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GE Energy Financial Services: Energy VC After The Reset June 25, 2009
GE Energy Financial Services: Energy VC After The Reset June 25, 2009
GE job title/2
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GE Energy… Creating the world’s largest
renewables business
Wind
• Leading N. American Solar
wind turbine supplier
• Residential, commercial
• 6x unit growth and utility applications
since ‘02
• Largest commercial
• 11,500+ 1.5MW solar project in Asia
installed globally
• Large utility projects in
Europe
Biogas • PrimeStar Solar thin film
technology investment
• Power range:
0.25 MW-4 MW • 10 manufacturing/assembly sites
• Fuel flexibility: Natural • 4,000 global employees
gas or a variety of renewable • Installed base: 14 GW
or alternative gases • Projects in 40+ countries
• $200M invested in supply chain
• 10,000 sub-supplier jobs created
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GE Company Proprietary
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Business Strategy Driving Innovation and Growth
of Profitable Environmental Solutions
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GE Energy Financial Services: Who We Are Today
Power & •Over 100 investments in power plants around the globe -- with capacity to
Renewables produce 26 GW, equivalent to the installed generating capacity of Thailand
•Own stake in Fotowatio, leading European solar developer, with >1,100 MW
•Major stakeholder in US wind projects
•Preferred interest in power developer in India (KSK) with portfolio of >875 MW
•Power transmission and distribution: own 3 transmission lines in Chile
Oil & Gas • Leading capital provider in upstream O&G: >$1.8B invested
• Equity and debt for deepwater drill ship, floating oil & gas production units
and other production infrastructure
• Water projects: 50% interest in GAMA for energy and water projects intitle/6
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• Expertise & Network Effect
2004 2005 2006
Venture Capital Government
Universities Industry
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GE Energy Financial Services – VC / Growth Portfolio*
June 2009
Composite
Wind Blades
Rooftop CPV
Wave Energy
Renewables Small Wind Wind Gearboxes
Turbines
Permanent Magnet
Back-Contact PV
Generators
Industrial Enzymes
Advanced Coatings
Oil & Gas
Enterprise Compliance
Software
Proof of Pilot
Early Sales Growth Stage
Concept Stage GE job title/8
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World Class Partner for Portfolio Companies
Collaboration Benefits How We Make It Happen
Commercial 1) Dedicated resources
• Access to GE companies, senior 2) Formal plans for each company
executives, partners and customers
• Advocacy in GE relationships 3) Equity incentive structures
• Credibility with customers, business 4) Internal operating rhythm
partners, governments, recruits 5) Specific events with GE leadership
Technical
Examples
• Programs with GE Global Research
Advanced
• Equipment supply & optimization Electron Beams Southwest Windpower
• IP licensing
Expertise / Advisory
• Board participation
• Supply chain
• Government affairs
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GE Global Research … GE’s innovation engine
• World-leading industrial R&D organization
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Energy VC Market Has Reset
VC/PE Activity Level Down Sharply Valuations in Wind and Solar
Transaction activity ($B) TEV / Trailing EBITDA Multiples
4.0
20% of
all VC
60x
Wind Supply
Wind Turbine Chain
Generators
40x
20x
Blended Median
Solar System &
0.6
Installations
0x
Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08
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A Look into the Crystal Ball
The Bull Case Reasons for Caution
• Strong long-term signals for new • Renewable economics more
technology: oil prices, carbon, BRICs challenged… Lower natural gas
prices, higher cost of capital
• Government support globally
• Difficult to raise project finance
• More realistic valuations
• Capex constraints… customers have
• Companies maturing... retiring risk, less money to spend
increasing commercial sales
• Unpredictability of policy moves and
• IPO market (slowly) returning timing
• Shakeout will thin the field... Fittest • Near-term exits difficult... IPO
will survive and grow stronger window shut, strategic M&A limited
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Markets and Economics are Real
Advanced Metering Behind the Meter Technologies
US Power Costs by Quintile (cents/kwh, 2006)
US Utilities Announcing Deployments
$0.20 Economic range for
35 emerging technologies
30 $0.10
25 $0.00
20%
40%
60%
Lowest
80%
Top
20-
40-
60-
20
20%
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European Power Costs by Country
10 (US cents per kwh, at 1 US$ = 0.77 Euros)
$0.40
5 Economic range for
$0.30 emerging technologies
0
1997/98
1999/00
2001/02
2003/04
2005/06
2007/08
$0.20
$0.10
Denmark
Sweden
Spain
Austria
Switzerland
Finland
Belgium
Netherlands
France
UK
Italy
Germany
and Advanced Metering
Residential Commercial
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Canada
Germany UK
USA
Poland
Malaysia
Russia
Mexico
Turkey
Thailand
Brazil
India China
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Transport Electrification… Can Technology and
Scale-up Deliver Performance at Cost?
Annual Net End-User Savings (ILLUSTRATIVE)
Key Assumptions: $7K extra per vehicle, 10% discount rate, 100K mile life, no residual
or tax credits, 4 miles per kwh
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Reasons for Caution Also Real
US Reserve Margin Outlook Dramatically Capital is Top Barrier to Achieving
Altered by Economic Slowdown Energy Efficiency in C&I Facilities
ERCOT Example
24%
Current View
16%
8%
June 2006 View
0%
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Concluding Remarks
• Energy represents one of great societal challenges
of our time
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Contact:
Kevin Skillern
Managing Director, Venture Capital
GE
Energy Financial Services
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