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1 Israeli Strikes Answers: 170979330.doc DDI 2010
1 Israeli Strikes Answers: 170979330.doc DDI 2010
doc
DDI 2010
170979330.doc
DDI 2010
1 Notes
This should be pretty self explanatory, it lets you impact turn the bejesus out of the Israeli strikes DA, 99% of the time they will not be ready. All the authors seem to be Israeli neocons, so think of a Jewish Khalilzad and thats whos writing this stuff. Have fun!!
170979330.doc
DDI 2010
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Israeli Strikes Good-Iran Prolif Isreali strike on Iran forces the international community to stop Iranian prolif Ron Tira, reservist in the Israeli Air Forces Campaign Planning Department 7/10 (Strategic Assessment Vol. 13 No. 1 A Military
Attack on Iran? Considerations for Israeli Decision Making) http://kingsofwar.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/tira-iran.pdf Attacking Iranian nuclear installations would demonstrate to the international community and the United States that Israel is credible and determined in its claim that it cannot accept a nuclear Iran, and that Israel is willing to assume serious risks and pay a heavy price in order to prevent Irans nuclearization. Should Israel demonstrate that it indeed views a nuclear Iran as an existential threat, that this is not simply a hollow slogan, and that it is committed to preventing the nuclearization of Iran even at the cost of a massive avalanche of criticism, the international community will have to take this into account. Because of the prevailing understandable doubts regarding Israels credibility and determination on the matter, the attack would be a new factor that would have to be considered and might perhaps yield the desired international process. It is also possible that in order to demonstrate determination, decisiveness, and tenacity, it would be necessary for Israel to engage in more than just a handful of pinpoint attacks and undertake an ongoing campaign, despite international pressures to cease.
Initiating conflict forces the international community to halt Iranian prolif-empirically proven by the Irael- Egypt war Ron Tira, reservist in the Israeli Air Forces Campaign Planning Department 7/10 (Strategic Assessment Vol. 13 No. 1 A Military
Attack on Iran? Considerations for Israeli Decision Making) http://kingsofwar.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/tira-iran.pdf Creating desirable post-attack processes is not impossible and to an extent resembles the Egyptian attack on Israel in the 1973 Yom Kippur War. There too, the attack was not designed to attain Egypts strategic goal directly. Rather, its purpose was to create the conditions for the United States to push Israel into withdrawing from the Sinai, following Egypts demonstration to the United States that Israels continued presence in Sinai presented significant risks for the US, and the demonstration to the international community that the situation created in 1967 had left Egypt with no choice but to go to war. The Egyptian attack merely served as a catalyst and created the context for setting an international process in motion. If so, the question is whether the relevant staffs and headquarters in Israel know how to set in motion and steer international processes in this manner and how precisely to affect the political post-attack trends.
170979330.doc
DDI 2010
170979330.doc
DDI 2010
Hegemony solves global nuclear war Zalmay Khalilzad, 95 Rand Corporation. Losing the Moment? The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 18, No. 2, pg. 84,
Spring, Lexis
Under the third option, the United States would seek to retain global leadership and to preclude the rise of a global rival or a return to multipolarity for the indefinite future. On balance, this is the best long-term guiding principle and vision. Such a vision is desirable not as an end in itself, but because a world in which the United States exercises leadership would have tremendous advantages. First, the global environment would be more open and more receptive to American values -- democracy, free markets, and the rule of law. Second, such a world would have a better chance of dealing cooperatively with the world's major problems, such as nuclear proliferation, threats of regional hegemony by renegade states, and low-level conflicts . Finally, U.S. leadership would help preclude the rise of another hostile global rival, enabling the United States and the world to avoid another global cold or hot war and all the attendant dangers, including a global nuclear exchange.
170979330.doc
DDI 2010
170979330.doc
DDI 2010
170979330.doc
DDI 2010
170979330.doc
DDI 2010
Militarily, Teherans potential seems to be overrated. Iran, apparently, has an outdated military with limited operational capabilities and middling missile and naval capabilities. Its indirect capabilities have been demonstrated by its proxies in Iraq and Lebanon. An attack would, Tira argues, undermine Irans shield of deterrence and expose the limitations of its military response, probably. He discusses possible response scenarios in some detail.
170979330.doc
DDI 2010
Israel wont strike Iran, no US support and opposition by Netanyahu World Tribune, only solely international US newspaper, 7/9/10 Obama expects 'no surprises': Israel won't strike Iran without
U.S. permission http://www.worldtribune.com/worldtribune/WTARC/2010/ss_israel0634_07_09.asp The president, who has pursued a reconciliation policy with Teheran, said the strategic relationship between Israel and the United States would not allow for a unilateral Israeli strike, Middle East Newsline reported. "I think the relationship between Israel and the U.S. is sufficiently strong that neither of us try to surprise each other," Obama said. In 2010, the Obama administration, including Vice President Joseph Biden, warned Israel not to attack Iran. Netanyahu, who has urged the international community to intensify sanctions, has repeatedly assured that Israel was not planning an imminent strike on Iran. Since 2007, officials said, the United States has withheld military systems that could facilitate an Israeli air strike on Iran. The banned systems were said to have included air refueling, advanced reconnaissance and buster-bunker bombs, long requested by Israel.
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