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ECON1203-2292 Final Exam S212 PDF
ECON1203-2292 Final Exam S212 PDF
School of Economics
SEMESTER 2 2012
ECON1203 / ECON2292
Business and Economic Statistics
Final Examination
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
There are 3 questions; the first two are each worth 18 marks and the third is worth
24 marks
7.
Marks for parts of questions are shown. Questions must be answered in the Exam
booklet.
8.
9.
Statistical tables and formulae are provided at the end of the examination paper.
10. Answers must be written in blue or black ink. Pencils should only be used for
sketching or graphical work.
11. Show all working steps in your answers.
12. The paper may be retained by the candidate.
Income range
0 INCOME < 40000
40000 INCOME < 80000
80000 INCOME
Relative frequency
0.32
0.41
0.27
Never watch TV
0.04
0.13
0.04
(d) The market research firm actually interviewed 400 people for the purposes of
the survey. Convert the information in the joint probability table above into
observed frequencies and merge the categories Watch TV frequently and
Watch TV occasionally. Use a Chi-squared test for a contingency table to
assess if the level of income and whether or not people watch TV are
independent of one another. (6 marks)
(ii)
(iii)
(c) (i) Now suppose another airline flying from the airport to a different destination
has aircraft that can transport 160 passengers. It currently sells 200 tickets for
each flight as it, too, has observed from experience that 20% of tickets sold are
no shows. Use the normal approximation to the binomial to find the probability
that this airline will find that a specific flight is overbooked. Explain, without going
into statistical detail, whether you think that the airline is using a viable policy if its
information is reliable? (2 marks)
(ii) Explain briefly why the answers to (b)(ii) and (c)(i) are different from one
another. (1 mark)
(d) The airline of part (c) is concerned that, in recent times, demand patterns have
changed, so it conducts a survey of 100 separate flights and finds the average
load factor (proportion of occupied seats on each aircraft) is 85% with a standard
deviation of 10%. Use the information to set up a 99% confidence interval for the
population mean, , of the number of seats occupied on all flights, stating
carefully any assumptions you make. Comment on the results (3 marks)
(e) Test the hypothesis that the mean number of passengers that will show up for
flights is 160 against a one-sided alternative :
160 at a suitable
significance level. Also find the marginal significance level, or the prob-value, or
P-value for the test. (3 marks)
(a)
1,
(1)
(b)
are
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
Intercept
Revenue
0.495
25
t Stat
9.57
-4.75
P-value
A
0.000
(c)
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
Suppose that in 2011 the net revenue per deposit dollar was 4.85,
what does the model predict profits to be for that year? (1 mark)
(iv)
Regression Statistics
R Square
0.865
Adjusted R
Square
0.853
Standard
Error
0.053
Observations
25
Intercept
Revenue
Offices
Coefficient
1.565
0.237
-0.00025
Standard
Error
0.079
0.056
0.00003
t Stat
19.70
4.27
-7.77
P-value
0.000
0.000
0.000
(i)
Obtain a 95% confidence interval for the true slope coefficient on the
Revenue variable and explain what it means to say that the resultant
interval is a random interval. (3 marks)
(ii)
(iii)
Compare and contrast the results with those of the simple regression
model presented in Table 1. (2 marks)
(iv)
Suppose that, in 2011, the company had 9125 offices and agencies.
What is the predicted profit from the multiple regression model for
2011? (Refer (b)(iii) for further information needed.) (2 marks)
(v)
End of paper
USEFUL FORMULAE
Sample Mean:
1 n
X Xi
n i 1
Population Variance: 2
1 N
( X i ) 2
N i 1
Sample Variance:
s2
Population Mean:
1 n
( X i X )2
n 1 i 1
1 N
Xi
N i 1
P ( A B ) P ( A) P ( B ) P ( A B )
Standardizing transformations:
(X )
(X )
/ n
(X )
s/ n
n 1s 2
2
X t
s
,n 1
2
X z
X t
s
,n 1
2
p z
n
p q
X z
p p z
2 / 2,n 1
, known
p q
, where q 1 p
n
(n 1)s 2
12 / 2,n 1
(o i e i ) 2
,
ei
i 1
Independence Test:
unknown
( n 1)s 2
i 1 j 1
(o ij eij ) 2
eij
df = K-1
df = (K-1)(H-1)
s XY
s X sY
(X
( X
X )(Yi Y )
X )2
(Y
Y )2
s XY X i X Yi Y
; 0 Y 1 X
2
s 2X
Xi X
:
1
Forecast Intervals:
( X p X )2
1
n Xi X 2
Y p t , s e
Y p t , s e
2
se
( X p X )2
1
1
n Xi X 2
for Yp
where n 2 and
for E(YpXp)
ei
i 1
( n 2)
regression.
Distribution of 0 and 1 :
e2
0 N 0,
(
X
X
)
i
2
i
and
e2
1 N 1,
( X X )2
i
Table 1:
0
1
2
10
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
0.9025
0.8100
0.7225
0.6400
0.5625
0.4900
0.4225
0.3600
0.3025
0.2500
0.2025
0.1600
0.1225
0.0900
0.0625
0.0400
0.0225
0.0100
0.0025
0.0950
0.1800
0.2550
0.3200
0.3750
0.4200
0.4550
0.4800
0.4950
0.5000
0.4950
0.4800
0.4550
0.4200
0.3750
0.3200
0.2550
0.1800
0.0950
0.0025
0.0100
0.0225
0.0400
0.0625
0.0900
0.1225
0.1600
0.2025
0.2500
0.3025
0.3600
0.4225
0.4900
0.5625
0.6400
0.7225
0.8100
0.9025
0.8574
0.7290
0.6141
0.5120
0.4219
0.3430
0.2746
0.2160
0.1664
0.1250
0.0911
0.0640
0.0429
0.0270
0.0156
0.0080
0.0034
0.0010
0.0001
0.1354
0.2430
0.3251
0.3840
0.4219
0.4410
0.4436
0.4320
0.4084
0.3750
0.3341
0.2880
0.2389
0.1890
0.1406
0.0960
0.0574
0.0270
0.0071
0.0071
0.0270
0.0574
0.0960
0.1406
0.1890
0.2389
0.2880
0.3341
0.3750
0.4084
0.4320
0.4436
0.4410
0.4219
0.3840
0.3251
0.2430
0.1354
0.0001
0.0010
0.0034
0.0080
0.0156
0.0270
0.0429
0.0640
0.0911
0.1250
0.1664
0.2160
0.2746
0.3430
0.4219
0.5120
0.6141
0.7290
0.8574
0.8145
0.6561
0.5220
0.4096
0.3164
0.2401
0.1785
0.1296
0.0915
0.0625
0.0410
0.0256
0.0150
0.0081
0.0039
0.0016
0.0005
0.0001
0.0000
0.1715
0.2916
0.3685
0.4096
0.4219
0.4116
0.3845
0.3456
0.2995
0.2500
0.2005
0.1536
0.1115
0.0756
0.0469
0.0256
0.0115
0.0036
0.0005
0.0135
0.0486
0.0975
0.1536
0.2109
0.2646
0.3105
0.3456
0.3675
0.3750
0.3675
0.3456
0.3105
0.2646
0.2109
0.1536
0.0975
0.0486
0.0135
0.0005
0.0036
0.0115
0.0256
0.0469
0.0756
0.1115
0.1536
0.2005
0.2500
0.2995
0.3456
0.3845
0.4116
0.4219
0.4096
0.3685
0.2916
0.1715
0.0000
0.0001
0.0005
0.0016
0.0039
0.0081
0.0150
0.0256
0.0410
0.0625
0.0915
0.1296
0.1785
0.2401
0.3164
0.4096
0.5220
0.6561
0.8145
0.7738
0.5905
0.4437
0.3277
0.2373
0.1681
0.1160
0.0778
0.0503
0.0313
0.0185
0.0102
0.0053
0.0024
0.0010
0.0003
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.2036
0.3281
0.3915
0.4096
0.3955
0.3602
0.3124
0.2592
0.2059
0.1563
0.1128
0.0768
0.0488
0.0284
0.0146
0.0064
0.0022
0.0004
0.0000
0.0214
0.0729
0.1382
0.2048
0.2637
0.3087
0.3364
0.3456
0.3369
0.3125
0.2757
0.2304
0.1811
0.1323
0.0879
0.0512
0.0244
0.0081
0.0011
0.0011
0.0081
0.0244
0.0512
0.0879
0.1323
0.1811
0.2304
0.2757
0.3125
0.3369
0.3456
0.3364
0.3087
0.2637
0.2048
0.1382
0.0729
0.0214
0.0000
0.0005
0.0022
0.0064
0.0146
0.0284
0.0488
0.0768
0.1128
0.1563
0.2059
0.2592
0.3124
0.3602
0.3955
0.4096
0.3915
0.3281
0.2036
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0003
0.0010
0.0024
0.0053
0.0102
0.0185
0.0313
0.0503
0.0778
0.1160
0.1681
0.2373
0.3277
0.4437
0.5905
0.7738
0.7351
0.5314
0.3771
0.2621
0.1780
0.1176
0.0754
0.0467
0.0277
0.0156
0.0083
0.0041
0.0018
0.0007
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.2321
0.3543
0.3993
0.3932
0.3560
0.3025
0.2437
0.1866
0.1359
0.0938
0.0609
0.0369
0.0205
0.0102
0.0044
0.0015
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0305
0.0984
0.1762
0.2458
0.2966
0.3241
0.3280
0.3110
0.2780
0.2344
0.1861
0.1382
0.0951
0.0595
0.0330
0.0154
0.0055
0.0012
0.0001
0.0021
0.0146
0.0415
0.0819
0.1318
0.1852
0.2355
0.2765
0.3032
0.3125
0.3032
0.2765
0.2355
0.1852
0.1318
0.0819
0.0415
0.0146
0.0021
0.0001
0.0012
0.0055
0.0154
0.0330
0.0595
0.0951
0.1382
0.1861
0.2344
0.2780
0.3110
0.3280
0.3241
0.2966
0.2458
0.1762
0.0984
0.0305
0.0000
0.0001
0.0004
0.0015
0.0044
0.0102
0.0205
0.0369
0.0609
0.0937
0.1359
0.1866
0.2437
0.3025
0.3560
0.3932
0.3993
0.3543
0.2321
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0007
0.0018
0.0041
0.0083
0.0156
0.0277
0.0467
0.0754
0.1176
0.1780
0.2621
0.3771
0.5314
0.7351
0.6983
0.4783
0.3206
0.2097
0.1335
0.0824
0.0490
0.0280
0.0152
0.0078
0.0037
0.0016
0.0006
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.2573
0.3720
0.3960
0.3670
0.3115
0.2471
0.1848
0.1306
0.0872
0.0547
0.0320
0.0172
0.0084
0.0036
0.0013
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0406
0.1240
0.2097
0.2753
0.3115
0.3177
0.2985
0.2613
0.2140
0.1641
0.1172
0.0774
0.0466
0.0250
0.0115
0.0043
0.0012
0.0002
0.0000
0.0036
0.0230
0.0617
0.1147
0.1730
0.2269
0.2679
0.2903
0.2918
0.2734
0.2388
0.1935
0.1442
0.0972
0.0577
0.0287
0.0109
0.0026
0.0002
0.0002
0.0026
0.0109
0.0287
0.0577
0.0972
0.1442
0.1935
0.2388
0.2734
0.2918
0.2903
0.2679
0.2269
0.1730
0.1147
0.0617
0.0230
0.0036
0.0000
0.0002
0.0012
0.0043
0.0115
0.0250
0.0466
0.0774
0.1172
0.1641
0.2140
0.2613
0.2985
0.3177
0.3115
0.2753
0.2097
0.1240
0.0406
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0004
0.0013
0.0036
0.0084
0.0172
0.0320
0.0547
0.0872
0.1306
0.1848
0.2471
0.3115
0.3670
0.3960
0.3720
0.2573
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0006
0.0016
0.0037
0.0078
0.0152
0.0280
0.0490
0.0824
0.1335
0.2097
0.3206
0.4783
0.6983
0.6634
0.4305
0.2725
0.1678
0.1001
0.0576
0.0319
0.0168
0.0084
0.0039
0.0017
0.0007
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.2793
0.3826
0.3847
0.3355
0.2670
0.1977
0.1373
0.0896
0.0548
0.0313
0.0164
0.0079
0.0033
0.0012
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0515
0.1488
0.2376
0.2936
0.3115
0.2965
0.2587
0.2090
0.1569
0.1094
0.0703
0.0413
0.0217
0.0100
0.0038
0.0011
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0054
0.0331
0.0839
0.1468
0.2076
0.2541
0.2786
0.2787
0.2568
0.2188
0.1719
0.1239
0.0808
0.0467
0.0231
0.0092
0.0026
0.0004
0.0000
0.0004
0.0046
0.0185
0.0459
0.0865
0.1361
0.1875
0.2322
0.2627
0.2734
0.2627
0.2322
0.1875
0.1361
0.0865
0.0459
0.0185
0.0046
0.0004
0.0000
0.0004
0.0026
0.0092
0.0231
0.0467
0.0808
0.1239
0.1719
0.2188
0.2568
0.2787
0.2786
0.2541
0.2076
0.1468
0.0839
0.0331
0.0054
0.0000
0.0000
0.0002
0.0011
0.0038
0.0100
0.0217
0.0413
0.0703
0.1094
0.1569
0.2090
0.2587
0.2965
0.3115
0.2936
0.2376
0.1488
0.0515
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0004
0.0012
0.0033
0.0079
0.0164
0.0313
0.0548
0.0896
0.1373
0.1977
0.2670
0.3355
0.3847
0.3826
0.2793
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0007
0.0017
0.0039
0.0084
0.0168
0.0319
0.0576
0.1001
0.1678
0.2725
0.4305
0.6634
0.6302
0.3874
0.2316
0.1342
0.0751
0.0404
0.0207
0.0101
0.0046
0.0020
0.0008
0.0003
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.2985
0.3874
0.3679
0.3020
0.2253
0.1556
0.1004
0.0605
0.0339
0.0176
0.0083
0.0035
0.0013
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0629
0.1722
0.2597
0.3020
0.3003
0.2668
0.2162
0.1612
0.1110
0.0703
0.0407
0.0212
0.0098
0.0039
0.0012
0.0003
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0077
0.0446
0.1069
0.1762
0.2336
0.2668
0.2716
0.2508
0.2119
0.1641
0.1160
0.0743
0.0424
0.0210
0.0087
0.0028
0.0006
0.0001
0.0000
0.0006
0.0074
0.0283
0.0661
0.1168
0.1715
0.2194
0.2508
0.2600
0.2461
0.2128
0.1672
0.1181
0.0735
0.0389
0.0165
0.0050
0.0008
0.0000
0.0000
0.0008
0.0050
0.0165
0.0389
0.0735
0.1181
0.1672
0.2128
0.2461
0.2600
0.2508
0.2194
0.1715
0.1168
0.0661
0.0283
0.0074
0.0006
0.0000
0.0001
0.0006
0.0028
0.0087
0.0210
0.0424
0.0743
0.1160
0.1641
0.2119
0.2508
0.2716
0.2668
0.2336
0.1762
0.1069
0.0446
0.0077
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0003
0.0012
0.0039
0.0098
0.0212
0.0407
0.0703
0.1110
0.1612
0.2162
0.2668
0.3003
0.3020
0.2597
0.1722
0.0629
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0004
0.0013
0.0035
0.0083
0.0176
0.0339
0.0605
0.1004
0.1556
0.2253
0.3020
0.3679
0.3874
0.2985
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0003
0.0008
0.0020
0.0046
0.0101
0.0207
0.0404
0.0751
0.1342
0.2316
0.3874
0.6302
0.5987
0.3487
0.1969
0.1074
0.0563
0.0282
0.0135
0.0060
0.0025
0.0010
0.0003
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.3151
0.3874
0.3474
0.2684
0.1877
0.1211
0.0725
0.0403
0.0207
0.0098
0.0042
0.0016
0.0005
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0746
0.1937
0.2759
0.3020
0.2816
0.2335
0.1757
0.1209
0.0763
0.0439
0.0229
0.0106
0.0043
0.0014
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0105
0.0574
0.1298
0.2013
0.2503
0.2668
0.2522
0.2150
0.1665
0.1172
0.0746
0.0425
0.0212
0.0090
0.0031
0.0008
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0010
0.0112
0.0401
0.0881
0.1460
0.2001
0.2377
0.2508
0.2384
0.2051
0.1596
0.1115
0.0689
0.0368
0.0162
0.0055
0.0012
0.0001
0.0000
0.0001
0.0015
0.0085
0.0264
0.0584
0.1029
0.1536
0.2007
0.2340
0.2461
0.2340
0.2007
0.1536
0.1029
0.0584
0.0264
0.0085
0.0015
0.0001
0.0000
0.0001
0.0012
0.0055
0.0162
0.0368
0.0689
0.1115
0.1596
0.2051
0.2384
0.2508
0.2377
0.2001
0.1460
0.0881
0.0401
0.0112
0.0010
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0008
0.0031
0.0090
0.0212
0.0425
0.0746
0.1172
0.1665
0.2150
0.2522
0.2668
0.2503
0.2013
0.1298
0.0574
0.0105
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0004
0.0014
0.0043
0.0106
0.0229
0.0439
0.0763
0.1209
0.1757
0.2335
0.2816
0.3020
0.2759
0.1937
0.0746
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0005
0.0016
0.0042
0.0098
0.0207
0.0403
0.0725
0.1211
0.1877
0.2684
0.3474
0.3874
0.3151
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0003
0.0010
0.0025
0.0060
0.0135
0.0282
0.0563
0.1074
0.1969
0.3487
0.5987
Table 2:
k 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 0.70 0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95
0
1
10
0
1
2
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0.9025
0.8100
0.7225
0.6400
0.5625
0.4900
0.4225
0.3600
0.3025
0.2500
0.2025
0.1600
0.1225
0.0900
0.0625
0.0400
0.0225
0.0100
0.0025
0.9975
0.9900
0.9775
0.9600
0.9375
0.9100
0.8775
0.8400
0.7975
0.7500
0.6975
0.6400
0.5775
0.5100
0.4375
0.3600
0.2775
0.1900
0.0975
0.8574
0.7290
0.6141
0.5120
0.4219
0.3430
0.2746
0.2160
0.1664
0.1250
0.0911
0.0640
0.0429
0.0270
0.0156
0.0080
0.0034
0.0010
0.0001
0.9928
0.9720
0.9393
0.8960
0.8438
0.7840
0.7183
0.6480
0.5748
0.5000
0.4253
0.3520
0.2818
0.2160
0.1563
0.1040
0.0607
0.0280
0.0072
0.9999
0.9990
0.9966
0.9920
0.9844
0.9730
0.9571
0.9360
0.9089
0.8750
0.8336
0.7840
0.7254
0.6570
0.5781
0.4880
0.3859
0.2710
0.1426
0.8145
0.6561
0.5220
0.4096
0.3164
0.2401
0.1785
0.1296
0.0915
0.0625
0.0410
0.0256
0.0150
0.0081
0.0039
0.0016
0.0005
0.0001
0.0000
0.9860
0.9477
0.8905
0.8192
0.7383
0.6517
0.5630
0.4752
0.3910
0.3125
0.2415
0.1792
0.1265
0.0837
0.0508
0.0272
0.0120
0.0037
0.0005
0.9995
0.9963
0.9880
0.9728
0.9492
0.9163
0.8735
0.8208
0.7585
0.6875
0.6090
0.5248
0.4370
0.3483
0.2617
0.1808
0.1095
0.0523
0.0140
1.0000
0.9999
0.9995
0.9984
0.9961
0.9919
0.9850
0.9744
0.9590
0.9375
0.9085
0.8704
0.8215
0.7599
0.6836
0.5904
0.4780
0.3439
0.1855
0.7738
0.5905
0.4437
0.3277
0.2373
0.1681
0.1160
0.0778
0.0503
0.0313
0.0185
0.0102
0.0053
0.0024
0.0010
0.0003
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.9774
0.9185
0.8352
0.7373
0.6328
0.5282
0.4284
0.3370
0.2562
0.1875
0.1312
0.0870
0.0540
0.0308
0.0156
0.0067
0.0022
0.0005
0.0000
0.9988
0.9914
0.9734
0.9421
0.8965
0.8369
0.7648
0.6826
0.5931
0.5000
0.4069
0.3174
0.2352
0.1631
0.1035
0.0579
0.0266
0.0086
0.0012
1.0000
0.9995
0.9978
0.9933
0.9844
0.9692
0.9460
0.9130
0.8688
0.8125
0.7438
0.6630
0.5716
0.4718
0.3672
0.2627
0.1648
0.0815
0.0226
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9997
0.9990
0.9976
0.9947
0.9898
0.9815
0.9688
0.9497
0.9222
0.8840
0.8319
0.7627
0.6723
0.5563
0.4095
0.2262
0.7351
0.5314
0.3771
0.2621
0.1780
0.1176
0.0754
0.0467
0.0277
0.0156
0.0083
0.0041
0.0018
0.0007
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9672
0.8857
0.7765
0.6554
0.5339
0.4202
0.3191
0.2333
0.1636
0.1094
0.0692
0.0410
0.0223
0.0109
0.0046
0.0016
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.9978
0.9842
0.9527
0.9011
0.8306
0.7443
0.6471
0.5443
0.4415
0.3438
0.2553
0.1792
0.1174
0.0705
0.0376
0.0170
0.0059
0.0013
0.0001
0.9999
0.9987
0.9941
0.9830
0.9624
0.9295
0.8826
0.8208
0.7447
0.6563
0.5585
0.4557
0.3529
0.2557
0.1694
0.0989
0.0473
0.0158
0.0022
1.0000
0.9999
0.9996
0.9984
0.9954
0.9891
0.9777
0.9590
0.9308
0.8906
0.8364
0.7667
0.6809
0.5798
0.4661
0.3446
0.2235
0.1143
0.0328
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9998
0.9993
0.9982
0.9959
0.9917
0.9844
0.9723
0.9533
0.9246
0.8824
0.8220
0.7379
0.6229
0.4686
0.2649
0.6983
0.4783
0.3206
0.2097
0.1335
0.0824
0.0490
0.0280
0.0152
0.0078
0.0037
0.0016
0.0006
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9556
0.8503
0.7166
0.5767
0.4449
0.3294
0.2338
0.1586
0.1024
0.0625
0.0357
0.0188
0.0090
0.0038
0.0013
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.9962
0.9743
0.9262
0.8520
0.7564
0.6471
0.5323
0.4199
0.3164
0.2266
0.1529
0.0963
0.0556
0.0288
0.0129
0.0047
0.0012
0.0002
0.0000
0.9998
0.9973
0.9879
0.9667
0.9294
0.8740
0.8002
0.7102
0.6083
0.5000
0.3917
0.2898
0.1998
0.1260
0.0706
0.0333
0.0121
0.0027
0.0002
1.0000
0.9998
0.9988
0.9953
0.9871
0.9712
0.9444
0.9037
0.8471
0.7734
0.6836
0.5801
0.4677
0.3529
0.2436
0.1480
0.0738
0.0257
0.0038
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9996
0.9987
0.9962
0.9910
0.9812
0.9643
0.9375
0.8976
0.8414
0.7662
0.6706
0.5551
0.4233
0.2834
0.1497
0.0444
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9998
0.9994
0.9984
0.9963
0.9922
0.9848
0.9720
0.9510
0.9176
0.8665
0.7903
0.6794
0.5217
0.3017
0.6634
0.4305
0.2725
0.1678
0.1001
0.0576
0.0319
0.0168
0.0084
0.0039
0.0017
0.0007
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9428
0.8131
0.6572
0.5033
0.3671
0.2553
0.1691
0.1064
0.0632
0.0352
0.0181
0.0085
0.0036
0.0013
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9942
0.9619
0.8948
0.7969
0.6785
0.5518
0.4278
0.3154
0.2201
0.1445
0.0885
0.0498
0.0253
0.0113
0.0042
0.0012
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.9996
0.9950
0.9786
0.9437
0.8862
0.8059
0.7064
0.5941
0.4770
0.3633
0.2604
0.1737
0.1061
0.0580
0.0273
0.0104
0.0029
0.0004
0.0000
1.0000
0.9996
0.9971
0.9896
0.9727
0.9420
0.8939
0.8263
0.7396
0.6367
0.5230
0.4059
0.2936
0.1941
0.1138
0.0563
0.0214
0.0050
0.0004
1.0000
1.0000
0.9998
0.9988
0.9958
0.9887
0.9747
0.9502
0.9115
0.8555
0.7799
0.6846
0.5722
0.4482
0.3215
0.2031
0.1052
0.0381
0.0058
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9996
0.9987
0.9964
0.9915
0.9819
0.9648
0.9368
0.8936
0.8309
0.7447
0.6329
0.4967
0.3428
0.1869
0.0572
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9998
0.9993
0.9983
0.9961
0.9916
0.9832
0.9681
0.9424
0.8999
0.8322
0.7275
0.5695
0.3366
0.6302
0.3874
0.2316
0.1342
0.0751
0.0404
0.0207
0.0101
0.0046
0.0020
0.0008
0.0003
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9288
0.7748
0.5995
0.4362
0.3003
0.1960
0.1211
0.0705
0.0385
0.0195
0.0091
0.0038
0.0014
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9916
0.9470
0.8591
0.7382
0.6007
0.4628
0.3373
0.2318
0.1495
0.0898
0.0498
0.0250
0.0112
0.0043
0.0013
0.0003
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9994
0.9917
0.9661
0.9144
0.8343
0.7297
0.6089
0.4826
0.3614
0.2539
0.1658
0.0994
0.0536
0.0253
0.0100
0.0031
0.0006
0.0001
0.0000
1.0000
0.9991
0.9944
0.9804
0.9511
0.9012
0.8283
0.7334
0.6214
0.5000
0.3786
0.2666
0.1717
0.0988
0.0489
0.0196
0.0056
0.0009
0.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9994
0.9969
0.9900
0.9747
0.9464
0.9006
0.8342
0.7461
0.6386
0.5174
0.3911
0.2703
0.1657
0.0856
0.0339
0.0083
0.0006
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9997
0.9987
0.9957
0.9888
0.9750
0.9502
0.9102
0.8505
0.7682
0.6627
0.5372
0.3993
0.2618
0.1409
0.0530
0.0084
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9996
0.9986
0.9962
0.9909
0.9805
0.9615
0.9295
0.8789
0.8040
0.6997
0.5638
0.4005
0.2252
0.0712
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9997
0.9992
0.9980
0.9954
0.9899
0.9793
0.9596
0.9249
0.8658
0.7684
0.6126
0.3698
0.5987
0.3487
0.1969
0.1074
0.0563
0.0282
0.0135
0.0060
0.0025
0.0010
0.0003
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9139
0.7361
0.5443
0.3758
0.2440
0.1493
0.0860
0.0464
0.0233
0.0107
0.0045
0.0017
0.0005
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9885
0.9298
0.8202
0.6778
0.5256
0.3828
0.2616
0.1673
0.0996
0.0547
0.0274
0.0123
0.0048
0.0016
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.9990
0.9872
0.9500
0.8791
0.7759
0.6496
0.5138
0.3823
0.2660
0.1719
0.1020
0.0548
0.0260
0.0106
0.0035
0.0009
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.9999
0.9984
0.9901
0.9672
0.9219
0.8497
0.7515
0.6331
0.5044
0.3770
0.2616
0.1662
0.0949
0.0473
0.0197
0.0064
0.0014
0.0001
0.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9986
0.9936
0.9803
0.9527
0.9051
0.8338
0.7384
0.6230
0.4956
0.3669
0.2485
0.1503
0.0781
0.0328
0.0099
0.0016
0.0001
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9991
0.9965
0.9894
0.9740
0.9452
0.8980
0.8281
0.7340
0.6177
0.4862
0.3504
0.2241
0.1209
0.0500
0.0128
0.0010
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9996
0.9984
0.9952
0.9877
0.9726
0.9453
0.9004
0.8327
0.7384
0.6172
0.4744
0.3222
0.1798
0.0702
0.0115
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9995
0.9983
0.9955
0.9893
0.9767
0.9536
0.9140
0.8507
0.7560
0.6242
0.4557
0.2639
0.0861
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
1.0000
0.9999
0.9997
0.9990
0.9975
0.9940
0.9865
0.9718
0.9437
0.8926
0.8031
0.6513
0.4013
10
z
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9
0.0000
0.0040
0.0080
0.0120
0.0160
0.0199
0.0239
0.0279
0.0319
0.0359
0.0398
0.0438
0.0478
0.0517
0.0557
0.0596
0.0636
0.0675
0.0714
0.0753
0.0793
0.0832
0.0871
0.0910
0.0948
0.0987
0.1026
0.1064
0.1103
0.1141
0.1179
0.1217
0.1255
0.1293
0.1331
0.1368
0.1406
0.1443
0.1480
0.1517
0.1554
0.1591
0.1628
0.1664
0.1700
0.1736
0.1772
0.1808
0.1844
0.1879
0.1915
0.1950
0.1985
0.2019
0.2054
0.2088
0.2123
0.2157
0.2190
0.2224
0.2257
0.2291
0.2324
0.2357
0.2389
0.2422
0.2454
0.2486
0.2517
0.2549
0.2580
0.2611
0.2642
0.2673
0.2704
0.2734
0.2764
0.2794
0.2823
0.2852
0.2881
0.2910
0.2939
0.2967
0.2995
0.3023
0.3051
0.3078
0.3106
0.3133
0.3159
0.3186
0.3212
0.3238
0.3264
0.3289
0.3315
0.3340
0.3365
0.3389
0.3413
0.3438
0.3461
0.3485
0.3508
0.3531
0.3554
0.3577
0.3599
0.3621
0.3643
0.3665
0.3686
0.3708
0.3729
0.3749
0.3770
0.3790
0.3810
0.3830
0.3849
0.3869
0.3888
0.3907
0.3925
0.3944
0.3962
0.3980
0.3997
0.4015
0.4032
0.4049
0.4066
0.4082
0.4099
0.4115
0.4131
0.4147
0.4162
0.4177
0.4192
0.4207
0.4222
0.4236
0.4251
0.4265
0.4279
0.4292
0.4306
0.4319
0.4332
0.4345
0.4357
0.4370
0.4382
0.4394
0.4406
0.4418
0.4429
0.4441
0.4452
0.4463
0.4474
0.4484
0.4495
0.4505
0.4515
0.4525
0.4535
0.4545
0.4554
0.4564
0.4573
0.4582
0.4591
0.4599
0.4608
0.4616
0.4625
0.4633
0.4641
0.4649
0.4656
0.4664
0.4671
0.4678
0.4686
0.4693
0.4699
0.4706
0.4713
0.4719
0.4726
0.4732
0.4738
0.4744
0.4750
0.4756
0.4761
0.4767
0.4772
0.4778
0.4783
0.4788
0.4793
0.4798
0.4803
0.4808
0.4812
0.4817
0.4821
0.4826
0.4830
0.4834
0.4838
0.4842
0.4846
0.4850
0.4854
0.4857
0.4861
0.4864
0.4868
0.4871
0.4875
0.4878
0.4881
0.4884
0.4887
0.4890
0.4893
0.4896
0.4898
0.4901
0.4904
0.4906
0.4909
0.4911
0.4913
0.4916
0.4918
0.4920
0.4922
0.4925
0.4927
0.4929
0.4931
0.4932
0.4934
0.4936
0.4938
0.4940
0.4941
0.4943
0.4945
0.4946
0.4948
0.4949
0.4951
0.4952
0.4953
0.4955
0.4956
0.4957
0.4959
0.4960
0.4961
0.4962
0.4963
0.4964
0.4965
0.4966
0.4967
0.4968
0.4969
0.4970
0.4971
0.4972
0.4973
0.4974
0.4974
0.4975
0.4976
0.4977
0.4977
0.4978
0.4979
0.4979
0.4980
0.4981
0.4981
0.4982
0.4982
0.4983
0.4984
0.4984
0.4985
0.4985
0.4986
0.4986
0.4987
0.4987
0.4987
0.4988
0.4988
0.4989
0.4989
0.4989
0.4990
0.4990
0.4990
0.4991
0.4991
0.4991
0.4992
0.4992
0.4992
0.4992
0.4993
0.4993
0.4993
0.4993
0.4994
0.4994
0.4994
0.4994
0.4994
0.4995
0.4995
0.4995
0.4995
0.4995
0.4995
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4996
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4997
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4998
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.4999
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.100
0.050
0.025
0.010
0.005
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
40
60
120
3.078
6.314
12.706
31.821
63.657
1.886
2.920
4.303
6.965
9.925
1.638
2.353
3.182
4.541
5.841
1.533
2.132
2.776
3.747
4.604
1.476
2.015
2.571
3.365
4.032
1.440
1.943
2.447
3.143
3.707
1.415
1.895
2.365
2.998
3.499
1.397
1.860
2.306
2.896
3.355
1.383
1.833
2.262
2.821
3.250
1.372
1.812
2.228
2.764
3.169
1.363
1.796
2.201
2.718
3.106
1.356
1.782
2.179
2.681
3.055
1.350
1.771
2.160
2.650
3.012
1.345
1.761
2.145
2.624
2.977
1.341
1.753
2.131
2.602
2.947
1.337
1.746
2.120
2.583
2.921
1.333
1.740
2.110
2.567
2.898
1.330
1.734
2.101
2.552
2.878
1.328
1.729
2.093
2.539
2.861
1.325
1.725
2.086
2.528
2.845
1.323
1.721
2.080
2.518
2.831
1.321
1.717
2.074
2.508
2.819
1.319
1.714
2.069
2.500
2.807
1.318
1.711
2.064
2.492
2.797
1.316
1.708
2.060
2.485
2.787
1.315
1.706
2.056
2.479
2.779
1.314
1.703
2.052
2.473
2.771
1.313
1.701
2.048
2.467
2.763
1.311
1.699
2.045
2.462
2.756
1.310
1.697
2.042
2.457
2.750
1.303
1.684
2.021
2.423
2.704
1.296
1.671
2.000
2.390
2.660
1.289
1.658
1.980
2.358
2.617
1.282
1.645
1.960
2.326
2.576
12
Chi2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0.995
0.99
0.975
0.95
0.9
0.1
0.05
0.025
0.01
0.005
3.93E-05
0.0002
0.0010
0.0039
0.0158
2.7055
3.8415
5.0239
6.6349
7.8794
0.0100
0.0201
0.0506
0.1026
0.2107
4.6052
5.9915
7.3778
9.2103
10.5966
0.0717
0.1148
0.2158
0.3518
0.5844
6.2514
7.8147
9.3484
11.3449
12.8382
0.2070
0.2971
0.4844
0.7107
1.0636
7.7794
9.4877
11.1433
13.2767
14.8603
0.4117
0.5543
0.8312
1.1455
1.6103
9.2364
11.0705
12.8325
15.0863
16.7496
0.6757
0.8721
1.2373
1.6354
2.2041
10.6446
12.5916
14.4494
16.8119
18.5476
0.9893
1.2390
1.6899
2.1673
2.8331
12.0170
14.0671
16.0128
18.4753
20.2777
1.3444
1.6465
2.1797
2.7326
3.4895
13.3616
15.5073
17.5345
20.0902
21.9550
1.7349
2.0879
2.7004
3.3251
4.1682
14.6837
16.9190
19.0228
21.6660
23.5894
2.1559
2.5582
3.2470
3.9403
4.8652
15.9872
18.3070
20.4832
23.2093
25.1882
2.6032
3.0535
3.8157
4.5748
5.5778
17.2750
19.6751
21.9200
24.7250
26.7568
3.0738
3.5706
4.4038
5.2260
6.3038
18.5493
21.0261
23.3367
26.2170
28.2995
3.5650
4.1069
5.0088
5.8919
7.0415
19.8119
22.3620
24.7356
27.6882
29.8195
4.0747
4.6604
5.6287
6.5706
7.7895
21.0641
23.6848
26.1189
29.1412
31.3193
4.6009
5.2293
6.2621
7.2609
8.5468
22.3071
24.9958
27.4884
30.5779
32.8013
5.1422
5.8122
6.9077
7.9616
9.3122
23.5418
26.2962
28.8454
31.9999
34.2672
5.6972
6.4078
7.5642
8.6718
10.0852
24.7690
27.5871
30.1910
33.4087
35.7185
6.2648
7.0149
8.2307
9.3905
10.8649
25.9894
28.8693
31.5264
34.8053
37.1565
6.8440
7.6327
8.9065
10.1170
11.6509
27.2036
30.1435
32.8523
36.1909
38.5823
7.4338
8.2604
9.5908
10.8508
12.4426
28.4120
31.4104
34.1696
37.5662
39.9968
8.0337
8.8972
10.2829
11.5913
13.2396
29.6151
32.6706
35.4789
38.9322
41.4011
8.6427
9.5425
10.9823
12.3380
14.0415
30.8133
33.9244
36.7807
40.2894
42.7957
9.2604
10.1957
11.6886
13.0905
14.8480
32.0069
35.1725
38.0756
41.6384
44.1813
9.8862
10.8564
12.4012
13.8484
15.6587
33.1962
36.4150
39.3641
42.9798
45.5585
10.5197
11.5240
13.1197
14.6114
16.4734
34.3816
37.6525
40.6465
44.3141
46.9279
11.1602
12.1981
13.8439
15.3792
17.2919
35.5632
38.8851
41.9232
45.6417
48.2899
11.8076
12.8785
14.5734
16.1514
18.1139
36.7412
40.1133
43.1945
46.9629
49.6449
12.4613
13.5647
15.3079
16.9279
18.9392
37.9159
41.3371
44.4608
48.2782
50.9934
13.1211
14.2565
16.0471
17.7084
19.7677
39.0875
42.5570
45.7223
49.5879
52.3356
13.7867
14.9535
16.7908
18.4927
20.5992
40.2560
43.7730
46.9792
50.8922
53.6720
20.7065
22.1643
24.4330
26.5093
29.0505
51.8051
55.7585
59.3417
63.6907
66.7660
27.9907
29.7067
32.3574
34.7643
37.6886
63.1671
67.5048
71.4202
76.1539
79.4900
35.5345
37.4849
40.4817
43.1880
46.4589
74.3970
79.0819
83.2977
88.3794
91.9517
43.2752
45.4417
48.7576
51.7393
55.3289
85.5270
90.5312
95.0232
100.4252
104.2149
51.1719
53.5401
57.1532
60.3915
64.2778
96.5782
101.8795
106.6286
112.3288
116.3211
59.1963
61.7541
65.6466
69.1260
73.2911
107.5650
113.1453
118.1359
124.1163
128.2989
67.3276
70.0649
74.2219
77.9295
82.3581
118.4980
124.3421
129.5612
135.8067
140.1695
13