Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 11

Market Outlook

September 6, 2013

Dealers Diary
Indian markets are expected to open in the positive territory tracking a positive
opening in SGX Nifty and most of the Asian markets.

Domestic Indices

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

BSE Sensex

2.2

412 18,980

The US markets closed moderately higher for the third consecutive session. The
strength came in on the heels of release of batch of largely upbeat US economic
data. The report from Institute for Supply Management said non-manufacturing
index climbed to 58.6 in August from 56.0 in July vis--vis expected reading of
55.0. Also, the Labor Department released a report showing that initial jobless
claims fell by more than expected in the week ended August 31st. The European
markets too finished in positive territory after the European Central Bank and the
Bank of England left their respective interest rates unchanged.

Nifty

2.7

145

5,593

MID CAP

1.7

90

5,420

METAL

1.2

93

8,117

Meanwhile, Indian shares soared on Thursday after Raghuram Rajan's big-bang


entry as India's new RBI chief strengthened the rupee, with the currency last trading
up 84 paise at `66.24 per dollar. RBI unveiled a slew of measures, including a shift
in focus to inflation control, market reforms, reduction of banks' requirement to
invest in government securities in a calibrated way, steps to internationalize the
rupee etc. to rescue the battered financial markets and bolster capital inflows.

OIL & GAS

2.0

166

8,388

(2.9)

(239)

7,857

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

Markets Today
The trend deciding level for the day is 18,981 / 5,590 levels. If NIFTY trades
above this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further
rally up to 19,116 19,252 / 5,628 5,664 levels. However, if NIFTY trades
below 18,981 / 5,590 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct
up to 18,845 18,711 / 5,555 5,517 levels.
Indices

SMALL CAP

1.5

79

5,310

BSE HC

(0.2)

(20)

9,050

BSE PSU

4.5

228

5,293

BANKEX

9.3

938 11,015

AUTO

0.9

88 10,419

BSE IT
Global Indices

Dow Jones

0.0

NASDAQ

0.3

10

3,659

FTSE

0.9

58

6,532

Nikkei

0.1

11 14,065

Hang Sang

1.2

272 22,598

Straits Times

0.8

24

3,039

(0.2)

(5)

2,122

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

(1.2)

(0.6)

$46.1

WIT

0.3

0.0

$9.4

IBN

13.0

3.5

$30.5

HDB

6.5

1.9

$30.5

Shanghai Com
Indian ADR

INFY

S2

S1

PIVOT

R1

R2

SENSEX

18,711

18,845

18,981

19,116

19,252

NIFTY

5,517

5,555

5,590

5,628

5,664

7 14,937

News Analysis

Advances / Declines

HCL Tech bags deal from North American firm Direct Energy
PNGRB slashes pipeline tariff for Gujarat Gas HAPI Pipeline by 32%

Net Inflows (September 04, 2013)


` cr

Purch

Sales

Net

MTD

YTD

FII

2,785

2,682

103

(122)

59,076

532

441

90

(250)

(13,247)

FII Derivatives (September 05, 2013)


` cr

Purch

Sales

Net

Open Interest

Index Futures

4,062

2,864

1,198

9,569

Stock Futures

3,179

2,784

395

27,442

Gainers / Losers
Company

Gainers
Price (`)
chg (%)

Company

Yes Bank

287

21.6

Pipavav Defence

Financial Tech

131

16.4

Axis Bank

927

Federal Bank
JPPOWER

www.angelbroking.com

NSE

1,486

922

Declines

850

394

Unchanged

138

84

Advances

Refer detailed news analysis on the following page

MFs

BSE

Losers
Price (`)
chg (%)
43

(4.9)

Sesa Goa

179

(4.3)

15.6

Dabur India

164

(3.5)

274

12.4

TCS

1,996

(3.4)

14

11.3

Infosys

3,003

(3.3)

Volumes (` cr)

BSE

2,062

NSE

14,291

Market Outlook
September 6, 2013

HCL Tech bags deal from North American firm Direct Energy
HCL Technologies (HCL Tech) has bagged a contract from Direct Energy, a North
American energy services firm, to implement and manage residential billing and
customer care operations. Under the agreement, HCL Tech will implement and
manage residential billing and customer care operations of Direct Energy in the
Alberta market. HCL Tech will also provide infrastructure hosting, application
management and business process services. This outcome-based deal includes
efficiencies gained through customer-focused self-service channels. This will
enhance delivery on current and future customer expectations, while providing new
capabilities to strengthen customer retention and acquisition. In addition,
optimization initiatives are expected to reduce overall operating costs for Direct
Energy. We maintain Accumulate rating on the stock with a target price of 1,070.

PNGRB slashes pipeline tariff for Gujarat Gas HAPI Pipeline by 32%
The Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board (PNGRB) has slashed the
pipeline tariff for Gujarat Gas Hazira-Ankleshwar Natural Gas Pipeline (HAPI) by
32%. The HAPI pipeline has a system capacity of 5.06mmscmd and the tariff has
been slashed from `7.2/mmbtu to `4.9/mmbtu. The HAPI pipeline does not have
a significant contribution to the total volumes transmitted by the company and
hence the impact is not more than 1to1.5% on the financials of the company and
therefore we maintain our Neutral view on the stock.

Economic and Political News

Expect Rajan to cut rates, boost growth and spur investments: CII
Monsoon rainfall 30% below average in past week
Emerging mkt output edges higher in Aug; India posts sharp fall

Corporate News

Force Motors to go ahead with `1,000cr planned investment


Govt move to force old gas price for KG-D6 gas illegal: RIL
NSEL e-series investors on tenterhooks as delivery eludes
Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
September 06, 2013
Global economic events release calendar
Date

Time

Country Event Description

Unit

Period

Bloomberg Data
Last Reported Estimated

September 6, 2013

2:00PM

UK

Industrial Production (YoY)

% Change

Jul

1.20

(1.70)

6:00PM

US

Change in Nonfarm payrolls

Thousands

Aug

162.00

180.00

6:00PM

US

Unnemployment rate

Aug

7.40

7.40

September 8, 2013

4:29PM

China

Exports YoY%

% Change

Aug

5.10

5.50

September 9, 2013

7:00AM

China

Consumer Price Index (YoY)

% Change

Aug

2.70

2.60

September 10, 2013

11:00AM

China

Industrial Production (YoY)

% Change

Aug

9.70

9.90

4:29PM

India

Imports YoY%

% Change

Aug

(6.20)

--

4:29PM

India

Exports YoY%

% Change

Aug

11.64

--

September 11, 2013

2:00PM

UK

Jobless claims change

% Change

Aug

(29.20)

--

September 12, 2013

5:30PM

India

Industrial Production YoY

% Change

Jul

(2.20)

--

September 13, 2013

6:00PM

US

Producer Price Index (mom)

% Change

Aug

--

0.10

September 16, 2013

12:00PM

India

Monthly Wholesale Prices YoY%

% Change

Aug

5.79

--

2:30PM

Euro Zone Euro-Zone CPI (YoY)

Aug F

1.30

--

6:45PM

US

Industrial Production

Aug

0.04

--

2:00PM

UK

CPI (YoY)

% Change

Aug

2.80

--

6:00PM

US

Consumer price index (mom)

% Change

Aug

0.20

--

6:00PM

US

Housing Starts

Thousands

Aug

896.00

--

6:00PM

US

Building permits

Thousands

Aug

954.00

--

11:30PM

US

FOMC rate decision

Sep 18

0.25

--

September 19, 2013

7:30PM

US

Existing home sales

Million

Aug

5.39

--

September 20, 2013

11:00AM

India

RBI Repo rate

Sep 20

7.25

--

11:00AM

India

RBI Cash Reserve ratio

Sep 20

4.00

--

11:00AM

India

RBI Reverse Repo rate

Sep 20

6.25

--

7:30PM

Euro Zone Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence

Value

Sep A

(15.60)

--

1:00PM

Germany PMI Services

Value

Sep A

52.80

--

1:00PM

Germany PMI Manufacturing

Value

Sep A

51.80

--

September 24, 2013

7:30PM

US

Consumer Confidence

S.A./ 1985=100

Sep

81.50

--

September 25, 2013

7:30PM

US

New home sales

Thousands

Aug

394.00

--

September 26, 2013

2:00PM

UK

GDP (YoY)

% Change

2Q F

1.50

--

6:00PM

US

GDP Qoq (Annualised)

% Change

2Q T

2.50

--

September 17, 2013


September 18, 2013

September 23, 2013

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

Market Outlook
September 06, 2013

Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends

Exhibit 2: IIP trends

(%)

(%)
10.0

11.4
9.2

6.0
4.0
2.0

(1.0) (0.6)

(0.7)

(4.0)

Mfg. PMI

60.0
8.1
7.2

7.3

Apr-13

Exhibit 4: Manufacturing and services PMI

(%)
7.3

(2.2)

Source: MOSPI, Angel Research

Exhibit 3: Monthly WPI inflation trends

8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0

May-13

(2.8)

Jun-13

(0.1)

Jul-12

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

1QFY13

4QFY12

3QFY12

2QFY12

1QFY12

4QFY11

3QFY11

2QFY11

1QFY11

4QFY10

Source: CSO, Angel Research

7.3

Services PMI

58.0

7.3
5.8

5.7
4.8

4.9

4.6

56.0
54.0
52.0
50.0

Source: MOSPI, Angel Research

Jul-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Oct-12

Nov-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion

Exhibit 5: Exports and imports growth trends


Exports yoy growth

(%)
15.0
12.0
9.0
6.0
3.0
0.0
(3.0)
(6.0)
(9.0)
(12.0)
(15.0)

46.0

May-12

Jul-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Sep-12

48.0

Oct-12

Exhibit 6: Key policy rates

Imports yoy growth

Repo rate

(%)
9.00

Reverse Repo rate

CRR

8.00
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

www.angelbroking.com

Source: RBI, Angel Research

Aug-13

Jul-13

Jun-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Jul-13

Jun-13

May-13

Apr-13

Mar-13

Feb-13

Jan-13

Dec-12

Nov-12

Oct-12

Sep-12

Aug-12

3.00
Aug-12

9.0

(2.0)

Mar-13

4.7 4.8 4.4

1.9
0.6

Jan-13

5.1 5.4 5.2

Dec-12

6.0

3.5

2.5

2.0

Nov-12

6.5

Feb-13

7.5

Oct-12

7.7

Sep-12

8.6

8.4

8.0

9.9

Aug-12

9.5

3QFY10

12.0
11.0
10.0
9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0

Market Outlook
September 06, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

Sales ( cr )
FY14E

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

Agri / Agri Chemical


Rallis

Neutral

151

2,927

1,674

1,923

13.7

13.7

6.8

7.6

22.1

19.8

4.2

3.7

20.0

19.6

1.9

1.7

United Phosphorus

Buy

135

225

5,984

10,091

11,302

16.5

16.5

19.2

22.5

7.0

6.0

1.1

1.0

17.0

17.2

0.8

0.6

Amara Raja Batteries

Accumulate

272

305

4,648

3,474

3,952

15.5

15.5

19.0

21.0

14.3

13.0

3.5

2.8

27.2

24.2

1.4

1.2

Apollo Tyres

Neutral

65

3,281

13,409

15,106

11.8

11.6

13.1

15.4

5.0

4.2

0.8

0.7

17.9

17.8

0.4

0.3

Ashok Leyland

Buy

13

18

3,448

12,945

15,049

6.3

8.2

0.2

1.5

74.5

8.6

1.1

1.1

1.1

9.1

0.4

0.3

Automotive Axle#

Neutral

198

299

700

890

8.7

10.7

11.1

25.8

17.8

7.7

1.1

1.0

6.2

13.9

0.5

0.4

Bajaj Auto

Accumulate

1,898

2,115

54,922

22,042

25,399

19.3

19.3

121.1

141.0

15.7

13.5

5.6

4.4

39.4

36.6

2.1

1.7

Bharat Forge

Neutral

246

5,728

5,942

6,417

15.2

15.5

15.6

19.7

15.7

12.5

2.3

2.0

15.4

17.3

1.2

1.0

Bosch India*

Accumulate

8,155

9,096

25,605

9,301

10,895

16.8

18.0

339.9

423.1

24.0

19.3

4.0

3.4

16.6

17.6

2.4

2.0

CEAT

Buy

104

170

375

5,159

5,628

9.3

9.0

43.5

48.6

2.4

2.2

0.4

0.4

18.4

17.5

0.2

0.2

Exide Industries

Buy

122

148

10,408

6,899

7,873

14.7

14.7

7.9

9.0

15.5

13.6

2.7

2.3

18.3

18.0

1.2

1.0

FAG Bearings*

Neutral

1,163

1,932

1,336

1,572

13.8

16.0

75.6

102.4

15.4

11.4

1.9

1.7

13.4

15.8

1.2

1.0

Hero Motocorp

Accumulate

1,944

2,073

38,815

25,543

28,228

14.5

14.5

110.5

148.1

17.6

13.1

6.7

5.3

40.8

44.9

1.3

1.2

JK Tyre

Buy

86

152

354

7,376

8,262

10.0

9.8

56.0

60.9

1.5

1.4

0.3

0.3

22.7

20.2

0.4

0.4

Mahindra and Mahindra Buy

777

1,011

47,836

42,318

48,067

12.0

12.2

58.5

67.1

13.3

11.6

2.7

2.3

21.6

21.1

0.9

0.7

Auto & Auto Ancillary

Maruti

Buy

1,299

1,571

39,234

45,877

52,733

11.2

11.2

93.0

104.7

14.0

12.4

1.9

1.6

14.2

14.0

0.7

0.6

Motherson Sumi

Buy

200

242

11,734

28,442

31,914

8.4

8.7

13.0

16.1

15.4

12.4

4.0

3.2

29.4

28.6

0.5

0.5

Subros

Buy

19

23

113

1,230

1,398

10.5

10.5

2.3

3.8

8.1

5.0

0.4

0.4

4.8

7.6

0.3

0.3

Tata Motors

Accumulate

317

355

85,308 215,043 240,077

13.5

13.7

35.1

39.4

9.0

8.0

2.1

1.7

26.2

23.3

0.5

0.4

TVS Motor

Buy

30

36

1,444

7,659

8,528

6.0

6.2

4.9

5.9

6.2

5.1

1.0

0.9

17.8

19.0

0.1

0.1

Capital Goods
ABB*

Reduce

470

442

9,963

8,037

9,087

5.8

6.9

12.2

17.0

38.5

27.7

3.7

3.6

9.8

13.1

1.2

1.0

BGR Energy

Neutral

105

754

3,541

4,041

11.8

10.7

21.1

22.9

5.0

4.6

0.6

0.5

21.8

19.5

0.5

0.4

BHEL

Neutral

137

33,581

42,227

38,453

16.0

14.4

18.8

15.0

7.3

9.2

1.5

1.4

21.7

15.4

0.6

0.8

Blue Star

Buy

133

208

1,198

2,941

3,099

3.4

4.2

6.0

9.3

22.3

14.3

2.8

2.4

12.9

18.0

0.5

0.5

Crompton Greaves

Buy

84

103

5,385

13,418

14,654

5.8

6.7

5.8

7.8

14.5

10.8

1.4

1.3

10.1

12.5

0.5

0.5

Jyoti Structures

Neutral

18

145

3,312

3,555

9.0

9.0

4.5

6.5

3.9

2.7

0.2

0.2

5.6

7.7

0.3

0.3

KEC International

Buy

24

36

625

7,709

8,399

6.2

6.9

5.1

8.1

4.8

3.0

0.5

0.4

16.6

21.5

0.3

0.2

Thermax

Neutral

535

6,374

5,832

6,397

9.1

9.6

28.8

32.9

18.6

16.3

3.0

2.7

17.2

17.3

1.0

0.9

Buy

940

1,225

17,656

11,581

13,009

17.6

19.3

63.9

81.5

14.7

11.5

2.2

2.0

15.6

18.2

1.2

1.0

Cement
ACC

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
September 06, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY14E

Sales ( cr )
FY15E

FY14E

OPM(%)
FY15E

FY14E

EPS ( )
FY15E

FY14E

PER(x)
FY15E

FY14E

P/BV(x)
FY15E

FY14E

RoE(%)
FY15E

FY14E

EV/Sales(x)
FY15E

Cement
Ambuja Cements

Neutral

170

26,305

9,975

11,409

22.4

23.1

9.4

11.1

18.2

15.3

2.8

2.5

15.7

17.2

2.1

1.8

India Cements

Neutral

49

1,519

4,796

5,357

16.4

16.1

7.3

9.5

6.8

5.2

0.4

0.4

6.4

8.0

0.7

0.6

J K Lakshmi Cement

Buy

58

79

688

2,235

2,684

19.4

21.4

15.0

18.4

3.9

3.2

0.5

0.4

13.2

14.3

0.4

0.9

Madras Cements

Neutral

157

3,747

4,010

4,524

23.5

23.4

14.9

18.3

10.6

8.6

1.4

1.2

14.0

15.2

1.6

1.3

Shree Cement^

Neutral

3,814

13,285

6,316

7,162

26.5

25.7

294.6

340.5

13.0

11.2

2.8

2.3

24.0

22.7

1.6

1.3

UltraTech Cement

Neutral

1,533

42,041

22,021

25,274

22.0

21.6

99.5

113.3

15.4

13.5

2.4

2.1

16.7

16.6

1.9

1.8

45

60

714

1,912

2,131

21.0

21.5

5.0

5.5

9.0

8.3

0.7

0.6

8.8

7.6

1.7

1.7

96

1,715

1,824

2.4

6.2

(2.9)

(0.4)

(1.8)

(14.4)

0.2

0.2

0.5

0.5

Construction
Ashoka Buildcon

Buy

Consolidated Co

Neutral

IRB Infra

Buy

64

106

2,139

3,805

4,248

45.1

45.3

15.0

15.8

4.3

4.1

0.6

0.5

14.5

13.9

2.8

3.0

ITNL

Buy

114

156

2,222

7,423

7,970

27.5

28.7

30.3

32.0

3.8

3.6

0.5

0.5

15.0

14.0

2.4

2.5

IVRCL Infra

Neutral

10

318

5,673

5,892

7.8

7.6

(1.7)

(2.0)

(6.3)

(5.3)

0.2

0.2

0.6

0.6

Jaiprakash Asso.

Accumulate

38

41

8,333

12,946

14,897

24.7

25.6

1.2

2.7

30.6

14.0

0.6

0.6

2.0

4.3

2.5

2.3

Larsen & Toubro

Buy

728

1,002

67,322

68,946

78,040

10.0

10.0

49.0

55.2

14.9

13.2

2.1

1.9

14.9

15.3

1.1

1.0

Nagarjuna Const.

Buy

18

30

467

6,167

6,945

8.0

8.2

2.7

3.6

6.8

5.0

0.2

0.2

2.7

3.6

0.4

0.4

Punj Lloyd

Neutral

22

741

12,726

14,226

8.2

8.2

0.9

1.0

26.0

21.8

0.3

0.3

1.0

1.2

0.6

0.6

Sadbhav Engg.

Buy

56

99

846

2,462

2,731

10.6

10.6

5.3

6.0

10.6

9.3

0.9

0.9

9.2

9.6

0.6

0.6

Simplex Infra

Buy

40

56

197

6,237

6,908

9.1

9.0

9.9

13.9

4.0

2.9

0.2

0.1

3.7

5.0

0.5

0.4

Unity Infra

Neutral

18

133

2,146

2,339

12.9

13.0

9.3

9.6

1.9

1.9

0.2

0.1

8.0

7.7

0.6

0.7

Allahabad Bank

Neutral

71

3,573

6,843

7,528

2.5

2.5

26.0

30.1

2.8

2.4

0.4

0.4

11.8

12.4

Andhra Bank

Neutral

51

2,879

4,868

5,390

2.4

2.5

12.3

16.6

4.2

3.1

0.4

0.4

7.9

10.0

Axis Bank

Neutral

927

43,503

19,280

22,886

3.3

3.3

130.7

157.1

7.1

5.9

1.2

1.0

17.3

18.1

Bank of Baroda

Neutral

503

21,174

15,896

17,947

2.2

2.3

95.4

124.4

5.3

4.0

0.6

0.6

12.0

14.2

Bank of India

Neutral

145

8,647

14,482

16,069

2.3

2.2

55.0

62.2

2.6

2.3

0.4

0.3

13.7

13.9

Bank of Maharashtra

Neutral

38

2,510

4,529

4,780

3.0

2.8

12.3

11.8

3.1

3.2

0.5

0.4

16.5

14.1

Canara Bank

Neutral

211

9,336

11,454

12,378

2.0

2.0

52.4

60.5

4.0

3.5

0.4

0.4

9.8

10.4

Central Bank

Neutral

53

5,515

8,196

9,202

2.4

2.4

6.1

15.9

8.7

3.3

0.6

0.5

5.2

12.8

Corporation Bank

Neutral

251

3,833

5,641

6,083

2.0

2.0

82.7

98.1

3.0

2.6

0.4

0.4

12.6

13.5

Dena Bank

Neutral

48

1,668

3,307

3,531

2.2

2.4

17.5

21.6

2.7

2.2

0.3

0.3

11.9

13.2

Federal Bank

Neutral

274

4,688

2,798

3,250

3.0

3.0

38.1

51.9

7.2

5.3

0.7

0.6

9.8

12.3

Financials

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
September 06, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

FY14E

FY15E

Financials
HDFC

Reduce

750

708

116,655

8,679

10,350

3.6

3.6

37.5

44.7

20.0

16.8

4.2

3.7

30.1

30.7

HDFC Bank

Accumulate

609

692

145,513

27,392

33,264

4.6

4.6

36.3

45.1

16.8

13.5

3.4

2.9

21.9

22.8

ICICI Bank

Accumulate

893

951

103,099

25,727

29,969

3.2

3.2

83.2

96.7

10.7

9.2

1.4

1.3

14.9

15.4

IDBI Bank

Neutral

57

7,583

9,518

10,468

2.0

2.0

15.5

22.1

3.7

2.6

0.4

0.3

10.2

13.3

Indian Bank

Neutral

65

2,787

5,940

6,396

2.7

2.7

24.9

32.9

2.6

2.0

0.3

0.3

10.3

12.4

IOB

Neutral

42

3,918

7,692

8,627

2.2

2.3

8.1

15.2

5.3

2.8

0.4

0.3

5.9

10.5

J & K Bank

Neutral

1,121

5,436

3,038

3,370

3.7

3.9

214.2

202.6

5.2

5.5

1.0

0.9

19.8

16.3

LIC Housing Finance

Neutral

167

8,433

2,001

2,495

2.2

2.3

23.8

28.8

7.0

5.8

1.2

1.0

17.3

18.2

Oriental Bank

Neutral

144

4,200

6,918

7,459

2.6

2.5

46.7

52.5

3.1

2.7

0.4

0.3

10.8

11.1

Punjab Natl.Bank

Neutral

443

15,654

20,766

23,515

3.4

3.4

135.0

164.8

3.3

2.7

0.5

0.4

14.4

15.7

South Ind.Bank

Neutral

20

2,695

1,800

2,023

2.7

2.7

3.7

4.2

5.4

4.8

0.9

0.8

16.2

16.2

St Bk of India

Neutral

1,636

111,925

65,392

74,467

3.0

3.0

178.5

226.1

9.2

7.2

1.2

1.0

12.1

14.0

Syndicate Bank

Neutral

70

4,211

6,740

7,512

2.5

2.5

21.0

23.5

3.3

3.0

0.4

0.4

12.6

12.8

UCO Bank

Neutral

54

4,064

6,770

7,017

2.8

2.6

14.8

15.5

3.6

3.5

0.6

0.5

14.4

13.5

Union Bank

Neutral

111

6,604

10,458

11,809

2.5

2.5

32.0

40.6

3.5

2.7

0.4

0.4

11.6

13.4

United Bank

Neutral

30

1,139

3,386

3,884

2.3

2.5

12.4

20.0

2.5

1.5

0.3

0.2

10.0

14.7

Vijaya Bank

Neutral

37

1,836

2,718

2,941

1.8

1.9

7.0

9.0

5.3

4.1

0.4

0.4

8.2

9.8

Yes Bank

Neutral

287

10,350

4,417

5,486

2.7

2.8

42.9

49.5

6.7

5.8

1.5

1.2

23.9

22.8

Asian Paints

Neutral

407

38,991

12,332

14,524

16.3

16.1

13.9

16.0

29.3

25.3

9.3

7.4

35.2

32.5

3.1

2.6

Britannia

Neutral

748

8,965

6,422

7,367

6.9

7.3

24.2

29.7

31.0

25.2

10.9

8.4

39.6

37.7

1.4

1.2

Colgate

Neutral

1,230

16,721

3,588

4,130

18.9

19.4

41.2

48.4

29.9

25.4

26.5

20.5

100.0

91.0

4.5

3.9

Dabur India

Neutral

164

28,596

7,183

8,297

16.8

16.9

5.4

6.3

30.7

26.1

10.8

8.6

39.2

36.7

4.0

3.4

GlaxoSmith Con*

Neutral

4,302

18,091

3,617

4,259

16.1

16.4

122.2

148.7

35.2

28.9

11.0

8.8

34.1

33.7

4.5

3.8

Godrej Consumer

Neutral

817

27,804

7,801

9,017

16.2

15.9

25.1

29.7

32.5

27.5

7.0

5.8

24.9

24.2

3.7

3.1

HUL

Neutral

627

135,667

28,415

31,962

13.6

14.1

16.7

18.2

37.6

34.5

36.1

26.2

112.2

88.1

4.6

4.1

ITC

Neutral

312

246,596

34,294

39,991

36.8

37.0

11.3

13.3

27.6

23.4

9.1

7.4

36.1

34.9

6.9

5.8

Marico

Neutral

206

13,290

5,104

5,876

15.1

15.2

7.2

8.6

28.8

24.0

5.6

4.6

21.1

20.9

2.7

2.3

Nestle*

Neutral

4,993

48,137

9,330

10,860

21.8

21.9

123.3

149.7

40.5

33.4

19.9

14.5

56.4

50.3

5.2

4.4

Tata Global

Neutral

147

9,103

8,070

8,958

9.8

9.9

7.6

8.5

19.5

17.3

2.3

2.2

9.3

9.7

1.1

1.0

FMCG

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
September 06, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY14E

Sales ( cr )
FY15E

FY14E

OPM(%)
FY15E

FY14E

EPS ( )
FY15E

FY14E

PER(x)
FY15E

FY14E

P/BV(x)
FY15E

FY14E

RoE(%)
FY15E

FY14E

EV/Sales(x)
FY15E

IT
HCL Tech^

Accumulate

1,017

1,070

70,888

32,266

35,103

23.5

22.6

69.7

74.0

14.6

13.7

3.9

3.2

26.5

23.0

2.0

1.7

Hexaware*

Accumulate

126

134

3,772

2,273

2,575

22.2

21.5

12.4

13.4

10.2

9.4

2.6

2.2

25.4

23.5

1.5

1.3

Infosys

Neutral

3,003

172,426

48,731

52,962

26.9

27.1

180.8

200.3

16.6

15.0

3.6

3.1

20.4

19.3

2.9

2.6

Infotech Enterprises

Neutral

189

2,110

2,128

2,341

17.2

17.6

21.3

23.2

8.9

8.2

1.4

1.2

14.9

14.0

0.7

0.5

KPIT Cummins

Buy

133

155

2,575

2,769

3,122

18.3

17.8

15.3

16.6

8.7

8.0

1.8

1.5

20.9

18.4

0.9

0.7

Mindtree

Neutral

1,043

4,335

2,871

3,110

20.4

20.7

102.6

111.2

10.2

9.4

2.4

2.0

24.8

20.3

1.2

1.0

Mphasis&

Accumulate

427

450

8,967

6,827

7,342

21.0

21.2

47.0

51.3

9.1

8.3

1.6

1.4

14.3

14.2

0.9

0.7

NIIT

Neutral

19

317

1,144

1,267

9.0

9.1

4.3

5.4

4.5

3.6

0.5

0.4

10.3

12.0

0.1

Persistent

Neutral

582

2,326

1,590

1,774

23.5

23.8

48.5

56.9

12.0

10.2

1.9

1.7

16.4

16.1

1.1

0.9

TCS

Neutral

1,996

390,740

80,353

91,576

30.0

30.0

91.0

103.2

22.0

19.4

7.1

5.7

31.5

29.2

4.6

4.0

Tech Mahindra

Accumulate

1,379

1,485

32,042

17,749

19,406

22.5

21.0

113.6

114.2

12.1

12.1

3.5

2.8

27.9

22.1

1.5

1.3

Wipro

Neutral

468

115,439

43,610

47,320

21.6

22.2

30.0

33.0

15.6

14.2

3.5

3.0

20.7

19.4

2.2

1.9

D B Corp

Accumulate

242

267

4,438

1,783

1,968

23.8

25.0

13.6

16.0

17.8

15.1

4.3

3.7

22.5

22.9

2.4

2.1

HT Media

Buy

89

112

2,083

2,205

2,380

14.1

14.4

7.6

8.4

11.7

10.5

1.3

1.2

10.7

10.7

0.6

0.5

Jagran Prakashan

Buy

83

104

2,738

1,683

1,845

19.7

20.8

5.9

6.9

14.0

12.0

2.6

2.4

19.4

21.2

1.7

1.5

PVR

Neutral

395

1,569

1,359

1,540

17.3

17.4

17.2

21.6

22.9

18.3

2.3

2.1

10.3

12.0

1.6

1.4

Sun TV Network

Neutral

402

15,848

2,287

2,551

69.7

70.5

20.0

23.3

20.1

17.3

5.0

4.4

26.4

27.3

6.6

5.8

Bhushan Steel

Reduce

459

419

10,400

12,640

15,667

28.5

31.5

25.9

38.6

17.8

11.9

1.1

1.0

6.1

8.5

2.6

2.1

Coal India

Neutral

283

179,037

68,303

69,884

32.5

30.3

27.5

25.0

10.3

11.3

3.9

2.8

40.2

33.1

1.8

1.7

Electrosteel Castings

Buy

11

15

362

1,976

2,017

11.8

12.7

0.1

1.2

173.6

9.2

0.1

0.1

1.9

0.6

0.1

GMDC

Buy

84

115

2,658

1,701

1,985

47.8

48.8

17.4

20.6

4.8

4.1

0.9

0.8

20.7

20.9

1.1

0.8

Hind. Zinc

Buy

124

143

52,352

12,389

13,093

48.5

51.7

15.2

17.0

8.1

7.3

1.4

1.2

18.5

18.0

2.0

1.6

Hindalco

Neutral

108

20,649

95,465 102,491

8.4

9.0

13.9

17.2

7.8

6.3

0.6

0.5

7.6

8.7

0.6

0.5

JSW Steel

Neutral

563

13,604

45,022

48,140

16.0

15.9

68.5

77.0

8.2

7.3

0.7

0.7

9.3

9.7

0.8

0.7

MOIL

Accumulate

211

223

3,548

956

982

42.3

44.3

25.3

26.2

8.4

8.1

1.2

1.1

14.6

13.7

1.0

1.1

Monnet Ispat

Accumulate

127

139

811

2,199

2,575

21.6

22.8

30.7

38.6

4.1

3.3

0.3

0.3

7.7

8.9

1.4

1.1

Nalco

Neutral

34

8,685

7,270

7,521

13.6

13.8

2.8

2.9

12.2

11.6

0.7

0.7

5.9

6.0

0.6

0.6

NMDC

Buy

122

142

48,191

10,718

11,514

66.6

64.5

15.5

16.1

7.9

7.6

1.6

1.4

21.2

20.0

2.4

2.2

SAIL

Neutral

48

19,824

44,060

54,227

9.2

10.9

5.3

6.8

9.1

7.1

0.5

0.5

5.2

6.5

0.7

0.6

Media

Metals & Mining

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
September 06, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY14E

Sales ( cr )
FY15E

FY14E

OPM(%)
FY15E

FY14E

EPS ( )
FY15E

FY14E

PER(x)
FY15E

FY14E

P/BV(x)
FY15E

FY14E

RoE(%)
FY15E

FY14E

EV/Sales(x)
FY15E

53,023

3,817

5,781

12.1

17.7

27.0

29.6

6.6

6.0

0.8

0.7

12.9

12.5

14.7

9.7

28,034 153,862 167,209

9.4

10.5

32.8

53.5

8.8

5.4

0.8

0.7

9.0

13.2

0.5

0.5

Metals & Mining


Sesa Goa*

Neutral

179

Tata Steel

Accumulate

289

317

Sarda

Accumulate

85

98

306

1,323

1,398

17.2

17.9

25.3

27.8

3.4

3.1

0.3

0.3

9.5

9.6

0.6

0.5

Prakash Industries
Godawari Power and
Ispat
Oil & Gas

Buy

30

37

405

2,486

2,637

15.2

15.0

13.7

14.2

2.2

2.1

0.2

0.2

9.1

8.7

0.4

0.3

Neutral

79

259

2,171

2,317

14.9

15.8

36.4

46.6

2.2

1.7

0.2

0.2

11.6

13.0

0.5

0.5

Cairn India

Accumulate

335

364

63,982

18,403

17,925

71.9

62.1

62.1

57.4

5.4

5.8

1.1

1.0

22.6

17.8

2.3

2.0

GAIL

Neutral

297

37,725

49,700

48,822

16.0

16.6

32.9

33.4

9.0

8.9

1.4

1.2

15.9

14.4

0.3

0.2

ONGC

Buy

270

350

230,827 164,816 196,050

33.7

36.6

30.0

38.7

9.0

7.0

1.4

1.2

16.0

18.5

1.1

0.8

Reliance Industries

Accumulate

861

953

278,255 417,018 442,434

8.4

8.4

70.3

75.2

12.3

11.5

1.3

1.1

12.0

11.6

0.7

0.6

Gujarat Gas*

Neutral

205

2,635

3,270

3,414

12.8

12.6

22.6

23.1

9.1

8.9

2.4

2.2

28.2

25.6

0.7

0.6

Indraprastha Gas

Neutral

259

3,623

3,656

4,456

21.5

18.6

25.7

26.8

10.1

9.7

2.1

1.8

22.1

19.6

1.0

0.8

Petronet LNG
Gujarat State Petronet
Ltd.
Pharmaceuticals

Accumulate

118

135

8,828

39,449

43,315

5.3

5.9

14.1

16.9

8.4

7.0

1.7

1.4

21.7

21.9

0.3

0.3

Buy

51

67

2,887

1,002

1,021

91.4

91.5

8.2

8.4

6.3

6.1

0.9

0.8

14.3

13.0

2.4

2.2

Alembic Pharma

Buy

137

165

2,576

1,736

2,008

17.1

18.9

10.5

13.8

13.0

9.9

4.0

3.0

34.4

34.7

1.6

1.3

Aurobindo Pharma

Buy

189

271

5,489

6,641

7,637

15.9

15.9

17.3

20.6

10.9

9.2

1.7

1.5

19.5

18.9

1.3

1.1

Aventis*

Neutral

2,403

5,534

1,682

1,917

15.6

15.6

91.9

101.7

26.2

23.6

3.7

3.7

15.6

17.1

2.8

2.3

Cadila Healthcare

Buy

644

894

13,187

7,123

8,367

15.5

15.7

37.3

44.7

17.3

14.4

3.6

3.0

22.9

22.9

2.2

1.8

Cipla

Accumulate

419

477

33,626

9,274

10,796

23.1

23.1

21.0

23.8

19.9

17.6

3.2

2.8

17.2

16.8

3.4

2.8

Dr Reddy's

Accumulate

2,293

2,535

38,984

13,377

15,350

20.4

20.1

112.1

126.6

20.5

18.1

4.4

3.6

23.5

21.8

3.0

2.6

Dishman Pharma

Buy

43

73

348

1,394

1,534

22.5

22.4

14.8

16.6

2.9

2.6

0.3

0.3

10.8

11.0

0.9

0.7

GSK Pharma*

Neutral

2,262

19,164

2,744

2,964

22.0

23.4

59.2

66.6

38.2

34.0

9.5

9.2

24.9

27.5

6.2

5.7

Indoco Remedies

Buy

62

78

573

747

906

15.3

15.3

5.9

7.6

10.5

8.2

1.3

1.1

12.5

14.4

1.0

0.8

Ipca labs

Neutral

706

8,907

3,296

4,087

20.5

21.7

36.8

48.3

19.2

14.6

4.6

3.6

26.5

27.3

2.8

2.3

Lupin

Accumulate

853

904

38,221

11,576

13,855

22.0

22.0

35.8

43.0

23.8

19.9

5.8

4.6

27.1

25.8

3.4

2.8

Ranbaxy*

Neutral

440

18,601

10,400

11,331

6.6

8.4

11.4

15.2

38.6

28.9

4.1

3.6

11.1

13.1

1.9

1.7

Sun Pharma

Neutral

518

107,283

13,509

15,846

41.0

41.0

16.5

19.9

31.4

26.0

6.3

5.2

22.0

22.0

7.4

6.2

Power
GIPCL

Accumulate

59

65

895

1,444

1,482

33.4

33.0

13.7

14.8

4.3

4.0

0.5

0.5

12.3

12.0

0.7

0.4

NTPC

Buy

130

163

107,480

75,046

81,780

23.5

23.9

12.7

13.6

10.3

9.6

1.2

1.1

12.2

12.0

2.1

2.1

Buy

138

179

24,526

8,293

9,622

36.5

36.1

5.7

6.7

24.1

20.4

0.9

0.8

3.7

4.1

5.1

4.2

Real Estate
DLF

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
September 06, 2013

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY14E

Sales ( cr )
FY15E

FY14E

OPM(%)
FY15E

FY14E

EPS ( )
FY15E

FY14E

PER(x)
FY15E

FY14E

P/BV(x)
FY15E

FY14E

RoE(%)
FY15E

FY14E

EV/Sales(x)
FY15E

Buy

399

483

1,630

888

1,002

27.0

29.9

33.9

42.1

11.8

9.5

1.2

1.1

9.9

11.2

2.4

2.2

Bharti Airtel

Buy

297

350

118,843

83,535

92,173

32.0

33.1

9.2

12.9

32.4

23.0

2.1

1.9

6.8

8.9

2.1

1.8

Idea Cellular

Neutral

154

51,011

26,717

29,443

30.6

29.8

5.5

6.7

28.3

22.9

3.1

2.8

11.1

12.0

2.3

2.0

Rcom

Neutral

136

28,060

22,050

23,647

30.6

30.8

3.2

5.2

42.6

26.1

0.8

0.8

1.9

3.1

2.9

2.6

Real Estate
MLIFE
Telecom

Others
Abbott India*

Buy

1,386

1,628

2,945

1,788

1,996

12.5

12.7

71.7

81.4

19.3

17.0

3.9

3.4

21.7

21.2

1.4

1.2

Bajaj Electricals

Buy

154

184

1,534

3,885

4,472

4.0

5.8

6.8

15.4

22.8

10.0

2.0

1.7

8.8

17.3

0.4

0.4

Cera Sanitaryware

Buy

503

613

637

631

797

14.5

13.7

42.6

51.1

11.8

9.8

2.8

2.2

26.5

25.3

1.0

0.8

Cravatex

Buy

266

307

69

248

284

6.5

7.3

27.2

38.2

9.8

7.0

1.5

1.3

15.7

18.5

0.4

0.4

Finolex Cables

Buy

52

68

793

2,563

2,899

9.8

9.8

10.1

11.3

5.2

4.6

0.7

0.6

14.3

13.8

0.2

0.2

Force Motors

Buy

285

349

371

2,304

2,649

3.1

3.6

28.0

43.7

10.2

6.5

0.3

0.3

3.1

4.7

0.1

0.1

Goodyear India*

Accumulate

305

345

703

1,458

1,542

8.3

9.0

32.3

37.0

9.4

8.2

1.7

1.5

19.5

19.3

0.3

0.2

Hitachi

Buy

102

153

278

1,080

1,199

8.9

9.1

18.3

19.1

5.6

5.4

1.0

0.8

19.2

17.0

0.4

0.3

Honeywell Automation* Neutral

2,433

2,152

1,842

2,131

7.7

7.8

111.1

130.9

21.9

18.6

2.8

2.4

13.3

13.9

1.1

0.9

IFB Agro

Buy

135

156

121

491

642

12.3

13.8

35.0

50.9

3.9

2.6

0.6

0.5

18.2

21.6

0.2

0.1

ITD Cementation

Buy

163

194

188

1,365

1,502

10.9

11.2

18.2

28.0

9.0

5.8

0.5

0.4

5.1

7.4

0.6

0.5

Jyothy Laboratories

Buy

147

199

2,443

1,244

1,523

14.1

14.2

5.9

10.0

24.9

14.8

3.0

2.6

12.7

18.8

2.3

1.8

MRF

Buy

13,127

16,218

5,567

11,799

12,587

14.1

13.5 1,792.0 1,802.0

7.3

7.3

1.5

1.3

23.5

19.2

0.6

0.5

Page Industries

Buy

3,995

4,669

4,456

1,059

1,296

19.5

19.8

125.0

155.6

32.0

25.7

15.8

11.6

56.3

52.2

4.3

3.5

Relaxo Footwears

Buy

720

981

864

1,196

1,401

11.9

12.6

55.6

75.4

13.0

9.5

3.1

2.4

27.1

28.1

0.9

0.7

Siyaram Silk Mills

Buy

192

228

180

1,158

1,322

10.6

11.0

60.5

75.9

3.2

2.5

0.5

0.4

16.8

18.1

0.4

0.3

Styrolution ABS India*

Buy

343

492

604

1,007

1,108

8.4

8.7

30.3

35.1

11.3

9.8

1.3

1.1

11.7

12.2

0.6

0.5

TAJ GVK

Buy

56

108

352

300

319

35.8

36.2

7.9

9.1

7.1

6.2

0.9

0.8

13.9

14.4

1.5

1.2

Tata Sponge Iron

Buy

264

371

407

814

849

17.0

17.6

64.6

69.2

4.1

3.8

0.6

0.5

14.5

13.8

0.1

(0.1)

TTK Healthcare

Buy

503

632

390

416

481

4.5

6.1

16.2

25.3

31.0

19.8

3.8

3.4

12.6

18.1

0.8

0.7

Tree House

Buy

237

297

852

153

194

53.0

52.8

12.4

15.6

19.1

15.2

2.3

2.0

11.8

13.1

5.8

4.4

TVS Srichakra

Buy

United Spirits

Neutral

Vesuvius India*

Buy

173

230

133

1,591

1,720

6.1

6.4

30.5

38.3

5.7

4.5

0.7

0.7

13.5

15.5

0.3

0.2

2,450

35,607

12,294

14,162

12.0

12.0

42.1

67.7

58.2

36.2

4.1

3.7

9.1

10.7

3.2

2.8

364

439

739

600

638

20.1

19.4

35.7

36.6

10.2

10.0

1.8

1.6

19.4

17.1

1.0

0.9

5.0

0.5

0.5

7.6

9.4

0.7

0.6

HSIL
Buy
81
117
538
2,042
2,363
14.6
14.8
12.3
16.5
6.6
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on September 05, 2013
*Note: Sesa Goa's numbers reflect the standalone Sesa Goa business only. We will revise our numbers once the consolidated entity Sesa- Sterlite is formed.

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
September 06, 2013

Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800

E-mail: research@angelbroking.com

Website: www.angelbroking.com

DISCLAIMER
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make
such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies
referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and
risks of such an investment.
Angel Broking Pvt. Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.
Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources
believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for
general guidance only. Angel Broking Pvt. Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any
loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Pvt.
Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any
representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking
Pvt. Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance,
or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.
Angel Broking Pvt. Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in
the past.
Neither Angel Broking Pvt. Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or
in connection with the use of this information.
Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the
latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Pvt. Limited and its affiliates may have
investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.

www.angelbroking.com

You might also like