No of Head in 6 Flips of Fair coin

0
1
2
3
4
5
6

Probability Probability in % E(X)

0.015625
1.56%
0
0.09375
9.38% 0.09375
0.234375
23.44% 0.46875
0.3125
31.25%
0.9375
0.234375
23.44%
0.9375
0.09375
9.38% 0.46875
0.015625
1.56% 0.09375
3

Discrete Probability Distribution

35.00%
30.00%
25.00%
20.00%

Probability in %

15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
0

P(Basket)
P(miss)

0.3
0.7

No of Basket in 6 turns

Combination
0
1
2
3
4
5
6

1
6
15
20
15
6
1

Basket Probability
0.117649
0.050421
0.021609
0.009261
0.003969
0.001701
0.000729

Probability
0.117649
0.302526
0.324135
0.18522
0.059535
0.010206
0.000729
1

%
E(X)
11.765%
0
30.253% 0.302526
32.414% 0.64827
18.522% 0.55566
5.954% 0.23814
1.021% 0.05103
0.073% 0.004374
1.8

Probability
35.000%
30.000%
25.000%
20.000%
Probability

15.000%

10.000%
5.000%
0.000%
0

No of Head Probability
in 100 Flips of Fair coin
Probability in %
0 0.000000000000000000000000000001
0.000000000000000000000000000001
1 0.000000000000000000000000000079
0.000000000000000000000000000079
2 0.000000000000000000000000003905
0.000000000000000000000000003905
3 0.000000000000000000000000127559
0.000000000000000000000000127559
4 0.000000000000000000000003093301
0.000000000000000000000003093301
5 0.000000000000000000000059391381
0.000000000000000000000059391381
6 0.000000000000000000000940363535
0.000000000000000000000940363535
7 0.000000000000000000012627738903
0.000000000000000000012627738903
8 0.000000000000000000146797464748
0.000000000000000000146797464748
9 0.000000000000000001500596306315
0.000000000000000001500596306315
10 0.000000000000000013655426387463
0.000000000000000013655426387463
11 0.000000000000000111726215897425
0.000000000000000111726215897425
12 0.000000000000000828636101239238
0.000000000000000828636101239238
13 0.000000000000005609228993004070
0.000000000000005609228993004070
14 0.000000000000034857351599382500
0.000000000000034857351599382500
15 0.000000000000199848815836459000
0.000000000000199848815836459000
16 0.000000000001061696834131190000
0.000000000001061696834131190000
17 0.000000000005246031415707060000
0.000000000005246031415707060000
18 0.000000000024190033750204800000
0.000000000024190033750204800000
19 0.000000000104399093027200000000
0.000000000104399093027200000000
20 0.000000000422816326760158000000
0.000000000422816326760158000000
21 0.000000001610728863848220000000
0.000000001610728863848220000000
22 0.000000005783980920182250000000
0.000000005783980920182250000000
23 0.000000019615239642357200000000
0.000000019615239642357200000000
24 0.000000062932227185896000000000
0.000000062932227185896000000000
25 0.000000191313970645124000000000
0.000000191313970645124000000000
26 0.000000551867223014780000000000
0.000000551867223014780000000000
27 0.000001512524981596060000000000
0.000001512524981596060000000000
28 0.000003943368702018310000000000
0.000003943368702018310000000000
29 0.000009790432639493740000000000
0.000009790432639493740000000000
30 0.000023170690580135200000000000
0.000023170690580135200000000000
31 0.000052320914213208400000000000
0.000052320914213208400000000000
32 0.000112816971272231000000000000
0.000112816971272231000000000000
33 0.000232471334742779000000000000
0.000232471334742779000000000000
34 0.000458105277287240000000000000
0.000458105277287240000000000000
35 0.000863855665741652000000000000
0.000863855665741652000000000000
36 0.001559739396477980000000000000
0.001559739396477980000000000000
37 0.002697927604718680000000000000
0.002697927604718680000000000000
38 0.004472879976244120000000000000
0.004472879976244120000000000000
39 0.007110732269926550000000000000
0.007110732269926550000000000000
40 0.010843866711638000000000000000
0.010843866711638000000000000000
41 0.015869073236543400000000000000
0.015869073236543400000000000000
42 0.022292269546572900000000000000
0.022292269546572900000000000000
43 0.030068642644214600000000000000
0.030068642644214600000000000000
44 0.038952559789096100000000000000
0.038952559789096100000000000000
45 0.048474296626430800000000000000
0.048474296626430800000000000000
46 0.057958398140297600000000000000
0.057958398140297600000000000000
47 0.066590499990980200000000000000
0.066590499990980200000000000000

48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97

0.073527010406707400000000000000
0.078028664105077200000000000000
0.079589237387178700000000000000
0.078028664105077200000000000000
0.073527010406707400000000000000
0.066590499990980200000000000000
0.057958398140297600000000000000
0.048474296626430800000000000000
0.038952559789096100000000000000
0.030068642644214600000000000000
0.022292269546572900000000000000
0.015869073236543400000000000000
0.010843866711638000000000000000
0.007110732269926550000000000000
0.004472879976244120000000000000
0.002697927604718680000000000000
0.001559739396477980000000000000
0.000863855665741652000000000000
0.000458105277287240000000000000
0.000232471334742779000000000000
0.000112816971272231000000000000
0.000052320914213208400000000000
0.000023170690580135200000000000
0.000009790432639493740000000000
0.000003943368702018310000000000
0.000001512524981596060000000000
0.000000551867223014780000000000
0.000000191313970645124000000000
0.000000062932227185896000000000
0.000000019615239642357200000000
0.000000005783980920182250000000
0.000000001610728863848220000000
0.000000000422816326760158000000
0.000000000104399093027200000000
0.000000000024190033750204800000
0.000000000005246031415707060000
0.000000000001061696834131190000
0.000000000000199848815836459000
0.000000000000034857351599382500
0.000000000000005609228993004070
0.000000000000000828636101239238
0.000000000000000111726215897425
0.000000000000000013655426387463
0.000000000000000001500596306315
0.000000000000000000146797464748
0.000000000000000000012627738903
0.000000000000000000000940363535
0.000000000000000000000059391381
0.000000000000000000000003093301
0.000000000000000000000000127559

0.073527010406707400000000000000
0.078028664105077200000000000000
0.079589237387178700000000000000
0.078028664105077200000000000000
0.073527010406707400000000000000
0.066590499990980200000000000000
0.057958398140297600000000000000
0.048474296626430800000000000000
0.038952559789096100000000000000
0.030068642644214600000000000000
0.022292269546572900000000000000
0.015869073236543400000000000000
0.010843866711638000000000000000
0.007110732269926550000000000000
0.004472879976244120000000000000
0.002697927604718680000000000000
0.001559739396477980000000000000
0.000863855665741652000000000000
0.000458105277287240000000000000
0.000232471334742779000000000000
0.000112816971272231000000000000
0.000052320914213208400000000000
0.000023170690580135200000000000
0.000009790432639493740000000000
0.000003943368702018310000000000
0.000001512524981596060000000000
0.000000551867223014780000000000
0.000000191313970645124000000000
0.000000062932227185896000000000
0.000000019615239642357200000000
0.000000005783980920182250000000
0.000000001610728863848220000000
0.000000000422816326760158000000
0.000000000104399093027200000000
0.000000000024190033750204800000
0.000000000005246031415707060000
0.000000000001061696834131190000
0.000000000000199848815836459000
0.000000000000034857351599382500
0.000000000000005609228993004070
0.000000000000000828636101239238
0.000000000000000111726215897425
0.000000000000000013655426387463
0.000000000000000001500596306315
0.000000000000000000146797464748
0.000000000000000000012627738903
0.000000000000000000000940363535
0.000000000000000000000059391381
0.000000000000000000000003093301
0.000000000000000000000000127559

98
99
100

0.000000000000000000000000003905
0.000000000000000000000000000079
0.000000000000000000000000000001

0.000000000000000000000000003905
0.000000000000000000000000000079
0.000000000000000000000000000001

E(X)
0
7.88861E-29
7.80972E-27
3.82676E-25
1.23732E-23
2.96957E-22
5.64218E-21
8.83942E-20
1.17438E-18
1.35054E-17
1.36554E-16
1.22899E-15
9.94363E-15
7.292E-14
4.88003E-13
2.99773E-12
1.69871E-11
8.91825E-11
4.35421E-10
1.98358E-09
8.45633E-09
3.38253E-08
1.27248E-07
4.51151E-07
1.51037E-06
4.78285E-06
1.43485E-05
4.08382E-05
0.000110414
0.000283923
0.000695121
0.001621948
0.003610143
0.007671554
0.015575579
0.030234948
0.056150618
0.099823321
0.169969439
0.277318559
0.433754668
0.650632003
0.936275321
1.292951634
1.713912631
2.181343348
2.666086314
3.1297535

50

Discrete Probability Distributi

0.090000000000000000000000000000
0.080000000000000000000000000000
0.070000000000000000000000000000
0.060000000000000000000000000000

0.050000000000000000000000000000
0.040000000000000000000000000000
0.030000000000000000000000000000

0.020000000000000000000000000000
0.010000000000000000000000000000
0.000000000000000000000000000000
0

9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33

3.5292965
3.823404541
3.979461869
3.979461869
3.823404541
3.5292965
3.1297535
2.666086314
2.181343348
1.713912631
1.292951634
0.936275321
0.650632003
0.433754668
0.277318559
0.169969439
0.099823321
0.056150618
0.030234948
0.015575579
0.007671554
0.003610143
0.001621948
0.000695121
0.000283923
0.000110414
4.08382E-05
1.43485E-05
4.78285E-06
1.51037E-06
4.51151E-07
1.27248E-07
3.38253E-08
8.45633E-09
1.98358E-09
4.35421E-10
8.91825E-11
1.69871E-11
2.99773E-12
4.88003E-13
7.292E-14
9.94363E-15
1.22899E-15
1.36554E-16
1.35054E-17
1.17438E-18
8.83942E-20
5.64218E-21
2.96957E-22
1.23732E-23

3.82676E-25
7.80972E-27
7.88861E-29

rete Probability Distribution

Probability in %

33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 75 78 81 84 87 90 93 96 99

N
P(MAKE)
P(LOSE)
K
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44

100 TOTAL BASKET

0.4
0.6
P(OF ' K 'Basket) Combination
P(X=K)
6.53319E-23
1 6.5332E-23
4.35546E-23
100 4.3555E-21
2.90364E-23
4950 1.4373E-19
1.93576E-23
161700 3.1301E-18
1.29051E-23
3921225 5.0604E-17
8.60337E-24
75287520 6.4773E-16
5.73558E-24
1192052400 6.8371E-15
3.82372E-24
16007560800 6.1208E-14
2.54915E-24
1.86088E+11 4.7437E-13
1.69943E-24
1.90223E+12 3.2327E-12
1.13295E-24
1.73103E+13 1.9612E-11
7.55303E-25
1.4163E+14 1.0697E-10
5.03535E-25
1.05042E+15 5.2892E-10
3.3569E-25
7.11054E+15 2.3869E-09
2.23793E-25
4.41869E+16 9.8887E-09
1.49196E-25
2.53338E+17 3.7797E-08
9.94638E-26
1.34586E+18 1.3386E-07
6.63092E-26
6.65013E+18 4.4096E-07
4.42061E-26
3.06645E+19 1.3556E-06
2.94707E-26
1.32342E+20 3.9002E-06
1.96472E-26
5.35983E+20 1.0531E-05
1.30981E-26
2.04184E+21 2.6744E-05
8.73207E-27
7.33207E+21 6.4024E-05
5.82138E-27
2.48653E+22 0.00014475
3.88092E-27
7.97761E+22 0.0003096
2.58728E-27
2.42519E+23 0.00062747
1.72485E-27
6.99575E+23 0.00120666
1.1499E-27
1.91735E+24 0.00220477
7.66602E-28
4.99881E+24 0.0038321
5.11068E-28
1.24108E+25 0.00634278
3.40712E-28
2.93723E+25 0.0100075
2.27141E-28
6.63246E+25 0.01506506
1.51427E-28
1.43013E+26 0.02165603
1.00952E-28
2.94692E+26 0.02974969
6.73011E-29
5.80717E+26 0.03908293
4.48674E-29
1.09507E+27 0.04913282
2.99116E-29
1.9772E+27 0.05914136
1.99411E-29
3.42003E+27 0.06819905
1.3294E-29
5.67005E+27 0.0753779
8.8627E-30
9.01392E+27 0.07988768
5.90847E-30
1.37462E+28 0.08121914
3.93898E-30
2.01164E+28 0.07923819
2.62598E-30
2.82588E+28 0.07420719
1.75066E-30
3.81165E+28 0.06672895
1.1671E-30
4.93782E+28 0.05762955

PROBABILITIES
1
E(X)
40
0
4.36E-21
2.87E-19
9.39E-18
0.09
2.02E-16
3.24E-15
0.08
4.1E-14
4.28E-13
0.07
3.79E-12
2.91E-11
0.06
1.96E-10
0.05
1.18E-09
6.35E-09
0.04
3.1E-08
1.38E-07
0.03
5.67E-07
2.14E-06
0.02
7.5E-06
2.44E-05
0.01
7.41E-05
0
0.000211
0 2 4 6 8
0.000562
0.001409
0.003329
0.007431
0.015687
0.031373
0.059529
0.107299
0.183941
0.300225
0.467017
0.692993
0.98174
1.32882
1.719649
2.129089
2.523365
2.86436
3.11562
3.248766
3.248766
3.116702
2.869345
2.5357

45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94

7.78069E-31
5.18713E-31
3.45809E-31
2.30539E-31
1.53693E-31
1.02462E-31
6.83079E-32
4.55386E-32
3.03591E-32
2.02394E-32
1.34929E-32
8.99528E-33
5.99685E-33
3.9979E-33
2.66527E-33
1.77684E-33
1.18456E-33
7.89709E-34
5.26473E-34
3.50982E-34
2.33988E-34
1.55992E-34
1.03995E-34
6.93297E-35
4.62198E-35
3.08132E-35
2.05421E-35
1.36948E-35
9.12984E-36
6.08656E-36
4.05771E-36
2.70514E-36
1.80343E-36
1.20228E-36
8.01522E-37
5.34348E-37
3.56232E-37
2.37488E-37
1.58325E-37
1.0555E-37
7.03668E-38
4.69112E-38
3.12741E-38
2.08494E-38
1.38996E-38
9.26641E-39
6.17761E-39
4.11841E-39
2.7456E-39
1.8304E-39

6.14485E+28
7.3471E+28
8.44135E+28
9.32066E+28
9.89131E+28
1.00891E+29
9.89131E+28
9.32066E+28
8.44135E+28
7.3471E+28
6.14485E+28
4.93782E+28
3.81165E+28
2.82588E+28
2.01164E+28
1.37462E+28
9.01392E+27
5.67005E+27
3.42003E+27
1.9772E+27
1.09507E+27
5.80717E+26
2.94692E+26
1.43013E+26
6.63246E+25
2.93723E+25
1.24108E+25
4.99881E+24
1.91735E+24
6.99575E+23
2.42519E+23
7.97761E+22
2.48653E+22
7.33207E+21
2.04184E+21
5.35983E+20
1.32342E+20
3.06645E+19
6.65013E+18
1.34586E+18
2.53338E+17
4.41869E+16
7.11054E+15
1.05042E+15
1.4163E+14
1.73103E+13
1.90223E+12
1.86088E+11
16007560800
1192052400

0.04781118
0.03811036
0.02919091
0.02148776
0.01520222
0.01033751
0.00675654
0.0042445
0.00256271
0.00148701
0.00082912
0.00044417
0.00022858
0.00011298
5.3616E-05
2.4425E-05
1.0678E-05
4.4777E-06
1.8006E-06
6.9396E-07
2.5623E-07
9.0587E-08
3.0646E-08
9.915E-09
3.0655E-09
9.0506E-10
2.5495E-10
6.8458E-11
1.7505E-11
4.258E-12
9.8407E-13
2.1581E-13
4.4843E-14
8.8152E-15
1.6366E-15
2.864E-16
4.7144E-17
7.2825E-18
1.0529E-18
1.4206E-19
1.7827E-20
2.0729E-21
2.2238E-22
2.1901E-23
1.9686E-24
1.604E-25
1.1751E-26
7.6639E-28
4.395E-29
2.1819E-30

2.151503
1.753077
1.371973
1.031412
0.744909
0.516876
0.344584
0.220714
0.135824
0.080298
0.045602
0.024874
0.013029
0.006553
0.003163
0.001465
0.000651
0.000278
0.000113
4.44E-05
1.67E-05
5.98E-06
2.05E-06
6.74E-07
2.12E-07
6.34E-08
1.81E-08
4.93E-09
1.28E-09
3.15E-10
7.38E-11
1.64E-11
3.45E-12
6.88E-13
1.29E-13
2.29E-14
3.82E-15
5.97E-16
8.74E-17
1.19E-17
1.52E-18
1.78E-19
1.93E-20
1.93E-21
1.75E-22
1.44E-23
1.07E-24
7.05E-26
4.09E-27
2.05E-28

95
96
97
98
99
100

1.22027E-39
8.13512E-40
5.42342E-40
3.61561E-40
2.41041E-40
1.60694E-40

75287520
3921225
161700
4950
100
1

9.1871E-32
3.19E-33
8.7697E-35
1.7897E-36
2.4104E-38
1.6069E-40

8.73E-30
3.06E-31
8.51E-33
1.75E-34
2.39E-36
1.61E-38

P(X=K)

8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68

P(X=K)

66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 100

E(X)=

P(X=K)
IN %

2
1

0.270670566
27.06705665

Occurrence
Applications of the Poisson distribution can be found in many fields related to counting:[22]

Telecommunication example: telephone calls arriving in a system.

Astronomy example: photons arriving at a telescope.
Biology example: the number of mutations on a strand of DNA per unit length.
Management example: customers arriving at a counter or call centre.
Civil engineering example: cars arriving at a traffic light.
Finance and insurance example: number of Losses/Claims occurring in a given period of Time.
Earthquake seismology example: an asymptotic Poisson model of seismic risk for large earthquakes. (Lomnitz, 1994).
Radioactivity example: Decay of a radioactive nucleus.
The Poisson distribution arises in connection with Poisson processes. It applies to various phenomena of discrete properties (that i
The number of soldiers killed by horse-kicks each year in each corps in the Prussian cavalry. This example was made famous by a b
The number of yeast cells used when brewing Guinness beer. This example was made famous by William Sealy Gosset (18761937
The number of phone calls arriving at a call centre within a minute. This example was made famous by A.K. Erlang (1878 1929).
Internet traffic.
The number of goals in sports involving two competing teams.
The number of deaths per year in a given age group.
The number of jumps in a stock price in a given time interval.
Under an assumption of homogeneity, the number of times a web server is accessed per minute.
The number of mutations in a given stretch of DNA after a certain amount of radiation.
The proportion of cells that will be infected at a given multiplicity of infection.
The arrival of photons on a pixel circuit at a given illumination and over a given time period.
The targeting of V-1 flying bombs on London during World War II.[24]
Gallagher in 1976 showed that the counts of prime numbers in short intervals obey a Poisson distribution provided a certain versio

arthquakes. (Lomnitz, 1994).

s phenomena of discrete properties (that is, those that may happen 0, 1, 2, 3, ... times during a given period of time or in a given area) whenever the pr
lry. This example was made famous by a book of Ladislaus Josephovich Bortkiewicz(18681931).
mous by William Sealy Gosset (18761937).*23+
ade famous by A.K. Erlang (1878 1929).

isson distribution provided a certain version of an unproved conjecture of Hardy and Littlewood is true.[25]

od of time or in a given area) whenever the probability of the phenomenon happening is constant in time or space. Examples of events that may be mo

e or space. Examples of events that may be modelled as a Poisson distribution include:

X' YEARS SINCE 1995 INCOME

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

y = 1882.3x + 52847

53807
55217
55209
55415
63100
63206
63761
65766

52847
54729.3
56611.6
58493.9
60376.2
62258.5
64140.8
66023.1
67905.4
69787.7
71670
73552.3
75434.6
77316.9
79199.2
81081.5

SCATTER PLOT AND CHART LAYOUT 9

70000
60000

INCOME

50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
0

4
Axis Title

y = 1882.3x + 52847
R = 0.8756

RT LAYOUT 9

INCOME
Linear (INCOME)

x
4
1
-1
-2

y
3
2
-1
-3

Y*
3.666667
0.738095
-1.21429
-2.19048

m
b

0.97619
-0.2381

y = 0.9762x - 0.2381
R = 0.8796

88% of total variation in (Y from Mean) is expalined by variation in x ( or regression line)

-3

-2

-1

sqrd err W/L

sqrd err from Mean Y
0.444444444
7.5625
1.592403628
3.0625
0.045918367
1.5625
0.655328798
10.5625
2.738095238

22.75

R^2

0.879644165

y = 0.9762x - 0.2381
R = 0.8796

Regression line
4

3
2
1
y

0
-1

-1

-2
-3
-4

Linear (y)