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Public Policy Polling Release
Public Policy Polling Release
Public Policy Polling Release
R IMMEDIA
ATE RELEA
ASE
Decem
mber 3, 2013
INTE
ERVIEWS: Tom Jenseen 919-744-6
6312
IF YO
OU HAVE BASIC ME
ETHODOLO
OGICAL Q
QUESTIONS
S, PLEASE
E E-MAIL
inforrmation@pu
ublicpolicyp
polling.com,, OR CONS
SULT THE FINAL PA
ARAGRAPH
H
OF THE
T
PRESS
S RELEASE
E
Kirk
k among leeast well known
k
Sen
nators in tthe countrry
Raleiigh, N.C. Almost
A
halfw
way through
h his first term
rm, Mark Kirrk is one of tthe most
anony
ymous Senators in the co
ountry. 32%
% approve off him, 32% ddisapprove, aand the
largest percentage at 37% doesn't have an
n opinion abbout him onee way or the other. Whatt's
intereesting about Kirk's numb
bers though is that whilee Republicanns are not thaat enthused
aboutt him (only a 35/27 apprroval), Demo
ocrats don't rreally have m
much of a prroblem with
him compared
c
to most Repub
blican Senato
ors (a 23/35 approval). T
That crossovver support
mean
ns he might not
n be an eassy out in 201
16- he ties L
Lisa Madigann at 41 in a hhypothetical
head to head, taking 15% of the
t Democraatic vote whiile losing onnly 11% of R
Republicans.
As we're
w
finding most places Illinois voteers strongly support raising the miniimum wage
to $10 an hour. 58% support such a movee to only 34%
% who oppoose it. The cooncept has
overw
whelming su
upport from Democrats
D
(77/19)
(
and iindependentts (57/30), annd even 34%
%
of Reepublicans faavor it.
Chriss Christie is the
t top choicce of Illinoiss Republicanns to be theirr candidate ffor Presidentt
in 2014. 18% say
y he would be
b their top choice
c
to 13%
% for Ted Crruz, 12% forr Jeb Bush,
10% for Rand Paaul, 9% for Paul
P Ryan, 7%
% for Scott W
Walker, 6% for Marco R
Rubio, and
4% each for Bobb
by Jindal an
nd Rick Santo
orum. Walkeer's 7% standing is stronnger than
we'vee found for him
h anywherre else otherr than Wiscoonsin, probabbly because oof
geogrraphic proximity, but it still
s shows he's
h just not tthat strong a national figgure yet.
Despite years of futility
f
theree's still no do
oubt Illinois is a Cubs staate. 40% of vvoters in thee
state identify them
mselves as Cubs
C
fans to 25% for thee White Sox and 15% forr the
obody else riising above 2%. And de spite the Cuubs losing 966 games this
Cardiinals with no
year, voters in thee state still th
hink by a 67
7/9 margin thhat they did a better job this year thaan
Cong
gress.
Jay Cutler's
C
net favorability
fa
with
w voters in
n Illinois ha s declined a net 19 pointts over the
last year
y from +2
26 (41/15) in
n November 2012
2
to now
w just +7 at 334/27. 59% oof Illinois
voterrs identify ass Bears fans to 9% for th
he Packers annd 4% for thhe Rams withh nobody elsse
pollin
ng over 2%.
PPP surveyed
s
557 Illinois voterrs, including an
a oversamplee of 375 usuaal Republicann primary
voterss, from Novem
mber 22nd to 25
2 th. The marrgin of error ffor the overalll survey is +/-- 4.2% and +//5.1% for the GOP sample. PPPs surveys aree conducted thhrough autom
mated telephonne interviewss.
Phone
e: 888 621-69
988
Web:
publicpolicypo
olling.com
www.p
Q2
Q3
Favorable........................................................ 44%
Disapprove...................................................... 32%
Q7
Illinois.............................................................. 33%
Q5
Q4
Q6
Q8
Q9
Braves ............................................................ 1%
Man................................................................. 47%
Tigers.............................................................. 2%
Brewers .......................................................... 2%
Republican...................................................... 29%
Yankees .......................................................... 1%
Cardinals......................................................... 15%
Someone else/Don't have a favorite ............... 14%
46 to 65........................................................... 39%
Crosstabs
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
Kirk Approval
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
Kirk/Madigan
Approve 32%
33%
32%
20%
16%
76%
16%
Disapprove 32%
31%
35%
20%
67%
11%
23%
36%
34%
60%
18%
13%
61%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
Base Obam a Rom ney
rem em ber
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
ACA Approval
Approve 44%
77%
10%
12%
Disapprove 45%
14%
84%
39%
9%
6%
49%
8%
4%
5%
33%
5%
15%
33%
8%
36%
22%
81%
34%
4%
3%
10%
Very successful
Not sure
4%
Crosstabs
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
Support/Oppose $10
Min. Wage
Oprah Favorability
Support 58%
78%
31%
67%
Oppose 34%
15%
59%
15%
7%
9%
17%
Not sure
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
8%
Favorable 44%
62%
22%
43%
Unfavorable 38%
20%
64%
21%
18%
14%
35%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
Base Obam a Rom ney
rem em ber
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
Fave IL College FB
Team
Illinois 33%
34%
34%
18%
16%
14%
15%
15%
18%
18%
35%
34%
48%
65%
52%
54%
Cow boys
2%
1%
3%
Packers
9%
7%
11%
15%
Colts
1%
1%
1%
Patriots
2%
3%
1%
6%
Giants
1%
1%
Steelers
2%
2%
3%
Ram s
4%
3%
5%
5%
17%
23%
20%
Crosstabs
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
Base Obam a Rom ney
rem em ber
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
Cutler Favorability
Favorable 34%
35%
34%
28%
Braves
1%
Unfavorable 27%
30%
25%
13%
Red Sox
36%
41%
58%
12%
8%
4%
65%
72%
58%
23%
21%
39%
1%
1%
2%
39%
37%
54%
29%
21%
22%
Tigers
2%
2%
2%
2%
Brew ers
2%
1%
3%
2%
Yankees
1%
2%
Cardinals 15%
10%
22%
9%
15%
12%
12%
Ideology
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
1%
Cubs 40%
2012 Vote
Congress
1%
36%
20%
33%
37%
25%
Disapprove 32%
38%
36%
30%
28%
30%
26%
44%
37%
35%
45%
Crosstabs
Ideology
Ideology
13%
11%
30%
71%
77%
Approve 44%
77%
77%
55%
5%
14%
67%
60%
53%
12%
12%
Disapprove 45%
16%
10%
33%
84%
79%
20%
29%
17%
17%
12%
8%
13%
13%
11%
7%
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Support/Oppose $10
Min. Wage
19%
4%
4%
30%
38%
22%
24%
40%
35%
9%
25%
12%
34%
86%
75%
2%
6%
6%
4%
2%
Very successful
Not sure
4%
5%
Support 58%
76%
77%
69%
28%
41%
18%
Oppose 34%
20%
11%
21%
65%
51%
4%
12%
11%
7%
8%
Not sure
1%
8%
Crosstabs
Ideology
Ideology
55%
67%
49%
27%
24%
Unfavorable 38%
28%
14%
27%
55%
72%
17%
18%
23%
18%
3%
33%
41%
29%
39%
21%
12%
10%
21%
14%
14%
17%
14%
15%
25%
6%
38%
36%
35%
21%
58%
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
55%
72%
70%
52%
36%
-
Cow boys
2%
1%
2%
5%
Packers
9%
10%
3%
7%
15%
Colts
1%
2%
1%
0%
1%
Patriots
2%
4%
3%
2%
2%
Giants
1%
3%
Steelers
2%
5%
0%
1%
9%
Ram s
4%
4%
1%
4%
3%
11%
19%
22%
14%
18%
33%
9%
Favorable 34%
33%
32%
40%
34%
23%
Unfavorable 27%
30%
36%
24%
19%
33%
37%
33%
36%
47%
44%
Crosstabs
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
Base liberal
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
1%
Red Sox
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
Cubs 40%
50%
33%
35%
43%
35%
22%
37%
31%
16%
21%
Tigers
2%
6%
2%
2%
1%
Brew ers
2%
1%
2%
6%
Yankees
1%
3%
Cardinals 15%
8%
6%
14%
24%
19%
12%
21%
11%
13%
17%
19%
3%
5%
8%
16%
61%
71%
68%
70%
67%
20%
26%
26%
23%
18%
Congress
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Kirk Approval
Base Wom an
Man
Kirk/Madigan
Approve 32%
29%
35%
36%
46%
Disapprove 32%
25%
39%
41%
40%
46%
26%
23%
14%
Crosstabs
Gender
Gender
Base Wom an
Base Wom an
Man
ACA Approval
Approve 44%
44%
44%
Disapprove 45%
45%
46%
11%
9%
5%
7%
20%
20%
25%
19%
45%
51%
5%
3%
Very successful
Not sure
4%
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Support/Oppose $10
Min. Wage
58%
57%
Oppose 34%
30%
39%
12%
4%
Base Wom an
Man
Oprah Favorability
Support 58%
Not sure
Man
8%
Favorable 44%
46%
42%
Unfavorable 38%
38%
38%
16%
19%
Crosstabs
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Fave IL College FB
Team
Base Wom an
Man
66%
2%
2%
2%
Packers
9%
13%
5%
Colts
1%
0%
1%
Patriots
2%
2%
3%
Giants
1%
2%
Steelers
2%
1%
4%
Ram s
4%
6%
2%
23%
16%
Bears 59%
Illinois 33%
35%
31%
9%
23%
15%
18%
41%
28%
Cow boys
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Cutler Favorability
Base Wom an
Man
Favorable 34%
30%
38%
Braves
1%
0%
2%
Unfavorable 27%
21%
33%
Red Sox
1%
1%
1%
49%
28%
Cubs 40%
44%
34%
19%
33%
Tigers
2%
1%
3%
Brew ers
2%
3%
1%
Yankees
1%
2%
Cardinals 15%
15%
14%
15%
12%
Crosstabs
Party
Gender
Base Wom an
Man
Kirk Approval
5%
15%
66%
70%
30%
15%
Congress
Approve 32%
23%
35%
39%
Disapprove 32%
35%
27%
33%
43%
39%
28%
Party
Party
15%
75%
37%
Approve 44%
73%
9%
45%
69%
11%
38%
Disapprove 45%
20%
81%
40%
16%
13%
26%
7%
9%
15%
Crosstabs
Party
Party
Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other
11%
4%
1%
Support 58%
77%
34%
57%
32%
7%
18%
Oppose 34%
19%
56%
30%
4%
9%
13%
30%
5%
31%
23%
77%
48%
4%
6%
2%
Very successful
Not sure
Not sure
4%
8%
Party
Party
58%
24%
47%
Unfavorable 38%
27%
62%
29%
15%
14%
23%
Fave IL College FB
Team
Illinois 33%
40%
30%
27%
11%
15%
21%
17%
21%
12%
33%
34%
40%
Crosstabs
Party
Party
37%
31%
32%
Cow boys
2%
0%
3%
2%
Unfavorable 27%
32%
25%
23%
Packers
9%
10%
10%
8%
30%
44%
45%
Colts
1%
0%
1%
1%
Patriots
2%
2%
0%
4%
Giants
1%
2%
Steelers
2%
1%
4%
2%
Ram s
4%
6%
5%
1%
19%
25%
16%
Bears 59%
61%
52%
63%
Party
Party
1%
1%
1%
Red Sox
1%
1%
1%
2%
Cubs 40%
43%
43%
33%
26%
21%
29%
Tigers
2%
3%
2%
Brew ers
2%
1%
4%
1%
Yankees
1%
2%
Cardinals 15%
14%
16%
15%
9%
14%
19%
10%
11%
7%
64%
69%
70%
25%
21%
23%
Congress
Crosstabs
Race
Race
Approve 32%
33%
33%
21%
34%
49%
47%
8%
22%
Disapprove 32%
45%
29%
44%
22%
32%
36%
72%
45%
22%
38%
35%
44%
19%
17%
20%
33%
Race
Race
41%
40%
69%
48%
Disapprove 45%
48%
52%
11%
36%
11%
8%
20%
16%
11%
5%
3%
9%
12%
18%
40%
23%
27%
20%
33%
25%
45%
53%
19%
42%
4%
4%
5%
2%
Very successful
Not sure
4%
Crosstabs
Race
Race
Oprah Favorability
Support 58%
53%
54%
87%
56%
Oppose 34%
36%
37%
12%
33%
11%
9%
1%
11%
Not sure
8%
Favorable 44%
37%
40%
85%
30%
Unfavorable 38%
34%
44%
5%
45%
29%
16%
10%
25%
Race
Race
Illinois 33%
34%
31%
53%
15%
41%
11%
15%
23%
18%
18%
7%
17%
8%
40%
25%
45%
56%
77%
56%
Cow boys
2%
4%
2%
1%
Packers
9%
20%
10%
4%
2%
Colts
1%
1%
1%
4%
Patriots
2%
1%
9%
6%
Giants
1%
1%
Steelers
2%
1%
3%
Ram s
4%
5%
2%
2%
14%
21%
8%
31%
61%
Crosstabs
Race
Race
Favorable 34%
39%
33%
35%
36%
Braves
1%
1%
2%
Unfavorable 27%
29%
25%
33%
27%
Red Sox
1%
1%
3%
32%
42%
31%
36%
Cubs 40%
58%
41%
23%
26%
30%
19%
57%
34%
Tigers
2%
8%
2%
2%
Brew ers
2%
1%
2%
Yankees
1%
1%
Cardinals 15%
18%
11%
9%
3%
15%
8%
26%
Race
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Kirk Approval
Approve 32%
34%
29%
32%
9%
19%
7%
15%
9%
Disapprove 32%
34%
31%
27%
57%
72%
44%
73%
31%
40%
41%
23%
21%
40%
18%
Congress
Crosstabs
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Kirk/Madigan
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
ACA Approval
30%
46%
50%
Approve 44%
57%
39%
33%
47%
40%
32%
Disapprove 45%
36%
51%
50%
23%
14%
18%
7%
10%
16%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Support/Oppose $10
Min. Wage
6%
9%
5%
3%
Support 58%
59%
56%
58%
26%
16%
18%
Oppose 34%
36%
35%
28%
5%
8%
13%
26%
20%
21%
39%
55%
48%
5%
10%
Very successful
Not sure
4%
Not sure
8%
Crosstabs
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Oprah Favorability
Favorable 44%
53%
41%
35%
Unfavorable 38%
33%
42%
40%
14%
17%
24%
Base
Fave IL College FB
Team
Illinois 33%
38%
32%
27%
14%
16%
16%
16%
16%
18%
32%
35%
40%
Age
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Cutler Favorability
60%
59%
57%
Favorable 34%
35%
34%
33%
Cow boys
2%
3%
3%
Unfavorable 27%
29%
28%
22%
Packers
9%
12%
9%
6%
37%
38%
46%
Colts
1%
1%
3%
Patriots
2%
2%
3%
2%
Giants
1%
2%
Steelers
2%
4%
1%
3%
Ram s
4%
4%
3%
7%
17%
23%
19%
Crosstabs
Age
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
1%
1%
2%
Red Sox
1%
1%
3%
Cubs 40%
33%
43%
42%
31%
24%
18%
Tigers
2%
2%
2%
1%
Brew ers
2%
2%
1%
2%
Yankees
1%
2%
1%
Cardinals 15%
17%
12%
17%
13%
15%
14%
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
10%
9%
8%
73%
67%
60%
17%
24%
32%
Congress
Q2
Moderate......................................................... 21%
Q3
Man................................................................. 57%
Q4
18 to 45........................................................... 30%
46 to 65........................................................... 45%
Older than 65 .................................................. 25%
Crosstabs
Ideology
Gender
33%
24%
9%
6%
47%
26%
13%
12%
2%
8%
10%
24%
Bobby Jindal
11%
6%
4%
19%
11%
7%
16%
4%
6%
5%
7%
8%
Paul Ryan
9%
3%
15%
4%
Rick Santorum
4%
4%
3%
7%
Scott Walker
7%
19%
3%
11%
5%
62%
7%
17%
18%
14%
Base Wom an
2016 GOP Pres
Preference
Jeb Bush 12%
18%
9%
12%
22%
14%
13%
4%
1%
7%
8%
12%
Bobby Jindal
Marco Rubio
6%
9%
4%
Paul Ryan
9%
8%
9%
Rick Santorum
4%
6%
3%
Scott Walker
7%
5%
8%
20%
13%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
13%
12%
12%
20%
16%
19%
13%
16%
9%
4%
7%
3%
4%
13%
7%
12%
7%
6%
Bobby Jindal
Marco Rubio
6%
4%
Paul Ryan
9%
7%
9%
10%
Rick Santorum
4%
4%
3%
6%
Scott Walker
7%
9%
6%
5%
11%
20%
15%
Man