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Suntech Power Holdings Co., LTD
Suntech Power Holdings Co., LTD
Company Report
Analysis of Sales/Earnings
Please see analyst certification (Reg. AC) and other important disclosures on pages 4-5 of this report.
August 21, 2009
Company Report
Analysis of Sales/Earnings
VALUATION:
Our $7 price target is based on 16x our 2010 EPS estimate of $0.44 (from $0.53).
COMPANY DESCRIPTION:
Suntech Power is one of the largest manufacturers of solar cells and modules worldwide and the largest in China. In
addition to producing cells and modules, Suntech produces building-integrated ("BIPV") products and offers solar system
integration services in China.
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Suntech Power (STP) Colin Rusch
Income Statement ThinkEquity LLC
Last Reported Quarter: 06/30/2009 (212) 468-7015
Last ThinkEquity LLC Update: 08/20/2009 crusch@thinkequity.com
2008A 2009E
FY End: December FY FY MAR JUN SEP DEC FY MAR JUN SEP DEC FY FY
(in $M, except per share data) 2006A 2007A 1QA 2QA 3QA 4QA 2008A 1QA 2QA 3QE 4QE 2009E 2010E
Total Revenues $598.9 $1,348.3 $434.5 $480.2 $594.4 $414.4 $1,923.5 $315.7 $321.0 $530.3 $456.0 $1,623.0 $1,878.0
Cost of Revenues 450.0 1,074.2 338.1 364.4 466.1 412.1 1,580.6 259.4 261.3 432.2 371.7 1,324.5 1,518.2
Gross Profit 148.9 274.1 96.4 115.8 128.3 2.3 342.9 56.3 59.7 98.1 84.4 298.5 359.8
Selling Expenses 9.0 30.6 15.3 14.8 14.8 14.5 59.3 11.4 11.5 10.6 9.1 42.6 37.6
General and Administrative 28.3 56.9 16.5 20.3 21.8 27.1 85.7 18.8 22.8 54.0 45.9 141.5 180.0
Research & Development 8.4 15.0 2.8 3.3 4.7 4.5 15.3 4.9 4.3 4.3 4.3 17.8 17.2
Other - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Total Operating Expenses 45.7 102.5 34.6 38.4 41.3 46.2 160.4 35.1 38.6 68.9 59.3 202.0 234.8
Operating Income 103.2 171.6 61.8 77.4 87.1 (43.8) 182.5 21.1 21.1 29.2 25.1 96.5 125.0
Interest Expense (6.3) (24.0) (9.0) (13.9) (16.7) (18.0) (57.6) (26.7) (25.9) (25.0) (25.0) (102.6) (74.0)
Interest Income 11.8 31.2 5.0 8.7 8.8 10.1 32.6 5.1 1.6 7.6 5.7 20.0 30.5
Other Income (expense), net 2.1 3.7 2.1 (3.8) (19.8) (22.9) (44.4) 6.4 15.0 2.0 2.0 25.4 9.0
Total Other Inc (Exp), net 7.5 10.9 (1.9) (9.0) (27.6) (30.9) (69.4) (15.3) (9.3) (15.4) (17.3) (57.3) (34.5)
Pretax Income 110.8 182.5 60.0 68.4 59.4 (74.7) 113.1 5.9 11.7 13.8 7.8 39.2 90.6
Income Tax Expense (Benefit) 7.2 13.2 5.5 3.5 3.7 (8.9) 3.8 (0.1) (0.2) 1.4 0.8 1.9 9.1
Minority Interest 1.4 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1 (0.4) 1.4 (0.3) 0.4 - - 0.1 -
Equity Investments 1.0 (0.7) - - - 0.3 0.3 (3.9) (2.3) - - (6.2) -
GAAP Net Income $106.0 $171.3 $55.8 $65.2 $55.9 ($65.9) $111.0 $1.8 $10.0 $12.4 $7.0 $31.2 $81.5
GAAP Diluted EPS* $0.68 $1.02 $0.33 $0.38 $0.33 ($0.42) $0.66 $0.01 $0.06 $0.07 $0.04 $0.18 $0.44
Stock-based Compensation 13.8 27.9 4.8 6.1 4.4 5.8 21.0 5.0 4.2 7.5 7.5 24.2 30.0
Amortization of Intangibles - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Other - 1.8 - - - 17.7 17.7 - - - - - -
Income Tax Effect - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Pro Forma Net Income $119.8 $201.0 $60.6 $71.3 $60.3 ($42.4) $149.7 $6.8 $14.2 $19.9 $14.5 $55.4 $111.5
Pro Forma Diluted EPS* $0.77 $1.19 $0.35 $0.41 $0.35 ($0.27) $0.89 $0.04 $0.08 $0.11 $0.08 $0.32 $0.60
Diluted Shares Outstanding (M) 156.1 169.3 173.8 185.2 185.5 155.9 170.5 156.8 172.6 182.6 183.1 173.8 184.4
Revenue 100.0% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Gross Margin 24.9% 20.3% 22.2% 24.1% 21.6% 0.6% 17.8% 17.8% 18.6% 18.5% 18.5% 18.4% 19.2%
Selling Expenses 1.5% 2.3% 3.5% 3.1% 2.5% 3.5% 3.1% 3.6% 3.6% 2.0% 2.0% 2.6% 2.0%
General & Administrative 4.7% 4.2% 3.8% 4.2% 3.7% 6.5% 4.5% 6.0% 7.1% 10.2% 10.1% 8.7% 9.6%
Research & Development 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9%
Operating Margin 17.2% 12.7% 14.2% 16.1% 14.6% (10.6%) 9.5% 6.7% 6.6% 5.5% 5.5% 5.9% 6.7%
Other inc (exp) 1.3% 0.8% (0.4%) (1.9%) (4.6%) (7.4%) (3.6%) (4.8%) (2.9%) (2.9%) (3.8%) (3.5%) (1.8%)
Pretax Margin 18.5% 13.5% 13.8% 14.2% 10.0% (18.0%) 5.9% 1.9% 3.7% 2.6% 1.7% 2.4% 4.8%
Tax Rate 6.5% 7.3% 9.2% 5.1% 6.1% 11.9% 3.3% (1.3%) (1.4%) 10.0% 10.0% 4.9% 10.0%
Net Margin 17.7% 12.7% 12.8% 13.6% 9.4% (15.9%) 5.8% 0.6% 3.1% 2.3% 1.5% 1.9% 4.3%
Y/Y - Revenues 165.0% 125.1% 76.1% 51.3% 53.7% 4.2% 42.7% (27.4%) (33.2%) (10.8%) 10.0% (15.6%) 15.7%
- Net Income 246.1% 61.6% 115.4% 58.3% 5.0% NM (35.2%) (96.8%) (84.7%) (77.8%) NM (71.9%) 161.4%
- EPS 159.0% 50.5% 109.7% 50.5% 2.4% NM (35.3%) (96.6%) (84.9%) (79.5%) NM (72.9%) 146.4%
Q/Q - Revenues 9.3% 10.5% 23.8% (30.3%) (23.8%) 1.7% 65.2% (14.0%)
- Net Income 8.1% 16.9% (14.2%) NM NM 458.5% 24.4% (43.5%)
- EPS 10.8% 15.4% (13.2%) NM NM 407.3% 17.6% (43.6%)
Source: Company documents, ThinkEquity LLC estimates
* 2009 quarterly EPS does not equal annual EPS due to disproportionate percentage of earnings after capital raise in May 2009.
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August 21, 2009
Company Report
Analysis of Sales/Earnings
Important Disclosures
Analyst Certification
I, Colin Rusch, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject
securities and issuers. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific
recommendations or views expressed in this research report.
The analyst(s) responsible for preparing this report has/have received compensation based on various factors, including the firm's total
revenues, a portion of which is generated by investment banking activities.
ThinkEquity LLC makes a market in Suntech Power Holdings Co., Ltd. securities; and/or associated persons may sell to or buy from
customers on a principal basis.
Rating and Price Target History for: Suntech Power Holdings Co., Ltd. (STP) as of 08-20-2009
11/21/06 01/16/07 06/12/07 07/16/07 08/10/07 11/14/07 12/10/07 02/21/08 02/17/09 05/29/09
B:$35.00 A:$40.00 A:$37.00 B:$52.00 B:$58.00 B:$90.00 B:$120.00 B:$85.00 S:$4.50 S:$8.00
100
80
60
40
20
0
Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2
2007 2008 2009
Created by BlueMatrix
Rating Definitions
The ThinkEquity LLC rating system is based on a stock's expected total return over a 12-month investment horizon. Ratings on coverage
are defined as follows:
Buy: Appreciation potential of 20% or more over the next 12 months. Analyst has a high level of conviction that the company's business
fundamentals are intact and that the company will meet or exceed earnings projections. Valuation is considered reasonable considering
the company's potential.
Accumulate: Appreciation potential greater than 0% and less than 20% over the next 12 months. Typically good companies, with
fundamentals and earnings visibility intact, but current valuation limits upside potential.
Source of Funds: Stock is expected to decline as much as 20% over the next 12 months, due to a single or combination of factors
including excessive valuation, negative sector sentiment, and/ or reduced earnings expectations.
Sell: Stock expected to decline 20% or more over the next 12 months. Company fundamentals are deteriorating, leading to material
downward revisions in earnings projections and valuation.
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August 21, 2009
Company Report
Analysis of Sales/Earnings
ThinkEquity LLC
IB Serv./Past 12 Mos.
Rating Count Percent Count Percent
BUY [B] 100 52.10 13 13.00
HOLD [Acc] 71 37.00 4 5.63
SELL [S/SoF] 21 11.00 0 0.00
This report does not purport to be a complete statement of all material facts related to any company, industry, or security mentioned. The
information provided, while not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness, has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The
opinions expressed reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change without notice and may or may not be updated. Past
performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance, and no representation or warranty, express or
implied, is made regarding future performance. This notice shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor shall
there be any sale of these securities in any state in which said offer, solicitation, or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or
qualification under the securities laws of any such state. This research report was originally prepared and distributed to institutional clients
of ThinkEquity LLC.
Recipients who are not market professionals or institutional clients of ThinkEquity LLC should seek the advice of their personal financial
advisors before making any investment decisions based on this report. Stocks mentioned in this report are not covered by ThinkEquity
LLC unless otherwise mentioned.
Additional information on the securities mentioned is available on request. In the event that this is a compendium report (covers more than
six ThinkEquity LLC-covered subject companies), ThinkEquity LLC may choose to provide specific disclosures for the subject companies
by reference. For more information regarding these disclosures, please send a request to: Director of Research, ThinkEquity LLC, 600
Montgomery Street, San Francisco, California, 94111.
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