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BaltimoreOfficeSnapshot Q32013
BaltimoreOfficeSnapshot Q32013
Vacancy
16.89%
Net Absorption
343,922 SF
Deliveries
260,000 SF
Asking Rent
$22.58
Economic Indicators
Q3 13
Baltimore Employment Baltimore Unemployment U.S. Unemployment U.S. CCI 1.34M 7.5% 7.4% 80.83
Baltimore City continues to experience moderate improvement. The overall vacancy rate for the city is 18.84% after more than 100,000 square feet of positive absorption in the third
Q3 12
1.32M 7.0% 8.0% 65.00
quarter. The Class A market continues to tighten and now has a vacancy rate of 14.73% after more than 133,000 square feet of positive absorption in 2013. Sublet spaces that were never truly vacant have also drawn significant tenant demand and prevented absorption numbers for the market from being higher. Overall, the Baltimore City market continues to demonstrate a flight to quality trend as premier buildings continue to attract tenants. The Northern Baltimore-Washington (NBW) Corridor remains the most active office leasing market in the region. The NBW Corridor vacancy rate has decreased to 15.39% after 166,322 square feet of positive absorption in the third quarter and almost 400,000 square feet of positive absorption year-to-date. The BWI Airport submarket dominated activity with almost 185,000 square feet of positive absorption. Because of the consistent demand for office space over the past few years, the NBW Corridor is also able to support the most robust construction pipeline in the region. More than 800,000 square feet is currently under construction in the market, with very little space being constructed speculatively. The Suburban North market rebounded in the third quarter to post its first period of positive absorption in 2013. After more than 73,000 square feet of positive absorption, the Suburban North vacancy rate decreased to 13.63%, the lowest in the Baltimore Metropolitan region. Leasing activity was concentrated heavily in the North I-83 Corridor submarket where 76,878 square feet of total positive absorption in the third quarter reduced the Class A and Class B vacancy rates to 14.21% and 14.20%, respectively. Overall, the rest of the Suburban North market experienced limited changes in market activity.
Net Absorption
1,000
Square Feet ('000s)
Vacancy Rate
22%
20%
18%
Historical Average
Forecast
The availability of large blocks of Class A space in the Baltimore CBD and Suburban North markets could lead to several large new leases in the next 8-12 months.
16%
14% 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Rental rates should continue to rise if current levels of leasing activity throughout the market are consistent through the next several quarters. Overall job growth throughout the region will be needed to significantly increase current levels of demand for office space.
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(Class A)
Submarket
BWI Airport Baltimore City Greater Annapolis Area Harford County Howard County Suburban North Suburban West 159 153 92 35 316 223 146 11,003,610 20,006,366 3,812,709 2,060,507 17,354,165 13,337,747 7,750,296 30,562 335,728 47,162 36,330 179,301 39,151 22,576 1,674,702 3,431,419 585,561 702,857 2,434,163 1,779,241 1,422,080 15.50% 18.83% 16.60% 35.87% 15.06% 13.63% 18.64% 184,530 105,933 3,876 6,877 -22,084 73,162 -8,372 245,485 237,201 39,002 26,346 169,531 4,418 77,367 215,310 40,000 171,900 25,160 404,400 0 730,000 $25.37 $20.89 $25.59 $29.14 $23.22 $21.48 $19.88 $29.05 $26.65 $28.58 $29.14 $26.94 $23.86 $21.45
Total
Office asking rents converted to Full Service
690,810 12,030,023
Office Submarkets
Baltimore
Cecil Co. Harford Co.
83
Baltimore Co.
95
Frederick Co.
Carroll Co.
Suburban North
Harford County
Suburban West
795
695
Baltimore City
70
Howard Co.
Downtown
32 100
Howard County
270
Montgomery Co.
29
BWI Airport
95
Prince George's Co.
Anne Arundel Co.
97
495
50
Matthew J. Myers
Research Analyst 100 Light Street Suite 1400 Baltimore, Maryland 21202 Tel: 410.752.4285 Fax: 410.576.9031 Email: matthew.myers@cassidyturley.com
The information contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources considered to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy. Copyright 2013 Cassidy Turley. All rights reserved.
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