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UNIVERSITY OF PUERTO RICO

FALL SEMESTER, 2011 Campus: Mayag uez INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING First exam (Time allowed: TWO (2) hours)
NOTE: This is an INDIVIDUAL examination, no collaboration is allowed. Closed books and notes. The use of computers, PDAs, cell phones, or any other electronic device is not allowed, except for calculators. All answers will be graded rounded to the fourth decimal place. Show your work. Total points: 100.

1. In this exam, responses are evaluated to the that applies)

decimal place, rounded / trunccated (circle the one (5 points)

2. If the total sample space contains 50 equally likely elements, ll the boxes in the Venn Diagram with the COUNT of elements in the containing area where P (A) = 0.5, P (B ) = 0.1, P (A (B C )) = 0.4, P (A C ) = 0.1, P (A B ) = 0.02, P (A B C ) = 0.02, P ((A B ) ) = 0.5 and P ((A C ) (B C )) = .14 : (10 points)

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3. If the probabilitiy that an element fails is .01 and the proper operation of any element is independent of the operation of any other element, nd the probability that the sistem bellow works (10 points)

4. During a lab experiment the average number of radioactive particles passing through a counter in 1 millisecond is 4. if the number of particles passing through the counter follows a Poisson distribution: (a) What is the probability that 3 particles enter the counter in any two consecutive milliseconds? (5 points)

(b) What is the probability that at least 3 particles enter the counter in any two consecutive milliseconds? (5 points)

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5. For the following ordered data set of 100 elements: 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19, where x = 994 and x2 = 13, 110: (a) Calculate sample average (2 points)

(b) Calculate sample variance

(2 points)

(c) Calculate sample standard deviation

(2 points)

(d) Calculate median

(2 points)

(e) Calculate rst quartile

(2 points)

(f) Calculate third quartile

(2 points)

(g) Calculate inter-quartile range

(2 points)

(h) Calculate sample range

(2 points)

(i) Construct a box plot

(4 points)

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6. if X is a random variable with probability mass function f (x) as dened next: c x2 x = 1, 0, 1 f (x) = 0 other x (a) Find c such that f (x) becomes valid (3 points)

(b) Find E [X ]

(3 points)

(c) Find V [X ]

(3 points)

(d) Find the accumulative probability function

(3 points)

(e) Find P (x 0)

(3 points)

7. If the probability of success is 0.2 in an experiment where the trials are independent between each other, nd the probability: (a) that the rst trial is a success (5 points)

(b) that the last trial results in a success if 10 consecutive trials are performed

(5 points)

(c) that 8 failures are observed to get the second success

(5 points)

(d) that 8 consecutive failures are observed to get 2 successes

(5 points)

(e) that 2 successes are observed in 10 consecutive trials

(5 points)

(f) that at least 1 success is observed if we run the experiment for 100 trials

(5 points)

CONTINUED

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Formulae
Table 1: Discrete random variables Probability mass function X binomial p) n (n, x px (1 p)nx x = 0, 1, . . . , n f (x) = 0 other x X negativebinomial ( k, p ) x1 k p (1 p)xk x = k, k + 1, k + 2, . . . k1 f (x) = 0 other x X hypergeometric ( n, K, N ) k N k x nx max{0, n (N k )} x min{n, k } N f (x) = n 0 other x X poisson ( ) t x e (t) x = 0, 1, . . . x ! f (x) = 0 other x Expected value Variance

np

n p (1 p)

k p

k(1p) p2

nk N

N n N 1

k N (1

k N)