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RWANDA

Privatization and growth in agro-inputs market


INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: FERTILIZER
Invest in fertilizer manufacturing, and governments commitment to addressing market barriers is creating opportunity for players to secure first mover advantage
The Government of Rwandas strategy to increase agricultural productivity through increased fertilizer usage has grown the fertilizer market to 32,000 MT over the last 6 years The Government now plans to privatize the market and encourage the entrance of more private sector players to increase market efficiencies, fertilizer utilization and technical agro-capabilities With privatization and the planned market building initiatives, Rwandas fertilizer market has the potential to reach 48,000 MT in volume and over $46M in revenue over the next 57 years In 2012 ,Rwanda has imported 45,480 ,000 kg of fertilizers worth of 46,201,179 Us Dollars The fertilizer market in Rwanda has grown by a 32% CAGR over the last 6 years, driven by imports
Fertilizer Imports

MARKET OPPORTUNITY

Fertilizer usage rates in Rwanda are smaller vs. regional countries, creating strong potential for growth
Fertilizer Usage (kg/ha)

000s MT

CAGR +34% 6 2006

45

Maize
6x
147 21
Rwanda Kenya

2012

Rwanda has strong GDP growth (7.5% CAGR 20052010) and one of the best business environments in Africa

RWANDAS ADVANTAGES

The Government is committed to the sector and has continually increased agricultures share in the fiscal budget Rwanda could also serve as a regional fertilizer hub for Eastern and Central Africa supplying markets in DRC and Burundi could increase potential fertilizer volumes by 60%
The Government has significantly increased the agriculture budget since 2006
Total Ministry Budget

Rwanda could serve as regional hub and supply to smaller markets in DRC & Burundi
Demand Volume in 2012 (MT)

34,000

USD M

CAGR +33%

125

30
2007 2012

10,000
2,000 Rwanda DRC Burundi

INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS

The opportunity to invest ~$1.2M into a fertilizer manufacturing and distribution business has a projected IRR of 35%40%, with net income of $1M by year seven

A fertilizer firm could realize annual sales of 14,000 MT in the cash and staple crop markets in Rwanda, and potentially expand into adjacent countries (East DRC , Burundi and southern part of Uganda)
Early entrants who serve the current tender market could secure first mover advantage and capture ~30% of market once privatized Revenues for a single fertilizer firm are projected to be $15M by year seven

We invite you to visit Rwanda to see this opportunity for yourself


RDB Represent at iv e: Dominique Sav io Nshimiy imana E-mail address: dominique.nshimiy imana@rdb.rw At t ent ion: Cell number: +(250) 788494043 w w w .rdb.rw

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