Professional Documents
Culture Documents
A Brief of Indian Election
A Brief of Indian Election
2004 16 April, 22/23 April, 30 April, 7 May and 13 May 2009 2014 members
All 543 seats in the Lok Sabha 272 seats were needed for a majority First party Second party Third party
Leader Party Alliance Leadersince Leader'sseat Lastelection Seatswon Seatchange Popularvote Percentage Swing
Manmohan Singh Congress UPA 22 May 2004 Assam (Rajya Sabha) 218 seats, 35.4% 262 80 153,482,356 37.22% 3.96%
Lal Krishna Advani BJP NDA 1 June 2004 Gandhinagar 181 seats, 33.3% 159 17 102,689,312 24.63% 4.88%
Prakash Karat CPI(M) TF 11 April 2005 None 59 seats, 7.7% (w/ Left Front) 79 30 88,174,229 21.15% 1.06%
Republic of India
India held general elections to the 15th Lok Sabha in five phases between 16 April 2009 and 13 May 2009. With an electorate of 714 million (larger than the electorate of the European Union and United States combined[1]), it was the largest democratic election in the world to date. By constitutional requirement, elections to the Lok Sabha (lower house of the parliament of India) must be held every five years, or whenever Parliament is dissolved by the President of India. The previous election to the 14th Lok Sabha was conducted in May 2004 and its term would have naturally expired on 1 June 2009. Elections are organized by the Election Commission of India (ECI) and are normally held in multiple phases to better handle the large electoral base and its security concerns. The 2009 elections were held in five phases. In February 2009, Rs.1,120 Crores ($200.5 million) was budgeted for election expenses by the Indian Parliament. The average election turnout over all 5 phases was around 59.7%. The results of the election were announced within three days of phase five, on 16 May 2009, following the first past the post system. The United Progressive Alliance (UPA) led by the Indian National Congress formed the government after obtaining the majority of seats based on strong results in Andhra Pradesh, Kerala, Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal. Manmohan Singh became the first prime minister since Jawaharlal Nehru in 1962 to be re-elected after completing a full five-year term. The UPA was able to put together a comfortable majority with support from 322 members out of 543 members of the House. Though this is less than the 335 members who supported the UPA in the last parliament, UPA alone had a plurality of over 260 seats as opposed to 218 seats in the 14th Lok Sabha. Hence the government appears to be more stable than the previous one. External support came from the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP), Samajwadi Party (SP), Janata Dal (Secular) (JD(S)), Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) and other minor parties.
Indian general election, 2009 On 22 May 2009, Manmohan Singh was sworn in as the Prime Minister at the Ashoka Hall of Rashtrapati Bhavan. As per convention, on 18 May, he had already submitted his resignation as the Prime Minister to President Pratibha Patil with a recommendation to dissolve the Council of Ministers.
Background
The election, while following the normal five-year cycle, came after a break in the old UPA alliance after the Left Front withdrew support of the Indo-US nuclear deal forcing a vote of confidence (which the government won).
Electoral issues
Delimitation
The 2009 elections adopted re-drawn electoral constituencies based on the census [2], following the 2002 Delimitation Commission of India, whose recommendations were approved in February 2008. In the 2009 general elections, 499 out of the total 543 Parliamentary constituencies were newly delimited constituencies. This affected the National Capital Region of Delhi, the Union Territory of Puducherry and all the states except Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Jammu & Kashmir, Jharkhand, Manipur and Nagaland. While comparing election results, it must be borne in mind that in many instances a constituency with the same name may reflect a significantly different population demographic as well as a slightly altered geographical region.
Polling stations
There were 828,804 polling stations around the country - a 20% increase over the number from the 2004 election. This was done mainly to avoid vulnerability to threat and intimidation, to overcome geographical barriers and to reduce the distance travelled by voters. The CEC announced that the polling station in Banej village in the Una segment of Junagadh, Gujarat had the unique claim to being the only polling station in the country that catered to a single elector Guru Shree Bharatdasji Bapu, a priest of a Shiva temple in the middle of the Gir Forest.
Electoral rolls
The electoral rolls had to be completely updated because of the delimitation that took effect from February 2008. The process of updating the electoral rolls continued until the last date of filing nominations. 714 million people were eligible to vote in 2009, up 6.4% (43 million) from 2004. This election also saw the entire country except the states of Assam, Nagaland and Jammu & Kashmir use photo electoral rolls. This meant that the photo of each elector was printed on the electoral rolls and this was intended to facilitate easy identification and prevent impersonations. In addition to the photo electoral rolls, the electors also needed to provide separate photo identification. Those electors who had already been issued Electoral Photo Identification Cards (EPIC) were only permitted to use the EPIC for identification at the polling station. According to the EC, 82% of the country's electors (except those in Assam) have been issued EPIC before the 2009 election was announced.
Polling schedule
Background
The Chief Election Commissioner of India (CEC), N. Gopalaswami, had stated on 28 December 2008, that the elections were likely to be held between April and May 2009. He attributed this schedule to the examination period from February to March, making polling places unavailable. On 31 January 2009, fractures within the Election Commission came to the fore when Gopalaswami recommended to President Pratibha Patil that Election Commissioner Navin Chawla be sacked for behaving in a partisan manner. This recommendation in itself was controversial, as it was unclear if a CEC had the legal and constitutional right to provide such a unilateral recommendation. Chawla refused to resign as he was expected to take over the post of Chief Election Commissioner a few months later. This controversy also resulted in speculation that the Election Commission was unable to agree on the actual polling dates, with the incumbent CEC Gopalaswami preferring that at least one phase of elections be held before his retirement on 20 April 2009. Navin Chawla, on the other hand, wanted the election to only start after Gopalaswami retired. Eventually, on 1 March 2009, President Patil rejected Gopalaswami's recommendation to remove Chawla after the Government advised her to do so. Soon after the above announcement by President Patil, the Election Commissioners got together to announce the details of the general election. The polling schedule for the 2009 General Elections was announced by the Chief Election Commissioner on 2 March 2009. Subsequently, the President's House announced on 4 March 2009 that CEC Gopalaswami would retire as scheduled on 20 April 2009 and Navin Chawla would take over as CEC starting 21 April 2009. It was the first time in the history of Indian politics that two different people oversaw different phases of the same election.
Polling schedule Polling schedule for each State/UT in 2009 General Elections
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Phase 5 Avg Turnout
States/UTs Andaman & Nicobar Islands Andhra Pradesh Arunachal Pradesh Assam Bihar Chandigarh Chhattisgarh Dadra & Nagar Haveli Daman & Diu Delhi Goa
16 Turnout 22/23 Turnout 30 Turnout 7 Turnout 13 Turnout Constituencies Phases April April April May May 1 1 1 64.15% 64.15%
42 2 14 40 1 11 1
2 1 2 4 1 1 1
22 2 3 13
20
75.50% -
11 100% 1 73.22% 3
37.00% 1
65.51% -
11 13
70.06% 45.83% -
11
58.19% -
1 7 2
1 1 1
55.42%
71.85% 7
51.79% -
5
1 1 1 5 2 2 1 1 2 3 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 5 1 3 124 59.07% 17 13 States/UTs 16 13 1 2 1 1 10 20 1 1 6 49.68% 51.16% 73.33% 86.10% 55.74% 83.70% 64.40% 50.93% 90.21% 64.90% 45.37% 141 56.66% 11 Constituencies 164 163 90 40 86 543 2 17 11 13 25 1 1 8 17 44.73% 48.86% 60.00% 51.39% 49.18% 75.50% 62.00% 83.91% 45.48% 14 107 52.12% 8 15 1 16 10 11 1 26 47.92% 26.43% 58.48% 51.22% 41.24% 82.00% 46.12% 80.71% 17 85 52.32% 9 18 4 25 1 10 67.67% 25.38% 72.78% 48.50% 48.00% 82.60% 14 5 11 86 65.74% 56.97% 39 1 9 4 2 58.35% 45.63% 79.70% 68.13% 72.46% 47.55% 53.67% 76.30% 47.92% 67.67% 58.35% 39.66% 49.77% 59.44% 73.33% 86.10% 51.30% 49.17% 79.80% 64.40% 50.93% 90.21% 63.35% 79.70% 69.58% 48.50% 82.00% 72.46% 83.91% 46.45% 53.67% 78.93%
Gujarat Haryana Himachal Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Jharkhand Karnataka Kerala Lakshadweep Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Manipur Meghalaya Mizoram Nagaland Orissa Puducherry Punjab Rajasthan Sikkim Tamil Nadu Tripura Uttar Pradesh Uttarakhand West Bengal Total constituencies
26 10 4 6 14 28 20 1 29 48 2 2 1 1 21 1 13 25 1 39 2 80 5 42 543
Number of states and UTs polling in single phase Number of states and UTs polling in two phases Number of states and UTs polling in three phases Number of states and UTs polling in four phases Number of states and UTs polling in five phases Total
22 8 2 1 2 35
Coalitions
The 2009 general election saw three main national pre-poll alliances. Given the volatile nature of coalition politics in India, many parties changed alliances before, during and after the elections. The two larger coalitions, UPA and NDA, had clearly indicated their prime ministerial candidates during campaigning for the election. The Third Front announced repeatedly through the campaigning period that their prime ministerial candidate would only be decided after the election results came out. In Indian parliamentary system, the announcement of Prime Ministerial candidates prior to elections is not required.
Third Front
Seats: The newly formed alliance carried with them 109 seats before the 2009 election. The Left Front led the formation of the Third Front for the 2009 election. This front was basically a collection of regional political parties who were neither in UPA nor in the NDA. Most of the constituents of this Third Front were those who were part of the United Progressive Alliance (UPA).
Fourth Front
Seats: The newly formed alliance carried with them 64 seats before the 2009 election. The Samajwadi Party, Rashtriya Janata Dal and the Lok Janshakti Party failed to reach seat sharing agreements with the Congress and decided to form a new front, hoping to be kingmakers after the election. Despite announcing this front, the constituent parties continued to declare their support for the UPA.
Campaign
United Progressive Alliance
The Congress party bought the rights for the Oscar winning soundtrack "Jai Ho" from the movie Slumdog Millionaire, which was used as the official campaign tune by the party. The song title "Jai Ho" translates to 'Let there be victory', and the Congress hoped that the popular song would galvanise the masses during the almost one month long election season.[3] On 24 March 2009, Congress President Sonia Gandhi released the party's manifesto for the 2009 election. The manifesto highlighted all the achievements of the UPA Government over the last five years in power and identified improving various policies to favour more rural & under-privileged sections of the Indian society. The Congress campaign ran into trouble when the Election Commission took exception to a full page advertisement on the 2010 Commonwealth Games taken out in major Delhi newspapers. The EC served notice to the Ministry of Youth Affairs and Sports, the Cabinet Secretary and the Chief Secretary of Delhi, stating that the advertisement was a clear violation of the model code of conduct since it enumerated the achievements of the UPA Government. The EC has also asked the violators to pay from their own pockets.[4][5]
Indian general election, 2009 BJP to drop him from their list of candidates. The BJP however came out in support of Varun and refused to drop him as a candidate.
Third Front
The Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) and the parties associated with the Left Front formed a Third Front. The Third Front tried to contest the election, hoping to create a non-BJP, non-Congress government, by attracting many local and regional parties, that were once with the other two alliances. The Third Front came into the alliance with 83 MPs, and various polling conducted before the election projected the alliance of getting over 100 seats. The CPI(M) created a campaign website hosting its campaign information to attract sympathisers among the netizen public to vote for the party.[7][8]
Opinion polling
Most opinion polls conducted by major agencies gave the UPA an edge over the NDA, but none were predicted to get absolute majority. The UPA including the Fourth front was, however, predicted by a few to get seats close to majority. The opinion polls reckoned that other regional parties would play an important role by winning a substantial number of seats. In results where the "Fourth Front" is indicated, the SP, RJD and LJP are not being counted in the UPA figure.
Pre-poll surveys
Agency CNN-IBNCSDS Dates 8 Jan to 15/09Wikipedia:Please clarify 5 Mar to 17 Mar 2009 26 Mar 3 Apr 2009 Results UPA 215235, NDA 165185, Others 125155
StarNielsen StarNielsen
UPA 257 (Congress 144), NDA 184 (BJP 137), Others 96 UPA 203 (Congress 155), NDA 191 (BJP 147), Third Front 104, Fourth Front 39 UPA 234 (Congress 144), NDA 186 (BJP 140), Third Front 112
March 2009
UPA 201 (Congress 146), NDA 195 (BJP 138), Others 147
Exit polls
In February 2009, the ECI banned the publishing of all exit polls starting 48 hours before Phase 1 of the election until the end of Phase 5. This was intended to prevent exit polls from earlier phases affecting voter decisions in later phases. The ban ended with the close of Phase 5 voting at 5:00 pm IST on 13 May.
Agency Publish Date Predictions
CNN-IBN Dainik Bhaskar 13 May 2009 UPA 185205, NDA 165185, Third Front 110130, Fourth Front 2535 Star-Nielsen India TV CVOTER 13 May 2009 UPA 199, NDA 196, Third Front 100, Fourth Front 36 13 May 2009 UPA 189201, NDA 183195, Third Front 105121
Election phases
Phase 1 16 April 2009
The first phase of the 2009 election took place on Thursday, 16 April with elections in 124 constituencies across 15 states and 2 union territories. There were incidents of violence in a few places in Chhattisgarh, Orissa, Bihar, Jharkhand and Maharashtra and between 17 to 19 people were killed in Naxal attacks. The dead included five poll officials and 10 security personnel, whose families received a compensation of Rs 10 lakh. Naxals set fire to voting machines, attacked voters, security personnel and polling workers, and destroyed vehicles. According to one news source, "It was apparent that the Naxals had clearly planned to disrupt the polls." Despite these incidents, the ECI expressed satisfaction about the conduct of the polls due to peaceful polling in many other parts of the country. Initial reports from the ECI place the voter turnout for this phase at approximately 60percent. This phase of the election was held in 1.85 lakh (185,000) polling stations, serving an electorate of over 14.31 crore (143,100,000) deciding the fate of 1,715 candidates. The ECI ordered repoll in 46 polling booths across 7 of the states where polling took place in the first phase. These include 29 polling booths in Andhra Pradesh, 5 each in Assam and Arunachal Pradesh, 3 in Nagaland, 2 in Kerala and 1 each in Jammu & Kashmir and Uttar Pradesh. The repoll in all these polling booths were held on 18 April 2009. One of the positive stories emerging from this phase of election was from Kandhamal district, where refugees of the 2008 Kandhamal riots came out in huge numbers to exercise their franchise. It is estimated that there was a turnout of 90% amongst Kandhamal refugees and 50% across the entire district. The administration had earlier identified large parts of the area as naxal affected and vulnerable. Hence, the administration had deployed extra security in the area and the ECI has arranged for special transport to shuttle the refugees from the refugee camps to the polling booths. Both of these actions helped achieve the high turnout.
Indian general election, 2009 country. Two polling officials even died due to sun stroke in Orissa with two also falling ill.
10
Results
Vote counting took place on 16 May and the result were declared the same day. The EVMs were localized to 1,080 centers across the country and counting started at 08:00 hrs. The United Progressive Alliance (UPA) took early lead and maintained it to emerge victorious. Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) leader Rajnath Singh said that the BJP's performance in the election was very unexpected and the success of the NDA that had been hoped for had not materialised.[10] The CPI (M) led third front later said that it was ready to sit in the opposition. Some opposition parties voiced concerns on the integrity of the electronic voting machines used during the election.
11
Results by pre-poll alliance Summary of the 2009 April/May Lok Sabha election results of India
Alliances United Progressive Alliance Seats: 262 Seat Change: +80 Popular Vote: 153,482,356 Popular Vote %: 37.22% Swing: +3.96% Party Indian National Congress All India Trinamool Congress Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam Nationalist Congress Party National Conference Jharkhand Mukti Morcha Indian Union Muslim League Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi Kerala Congress (Mani) All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen Republican Party of India (Athvale) National Democratic Alliance Seats: 159 Seat Change: 17 Popular Vote: 102,689,312 Popular Vote %: 24.63% Swing: -4.88% Bharatiya Janata Party Janata Dal (United) Shiv Sena Rashtriya Lok Dal Shiromani Akali Dal Telangana Rashtra Samithi Asom Gana Parishad Indian National Lok Dal Third Front Seats: 79 Seat Change: 30 Popular Vote: 88,174,229 Popular Vote %: 21.15% Swing: -1.06% Communist Party of India (Marxist) Communist Party of India Revolutionary Socialist Party All India Forward Bloc Bahujan Samaj Party Biju Janata Dal All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam Telugu Desam Party Janata Dal (Secular) Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam Haryana Janhit Congress Pattali Makkal Katchi Seats Change won 206 19 18 9 3 2 2 1 1 1 116 20 11 5 4 2 1 16 4 2 2 21 14 9 6 3 1 1 +61 +17 +2 +1 3 +1 +1 +1 1 22 +12 1 +2 4 3 1 27 6 -1 -1 +2 +3 +9 +1 1 3 +1 6 Popular Vote Vote % Swing
119,110,776 28.55% +2.02% 13,355,986 7,625,397 8,521,349 498,374 1,665,173 877,503 735,847 404,962 308,061 378,928 3.20% +1.13% 1.83% +0.02% 2.04% +0.24% 0.55% +0.42% 0.40% -0.07% 0.21% +0.01% 0.18% +0.18% 0.10% +0.05% 0.07% -0.04% 0.09%
78,435,538 18.80% -3.36% 6,331,079 6,454,850 1,821,054 4,004,789 2,582,326 1,773,103 1,286,573 22,219,111 5,951,888 1,573,650 1,345,803 25,728,889 6,612,552 6,953,591 10,481,348 3,434,082 1,112,908 816,395 1,944,619 1.52% -0.83% 1.55% -0.26% 0.44% -0.19% 0.96% +0.06% 0.62% -0.01% 0.43% -0.10% 0.31% -0.19% 5.33% -0.33% 1.43% +0.02% 0.37% -0.06% 0.32% -0.03% 6.17% +0.84% 1.59% +0.29% 1.67% -0.52% 2.51% -0.53% 0.82% -0.65% 0.27% -0.16% 0.20% +0.20% 0.47% -0.09%
12
Fourth Front Samajwadi Party Seats: 27 Seat Change: -37 Popular Vote: 21,456,117 Rashtriya Janata Dal Popular Vote %: 5.14% Lok Janshakti Party Swing: -2.30% Other Parties and Independents Seats: 16 Seat Change: +9 Popular Vote: 27,146,939 Popular Vote %: 6.51% Swing: +2.04% Assam United Democratic Front Jharkhand Vikas Morcha (Prajatantrik) Nagaland People's Front Bodoland People's Front Swabhimani Paksha Bahujan Vikas Aaghadi Sikkim Democratic Front Independents Total 364 Political Parties
23 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 543
13 20 4 +1 +1 +1 +1 +1 +4
14,284,638 5,279,059 1,892,420 2,184,556 963,274 832,224 656,430 481,025 223,234 159,351 21,646,845 417,156,494
3.42% -0.90% 1.27% -1.14% 0.45% -0.26% 0.52% +0.52% 0.23% +0.23% 0.20% +0.02% 0.16% +0.16% 0.12% +0.12% 0.05% +0.05% 0.04%
5.19% +0.94%
Notes
* Gave unconditional external support to the UPA-led government after the election
Note: Seat change for an alliance and popular vote swing is calculated as the sum of the individual seat changes and vote % respectively for its constituent parties as given here. Note: Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS) joined the NDA after voting took place in Andhra Pradesh, but before the votes were counted and results were in. Due to this change, some list TRS under their former alliance, the Third Front, rather than NDA, under pre-poll alliances.
33 6 2 1 2
Indian National Congress Bharatiya Janata Party Assam (14) Assam United Democratic Front Asom Gana Parishad Bodaland Peoples Front
7 4 1 1 1
United Progressive Alliance National Democratic Alliance None National Democratic Alliance None
13
Janata Dal (United) Bharatiya Janata Party 20 12 4 2 2 10 1 1 1 15 11 9 1 3 1 3 2 1 8 2 1 1 2 19 6 3 13 41.63% 37.65% 13.57% 40.13% 27.53% 11.70% 15.02% 49.58% 45.61% 19.11% 24.67% 45.03% 37.31% 44.78% 22.60% 46.52% 43.38% 41.77% 24.04% 13.93% 19.30% 10.26% National Democratic Alliance National Democratic Alliance Fourth Front United Progressive Alliance None National Democratic Alliance United Progressive Alliance National Democratic Alliance United Progressive Alliance National Democratic Alliance United Progressive Alliance United Progressive Alliance Third Front National Democratic Alliance United Progressive Alliance United Progressive Alliance United Progressive Alliance None National Democratic Alliance United Progressive Alliance United Progressive Alliance None None National Democratic Alliance United Progressive Alliance Third Front United Progressive Alliance United Democratic Front Third Front United Progressive Alliance United Democratic Front 2.53% United Progressive Alliance United Democratic Front National Democratic Alliance United Progressive Alliance Third Front
Bihar (40)
Chhattisgarh (11) Goa (2) Gujarat (26) Haryana (10) Himachal Pradesh (4) Jammu & Kashmir (6)
Bharatiya Janata Party Indian National Congress Bharatiya Janata Party Indian National Congress Bharatiya Janata Party Indian National Congress Indian National Congress Haryana Janhit Congress Bharatiya Janata Party Indian National Congress Jammu & Kashmir National Conference Indian National Congress Independent Bharatiya Janata Party Jharkhand Mukti Morcha
Jharkhand (14)
Indian National Congress Jharkhand Vikas Morcha (Prajatantrik) Independent Bharatiya Janata Party
Karnataka (28)
4 2
Bharatiya Janata Party Madhya Pradesh (29) Indian National Congress Bahujan Samaj Party
16 12 1
14
Indian National Congress Shiv Sena Bharatiya Janata Party 17 11 9 8 1 1 1 2 42.96% 19.61% 17.00% 18.17% 19.28% United Progressive Alliance National Democratic Alliance National Democratic Alliance United Progressive Alliance None None None United Progressive Alliance
Maharashtra (48)
1 1 1
69.96%
None
Biju Janata Dal Orissa (21) Indian National Congress Communist Party of India Indian National Congress Punjab (13) Shiromani Akali Dal Bharatiya Janata Party Indian National Congress Rajasthan (25) Bharatiya Janata Party Independent Sikkim (1) Sikkim Democratic Front
14 6 1 8 4 1 20 4 1 1
Third Front United Progressive Alliance Third Front United Progressive Alliance National Democratic Alliance National Democratic Alliance United Progressive Alliance National Democratic Alliance None
63.30%
None
Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam Indian National Congress Tamil Nadu (39) Communist Party of India Communist Party of India (Marxist) Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi Tripura (2) Communist Party of India (Marxist)
18 9 8 1 1 1 1 2
United Progressive Alliance Third Front United Progressive Alliance Third Front Third Front Third Front United Progressive Alliance Third Front
Samajwadi Party Indian National Congress Uttar Pradesh (80) Bahujan Samaj Party Bharatiya Janata Party Rashtriya Lok Dal Independent
23 21 20 10 5 1
Fourth Front United Progressive Alliance Third Front National Democratic Alliance National Democratic Alliance None
15
Indian National Congress 5 43.13% United Progressive Alliance
Uttarakhand (5)
All India Trinamool Congress Left Front West Bengal (42) Indian National Congress Bharatiya Janata Party Socialist Unity Centre of India Territory (# of seats) Party
19 15 6 1 1
31.17%
13.45% 6.14%
Andaman & Nicobar Islands (1) Bharatiya Janata Party Chandigarh (1) Dadra & Nagar Haveli (1) Daman & Diu (1) Delhi (7) Lakshadweep (1) Puducherry (1) Indian National Congress Bharatiya Janata Party Bharatiya Janata Party Indian National Congress Indian National Congress Indian National Congress
1 1 1 1 7 1 1
National Democratic Alliance United Progressive Alliance National Democratic Alliance National Democratic Alliance United Progressive Alliance United Progressive Alliance United Progressive Alliance
Analysis
This election defied the predictions made by pre-poll predictions and exit polls and gave a clear mandate to the incumbent Congress government. According to many analysts after the election, many factors can be attributed for a landslide. According to the National Election Study 2009, published in the The Hindu newspaper after the election, the victory to the UPA government is attributed to saturation of caste-based identity politics, the focus on good governance and BJP's limitations, gave Congress the edge. Another factor is the vote-splitting by the Third Front, especially the BSP and MNS in Maharastra, which resulted in the Indian National Congress gaining many of its seats without getting a majority in the corresponding constituency. [citation needed]
16
Support for the United Progressive Alliance government in the 15th Lok Sabha
Party/Alliance United Progressive Alliance Outside support Samajwadi Party Bahujan Samaj Party Rashtriya Janata Dal Janata Dal (Secular) Independents and other parties Total 23 21 4 3 3 322 4.20% 3.86% 0.7% 0.55% 0.55% 59.4% Seats won Seat % 262 48.25%
The President, Pratibha Patil dissolved the 14th Lok Sabha with immediate effect on 18 May. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh submitted the resignation of his Council of Ministers to the President, for him to be re-elected as the Prime Minister as well as for a new Council of Ministers to be elected. On 19 May, Manmohan Singh and Sonia Gandhi were re-elected as Party leader and Chairperson respectively of the Congress Parliamentary Party. This effectively makes him the Prime Minister-elect of the new government. Finally, the President invited Dr. Singh to form the new government on 20 May. The new government was sworn in on 22 May 2009.
Government formation
Due to the fact that UPA was able to get 262 seats just short of 10 seats for a majority all the external support came from parties who gave unconditional support to Manmohan Singh and the UPA. The Janata Dal (Secular), the Rashtriya Janata Dal, the Bahujan Samaj Party and the Samajwadi Party all decided to do so to keep out any possibility of a BJP government in the next 5 years. Nagaland Peoples Front, Sikkim Democratic Front, and Bodaland Peoples Front, each with an MP, decided to join and support the UPA government. The three independent candidates to extend support for UPA were all from Maharastra, and they were Sadashiv Mandlik, from Kolhapur constituency, Raju Shetty, from the political party Swabhimani Paksha, who won from Hatkandagle and Baliram Jadhav from Bahujan Vikas Aghadi party who won the Palghar constituency. On 21 May, it was announced that the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) had decided to leave and give outside support to the UPA government, due to failed talks between the Congress and the DMK on cabinet positions. After many deliberations between DMK and Congress, the DMK agreed to 3 cabinet ministers and 4 ministers of state. Kanimozhi, daughter of the DMK leader M. Karunanidhi, decided not to join the new government cabinet, instead she wanted to focus on improving the parties image. The two incumbent cabinet ministers from DMK, Dayanidhi Maran and A. Raja joined the cabinet, but due to concerns raised by Prime Minister Manmohan Singh on T.R. Baalu, he was dropped from the cabinet, and Karunanidhi's son M.K. Azhagiri, replaced him as part of a compromise. On 25 May 2009, DMK decided to join the UPA government, reversing the decision made in prior days to extend outside support.
17
References
[1] EU (25 states) electorate=350mn <http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/3715399.stm>, US electorate=212 mm <http://elections.gmu.edu/preliminary_vote_2008.html> [2] http:/ / en. wikipedia. org/ wiki/ List_of_states_and_territories_of_India_by_population|2001 [3] Indias Congress buys rights to Slumdog tune (http:/ / www. ft. com/ cms/ s/ 0/ e6bd882c-08cd-11de-b8b0-0000779fd2ac. html), Financial Times, 5 March 2009 [4] Election Commission pulls up Delhi, Centre over advertisement (http:/ / www. hindu. com/ 2009/ 03/ 08/ stories/ 2009030855320800. htm), The Hindu, 8 March 2009 [5] EC miffed over 2010 Games ad promoting UPA (http:/ / ibnlive. in. com/ news/ ec-miffed-over-2010-games-ad-promoting-upa/ 87134-37. html), CNN-IBN, 8 March 2009 [6] BJP coins new slogan to counter Congress' "Jai Ho" (http:/ / ibnlive. in. com/ news/ bjp-coins-new-slogan-to-counter-congress-jai-ho/ 87062-37. html), CNN-IBN, 7 March 2009 [7] Reds go online for votes, cash in on run-up to young polls (http:/ / www. livemint. com/ 2009/ 03/ 17233826/ Reds-go-online-for-votes-cash. html?h=A1), Livemint, 18 March 2009 [8] Vote for CPI(M) campaign site (http:/ / vote. cpim. org/ ), cpim.org, 18 March 2009 [9] Political parties use VoIP to woo voters (http:/ / www. moneycontrol. com/ news/ cnbc-tv18-comments/ political-parties-use-voip-to-woo-voters_392291. html), MoneyControl, 7 April 2009 [10] BJP's performance very unexpected: Rajnath Singh- Hindustan Times (http:/ / www. hindustantimes. com/ Election09/ storypage. aspx?ID=88627c79-02a7-47d6-acf8-55ecd6b173fa& Category=Chunk-HT-UI-Elections-SectionPage-TopStories& Headline=BJPs-performance-very-unexpected-Rajnath-Singh) [11] http:/ / eciresults. nic. in/ Election Commission of India [12] 150 new lawmakers accused of breaking law - Politics News - IBNLive (http:/ / ibnlive. in. com/ news/ 150-new-lawmakers-accused-of-breaking-law/ 92826-37. html)
External links
Official website Official website of the Election Commission of India (http://eci.nic.in/) News websites News Coverages of General Elections 2009 NDTV (http://elections.ndtv.com/) News Coverages of General Elections 2009 CNN-IBN (http://ibnlive.in.com/politics) News Coverages of General Elections 2009 Sify (http://sify.com/news/election) Information About India Elections (http://www.indiaelections.co.in)
Archived websites Indian General Elections 2009 Web Archive (http://lcweb2.loc.gov/diglib/lcwa/html/inelec09/ inelec09-overview.html) from the U.S. Library of Congress
Further reading
Arora, Balveer & Tawa Lama-Rewal, Stphanie (eds). Contests in Context: Indian Elections 2009 (http://samaj. revues.org/index1092.html). South Asia Multidisciplinary Academic Journal. Issue 3, 2009.
18
License
Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 //creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/