The document discusses analysts' views on the likelihood and costs of the Malaysian government nationalizing toll road operators. It provides the following key points:
1) Analysts say it would be too costly for the government to buy out toll operators like PLUS Expressways, which could cost up to RM30 billion, and the funds would be better spent revitalizing the economy.
2) Privately acquiring PLUS Expressways could cost RM15.7 billion, which analysts say the government would also be unlikely to afford given current economic conditions.
3) Nationalizing toll roads would significantly increase the government's budget deficit at a time when funds are already stretched addressing the economic crisis and other priorities.
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Original Title
thesun 2009-07-06 page14 too costly for govt to take over toll roads analysts
The document discusses analysts' views on the likelihood and costs of the Malaysian government nationalizing toll road operators. It provides the following key points:
1) Analysts say it would be too costly for the government to buy out toll operators like PLUS Expressways, which could cost up to RM30 billion, and the funds would be better spent revitalizing the economy.
2) Privately acquiring PLUS Expressways could cost RM15.7 billion, which analysts say the government would also be unlikely to afford given current economic conditions.
3) Nationalizing toll roads would significantly increase the government's budget deficit at a time when funds are already stretched addressing the economic crisis and other priorities.
The document discusses analysts' views on the likelihood and costs of the Malaysian government nationalizing toll road operators. It provides the following key points:
1) Analysts say it would be too costly for the government to buy out toll operators like PLUS Expressways, which could cost up to RM30 billion, and the funds would be better spent revitalizing the economy.
2) Privately acquiring PLUS Expressways could cost RM15.7 billion, which analysts say the government would also be unlikely to afford given current economic conditions.
3) Nationalizing toll roads would significantly increase the government's budget deficit at a time when funds are already stretched addressing the economic crisis and other priorities.
over toll roads: Analysts KUALA LUMPUR: The ernment was most unlikely tionalisation on the corporate government is unlikely to opt to invoke an expropriation bond market, analysts said for the nationalisation of the clause in the toll concession that nationalisation would country’s toll operators as the agreement to nationalise decrease the total outstanding cost would be too big for the PLUS Expressways as it could amount when toll operators government to bear amidst involve shelling out a total of retire their bonds. the current weak economic RM30 billion for the exercise. The opposite would hap- climate, analysts say. Another option is the pri- pen to Malaysian Government They say it would not be vatisation route – assuming Securities (MGS) should the feasible for the government to the target price is RM3.80 government fund its buyout of buy over toll operators per share and with PLUS toll operators through MGS. It is very as financial resources Expressways’ debt less cash, An analyst with a local costly ... and are needed more to- wards revitalising the the cost will work out to be RM15.7 billion. stockbroking firm who spoke on condition of anonymity the move will economy. However, DBS Vickers said if the government decides “It is very costly... Research said the privatisa- to nationalise toll highways, put a heavy and the move will tion of PLUS Expressways one big issue would be the strain on the put a heavy strain was also unlikely as it “will recovery of its investment. on the government’s likely anger East Malaysian “The government would government’s budget at a time where citizens who would not not only be saddled with the budget at a competition for funds is high due to the benefit from it, coupled with the fact that Barisan Nasional issue of toll rates but also how it will maintain the highways time where economic crisis,” said (BN) component parties there apart from recovering its competition Jupiter Securities head of research Pong Teng control 40% of the total BN coalition.” investments,” he said. In terms of financing, he for funds is Siew. It also said that the priva- said, the government was high due to “Nationalisation of toll operators would tisation of Lingkaran Trans Kota Holdings Bhd (Litrak) already overstretched in funding the nationalisation of the economic not just be costly but – the concession holder of the country’s water assets. more importantly Damansara-Puchong High- The nationalisation of toll crisis.” would not have any way (LDP) – by the govern- highways that would require – Pong Teng Siew significant impact on ment looked stronger as it massive funding would the economy, the busi- would cost approximately increase the government’s ness environment as RM1.3 billion to take the budget deficit and contrary well as the capital markets,” company private compared to to its intention to reduce the he told Bernama. PLUS Expressways’ RM15.7 deficit. Calls for the nationalisation billion. The analysts interviewed of toll highways came about Given that the focus was said the government may look early this year particularly of on the two stimulus packages, at other options like building the North South Expressway a bond issuance of RM15.7 new highways or alternative managed by PLUS Express- billion would not be easily routes as a near to medium ways Bhd. absorbed, said the Singapore- term solution to the problem DBS Vickers Research based research house. of road congestion and toll recently stated that the gov- As for the impact of na- hikes. – Bernama
market summary JULY 3, 2009
Share prices expected to trade INDICES
FBMEMAS CHANGE 7208.01 -13.86 rangebound this week COMPOSITE INDUSTRIAL 1072.69 2375.51 -6.02 -13.43 SHARE prices on Bursa Malaysia 100,” said the research house. CONSUMER PROD 321.72 -1.86 INDUSTRIAL PROD 82.94 -0.66 are likely to see a rangebound trade Among the biggest beneficiaries will CONSTRUCTION 202.23 -3.71 next week with investors continuing be Genting, YTL Power and Parkson TRADING/SERVICE 143.29 0.16 to be cautious amid bearish market Holdings, which are in both the FBM FINANCE 8542.12 -46.00 sentiments. KLCI and FBM 100. PROPERTIES 697.44 -1.29 The adoption of the FTSE Bursa The top six on the FBM KLCI will be PLANTATION 5375.84 -31.78 Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index Bumiputra-Commerce, Public Bank, MINING 273.57 0.00 FBMSHA 7429.92 -17.13 (FBM KLCI) effective today from the Kuala Sime Darby, Maybank, Tenaga and IOI FBM2BRD 4725.07 35.32 Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) is also Corporation, all of which will see their TECHNOLOGY 13.99 -0.17 expected to keep trade rangebound. weightage increase by two percentage FBM KLCI is made up of the 30 larg- points or more. TURNOVER VALUE est listed companies by market value, Meanwhile, a dealer said the KLCI 1.097bil RM983mil with at least a 15% free float. will likely move between 1,040 and Its constituents are prime market 1,090 this week. billion shares valued at RM5.389 movers and represent about 60-70% He said despite the announcement billion from 6.655 billion shares worth of the main board’s market capitalisa- of further liberalisation in the capital RM6.932 billion the week before. tion. market last Tuesday, it will take a while Volume on the Main Board declined OSK Research Sdn Bhd, in its for the market participants to react to 4.421 billion shares valued at research note said most fund manag- positively with the transition to the RM5.209 billion versus the previous ers prefer to benchmark their fund new index. Friday’s close of 5.757 billion shares against the FBM100 rather than the On Friday-to-Friday basis, the KLCI worth RM6.686 billion. new FBM KLCI as the former more eased 3.08 points to close at 1,072.69 The Second Board’s volume eased closely matched the old KLCI in terms compared with last week’s closing of to 304.794 million shares valued at of diversity. 1,075.77. RM115.711 million from 475.424 million Sixteen of the current 17 sectors are The Finance Index improved 18.95 shares valued at RM168.85 million the represented in the FBM100 except for points to 8,542.12, the Plantation Index week before. timber. declined 20.16 points to 5,375.84 while Turnover on the Mesdaq Market “Given that most institutional the Industrial Index gained 28.94 points dropped to 144.723 million units worth investors will be benchmarking to 2,375.51. RM24.697 million compared with against the FBM100, we see the KLCI The FMBEmas slipped 3.45 points 280.855 million shares worth RM49.336 component stocks feeling far less to 7,208.01, the FBM2BRD lost 73.73 million previously. impact come July 6. points to 4,725.07, the FBM30 gained Call warrants’ volume declined to “There should be less selling 81.76 points to 6,987.67 and the 69.152 million worth RM12.177 million pressure on the 70 KLCI stocks that did FBMMDQ dropped 140.66 points to from the previous week’s closing of not make it to the FBM KLCI as 45 of 3,976.31. 111.811 million valued at RM16.843 these companies will still be in the FBM Weekly turnover dropped to 4.996 million. -- Bernama