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Culture Documents
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AND
SOCIAL
COMMISSION
UNITED
FOR ASIA
NATIONS
AND THE
PACIFIC
A study on the economic impact of tourism in India was undertaken in response to the
request of the Government of India with financial assistance from the Government of Japan. The
report was prepared by Mr. G. Aaveendran and Mr. M.A. Saluja, Consultants.
The views expressed in the report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect
those of the United Nations. The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this
publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the
United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities,
or concerning
the delimitation
of its frontiers or boundaries.
CONTENTS
NO.
CHAPTERS
INTRODUCTION
II
III
POLICY
INTERNATIONAL
IV
AND
PLANNING
15
TOURISM RECEIPTS.
25
IN INDIA
33
VI
41
VII
69
POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS
83
DOMESTIC
TOURISM
ANNEXURES
INPUT-OUTPUT
COEFFICIENT
MATRIX
OF INDIAN ECONOMY (1983-84)
89
(61x61)
II
LEONTIEF
INVERSE
MATRIX
FOR 60 SECTORS
OPEN
III
LEONTIEF
INVERSE
MATRIX
FOR 61 SECTORS
CLOSED
SCHEDULES
PAGE
TITLE
T
1
INTERNATIONAL
VIII
OURISM
MODEL
MODEL
105
1.1
vi)
1.2
1
CHAPTER
INTRODUCTION
Objectives
of the Study
Tourism is essentially an expression of natural human instinct for experience, education and
entertainment.
The motivations for tourism also include social, religious and business interests.
The
economic consequences of this phenomenon are wide ranging and capable of influencing the development
process of several nations.
Many of the developing countries have, however. not been able to take
advantage of it in full measure due to a variety of reasons including lack of information on the significance
of tourism in the economy. particularly with regard to its contribution to national income. employment and
tax revenue. As a result, tourism is not given the required priority in the national development plans of thesecountries.
Recognizing the need for having a systematic approach to resolve the situation, the Economic
and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) developed guidelines for the application of inputoutput techniques for determining the impact of tourism in any country. A number of case studies were also
sponsored by the ESCAP to assist its member countries including India to undertake objective evaluations
by using the guidelines.
The basic objective of this study is to obtain a set of statistical indicators which
would describe the significance of tourism in the Indian economy. The specific components of the study
inter -alia include the following:-
i)
ii)
iii)
Study of expenditure
iv)
Review of dimensions
v)
Methodology
revenue
The study essentially involved a systematic analysis of historical data on tourism development in
India, an assessment of the profiles of foreign and domestic tourists and the application of input-output
analysis on their expenditure pattern.
The time series data on tourism were available from various
publications
of Department of Tourism and Planning Commission.
The profiles of tourists and the
characteristic features of their demand were obtained from foreign and domestic tourist surveys. The InputOutput Transactions Table (IOTT) of Indian economy was available from the Central Statistical Organization (CSO) for the year 1983-84.
The published 1-0 tables contained 60 sectors including hotels and
restaurants.
The first step in the study was to compile all the available data on Indian economy and tourism from
various sources including population censuses, economic censuses, enterprise surveys, etc., and
establishment of their comparability with the 1-0 tables. The significance of hotels and restaurants in the
Indian economy was also studied separately to establish a relationship between tourist expenditures and
the value of output of the sector.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) compiles the estimates of foreign exchange earnings from tourism
as a part of balance of payment statistics. The latest estimate available from the RBI was for the year 198889. Provisional estimates worked out by the Department of Tourism on the basis of foreign tourist arrivals
and average expenditure
per tourist were available for the later years.
There was a problem 9f
comparability in the RBI estimates as the method of estimation was partly revised during 1983-84. Some
adjustments were, therefore, made in the estimates to make them comparable over the years.
There is no regular mechanism for estimating the expenditure of domestic tourists on a year to year
basis. Though a survey of domestic tourists conducted during 1981-82 provided some estimates of total
expenditure,
it was considered to be less reliable due to partial coverage of the tourist centres.
The
estimate for 1983-84 was, therefore, derived indirectly by using the results of "Enterprise Survey 1983-84"
on hotels and restaurants.
The profile and expenditure pattern of foreign tourists were available from surveys being conducted
in India almost once in five years. The latest survey was conducted during 1988-89. A new approach called
"Split Sampling Technique" was used for the first time in the 1988-89 survey.
The technique essentially
involved the use of different sub-samples for collecting information on items relating to different aspects.
In fact, the various items of information were grouped into three different categories.
The first group of
items related to demographic variables, motivational aspects and places of visit in India.
All the
classificatory variables and those with large variances were included in this group. The second groups
related to the expenditure pattern and the third group to perceptions and evaluation of tourism infrastruc-ture.
The first and second groups of variables were included in one schedule and those in the first and third
groups were included in another schedule. These two schedules were used alternately for interviewing thetourists.
A Survey of tourists at their places of stay was also undertaken to validate the results of the exit
point survey and for assessing the expenditure pattern of the tourists in detail. The schedules used for the
survey are annexed at the end of the report (Schedules I to III).
In general, a stratified two-stage sampling design was adopted forthe exit point surveys. In the first
stage, random periods of time during the survey year were selected for each of the exit points. In the
second stage, tourists leaving the country through the exit points during the sample periods were selected
systematically for interviewing.
In the case of major international airports at Bombay, Calcutta, New Delhi
and Madras, the fifty two weeks of the year were divided into 13 periods of four consecutive weeks each.
During each of the four weeks period, the four airports were surveyed for a week each in a random order.
Tourists were selected from all the international flights departing from the airport during the selected
week. The sampling fraction was variable depending on the volume of traffic. At the other exit points, the
survey was conducted less frequently and the time periods were selected carefully to cover both lean and
peak tourist seasons.
A stratified multistage sampling scheme was adopted for the survey of tourists in the accommodation units. Each of the cities of Bombay, Calcutta, Delhi, Madras, Goa and Varanasi constituted a stratum
and the accommodation
units in these cities were classified into luxury, moderate and economy classes to
form three substrata.
The luxury class included five star and deluxe hotels while three star and four star
hotels constituted moderate class and all other hotels formed the economy class. The first stage unit of
time periods for the survey were selected as the two days following the period of survey in the respective
airports. The required number of accommodation establishments were then selected from each substratum by using simple random sampling.
All the foreign tourists who were staying in the selected hotels
during the previous night were then listed and a random sample was selected for the purpose of the survey.
The total sample size for the survey was fixed as 5,000 tourists and they were allocated over various strata
on the basis of the percentage of tourists spending at least a night in those cities.
They were further
distributed over various substrata on the basis of the pattern of use of accommodation units by the foreigntourists.
The expenditure
data were, then, collected from the selected tourists for the previous day and
for the period since the arrival in the country.
..
The profile and expenditure pattern of domestic tourists were obtained from two surveys conducted
during 1981-82. The first survey covering 55 centres was conducted as a part of the study on "Employment
Potential of Tourism in India" and the second survey was a "Pilot Study on Domestic Tourism", covering 22
centres. In both the surveys, the centres were selected purposively to coverthe tourists of different income
classes, purposes and interests. The sample size was fixed apriori and distributed among different centres
on the basis of their importance.
The patterns of expenditure revealed by the foreign and domestic tourist surveys were further
adjusted to conform to 1-0 tables by using transport and trade margins estimated by the Central Statistical
Organization (CSO). The adjusted expenditure vectors were used for deriving direct, indirect and induced
impacts in the economy in terms of income, employment and tax revenue.
The impact analysis was carried out by using both open and closed 1-0 models. In the closed
model, the private consumption expenditure was taken as the last column and the sector-wise value added
figures were taken as the last row. The computation of inverse matrices and their multiplication with
expenditure vectors were carried out by using standard software packages in personal computers.
The
results thus obtained were used to evaluate the significance of tourism in comparison to other sectors of
the economy.
1.3
Problems
and Limitations
Tourism is a composite industry consisting of several segments whose products and services are
being used both by the local population and tourists.
Some of these segments like travel agents, touroperators,
tourist transport operators, guide services, etc., still do not find a place in the statistical system
of the country and as such no worthwhile information is available about them. An attempt was, therefore,
made to collect statistical information about this sector through a survey (Schedule IV annexed). Even in
the case of sectors for which data are available on a regular basis it was not possible to quantify the services
provided to tourists separately. The validation of the estimates of tourist expenditure from the performance
data of industries was, therefore, not feasible.
There were serious problems in the comparability
of data available from population censuses,
economic censuses, follow-up surveys and other regular surveys due to differences in concepts, definitions
and methodology.
The employment data were also not available according to the classification of sectors
followed in the 1-0 tables. The estimation of employment coefficients became difficult because of these
data problems and it introduced a kind of upward bias in some of the sectors.
A major difficulty in the completion of the study was the non-availability
of data on the use of
imported raw materials by various sectors. As a result, it has not been possible to estimate the additional
import requirements in the economy due to tourist expenditure.
CHAPTER
TOURISM
2.1
POLICY
II
AND
PLANNING
The development process in the history of nations is basically a set of human activities.
These
activities invariably relate to the physical and phsycological needs of people at any given point of time. In
general, the basic human instincts, his social and economic needs and desire for materialistic comforts are
the main factors which activate the development process.
It is a basic human instinct to travel and experience the diversities of life.
This universal
phenomenon cuts across all artificial barriers and boundaries of nations. The motivations of travel are,
however, varied and diverse. Many nomadic tribes travelled across the vast lands of earth in search of food
and wealth in the pre-historic age. There were also many conquerors who went across the countries in
quest of new treasures. With the onset of civilization, the motivations of travel also assumed new forms.
The community of business travellers, explorers and pleasure seekers emerged as new group of tourists.
Technological
advances in the twentieth century opened up new horizons for travel.
The distances
between different countries of the world reduced due to advances in the fields of aviation and communication. Better transport facilities and comforts also became an inducement for travel.
The post world war period witnessed spectacular economic growth in many countries and as a
consequence the disposable income of people increased substantially.
This increased purchasing power,
coupled with more leisure time and paid holidays as well as changes in consumer demand for non-material
goods induced a boom in tourist movements across the world. Over a short span of time, tourism emerged
as one of the most significant economic and social activities of the world. It soon becamA a vital instrument
for economic growth and social change in several countries.
2.2
Recognition
of Tourism
in India
The recognition of tourism as an instrument of economic and social development has been rather
late in most of the developing countries including India. It was only during 1946, the importance of tourism
was first recognized in India when a Committee under the Chairmanship
of Sir John Sargeant was
appointed to advise the Government on the development of tourism. The Government of India took note
of tourism phenomenon and its economic implications only thereafter and led to the establishment of a 'Tourist
Traffic Branch' in 1949 in the Ministry of Transport. In 1952, the Government of India opened a tourist oriice
at New York and began a close relationship between the Department of Tourism and Air India in promoting
tourist traffic to India. In 1955, the Air India established a "Tourism Cell" in their headquarters at Bombay
and a Government of India Tourist Office was opened at London. Another significant development during
the period was the expansion of the "Tourism Section" in the Ministry of Transport into a full-fledged
"Directorate of Tourism in 1958".
2.3
Second
Tourism became a constituent of national development plan during Second Five Year Plan (195661) with an allocation of As. 33.63 million including As. 17.84 million in the State sector. The emphasis
during this plan was mainly on providing accommodation, transport and recreational facilities at important
tourist centres, especially those situated in far off places. Broadly, the development schemes taken up
during the Plan could be classified into three categories viz (a) schemes for the development of facilities
at a limited number of places visited largely by the foreign tourists and wholly financed by the Central
Government,
(b) schemes intended to provide facilities for domestic tourists at centres visited both by
foreign and domestic tourists and financed both by Central and State Governments in the ratio of 50:50
and (c) schemes which were wholly financed and executed by the State Governments for the development
of centres of regional and local importance. The allocation and expenditure on those schemes during the
Plan period are given in table 2.1.
TABLE 2.1
ALLOCATION
AND
EXPENDITURE
FOR TOURISM
SECOND
FIVE YEAR PLAN
SCHEMES
DURING
(Rs.
Category
Central
Sector
8.35
3.75
7.44
4.94
State
c
TOTAL
2.4
Third
15.79
8.69
Total
Sector
in million)
3.75
8.35
7.44
10.40
4.94
8.50
14.88
9.88
10.40
8.50
17.84
13.44
33.63
22.13
The tourism development programmes for the Third Five Year Plan (1961-66) were also largely
concentrated on the provision of facilities like accommodation and transport except for a major scheme for
the establishment of a "Winter Sports Complex" at Gulmarg in Jammu and Kashmir State. The Plan period
thus witnessed the beginning of an era for the development of activities connected with tourism,
particularly adventure tourism. The total plan allocation was As. 80 million including As. 45 million in the
State sector. The categorywise allocation and expenditure during the Plan period are given in table 2.2.
TABLE 2.2
ALLOCATION
AND
EXPENDITURE
FOR TOURISM
THIRD FIVE YEAR PLAN
SCI+EMES
DURING
(Rs. in million)
Category
Central
Allocation
Sector
Expenditure
State
Allocation
29.20
9.74
5.80
4.77
5.80
TOTAL
35.00
14.51
Total
Sector
Expenditure
Allocation
Expenditure
29.20
9.74
11.60
9.54
39.20
4.77
31.76
39.20
31.76
45.00
36.53
80.00
51.04
(Rs.
There were also a number of other significant developments during the Plan period which could
be regarded as land marks in the evolutionary history of Indian tourism.
A committee under the
Chairmanship
of Shri L .K. Jha, the then Secretary, Department of Economic Affairs was set up by the
Government in 1962 to suggest ways and means for increasing the flow of tourist traffic to India. The terms
of reference of the committee included the following:-
(i)
(ii)
examine the existing rules and procedures regarding visas, customs and other formalities
with a view to facilitate entry and exit of tourists;
(iii)
(iv)
suggest measures necessary to ensure that the foreign exchange earned from tourism
resulting from its expansion is protected against leakages.
and
The committee in its report submitted to the Government in 1963 , made several recommendations
covering almost all aspects of tourism development in the country including travel formalities, airport and
transport facilities, hotels, publicity and promotion, shopping and entertainment facilities, development of
tourist centres and training of personnel for tourism. By and large, these recommendations were accepted
and implemented by the Government.
One of the recommendations
of Jha Committee was to set up a Corporation which could take over
some of the functions of the Department of Tourism such as publicity and promotion abroad. The India
Tourism Development
Corporation (ITDC) was thus established in 1966 to develop infrastructure and
promote India as a tourist d'estination.
In the aviation sector, the Government agreed in 1965 to allow tourist charters by non-scheduled
carriers to come to India. The total number of such charters were, however, limited to 50 per year.
2.5
Annual
Plans (1966-69)
The basic approach towards tourism development and the commitment of the Government
continued to be the same during the Annual Plans from 1966 to 1969. The allocation and expenditure
during these three Plan years are given in table 2.3.
TABLE 2.3
ALLOCATION
AND EXPENDITURE
FOR TOURISM SCHEMES
ANNUAL PLANS FROM 1966 TO 1969
DURING
in million)
Category
Central
Allocation
16.75
8.12
State
Sector
Expenditu
re
Allocation
Expenditure
16.75
6.93
8.12
3.44
16.24
6.88
36.99
27.86
36.99
27.86
45.11
31.30
69.98
41.67
6.93
3.44
c
TOTAL
24.87
Total
Sector
10.37
Allocation
Expenditure
2.7
In a determined effort to increase the tourist traffic from Europe, the Government launched the
"Operation Europe Scheme" in 1968. It was a unique scheme under which the Department of Tourism and
the national carrier, Air India, formed a single team for stepping up the promotional efforts in Europe.
2.6
Fourth
Five Year
Plan (1969-74)
The Fourth Five Year Plan (1969-74) introduced major changes in the development strategy fortourism.
The broad approach became expansion and improvement of tourist facilities with a view to
promote" destination traffic" as distinct from "transit traffic". The Plan envisaged integrated development
of selected areas and encouragement
of "charter traffic". Emphasis was also laid on the provision ofaccommodatio
transport and recreational facilities. The outlay provided for tourism schemes during the
Plan period was 458.88 million including As. 110.8 million in the State Sector. The schemes of the Central
Government were (i) loans to hotel industry in the private sector, (ii) loans for the purchase of tourist
vehicles by private operators, and (iii) integrated development of selected centres. An outlay of As. 127.7
million was provided to ITOC for the construction of hotels, motels and cottages, renovation and expansion
of tourist bungalows, setting up of transport units and establishment of duty free shops. In the State Plans,
provision was largely made for domestic tourist facilities, which generally included construction of low
income rest houses, development of tourist centres and undertaking publicity. The outlay and expenditure
during Fourth Plan period are given in table 2.4.
TABLE 2.4
ALLOCATION
AND EXPENDITURE
FOR TOURISM
DURING FOURTH FIVE YEAR PLAN
SCHEMES
(As. in million)
Allocation
Sector
Central
Sector
(a)
(b)
State
Expenditure
Department
ITDC
Sector
TOTAL
220.38
127.70
127.95
122.58
110.80
163.18
458.88
413.71
The major developments during the Plan period were the introduction of Group Inclusive Tour (GIT)
and excursion
fares by Air India in 1969, launching of operation the United Kingdom and operation
America schemes during 1970, introduction of Himalayan Tourism concept by Air India in 1971 and
creation of a Congresses and Conventions Unit in the Tourism Cell of Air India in 1974.
Fifth Five Year Plan (1974-78)
The Government strategy for tourism development was further intensified during Fifth Plan period
(1974-78). The emphasis was on integrated development of selected tourist centres like Kovalam, Goa,
Gulmarg and Kulu-Manali which became the symbolic models of resort tourism in India. The other
investment priorities during the Plan period were (a) provision of additional accommodation and transportfacilities,
and (b) tourism promotion and publicity in the overseas markets. The outlay provided during the
Plan period was As. 592.82 million including As. 285.23 million in the State sector.
The sectorwise
allocation and expenditure are given in table 2.5.
2.8
Annual
Plans (1978-80)
The planning strategy on tourism did not undergo any change during the Annual Plans from 1978
to 1980. The allocation and expenditure on tourism during these two years of Annual Plan are given in table
2.6.
8
TABLE 2.5
ALLOCATION
AND EXPENDITURE
DURING FIFTH FIVE
FOR TOURISM
YEAR PLAN
SCHEMES
(As. in million)
Central
Sector
(a)
(b)
State
Department
ITDG
Sector
TOTAL
179.69
127.90
285.23
142.51
115.73
291.37
592.82
549.61
TABLE 2.6
ALLOCATION
AND EXPENDITURE
FOR TOURISM SCHEMES
DURING ANNUAL PLANS FROM 1978 TO 1980
(As. in million)
Sector
Central
Department
ITDC
Sector
TOTAL
2.9
Expenditure
Sector
(a)
(b)
State
Allocation
Sixth
56.97
127.32
267.66
35.26
127.80
213.25
451.95
376.31
The Sixth Plan (1980-85) spelt out the objectives of investment in the tourism sector as (i)
optimisation of the use of existing capacity, and (ii) to increase substantially the tourist accommodation in
the public and private sectors. The outlay provided forthe sector during the Plan period was As. 1,799.60
million including As. 1,129.60 million in the State sector. The emphasis in the programmes of Department
of Tourism was on the development of selected beaches, mountain resorts, wild life and cultural tourism,
training and overseas promotion.
The loan assistance scheme to hotels was converted into interest
subsidy scheme through Industrial Finance Corporation of India. In the case of ITDC, the expenditure was
increased to As. 534.72 million beyond the original allocation, mainly for large scale capacity expansion
and equity participation in the joint venture projects with State Governments.
An important development
during the Plan was the establishment of Indian Institute of Tourism and Travel Management (IITTM) in
1983 as an apex institution for tourism education. The categorywise allocation and expenditure during the
Plan period are given in table 2.7.
TABLE 2.7
ALLOCATION
AND EXPENDITURE
FOR TOURISM
DURING SIXTH FIVE YEAR PLAN
SCHEMES
(As. in million)
Central
Sector
State Sector
250.00
420.00
1,129.60
1,143.63
TOTAL
1,799.60
1,889.48
(a)
(b)
Department
ITDC
211.13
534.72
2.10
Tourism
Policy
1982
By the beginning of Sixth Plan, tourism emerged as an important segment of Indian economy
contributing
substantially to foreign exchange earnings, employment generation and backward area
development.
The Government, thus came out with a written policy on tourism in the year 1982. The
endeavour of the Government in the field of tourism was clearly spelt out in the Policy as stated below:"The many attractions of India hold virtually an unlimited potential for tourism development.
The endeavour, therefore, will be to convert this vast potential
into reality through wellplanned, well-defined
and fully integrated national programmes of tourism development."
The objectives
programmes
and
(i)
It becomes a unifying
through travel.
internationally
fostering
better understanding
(ii)
It helps to preserve, retain and enrich our world view and life style, our cultural expressions
and heritage in all its manifestations.
The prosperity that tourism brings must cause accretion
and strength rather than damage to our social and cultural values and depletion of our natural
resources. In tourism, India must present itself on its own terms -not as an echo or imitation
of other countries, other cultures and other lifestyles.
(iii)
It brings socio-economic
benefits to the community and the State in terms of employment
opportunities,
income generation,
revenue generation for the States, foreign exchange
earnings and, in general, causes human habitat improvement.
(iv)
It gives a direction and opportunity to the youth of the country both through international and
domestic tourism to understand the aspirations and viewpoints of others and thus to bring
about a greater national integration and cohesion.
(v)
It also offers opportunities to the youth of the country not only for employment but also for
taking up activities of nation building character like sports, adventure and the like. Thus as
a programme for the moulding of the youth of the country, tourism is of inestimable value.
The policy also specified the responsibility for tourism development as a common endeavour.
It
stated; "While broadly the promotion of international tourism would be mainly the responsibility of the
Central Sector, and that of domestic tourism primarily of the State Sector, the Centre would playa
coordinating
role supplementing
the State effort wherever necessary.
Further, tourism development
cannot solely be the responsibility of the Government. It has to be a common endeavour of all the agencies
vitally concerned with its development at Central and State levels, of public sector undertakings and the
private sector, of airlines, railways and communication
systems, municipal and local bodies and
educational and cultural organizations.
This combined effort would be directed towards achieving acomprehensiv
well-rounded
and integrated development enabling tourism to make a positive and
effective contribution to the economic growth of the country".
The policy also laid down a plan of action to maximize the benefits of tourism. The development
of tourism infrastructure was proposed to be taken up in a 5 to 10 year perspective based on a "travelcircuit" concept. It was intended to achieve intensive development of selected centres, dispel the tendency
of concentration in a few urban centres, encourage the diversification of tourist attractions and opening
up economically backward areas which hold many tourist attractions.
To involve the youth of the country
in national integration and make tourism a vehicle for achieving this objective, youth hostel activities were
given significant importance. In order to augment tourism facilities for the lower middle class and the poorer
sections of the society, cheap accommodation in the form of 'Oharamshalas' , 'Sarais', etc., were proposed
to be provided.
Marketing strategies were required to be adopted to broaden the tourist base in existing
markets, explore new tourist markets and promote and facilitate intra-regional travel, particularly from
neighbouring countries.
M-anpower development and training were also to be given due weightage to
ensure efficient service and effective management of tourist facilities. The tourism development in Sixth
Plan was thus supported by a well documented national policy which became the basis for all the
Government initiatives.
10
2.11
Seventh
The Seventh Five Year Plan (1985-90) recognized tourism as a priority sector and sought to
provide the most needed support facilities for its sustained growth. The sector was accorded the status of
an industry and its development was included as a plan objective for the first time in the planning process.
The objectives of the tourism plan were stated as (i) redefining of the role of public and private sectors to
ensure private investment in developing tourism and to direct public sector investment mainly on the
development of support infrastructure, and (ii) exploiting tourism potential to support local handicrafts and
other creative arts to promote national integration. The thrust areas of tourism planning were designated
as follows:Development of selected tourist centres/circuits which are popular with the tourists instead of
spreading limited resources thinly over a large number of circuits.
Diversification
of tourism to India from the traditional sight seeing tours to the more rapidly
growing holiday tourism market within the framework of country's milieu with a conscious
attention to the aesthetic, environmental and socio-cultural implications of tourism projects.
Development
of non-traditonal
Exploration of new tourist markets particularly in the Middle East and East Asian countries
who have cultural affinity with India and launching of a programme of "Discover Your Roots"
and vigorous marketing of conference and convention traffic.
Launching of a national image building and marketing plan in key markets by pooling the
resources of various public and private agencies instead of independent and disjointed efforts
undertaken by those organizations to project a better image of the country.
Provision
of inexpensive
and
In line with the priority assigned for the sector, the Plan outlay for tourism promotion was also
increased during Seventh Plan. The total allocation was kept at As. 3,261.50 million including As. 1,874.70
million in the State sector. The sectorwise allocation and expenditure are given in table 2.8.
TABLE 2.8
ALLOCATION
AND EXPENDITURE
FOR TOURISM
DURING SEVENTH FIVE YEAR PLAN
SCHEMES
(As. in million)
Sector
Allocation
Expenditure
Central Sector
(a)
(b)
State
Sector
TOTAL
IDepartmentITDG
I
986.80
400.00
1,511.70
488.70
1,874.70
2,369.50
3,261.50
4,369.90
11
The major schemes for tourism development in the Central Sector included Integrated development of Budhist Pilgrimage centres, construction of inexpensive accommodation
units like Yatrikas and
Yatriniwases at different places to meet the demand of budget tourists, provision of wayside facilities for
highway tourism, development of beach and hill resorts, adventure tourism and watersports, promotion of
fairs and festivals, etc.. Considerable step up was also made in the outlay for overseas publicity and
marketing. In the case of ITOC, the Plan envisaged sustained efforts to improve the profitability of its
existing hotels through different measures including improvement in the occupancy ratio. ITOC was also
assigned the task of constructing hotels of 3-star category as joint venture projects with State Governments.
Study
on Tourism
Policy
(1987)
In recognition of its increased importance, the Lok Sabha Secretariat of Indian Parliament made a
study on the "Tourism Policy of Government of India" in 1987. The study recognized tourism as a catalyst
to economic growth, a melting pot of different cultures and a vital force for world peace.
National
Committee
on Tourism
(1986-88)
A significant development during Seventh Plan period was the constitution of a National Committee
on Tourism (NCT) by the Government to evaluate the economic and social relevance of international and
domestic tourism of India, define the roles of Central Ministries, State Government.
Public and Private
Institutions and recommend proposals for drawing up a long term plan for promoting the growth of tourism
on desired lines. The specific terms of reference of the Committee were the following:Evaluate the economic and social relevance
of international
infrastructure
and facilitation
Develop a planned market strategy based on scientific research and consistent with on-going
responses of the market needs through a realistic communication strategy.
Determine and define the role of the Central Ministries, State Governments,
Public and
Private institutions in the promotion of tourism and suggest a mechanism for monitoring the
performance of these agencies against the well defined economic yardstick.
Assess the manpower needs for development of tourism sector and to recommend appropriate
training programmes for manpower development.
Recommend organizational and institutional measures to systematise
the tourism sector 9n a sound technical and economic basis.
The Committee in its report submitted to the Government in 1988 highlighted the significance of
tourism in the Indian context and made several recommendations
which mainly included a package of
incentives for attracting
private investment in the tourism sector, suggestions
for organizational
restructuring of Central and State institutions and measures for meeting the manpower requirements of the
sector. This report soon became the basis of tourism policy and planning in India. The major initiatives that
followed were (i) establishment of a Tourism Finance Corporation (TFCI) in 1989, (ii) provision of a number
of fiscal and financial incentives for investment in tourism sector, (iii) liberalisation of air charter policy, (iv)
streamlining and simplification of travel formalities, (v) improvement of facillitation services at the airports,
(vi) diversification of tourism resources, and (vii) expansion and improvement of training facilities in the field
of tourism.
12
3.
2.14
Annual
Plans (1990-92)
The Annual Plans 1990-91 and 1991-91 were virtually the continuation
of the policies and
programmes initiated during Seventh Plan except that the Plan allocations were substantially increased
and infrastructural development schemes were given added importance. The Plan outlay and expenditure
during the year 1990-91 and the allocation and anticipated expenditure for 1991-92 are given in table 2.9.
TABLE
ALLOCATION
2.9
AND EXPENDITURE
FOR TOURISM SCHEMES
ANNUAL
PLANS 1990-91 AND 1991-92
DURING
(As. in million)
Central Sector
(a) Department
(b) ITDC
State Sector
TOTAL
(*):
2.15
675.00
155.00
644.30
577.70
89.10
648.04
740.00
160.00
844.60
701.50
98.00
805.50
1,474.30
1,314.84
1,744.60
1,605.00
Anticipated
An Overview
In the context of India, tourism was not even considered as an economic activity till independence
in 1947. It also did not find a place in the constitution of India, though some of its components were
specifically mentioned in the schedules indicating the allocation of business between Central and State
Governments.
The realisation of tourism as an economic force was first expressed in the appointment
of Sargeant Committee,
and the report of the committee clearly spelt out the significance of tourism in
a national perspective.
It led to the establishment the "Tourist Traffic Branch" in the Ministry of Transport
in 1949. The First Five Year Plan of the country, however, did not take note of the tourism phenomenon
and the sector remained without a separate plan allocation. Tourism became a constituent of planning
process in the Second Five Year Plan with a small allocation of As. 33.63 million. The sector received
increasingly greater attention over successive five year plans and the real breakthrough
was achieved
during Sixth and Seventh Plans. Tourism was also accorded the status of an industry during Seventh Planperiod.
The plan-wise allocations and expenditures are summarized in table 2.10.
TABLE
PLAN
2.10
ALLOCATIONS
AND EXPENDITURES
FOR TOURISM
SUCCESSIVE
PLAN PERIODS
OVER
(As. in million)
2.
4.
Second Plan
(1956-61)
Third Plan
(1961-66)
Annual Plans
(1966-69)
Four1h Plan
(1969-74)
15.79
8.69
17.84
13.44
33.63
22.13
35.00
14.51
45.00
36.53
80.00
51.04
24.87
10.37
45.11
31.30
69.98
41.67
348.08
250.53
110.80
163.18
458.88
413.71
13
(As. In million)
51.
Plan
No.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Central
Allocation
Fifth Plan
(1974-78)
Annual Plans
(1978-80)
Sixth Plan
(1980-85)
Seventh Plan
(1985-90)
Sector
State
Expenditure
Allocation
Total
Sector
Expenditure
Allocation
307.59
258.24
285.23
291.37
592.82
549.61
184.29
163.06
267.66
213.25
451.95
366.65
670.00
745.85
1.129.60
1,143.63
1.799.60
1.889.48
2.369.50
3,261.50
4,369.90
1,386.80
2,000.40
1,874.70
9.
Annual Plan
(1990-91 )
830.00
666.80
644.30
648.04
1.474.30
10.
Annual Plan
(1991-92)
900.00
799.50
644.60
805.50
1.744.60
Source:
Expenditure
1.605.00
Planning Commission
The tourism policy was evolved over a period of several years since 1949 and the inputs provided
by various committees and working groups were incorporated in the policy document of 1982. India also
had the previlege of learning from the experiences of other nations while formulating its tourism policy.
In essence, the Government of India has adopted a progressive attitude towards tourism with adequate
safeguards to protect the ecology, environment and socio-cultural systems of the country. Tourism has
now been recognized as an important segment of Indian economy with considerable
potential for
development.
1.314.84
14
Decade
2.
3.4.
CHAPTER III
INTERNATIONAL
3.1
Growth
in Tourist
TOURIST
ARRIVALS
IN INDIA
Arrivals
According to the definition followed in India "an international tourist is a person visiting India on a
foreign passport, staying at least twenty-four hours in the country and the purpose of whose journey can
be classified under one of the following:
i)
leisure
(recreation,
ii)
Business,
Nationals of Nepal entering India through land routes and the visitors arriving through Indo-Bhutan
border are not included in the foreign tourist arrival statistics.
Though international tourists have been visiting India since ancient times, a count of such visitors
was first taken only during 1951, and on the basis of the same, the country received 16,829 tourists during
that year. Over a period of nine years since then, the visitors to India exceeded 123 thousands per year
by registering an annual rate of growth of about 24.7 per cent. The next decade from 1960 to 1970,
however, witnessed a low rate of growth of about 8.6 per cent per year and arrivals exceeded 280
thousands by 1970. The tourist arrivals received a greater momentum during the decade from 1970 to 1980
and by 1976 the arrivals reached half a million. It thus took about 25 years since 1951 for the tourist arrivals
to reach at least a moderate level and by 1980 it went upto over 800 thousands. The average annual rate
of growth during the decade was about 11 per cent. The period from 1980 to 1990 registered wide
fluctuations in growth rates which ranged fro!n -5.6 per cent to 29.1 per cent. While the growth during the
period from 1980 to 85 was almost negligible, the year 1986 registered a remarkable growth of 29.1
per cent over the previous year. The arrivals also exceeded one million for the first time during that year.
It, thus, took only ten years since 1976 for the arrivals to get doubled and cross the one million mark. The
tempo in growth was maintained till 1 989 with annual increases varying from 6.5 per cent to 7.8 per cent.
The year 1990, however, recorded a decline of 0.5 per cent in tourist arrivals due to various national and
international developments including the Persian Gulf crisis. The average rate of growth during the decadewas,
thus, only 5.2 per cent. Over a period of about four decades from 1951 to 1990, the growth rate
achieved was 11.9 per cent per annum.
As compared to an average annual rate of growth of 7.3 per cent in world tourist arrivals, the growth
of tourism in India has been faster since 1951. The comparative growth rates during different decades are
given in table 3.1.
TABLE 3.1
COMPARATIVE
GROWTH RATES IN TOURIST
WORLD TOURIST ARRIVALS
OVER
Sl.
Annual
No.
Indian Arrivals
Growth
World
Arrivals
24.7
8.6
10.6
1970-1980
11.0
6.0
5.2
4.2
1980-1990
AND
Rate
1960-1970
1950-1960
Sources;
TRAFFIC
TO INDIA
THE DECADES
8.7
1.
2.
Tourism Trends Worldwide and in Europe 1950-90 by World Tourism Organization (WTO)
15
Though, there has been a phenomenal increase in the tourist arrivals over the years, the share of
India in the world tourism still continues to be around 0.3 per cent. A comparison of world tourist arrivals
with Indian tourism is given in table 3.2
TABLE 3.2
COMPARISON
OF WORLD TOURIST ARRIVALS
WITH INDIAN
(Excluding
the nationals of Pakistan and Bangladesh)
Year
World Tourist
Arrivals
1960
1970
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
19861987
1988
1989
1990
Sources: 1.
2.
Tourist Arrivals
in India
Million
Index
Number
1960=100
69.3
159.7
284.8
288.8
286.8
284.2
312.4
322.7
330.5
356.8
381.9
414.2
429.3
100.0
230.4
411.0
416.7
413.8
410.1
450.8
465.6
476.9
514.9
551.1
597.7
619.5
India Tourist
Tourism
TOURISM
Million
Number
% Share of
Index
India
1960=100
0.12
0.28
0.80
0.85
0.86
0.88
0.84
0.84
1.08
1.16
1.34
1.33
100.0
0.18
228.1
0.18
650.0
0.28
693.1
0.29
698.8
0.30
718.7
0.31
678.7
0.270.26
679.9
877.4
0.32
945.41007.31086.31080.4
0.33
0.32
0.32
0.31
by World Tourism
Organization
1.24
Statistics
Trends
Worldwide
(WTO)
The nationals of Pakistan and Bangladesh were not included in the tourist arrival statistics till 1980
due to difficulties in collecting the data from a large number of land check posts. The arrivals from these
countries were also subject to large fluctuations due to a variety of reasons. All types of analysis of foreign
tourist arrivals in India, therefore, exclude these nationals. However, for providing a total picture, the
comparative figures including the nationals of Pakistan and Bangladesh are given in table 3.3.
TABLE
COMPARISON
OF WORLD
TOURIST
3.3
ARRIVALS
WITH
INDIAN
TOURISM
World Tourist
Arrivals
Tourist Arrivals
in India
1981
100.0
1982
99.3
98.4
108.2
111.7
114.4
123.5
132.2
143.4
148.6
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
Sources:
1.2.
% Share
100.0
100.7
102.0
113.4
116.0
0.44
0.45
0.46
0.44
0.39
0.44
0.41
124.3
135.7
133.4
0.42
0.42
0.40
93.3
98.5
16
by World Tourism
Organization
(WTO)
of
3.2
Tourist
Generating
Markets
of India
The primary tourist generating markets of India are West Europe and North America. These two
regions taken together accounted for about 55.6 per cent of the total arrivals during 1990. Individually, the
share of West Europe, has been increasing steadily over the years. It went up from 37.7 per cent in 1970
to 43 per cent in 1990. The major countries in West Europe contributing to the Indian tourism are the United.
Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, France and the Federal Republic of Germany. While the
share of the United Kingdom increased from 15.4 per cent in 1970 to 17.7 per cent in 1990, the share of
the other two countries remained almost static over the years. The United Kingdom is, in fact, the top tourist
generating country for India today.
The United States of America was on the top of all the countries till 1973. However, the share of
this country declined steadily over the years and became 9.4 per cent in 1990 as compared to 20.9
per cent in 1970.
West Asia with 8.5 per cent of the arrivals is another region which has emerged as an important
tourist market for India, though its contribution to the world arrivals is relatively insignificant.
Over theyears,
the share of this region in the total tourist traffic to India improved from 4.3 per cent in 1970 to 10.8
per cent in 1986. It, however, declined to 8.5 per cent in 1990 due to economic and political situation
prevailing in that region.
Among the Asian countries, outside the South-Asia region, Japan and Australia are the two major
contributors to Indian tourism. While the share of Japan was about 4.4 per cent during 1990, it was about
2.8 per cent in the case of Australia.
A comparative analysis of tourist arrivals in Indian from different regions and important countries,
excluding the nationals of Pakistan and Bangladesh is given in table 3.4.
YEARWISE
United Kingdom
West Asia
South-East
Asia
United States
Canada
Australia
Rest of the world
TABLE 3.4
TOURIST ARRIVALS FROM MAJOR
43,212
(15.4)
16,832
(6.0)
16,279
(5.9)
29,103
(10.4)
6,501
(2.3)
12,170
(4.3)
20,009
(7.1)
9,432
(3.4)
58,793
(20.9)
7,026
(2.5)
11,901
(4.2)
49,563
(17.6)
102,483
(12.8)
58,682
(7.3)
54,736
(6.8)
101,931
(12.7)
20,362
(2.5)
38,801
(4.8)
78,106
(9.8)
30,575
(3.9)
78,608
(9.8)
23,783
(3.0)
22,630
(2.8)
189,453
(2:1.8)
TOTAL
17
119,544
(14,3)
44,091
(5,3)
44,790
(5.4)
96,983
(11.6)
28,774
(3.4)
90,820
(10.8)
54,663
(6.5)
30,573
(3.6)
95,920
(11.5)
29,022
(3.5)
22,045
(2.6)
179,681
(21.5)
MARKETS
229,496
(17.2)
78,001
(5.8)
78,431
(5.9)
186.443
(13.9)
59,624
(4.5)
121,792
(9.1)
82,767
(6.2)
58,707
(4.4)
134,314
(10.0)
40,306
(3.0)
30,443
(2.3)
236,908
(17.7)
235,151
(17.7)
79,496
(6.0)
70,346
(5.3)
187,464
(14.1)
55,083
(4.1)
112,383
(8.5)
87,911
(6.6)
59,122
(4.4)
125,303
(9.4)
41,046
(3.1)
30,076
(2.3)
246,569
(18.5)
3.3
Seasonality
in Tourist
Arrivals
There is a high degree of seasonality in the foreign tourist traffic to India. The winter months of
October to December constitute the peak tourist season followed by the first quarter, January to March.
The summer months of April to June are the lean season with the lowest number of tourist arrivals. On the
basis of the tourist arrival figures for the last 10 years, the quarterly indices of seasonality have been
worked out and given in table 3.5.
TABLE 3.5
aUARTERL
Y INDICES
OF SEASONALITY
1.
2.3.
January-March
4.
July-September
October-December
3.4
IN FOREIGN
ARRIVALS
108.6
77.0
95.2
April-June
Purpose
TOURIST
119.2
of Visit
Holiday and sightseeing is predominantly the main purpose of visit of foreign tourists visiting India
and the percentage of such tourists has been increasing continuously over the years. However, the
percentage of business tourists to India is on the decline. The distribution of tourists according to main
purpose of visit during 1986 and 1990 are given in table 3.6.
TABLE 3.6
DISTRIBUTION
81. No.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.7.
OF TOURISTS
ACCORDING
Purpose
TO MAIN
PURPOSE
1986
OF VISIT
1990
Number
Per cent
Number
Per cent
613,262
56.8
962,884
72.4
Business
248,270
23.0
227,421
17.1
110,036
10.2
74,477
5.6
52,973
4.9
34,579
2.6
13,773
1.3
5,320
0.4
1,960
0.2
3.6
2,660
0.2
22,609
1.7
Study
Conference and mission
Cultural and socia! function
Others
Total
39,776
100.0
1,080,050
1,329,950
100.0
The results of foreign tourist surveys conducted during 1982-83 and 1988-89 also confirm the
steady increase in the percentage of pleasure tourists visiting India. While the pleasure tourists constituted
43.0 per cent during 1982-83,it increased to 57.9 per cent by 1988-89. The comparative estimates are
given in table 3.7.
18
Total
TABLE 3.7
COMPARATIVE
ESTIMATES
OF TOURISTS
PURPOSE OF VISIT AS REVEALED
81. No. Purpose of visit
ACCORDING TO MAIN
BY SURVEYS
Percentage
of tourists
1988-89 survey
1982-83 survey
,.
Pleasure
43.0
57.9
2.
Business
25.2
3.
4.
5.
Study
4.6
3.1
22.4
7.3
4.3
3.0
12.9
5.1
100.0
100.0
6.
(VFR)
Pilgrimage
Others
Sources: 1.
2.
11.2
The percentage of pleasure tourists is the highest in the younger age group below 30 years and
that of business tourists is the largest in the middle age group of 31-50 years. The distribution of tourists
according to age and purpose of visit as per 1988-89 survey is given in table 3.8.
TABLE 3.8
PERCENTAGE
81.No.
Purpose
DISTRIBUTION
OF TOURISTS
MAIN PURPOSE OF VISIT
of visit
BY AGE
AND
Age Group
Above
Below 31
50
Pleasure
65.4
53.6
Business
14.0
28.2
4.6
1.9
9.0
1.5
2.3
5.4
56.6
18.1
7.1
0.6
4.2
13.4
100.0
100.0
100.0
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Pilgrimage
3.9
6.
Others
10.2
Study
Total
Source:
The pleasure tourists constitute the largest percentage in the case of France and Eastern Europe
and the lowest in the case of Asian countries. The largest share of business tourists come to India from
Japan and other Asian countries. The percentage distribution of tourists by nationality and main purpose
of visit according to 1988-89 survey is given in table 3.9.
19
5.6
Total
TABLE 3.9
PERCENTAGE
Region!
DISTRIBUTION
OF TOURISTS BY
MAIN PURPOSE OF VISIT
Purpose
Country
Pleasure
Business
United Kingdom
63.4
24.8
France
74.0
17.2
63.9
Federal
Rep. of Germany
NATIONALITY
AND
of Visit
Others
Total
1.1
3.2
100.0
1.8
2.4
100.0
3.1
1.8
100.0
Study
Pilgrim
5.7
1.8
1.8
2.8
23.5
4.4
3.3
67.4
18.7
3.8
4.7
1.7
3.7
100.0
East Europe
71.6
17.1
8.7
0.0
0.9
6.7
100.0
40.7
27.5
15.7
5.7
1.4
9.0
100.0
44.1
27.9
9.2
3.9
3.4
11.5
100.0
Japan
48.3
32.8
3.1
4.4
6.2
5.2
100.0
United States
59.9
17.8
3.9
5.0
10.4
3.0
100.0
Canada
64.9
21.8
3.7
2.2
2.7
4.7
100.0
Australia
67.5
24.0
5.4
1.6
1.0
0.5
100.0
41.7
25.0
13.2
8.8
3.1
8.2
100.0
TOTAL
57.9
22.4
4.3
3.0
5.1
100.0
West Asia
South-East
Asia
Source:
3.5
Distribution
7.3
of Tourists
by Sex
The percentage of female tourists visiting India has always been low, though there is a gradual
increase in the recent past. The highest percentage of female visitors to India are fro:n Europe and the
United States of America. The distribution of foreign tourists according to nationality and sex as per 198889 survey is given in table 3.10.
TABLE
PERCENTAGE
DISTRIBUTION
OF FOREIGN
BY NATIONALITY
AND SEX
Nationality
TOURISTS
Total
Percentage
Country/Region
Male
United Kingdom
11.5
Female
4.0
4.3
France
Federal Rep. of Germany
6.9
2.1
2.1
12.8
2.5
1.7
5.4
1.0
1.5
0.9
0.7
3.1
1.1
0.3
3.4
72.8
27.2
10.1
4.2
6.2
5.4
3.2
Japan
United States
Canada
Australia
Rest of the world
Source:
10
Foreign
Tourist
Survey 1988-89
20
17.1
6.5
6.0
15.5
5.2
7.7
6.3
3.9
10.0
3.2
2.4
16.2
100.0
21
3.6
Age-V'/ise
Distribution
of Tourists
Predominantly the international tourists visiting India are in the economically active age-group of
25 to 54 years. They constituted about 71.4 per cent of the total arrivals during 1989. Of the remainingtourists,
18.3 per cent were below the age of 24 and 10.3 percent were above the age of 54. The highest
percentage of elder tourists are from South-East Asia followed by Japan. The percentage distribution of
tourists according to age and nationality during 1989 is given in table 3.11.
TABLE
DISTRIBUTION
3.11
OF TOURISTS
ACCORDING
Nationality
Country/Region
3.24
25.34
35.44
45.54
55+
United Kingdom
France
Federal Rep. of Germany
Rest of West Europe
East Europe
West Asia
South-East Asia
Japan
United States
Canada
Australia
Rest of the world
21.1
11.9
10.9
11.1
8.3
22.3
17.5
14.0
26.3
20.3
20.1
20.0
25.0
28.0
28.7
32.9
33.4
32.6
26.7
26.3
18.4
26.1
30.8
27.6
25.7
30.6
29.5
30.5
36.4
22.7
26.1
29.6
26.5
26.6
24.3
26.5
16.2
16.8
21.6
17.0
16.7
14.0
14.4
16.8
17.1
16.2
14.2
15.4
12.0
12.7
9.3
8.5
5.2
8.4
15.3
13.3
11.7
10.8
10.6
10.5
Total
18.3
28.4
27.1
15.9
10.3
Source:
3.7
TO
NATIONALITY
AND AGE
Age-Groups
Distribution
of Tourists
1989
by Occupation
The largest percentage (29.3%) of tourists visiting India are workers in production. sales and
service sectors. Scientists and technicians constitute 19.3 per cent, entrepreneurs and proprietors 10.7
per cent and government administrators 7.6 per cent. The percentage of students visiting India are about
15.4 per cent and house wives 8.0 per cent. The distribution of tourists according to occupation and
nationality during 1989 is given in table 3.12.
TABLE
DISTRIBUTION
OF TOURISTS
Workers
Nationality
Country!
Region
United Kingdom
France
Federal Rep. of Germany
Rest of West Europe
East Europe
West Asia
South-East Asia
23.6
24.8
25.6
32.4
30.7
54.0
30.2
23.8
18.8
32.3
ACCORDING
Scientists!
technicians
20.4
26.9
28.8
25.2
36.3
3.5
Australia
Rest of the world
29.7
28.2
13.5
23.0
25.0
18.3
23.1
9.0
Total
29.3
19.3
Japan
United States
Canada
Source:
3.12
1989
Students
16.6
10.0
10.4
9.4
6.2
19.9
14.4
12.3
23.3
17.4
13.6
19.1
15.4
TO
NATIONALITY
Entrepreneurs!
Proprietors
8.!9
7.16
8.:B
8. 5
6.2
10. 2
13..2
10..4
8..35
8.
7. 0
18..B
10.7
AND
House
wives
9.1
4.8
5.1
4.1
2.8
7.2
12.1
6.5
6.9
6.9
5.8
13.9
8.0
OCCUPATION
Govt.
Others
Administors
9.111.7
12.3
14.2
10.310.212.5 11.0
10.2
5.3
1.5
3.7
10.9
5.7
10.9
13.1
'5.9
11.8
6.5
10.1
6.3
14.5
4.5
6.5
7.6
9.7
20.6
3.8
Distribution
of Tourists
by Income
According to the foreign tourist survey 1988-89, about 38.3 per cent of the foreign tourists visiting
India were in the lower income bracket with an annual income of As. 200,000 and less. The middle income
group with an annual income of As. 200,000 to 400,000 constituted about 41.4 per cent. The remaining
20.3 per cent were in the income group of over 400,000 rupees. It is obvious from the survey that a large
percentage of foreign tourists visiting India are budget tourists with low levels of income. The distribution
of tourists by nationality and income is given in table 3.13.
TABLE 3.13
PERCENTAGE
DISTRIBUTION
OF TOURISTS
Country/Region
BY INCOME AND
ANNUAL
INCOME (As.'
NATIONALITY
000)
201-400
United Kingdom
38.6
40.8
France
Australia
Rest of the world
36.5
34.5
34.6
29.2
40.4
36.9
36.9
35.0
35.4
39.6
49.0
48.6
42.6
39.2
31.3
22.7
20.4
17.8
26.5
20.8
23.0
23.8
16.4
22.0
21.2
19.4
Total
38.3
41.3
20.4
Japan
United States
Canada
Source:
3.9
Foreign
Tourist
Survey
Above
40.8
45.1
47.6
44.3
38.8
40.1
39.3
400
1988-89
Repeat Visits
Of the tourists who visited India during 1988-89, about 41.8 per cent were repeat visitors. Nearly
13.8 per cent of them had visited India more than 4 times earlier. The largest percentage of such tourists
were from West Asia and South-East Asia. The distribution of tourists by nationality and number of visits
is given in table 3.14.
TABLE
PERCENTAGE
3.14
DISTRIBUTION
OF TOURIST BY NATIONALITY
NUMBER OF VISITS
Country/Region
Number
1
United Kingdom
Australia
Rest of the world
63.2
62.8
62.3
65.0
62.7
53.8
49.0
53.9
65.4
71.0
70.0
47.1
Total
58.2
France
Federal Rep. of Germany
Rest of West Europe
East Europe
West Asia
South-East Asia
Japan
United States
Canada
Source:
AND
of Visits
4
5+
Total
13.8
23.2
5.1
5.5
3.8
11.4
7.3
5.1
4.6
1.5
3.8
3.3
4.2
7.9
2.8
3.2
2.0
2.5
7.2
7. 82
15.
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100,0
100.0
100,0
100,0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
16.5
5.7
5.8
13.8
100.0
13.7
18.0
17.3
10.9
19.3
13.6
19.0
25.7
16.3
13.4
8.3
22
4.2
6.0
7.9
5.8
3.5
4.0
7.0
8. 6
11.0
14.5
11.2
24. 4
17.1
12.5
9.6
9. 8
3.10
Duration
of Stay
According to the survey, the average duration of stay of foreign tourists in India was 28.4 days. A
notable feature, however, is that about 30 per cent of the tourists stay in India for more than 120 days. The
largest percentage of these tourists are from the United Kingdom and rest of the world which include
mostly Asian countries.
This is probably because these tourists visit a large number of centres in the
country. Over 53 per cent of Australian tourists spent 22 to 30 days and another 35 per cent stay for 31
to 60 days in India. In the case of American and German tourists about 25 to 27 per cent stay in India for
22 to 30 days and almost equal percentage stay for more than 120 days. The distribution of tourists by
nationality and duration of stay is given in table 3.15.
TABLE 3.15
PERCENTAGE
Country/Region
DISTRIBUTION
OF TOURISTS
DURATION
OF STAY
France
8 to
15 to
20
21 to
31 to
14
30
60
61 to
120
Above
120
days
days
days
days
days
days
8.5
20.4
10.2
26.6
27.2
24.1
14.320.6
3.5
10.5
11.5
14.3
18.1
16.4
18.5
16.4
17.0
9.8
19.9
3.5
10.4
45.5
19.6
25.6
28.2
13.7
14.2
8.8
26.2
25.6
22.0
1.3
43.8
8.3
13.4
29.8
Australia
Rest of the world
2.2
1.3
4.2
0.2
8.5
3.7
1.9
2.4
0.3
Total
2.4
Japan
United
States
Canada
Source:
3.11
Evaluation
Foreign
Tourist
of Tourist
AND
Upto
5.1
NATIONALITY
7 days
4.5
1.1
United Kingdom
BY
9.3
10.5
7.3
1.2
17.7
0.6
8.6
9.0
12.5
4.3
17.7
35.1
12.9
0.4
7.8
3.0
3.1
4.0
3.3
5.5
2.5
3.5
2.0
0.0
5.4
23.5
19.0
3.6
20.5
33.5
21.5
31.7
18.8
25.6
24.2
53.4
29.9
20.6
36.8
18.4
22.8
17.5
Survey 1988.89
Facilities
in India
One of the objectives of the foreign tourist survey 1988-89 was to evaluate the quality of various
tourism facilities and attractions in India. While the history and culture of India, friendliness of people,
safety and service facilities in hotels received a high rating, the travel facilities in general received poor
rating. The factors which received high (very good or good), average and poor rating along with the
percentage of tourists recording the same are given in table 3.16.
TABLE 3.16
RATINGS OF TOURIST FACilITIES
High
Average
(74.80)
(64.80)
(61.70)
Safety
(61.50)
Climate
Hospitality in hotels
Tourist attractions
Communication
Tariff of hotels
Over all cost
Variety of food
Food in hotels
(61.40)
(60.05)
(56.80)
(55.40)
(52.90)
(46.30)
(41.40)
(36.60)
Airports (32.20)
23
AND ATTRACTIONS
Poor
IntercityAir travel
IntercityBus travel
Intercitytaxi travel
IntercityRail travel
Entertainment
Local travel
Guide service
(31.70)
(29.90)
(25.20)
(23.20)
(19.50)
(18.70)
(18.10)
3.12
International tourism in India is characterised by moderate growth rates, high seasonality, long
duration of stay, a high percentage of repeat visitors, increasing proportion of holiday sectors and low
income tourists. There is a declining trend in the case of United States and an increasing trend in the case
of United Kingdom with regard to the percentage share of touristsfr-om1hese countries. India has not been
able to penetrate into the holiday markets of West Asia, South-East Asia, Japan and United States. The
West Asian tourists are generally repeat visitors with a strong business motivation. The visiting tourists are
generally satisfied with most of the tourist facilities in India except transport services, entertainment and
guide services. The issues that emerge from the analysis are (i) ineffectiveness of tourism promotion and
marketing efforts, (ii) infrastructural inadequacies and absence of an integrated approach in the tourism
development programmes,
(iii) lack of enterprise on the part of the travel industry to promote new
generation tourists, and (iv) low percentage of high income tourists in the visitor arrivals.
24
CHRPTER
INTERNATIONAL
4.1
World
Tourism
IV
TOURISM
RECEIPTS
Receipts
Travel and tourism is the world's largest industry today in terms of its total turnover. According to
a study carried out by Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates for the World Travel and Tourism
Council, the gross output of travel and tourism industry amounted to $US 2,450 billion during 1989. About
one-twelfth of this turnover was on account of international tourists. While tourism receipts, in general,
create wealth and employment in the tourist receiving regions, international tourist expenditure enters into
the balance of payment accounts of individual countries and is of major significance to them. The estimated
world tourism receipts during 1990 were $US 249 billion.
4.2
Estimation
of Tourism
Receipts
in India
The estimates of tourism earnings in India are compiled by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) as a
part of balance of payment statistics. The ba$ic data used for the purpose are the returns furnished by the
'authorized dealers' of foreign exchange. All foreign exchange transactions of Rs. 10,000 and above are
categorised as classified receipts and the authorized dealers provide information for each such transaction
about the nationality of the beneficiary, currency and purpose. However, in the case of transactions below
Rs. 10,000, the figures are clubbed together and reported as unclassified receipts. These unclassified
receipts are apportioned according to purpose and country through a survey of unclassified receipts carried
out by the RBI every year. The official estimates of RBI are, however, generally available with a time lag
of about two years. Quick estimates are, therefor worked out by the Department of Tourism on the basis
of tourist arrivals and estimated average expenditure per tourist derived from foreign tourist surveys duly
adjusted for price changes.
4.3
Over the years, there has been a phenomenal increase in foreign exchange earnings from tourism
in India. In about three decades from 1960-61 to 1990-91, tourism earnings went up from As. 0.15 billion
to As. 24.44 billion, registering an annual rate of growth of about 18.5 per cent. The rate of growth in world
tourism receipts was only 12.7 per cent during the same period. However, the growth rates in successive
decades varied significantly and the growth in world tourism receipts was more in all of them except the
decade from 1970-71 to 1980-81. The comparative figures are given in table 4.1. It could be seen from
the table that the growth rates in tourism earnings do not conform to rates of growth in tourist arrivals.
TABLE 4.1
COMPARATIVE
81. No.
GROWTH
RATES
Decade
IN TOURISM
Average
RECEIPTS
Annual
Growth
Tourism Earnings
in India
12.
1950-1 960
7.9
9.0
1960-1 970
3.4.
1970-1 980
41.4
Receipts
12.6
10.0
19.1
7.7
1980-1 990
Notes:
Rate
World Tourism
(1)
Estimates
(2)
Growth
(3)
Estimate
of tourism earnings
9.3
financial
year.
rate in the case of India for the first decade is for a period of nine years from 1951 to 1960.
of tourism earning
25
Over the period from 1960 to 1990, the tourism earnings of India grew nearly 163 times as
compared to a growth of over 36 times in world tourism receipts during the same period. The comparativefigures
are given in table 4.2.
TABLE 4.2
COMPARATIVE ESTIMATES OF TOURISM RECEIPTS IN INDIA AND THE WORLD
Year
Index
Receipts
(Rs. billion)
Index
Receipts
($US billion)
1960
100
1970
1980
240
1982
7087
7533
1983
8167
1984
9013
1985
9860
1986
10713
1987
12373
1988
13693
6.87
17.90
102.37
104.31
98.63
98.40
109.83
116.16
139.23
170.46
196.52
1989
16373
209.42
3048
1990
16293
249.30
3629
7773
1981
P:
100
261
1490
1518
1436
1432
1599
1691
2027
2481
2860
Provisional
Though the earnings in rupee terms show an impressive growth over the years, it has remained
almost stagnant during the last ten years in dollar terms. The maximum growth has been during the period
from 1970 to 1980. Growth in tourism receipts is expected to be a function of growth in tourist arrivals as
per the following equation:
(Growth
in tourism
receipts)
= (Growth
in tourist arrivals)
(Rise in average
expenditure
per tourist)
However, it has been noticed that the tourism receipt in dollar terms has declined even when there
has been an increase in tourist arrivals. The obvious conclusion is that the average expenditure per tourist
in dollar terms has declined substantially to negate even the increase in tourist arrivals.
The possible
reasons for such a phenomenon are:
i)
ii)
iii)
of budget tourists;
and
iv)
errors in estimation.
It is evidently true that the devaluation of rupee against dollar has been at a faster rate than the
increase in tourism earnings in rupee terms as given in table 4.3. It is also possible that the shift in the
composition of tourists towards holiday and charter tourists is adversely affecting the average yield pertourist.
Money changing facilities were not easily available in India particularly in small cities and/or after
banking hours. Therefore, the foreign tourists must have been tempted to encash their currency from
unauthorized sources leading to leakage of foreign exchange. With a view to minimise such leakages the
hotels and restaurants holding restricted money changing licenses have been recently made eligible to
provide money changing facilities to tourists. Travel agents and tour operators can also provide money
changing facility to a limited extent. Some other measures taken by the Government to increase foreign
exchange earnings include fixation of dollar fares by Indian Airlines and hotels and de-regulation of hoteltariff.
26
TABLE 4.3
TOURISM
EARNINGS
Tourism
IN RUPEE
AND
DOLLAR
TERMS
Average"
Exchange
Earnings (Million)"
Index
Rupees
Index
Dollars
Index
rate per $
1980-81
11,663
100
1,475
100
7.908
100
1981-82
10,630
91
1,185
80
8.968
113
1982-83
11,300
97
1,169
79
9.666
122
1983-84
12,250
105
1,185
80
10.340
131
1984-85
13,522
116
1,137
77
11.889
150
1985-86
14,794
102
1,209
82
12.235
155
1986-87
16,066
138
1,257
85
12.778
162
1987-88
18,561
159
1,431
97
12.966
164
1988-89
20,538
176
1,418
96
14.486
183
1989-90
24,560(P)
211
1,475
10
16.649
210
1990-91
24,440(P)
210
1,362
92
17.943
227
Year
Economic
.Source
(P)
Survey
1990-91
Provisional
As a result of stagnation/decline
in tourism earnings in dollar terms, the percentage share of India
in the world tourism receipts has gone down to 0.55 per cent during 1990. The comparative figures are
given in table 4.4.
TABLE 4.4
SHARE
Year
OF
INDIA
Tourism
Earnings
(million
Rupees)
IN THE WORLD
Average
Exchange
Rate per
Dollar
TOURISM
Tourism
Earnings
(million $)
RECEIPTS
World
Tourism
Receipts
Percentage
Shareof
India
(million $)
1960
153
4.760
32.1
6,867
0.47
1970
364
7.500
48.5
17,900
0.27
1980
11,663
7.908
1,474.8
102,372
1.44
1981
10,630
8.968
1,185.3
104,309
1.14
1982
11,300
9.666
1,169.0
98,634
1.18
1983
12,250
10.340
1,184.7
98,395
1.20
1984
13,522
11.889
1,137.4
109,832
1.04
1985
14,794
12.235
1,209.2
116,158
1.04
1986
16,066
12.778
1,257.3
139,234
0.90
1987
18,561
12.966
1,431.5
170,456
0.84
1988
20,538
14.486
1,417.8
196,521
0.72
1989
24,560
16.649
1,475.2
209,416
0.70
1990
24,440
17.943
1,362.1
249,300
0.55
27
O.0.1O.!
4.4
Tourism
Receipts
as a Percentage
of Gross
Domestic
Product
The tourism receipts as a percentage of gross domestic product was less than 0.1 per cent till
1970- 71. By 1980-81, it increased to about 1 per cent. It, however, started stagnating around 0.6 per cent
thereafter.
It is consistent with the finding that the growth in foreign exchange earnings from tourism has
been slow during the last decade.
TABLE 4.5
COMPARISON
OF
TOURISM
RECEIPTS
WITH
Gross Domestic
Year
GROSS
Tourism
Receipts
(Rs. billion)
Product
(Rs. billion)
151.82
394.24
1,227.72
1,432.56
1,587.61
1,857.792,017.532,320.47
1960-61
1970-71
1980-81
1981-82
1982-83
1983-84
1984-85
1985-86
1986-87
1987-88
1988-89
2,572.50
2,916.47
3,491.05
1989-90(a)
3,925.24
Source:
(a):
4.5
DOMESTIC
PRODUCYT
Percentage
o.15
10
O.36
11.66
10.63
11.3025
12.
13.5279
14.
16.07
18.56
0.1
20. 5456
o.!59
24.
0.162
)9
~5
0,',74
O. ~71
56
0.1 55
0.1
54
52
0.1
54
0.1
estimates
Share of Tourism
Receipts
in the Balance
of Payment
Over the years, tourism has become a major component of India's balance of payment account.
While tourism receipts constituted only 5.9 per cent of the total invisible earnings and was equivalent to
about 2.4 per cent of the merchandise export during 1960-61, it became 19.67 per cEint of the invisible
earnings and equivalent to about 8.70 per cent of the merchandise export by 1989-90. The comparative
estimates are given in table 4.6.
TABLE
COMPARISON
4.6
EXPORTS
AND
(As. million)
Year
Invisible
Earnings
Exports
Tourism
Percentage
Earnings
to Exports
Percentage
to Invisible
Earnings
1960. -61.71.81
19701980.
1981. .82
1982. .83
1983. .84
1984- .85
1985- .86
1986- .87
1987- .88
1988- -89
1989- .90-91
101,685
119,592
115,776
133,150
163,964
206,467
282,290
1990-
325,273
Source:
(P):
6,305
14,045
65,764
77,655
153
364
11,663
10,630
11,300
12,250
13,522
14,794
16,066
18,561
20,538
24,560 (P)
2,599
4,961
58,902
53,105
56,517
64,321
82,429
78,752
82,744
92,785
109,263
124,839
91,371
(P)
N.A.
24,444
28
(P)
2.43
2.59
17.73
13.69
12.37
12.05
11.31
12.78
12.07
11.32
9.95
8.70
7.51
5. 89
7.34
19. 80
20.02
19. 99
19. 05
16. 40
18.78
19. 42
20. 00
18. 80
19. 67A.
N.
In dollar terms, the total invisible earnings and tourism receipts show almost similar pattern. Both
increased substantially during the period 1970-71 to 1980-81, and stagnated during 1980's. However, in
the case of commodity exports there has been a substantial increase during the previous decade. This
must have been perhaps due to the fact that the pricing mechanism in the case of exports would have taken
care of the impact of devaluation of rupee to a greater extent than in the case of invisible earnings. The
comparative figures are given in table 4,7.
TABLE 4.7
COMPARISON
EXPORTS
($US million)
Year
Invisible
Export Earnings
1960-61
1970-71
1980-81
1981-82
1982-83
Tourism Earnings
Earnings
1983-84
1984-85
1985-86
1986-87
1987-88
1988-89
1989-90
1,324.6
1,872.7
8,316.3
8,658.8
9,452.8
9,834.1
10,059.4
9,462.7
10,420.1
12,645.9
14,257.1
16,955.2
546.0
661.5
7,448.6
5,921.4
5,847.0
6,220.6
6,933.4
6,436.7
6,475.4
7,156.1
7,544.9
7,498.2
32.1
48.5
1,474.8
1,185.3
1,169.0
1,184.7
1,137.4
1,209.2
1,257.3
1,431.5
1,417.8
1,475.0
1990-91
18,128.1
N.A.
1,362.0
Source:
4.6
Tourism
Receipts
as Compared
The major items of export of the country at present are (i) Gems and jewellery, (ii) Readymade
garments, and (iii) Leather and leather products.
Export earnings from (i) agricultural products, (ii)
machinery, transport equipment and metal products, and (iii) chemicals and allied products are also high.
However, these are not considered for comparison as each one of them constitute several products. The
comparative figures are given in table 4.8. It could be seen that tourism earnings were next only to the
export earnings from gem and jewellery and readymade garments till 1989-90, though it became lower than
the export value of leather and leather products also during 1990-91.
TABLE
TOURISM
RECEIPTS
AND
4.8
MAJOR
ITEMS
OF
EXPORT
(As. million)
Year
Gem &
Readymade
Garments
Jewellery
Leather &
Leather
Products
Tourism
Receipts
1960-61
1970-71
1980-81
1981-82
1982.83
1983-84
1984-85
1985-86
1986.87
1987-88
1988-89
10
448
6,184
8,115
10,148
12,941
12,371
15,207
20,740
26,130
43,920
10
294
5,503
6,412
5,908
7,256
9,533
10,670
13,310
18,180
20,991
280
802
3,897
4,248
4,146
4,925
7,241
7,699
9,220
12,510
15,223
153
364
11,663
10,630
11,300
12,250
13,522
14,794
16,066
18,561
20,538
1989-90(P)
1990-91(P)
52,955
52,100
32,242
40,424
19,509
25,539
24,560
24,440
-.
Source:
(P):
29
An important factor to be noted is that gems and jewellery exports depend heavily on the imports
of pearls and precious stones. During the year 1990-91, these imports amounted to As. 37,323 million
against a total export value of As. 52,100. Thus the net retention ratio in the case of gems and jewellery
was only about 28 per cent. In the case of ready made garments, the value of imports of different varieties
of fibres during 1989-90 was about As. 2,610 million. These imports, however, related to the total export
of textiles valued at As. 67,975 million. The leakages due to import in the case of readymade garments is
thus about 4 per cent, giving a net retention ratio of about 96 per cent. "A Comparative Study of Incentives
for Invisible Earnings through Tourism" conducted by the Indian Institute of Foreign Trade in the year 1985,
estimated that the foreign exchange outflow on account of tourism would be about 7 per cent. In the case
of leather and leather products also the import requirement of dyeing, tanning and colouring materials
constitute about 7.5 per cent of the value of exports. Thus, in terms of net foreign exchange earnings,
tourism used to be on the top as compared to various export items. However, it has been pulled down to
the second position by readymade garments during 1988-89 and to third position by leather and leather
products during 1990-91.
4.7
Expenditure
Pattern
of Tourists
According to the 'Foreign Tourist Survey 1988-89', the average expenditure of non-package
tourists excluding the nationals of Pakistan and Bangladesh was As. 17,770 during that year. The foreign
exchange available to Pakistan nationals to visit India is $US 45 and the same in the case of Bangladesh
nationals is $US180 per tourist.
The average expenditure per tourist was the highest in the case of Australia. followed by the
Federal Republic of Germany, France, Japan and United States and was the least in the case of United
Kingdom. The average duration of stay was the largest in the case of Asian tourists including South-Ea~.t
Asia and East European tourists except Japanese nationals. The comparative figures are given in table
4.9.
TABLE 4.9
ESTIMATED
AVERAGE
DURATION
EXPENDITURE OF FOREIGN
(Non-package
Nationality
(Country/Region)
France
Federal
Rep. of Germany
25.77
31.53
24.32
32.14
38.93
21.17
36.21
20.73
28.98
28.92
27.98
43.92
All Nationalities
31.11
West Asia
South-East
Asia
Japan
United
States
Canada
Australia
tourists)
Total
Av(\rage
Duration of
Stay
(in days)
United Kingdom
30
Expenditure
per Tourist
(in As.)
Expenditure
per Day per
Tourist
(in As.)
13,641
529
20,159
639
21,075
866
18,904
588
14,318
367
17,687
835
12,381
341
19,027
917
19,001
655
19,314
667
22,042
787
19,932
453
17,770
571
The findings of the 1988-89 survey are at variance with the results of 1982-83 survey. According
to the earlier survey, the West Asian tourists were the highest spenders in India followed by the visitors
from United States of America. However, in terms of average expenditure per day per tourist, Japanese
nationals took second position after West Asia. These changes are more likely to be because of the shifts
in the composition of tourists from these countries. The comparative figures as per 1982-83 survey are
given in table 4.10.
TABLE 4.10
ESTIMATED
AVERAGE
EXPENDITURE
DURATION
OF
OF FOREIGN
STAY
TOURISTS
(Non-package
tourists)
of
France
Federal Rep. of Gennany
Rest Of West Europe
Eastern Europe
West Asia
South-East Asia
Japan
United States
Canada
Australia
Rest of the world
Expenditure
per Day per
Tourist
(in As.)
Expenditure
per Tourist
Stay
(in days)
United Kingdom
PER CAPITA
(1982-1983)
Total
Average
Duration
Nationality
(Country/Region)
AND
(in As.)
26.86
27.72
25.38
31.21
40.10
23.56
30.21
15.32
23.75
26.35
28.76
35.62
8,120
6,741
7,693
7,001
8,290
12,082
3,719
7,550
9,207
8,272
8,100
7,869
302
243
303
224
207
r;1~
27.55
8,008
291
388
314
282
221
The expenditure pattern of international tourists on various items of consumption also appears to
have changed to some extent froni 1982-83 to 1988-89. While the expenditure on food and accommodation has come down from about 54 per cent in 1982-83 to about 49 per cent in 1988-89,the expenditure
on entertainment has gone up from 2.6 per cent to 9.3 per cent. The expenditure on shopping also showed
substantial reduction from about 25 per cent in 1982-83 to 15.6 per cent in 1988-89. These differer.ces
may be due to the structural changes that have taken place in the tourism industry between 1982 and 89.
There has been a definite improvement in the tourist recreational facilities in the country during the period.
This must have perhaps resulted in a larger share of expenditure on entertainment
by the foreign tourists.Simultaneous
the percentage of business tourists visiting the country has come down resulting in a
decline in the expenditure on shopping. The pattern of expenditure of tourists during 1988-89 and 198283 by nationality are given in tables 4.11 and 4.12.
TABLE
EXPENDITURE
PATTERN
4.11
OF TOURISTS
BY NATIONALITY
-1988-1989
Percentage Expenditure
Nationality
Accommodation
(Country/Region)
Food!
Entertainment
Shopping
Drinks
Internal
Others
Travel
United Kingdom
France
Federal Rep. of Germany
Rest Of West Europe
Eastern Europe
West Asia
South-East Asia
Japan
United States
Canada
Australia
Rest of the world
33.81
32.44
30.35
30.94
29.87
33.42
32.34
25.24
28.63
33.91
33.02
29.51
17.70
21.06
16.67
19.81
20.39
17.07
15.21
20.30
19.80
16.64
15.35
18.13
8.70
10.03
10.60
10.56
9.91
7.73
7.02
9.61
10.53
7.97
9.98
8.54
15.26
13.92
14.86
13.54
18.27
15.72
18.28
18.13
15.59
17.26
13.58
15.46
20.02
18.64
22.84
20.63
15.59
20.89
18.81
13.79
18.09
17.89
19.60
19.40
4.51
3.91
4.68
4.52
5.97
5.17
8.34
12.93
7.36
6.33
8.47
8.96
All Nationalities
30.71
18.53
9.29
15.63
19.06
6.78
31
24.84
TABLE
EXPENDITURE
PATTERN
4.12
OF TOURISTS
BY NATIONALITY-1982-1983
Nationality
(Country/Region)
United Kingdom
35. 53
20.87
2.88
22. 10
15.47
3.15
France
33. 19
21.46
1.23
23. 42
17.56
3.14
34. 84
21.22
1.26
25. 87
13.92
2.89
34. 83
22.83
1.57
22. 04
15.77
2.96
Federal
Rep. of Gemlany
35. 54
23.44
2.41
25. 04
12.12
1.45
West Asia
32. 78
19.77
4.87
23.29.
96
9.08
9.54
South
27. 08
16.19
2.13
50
14.85
10.25
43. 29
21.05
1.69
19. 41
13.18
1.38
33. 00
18.2820.56
1.49
29.27.
15
14.0215.7015.4113.06
4.07
Eastern
Europe
East Asia
Japan
United
States
Canada
30. 22
Australia
Rest of the world
27.88
All Nationalities
4.8
Main Findings
1.27
06
5.19
2.49
30. 80
30. 72
19.13
21.85
4.30
3.41
27.00
3.95
33.45
20.50
2.61
13.63
4.97
Tourism has already become a major source of foreign exchange earnings for the country and its
capacity to bridge the gap in the balance of payments account has been well recognized. The rate of growth
in tourism earnings has been the highest (41.4 per cent) during the decade 1970-80 and it then reduced
to 7.7 per cent in the last decade. Tourism receipts in dollar terms, however, remained stagnant over the
last ten years, though in rupee terms it increased by about 110 per cent. The high rate of devaluation of
rupee has been one of the reasons for such a stagnation.
There have been structural changes in the tourist expenditure pattern and demand characteristics
during the last few years. These changes also would have contributed to the low rate of receipts per tourist
in dollar terms. The issue before the Government is, therefore, the choice of a strategy and/or action plan
for accelerating the growth of tourism earnings in dollar terms. The options available are (i) intensive
promotion in the tourist generating markets to increase the volume of tourist traffic to India, (ii) price out
the budget tourists and increase the yield per tourist, (iii) encourage the tourists to spend more in India by
providing better facilities including entertainment and recreational avenues, (iv) concentrate marketing
efforts on selected high spending tourist regions, and (v) prevent the leakage of tourism earnings into black
market. Each of these options have to be carefully considered while formulating a strategy and future
development plans as the choice of a wrong option could lead to disastrous results. Obviously, the existing
infrastructural
support and investment priorities would become the key elements in the choice of the
strategy. The structural adjustments initiated by the present Government in the ~ndian economy and the
prevailing foreign exchange crisis are also important factors requiring attention. In the given scenario, the
best choice, perhaps, would be an optimum combination of all the available options. The diversification
process initiated by the Government during the Visit India Year could become successful if it is supported
by proper upgradation
of tourist facilities, better quality control and effective marketing in selected
countries.
32
5.1
CHAPTER
of Domestic
Tourism
Travel for pilgrimage and learning has been an integral part of Indian culture, ever since the
beginning of its civilization.
Several centres of learning and religious worship thus developed allover the
country since ancient times. This gave further impetus to the mass movement of people from one place
to another. Development of traditional industries and trade created another stream of travellers.
Several
trading routes were established and traders started frequenting the centres of trade from distant places.
The ancient rulers gave due recognition to these travellers and created many wayside facilities like inns,sarais,
dharamshalas and caravans for their benefit. These formed the tourism infrastructure of India in
those days. Thus, India has been experiencing massive movement of domestic tourists for severalcenturies.
A few centuries ago the Moghul rulers introduced pleasure tourism by building luxurious palaces
and enchanting gardens in places of natural scenic attraction.
It was, however, during the period of British
rule in India, that domestic tourism received a new direction and meaning. The establishment
of railways
and export/import
houses at port towns introduced qualitative and quantitative changes in the Indian
business tourism.
In addition, the construction
of circuit houses, dak bungalows and forest lodges
provided the infrastructure for leisure and wild life tourism. Several hill stations were also developed during
the period which became the core of Indian leisure tourism. The emergence of a large 'urban middle class'
coupled with better transport and communication facilities has created a new class of holiday and leisure
tourists in the contemporary
India.
5.2
Dimensions
of Domestic
Tourism
Although. the importance of domestic tourism has been recognized by the country, reliable
statistical information on its volume and growth is lacking. In fact, a precise definition of dom~stic tourist
was attempted only during 1977. According to the definition, a domestic tourist is "a p'3rson who travels
within the country to a place other than his usual place of residence and stays at hotels or in dharamshalaslsarais/musaf
etc., for a duration of not less than 24 hours or one night and
for not more than six months at a time for any of the purposes of (a) Pleasure, (b) Pilgrimage, religious and
social functions, (c) Business, conferences
and meetings, and (d) Study and health.
A pilot study on domestic tourism was commissioned by the Government in 1981 to estimate the
volume of domestic tourist movements in the country. The study covered 22 centres selected purposively
to include the entire spectrum of tourists. The selected centres included 3 metropolitan cities, 3 businesscentres,
7 hill stations and beach resorts, 3 historical cities and 6 pilgrim places. Based on the results ofthis
survey, the number of domestic tourists during 1981 was estimated to be 14 million.
In a report titled "Indian Tourism: Performance and Potential 1981-91", the Indian Institute of Public
Opinion (IIPO) conjectured that the volume of domestic tourist traffic in India during 1986 would be in the
range of 134 to 164 million including about 120-150 million pilgrim tourists.
The astronomical dimensions of domestic travel in India can also be seen from air and rail transport
statistics. The Indian Railways carry about ten million people per day and the Indian Airlines carry about
ten million passengers per year. The passenger statistics of Indian Airlines and Indian Railways since 1985
are given in table 5.1. These figures are indicative of the gigantic nature of Indian domestic tourism
although most of them may not be tourist as per definition.
33
TABLE 5.1
NUMBER
OF PASSENGERS
AND
CARRIED
RAILWAYS
BY INDIAN
AIRLINES
(Million Nos.)
Year
Domestic
1985-86
1986-87
1987-88
1988-89
1989-90
Total
Foreign
9.64
9.35
0.49
0.52
9.91
9.55
9.41
0.530.56
10.13
9.87
10.44
3,433
3,580
3,792
3,500
3,653
10.11
9.85
0.44
As per the figures compiled by the Department of Tourism based on the reports received from the
State Governments,
the total number of domestic tourist visits in the accommodation
establishments
during 1990 were about 62.38 million. Though these figures suffer from the problems of comparability andcoverage,
there has been a steady growth of about 21.4 per cent per annum in the domestic tourist visits
during the period from 1987-1990.
These figures are given in table 5.2.
TABLE 5.2
NUMBER
5.3
The Structure
According
Year
Number
1987
34,816,649
1988
38,337,474
1989
50,588,850
1990
62,319,113
of Domestic
Tourism
were:(i)
leisure
(56, ,8,3,5
%}%}
(ii)
Business
(21,
(iii)
Pilgrimage
(13,
(iv)
Education
(2, ,6
%}
(v)
Health
(2, ,0
%}
(vi)
Social functions
(2, 2
%}
(vii)
Others
(1,
34
%}
6 %}
51.No.
Demographically,
67.2 per cent of the tourists were males and 32.8 per cent were females. While
16.3 per cent of the tourists were aged below 12 years, 38.1 per cent were in the age group of 13 to 29 years
and 40.3 per cent were aged between 30 and 55 years. The remaining 5.3 per cent were above the age
of 55. A large proportion of about 63.8 per cent travelled with family while 17.5 per cent travelled alone.
The remaining 18.7 per cent travelled with friends. The occupational distribution of the3e tourists was as
given below:
(i)
Business
(ii)
Profession
(iii)
Service
(iv)
Agriculture
(v)
Students
(vi)
Others
The major tourist generating regions in the country were the industrially developed states of
Maharashtra, West Bengal, Uttar Pradesh and Gujarat besides the Union Territory
of Delhi. They shared
among themselves about 50 per cent of the total domestic tourists. The four metropolitan cities of Bombay,
Calcutta, Delhi and Madras alone generated about 25 per cent of the tourists. It clearly indicates that the
growth of tourism essentially depends upon the industrial and business prosperity.
About one-third of the domestic tourists belonged to the middle income group. The average
household income of these tourists was in the range of Rs. 10,001 to Rs. 20,000. The lower income group
in the range of Rs. 6,001 to Rs. 10,000 constituted about 20.4 per cent. These two categories taken
together thus accounted for about 53 per cent of the total tourists. The pattern was almost the same in all
types of tourist centres except that the higher income groups mostly visited tourist resorts, business centres
and metropolitan cities. It clearly indicates that domestic tourism in India is a mass movement and not an
elite activity. The distribution of tourists according to their annual household income is given in table 5.3.
TABLE 5.3
DISTRIBUTION
OF TOURISTS
HOUSEHOLD
Annual
Metrocities
TO ANNUAL
INCOME
Percentage
HHD Income
Range (Rs.)
1.2.3.4.Below
5.6.
ACCORDING
Business
Hill
Ceritres
Stations
& Beach
Resorts
of tourists
Historical
Sites
Pilgrim
All Places
Centres
6,000
7.5
2.1
3.7
2.4
6.5
4.9
6,001
to 10,000
16.1
25.3
12.5
23.1
31.3
20.4
10,001
to 20,000
27.8
30.6
25.8
32.6
to 30,000
23.1
15.8
23.8
20.6
21.5
30,000
to 50,000
17.0
16.8
19.6
52.1
19.0
2.8
32.3
20,001
5.9
12.8
Above
50,000
8.5
9.4
14.6
0.6
3.4
7.8
35
SI.No.
The average length of stay of domestic tourists in their places of visit was estimated from the pilot
study as 5.4 days. A similar survey of domestic tourists was conducted in 55 centres during 1980-81 as
a part of the study on "Employment Potential of Tourism in India". By combining the results of both studies,
the average length of stay of domestic tourists was estimated as 5.6 days. Both the surveys revealed that
the domestic tourists tended to stay more at metropolitan cities than at historical places and pilgrim centres.
It was a clear indication that the duration of stay of domestic tourists was influenced by the availability of
tourist facilities. The estimates of length of stay in different types of centres as revealed by the Pilot Study
and the pooled data are given in table 5.4.
TABLE 5.4
ESTIMATED
Type
AVERAGE
LENGTH
OF STAY
of Centre
Average
As per Pilot
Metropolitan
OF DOMESTIC
cities
Length
of Stay
As per Pooled
Study
Data
7.6
4.3
6.0
7.9
4.5
2.
Business
3.
Hill stations
4.
Historical
sites
2.8
2.9
5.
Pilgrim centres
4.4
4.5
All Centres
5.4
5.6
5.4
centres
and beach resorts
The Expenditure
Pattern
of Domestic
TOURISTS
6.2
Tourists
According to the pilot study, the average per capita expenditure of domestic tourists per day was
As. 76.60 for all the centres taken together. However, there were large variations from centre to centre.ln
general, the average expenditure of a tourist per day was high at the metropolitan cities (As. 116.0) and
was extremely low at historical sites (As. 33.50) and pilgrim centres (As. 24.90). These estimates were
significantly lower than those obtained by the survey on "Employment Potential of Tourism in India". As
per this survey, the average expenditure per tourist per day was As. 126 including intercity travel exlJenses
of As. 46.52. The pilot study on domestic tourism did not include the intercity travel expenses. Further,
there were differences in the methods of data collection followed in both the surveys. While in the case
of employment potential survey the expenditure figures were collected for the previous day, the pilot study
attempted to collect the data for the entire period of travel. The expenditure pattern revealed by the
employment potential survey was, therefore, found to be more acceptable and is given in table 5.5.
Significance
of Domestic Tourism
Domestic tourism is one of the most vibrant expressions of Indian heritage. It is the single unifying
force which helps to achieve understanding between various linguistic, religious and communal grC'ups
living in different parts of the country. In the contemporary India, the phenomenon of domestic tourism with
its vibrant and changing dimensions can be expected to make an even greater contribution towards
strengthening
the fabric of the unity of India.
36
TABLE 5.5
EXPENDITURE
51.No.
Item of Expenditure
1.
1.1
1.22.
Accommodation
2.1
2.2
2.33.4.
Air
PATTERN
OF DOMESTIC
and Food
In hotels
In restaurants
Intercity travel
Rail
Others
Intracity travel
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.75.
Shopping
Gem and Jewellery
TOTAL
5.6
Infrastructural
Estimated
Expenditure
(As. crores)
Percentage
258.41
171.98
86.43
244.23
102.26
94.62
47.35
57.69
253.12
31.0
20.6
10.4
29.3
12.3
11.3
5.7
6.9
30.3
2.7
0.7
23.12
5.79
79.93
44.35
20.71
42.41
36.81
20.82
Carpets
834.27
Development
for Domestic
TOURISTS
9.6
5.3
2.5
5.1
4.4
2.5
100.0
Tourism
Despite its great significance in the national integration and development. domestic tourism has not
received adequate attention in the process of development planning. Accommodation facilities in the from
of Dharamshalas, Choultries, Agarshalas, etc., were built around the places of worship only during ancient
times through the efforts of private individuals, institutions and rulers. The British administration then bui:t
a number of circuit houses, dak bungalows and hill resorts. These were basically for the use of Britishers
and Civil Servants. Government intervention in the development of domestic tourism in independent India
was first initiated during Second Plan period, when it was decided to assist the State Governments on an
equal sharing basis to build accommodation
units suitable for domestic tourism.
The scheme was
continued during the Third Plan period and thereafter it was transferred to the State sector. The scheme
was again taken up by the Central Department of Tourism during Sixth Plan to build youth hostels for the
promotion of youth tourism in the country. During the plan period itself twenty youth hostels were built
and they were transferred to the Department of Youth Affairs. A society known as Bharatiya Yatri Awas
Vikas Samiti was also set up during Sixth Plan for the construction of low priced accommodation
units
called "Yatrikas" at pilgrim centres. The construction of ten yatrikas were completed and four were under
progress by the end of Seventh Plan. The concept of "Yatrinivas" was developed during Seventh Plan
period for providing accommodation facilities to budget tourists. These were sixty bed budget hotels in
the pattern of tourist bungalows. By the end of Seventh Plan twelve Yatriniwases were constructed and
twenty three were under construction.
Yet another attempt by the Government to create basic facilities
at places of pilgrimage and tourist importance is the scheme for construction of camping sites taken up
during
1991-92.
These efforts, though useful are grossly inadequate to meet the growing needs of
domestic tourists.
37
5.7
Some Features
of Domestic
Tourism
A desirable feature of domestic tourism is its ability to sustain the industry during lean periods of
international tourism by providing an alternative for demand substitution.
It is also less s9nsitive to various
international
developments
and internal problems which generally affect foreign tourist traffic.
The
demands and expectations of domestic tourists are also usually reasonable and do not impose heavy
investment burdens on the industry. The infrastructure base for domestic tourism can also become a
second line of supply at least for some classes of foreign tourists during peak foreign tourist seasons.
These features of domestic tourism make it a desirable development option for a country with limited
capital resources.
5.8
Future
Prospects
of Domestic
Tourism
in India
The statistical information available from various sources clearly indicates that a large percentage
of domestic tourists are holiday and business tourists. It would be of interest to note that about 60 per cent
of the room occupancy in approved categories of hotels is due to domestic tourists. The economic and
social conditions prevailing in India today are precipitous for a revolutionary growth in domestic tourism.
The economic growth achieved by the country over the years has created a powerful middle class with
reasonable affluence and disposable income. By and large these persons, also do have access to paid
holidays in the form of Leave Travel Concession (LTC) and incentives.
Socially, they are exposed to
greater awareness
and are having a stronger desire for self realisation than for materialistic comforts.
Travel for holiday and sightseeing is thus putting greater pressure on all forms of tourism infrastructure.
It will be further aggravated by the increased number of business travellers.
It is, thus, obvious that any
future development plan should have a strong bias for domestic tourism and it would be totally inconsistent
to make any investment exclusively for international tourism.
5.9
Some
Issues
A major issue which emerges in the given scenario is the problem of degradation and carryingcapacity.
The tourist attractions of the country are mainly a multitude of archaeological
remains and
monuments which are generally in a state of dereliction and despair; meadows, mountains and beaches
which are ecologically fragile and the entire biotic component of nature including wild life and forests which
are constantly being endangered by human intervention.
These resources, if not adequately protected
would get degraded and lead to disastrous results. It is thus obvious, that a new set of enterprises must
be developed for the preservation and protection of such attractions if they have to be used as tourism
products.
As in a manufacturing industry, the products are produced by an enterprise or factory, in a
service industry like tourism, the products are preserved or protected by the enterprises.
The Departments of Environment and Archaeology of both the Central and State Governments are
armoured with a number of acts and rules for the protection of ecology and environment and preservation
of monuments.
These acts and rules, however, do not recognize the existence of tourism phenomenon or
for that matter any developmental activity. The vision of these agencies is also, therefore, often oriented
towards protecting the rules and regulations and not necessarily that of protecting the monuments or the
environment.
The funds available with them are also limited to take up any developmental
activity forthemselves
The force of tourism, however, does not wait for any protective or development measures to
become operational.
There is, therefore, an urgent need to resolve this dilemma by identifying specific
areas separately for conservation and development around each monument and other tourist attractions.
Development plans, thus, prepared also must be implemented effectively.
The investment required for
such an exercise and for their continued maintenance could be generated from the to;.Jrists by adopting
suitable pricing policies. After all, they would be willing to pay the cost of maintaining those attractions for
their own enjoyment.
The tourist industries coming up in the development zones should also collectively
own the responsibility of maintaining the protected monuments and areas either by paying a development
cess or by undertaking the activity for themselves. The introduction of such a scheme for each monument
and other places of tourist attraction is imperative to take into account the phenomenon of mass movement
of tourists.
38
An associated problem requiring attention is the carrying capacity of each tourist centre. The
physical, biological and infrastructural featur.3s impose restrictions on the number of visitors that can be
received by any particular area during a given period of time. A clear assessment of this carrying capacity
and regulation of tourist flow are particularly important for areas with fragile ecology and social systems.
This must, therefore, form a part of the tourism development programme for any area.
39
CHAPTER
INCOME
6.1
AND
EMPLOYMENT
VI
EFFECTS
OF TOURISM
Tourism Industry
The significance of tourism in the national economy is measured mainly in terms of its contribution
to Gross National Product (GNP) and employment.
It is, however, difficult to estimate those parameters
due to the very nature of the industry. Tourism is a composite industry consisting of various segments
which provide goods and services to both the local population and tourists.
A definite allocation of the
production of these segments between the two classes of consumers is generally not possible.
The main components
(i)
(ii)
Restaurants
(iii)
(iv)
Transport
(v)
(vi)
Entertainment
(vii)
Shopping
(viii) Conference
6.2
of the tourism
units
services
facilities
facilities
and Convention
(ix)
Adventure
(x)
Guide services.
Gross
industry are:
and recreational
Value Added
by Hotel
souvenirs,
etc.
facilities
sports facilities
and Restaurant
Sector
Hotel and restaurant sector has been recognized as a separate entity in the National classification
of industries and, therefore, finds place in the statistical description of the economy. The estimates of value
added by the sector are separately compiled by the Central Statistical Organization (CSO).
These
estimates (table 6.1) indicate that the contribution of the sector to the gross domestic product has become
more than three times over a period of about 10 years.
TABLE 6.1
ESTIMATES
Year
Index
(As. millions)
1980-81
1981-82
1982-83
1983-84
1984-85
1985-86
1986-87
1987-88
1988-89
Source:
(P)
100
121
137
154
175
199
25,770
248
295
8,740
9,310
10,160
10,460
10,900
11,510
12,160
12,830
14,240
29,140
333
15,031
220
21,660
National Accounts
Provisional
Statistics,
Index
(As. millions)
8,740
10,610
11,980
13,460
15,320
17,390
19,270
1989-90(P)
AND
1991
41
100
106
116
120
125
132
139
147
163
172
6.3
Economic
Census
and Follow-up
Surveys
The structure and characteristics of hotel and restpurant industries are available from the economic
censuses and follow-up surveys undertaken by the SCO. For the purpose of these surveys, an enterpri$e
has been defined as an undertaking engaged in production and/or distribution of goods and/or services not
for the sole purpose of own consumption.
The enterprises were further classified as establishments and
own-account
enterprises based on the employment of hired workers.
Establishments
were those
enterprises employing atleast one hired worker on a fairly regular basis. Those units which were owned
and operated with the help of household labour only were regarded as Own-Account Enterprises (OAE).
The establishments which had six or more workers (including both household and hired) were classified as
Directory Establishments (DE) and those which had less than six workers were termed as Non-Directory
Establishments (NDE). The follow-up surveys were generally taken up for the unorganized sectors which
in the case of hotels and restaurants included all the units which were not in the public, corporate and
cooperative sectors. However, the Enterprise Survey 1983-84 covered all the units except those in the
public sector. In short, hotels and restaurants are classified according to the following scheme:
Unorg
Establi
Directory
Establishments
Non-Directory
Establishments
The first economic census covering non-agricultral enterprises was carried out in 1977 which was
followed-up by sample surveys during 1978-79 and 1979-80. The 1979-80 survey covered hotels and
restaurants also along with trade, transport, storage and warehousing services. The second economic
census was carried out in 1980 along with the house listing operations of 1981 population census.
According to this census, there were 806,867 hotel and restaurant units in India except Assam state and
of these 264,293 were establishments and 542,574 were own-account enterprises.
Enterprise survey 1983-84 was conducted as a follow-up of economic census 1980 covering (i)
hotels and restaurants, (ii) transport, (iii) storage and ware housing, and (iv) services. Geographically the
survey covered the entire country, except Arunachal Pradesh, Mizoram, Andaman & Nicobar Islands and
Lakshadweep.
Ladakh region including Leh of Jammu & Kashmir. and rural areas of Nagaland were also
excluded from the survey. The hotel and restaurant survey included (i) lodging places with or without
arrangement for meals, other prepared food and refreshments, (NIC code 691), (ii) Oharamshala type
lodging places (NIC code 941), and (iii) eating and/or drinking services such as prepared meals, food and
rereshment, cold and/or hot drinks, etc.(NIC code 690). According to the survey. there were 1,007,942
hotel and restaurant enterprises in the country during 1983-84 excluding those in the public sector. Ofthese,
78,522 were directory establishments including 67,546 restaurants. The distribution of these units
by type of activity and category is given in table 6.2.
The final status of Jammu and Kashmir has not been agreed upon by India and Pakistan.
42
51.No.
4.
2.
3.
TABLE 6.2
ESTIMATED
Type of Activity
NUMBER
Rural!
Urban
Number
DE
ENTERPRISES
of Enterprises
NDE
CAE
ALL
Restaurants
places
Oharamshala type
lodging places
All activities
The estimated employment in the hotel and restaurant sector as per the survey was over 2.79
million and of these about 1.26 million were in the rural areas. Activitywise the restaurant sector accounted
about 93.8 per cent of the employment and the balance 6.2 per cent was accounted by hotels anddharamsh
Categorywise about 25.6 per cent of the employment was in the directory establishments,
27.4 per cent was in the non-directory establishments and the balance 47 per cent was in the own accountestablishm
The estimated employment by type of activity is given in table 6.3.
TABLE 6.3
ESTIMATED
Sl.No.
Type of Activity
EMPLOYMENT
IN HOTEL AND RESTAURANT
BY TYPE OF ACTIVITY
Rural!
Urban
Number
DE
NDE
Restaurants
4.
All activities
43
SECTOR
of Employees
CAE
ALL
51.No.
2.
3.
Sl.
4.
3.
TABLE 6.4
AVERAGE
EMPLOYMENT
Type of Activity
PER ENTERPRISE
IN THE HOTEL
SECTOR BY TYPE OF ACTIVITY
Rural!
Urban
1.
AND
RESTAURANT
DE
ALL
Restaurants
places
Oharamshala type
lodging places
All activities
The value of output of all the hotels and restaurant units covered in the survey was estimated to
be As. 45,520 million. Of the total output, As. 42,228 million (92.9 percent) was contributed by restaurants,
As. 3,164 million (7.0 per cent) by hotels and the rest by Oharamshala type lodging places. It may be noted
that the share of directory establishments
in the total output was only 39.4 per cent while the other two
categories put together accounted for more than 60 per cent of the receipts. The estimated value of output
by type of activity is given in table 6.5.
TABLE 6.5
ESTIMATED
Type of Activity
No.
RESTAURANT
DE
ALL
Restaurants
368
Hotels and other
2,796
lodging places
Oharamshala type
lodging places
All activities
44
2.
2.
3.
The total input cost of hotel and restaurant units covered in the survey was As. 32,430 million
including material costs, electricity and fuel, stationery, postage, repair and maintenance,
transport
charges, services purchased, etc. By deducting the input cost from the value of output, the gross value
added was estimated to be As. 13,090 million. It constituted about 28.8 per cent of the total output. The
estimates of expenses and the value added figures by type of activity are given in tables 6.6 and 6.7.
TABLE 6.6
ESTIMATED
Rural
Urban
Restaurants
1,845
9,444
Total
3,226
5,009
11,289
8,235
RESTAURANT
6,415
4,729
11,144
11,486
19,182
30,668
.
3.
Rural
Urban
lodging places
Total
Oharamshala type
89
1,220
129
210
13
66
231
1,496
1,309
339
79
1,727
Rural
-2
Urban
24
-2
1,934
10,673
3,357
5,243
-33
lodging places
4.
All activities
6,428
4,795
11,719
20,711
TABLE 6.7
ESTIMATES
Sl.
Type of Activity
No.
Rural!
Urban
AND
RESTAURANT
NDE
OAE
ALL
Restaurants
Rural
Urban
lodging
Total
places
Rural
4.
137
1,300
1,091
310
-3
36
1 437
-3
Dharamshala type
Urban
22
18
lodging places
Total
22
21
.-43
All activities
Rural
Urban
844
4,503
1,455
2,395
2,214
1,679
4,513
8,577
Total
5,347
3,850
3,893
13,090
-40
3.
TABLE 6.8
ESTIMATED
EMPLOYMENT
OUTPUT RATIOS IN THE HOTEL
RESTAURANT
SECTOR BY TYPE OF ACTIVITY
AND
Restaurants
2.
According to the input-output transactions table, the total output of the hotel and restaurant sector
during 1983-84 was Rs. 49,392 million. By subtracting the contribution of the private sector (Rs. 45,520/
= million) as estimated from the enterprise survey, the value of output of public sector was Rs. 3,872/
=million. The value added by public sector was estimated as Rs. 632/=million giving a total value added
figure of Rs. 13,090 million. The value added ratio thus worked out to be 27.782 per cent.
The number of persons employed in the public sector units was estimated as 154,106 by
multiplying the labour-output ratio of the directory establishments with the value of output. Thus, the total
employment in the hotel and restaurant sector during 1983-84 was 2,947,650 giving an average employment output ratio of 59.679 persons per million rupee of output.
The estimates of employment in the hotel and restaurant sector are also available from economic
census 1980 and population census 1981. These estimates, however, differ to the extent of about 24
per cent. While the total employment as per economic census 1980 was 2,080,503 the estimates as per
1981 population census was 1,583,160. Both the figures did not cover the state of Assam. The variation
in estimates may be due to differences in the approach and exclusion of part time and casual workers in
the population census.
Assuming that the ratios of value added to gross output and employment to output at constant
prices have not undergone any significant change over the years, the estimated gross receipts, value
added and employment in the hotel and restaurant sector can be calculated for all the years from 1983-84.
These estimates are grJen in table 6.9.
TABEL
6.9
ESTIMATES
OF GROSS VALUE ADDED, GROSS RECEIPTS
AND EMPLOYMENT
IN THE HOTEL AND RESTAURANT
SECTOR
Year
1983-84
1984-85
1985-86
1986-87
1987-88
1988-89
1989-90(p)
(p) =
Gross Value
Added
(As. million)
Gross Value
of Receipts
(Rs. million)
Price
Index
(80-81=100)
13,722
15,320
17,390
19,270
21,660
25,770
29,140
49,392
55,144
62,594
69,361
77,964
92,758
104,888
129.05
140.55
151.08
158.47
170.38
186.97
193.87
provisional
46
Total
Employment
2,947,650
3,021,652
3,190,841
3,370,891
3,524,146
3,947,507
4,166,707
Sl.
10.
6.4
Travel
Agents
Though the economic significance of hotel and restaurant sector can be easily assessed, it is
difficult to estimate the contribution of other segments of tourism industry due to non availability of data 8;nd
problems of apportioning.
The travel agents and tour operators constitute a major operational segment of
tourism industry. However, there is hardly any data available on their contribution to the national economy.
A survey of the segment was, therefore, attempted as a part of this project. The data available indicate that
the foreign exchange receipts of the segment amounted to As. 1,172.86 million during 1988 and
As. 1,601.63 million during 1989. There were about 231 travel agents and 119 tour operators approved
by the Government of India. These establishments handled 210,988 foreign tourists during 1988 and
235,778 tourists during 1989.
6.5
Expenditure
Pattern
of Tourists
The impact of tourism in all the direct recipient sectors can be estimated by using the expenditure
pattern of tourists.
In the case of international tourists, the pattern as revealed by 1982-83 survey was
considered to be more appropriate as the input-output table related to 1983-84. The study on "Employment
Potential of Tourism in India, 1981" provided the estimates in respect of domestic tourism. These estimates
were then adjusted for trade and transport margins to conform to the pricing system of input-output table.
The pattern of expenditure as used for the analysis is given in table 6.10.
TABEL 6.10
PATTERN
OF EXPENDITURE
Sector
No.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.6.
OF INTERNATIONAL
Sector
International
Tourists
Food products
excluding
sugar
14
Beverages
Tobacco
17
19
Textile products
20
24
Leather
37
44
Miscellaneous
11.
12.
13.
14.
48
Railway transport
49
Other transport
52
Trade
53
15.
59
Other services
Covered
products
and leather
fibre textiles
including
wearing
apparel
except fumiture
products
manufacturing
TOURISTS
Expenditure
Domestic
Tourists
0.30
0.80
2.27
0.91
Other crops
15
7.
8.
9.
DOMESTIC
Percentage
No.
13
AND
industries
services
services
3.87
5.20
3.60
1.33
8.00
5.00
2.93
2.00
0.62
5.61
O.50
4.29
9.34
5.97
48.31
11.24.
5. 56
31. 00
7.58
2. 50
6.414070
sector
It can be seen from table 6.10 that 48.31 per cent of the expenditure of the foreign tourists was
received by the hotel restaurant sector, 4.29 per cent by railways, 9.34 per cent by other transport services,
7.58 per cent by other service sectors and the remaining by the various items of shopping. The Transport
and Trade Margins (TTM) of the shopping items worked out to be 5.97 per cent as per the ratios estimated
by the Central Statistical Organization.
In the case of domestic tourists, 31 per cent of the receipts was
received by the hotels and restaurants, 11.4 per cent by railways, 24.7 per cent by other transport services,
2.5 per cent by other services sector and the remaining by the shopping establishments.
In this case, the
entire expenditure on accommodation and food has been retained with hotels and restaurants as its further
break-up to other components was not available.
47
The survey of domestic tourists undertaken as a part of the study on "Employment Potential of
Tourism in India, 1981" estimated the total volume of domestic tourists during that year as 14 million. The
aggregate domestic tourist expenditure was also estimated as As. 12,500 million. Since, these estimates
were considered to be under estimates, an attempt was made to revalidate them by using enterprise survey
results. As per the survey, the total value of output of hotels and supplementary accommodation units was
As. 7,114 million during 1983-84.
The value of receipts from foreign tourists during that year, was
As. 12,250 million.
Assuming that the proportion of expenditure of foreign tourists in hotels as 20.95
per cent, their share in the total output of hotels was As. 3,669 million. By subtraction, hotel, expenditure
of domestic tourists was estimated as As. 3,445 million. Since the ratio between their expenditure in hotels
and restaurants was 1.98: 1, the value of receipts from domestic tourists by restaurants could be estimated
as As. 1,740 million. Thus, the aggregate expenditure
by domestic tourists in the hotel and restaurant
sector was As. 5,185 million. As it constituted about 31 per cent of the expenses as revealed by the survey,
the total expenditure
of domestic tourists during 1983-84 was estimated to be As. 16,726 million.
Considering a price rise of about 13 per cent between 1981-82 and 1983-84, this estimate compared well
with the survey results of 1981.
It would be interesting to note that the contribution of tourists, both foreign and domestic, to the total
output of restaurant sector was only about 9.44 per cent. The rest was contributed by the local people. A
study undertaken. earlier, however, considered the total output of hotel and restaurant sector as tourism
receipts. Though it may be justified from an industry perspective, it would not be right to ascribe it totally
to tourists.
Value Added
Output
Ratios
The estimation of gross value-added from tourism sector involved the multiplication of the share of
each recipient sector with the respective ratios of value added to gross output.
These ratios were
estimated for each sector by using the input-output table.
Labour-Output Ratios
The estimation of direct employment due to tourism in different recipient sectors necessitated the
use of labour-output ratios. These ratios were, however, not available from any single source and as such
they had to be estimated by using data available from various sources. The data sources used and the
methodology of computation are explained in the following paragraphs.
Manufacturing
industries are divided into factory and non-factory sectors.
All establishments
employing 10 or more workers, if using power and 20 or more if not using power are covered in the factorysector.
All the remaining establishments come under the purview of non-factory sector and are further
divided as directory establishments,
non-directory establishments and own-account enterprises.
In the
case of factory sector, yearly data on total employment and value of output are availabl~ at 3-digit level of
industrial classification from the summary results of Annual Survey of Industries. Follow-up surveys of the
second economic census conducted during 1984-85 give similar data for non-factory sector. The report
on directory establishments
gives industry-wise data on number of establishments,
number of persons
employed, value of output per establishment, etc.. at 3-digit level of industrial classification.
The aggregate
value of output of each industry is thus obtained by multiplying the per establishment value with the
estimated number of establishments.
Estimates of full time and part time employment given separately are
added together as part time employment formed only a small proportion of the total employment.
Government
of India, Economic
Benefits
of Tourism,
1987
48
The
i)
iv)
iii)
ii)
procedure:
labour output ratios were first calculated
3-digit level.
establishments
at
at 3-digit level
The labour output ratios were also calculated at 2-digit level by taking all the three segments
viz factory. directory and non-directory establishments
and own account enterprises together.
The ratio between the figures estimated at step (iii) and step (ii) is used to adjust the figures
obtained at step (i) for all the sectors falling under the particular industry.
The following
exceptions
are, however,
(i)
It is assumed
miscellaneous
that the entire production of food products in the non-directory sector are
food products and sugar is not produced in the non-directory sector.
(ii)
(iii)
49
goes to miscellaneous
drugs, etc., in the non-
(iv)
Cement is considered
to be not produced
in the non-directory
sector.
(v)
Railway equipment is also considered to be not produced in the non-directory sector. The
entire production in the non-directory sector is, therefore, taken as other transport equipment~.
Organic heavy chemicals and inorganic heavy chemicals were two sectors in the input-outputtable,
but both belonged to the same industry group 310 at 3-digit level of industrial classification.
The
same labour coefficient were, therefore, assumed for both the sectors.
In the case of sectors other than manufacturing industries, the estimates of work force as on
1.10.80 were given by CSO in a publication titled "National Accounts Statistics:. Sources and Methods
1989". The estimates of main workers were available at 3-digit level and those of marginal workers were
available at 1-digit level. For some of the sectors, the marginal workers were relatively insignificant, while
for others the proportio,l of these workers was quite high. The marginal workers for each group at 1-digit
level were divided among it's sectors on the basis of the proportion of main workers. The sector-wise work
force estimates Jhus obtained (main workers and marginal workers) were related to the corresponding
estimates of the value of output for 1980-81. These were then brought forward to 1983-84 prices by using
the price indices estimated from the National Accounts Statistics.
It is implicitly assumed that in physical
terms the relationship between labour and output for 1980-81 remained the same for 1983-84.
The
estimates of value of output were, however, not available for some of the sectors. In such cases the gross
value added estimates were converted into gross value of output by using the ratios of value added to
output based on input-output tables. In the case of hotel and restaurant sector, the ratios were available
from Enterprise Survey 1983-84. These ratios along with the value added/output ratios for all the sector
of the input-output table are given in table 6.11.
TABLE 6.11
SECTOR -WISE
Sec.
No.
RATIOS OF VALUE
AND EMPLOYMENT
Sector
ADDED TO GROSS
TO OUTPUT
Value Added
Output Ratio
Employment
Output
Ratio per Million
Rupees of Output
309.012
309.012
108.827
309.012
20.414
6.602
1.
Food crops
7118
2.
3.
Cash crops
7881
4.
5.
Other crops
8171
Animal
4938
6.
7.
Forestry
Plantation
crops
and logging
8.
Fishing
Coal and lignite
9.
Crude petroleum,
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.22.
8599
husbandry
9007
5190
82.192
36.303
2.068
42.197
102.037
22.197
40.109
11.808
43.055
80.543
27.373
41.071
156.074
157.839
233.825
2173
14.580
9288
6840
natural gas
8841
Iron ore
8291
Other minerals
8084
Sugar
1969
Food products
1166
Beverages
3169
Tobacco
3895
products
Cotton textiles
Wool, silk and synthetic
3411
textile
2209
2884
Textile
products
5248
2787
and fixtures
50
OUTPUT
Sec.
Sector
Value Added
Output Ratio
No.
23.
24.
25.
26.
27.28.
29.
30.
Printing,
publishing
.3751
.3227
.2504
Petroleum
products
.0537
Coaltar products
.0577
Inorganic
.1520
heavy chemicals
Organic
heavy chemicals
.3240
Fertilizers
.2009
31.32.33.34.
Paints, varnishes
Pesticides,
and lacquers
.2414
.2471
Cement
.3305
Non-metallic
35.36.
mineral
products
.4154
and foundries
.2316
.1641
37.38.
Metal products
.3500
39.40.
Agricultural machinery
Machinery for food and textile industries
except machinery
.2587
.2839
Other machinery
.3293
41.42.43.44.45.46.
Electronic47.48.
and 49.50.
electrical
machinery
.3131
.4347
.4341
.3702
Construction
.3646
Electricity
.3728
.4185
Railway transport
.4483
Other transport
Storage
services
services
.4324
and warehousing
.6613
51.52.53.54.
Communication
Trade
55.56.
.8471
.6982
.2778
Banking
.7925
Insurance
Ownership
57.58.59.60.
Education
.8598
of dwellings
.8934
and research
.8374
.3407
Other services
.5857
6.8
Estimates
of Value Added
1.0000
and Employment
Employment Output
Ratio per Million
Rupees of Output
31.621
50.869
28.267
0.395
5.381
4.706
4.706
2.427
4.911
9.463
6.078
111.388
7.037
6.012
36.103
6.197
13.813
13.965
8.585
22.227
7.043
98.574
18.726
14.088
25.561
31.110
35.954
30.273
59.644
45.871
59.679
22.375
9.745
0.008
82.351
41.667
154.420
74.503
Due to Tourism
The linkage between gross value of output of hotel and restaurant sector and the foreign exchange
earnings from tourists is based on enterprise survey 1983-84 and foreign tourists survey 1982-83.
According to this linkage, about 14.4 percent of the total output of the sector was from accommodation units
and of this the contribution of foreign tourists was about 29.95 per cent of their expenditure in India. The
rest of the output of the accommodation sector was, therefore, due to domestic tourists. Their expenditure
in restaurants was about 50.495 per cent of their expenses in hotels and both taken together constituted
about 31 per cent of the total tour expenditure.
Assuming that the ratios and coefficients described above
did not undergo significant changes over the years, the contribution of foreign and domestic tourists to the
national economy in terms of gross receipts, value added and employment were estimated for the years
1983-84 to 1989-90. The data used for the same and the results are given in table 6.12.
51
TABLE 6.12
ESTIMATES
OF VALUE OF RECEIPTS,
VALUE ADDED AND EMPLOYMENT
INTERNATIONAL
AND DOMESTIC TOURISTS
Year
Value of Receipts
by Hotels and Restaurants
(Rs. million)
Domestic
Tourists
Foreign
Tourists
(1)
(2)
1983-84
1984-85
1985-86
1986-87
1987-88
1988-89
1989-90(p)
(3)
DUE TO
Tourism Receipts
(Rs. million)
All
All
Foreign
Tourists
Domestic
Tourists
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
28,965
Tourists
Tourists
5,918
5,181
11,099
12,250
16,715
6,532
5,855
13,522
18,886
32,408
7,147
6,898
12,387
14,043
14,794
22,244
37,038
7,761
7,789
15,550
16,066
25,126
41,192
8,967
8,529
17,496
18,561
46,073
62,170
9,922
10,843
20,765
20,538
27,512
34,978
11,865
11,659
23,524
24,560
37,610
55,516
(Cant'd)
Year
Gross
Value Added
Total Employment
(As. million)
(As. million)
Foreign
Tourists
(1)
(2)
1983
.84
1984
.85
1985
.86
1986
.87
1987.
.88
1988.
-89
1989.
.90
Domestic
Tourists
(3)
All
Foreign
Tourists
Tourists
Domestic
Tourists
(4)
(5)
(6)
All
Tourism
(7)
4,541
5,013
5,484
5,956
6,881
6,445
7,282
8,578
9,688
10,608
10,986
871,744
12,295
883,527
1,031,313
14,062
899,269
1,130,066
2,029,335
15,644
931,047
1,216,893
2,147,940
17,489
1,000,445
1,239,302
2,239,747
7,614
9,105
13,487
14,502
21,101
23,607
1,042,227
1,483,446
2,525,673
1,163,398
1,488,910
2,652,308
994,083
1,865,827
1,914,840
It could be noted that the gross value added from tourism increased by about 115 per cent over a
period of 6 years from 1983-84 to 1989-90, registering an average annual rate of growth of 13.6 per cent
at current prices. However, compared to the total value of gross domestic product, the contribution of
tourism sector is still very small and is about 0.6 per cent. In the case of employment due to tourism, the
average growth rate has been about 6 per cent per annum since 1983-84. The details of segment-wise
gross output, value added and employment are given in tables 6.13.1 to 6.19.3
It is important to note that the estimates given in the tables 6.13.1 to 6.19.3 correspond only to the
contribution of tourists and do not include the entire contribution of hotel and restaurant sector. The total
impact by considering hotels and restaurants as tourism industries is given in table 6.20.
52
1,071
81.
Segments
TABLE 6.13.1
ESTIMATES
OF GROSS
VALUE
OF RECEIPTS
FROM
TOURISM
1983-84
SI. No.
Segments
Railway transport
Transport
44.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
5,917.975
3,733.800
5,181.581
1,905.484
4,128.549
5,081.292
services
525.525
services
1 ,144.150
Shopping
Food and beverages
11,099.556
2,431.009
5,272.699
8,815.092
524.300
524.300
474.075
637.000
1,811.257
1,472.739
441.000
1,337.182
835.739
489.743
162.925
75.950
334.296
83.574
497.221
159.524
except
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
Misc. manufact.
Other services
Total
687.225
731.325
928.550
Trade
.417
929 .341
417 .869
12,250.000
16,714.780
930.743
1,758.642
1,660.666
1,346.419
28,964.780
TABLE 6.13.2
ESTIMATES
OF GROSS
VALUE ADDED
1983-84
No.
Gross
Railway transport
Transport
44.1
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.54.6
FROM
services
services
except
Domestic
Tourists
All
Tourists
1,644.013
235.593
494.730
1,439.443
854.229
1,623.018
172.997
104.723
334.298
122.907
1,785.185
2,121.567
0
295.383
438.596
136.491
3,083.456
1,089.822
2,279.915
3,744.585
172.997
400.106
772.894
259.398
52.576
26.582
107.877
29.251
160.453
55.833
298.324
510.611
543.852
465.102
648.866
244.746
1,159.477
788.598
6,445.169
10,986.376
4.7
Misc. manufact.
Trade
Other services
Total
il")dustries
Foreign
Tourists
4.8
TOURISM
4,541.207
53
763.426
TABLE 6.13.3
ESTIMATES
No.
Railway transport
Transport
44.1
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.5
4.6
DUE TO TOURISM
Segments
4.2
4.3
4.4
OF EMPLOYMENT
1983-84
services
services
317, 6! ~2
12, g'
99, 4
except
69,
130,'
77,:300
61 :17
17,005
3,017
2,742
4.7
4.8
Misc. manufact.
Other services
Total
871,744
994,083
industries
731
36,1
8,288
7!
18!
0503437
66: 2,'5,19,!D,:3,:9,!9,15,!
309,:
59,:
148,'
412,1
2:
41
221
141
25,293
5,759
67,742
105,614
33,547
42,630
173,356
76,1 77
143,387
64,527
207,914
Trade
1,865,827
TABLE 6.14.1
ESTIMATES
OF GROSS
VALUE
OF RECEIPTS
FROM
TOURISM
1984-85
81. No.
Gross
Segments
Foreign
Tourists
Railway transport
Transport
44.1
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.2
4.3
4.4
6,53:2.,J.I2.!1.!B..3.:
services
services
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
Misc. manufact.
Other services
Trade
Total
81. 629
232280
411
478
676D10
:>94~55506742
438
655
575507
299301
370580656~07
144
industries
2,15:
1,26:
4,12
4,66-
481
5,74
792
All
Tourists
3.:
5,85- 4.13.14.11.:D.I4.:12,387.154
581
52:
70:3.5..
(Rs. million)
Domestic
Tourists
571
Receipts
2,733.104
5,927.810
360
9,862.866
0684303361
578.742
1,511
94-
55:
2,034.185
1,647.447
1,040.153
179.843
83.836
377.721
94.430
557.564
758.584
807.264
1,024.968
1,210.596
1,050.065
472.151
1,969.180
1,857.329
1,497.119
13,522.001
18,886.052
32,408.053
54
178
81.
TABLE 6.14.2
ESTIMATES
OF GROSS
VALUE
ADDED
FROM
TOURISM
1984-85
No.
Segments
Railway transport
34.4.1
Transport
1,814.722
260.056
546.102
services
services
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.2
4.3
4.4
except
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
Misc. manufact.
Other services
Total
1,791.547
190.960
115.597
369.010
135.669
industries
2,017.083
2,397.162
0
333.754
495.570
154.222
58.035
29.343
121.891
33.051
179.926
62.394
329.301
563.631
600.324
525.520
733.1 55
854.821
296.786
876.863
5,012.750
7,282.408
Trade
3,441.151
1,225.250
2,563.185
4,188.709
190.960
449.351
864.580
289.891
1,626.429
965.194
276.539
12,295.158
TABLE 6.14.3
ESTIMATES
OF EMPLOYMENT
DUE TO TOURISM
1984-85
No.
Segments
Employment
Railway transport
Transport
4.
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
357,953
services
16,570
services
Shopping
Food and beverages
678,766
78,070
153,997
195,690
321,987
428,059
750,046
61,500
41,693
23,686
320,813
23,686
13,152
37,974
100,763
135,322
70,548
80,196
150,744
17,642
26,042
3,130
5,909
except
8,400
2,779
4.7
Misc. manufact.
4.8
Trade
34,000,
Other services
45,325
Total
industries
68,658
883,527
55
51,126236,085
109,569
44,226
66,944
178,227
78,226
212,269
1,031,313
1,914,840
TABLE 6.15.1
ESTIMATES
OF GROSS
VALUE
OF RECEIPTS
FROM
TOURISM
1985-86
51.No.
Gross
Foreign
Tourists
1
2
Transport
4
4.1
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.2
4.3
4.4
Railway transport
services
1,381.760
4,509.212
633.1 83
572.528
769.288
532.584
4.5
4.6
leather
4.7
Misc. manufact.
4.8
Trade
Other services
Total
except
6,895.930
14,042.912
3,170.586
5,494.499
6,876.259
11,271.673
6,762.461
0
633.1 83
1,779.595
2,352.123
1,112.247
1,881.535
651.777
444.899
111.225
829.943
883.202
industries
All
Tourists
2,535.923
196.760
91.723
(Rs. million)
Domestic
Tourists
7,146.982
634.663
services
Receipts
1,184.361
641.659
202.948
1,121.385
1,236.818
556.1 24
2,255.;
2,120.1
1,677.!509
14,794.001
22,244.937
37,038.938
1,425.900
TABLE 6.15.2
ESTIMATES
OF GROSS
VALUE
ADDED
FROM
TOURISM
1985-86
81. No.
Segments
843020
431519
689854821
473
Gross
Segments
Foreign
Tourists
Hotels and restaurants
Railway transport
Transport
1,985.,
284.:
services
597.,
services
1,915.1
1,136.,
2,375.1
2,823.'497
All
Tourists
3,901. 120
1,421.,373294
2,973.,
4,783.!573
208. 924583429
519.
987.,
330.1081
4
4.1
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.2
4.3
4.4
126.
403. 722
148.,431
393. 112
583.'707
181.1650
63.494
32.103
143.569
38.929
207.063
71.032
360.278
616.652
656.795
618.983
863.547
325.722
1,480.199
982.517
5,484.293
8,577.583
14,061.876
4.5
4.6
1,960.1076924471
208:
except
4.7
4.8
Trade
Other services
Total
Misc. manufact.
industries
56
979.261
St.
TABLE 6.15.3
ESTIMATES
OF EMPLOYMENT
DUE TO TOURISM
1985-86
81.No.
Segments
Employment
Domestic
Tourists
Foreign
Tourists
1
Railway transport
Transport
44.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
services
services
Shopping
Food and beverages
364,330
351,533
16,865
67,389
84,254
42,436
168,743
211,179
796,771
24,108
469,048
0
13,387
41,610
102,558
148,280
250,838
71,805
87,875
159,680
19,331
3,430
327,723
except
4.5
4.6
8,550
2,829
4.7
4.8
Misc. manufact.
5
6
industries
All
Tourists
715,863
24,108
54,997
27,881
6,259
69,881
120,061
189,942
34,606
48,461
83,067
Other services
147,914
73,354
221,268
Total
899,269
Trade
1,130,066
2,029,335
TABLE 6.16.1
ESTIMATES
No.
Transport
44.1
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.5
4.6
VALUE OF RECEIPTS
1986-87
FROM
Gross
Receipts
Segments
4.2
4.3
4.4
OF GROSS
7,761.485
689.231
services
services
except
4.7
4.8
Misc. manufact.
Other services
Total
Trade
industries
1,500.565
4,896.917
687.625
621.754
835.432
578.376
TOURISM
(Rs. million)
--
7,788. 986337063231
2,864.
6,206.
7,638.
0061288185
2,010.
1,256.
736.
15,550.471
3,553.568
7,706.628
12,535.148
687.625
2,631.815
2,091.720
1,314.561
213.678
99.609
502.515
125.629
71 6.1 93
901.303
959.140
1,610.561
1,396.992
2,511.864
2,356.132
1,845.947
1,217.803
16,066.001
57
628.144
25,125.761
225.238
41,191.762
81.
SI.
TABLE 6.16.2
ESTIMATES
OF GROSS
VALUE
ADDED FROM
TOURISM
1986-87
No.
Segments
(As. million)
-
Railway transport
Transport
44.1
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
2,156. 141982844605887346
2,163.780
308.
1,284.082
648.
2,683.502
services
services
except
2,128.
226.
137.
438. 435193
161.
68.954
34.863
4.7
4.8
Trade
Other services
Total
Misc. manufact.
industries
4,319.921
1,593.064
3,332.346
5,317.758
226.887
581.368
3,189.153
0
444.022
659.300
205.175
1,097.735
366.368
162.1 62
231.116
43.970
78.833
391.256
669.672
713.267
975.380
367.904
1,090.401
1,645.052
1,081.171
5,955.840
9,688.422
15,644.262
699.145
TABLE 6.16.3
ESTIMATES
No.
1
2
34.
OF EMPLOYMENT
1986-87
Segments
Employment
377,205
378,541
17,461
72,566
43,935
181 ,708
339,304
Shopping
Food and beverages
Wood silk syn. fibre textiles
Textile prod. inc. wearing apparel
Wood and wood products except
furniture
Leather and leather products
Metal products except
machinery and trans. equip.
Misc. manufact. industries
Trade
Other services
Total
931,047
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
DUE TO TOURISM
24,960
505,086
0
13,860
44,807
106,182
159,673
74,342
94,626
8,852
2,929
72,351
755, 746
90, 0276433909606668559
225,
844,
24,
58,
265,
168,
20,817
29,669
3,694
6,623
129,286
201,637
35,829
52,1 85
88,014
153,1 41
78,990
232,131
58
1,216,893
2,147,940
TABLE 6.17.1
ESTIMATES
OF GROSS
VALUE
OF RECEIPTS
FROM
TOURISM
1987-88
81.No.
Segments
Foreign
Tourists
Railway transport
Transport
44.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
Domestic
Tourists
8,966.
796.:
services
services
8,528.588
6,795.359
8,363.518
794..
718.:
2,200.926
965.'
1,375.579
668.'
806.089
246.861
115.078
550.231
137.558
except
4.7
4.8
Misc. manufact.
Other services
industries
1,041.272
1,108.092
1,406.924
Trade
17,495.407
3,932.586
8,528.956
14,020.911
794.411
3,136.319
1,733.:
5,657.:
Shopping
Food and beverages
All
Tourists
2,919.237
2,340.751
1,474.285
797.092
252.636
1,763. 492643789
1,529.
687.
2,804.764
2,637.735
2,094.713
TABLE 6.17.2
ESTIMATES
OF GROSS
VALUE
ADDED FROM
TOURISM
1987-88
No.
Segments
Railway transport
Transport
44.1
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.2
4.3
4.4
services
services
(As.million)
2,490.~
2,369.242
4,860.
356.!
1,406.012
1,762.~
2,938.313
3,687.~
3,491.979
5,951.
749.1
2,459. 171122675
262.
158.1
486.1 84
506.! 522226
721.904
186.:
224.657
410.1
177.560
257.222
88.423
except
262.
644.1
1,228.,
4.5
4.6
79.662
40.278
48.1 45
4.7
4.8
Misc. manufact.
765.532
Other services
452.016
773.670
824.035
1,067.997
402.838
1,217.548
1,841.667
1,226.873
Total
6,880.763
10,608.384
17,489.147
Trade
81.967607
819267597393411311172196
983
225979920150122859426883
industries
59
TABLE 6.17.3
ESTIMATES
OF EMPLOYMENT
DUE TO TOURISM
1987-88
81.No.
Segments
Employment
Railway transport
Transport
44.1
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.2
4.3
4.4
40!
, : 7,:4,!
services
B,'
services
6,14,1
4'
3621
except
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
Misc. manufact.
Other services
Total
73,~
185,(
514,~
232,264
92,666
878,983
0>32
96,~
276,710
176,253
21,200
3,762
77,' 744499556
26,820
60,525
162,{ >13169
9,511
3,147
industries
790,833
45,{
71
Tourists
385,E
820893:>97884
, ,,
, -4,1g,l
All
Domestic
Tourists
Foreign
Tourists
30,711
6,909
131,666
53,1 46
209,410
38"
164,!
80,445
245,001
,239,302
2,239,747
Trade
1,000,445
91,645
TABLE 6.18.1
ESTIMATES
51. No.
OF GROSS
VALUE OF RECEIPTS
1988-89
FROM
Gross
Receipts
Segments
Foreign
Tourists
Railway transport
Transport
44.1
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.2
4.3
4.4
services
1,918.249
6,259.983
879.026
794.821
4.5
4.6
leather
4.7
Misc. manufact.
4.8
Trade
Other services
Total
, 103
5,:
321
j12
260
522
763210595
)54188
631390
9,921.908
881.080
services
except
1,067.976
739.368
TOURISM
(Rs. million)
Domestic
Tourists
10,843.:
3,987.!
8,639.1
10,633.:
All
Tourists
20,765.168
4,868.602
10,557.880
16,893.373
0261913863
879.026
2,798.:
1,748.!
1,024.1
273.1 55
699.565
127.336
174.891
3,593.082
2,816.889
1,764.231
972.720
302.227
1,152.182
1,226.119
1,556.780
2,242.107
1,944.792
874.457
3,394.289
3,170.911
2,431.237
20,538.000
34,978.262
55,516.262
60
TABLE 6.18.2
ESTIMATES
OF GROSS
VALUE
ADDED FROM
TOURISM
1988-89
81.No.
Segments
Domestic
Tourists
Foreign
Tourists
1
Railway transport
Transport
44.1
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
2,756.306
394.988
829.451
services
services
exceptfurniture
2,721.106
290.041
175.576
560.474
206.062
Other services
Total
manufact.
industries
5,768.
1,787 .606
2,182.
3,735 .776
4,565.
4,439 .709
7,160.
290.
618 .136
917
.830
285 .629
793.
1,478.
491.'
225.750
61.212
313.897
500.162
856.076
911.806
973.298
1,357.853
512.169
1,473.460
2,213.929
1,423.975
7,613.657
13,487.517
21,101.174
Trade
3,012 .258
88.147
44.567
4.7
4.8
All
Tourists
105.779
TABLE 6.18.3
ESTIMATES
OF EMPLOYMENT
DUE TO TOURISM
1988-89
No.
Segments
Employment
Foreign
Tourists
Railway transport
Transport
services
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
Misc. manufact.
Other services
Total
27,
15,
118,
83,
9,909
3,278
Trade
51. 428
4.1
564594227815041712304691
249546
991107
All
Tourists
422,
19,
182822940515862220
49,379,
services
Domestic
Tourists
25,376
35,285
4,503
7,781
80,!
157,605
238,596
40,
63,615
103,722
96,293
267,721
171"
1,042,227
61
1.483,446
2,525,673
TABLE 6.19.1
ESTIMATES
OF GROSS
VALUE
RECEIPTS
FROM
TOURISM
1989-90
81.No.
Gross
Segments
Receipts
Foreign
Tourists
Railway transport
Transport
44.1
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.2
4.3
4.4
services
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
Misc. manufact.
Other services
Total
All
Tourists
11,864.!
11,1
23,523.930
28'28!
70'90!
43:
1,053.1624904
4,:
5,341.123
2,293.!
9,:
11,583.484
7,485.1B8816847212016011" 30:
18,919.218
0771482962 1,051.168
1,051.
950.,
3,1001Boo
3,959.243
1,277.
1,1B81Jo'10!
3,157.602
884.
1, 10
1,986.122
services
(Rs. million)
Domestic
Tourists
326.648
152.272
752.193
1,377.816
1,466.232
1,861.648
Trade
24,560.000
188.048
1,078.841
340.320
2,410.778
2,091.096
940.241
3,788.594
3,557.328
2,801.889
37,609.640
62,169.640
TABLE 6.19.2
ESTIMATES
OF GROSS
VALUE
ADDED FROM
TOURISM
1989-90
No.
Gross
Segments
Foreign
Tourists
Hotels and restaurants
Railway transport
Transport
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.54.6
services
services
except
Value Added
3,296.079
472.340
991.884
3,231
3,253.986
346.841
209.959
670.233
246.415
4,77: 3.'
105.409
53.295
1,92:
4,011 B14702
0538B77
66, 4.~5.17.
98j
30. 117
23,606.824
Other services
1,023.723
1,090.367
Total
9,104.655
14,502.169
51.2.1
940
65:
Bo!
990499
~.I
B67
:>85
5.1580330
62
1,657.110
553.532
1,644.629
2,483.726
1,641.066
1,046.519
1,460.003
550.699
598.110
6,534.946
2,394.425
5,008.698
8,027.688
346.841
874.597
348.1 42
Misc. manufact.
industries
All
Tourists
242.733
65.817
4.7
4.8
Trade
(As. million)
Domestic
Tourists
119.112
SI. 770359
407
TABLE 6.19.3
ESTIMATES
No.
OF
EMPLOYMENT
1989-90
DUE TO TOURISM
Segments
Employment
Railway transport
Transport
44.1
Shopping
Food and beverages
4.2
4.3
4.4
471,340
934,499
21,819
88,787
110,606
54,900
222,326
423,980
617,991
services
Tourists
463,1 59
services
31,189
All
Domestic
Tourists
Foreign
Tourists
277,226
1,041,971
31,1 89
17,318
54,823
72,141
132,681
328,046
92,895
195,365
11 5,779
except
208,674
4.5
11,061
25,470
36,531
4.6
3,659
4,519
8,178
4.7
4.8
Misc. manufact.
Other services
Total
industries
90"
158,1 85
44,'
63,850
191,:
96,647
Trade
1,488,910
1,163,398
248,592
108,620288,006
2,652,308
TABLE 6.20
ESTIMATES
OF OUTPUT, VALUE ADDED AND EMPLOYMENT
BY CONSIDERING
THE ENTIRE CONTRIBUTION
OF HOTEL
AND RESTAURANT
SECTOR AS TOURISM EARNINGS
1983
-84
67,258
21,625
4,151, 066
1984
-85
75,165
24,174
4,257, 726
1985
-86
85,590
27,551
4,504, 313
1986
-87
95,003
30,594
4,763, 085
1987
-88
106,542
34,289
4,973, 060472
1988
-89
127,509
41,102
5,589,
1989
-90
143,534
46,212
5,884, 516
63
6.9
Indirect
Taxes
The estimates of indirect taxes paid by various sectors of the economy in the form of excise duty,
electricity duty, sales tax, export/import duty, etc., during the year 1983-84 were made available by the
Central Statistical Organization.
According to these estimates, the amount of indirect taxes paid by hotel
and restaurant sector during the year was As. 2,172.5 million. As compared to the total indirect tax revenue
of As. 266,180 milion, it amounted to about 0.82 per cent.
The revenue accruing to the Government on account of tourism was estimated as a proportion of
total receipts by using the expenditure pattern of foreign and domestic tourists and tax/output ratios. These
ratios were calculated by dividing the amount of tax by the value of output of the concerned sectors. On
the basis of these calculations 12.60 per cent of receipts from foreign tourists and 8.07 per cent of the
domestic tourist expenditure are collected as tax revenue. The tax/output ratios and the proportionate tax
component of different sectors due to tourism are given in table 6.21.
TABLE 6.21
ESTIMATES
Sector
No.
(1)
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
OF
INDIRECT
TAX
PROPORTIONS
TOURISM
Proportionate tax
Tax/output
Ratio
DUE TO
Foreign Tourists
(2)
Domestic Tourists
(3)
(4)
0.00007
0.00000
0.00000
0.01036
0.00000
0.000000.00000
0.00498
0.00000
0.00573
0.00002
0.00000
0.001020.04441
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00003
0.00000
0.00000
0.04459
0.00000
0.00000
0.24308
0.00000
0.00000
10.
0.06150
0.00000
0.00000
11.
0.09785
0.00000
0.00000
12.13.14.15.16.
0.123850.04671
0.00000
0.00000
0.00037
0.00000
2.04639
0.04645
0.00000
0.54525
0.00469
0.00000
0.04732
0.00000
0.00000
17
0.06413
0.00248
0.00513
18.
19.20.
0.14308
0.00000
0.00000
0.03866
0.00201
0.00193
0.02676
0.00096
0.000780.00000
0.04162
0.00000
0.20637
0.00000
0.00000
23.
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
24.
0.06691
0.00089
0.00134
21.22.
64
Sector
No.
(1)
Tax/output
--Proportionate
Ratio
Foreign Tourists
(2)
(3)
tax
Domestic Tourists
(4)
25.
0.28310
0.00000
0.00000
26.
0.32718
0.00000
0.00000
27.
0.09793
0.00000
0.00000
28.
0.70500
0.00000
0.00000
29.
0.11167
0.00000
0.00000
30.
0.01637
0.00000
0.00000
31.
0.19776
0.00000
0.00000
32.
0.30819
0.00000
0.00000
33.
0.46186
0.00000
0.00000
34.
0.14194
0.00000
0.00000
35.
0.13515
0.00000
0.00000
36.
0.41459
0.00000
0.00000
37.
0.10286
0.00064
0.00051
38.
0.05309
0.00000
0.00000
39.
0.10870
0.00000
0.00000
40.
0.39045
0.00000
0.00000
41.
0.20089
0.00000
0.00000
42.
0.04344
0.00000
0.00000
43.
0.30024
0.00000
0.00000
44.
0.59560
0.03341
0.03818
45.
0.00007
0.00000
0.00000
46.
0.06891
0.00000
0.00000
47.
0.00472
0.00000
0.00000
48.
0.00457
0.00020
0.00052
49.
0.06682
0.00624
0.01650
50.
51.
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
52.
0.00092
0.00005
0.00005
53.
0.04398
0.02125
0.01363
54.
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
55.
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
56.
0.00626
0.00000
0.00000
57.
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
58.59.60.
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.08372
0.00635
0.00209
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
9.18665
0.12601
0.08066
Total
65
'.07
In absolute terms, the tax revenue accrued to the Government during 1983-84 amounted to As.
1,544 million due to international tourism and As. 1,348 million due to domestic tourism.
The rates of
indirect tax underwent several upward revisions since 1983-84. In the case of hotels with a room tariff of
As. 400 and above, an expenditure tax of 20 per cent was introduced by the Government since 1987 and
the tax revenue on account of this amounted to nearly As. 750 million during 1990-91. Airconditioned
restaurants also have to pay a similar tax of 15 per cent from 1991-92 onwards. The revenue on account
of it is expected to be about As. 1,500 million. Thus the incidence of tax in the hotel and restaurant sector
has gone up considerably in the recent past. The overall increase in the incidence of taxes a percentage
of GDP was about 16.55 per cent during the period from 1983-84 to 1989.90. The annual changes in the
incidence of indirect taxes and actual amount of tax realised are given in table 6.22.
TABLE 6.22
ESTIMATES
OF TAXES REALISED
AND ANNUAL CHANGES
INCIDENCE
OF INDIREDCT TAXES
IN THE
(As. billion)
Year
Direct
1983-84
1984-85
1985-86
1986-87
1987-88
Source:
Rate of
Indirect
Tax
Tax
Change in
Indirect
Tax Rate
266.18
304.84
370.15
426.50
494.93
571.68
1,867.23
2,085.77
2,334.76
2,590.55
2,842.66
3,517.24
0.026279
0.025549
0.026778
0.026597
0.026324
0.142553
53 ,29
0.027740
0.162536
1.0575
0.9335
656.54
3,951.43
0.028111
0.166152
1.0222
68 .90
741.83
97'.57
1989-90
Rate of
Direct
49
62 .52
1988-89
GDP
Indirect
Tax
Tax
111 .08
(1)
Economic
(2)
National
Survey,
Accounts
0.146152
0.158539
0.164637
0.174108
1.0252
1.0848
1.0385
1990-91
Statistics,
1991
By assuming that the increase in the rate of indirect taxation has been almost uniform in all the
sectors of the economy, particularly those related to tourism, the revenue accrued to the Government by
way of indirect taxes since 1983-84 has been estimated and given in table 6.23. It could be seen from the
table that the tax revenue due to tourism constituted about 1.10 per cent of the total indirect taxes.
TABLE 6.23
ESTIMATES OF INDIRECT TAXES ACCURED
GOVERNMENT
DUE TO TOURISM
TO
(As. million)
Value of Receipts
Year
Foreign
Tourists
Domestic
Tourists
Foreign
Tourists
Domestic
Tourists
All
Tourists
1983-84
12,250
16,715
1,544
1,348
1984-85
13,522
18,886
1,747
1,561
2,982
3,308
1985-86
14,794
16,066
22,244
25,126
2,073
1,995
4,068
2,338
2,341
4,679
27,512
34,978
2,857
2,710
5,567
1988-89
18,561
20,538
2,951
3,216
1989-90
24,560
37,610
3,607
3,536
6,167
7,143
1986-87
1987-88
66
6.10
Tourism
as Compared
to Other Sectors
of the Economy
TABLE 6.24
TAX
Sector
No.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
ESTIMATES
OF OUTPUT, VALUE ADDED, EMPLOYMENT
AND
REVENUE
FROM DIFFERENT SECTORS
OF THE ECONOMY (1983-84)
Output
(As. million)
248,615.4
74,193.5
107,925.0
29,089.5
18,742.5
176,633.2
2,372.0
66,801.8
199,915.0
44,384.5
15,647.7
25,610.3
98,724.8
39,978.2
14,441.0
17,517.5
26,183.2
1,662.4
7,024.0
6,598.3
4,081.1
14,963.7
2,185.9
8,135.3
34,480.7
13,335.9
2,544.5
21,558.9
5,562.9
1,524.0
4,172.3
6,186.0
4,531.1
7,728.3
5,144.5
81.4
899.2
23.
24.
25.
30,862.7
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
Employment
('000' persons)
349,258.4
94,137.0
21,795.8
216,178.5
29,613.1
2,004.9
8,688.7
33,506.3
128,263.6
6,895.6
20,885.9
101,065.5
60,352.3
8,821.6
41,072.6
19,958.6
2,936.1
19,196.9
16,489.5
14,040.3
10.
11.
Value Added
(As. million)
67
293.0
1,286.1
929.7
61.2
84.6
886.6
743.7
8,140.1
1,652.0
362.3
6,410.4
3,150.2
686.5
279.9
521.4
714.2
872.4
Tax Revenue
(Rs. million)
23.7
975.0
108.5
1,238.7
203.5
1,971.0
0.5
1,141.9
7,198.4
123.3
850.2
4,149.8
5,990.9
14,111.1
11,388.1
4,782.3
3,870.4
1,262.2
1,587.7
534.0
122.2
3,961.7
0.0
939.5
8,737.2
Sector
Output(Rs.
No.
million)
26.27.28.29.
30.
31.
32.33.34.35.
36.
37.
38.39.
40.
41.
42.43.44.
45.
46.
47.
48.49.50.
79,510.8
6,956.7
9,773.3
10,134.8
29,471.9
10,312.1
82,272.0
15,447.2
31,325.6
88,648.8
14,303.9
37,159.8
8,472.7
8,427.9
42,020.6
51,915.9
18,147.4
45,862.2
35,602.8
256,076.9
79,839.2
8,456.5
50,571.1
60.
144,679.0
2,664.4
15,498.5
303,629.2
49,392.4
55,716.6
16,508.9
103,264.4
63,366.0
43,780.5
119,821.4
92,382.5
Total:
3,542,995.3
51.52.
53.54.
55.
56.57.58.59.
6.11
Value Added
(As. million)
4,273.2
401.9
1,486.2
3,284.6
5,921.2
2,490.2
20,337.3
5,106.0
13,014.9
20,534.3
2,347.8
13,006.6
2,192.5
2,393.2
13,837.8
16,258.2
7,890.0
16,976.0
15,456.8
93,388.3
29,769.5
3,539.2
22,673.4
62,568.9
1,762.0
13,129.4
211,995.5
13,722.2
44,158.8
14,194.3
92,259.3
53,067.3
14,919.2
70,187.9
92,382.5
1.858,149.9
Employment
('000' persons)
Tax Revenue
(Rs. million)
31.4
26,014.4
37.4
46.0
47.7
71.5
50.6
681.3
778.5
93.9
3,489.3
623.8
86.0
1,341 .6
52.5
116.4
586.8
445.7
403.4
323.0
3,509.5
4,795.3
1 ,124.8
216.2
1,573.3
5,201.8
80.7
924.4
13,927.8
2,947.7
1,246.6
160.9
0.8
5,218.3
1,824.2
18,502.8
6,890.2
1,131 .8
482.6
2,039.3
25,355.6
7134.5
4,446.2
11,980.5
5,930.2
3,822.4
449.8
916.1
16,406.8
10,492.5
788.3
13,769.7
21,205.0
19.0
5,501.5
39.9
231.2
9,667.5
0.0
0.0
279.1
2,172.5
0.0
0.0
646.7
0.0
0.0
10,031.7
6,882.8
0.0
320,232.2
263,735.2
Main Findings
As per the study, tourism was worth Rs. 28,965 million during 1983-84, with foreign tourists
contributing Rs. 12,250 million and domestic tourists Rs. 16,715 million. By 1989-90, the estimated value
of receipts from tourism went up to Rs. 62,170 million including Rs. 24,560 million as foreign exchange and
it registered an average annual rate of growth of 13.6 per cent since 1983-84. During the same period,
the value added from tourism increased from Rs. 10,986 million to Rs. 23,607 million and employment in
the sector went up from 1.866 million to 2.652 million. Despite these impressive growth performances, the
share of tourism in the gross domestic product and total employment still remains to be only 0.6 per cent.
Considering the unlimited tourism potential that exists in the country in the from of rich cultural heritage,
ancient temples, monuments and archaeological remains, meadows and mountains, beautiful landscapes
and gardens, wildlife and forests, beaches and hills and above all a population of about 844 million with
varied cultural and social practices, the achisvement of India in the field of tourism so far is marginal.
68
7.1
1,2,3,.
x..
CHAPTER
VII
MEASUREMENT
OF INDIRECT AND
IMPACTS OF TOURISM
Input-Output
INDUCED
models
The tourists visiting a country or region generates additional demand for goods and services in that
economy or region. Even, in the case of domestic tourists, their expenditure in the places of visit often
creates an additionality ir) their total consumption.
In any case additional demand is created on new items
of consumption in new places. Additional output, value added and employment are thus generated in the
direct recipient sectors of tourist expenditure.
Apart from this direct impact, additional output and
employment are also generated in other sectors of the economy due to inter-industry relationship.
These
are known as indirect impacts. An increase in value added and employment imply additional income to
factors of production.
This induces further demand for various goods and services, which is known as
induced impact.
The direct, indirect and induced impacts can be measured by using input-outputtechniques.
The major advantage of this technique is that it concentrates on the links between various
economic activities operating within the economy. An input-output table (1-0 table), which is a statistical
description of the inputs consumed and the output produced by various branches of the economic system
forms the basis for the input-output analysis. The great virtue of this analysis is that it brings out the indirect
internal transactions of the economic system. The 1-0 table records the flows of transactions of goods and
services between different producing sectors of the economy and to different components of the final
demand during a year. The output produced by a sector may be utilised for intermediate consumption if
used as input for further production of goods and services, or may be used by the final consumers.
For on
1-0 table, the economy is divided into a number of homogeneous sectors each of which is represented in
the table by a row and a column. The row of a particular sector gives the distribution of the total supply of
the sector while the column gives the inputs absorbed by the sector. Algebraically, the distribution of the
output of different sectors can be presented by the following balance equations:
Xi
Xii + Fi
n;
(1)
= 1,2,
,n
by the fh sector.
and Fi is the final demand for the output of the jlh sector which generally consists of privateconsumption,
public consumption, gross fixed capital formation, change in stocks and exports
(assuming zero import).
One of the basic assumptions, under which the 1-0 system works is that the inputs consumed by
a sector vary in direct proportion to sectoral output (proportionality assumption).
On the basis of thisassumption
= a.. X.
IJ
IJ
i = 1,2,
where
(2)
,n;
= 1,2,.
,n
of the output of jlh sector for a unit level production
69
of j'h sector.
X.
I.+
IJ
= 1,2.
F.I
(3)
= 1,2,.
n;
The 1-0 model described above provides a link between the final demands and output levels of
different sectors. The system can be used to decide the levels of production of different sectors, given the
final demand of any particular sector. In this case, the system can be considered as a set of simultaneous
linear equations.
By using the matrix notation, the mode! may be written as
7.2
AX + F
(4)
or
(I-A) X
(5)
or
(I-A)-1 F
(6)
RF
(7)
Output-Multipliers
The matrix R is known as Leontief inverse or multiplier matrix. It gives direct as well as indirect
demand for the output of each sector by all the other sectors of the economy. Each coefficient rij represents
the output of the jlh sector required directly or indirectly for one unit of final demand of j'h sector. The total
of each column of the inverse matrix gives the direct and indirect effect of a unit increase in the final demand
of the sector to which the column relates and is called the 'simple output multiplier' of the sector. The
multipliers of this sort, worked out by using the A matrix, may have the effect of overestimating the impact,
if there is a large amount of import. This is because the imported inputs do not have any direct linkages
with other sectors of the economy. In such a situation, the alternative is to use a modified A matrix AD =
A -M where M is the matrix of import coefficients.
7.3
Models
In the model described above, it has been assumed that the household consumption is independent of the inter-industry transactions.
This kind of models are called open models. In fact, the amount of
purchase of the households is related to their income, which depends on the output of each of the sectors.
An increase in the amount of labour input due to increased output will lead to a change in the household
expenditure which will again induce an increase in output. This additional impact on the economy is known
as 'induced impact'. To estimate the induced impact, the household sector can be mcved from the final
demand and treated as separate sector in the 1-0 model like any other producing sector. The column vector
will be the proportionate expenditure by the households on different sectors and the row will be the income
received by the households from different producing sectors in the form of wages and salaries, profits,
interest, etc. This matrix is known as extended A matrix (A+) and the model is known as closed model. The
extended A matrix and the corresponding Leontief inverse (R+) are of the size (n+ 1, n+ 1). The column sum
of the extended inverse matrix gives the direct, indirect and induced effect of a unit increase in the final
demand of the sector to which the column relates and is called the total output multiplier.
70
II
7.4
Income
Multipliers
Income multipliers attempt to translate the impacts of final demand into changes in income or value
added. They can be derived by using either the open model or closed model which are called simple and
total income multipliers respectively.
The direct and indirect income effect (simple multipliers, 11p can be
obtained by multiplying the inverse matrix R by the value added coefficients.
The total income multiplier 12j' can be obtained by using the R+ matrix. The relative multipliers as
compared to the direct income are then obtained by dividing the simple or total income effect by the initial
income effect or the value added coefficient which are called Type-I and Type-II multipliers respectively.
7.5
Employment
multiplier
(11j/an + 1,j)
(8)
multiplier
(12j/an + 1,j)
(9)
Multipliers
Just like income effects, employment effects can also be measured by using the employment
coefficients instead of income coefficients.
If Wn+1, i are the labour-output ratios of various sectors, the
direct and indirect employment multiplier is given by
E1j
Wn+1,i
rij
(10)Similarly,
inverse matrix
(R+).
The relative multipliers
the respective sectors.
7.6
Multiplier
Effect
coefficients
of
of Tourism
As there are several sectors which provide goods and services to the tourists, the additional
demand created by them in an economy gets distributed to all the recipient sectors. The multiplier effect
of tourism can be, therefore, assessed only by aggregating the impact in all the relevant sectors. The basic
data required for the analysis are the A matrices and the expenditure pattern of the tourists on different
sectors.
7.7
Input-Output
Transactions
The latest input-output table available for the Indian economy is for the year 1983-84. It contains
115 sectors and hotels and restaurants is one among them. However, the table published by the Central
Statistical Organization (CSO) contains only 60 sectors. An examination of the expanded version of the
input-output table revealed that it does not contain any additional sector relevant to the tourism activity.Therefore,
the 60 sector model has been used for this study.
The following
Input relations
qj
f.
9j
(11)
C. + G. + L- + S. + E. +
J
Output
qj
X.k + f.
(12)
relations
m..
(13)
m..IJ
(14)
IJ
71
where
qj
9jf.
total output (of aU products and by products) of the ith industry group.
Private consumption
Government
Import
Output of rh commodity
produced
C.JG.
J
L.Js.
J
E.J
'j
Xjk
m..IJ
consumption
of jth commodity.
Because of non-availability of import coefficient matrix, the model gives only A matrix and not the
domestic product transactions matrix AD. The application of A matrix instead at AD matrix in this study
must have resulted in the over estimation of the multiplier effect to some extent.
In most of the applications, commodity x commodity matrices are required as demand is for a
particular commodity can not for a mixed range of output of an industry. However, data in that form are
seldom available. CSO has, therefore, computed two initial matrices called Absorption matrix (X) and Make
matrix (M). The absorption matrix is a commodity x industry table recording the inputs of commodities intoindustries.
Most of these inputs are required to produce the characteristic products of the industry but sume
are required to produce its subsidiary products. The make matrix is an industry x commodity matrix which
records the values of commodities produced by industries. The construction of commodity x commodity
pure table involves the transfer Cf inputs and outputs between sectors by suitably combining the make
matrix and the absorption matrix under appropriate assumptions.
CSO has used the industry technology
assumption under which the input structure of a secondary product is considered to be similar to that of the
industry where it has been produced. The flow matrix thus obtained has been converted into A matrix by
dividing the cell values with the commodity output of the sector.
The construction of extended A matrix to obtain the induced effect, involves the use of sectorwise
household consumption expenditure (HCE) as an additional column and the sectorwise household income
as an additional row in the input-output table. However, these vectors are generally not available. Private
consumption expenditure (PC E) vector which includes expenditure of non-profit institutions is, therefore,
taken as an approximation to household consumption expenditure. Similarly, the row of value added has
been taken as an approximation to household income.
1983-84.
The 1-0 tables published by the CSO contains commodity x commodity flow matrix for the year
The coefficient matrices A and A + were derived from these matrices by dividing the elements of
each column by the total output of the respective sectors. In the case of private consumption expenditure
vector, the elements were divided by the total value added figure. The matrix A+ is given at Annexure I.
Matrix A can be obtained by deleting the last column and row of the A+ matrix.
Though CSO has already published the inverse matrix R, it has been recomputed to ens,ure the
correctness of both A and R matrices. Similarly R+ was computed by using A+ matrix. The matrices Rand
R+ are given at Annexures II and III.
72
7.9
7.8
Estimation
of Simple
Multipliers
The direct and indirect impact of foreign tourist expenditure in various sectors of the economy, in
terms of additional value of output was obtained by multiplying the R matrix with the corresponqing
expenditure vector (F1) given in table 6.10. The sum total of the resultant column (C1) gave the output
multiplier as 2.069. The multiplier effect due to domestic tourist expenditure was similarly obtained as
2.050 by multiplying the R matrix by the consumption vector of the domestic tourists (F2) and taking the sum
of the resultant column (C2). The weighted average of the multipliers is 2.058. It implies that the direct and
indirect impacts taken together is 2.058 times the actual spending of the tourists. Thus, the multiplier effect
of tourism is fairly high due to its strong backward linkages with other sectors of the economy.
Estimation
of Simple
Multipliers
of Income
and Employment
for Tourism
The impact in terms of value added in different sectors, due to foreign and domestic tourist
expenditure was obtained separately by multiplying each element of C1 and C2 by the corresponding value
added/output ratio (V). The additional employment and tax effects were similarly calculated by multiplying
C1 and C2 by the corresponding labour coefficients (L) and tax rates (T). The income, employment and tax
multipliers were then derived by adding the respective columns. The relative multipliers (Type I multipliers)
were computed by dividing the simple multipliers with the initial value added and labour coefficients.
The
impact coefficients in each of the sector of the 1-0 table due to a unit expenditure by the foreign tourists are
given in table 7.1. Similar results for domestic tourists are given in table 7.2. A summary of simplemultipliers,
taking all the sector together is given in table 7.3.
TABLE
7.1
(1)
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.20.
21.22.
23.
24.
(2)
0.107243
0.029935
0.005131
0.092989
0.080848
0.024682
0.011696
0.023889
0.029311
0.000204
0.002803
0.011675
0.062623
0.024461
0.010245
0.018791
0.053379
0.003394
0.060678
0.042427
0.001353
0.007966
0.002430
0.016850
(4)
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0,002451
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0,000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0,000000
0.000933
0.007195
0.003544
0.000000
0.008551
0.000000
0.027294
0.010033
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.004292
(5)
0.076336
0.023592
0.004412
0.075981
0.039922
0.022231
0.010863
0.016340
0.025914
0.000169
0.002266
0.002298
0.007301
0.007751
0.003990
0.006409
0.011791
0.000979
0.031844
0.011824
0.000702
0.001731
0.000911
0.005437
73
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.92704
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.32087
0.26804
0.39180
0.0000012.05934
0.00000
8.11585
5.68130
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.67656
(6)
(7)
33.13937
9.25027
0.558411
28.73472
1.650431
0.162951
0.961364
0.867248
0.060616
0.008610
0.286048
0.259170
2.511747
0.288839
0.441113
1.513494
1.461161
0.139433
9.470391
6.696747
0.316453
0.116151
0.076851
0.857190
0.000007
0.000310
0.000025
0.000532
0.000082
0.001096
0
0.001065
0.007125
0.000012
0.000274
0.001446
0.002925
0.050057
0.005586
0.000889
0.003423
0.000485
0.002345
0.001135
0.000056
0.001644
0
0.001127
SectorNo.
Simple
Output
Multipliers
(C1)
Direct
Simple
Income
Income
(VFI)
(VC,)
Direct
Employment
Multipliers
(LF,>
Simple
Employment
Multipliers
(LCI>
Simple
Tax
Multipliers
(TC,)
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
25.
26.
27.
28.
0.009237
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.002170
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.024355
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.019234
0.040392
0.000000
0.000000
0.041682
0.134214
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.044401
0.000000
0.002313
0.002387
0.000080
0.000895
0.001456
0.002630
0.000565
0.003998
0.000484
0.003881
0.006143
0.001488
0.006190
0.000310
0.000396
0.001967
0.002036
0.006063
0.003727
0.030202
0.005986
0.017422
0.001203
0.027878
0.061168
0.000935
0.003536
0.112558
0.134987
0.018902
0.007906
0.261124
0.002615
0.017560
0.007493
0.01 ~545
0.000136
0.004155
0
0.00011
0.000209
0.069048
0
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.22384
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
5.53000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
1.33462
3.35810
0.00000
0.00000
2.73850
28.83092
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
11.70504
0.00000
18.20477
0
0.009869
0.370748
0.930081
71.16182
173.30562
0.213726
29.
30.
31.
32.
33.
34.
35.
36.
37.
38.
39.
40.
41.
42.
43.
44.
45.
46.
47.
48.
49.
SO.
51.
52.
53.
54.
55.
56.
57.
58.
59.
60.
Total
0.044457
0.001392
0.005894
0.004496
0.013092
0.002341
0.016183
0.001465
0.009344
0.026528
0.009072
0.017687
0.001199
0.001396
0.005974
0.006504
0.013948
0.010067
0.069575
0.016419
0.046734
0.002874
0.062186
0.141462
0.001414
0.004175
0.161212
0.485914
0.023851
0.009195
0
0.000131
0.000615
0.117891
0
2.068956
74
(6)
(7)
0.027737
0.031776
0.000502
0.000214
0.011498
0.153144
0.008907
0.000463
0.004987
0.000676
1.040881
0.054541
0.001326
0.003585
0.003761
0.638585
0.001819
0.007431
0.000063
0.000151
0.021160
0.186678
0.019291
0.083426
0.055843
0.310032
0.070906
0.073479
0.002332
0.001306
0.000605
0.003022
0.041439
0.000001
0.003220
0.000013
1.934638
0.000284
5.086125
0.042828
0.249025
7.394972
8.998900
0.009452
6.858383
0.307474
0.658395
0.533681
0.089609
0
0.010869
0.025652
0.000148
0.021370
0
0
0
0
0
0
TABLE
7.2
Sector
No.
(1)
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
Simple
Output
Multipliers
Direct
Income
Simple
Income
(C,>
(VF1)
(VC,)
(2)
0.069285
0.019715
0.003715
0.058470
0.055494
0.020837
0.007513
0.021783
0.049241
0.000238
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
0.000865
20.
21.
22.
23.24.25.
0.000961
0.008717
0.002901
0.006825
0,035307
0.000150
0.019939
0.104642
0.003367
0.058103
0.035490
0.003661
0.025155
26.
27.
28.
29.
30.
31.
32.
33.
34.
0.015259
0.076016
0.001653
0.005756
0.005496
0.008442
0.003215
0,019602
0,001675
0.006706
35.36.37.38.39.40.
0.031895
0.010166
0.017936
0,000822
0.001162
0.007128
41.42.43.
0.008752
0.028621
0.018961
44.45.46.47.48.49.50.
0.076648
0.021294
0.050282
0.002205
0.133427
0.304652
51.52.
0.001312
0.005139
0.149535
Direct
Employment
Multipliers
(3)
(LF1)
(4)
(5)
0.000000
0.049317
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.107677
0.000000
0.026244
0.008166
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.006454
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.001750
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.027828
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.051111
0.106819
0.000000
0.000000
0.038820
0.015537
0.003195
0.047776
0.027402
0,018768
0.006978
0.014899
0.043534
0.000197
0.002345
0,001343
0,004116
0.000274
0.000058
0.006801
0.023115
0,000971
0.030492
0.009891
0.000498
0,001894
0,001373
0,008117
0,003820
0.004082
0.000095
0.000874
0.001781
0.001696
0.000776
0,004843
0.000553
0.002785
0.007387
0,001668
0,006277
0.000212
0.000330
0.002347
0.002740
0.012441
0.007019
0,033272
0.007763
0.018745
0.000923
0,059815
0,131731
0.000867
0.004353
0.104405
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
2.18984
0.00000
7.80370
4.62395
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
1.01738
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.18052
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
6.31859
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
3.54654
8.88064
0.00000
0.00000
2.55043
75
Simple
Employment
Multipliers
(LCI)
Simple
Tax
Multipliers
(TC,>
(6)
(7)
21.409900
6.092170
0.404392
18.067930
1.132855
0.137569
0.617570
0.790805
0.101830
0.010046
0.296022
0.151495
1.416156
0.010217
0.006493
1.605961
2.864367
0.138314
9.068468
5.601769
0.224721
0.127107
0.115792
1.279616
0.431341
0.030026
0.008895
0.027089
0.025868
0.020490
0.015788
0.185501
0.010183
0.746997
0.224448
0.61121
0.647572
0.005095
0.016059
0.099550
0.075144
0.636170
0.133545
7.555519
0.398756
0.708385
0.056376
4.150943
10.953480
0.039721
0.306532
6.859320
0.000004
0.000204
0.000018
0.000335
0.000056
0.000925
0
0.000971
0.011969
0.000014
0.000283
0.000845
0.001649
0.001770
0.000082
0.000943
0.006710
0.000481
0.002246
0.000949
0.000039
0.001799
0
0.001683
0.004319
0.024871
0.000161
0.004058
0.000613
0.000138
0.000635
0.006041
0.000773
0.000951
0.004310
0.004241
0.00184
0.00')043
0.000126
0.002783
0.001758
0.001243
0.005692
0.045651
0.000001
0.003464
0.000010
0.000609
0.020356
0
0
0.000137
53.
2.050183
Sl.No.
2.
3.
4.
Tax
Simple
Output
Multipliers
Direct
Income
Simple
Income
Multipliers
Direct
Simple
Employment
Employment
(C,>
(VF,)
(VC1)
(LF,)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
0.313688
0.026092
0.086124
0.087142
0.020678
18.50049
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
3.86050
0.00000
18.720590
0.583829
59.47258
Sector
No.
(1)
54.
55.56.
0.014126
0
57.58.59.60.
0.000281
0.000128
0.068558
0
Total
0.000000
0.000000
Multipliers
0.012145
0.000000
Simple
Tax
Multipliers
(TC1>
0.000000
0.000000
0.014644
0.000000
0.000235
0.385641
0.903312
0.000436
0.040154
0
(LC,)
(6)
(7)
0.013796
0
0
0
0
0
0.137662
0
0.023203
0.053368
10.586730
0.005739
136.206870
0.188339
TABLE 7.3
SIMPLE MULTIPLIERS OF OUTPUT, INCOME
AND EMPLOYMENT FOR TOURISM
Multiplier
Category
Multiplier
Foreign
Domestic
All
Tourists
Tourists
Tourists
Output
2.069
2.050
2.058
Income
(a) Simple
(b) Relative
0.930
2.509
0.903
2.342
0.914
Employment
(a) Simple
(b) Relative
173.306
2.435
136.207
2.290
151.897
2.358
0.214
1.698
0.188
2.331
2.412
Indirect
(a) Simple
(b) Relative
0.199
1.990
76
1.
2.
TABLE
7.4
Item
Category
(a)
Output
INDIRECT OUTPUT,
DUE TO TOURISM
of Tourists
1983-84
Foreign
25,345
1989-00
50,815
(As. million)
Income
(As. million)
3.
Employment
4.
Indirect tax
7.10
Estimation
of Total Multipliers
of Output,
Income
and Employment
The total impact multipliers including the induced effect in various sectors of the economy due to
unit expenditure of foreign and domestic tourists were calculated by using the extended inverse matrix R+.
These multipliers are given in tables 7.5 to 7.7. The total multipliers, thus derived for the tourism sector are
very high as compared to most of the other sectors of the economy. This implies that tourism earnings
induce a good deal of purchases in the household sector due to additional income.
TABLE
7.5
(1)
1.
2.
3.4.
5.6.
Total
Total
Output
Multiplier
Income
Multiplier
Total
Employment
Multiplier
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
0.550549
239.008730
61.710930
4.950871
155.551080
9.727442
0.564933
3.059702
2.000232
0.255046
0.026130
1.047056
1.592443
12.341950
0.000054
0.002068
0.000226
0.002884
0.000486
0.003800
0.000001
0.002456
0.029979
0.000038
0.001004
0.008885
0.014373
0.773461
0.199704
0.045493
0.503382
0.476508
0.0855700.037226
7.8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
0.157387
0.039119
0.411313
0.235299
0.077072
0.034575
0.055098
0.123329
0.000619
0.010261
0.071741
0.307710
0.037687
0.109035
0.000513
0,008295
0.014125
0.035879
77
Total
Tax
Multiplier
Sector
No.
(1)
Total
Output
Total
Multiplier
(2)
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
Multiplier
Total
Employment
Multiplier
Total
Tax
Multiplier
(3)
(4)
(5)
Income
0.037462
0.050999
0.196087
0.154174
0.013496
0.116993
0.054048
21.22.23.
0.004624
0.038473
0.023694
24.25.
0.168424
0.043566
26.
0.186621
27.
0.005167
28.29.
0.027501
0.024243
30.
0.085214
31.32.
0.011138
0.132709
33.34.35.36.37.38.39.
0.006356
0.034646
0.080120
0.023870
0.058453
0.00724~
0.005804
40.
0.019718
41.
0.030673
42.
0.027973
43.44.45.46.
0.042938
0.097393
0.078067
0.155010
47.
0.011443
48.
0.127792
49.
0.375991
SO.
0.005331
51.
0.025437
52.53.
0.607617
0.573387
54.55.
0.107963
0.031257
56.
0.204974
57.
0.059375
58.
0.056639
59.
0.292072
0.011871
0.019864
0.066885
0.034057
0.003892
0.061398
0.015063
0.002400
0.008360
0.008887
0.054350
0.010909
0.010021
0.000298
0.004180
0.007854
0.017119
0.002688
0.032792
0.002100
0.014392
0.018555
0.003917
0.020458
0.001873
0.001647
0.006493
0.009603
0.012159
0.015895
0.042278
0.028463
0.057787
0.004788
0.057289
0.162578
0.003525
0.021548
0.421238
0.159286
0.085560
0.026875
0.183124
0.049720
0.019297
0.171067
0.442351
2.195795
15.793510
4.220225
0.554302
18.259600
8.531012
1.081369
0.560946
0.749229
8.567582
1.231500
0.073715
0.027807
0.129421
0.114090
0.206815
0.054700
1.255827
0.038637
3.859192
0.563804
0.143508
2.110358
0.044889
0.080178
0.275367
0.263330
0.621757
0.302414
9.600491
1.461883
2.183784
0.292499
3.975611
13.518390
0.161404
1.517188
27.872020
34.219170
2.415681
0.304602
0.001639
4.889598
2.360000
45.101870
0.076661
0.027807
0.009278
0.009887
0.001931
Total
3.688283
714.065670
0.567230
7.212295
78
0.004522
0.001446
0.000192
0.007939
0
0.011269
0.012333
0.061058
0.000506
0.019388
0.002707
0.001394
0.002202
0.040899
0.002936
0.004917
0.0108280.009896
0.006012
0.000384
0.000630
0.007699
0.006161
0.001215
0.012891
0.058007
0.000005
0.010681
0.000054
0.000584
0.025123
0
0
0.000559
0.025217
0
0
0.001283
0
0
0.024452
TABLE 7.6
TOTAL MULTIPLIERS OF OUTPUT, INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT
FOR EACH OF THE SECTORS OF THE ECONOMY DUE TO
A UNIT EXPENDITURE BY THE DOMESTIC TOURISTS
Sector
No.
(1)
1.2.3.4.5.6.7.8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.22.23.24.25.
Total
Output
income
Multiplier
Multiplier
(2)
(3)
0.716324
0.509879
0.184597
0.042915
0.145481
0.457050
0.439764
0.079972
0.032308
0.052094
0.373455
0.217155
0.140552
0.000641
0.010144
0.065161
0.273339
0.013491
0.039732
0.192132
0.202535
0.013178
0.112796
0.04677E;
0.004138
0.038346
0.024313
0.172365
0.048600
26.27.28.29.
Total
0.214088
0.005319
0.026741
0.024675
0.078488
30.
31.
0.011758
32.33.34.35.36.37.38.39.40.
0.132774
0.006426
0.031279
0.083944
0.024538
0.057529
0.035632
0.124262
0.000531
0.008200
0.012830
0.031871
0.004275
0.015475
0.065536
0.044740
0.003800
0.059195
0.013036
0.002147
0.008332
0.009119
0.055622
0.012169
0.011496
0.000306
0.004064
0.007994
0.015768
0.002838
0.032808
0.002123
0.012993
0.032225
0.042242
0.050885
44.
45.46.47.48.
0.103665
0.045001
0.081167
0.029593
0.057948
0.004405
0.010527
0.532430
0.088380
0.230223
0.005116
0.025789
0.003383
0.021846
0.583089
0.398642
0.407113
0.197144
49.
SO.51.52.53.
221.352710
57.042690
4.670410
141.233930
8.977361
0.527979
2.655505
1.891175
0.290663
0.027062
1.035124
1.446388
10.963390
0.159311
1.710664
15.474910
5.544009
0.541240
17.604670
7.383232
0.967618
0.559092
0.768815
8.768055
1.373784
0.084564
0.028623
0.125845
0.116123
0.190491
0.057748
1.256442
0.039057
3.484180
0.590719
0.147527
2.076978
0.041475
0.075193
0.285966
0.276657
0.938921
0.358389
10.218690
1.519934
2.189864
0.269092
6.133174
19.143010
0.154883
1.53819
26.74691
23.79059
0.072031
0.030008
41.42.43.
0.155441
(4)
0.036903
0.019441
0.004026
0.020135
0.001731
0.001545
0.006743
0.010089
0.018362
0.018837
0.006692
0.005443
0.020477
Total
Employment
Multiplier
0.110742
79
Total
Tax
Multiplier
(5)
0.00005
0.001912
0,000213
0,002618
0,000448
0,003551
0
0,002322
0,034165
0,000039
0,000992
0,008070
0.012767
0.027609
0.021663
0.009091
0.012988
0.001885
0.004360
0.001251
0.000172
0.007913
0
0.011532
0.013758
0.070045
0,000520
0,018852
0,002755
O,0012e4
0,002325
0,040919
0,002967
0,004439
0.011345
0,010173
0,005917
0,000355
0,000591
0.007995
0.006473
0.001835
0.015277
0.061742
0.000005
0.010711
0.000049
0.000900
0.035577
0
0
0.000536
0,017532
3.
7.11
Total
income
Total
Output
Multiplier
Sector
No.
(1)
54.55.
56.
57.58.59.
Total
Multiplier
Total
Employment
Multiplier
Total
Tax
Multiplier
(4)
(5)
(2)
(3)
0.107783
0.035553
0.199074
0.057819
0.055430
0.237725
0.085418
0.030568
0.177853
0.048418
0.007854
0.139235
2.411653
0.346467
0.001592
4.761493
0.114090
36.709570
7.045468
3.582115
661.31158
0
0
0.001246
0
0.002707
0.019900
0.531667
TABLE 7.7
TOTAL
Sl.
No.
Multiplier Category
Multiplier
Foreign
Tourists
Domestic
Tourists
7.212
7.045
7.116
Total
Relative
3.688
9.947
3.582
9.288
3.627
9.570
Employment
(a) Total
(b) Relative
714.066
10.034
661.321
11.120
683.623
10.613
Indirect Tax
(a) Tolal
(b) Relative
0.567
4.500
0.532
6.596
0.547
5.710
1.
Output
2.
Income
(a)
(b)
4.
All
Tourists
Linkages
The relationships
of any sector with other sectors of the economy are measured in terms of
backward and forward linkages. The backward linkages are the same as the output multipliers which are
given by the column totals of the inverse matrix. The row totals, on the other hand, provide the forward
linkages. These linkages are generally ranked for assigning priorities in the formulation of development
strategies.
Sectors having maximum linkages are given high priority while those with minimum linkages
are assigned Jow priority in the development planning. If arranged according to the magnitude of backward
linkages in the open model, tourism is almost in the middle with rank thirty. In the case of closed model,
tourism receives a higher rank with a larger linkage. The relative ranks of all the sectors on the basis of
backward linkages derived from open and close models are given in table 7.8.
80
2.3.
TABLE 7.8
RANKING
Ranks
Sector
No.
60
7
6
4.
5.
56
6.
55
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
51
19.
59
20.
21
10
57
54
11
4
2
52
8
1
50
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
20
26.
34
27.
28.
44
29.
5
19
15
49
47
48
30.
31.
32.
33.
Tourism
34.
45
35.
29
36.
25
37.
18
42
26
16
38.
41
39.
40.
41.
42.
43.
44.
45.
46.
47.
14
46
33
43
23
24
12
53
58
OF BACKWARD
LINKAGES BASED
OPEN AND CLOSED MODELS
linkages
(Open Model)
1.000000
1.137866
1.172181
1.195817
1.227531
1.258223
1.267084
1.296953
1.305486
1.306990
1.339383
1.349016
1.362787
1.431307
1.518559
1.575527
1.576119
1.606336
1.688951
1.738244
1.763771
1.854191
1.924240
1.930351
1.950810
1.981169
1.985820
2.029315
2.046444
2.058123
2.081782
2.131572
2.132867
2.135175
2.138586
2.140783
2.141143
2.146032
2.153617
2.156994
2.163263
2.190517
2.197347
2.198769
2.201924
2.237750
2.243122
81
ON
Sector
No.
Linkages
(Closed
25
41
31
17
60
29
Model)
6.317074
6.401179
6.421987
6.479171
6.529912
6.574208
6.586553
6.587276
6.622335
6.628559
6.646149
6.652548
6.661551
6.672028
6.684954
6.686501
6.701606
6.708372
6.714898
6.7414P8
6.774142
6.779676
6.810716
6.819769
6.861066
6.869898
6.874574
6.875560
6.876528
6.882045
6.890711
6.932519
6.938851
6.942272
6.943750
6.952117
6.956344
6.977656
6.996489
6.999795
7.029191
7.063409
7.076570
7.082737
7.085194
7.101121
24
7.115004
6
9
7
10
11
55
51
49
44
56
57
8
32
3
59
54
26
52
43
34
58
23
4
15
50
2
14
36
40
37
19
21
42
45
22
30
48
28
47
Ranks
Sector
No.
48.
49.
50.
2.251181
20
7.138530
2.277232
2.279181
2.286722
2.288980
39
7.140908
40
22
28
2.423221
2.424116
2.447358
2.465608
2.468638
2.537681
2.537690
2.587027
27
2.628982
39
36
56.57.58.59.60.
13
30
35
38
61.
7.12
Linkages
(Closed Model)
31
17
53.
54.55.
Sector
No.
37
32
51.
52.
Linkages
(Open Model)
38
7.177217
16
7.191991
46
7.196843
33
7.205582
Touri sm
7.212295
35
7.238069
7.2636E;7
18
7.276199
27
7.552021
12
7.559548
53
7.617148
13
7.758800
Main Findings
Every rupee spent by the tourists entails a demand on all sectors of the economy either directly or
indirectly. These linkages are fairly high in respect of several sectors. The direct and indirect outputs of
all the sectors taken together is 2.058 times the initial expenditure of the tourists. This multiplier effect is
larger in the case of foreign tourists than in the case of domestic tourists.
As a result of the output
multipliers, the factor incomes and employment also get multiplied. The relative income and employment
multipliers are 2.412 and 2.358 respectively.
Thetax revenue accruing to the Government also gets almostdoubled.
The increased income and employment induce further demand on various sectors of the
economy and the total impact including the induced demand is very high in the case of tourism. The output
multiplier becomes 7.116 and relative income and employment multipliers become 9.570 and 10.613respectively.
Tourism earnings, thus, have a larger impact on the economy both in terms of additional
income and employment.
82
8.1
CHAPTER
POLICY
VIII
RECOMMENDATIONS
The growth and magnitude of tourism in the country and its impact on various sectors of the
economy have been analyzed in the earlier chapters.
They also highlight some of the issues having a
bearing on the development strategy of the sector.
A summary and review of these findings alongwith
certain policy recommendations
are given in the following paragraphs.
International
Tourism
International tourist arrivals in India during 1990 were 1.71 million constituting about 0.40 per cent
of the world arrivals. The contribution of the tourists to the foreign exchange earning of the country in the
year 1990-91 was provisionally estimated to be As. 24.44 billion ($US 1.36 billion) and it formed 0.55 per
cent of world tourism receipts. In comparison, it was equivalent to about 7.5 per cent of the merchandise
exports. Tourism has, thus, emerged as one of the top foreign exchange earners of the country, though
it is still negligible as compared to word tourism receipts.
The receipts from foreign tourists constituted about 0.34 per cent of the total value of output in the
economy and its share in the gross value added and employment were 0.25 per cent and 0.28 per cent
respectively during 1983-84. In absolute terms, the estimated gross value added was As. 4,541 million and
employment was 871 ,744 persons during the same year. These figures increased to As. 9,105 million and
1,163,398 persons by 1989-90. The contribution of foreign tourists to the tax revenue of the Government
also increased from As. 1,544 million to As. 3,607 million during the same period. These estimates clearly
demonstrate the fact that economic development of the country can be accelerated by exploiting the vast
tourism potential that exists.
The indirect impacts of foreign tourist expenditure introduced a multiplier effect of 2.069 in output,
2.509 in income and 2.435 in employment. These multipliers became 7.212,9.947 and 10.034 respectively
by including the induced impacts also in the analysis. International tourism is, thus, having high linkageswith
other sectors of the economy and as such it is one of the best development options for increasing the
income and employment opportunities of the people.
One of the major findings in the case of foreign exchange earning from tourism is that in dollar
terms, it remained almost stagnant during the last decade.
Though. there could be several factors
contributing to such a phenomenon, one of the reasons identified was a gradual shift in the composition of
tourists towards low spending categories.
The trend is not inconsistent with the existing infrastructural
constraints and other problems associated with the economic structure of a developing nation.
The
investment required to achieve any appreciable change in the trend would be too heavy to be generated
during a short span of time. It would also mean the risk of non-admissibility of demand substitution during
periods of depression. The strategy recommended, therefore, is to increase the volume of tourist traffic to
India in general with an element of insistence on quality through appropriate pricing mechanisms in
selected centres and facilities which are ser,sitive to mass tourism.
The main strength of tourism in India is its cultural attrac1ions, particularly the large number of
monuments, and archaeological remains scattered throughout the country. These assets are generally in
a state of dereliction and continued degradation.
Even, in the case of those monuments which are
preserved and protected, there are no facilities created for the tourists to see and enjoy them without any
adverse impact on their existence.
It is, therefore, recommended that the development of cultural tourism
must be given the highest priority as it would serve the twin objectives of preservation and economic
exploitation
of inestimable resources.
Clusters of such monuments having excellent tourist appeal,
accessibility and development prospects must be identified and developed as tourist ZOl1es with the active
participation of local bodies and private sector.
83
The efforts initiated recently to diversify the tourism products of India to take advantage of the fast
growing segments of holiday and adventure tourism must become supplementary to the mainstream of
cultural tourism.
In other words, these efforts should not lead to the development of a large number of
competitive destinations away from the cultural tourism destinations.
The objective must be to achieve
integrated development of selected centres with varied attractions so as to establish brand names in the
international market.
International tourism in India is characterised by moderate growth rates and high seasonality. One
of the basic reasons for the same is the poor perception of tourists about the transport facilities in India. The
absence of comfortable airconditioned
transport facilities makes tourism a difficult proposition during
summer months. The capacity constraints restrict further growth during peak periods. The induction of a
large number of airconditioned coaches and cars in the main tourist destinations is, therefore, an absolute
necessity to reduce seasonality and to achieve a higher growth in tourist traffic.
Tourism promotion and marketing efforts of India in the overseas markets suffer from several
disabilities due to organizational deficiencies built into the system over the years. The 'Tourism Branch'
and its field offices were initially setup with the explicit function of providing facilitation services and
information to prospective and real tourists. With the passage of time, it was assigned new roles and its
environment became increasingly complex. It soon became the premier organization for tourism promotion
and marketing in a fierce competitive
environment and to coordinate the infrastructural
development
activities in the country.
The necessary organizational changes including re-orientation and training of
personnel have, however not been brought about to meet the new requirements. This has resulted in a sort
of incompatibility between the organizational structure and the performance expected from it. Specifically,
there is no marketing division with qualified marketing experts at the headquarters of Tourism Department
to lay down marketing objectives and formulate strategies based on market analysis and research and to
guide and monitor the field officers in relation to set targets. In the absence of such a mechanism, the field
offices which are generally not manned by officers with adequate professional skills and training prepare
and execute expenditure plans instead of marketing plans. This needs to be reversed.
A major handicap in the formulation
of effective marketing strategies is the absence of a
comprehensive database covering all aspects of tourism. Even though the offices of the Director General
(Tourism) and Director General (Civil Aviation), International Airport Authority of India and AirJndia have
independent statistical/market
research units, the data available with these units are never integrated andanalyzed.
This is mainly due to the fact that the Ministry of Civil Aviation and Tourism does not have an
independent statistics and research unit, despite the fact that it is an important economic Ministry with the
requirement of extensive statistical information.
This gap requires to be removed as expeditiously aspossible.
The objectives and functions of a national tourism development organization are varied and
interdependent
and the accomplishment
of each of them requires special skills and expertise.
The
recruitment, training and placement policies of the Department of Tourism have to be, therefore, revised
to induct qualified experts in various disciplines after exposing them to a well structured comprehensive
training programme on all aspects of tourism management and marketing. The Department has to be reorganized on functional basis and the marketing division must consist of a core group of experts in
marketing and market research with proven track record. There must also be vertical and horizontal
movement of officers between various divisions at fixed intervals of time on a planned sequence.
The
posting of officers in the field offices abroad should form part of a regular exchange programme between
the core group in the marketing division at the headquarters and the field offices.
The tourism industry in India is composed of a few large enterprises in each sector who virtually
control the entire market. These enterprises generally do not have a common goal and take least interest
in research and development activities, estab!ishing industry standards and ethics and development of new
markets and destinations.
The policy, therefore, has to be to encourage the establishment of a large
number of new enterprises to ensure wider spread and constructive competition.
The fiscal and financial
incentive schemes of Government should be oriented towards this objective.
84
8.2
Domestic
Tourism
Domestic tourism is one of the most vibrant expressions of Indian heritage. The dimensions of
domestic tourism in India are astronomical and as per the figures compiled by the Department of Tourism,
there has been a phenomenal growth in domestic tourist arrivals in recent years and during 1990, it
exceeded 62 million.
The economic and social conditions prevailing in India today are precipitous for a
revolutionary growth in domestic tourism in the near future.
The economic significance of domestic tourism is reflected in the estimated turn-over of As. 16,715
million, contribution of As. 6,445 million to gross value added and As. 1,348 million to tax revenue and direct
employment of 994,083 persons during 1983-84.
By 1989-90, the value of output and gross value added due to domestic tourists went up to As.
37,610 million and As. 14,502 million respectively.
The tax revenue increased to As. 3,536 million and
direct employment in the sector reached 1,488,910 persons.
The indirect impact of domestic tourist expenditure produced a multiplier
2.342 in income and 2.290 in employment. These multiplier became 7.045,9.288
by taking into account the indirect and induced impacts together.
A desirable feature of domestic tourism is its ability to sustain the industry during lean periods of
international tourism by providing an alternative for demand substitution.
It is also less sensitive to various
international developments and internal problems which generally affect foreign tourist traffic.
While domestic tourism is bound to grow rapidly in size and spread, it is necessary to take adequate
measures to protect the ecology and environment of all the tourist centres. It is, therefore, recommended
that the carrying capacity of ecologically and socially fragile areas must be assessed and tourist flow
regulated.
A noticeable feature of the present trend in domestic tourism is that a large percentage of them are
holiday and business tourists. The infrastructural development plans of the country must, therefore, have
a strong bias towards these tourists.
8.3
Overall
Impact
The turn over due to tourism during 1983-84 was Rs. 28,965 million. It constituted 0.8 per cent of
the aggregate output in the economy and was larger than the contribution of 26 other sectors of production
individually.
In comparison, the tourism turn over was 14.4 times the value of output of iron ore and almost
double the production of leather and leather products.
It was also nearly equal to the production of
fertilizers as well as petroleum and natural gas.
The value added from tourism during 1983-84 was As. 10,986 million and in percentage terms, it
was about 0.6 per cent of gross domestic product. The sector also provided direct employment to 1.87
million persons which constituted 0.6 per cent of total employment.
These were again larger than the
contribution of several other sectors of the economy.
The contribution of tourism to the tax revenue of the Government was As. 2,892 million during
1983-84 and it formed about 1.1 per cent of the total indirect taxes collected. Unlike several other sectors
like agriculture and fertilizers, tourism industry does not receive any large subsidies.
Thus the net
contribution of tourism to tax revenue is very large.
By 1980-90, tourism output became Rs. 62,170 million and its contribution to gross domestic
product was Rs. 23,607 million. The tax revenue from tourism went up to Rs. 7,143 million and direct
employment provided by the sector reached 2.65 million.
85
The multiplier effect of tourist expenditure is fairly high as compared to several other sectors. The
simple multiplier (indirect impact) of output, income and employment were 2.058, 2.412 and 2.358
respectively and the corresponding total multipliers (indirect and induced impacts) were 7.116, 9.570 and10.613.
The above figures indicate that the contribution of tourism to the Indian economy is significant even
at this stage. However, by considering the unlimited potential that exists in the country, the achievement
so far is marginal. The sector, therefore, deserves to be given high priority in the development plans of the
country .
8.4
Tourism Planing
The recognition of tourism as an instrument of economic growth came late in India. As a result, the
sector was not accorded the required priority in the development plans of the country till Sixth Plan.
Tourism sector is, therefore, still in a stage of infancy and it is required to be nurtured for a few more years.
The sector has to be, thus, given adequate priority in the allocation of funds during the next few planperiods.
The tourism policy envisaged a selective approach based on travel circuit concept in the provision
of tourism infrastructure to achieve intensive development of selected centres. A list of 61 travel circuits
consisting of 441 centres was, thus, drawn up by the Central Government in consultation with State/Union
Territory Governments.
At the first instance, the number of circuits and centres selected were too large to
achieve any significant results with the resources available.
The selection of the centres was also not
based on any objective criteria to meet the requirements of the policy. Further the State/U. T. Governments
were generally not having any firm commitment and adherence to the selected centres in their development
plans. In general, the tendency has been to take up a large number of small projects of peripheral nature
in as many centres as possible even 0utside the travel circuits. The Central Government also followed a
scheme approach instead of an area approach in providing financial assistance to State/U. T. Governments. As a result, there was very little impact on the development of tourism infrastructure in any specific
destination as resources were spread very thinly over a large area. As a corrective measure, scheme for
identification and development of "Special Tourism Areas" is proposed to be taken up during Eighth Plan
period (1992-97).
The plan envisages the establishment of all inclusive tourism zones with identifiable
boundaries in a few selected centres. The development would take place according to specific master
plans and would be coordinated by "Special Tourism Area Development Authorities" set up for the purpose.
The strategy is to provide the required basic infrastructure and support services like airports, railwaylines,
roads, water supply, electricity, sewerage, communication facilities, etc., by the Government and encourage the private sector including foreign investors to invest heavily on tourism infrastructure like hotels,
restaurants, entertainment facilities, transport services, etc., in these areas. The success of the scheme
would greatly depend upon the choice of the centres, conceptual soundness and practical utility of the
master plans and effectiveness of its implementation.
In view of these reasons and to avoid the mistakes
of the past, it is recommended that a set of objective criteria may be evolved for the selection of "Special
Tourism Areas". The master plans for the selected areas must also be prepared with great care giving all
the relevant details taking into account the existing topography and ecological factors.
The policy also envisaged a division of responsibility between the Central and State Governments
in the development of tourist centres based on their popularity with foreign and domestic tourists. In the
existing scheme of things. it was, however, not possible to implement this direction as most of the
development schemes were formulated by the State Governments.
The Central Government did not have
either the necessary manpower resources or direct access to the required delivery systems for making its
own choices.
It is, therefore, recommended that the Central Department of Tourism must set-up a
monitoring and evaluation unit to evaluate the merits of each of the proposals objectively and to monitor
the implementation
of the projects accepted for financial assistance.
86
8.5
Tourism
Coordination
Tourism consists of several goods and services consumed by the tourists at their places of visit.
There are provided by a multitude of establishments
and agencies functioning
at various levels.
International tourists also have to come in contact with various Government agencies like embassies!
missions, immigration authorities, etc., to obtain visa and to complete entry and exit formalities.
The
development of tourism, therefore, implies the coordinated efforts of a number of agencies and institutions
whose organizational objectives are generally not the same. In realisation of this fact, the tourism policy
stipulated that the development
of tourism must be a common endeavor of all the agencies vitally
concerned with its development at Central and State levels, public sector undertakings and the privatesector.
No institutional mechanism was, however, provided for ensuring effective coordination between
various agencies at different levels.
At the Central Government level, the Department of Tourism along with its undertakings and
autonomous institutions of the India Tourism Development Corporation (ITDC), Indian Irlstitute of Tourism
and Travel Management (IITTM) and National Council for Hotel Management and Catering Technology
(NCHMCT) is responsible for the coordination of tourism development activities.
The visas for the entry
of foreign nationals in the country are issued by the Indian embassies and missions as per the regulations
including rates of visa fee fixed by the Ministry of External Affairs. The immigration checks are exercised
by the Ministry of Home Affairs and customs clearance is by the Finance Ministry. The regulation of airline
services to India and the provision of passenger facilities at the airports are coordinated by the Department
of Civil Aviation along with the International Airport Authority of India (IAAI) and Air India. Internal transport
facilities are provided by the Indian Airlines, Railways and Transport operators.
The Ministries of
Commerce and Finance decide the rates of import duty and fiscal and financial incentive schemes
applicable to tourism related activities. The Ministry of Environment provide guidelines and regulate the
construction of hotels, restaurants, etc., in certain areas. In fact, most of the Ministries and Departments
of the Government of India are connected with the business of tourism in one way or other. An entry
restriction by the Home Ministry, a visa fee increase by the Ministry of External Affairs or a restrictive policy
of Department of Civil Aviation in allowing the operation of international flights of India can have serious
adverse impact on tourist traffic. Since the organizational objectives of most of these agencies do not
include tourism development, there is every possibility of anyone of them taking precipitative decisions
without consulting the Department of Tourism. Since, there have been several such instances in the past,
putting the tourism industry in disarray, it is recommended that the concurrence of Tourism Department
must be made compulsory before taking any decision affecting tourists or tourist facilities by any of thedepartment
It would be advantageous to set up a Cabinet Sub-committee to deal with such issuesexclusively.
The Department of Tourism itself has not received the importance it deserves due to it's frequent
shifts from one Ministry to another. Since the Departments of Civil Aviation and Tourism have common
objectives and their activities are interdependent,
it is appropriate to place them together in the same
Ministry with equal importance so that the coordination between them is effectively built into the system.
There is a fair degree of coordination between the Central Department of Tourism and the StateGovernmen
This is achieved through a series of meetings at different levels, personal interactions and
a set of centrally assisted schemes underwhich financial assistance is provided by the Central Government
to specific project proposals received from the States. The suitability of such projects for central funding
is assessed on the basis of certain fixed patterns and administrative requirements.
The economic and
social cost-benefit analysis of these projects are, however, not being carried out at any stage due to lack
of details and man-power resources.
As a result, there has been a proliferation of centrally assisted
projects with all the associated problems of management, execution and coordination.
It also led to nonassessment of ecological and environmental
effects of such projects in detail. Tourism is a delicate
business and investment decisions not based on objective evaluation can lead to disastrous results. It is,therefore,
recommended
that economic and social cost-benefit
analysis of each project must be
undertaken by the proposed monitoring and evaluation unit before they are implemented.
87
As the State Government level also various aspect of tourism are being looked after by different
departments and agencies.
It is, therefore, necessary to set up inter-departmental
coordination committees in each State to deal with the developmental aspects of tourism. Such Committees at district and local
levels would also be helpful in the identification and execution of useful projects.
The coordination with private sector in the field of tourism is essentially in the form of consultation
and a set of regulations and incentives. The consultations are generally informal and individualistic in the
absence of a formal consultative mechanism.
The collective wisdom of the private sector is also limited
though they excel individually.
This is basically because of the fact that the private sector in the tourism
industry has not been assigned any collective responsibilities so far. They have all along been looking upon
the Government in such matters including database and research, laying down industry standards and
ethics, preservation
and protection of sources of tourist attractions, industry training and manpower
development,
preparation of investment guidelines, etc. The associations of these industries lack the
necessary infrastructure and manpower to undertake these activities.
It is, therefore, recommended that
the private sector must be encouraged to take up these responsibilities collectively in a phased manner.
As a first step, the recognized associations of the industry must be provided the necessary assistance to
set up regular offices with essential equipments for documentation and research.
If required, an officer
from the Government could be provided on loan basis to each of the associations to function as secretary
and the link between the industry and the Government.
Once such instjtutions get established, more and
more collective responsibilities could be passed on to them.
All establishments
including tourism industries are regulated by various Acts and Rules.
In
addition, there are regulations laid down by the Department of Tourism for recognition and grant of various
incentives and facilities. These include approval and classification of hotels and restaurants, approval of
travel agents and tour operators, approval of guides, etc. They are mainly intended to ensure standards
in quality and service and to protect the interests of the consumers.
These responsibilities could also be
taken over by the industry associations after the establishment of the regular offices and infrastructure.
The tourist industries must also collectively
monuments and areas either by paying a development
A wide spectrum of incentives and facilities is being made available to tourism industries since the
last few years both by the Central and the State Governments to attract private investment in the sector.
The available indications suggest that the incentive scheme has been effective and there is a larger flow
of capital to the sector. Considering the present stage of development of the industry, these incentives
have to be continued for a few more years. There is also a need to provide area-specific special incentives
to direct the investment to selected locations.
88
ANNEXU RE I
INPUT-OUTPUT
COEFFIOENTS
INDIAN
MATRIX
(61x61) OF
ECONOMY
(1983-84)
0.~4025
0.024857
0.040054
0.(XX)39(}
0.052602
0.001835
0.0027~
O.~
0 .(XXXX) 1
0.003395
0 .cxm68
O.~
0.001632
o. (XXx:M)3
O.022075
0.348789
0.00)210
0.069542
0 .045629
0.~1149
0.047059
O.~
o. (XXXX)6
o. (XXXX)6
0.001892
O.(XXXX)1
O.(XXXX)7
O.(XXX)34
0.(XX)462
O.(XX)338
10
11
12
13
14
0 .(XXXJ35
0 .(XXXK) 1
0.(xx)154
O. (XXXX)5
O.<XXJ134
o. {XXXX)2
O.(XX)445
0 .036284
15
16
o. OCKX)54
0.<XKX>74
0.007166
0.00))27
17
18
19
O. (XX)43O
0.(xx)145
o. (XXX)27
O.<XXXJ24
0 .(XXXK) 1
c).(XXX)26
O.OOllm
20
O.<XXXJ15
0.<XKX>19
0.00)169
21
0.(XX)259
22
O. (XXK)48
o. oo:XX)8
o. (XXX)38
O.(XXXX)2
0.001733
23
0.000016
o. oo:XX)8
0 .(XXXX9
0.00)739
24
25
o. (XXX)49
o. (XXXX)6
0: 00X)33
0.002185
26
O.CX1J721
0.~7
0.001818
0.~54
0.(xxx)13
0.007471
27
28
o. oo:XX>5
O.(XXM)22
O.~
00.012704
0.(XXX)21
29
0 .(XXXX)7
30
0.056971
0.057304
31
32
0.003543
33
34
o. (XXXX)2
35
36
O.039463
O.oo:XJ32
0.014551
0.010493
0.003749
0.002730
O.~
O.oo:xXJ2
0.OCXXXJ7
O. (XXXX)4
0.00)182
37
0.CXXJ193
0.(xx)108
O.(XX)892
o. (XX)861
38
0.004351
0.002397
0.004239
O.002838
89
1
10
)200
2
39
0.(xx)706
0.(XX)247
40
O. (XXX)48
o. (XXX)26
0.(XXX)29
0.(xxxx)2
o. (XX)383
41
0.(xxx}11
o. (XXXX)6
0 .(XXXX)7
o. (XX)426
42
43
0.(xx)783
0 .(XX)528
0.(XX)707
0.~1
0.003517
44
O. (XXX)3O
0.(XXXK)3
0.00X>13
O.(XXXX)2
0.002010
45
0.016570
0.~125
0.013994
0.010745
O.~
o. 004022
46
0.~281
0.004141
0.004359
0.~8
o. (XX)5OO
47
0.<XX>OO7
0 .(XXXK)1
O.00XX)3
o. (XXX)65
o. (XXX)47
48
O.004589
O.003345
0.001211
0 .002802
0.001415
0.004776
49
0.006235
0.005525
0.004134
0.004375
0.004717
0.032854
50
51
52
0.(xx)176
0.(xxx)52
O.(XXM)86
O. (XXXX)3
0.001546
0.018221
0.Cl5641
0.010195
0.OU707
O.059626
0.003035
53
O. (XXX)5 7
0 .(XXX)32
O.(KXX)34
0.003199
54
55
0.005742
0.006957
0.00785
0.005601
0.002443
o. (XXX)43
0.(xx)107
O. (XXX)44
0.(XX)201
56
57
58
O. <XX>OO
7
O. (XXXX)4
0 .(XXXX)4
O.OCXJ223
59
0.001459
O. (XXX}3O
0 .(XX)835
O.(XXXX)5
0.015384
00.817070
0.788144
0.859913
0.493830
0.900724
6061 0
0.711838
11
O.fXXXJ13
o. XKm
0.545993
0 .(XXXX)1
0.(xx)158
0 .(xxxx)2
o. (XX)544
O.(XXXX)2
0 .(XX)227
O.(xx)l02
0.003413
0 .(XXX}2O
0.005970
0.00
O.(XX)737
0.001784
O.~
0.00Xl27
1011 0
0.001725
O.(XX)393
0.002759
O.0CMXX)4
0.007419
13
0.002057
14
0
1516 0
O.00)446
O.(xxx)lS
O.fXXXJ15
0.(xx)282
17
90
11
10
12
18
o. (XXKX)3
0.00)212
0.013864
19
0.028553
0o.
o. (XXX)25
o.~
2021
0.CXXJ210
(XX)9990.00X>11 0
0.003967
0.<XX>137
o.~
o. (XXm2
0
0 -00)464
22
23
0.003904
o. (XX)299
0.1XX)564
0.(00491
0 .(XXX)3 5
24
25
26
O.~
o. (XXX)5O
0.00)249
0
0.00:1326
0.015682
0.016778
0.012619
0.041598
0.031142
0.(X1)O70
27
0.(XX)898
0.001136
0.00)878
28
0.(XXKX)3
o. (KX)42S
0.000124
0.001297
29
0.000100
0.002532
30
31
0.(xx)134
0.(xxx)16
0- (XXX)55
32
O. (XX)4O9
0.024927
0.017308
0.018070
0.~99
33
34
0 .004366 0
o. (XX)638
0.~50
0.~14
0.002359
35
o. (XX)428
0.000281
36
0 .00X)83
o. (XXXJ7
4
37
0.<XXX>19
0.001655
0.(xx)798
0.013856
O.~
38
39
0.003098
40
0.069581
0.015402
O.~
0.018038
41
0.(xxx)16
42
43
44
4S
46
0.012359
0.004240
0.(XX)100
0.000161
0.000144
0.(XX)926
0.<XXm2
0.010058
0.003295
0.020461
0.002893
0.001021
0.005208
0.055680
0.002448
0.044790
0.035576
0.004492
47
O.(XXX)54
O. (XXXX)6
o. (XK)364
48
0.(XX)715
0.025177
0.001259
O.003043
0.002727
O.004002
49
0.001699
0 .006200
O.(XX)821
0.002394
0.010719
0.018489
SO
51
0.(XX)698
0 .(X)2344
0 .000305
O.OCXJ79
52
o. 005(1J 3
0.018051
0.004119
0.~79
0.012480
0.~5
53
O.(XX)999
O.(XX)848
0.(XX)414
54
0.001028
0.003260
0.01(1J21
0.010424
0.010381
0.024565
55
0.001738
0.001915
O.003043
O. (XX1jY}5
0.003256
56
57
58
59
0.(XX)172
0.023783
0.020187
O.004589
O-~
0.031345
60
0.928830
0 .684002
0.884176
0.829168
o.~
0.196927
61
91
14
13
15
17
16
18
o. 034044
0.037156
o. (XXXXJ3
o. (XX)234
O.(XXX)72
o. (XXXX)2
0.184020
0.144348
0.154987
0.017271
0.293654
o.~
0 .(XXK)3 7
O. (XXXX) 1
0.048134
0.CXK>145
0.00))35
O. 004429
0.~70
0.148107
o.026599
o.~
0.017155
0.~164
0.001291
O.(XXX)5O
0.CXK>703
0.030255
O.KOOIO
0.001338
0.001510
o. (XX)766
0.(XX)535
o. (XX)387
0.(xx)162
O.007948
0.(xx)105
O. (XXXX)4
O.003895
0.010520
0.001826
O.~
0.003432
0 .00462
O. (XX)2O6
0.(xx)110
0 .(XXk)12
10 0
11 O. (XXX)48
0.(xx)123
0.~4
o. (XXXX)2
12 0.036167
0.036849
o. (XX)643
O. (XXXX)2
13 0.102124
0.042361
0.006070
0.002355
0.(XX)452
0.001765
14 0.(x.)213
0.021478
15 O.(XXXI3O
0.089721
16 0.002760
0.001919
0.001484
0.171888
0.056390
0.001629
0.CM:xX>14
1 7 0 .(XXX)22
0 .<XXXm
0.011688
0.201625
0.001148
18 0.001714
0.002493
o.~
0.007962
O.~
0.~490
0.~1
0.020596
0.00)126
19 0.<XXX>49
0.(xxx)10
0 -{XX)723
0.002451
20 0.003333
0.003575
o.~
0.<Xm14
0.001699
21 0
O.00XK)2
0 .(XXXX) 1
O.(XXXX)2
22 0.004173
0.005766
0.023421
O. 002839
0.005552
0.002212
23 0.(xxx)17
O. (XXXX) 1
0.000001
0.00x)10
24 O.(XXXX)5
0.(XX)357
O.00))32
O. 00XX)3
25 0 .002063
0.010512
0.004102
0.<Xm790.011901
0.001406
0.001367
26 0.~15
'O.~
0.014508
0.017111
0 -004033
27 0.~2
0.000226
0 .<XXXm
O. (XX)445
O.~
0.000123
28 O.005453
0.012419
0.<Xm18
O. 004623
O.003480
0.000169
29 0.002765
0.004111
O.(XX)454
0.004524
0.007115
0.002976
30 O.(xx)259
0.(xxx)16
310.~
0.00x)16
O.(XXX)22
0.013087
0.001873
o. (XX)582
32 0.015422
0.008538
0.010282
0.012100
0.057434
0.013561
33 0.(XXXX)1
340.~
0.110483
0 .<XXXm
O.~
O.(KXX)62
35 0.fXm76
O. (XXX)21
O. (XX)6O8
0.000113
0.00387
0.00164
0.(XXX)53
0.~27
0.000156
36 0 .(XX}26O
O. 0CXXX:1)
37 0.012550
0.049973
0.00870
O.~
0.005578
0 .006669
38 0.(xxx)19
O. (XXXXJ1
39 0.001837
0.003258
0.011401
O.~
0.003207
0.003055
40 o. (XXK)29
O. (XXXK)8
O. (XXXX)3
0.00x)15
41 0 .(XXXX)2
0 .(XXXX)2
O. (XXX)48
42 O.(XXXX)2
0.00XX32
O.(XXX)41
43 O.00XX)5
0.00XX31
0.KXXJ26
44 0 .(XX)48O
0.001217
0.003847
o. OCM)849
O.~91
0 .(XX)88 7
92
16
18
13
14
15
17
0.007m
0.010184
0.0142IE
46 0 .009099
0.002406
0 .033326
0 .059029
0.029287
47 0.(XX)261
0.~41
O.0CXX1J9
0.(XX)4:37
0.~36
0 .(XDX)4
48 0.004187
0.007308
0.001991
0.003758
0.002355
0.<Xl;194
49 0.016266
0.017483
0.~7
0.019898
0.019128
SOO
0.030744
0
51 0.000765
O.002083
0.(xx)792
0.CXX1J79
0.001105
0.001167
52 0.087057
0.057565
0.~13
O.~
0.~76
O.~11
53 0
54 0.005930
0.015554
0.002852
0.~79
0.011759
0.OU737
55 0.002507
0 .002805
0.001943
0 .003349
0.003319
O.~
560
57 0
580
00.044571
00.019118
45 0.001493
59 0.007308
0.001971
0.001488
0 .002042
0.076633
0.031285
0.036893
600
61 0.116664
0.316999
0.389512
0.341172
0.22~
0 .28844
o. (XX)442
0.(XXX)29
0 .(XXXX) 7
0 .(XX)
134
o. (XXXX)6
0.014864
0.~14
0.(xx)700
0.~5
o. (XXX)33
o. (XXX)53
O. (XX)3O9
O. (XXXX)3
0 .(XXXX)3
0.00XK)1
o. (XXXX)3
0.007991
0.(xx)129
0.~13
0.(XXX)73
0.004315
0.~7
0.(XXX)35
0.001147
O. (XKX)22
O. (XXX)27
0.(KXX)51
0.00XJ15
0.107992
0.(xx)117
0.488435
0.138299
0.044361
0.(XX)365
0.01~5
0.003078
O.~59
0.001073
0.032724
O.lXX)7~
0.001194
0.<XXXX>2
0.(XXXX)5
O.~
10
11
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O. (XXXX)2
0.XXX320
0.~20
0.(xx)146
0.~1
O. (XXX}38
O. (XXXX)2
O. 0CMXX)3
13
0.(xx)149
O.fXXJl38
0.(xxx)14
0.004227
0.00X)87
0.~3
14
O. 00XX)6
0.(xx)194
0 .(XXXX) 1
O.(XX)319
0.004963
0.002879
0.003021
0 .002034
0.~76
0.(XX)825
0.(xx)115
O.(XX)846
0.001373
O.fXXJl42
0.~54
0.005731
0.(XX)549
0.001759
O.(XX)369
O. 004805
O.003365
O.003060
0.0116U
0.046577
0.C1Jn13
0.001330
0.(XX)979
0.003174
0.<XXXX>7
O.OOU42
0.055006
0.(XXX)15
o. 00X)02
O. (Xn482
22
0.002792
0 .(XX)499
0 .(XX)95 7
0.243869
0.294120
0.<m924
23
O. (XX)5O4
0.fXXJl18
0 .00X)28
0.002461
0.004396
O. <Xm)3
24
O.(XXX)88
0.(XX)263
0.(XX)497
o. (XXX)2O
0.lXX>393
0.193478
15
0
16
0.118130
17
0.038339
18
0.008631
19
O.080548
2021 0.~172
93
21
19
20
24
23
22
o.0025890.004123 0.04.5218
25
0.005147
o. (XX)6%
O.008286
o. 002089
26
0.005369
0.002550
0.002072
0.016593
0.003349
27
0.(xx)116
0 .1XXJ257
O. CXXXJ61
0.<XXJ129
o. (XXX)12
O. oo:XX)6
28
O. {XX)S68
O. {XXX9O
0.<XXXJ74
0.030192
0.005974
0.004733
29
0.001130
0 .0CM)835
0 .<XX>591
0.014707
0.001543
0.017158
30
O.(XXXX)
1
0 .(XKXX)1
31
0.001663
0.(XX)521
O.004080
0 .005882
0.020105
O.008536
32
0.004575
0.003685
0.002329
0.020074
0.~7
0.011591
33
0.<XXXJ14
0.CXXXJ51
0.(XX)317
0.001207
0.001613
0.(xx)1580.001220
0.(Xm73
0.0047580.001192
0.001157
34
35
0.(xx)323
0.002053
36
0.002972
O. (XX)44O
37
0.003054
0.002624
38
O. (XX)2O2
0.001672
0.029242
0.(XK)331
O.004804
0.015124
0 .003632
0.004157
39
O. 003604
O. (XXXX)3
0 .(XXX)5()
0.00XJ15
O.{K:xx)38
0.00)x}1
40
0 .(XX)28 7
0.001938
O. 00)285
O.004342
0.005872
0.001580
41
0.CXXXJ11
O. (XXX)31
0.000126
0.<XXJ129
0 .(XXX)27
O.(XXX)35
42
O. (XX)OO8
O. 000022
0.~3
0.<XXJ1CYJ
O.(XKX)22
0.cxxxr>..8
43
O. (KXXX)S
O. oo:X)84
O. 000283
O.00X)68
0.(w)14
0 .oo:x>42
44
0.001957
0.001368
0.~28
0.002175
0.001980
0.001322
45
O.004363
0.003186
0.000728
0.003177
0.001835
0.003089
0.017218
0.~2
46
0.012477
0.~72
0.004878
0.05n72
47
0 .(XXX)6 5
0 .(XXX)5 5
0.00X)39
0.001159
O.(XX)454
0.XXXB3
0.001528
48
0.002019
0.005330
0.002635
0.018716
0 .003407
49
0.014384
0.016588
0.017471
0.015922
0.013422
0.019590
0
5051
0.001023
0.~22
0.000758
0.002607
0.003979
0.001324
0 .cm68O
52
0.050530
0.082435
0.051406
0.069582
0.049597
53
54
0.~1
0.0C1J983
0.0135300.001195
0.026945
0.016865
0.018387
55
0.001275
0.001491
0.007615
0.003127
0.000702
0
56
57
58
59
0.038498
0.004350
0.025745
0.026593
0.046567
0.02~5
60
61
0.524897
0.278722
0.519056
0.217342
0.375148
0.322721
94
14
2S
26
28
27
29
30
0.(xx)147
o. (XXXX)5
0 .00XX)2
0.001017
O. (XXXX)2
0.003010
0.0CKX>52
0.07~
0 .(XXX)51
0 .{XX)334
0.00>146
o. 00)2S8
o. (XXXX)9
o. (XXXX)4
0.002156
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0.020719
O.002699
0.003032
O.0054S3
0.001843
41
O.008048
0.007084
O.028075
0 .003089
O.003628
O. (X)2rn6
42
O.003846
0.002838
0.003196
0.002552
0.004879
0.0013210.013493
43
0.~2055
0.008293
0.001887
0.007662
0.003565
12
13
14
15
16
17
1819
20
32
117
1.95081
1.296953
55
50
Sl
O.004830
0.002443
0.~5
49
53
52
54
0.008432
44
0.~1
45
46
0.014215
0.016902
0.034114
0.008929
0.027958
0.157235
0.022317
0.027958
0.047615
0.020455
O.(XX)3(X)
o. 005048
0.~16
0.0044570.014821
0.007365
47
0.(XX)907
0.001513
0.001538
48
0.017893
0.013354
0.0153310.0212810.011447
0.005705
0.0233580.038231O.OOl~
49
1. CB9206
O.054690
0.114371
0.018815
50
51
0.(XX)621
1.0237250.0076610.fXX)187
0.00J166
0.<XX>124
0.008155
1. (XX)839
52
0.0707820.006151
0.029039
53
54
55
56
0.002357
0.014393
0.008012
0.002246
0.021348
1.044874
0.121913
0.014223
0.002149
O.OO5UO
1.002138
0.017191
0 .034083
0.0393690.039931 0.004948
0.026596
0.002014
0.0341860.018163 0.013958
1.~7391
O. 004988
0.020776
57
0.(XXX)85
0.(XXX)29
0.00))31
0 .(XXX)28
O. (XXX)48
0 .(XXX)12
58
0.(XX)253
0.(XX)2170.028341 O.002694
0.<XXJ161
0 .(XX)23 7
0.<XX>126
59
60
0.045732
0.018889
0.~2
0.028760
0.022'316
1.518559
2.23775
1.339383
58
59
60
1.606336
56
57
0.002209
0.(XK)167
0.012{XX)
0.019755
0.004412
0.001216
O.(XX)4SO
0.001039
0.012363
0.028976
o. <XXJ2()6
0.(XXX)520.0013180.<XXJ180
0 .003602
0.001824
0.002147
0.023431
0.007647
0.003297
0.001684
0.(XX)274
0.004936
0.01~3
0.007233
0.002730
0.005550
O. 004202
0.008041
0.011177
0.000229
0.(XXXX)7
O. (XXX)5 7
0.<XXJ365
0.000169
0 .003666
0.003110
0.003376
0.011737
0.010781
910
0.0041550.(XXK)49
0.002229
O. 004308
0.024100
0.013840
o. (XXX)4 7
0.(xx)133
o. 000305
11
12
1314
0 .(XX)890.(XX)2'32
0.001371
0.002902
0.001284
0.003635
0.003(i)7
0.00X>190.(XK)l24 0.(XXX81
0.002197
0.~56
0.(XK)130
0 .(XXX)37O.
1516
O.(XXXX)4
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40.001649
O.(XXXX)8O.
O. fXX)841
0.017576
0.0031(K}
0.000020
0.(XX)414
O. (XXX)89
0.001785
0.014308
0.045133
O. (XXJ361
0.001133
0.013828
O. (XXX)2O0.001874O.CMXXJ77
00)285O.
171819
20
21
22
0.000493
(XXX)85
0 .(XX)545
0 .00)838
O. 00X>45
0.003077
0.004210
0 .004839
0.(XK)139
0.001~
0.002465
0.018470
0.001025
O.0058(1)
0.001744
0.005614
O.~
O.002266
0 .(XXX)42o.
0.004687
0.<XXJ912
0.004259
0.035438
0.023565
0.014126
0.035028
<XXK>26
118
55
59
1.
1.227531
1
57
56
58
60
23
0.031704
0.<XX>274
0.068517
0.002488
o. 002688
24
0.00X)59
0.(XKX)14
0.<XXXJ77
0.CXXJ139
0.001560
2S
0.001230
O. (XX)448
0.001275
0.007935
0.<XX>571
26
0.006320
0.003359
0.006574
0.034570
0.018833
27
0.000349
0.002081
O. (XX)5O5
0.001823
0.001737
28
0.002142
O. (XX)542
0.003113
0.019438
o. (M)45
29
0.001291
O. (XX)628
0 .002050
O.036046
0.005552
30
O.000346
0.XXI221
0.001016
O. 003426
0.003821
31
0.001177
0.002169
0.002114
O.003046
0.003619
32
0.003192
0.XXm1
O. 004294
O.499663
0.017593
33
O.000308
0.006019
O.(XX)812
0.001170
0.001248
34
0.(KX)876
0.007925
0.001582
0.0077&3
0.004473
35
0.006771
0.019282
O. 006366
0.016105
0.036909
36
0.002913
0.001392
0.004027
0.009011
0.013205
37
0.003025
0.002216
0.003027
0.019050
0.012895
38
O. (XXX)6 7
0.(XKX)21
0.<XX>105
O.(XX)347
0.001003
39
O.~
O. (XKX)23
0.<XXXJ72
0.(XX)339
0.002392
40
0.009346
0.CXXJ970
0.002313
0.005613
0.005378
41
0.002092
0.0032(1)
0.001743
O.003482
0 .<X1JOO 1
42
0.001404
O. (XX)888
0.001088
0.002630
0 .003386
43
0.001286
O. (XX)5O4
0.001135
O.004388
0.<XX>196
44
45
0.009279
0.(XX)670
0.011042
0.010247
0.049418
0.004612
0.107640
0.013587
0.012864
0.012867
46
0.011858
0.006085
0.00J855
0.042784
0.037403
47
0.000447
0 .(XX!3 90
O.<XX>271
0.001792
0.(XX)857
48
0.006029
0.004255
0.004350
0.011819
0.010158
49
0.013218
0.005585
0.012603
0.055981
0.025277
50
0.000173
0.XXI144
0.<XX>232
0.001361
O. (XX)541
51
0.013115
O. (XX)463
0.013942
0.016392
O.004646
52
0.019800
0.016442
0.026502
0.155146
0.061213
53
54
55
56
57
0.009372
0.<XX>266
0.002051
0.003524
0.003141
0.006737
0.002193
O. 005090
0.019053
0.058635
1. 006029
0.001377
0.001656
0.008143
0.005025
0.OCXXJ12
O. 00XX)8
1 .1XXXm
0.(xxx)26
0.(XXK)24
58
0.001653
O. 000044
0.001021
1.001275
0.000137
59
0.013185
0.004599
0.01~97
0.034702
1.053782
60
1.~99
2.243122
1.688951
258223
119
ANNXURE
LEONTIEF INVERSE MATRIX
III
1.824365
o. 71~12
0.713038
0.745498
0.77(KX)1
0.702319
0.185405
1.239158
0.182222
0.185837
0.1~
0.179578
O.043862
0.043569
1.046698
o.043866
O.~
0.042861
1. 482053
0.812064
0.433201
0.472313
O.458208
0.4f:iJ554
0.504373
0.473128
0.484421
0.476026
1.449925
0.417297
0.~77
1.~11
0.027668
0.026964
0.067194
0.~1
O. 065983
O.~
0.027485
0.027351
0.027212
0.027442
0.040431
0 .038238
0.035041
0.037696
0.036310
0.034239
0.120369
0.116401
0.11~
0.113555
0.108616
0.1C1J514
10
11
12
13
0.<XXJ511
0 .{XX)486
0 .(XX)482
o. (XX)486
o. (XX)48O
O. (XX){ 73
0.010494
0.010127
0.008892
0.~2
0.008887
0 .008256
0.064769
O.~
0.~105
0.0647(9
0.~5882
0.~1
0.26n76
0.265158
0.264013
0.265816
0.304279
O.258638
14
0.013981
0.013929
0.013853
0.013949
0.013925
0.013705
15
16
17
18
19
20
0.043797
0 .043604
O.043386
0.043702
O.~
0.042936
0.192022
0.191027
0.189841
0.191177
0.199328
0.187841
0.106546
0.108490
0.107979
0.107389
0.108197
0.108102
0.013468
0.OU749
0.011404
0.012404
0.011954
0.010093
O.060833
0.~75
0.060076
O.~
0.060517
0.~9
0.014252
0.013640
0.013519
0.013602
0.013720
0.013007
21
0.003573
0.003542
0.003507
0.003545
0.003546
0.003814
22
0.034447
0.034456
0.033572
0.033885
0.034398
0.035593
23
0 .023369
0.023182
0 .022920
0.023152
0.023324
0.023567
24
0.162853
0.162145
0.161347
0.162510
0.162116
0.159621
25
0.038499
0.038120
0.037436
0.037896
0 .038069
O.040402
26
0.180782
0.174670
0.167737
0.170879
0.163910
0.1~
27
0.004986
0.004743
0.004519
0.004651
O.004433
O.00422. ~
28
29
0.031896
0.031749
O.025488
0.029037
0.026367
0.023323
O.0234n
0.024057
0.022598
0.022797
O.022508
0.021370
30
0.149363
0.145658
0.(1)2370
0.125329
0.f88201
0.076166
31
32
33
0.010100
0 .(X1J884
0.0C1J830
0.001853
O.(XJ8SO
O.~
0.135413
0.147861
0.138506
0.133341
0.133043
0.124485
0.006567
0.006007
0.006138
0.006073
0.005710
0.005530
34
0.029282
0.028538
O. 028399
0.028476
0.027968
0.027384
35
O.0666350.017524
0 .063029
0.~745
0.063179
0.~1993
0.061314
36
0.017196
0.016625
0.016926
0.016820
0.016658
0.045147
O.~
37
0.046979
O.046229
0 .045034
0.045788
O.046895
38
0.012577
O.00J692
0.011789
0.010318
0.~160
39
0.005726
0.004772
0.004735
O.005(95
0.005073
0.004702
40
0.017165
0.016508
0.015582
0.016239
0.015780
0.015732
120
1
10.
10.667270
10.46276
11.207755
10
121
41
0.027848
0.02.7088
0.026518
0.027049
0.026736
O.026822
42
0.017280
0.016647
0.015634
0.016394
0.016189
0.016144
43
0.037640
o.036906
0.036591
0.a36977
o.036822
0 .040865
44
45
0.031225
0.030769
0.030168
0.~77
0.030748
0.032771
0.087644
0.077982
0.081140
0.079561
0.073490
0.070510
46
0.144516
0.134751
0.120563
0.132018
0.126730
0.118145
47
0.~549
o. 00J459
0.009271
0.~11
0.~394
0.0C1J178
48
0.081139
0.07~
0.0732U
0.076874
0.075846
0.075475
49
0.269058
0.265251
0.259078
0.262877
0.269813
0.285070
50
0 .004600
0.004511
0.004372
0 .004460
0.004~
0.004210
51
0.023962
0.02.3611
0.023152
0.023520
0.023754
0.024451
52
0.524366
0.514216
0.498345
O.~
0.559229
0.479910
53
0.~19
0.~105
0.003464
0.~4
0.~177
0.~1
54
0.103576
0.103371
0.1~7
0.100768
0.100274
0.m1722
55
0.026629
0.~74
0 .02 48{1}
0.025585
0.~8
0.024823
56
0.220186
0.219237
0.218169
0.219737
0.219186
0.215777
57
0.063661
0.00381
O.~
0.00523
O.063362
0.~79
58
0.060298
0.~7
0.059665
0.060130
0.059970
0.059268
59
0.196427
0.192891
0.189359
0.192743
0.194599
0.202830
6061
3.962057
3.944994
3.925772
3.953977
3.9~
3.882723
11.063178
10.877513
830505
11
0.710638
0.666128
0.698589
0.690307
0.686948
0.696671
0.1~
0.171505
0.178924
0.176592
0.175943
0.765219
0.043291
0.040726
0.042393
0.041992
0.041854
0.042737
O.4382n
0.411683
o. 430730
o. 426025
0.423971
0.439875
0.422416
0.395875
0.415044
0.410053
o. 408054
0.440824
0 .MS446
0.00765
o. 065445
0 .064036
0.~5963
0 .069283
1.02n46
0.025544
0.026774
0 .026468
0.026331
0 .026682
0.034182
1.051881
0.035471
0.042172
0.041998
O.~
0.112505
0.113842
1.1~1
0.129864
0.123n6
0.119655
10
11
0.CXX>476
O.~
O.(XX)511
1.(XX)478
0.(XX)553
O.(XX)522
0.008186
0.01~1
0.00)211
0.008281
1. 00J059
0.012532
0.~149
0.~149
O.062995
O.062295
0.~1997
1.070262
13
14
0.263779
0.24fm8
0.257084
0 .2545890.013478 0.253403
0.258058
0.013866
O.O130U
0.013632
0.013415
0.013589
1516
0.043464
0.040741
0.042764
0.042197
0.041996
0 .042540
0.193855
0.179650
0.187018
0.184529
0.183827
0.188013
1718
0.109125
0.10U270.010785
0.1060U
0.104498
0.104049
0.1058200.027781
0.011358
0.010757
0.011053
0.011223
12
10.555319
1
122
11.401576
7
19
10
0.~1248
0.057074
O.059530
0.058552
11
o.~
o. 060288
20
0.013143
0.014689
0.013692
0.012963
0.017114
0.014488
21
0.003512
0.003492
0.003545
0.003558
0.003544
0.003637
22
0.033155
0.038947
0.03~
0.033713
o. 034(1J9
0.036067
23
0.022862
o. 022363
O.022630
0.022461
0.022407
0.023545
24
0.161653
0.151370
0.158930
0.156895
0.156144
0.157996
25
0.037689
0.036757
O.036533
O.036385
0.036973
0.038912
26
0.170738
0.172563
0.165956
0.197742
0.188147
0.180547
27
0.004194
0.~16
O.004645
0.005231
0.005729
0.005763
28
0.023451
0.024196
0.023719
0.023732
0.023975
0.029855
29
0.021591
0.023253
0.021285
O.022540
0.022798
0.025996
30
0.077~4
0.072374
0.0757W
0.074842
0.074497
0.113463
31
0.009834
0.001859
O.~
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0.001581
o. 00)99()
32
0.125843
0.149457
0.123232
0.142757
0.143332
0.137486
0.011cm
0.005563
0.~105
0.006193
0.030797
33
0.005332
0.005590
34
0.027254
0.027507
0.035230
0.027378
0.028169
35
0.061996
0.088240
0.067167
0.062030
0.071103
0.067416
36
0.016705
0.021742
0.017189
0.016834
0.018628
0.018103
37
0.044687
0.049941
0.044810
0.045325
o. 059699
0.051339
38
O.006469
0.~16
O.~U
0.006311
0.(XX)351
0.008174
0.004714
0.004615
o. 004626
0.008476
39
0.004893
0.004651
40
0.015374
0.(1)5541
0.032458
0.024138
0 -036992
0.017029
4142
0.026104
0.029832
O.O~
0.027501
0.027403
0.027381
0.015305
0.021401
0.015543
0.016250
0.016213
0.017213
4344
0.049264
0.0395(1)
0.035117
0.034922
0.035514
0.037895
0.030376
0.~7
0.033562
0.030163
0.042776
O.030846
45
0.066655
0.07~32
0.086516
0.069400
0.X>7366
0.079045
46
0.118138
0.1971570.008961 0.UI734
0.177262
0.166588
0.138133
47
0.009189
0.OC1JU7
O.(XY}()46
O.00J026
0.<XYJ656
48
0.071607
0.100187
0.072652
0.076200
0.075960
0.MOS24
4950
0.254581
0.251740
O.250599
0 .250538
0.259705
0.287685
0.004274
0.004287
O.004223
O.004.236
0.004274
0.0052290.025141
0.022960
0.023528
O.022899
0.025093
0.023141
52
0.487127
0.4886260.~1160.m6461
0.481324
0 .482866
0.487145
0.595961
53
0.~3421
0.(1)2114
0.~1900
0.~1~
0.092718
54
0.~2657
0.103257
0.102078
0.102679
0.129454
55
0.025858
0.025353
0.026143
0.027485
0.025322
0.031233
56
0.218570
0.204557
0.214863
0.2Ul38
0.211104
0.213515
57
0.063176
0.059193
0.0621~
0.061330
0.X>1032
0.061738
0.0577880.191649
0.058498
58
0.059759
0.056247
0.058770
0.058078
59
0.189596
0.213330
0.207926
0.190204
60
61
3.932984
3.680835
3.866287
3.817248
3.798647
3.842028
10.445807
10.444796
10.389205
0.453563
0.228719
14
16
13
1
0.740622
3
4
17
15
18
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