NRL 2009 Telstra Premiership Round Twenty Six

Last Win TAB Value ASAP

Form Teams Latest Match P W L D Met % Odds Odds Margin Ratings Trend Match Day Form
13-03-09 31-08-09
Real aggression was put on the
Round 26 - 9:35pm Friday September 4, WIN St - Sky Sport 2 Dragons by Souths as applied by the
Raiders earlier. They couldn’t
WWWLLL Dragons L 6-41 v Souths 23 16 7 0 22 - 8 70% $1.70 $1.90 W by 4 withstand it. Their field position fell
apart and bumbling errors sent them
WWWWWW Eels W 48-6 v Panthers 23 12 10 1 10/4/09 52% $2.05 $2.05 to 0-3 the last 3. By contrast the Eels
and Hayne are the momentum of the
comp, controlling territory and bringing
inventive. The ratings say the
Dragons, its hard to see.
The re-shuffled Dogs coasted over the
Round 26 - 9:35pm Friday September 4, SCG - Sky Sport 3 (replay 11.30pm Sky Sport 2) Warriors in El Mazri’s home finale but
at the huge cost of Kimmorley possibly
WWWWLL Wests Tigers L 24-36 v Titans 23 11 12 0 20 - 22 48% $2.60 $1.90 W by 2 for a few weeks. Its hard to imagine
them without him. The Tigers missed
LWWWWW Bulldogs W 40-20 v Warriors 23 18 5 0 1/5/09 78% $1.45 $2.05 the 8, the Titans away being too big
an ask after their terrific run. You
wouldn’t be surprised to see them
throw it everywhere now. If it comes
off they’ll win it.
With Inglis back, Storm outclassed the
Round 26 - 7:30pm Saturday September 5, Mt Smart St - Sky Sport 2 Roosters 7 tries to 1. You wouldn’t
guage them on that but they’d win if
LDLLWL NZ Warriors L 20-40 v Bulldogs 23 7 14 2 14 - 14 30% $3.00 $3.05 they bring their main men to Auckland.
The Warriors will try to give their
WLWLLW Storm W 38-4 v Roosters 23 13 9 1 26/4/09 57% $1.35 $1.50 W by 13 tolerant followers a final win. Its
unlikely. They failed v the makeshift
Dogs. That their main play, a bomb to
the corner, resulted in a 70m runaway,
sums it up.
Manly put up an indifferent showing v
Round 26 - 9:30pm Saturday September 5, Brookvale Oval - Sky Sport 2 the Sharks down to 12. They snatched
a win late but left doubts. The
WLLWWW Eagles W 18-16 v Sharks 23 13 10 0 17 - 18 57% $1.30 $1.90 W by 3 consistent Titans will be hard to
overcome. They’re refined at
WLWWWW Gold Coast W 36-24 v Tigers 23 16 7 0 24/5/09 70% $3.30 $2.05 countering from errors and their
defence was play off material v Wests.
Still, they’re safely in the 4, don’t need
this, and won’t be that interested in
tripping to Brookvale.
The Sharks showed heart and had the
Round 26 - 9:30pm Saturday September 5, Toyota St -Sky Sport 3 (replay 11.30pm Sky Sport 2) best of the game v Manly.
Notwithstanding Stuart’s post match
LLLLLL Sharks L 16-18 v Eagles 23 5 18 0 26 - 32 22% $1.88 $2.65 ‘Ricky-mode’ they were unlucky. They
remain 0 from the last 9 and need this
WLWLLW Souths W 41-6 v Dragons 23 10 12 1 25/4/09 43% $1.88 $1.70 W by 4 to be sure of avoiding the spoon. It
wont be easy. With Sandow very
active Souths hammered the Dragons
by a physical defence and plenty of
width.
The chooks are the only one with
Round 26 - 3:30pm Sunday September 6, SFS - Sky Sport 3 anything to play for in this, they might
pass the spoon. They’re 13-2 the last
LWLLLL Roosters L 4-38 v Storm 23 5 18 0 22 - 24 22% $1.95 $1.50 15 and in general too young, too
small, lacking pattern and pace. If
LWLLLL Cowboys L 10-16 v Broncos 23 10 13 0 20/6/09 43% $1.80 $3.05 W by 14 they’re not short on hope, the
Cowboys might not front. If they do
they’ll probably fling it around at the
SFS for one last hurrah.
This decides the final top 8 spot. The
Round 26 - 5:00pm Sunday September 6, Energy Australia St - Sky Sport 2 Knights brought errors and
infringements to Canberra illustrating
LLLWWL Knights L 14-30 v Raiders 23 12 11 0 30 - 18 52% $1.47 $1.70 W by 6 how difficult it is to win down there
when the Raiders are on. They’ll miss
WDLLWL Panthers L 6-48 v Eels 23 11 11 1 11/7/08 48% $2.55 $2.65 Zeb Taia and Sydney may advantage
the Panthers. Still, its unlikely the latter
can turn it. They didn’t respect their
meagre possession v the Eels, and
need to shore up out back.
The Broncos ended the Cowboys top
Round 26 - 9:00pm Sunday September 6, Suncorp St - Sky Sport 2 8 claims and secured their own in a
high quality match. They’re back close
LLWWWW Broncos W 16-10 v Cowboys 23 13 10 0 0 - 56 57% $1.22 $1.70 W by 7 to their April form and might be
contenders after all. It’s hard to see
LLWLWW Raiders W 30-14 v Knights 22 9 13 0 1/8/09 41% $4.00 $2.65 the Raiders bringing last week’s form v
the Dragons to Suncorp. Still, Furner’s
style and their aggressive speed,
width and youth scream next year.

Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record
a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The
Graph: The graph tracks
RANKINGS the trend of the
- RATINGS ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage
- ODDS Ratings points for today’s game. Meter
Performance Key: The
form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP
Ratings Last Pts Pts Ave % Bon Comp Comp ASAP TAB
Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009.