.7

8,837 121.41

0.33

437

384

482

1.95

1.72

2.15

51

(12)

20.2

23.0

18.3

0.5

1.3

1.6

37,375

2,732.3

0.75

1,308

1,616

1,713

0.48

0.59

0.63

(16)

24

21.3

17.2

16.3

Sample Sector (3)


Full Sector (6)

Softlogic Equity Research

27,873
43,318

13.68

1.97

3.5

11.9

Page | 10

Name

Y/E

Rec

Mkt Price Book Val.

Share

Market

23-Aug-13

Cap.
('Mn)

Cap.
('Mn)

('Mn)

NAVPS

Earnings

P / BV

EPS

EPS Growth (%)

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E

Mar'15E

4Q

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E Mar'15E

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E

Dec'14E

Trailing

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E Trailing

4Q

PER

DPS

Mar'12

Mar'13 Mar'14E Mar'14E

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E Mar'15E

Dec'11

Dec'12 Dec'13E Dec'13E

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E Trailing

4Q

Mar'13
Dec'12

Trailing

ROE

DY (%)

(%)

Hotels and Travels


Ai tken Sp. Ho. Hol d.

AHUN.N0000 M

66.70

12,926

336.3

22,431

38.44

1.74

1,378

1,782

2,148

1,782

4.10

5.30

6.39

5.30

33

29

21

16.3

12.6

10.4

12.6

1.0

1.5

10.7

Ama ya Lei s ure

CONN.N0000 M

71.60

2,472

48.0

3,439

51.47

1.39

293

377

376

374

6.09

7.84

7.83

7.79

(38)

29

(0)

11.8

9.1

9.1

9.2

4.0

5.6

11.8

As i a n Hotel s & Prop.

AHPL.N0000

68.50

21,697

442.8

30,330

49.00

1.40

2,149

2,494

2,623

2,492

4.85

5.63

5.92

5.63

21

16

14.1

12.2

11.6

12.2

4.0

5.8

9.9

Keel l s Hotel s

KHL.N0000

11.70

16,294

1,456.1

17,037

11.19

1.05

1,105

1,121

1,496

1,121

0.76

0.77

1.03

0.77

111

33

15.4

15.2

11.4

15.2

0.0

0.0

6.8

Ta j

TAJ.N0000

26.50

2,330

139.6

3,700

16.69

1.59

125

246

293

224

0.89

1.76

2.10

1.61

26

97

19

29.7

15.0

12.6

16.5

0.0

0.0

5.4

Tra ns As i a

TRAN.N0000

82.40

6,054

200.0

16,480

30.27

2.72

625

1,066

1,180

1,066

3.12

5.33

5.90

5.33

(5)

71

11

26.4

15.5

14.0

15.5

3.0

3.6

10.3

61,773

2,622.9

93,417

23.55

1.51

5,674

7,086

8,116

6,059

2.16

2.70

3.09

2.31

24

25

15

16.5

13.2

11.5

15.4

Sample Sector (6)


Full Sector (36)

146,038

1.34

9.2

16.7

Land and Property


Col ombo La nd

CLND.N0000

40.30

3,712

199.9

8,055

18.57

2.17

10

335

-90

12

48

0.05

1.68

(0.45)

0.06

0.24

(98)

3,393

(127)

113

839.9

24.0

N/A

671.3

166.3

0.0

0.0

0.3

Overs ea s Rea l i ty

OSEA.N0000

17.60

22,437

843.5

14,845

26.60

0.66

2,681

2,469

1,924

2,158

2,991

3.18

2.93

2.28

2.56

3.55

218

(8)

(22)

12

5.5

6.0

7.7

6.9

5.0

0.3

1.7

11.9

26,149

1,043.4

22,901

25.06

0.88

2,691

2,804

1,834

2,170

3,040

2.58

2.69

1.76

2.08

2.91

102

(35)

18

8.5

8.2

12.5

10.6

7.5

1.1

10.3

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (18)

39,750

0.86

9.2

Manufacturing
ACL Ca bl es

ACL.N0000

65.30

5,718

59.9

3,911

95.47

0.68

485

532

543

8.10

8.88

9.06

127

10

Gra i n El eva tors

GRAN.N0000

38.40

2,684

60.0

2,304

44.74

0.86

388

135

87

93

150

6.46

2.24

1.45

1.55

2.49

(18)

(65)

(35)

Chevron Lubri ca nts

LLUB.N0000

Hold

300.00

4,536

120.0

36,000

37.80

7.94

2,001

2,288

2,526

2,621

2,396

16.67

19.06

21.05

21.84

19.97

33

14

La nka Wa l l ti l e

LWL.N0000

LTB

58.90

4,618

54.6

3,216

84.57

0.70

731

520

545

600

520

13.39

9.52

9.98

10.99

9.52

51

(29)

Pi ra ma l Gl a s s

GLAS.N0000

LTB

5.60

3,629

950.1

5,320

3.82

1.47

686

724

761

813

732

0.72

0.76

0.80

0.86

0.77

19

Roya l Cera mi c

RCL.N0000

LTB

88.10

8,401

110.8

9,761

75.83

1.16

1,243

1,670

1,844

2,190

1,752

11.22

15.07

16.64

19.77

15.81

Textured Jers ey

TJL.N0000

Buy

13.60

5,732

655.0

8,908

8.75

1.55

628

1,017

1,186

1,483

1,017

0.96

1.55

1.81

2.26

Tokyo Cement

TKYO.N0000

24.80

6,722

334.1

8,286

20.12

1.23

979

828

828

2.93

42,040

2,344.5

77,706

17.93

1.85

7,141

7,713

7,937

3.05

Sample Sector (8)


Full Sector (36)

106,414

8.1

7.4

7.2

1.0

1.5

8.5

5.9

17.1

26.5

24.8

15.4

0.1

0.4

14.4

10

18.0

15.7

14.3

13.7

15.0

11.0

3.7

44.1

10

4.4

6.2

5.9

5.4

6.2

3.0

5.1

15.8

7.8

7.3

7.0

6.5

7.3

0.4

6.8

18.9

(14)

34

10

19

7.9

5.8

5.3

4.5

5.6

2.0

2.3

14.8

1.55

(8)

62

17

25

14.2

8.8

7.5

6.0

8.8

1.2

9.1

11.0

2.48

2.48

14

(15)

8.5

10.0

10.0

1.0

4.0

14.6

3.29

3.39

15

10.9

10.1

9.8

4.2

17.0

1.42

8.6

Motors
Col oni a l Motors

95.10

3,813

15.2

1,446 250.88

0.38

453

120

Di es el & Motor Engi neeri ng DIMO.N0000 M

COLO.N0000

483.00

7,631

8.9

4,287 859.71

0.56

2,702

462

Uni ted Motors

108.00

7,371

67.3

7,265 109.57

0.99

2,281

2,013

2,011

18,815

91.3

12,998 205.98

0.69

5,436

2,595

2,496

22,193

0.99

UML.N0000

Sample Sector (3)


Full Sector (6)

29.80

7.91

1.47

95

(73)

3.2

12.0

64.8

3.0

3.2

11.9

462 304.36

22

52.06

52.05

27

(83)

1.6

9.3

9.3

10.0

2.1

35.4

33.91

29.92

29.90

153

(12)

3.2

3.6

3.6

10.0

9.3

31.0

59.51

28.41

27.32

67

(52)

2.4

5.0

5.2

6.2

28.9

6.6

Oil Palms
Buki t Da ra h

BUKI.N0000

683.80

Sample Sector (1)

31,845

102.0

69,748 312.21

2.19

7,299

5,042

4,405

71.56

49.43

43.19

43

(31)

9.6

13.8

15.8

3.0

0.4

22.9

31,845

102.0

69,748 312.21

2.19

7,299

5,042

4,405

71.56

49.43

43.19

43

(31)

9.6

13.8

15.8

3.0

0.4

22.9

Full Sector (5)

101,239

1.84

19.8

Plantations
Ba l a ngoda

BALA.N0000

28.20

2,638

23.6

667 111.60

0.25

25

118

62

1.08

5.01

2.64

(85)

366

26.2

5.6

10.7

1.0

Hora na

HOPL.N0000

22.30

1,489

25.0

558

59.57

0.37

87

220

201

3.49

8.82

8.04

(73)

152

6.4

2.5

2.8

2.0

Kega l l e

KGAL.N0000

96.10

3,349

25.0

2,403 133.97

0.72

769

544

542

30.77

21.74

21.70

(8)

(29)

3.1

4.4

4.4

12.0

12.5

23.0

Kel a ni Va l l ey

KVAL.N0000

82.00

2,515

34.0

2,788

73.98

1.11

460

584

650

13.54

17.19

19.12

44

27

6.1

4.8

4.3

6.0

7.3

18.3

Kota ga l a

KOTA.N0000

42.10

3,426

40.0

1,684

85.64

0.49

439

517

378

10.97

12.92

9.44

(34)

18

3.8

3.3

4.5

2.5

5.9

12.8

Wa ta wa l a

WATA.N0000 M

10.70

3,843

236.7

2,532

16.24

0.66

455

680

755

1.92

2.87

3.19

(29)

49

5.6

3.7

3.4

0.8

17,261

384.3

10,631

44.91

0.62

2,236

2,664

2,589

5.82

6.93

6.74

(24)

19

4.8

4.0

4.1

Sample Sector (6)


Full Sector (18)

22,768

0.65

1.0
5.9

11.8
13.0

4.0

Power and Energy


La nka IOC

LIOC.N0000

27.00

13,028

532.5

14,378

24.46

1.10

906

2,911

2,911

1.70

5.47

5.47

221

15.9

4.9

4.9

0.0

Va l l i bel

VPEL.N0000

6.10

1,823

747.1

4,557

2.44

2.50

249

289

301

0.33

0.39

0.40

(41)

16

18.3

15.8

15.1

0.3

4.1

13.6

La ugfs Ga s

LGL.N0000

27.20

6,488

387.0

10,526

16.76

1.62

822

1,061

1,021

2.13

2.74

2.64

(4)

29

12.8

9.9

10.3

1.5

5.5

12.7

21,339

1,666.6

29,462

12.80

1.38

1,977

4,261

4,234

1.19

2.56

2.54

(8)

116

14.9

6.9

7.0

Sample Sector (3)


Full Sector (8)

34,957

1.27

7.0

9.3

7.5

Telecommunications
Di a l og Axi a ta

DIAL.N0000

8.50

38,776

8,143.8

69,222

4.76

1.79

5,354

6,521

7,569

8,156

0.66

0.80

0.93

1.00

22

16

12.9

10.6

9.1

8.5

0.3

3.9

Sri La nka Tel ecom

SLTL.N0000

39.40

56,136

1,804.9

71,111

31.10

1.27

4,781

5,329

5,912

4,976

2.65

2.95

3.28

2.76

21

11

11

14.9

13.3

12.0

14.3

0.9

2.2

94,912

9,948.6

140,334

9.54

1.48

10,135

11,850

13,481

13,132

1.02

1.19

1.36

1.32

13

17

14

13.8

11.8

10.4

10.7

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (2)

144,850

1.53

13.8
8.5
10.7

11.0

Trading
Browns

BRWN.N0000 M

98.50

14,696

70.9

3.39

(79)

6.0

29.1

29.1

1.3

1.3

7.9

4,681

125.2

11,845

37.39

2.53

985

10.11

9.09

3.39
7.87

(47)

94.60

240
1,138

16.43

SINS.N0000

1,164
1,266

240

Si nger Sri La nka

90

(10)

9.4

10.4

12.0

6.0

6.3

27.1

19,378

196.1

18,826

98.82

0.97

2,431

1,378

1,225

12.40

7.03

6.25

(15)

(43)

7.7

13.7

15.4

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (8)
Sample Market (70)
Total Market (283)

Softlogic Equity Research

6,981 207.36

24,870
1,013,448 37,951.3 1,821,136
2,361,259

0.48

1.07
26.70

1.80
1.71

12.5

18.7
138,331 150,117 169,632 195,077 166,270

3.64

3.96

4.47

5.14

4.38

17

13

15

13.2

12.1

10.7

9.3

11.0

13.6

12.2

Page | 11

Softlogic Equity Research

Softlogic Equity Sales

Dimantha Mathew
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Dihan Dedigama
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No. 121, St. Joseph Street Negambo
krishan.williams@equity.softlogic.lk
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No.13, Rajapihilla Mawatha, Kurunegala
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+94 34 7451000, +94 77 3566465

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nd

No. 8A, 2 Floor, FN Building,


Station Road, Matara
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