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A Bright Idea For GE
A Bright Idea For GE
Jack Welch is using the Net to cut costs. Perhaps his successor will be more ambitious.
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Internet. Immelt says, "Everything we've learned about the Internet says it plays to our strengths. It's transforming everything we do. And I think it's just the beginning." Of course, Welch has already spearheaded an e-business initiative. "This becomes the business," he told eCompany Now last year -- a few months before he declared that the Web would save GE $10 billion in sales and overhead costs (a large chunk of which could come simply from layoffs, perhaps as many as 80,000 jobs). Critics have charged Welch with overstating the massive productivity gains that e-business is supposed to provide GE, while having scant evidence of it in his company's current financial statements. Yet it is really too early to make any conclusive judgments. The $7 billion of e-business at GE is a seemingly huge number -- and it represents a massive increase over the $1 billion in online sales that GE booked in 1999 -- but at this point it's still too small a portion of the company's $130 billion in overall revenues to accurately gauge its impact on the bottom line.
But what has gone unremarked about Welch's e-business strategy is that when you get down to it, it is mainly just another way to drive costs out of the system by using the Internet to replace sales staff and back-office functions, as well as to automate transactions with customers and suppliers. That's a fine goal, but it represents only a portion of what the Internet can do for GE. Immelt's chance to really transform GE is to use the Internet to grow top-line revenues. One way he can do that is by encouraging GE's executives to use the Web to create new businesses that are information-intensive rather than capital-intensive. So far, most of the revenues GE has booked on the Web have come from existing customers. At GE Medical, for instance, Immelt's successor, Joe Hogan, figures that less than $150 million of last year's $1.5 billion in online sales came from new, incremental business. That could change, however, as he introduces more Web-based services. Already, GE Medical monitors 10,000 individual medical imaging machines electronically, often diagnosing problems before they become serious enough to shut down a piece of equipment, or downloading new software to upgrade the machines' capabilities. GE Medical can provide other information services as well. For instance, it can inform any individual hospital how its use of equipment compares with benchmarks set by the best hospitals in the world, or it can recommend how to run the machines more profitably. "As people use our equipment," explains Hogan, "we can feed information back to them." For example, a hospital could be running an MRI machine at full capacity, but an analysis by GE Medical might show that it is being used only for low-margin tests. Such Internet services are a negligible part of the business today, but are growing rapidly. Principally, this is because they augment the existing business rather than replace it. Prudential Securities analyst Nicholas Heymann thinks these sorts of new e-businesses are the next phase of GE's growth. "Pricing will be based on the productivity savings GE can supply its customers," he predicts. Even Welch, in that interview last year, agreed that one of the great potentials of the Internet is the "enormous ability to be much more intimate with your customers, and to help make them more competitive." Hints of what is possible are already evident throughout GE's various businesses. Using sophisticated software tools available via the Web, a power plant can now be designed in a matter of days instead of six months, resulting in time savings that yield additional revenues for GE Power Systems's utility customers. GE Appliances helps dishwasher and refrigerator salespeople create customized brochures on the fly from Web kiosks in their stores. Honeywell's avionics business, which GE will soon own, is developing "free-flight" navigation, surveillance, and communication systems for airplanes. If approved by the Federal Aviation Administration, these innovations could both allow more planes to fly simultaneously and improve safety, as well as result in more direct routes than the current centralized air traffic control system allows. Down the road, as GE monitors these planes and collects data on them for its customers, it might have the opportunity to stream air traffic and meteorological data directly to the airlines, helping them operate more efficiently. GE is also well-positioned to take advantage of its existing physical assets to offer new Webbased services. For instance, GE Appliances already has an infrastructure in place that is ideally suited to the Web. It owns a nationwide appliance delivery business aimed at homebuilders (a market that accounts for one-third of its revenues), complete with fleets of
trucks, installers, warehouses, and other assets. Now, thanks to the Web, it can extend this home delivery service to individual consumers who order GE appliances from select retailers' websites or in-store Web kiosks. This frees up floor space for the retailers and reduces the amount of inventory that they have to carry on their books. The store doesn't have to touch anything -- it just collects a bounty for each sale. For instance, Heymann estimates that 62 percent of Home Depot's sales of GE appliances are made this way. "This is why Wal-Mart is so eager to get into appliances," he adds. All of a sudden, white goods are a high-margin category for GE's retail store customers, which of course makes them even more eager to do business with GE. The more that GE can create new businesses that derive revenue from the Internet, the higher its overall profit margins will become. GE's operating margins on its manufacturing businesses are about 15 percent. When it is able to wrap services around its products, such as maintaining and repairing medical equipment or aircraft engines, its operating margins jump to around 25 or 30 percent. Now, it has the opportunity to earn 60 or 70 percent operating margins by streaming valuable intellectual content to its customers. Heymann speculates that by mid-decade GE's business mix could be 50 percent service, 20 percent intellectual content, and only 30 percent manufacturing. That is, if Immelt can pull it off. Not only does e-business represent an unprecedented transition for GE, but Immelt will be ascending the throne at a time when the economy may be slowing and GE is going to be digesting its biggest acquisition ever, Honeywell. (Not to mention that some of GE's airplane engines have developed the nasty habit of disintegrating in midflight. Or that the company will soon have to start footing the bill for an environmental cleanup of part of the Hudson River because it dumped PCBs there more than 30 years ago.) Fortunately for Immelt, Welch is sticking around a little bit longer -- until the end of 2001 -to oversee the integration of Honeywell. Immelt will have a lot to tend to in his first year on the job. But pushing GE into new, high-margin Internet businesses might ultimately be the most important thing he does.