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Economic context and rationale behind issuing new bank licenses

In April, 2012 the Board of Directors of Bangladesh Bank approved licensing of nine new commercial
banks (three with NRB and six with indigenous sponsors). Since bank licenses were last issued in
2000-01, the Bangladesh economy has grown manifold, with consequent increase in financial service
needs. These include:

Within last one decade (2000-2001 to 2010-2011) nominal GDP increased more than
threefold from TK. 2535.5 billion to TK. 7875.0 billion.
In 2010-2011 per capita income was USD 818 which was USD 374 in 2000-2001.
Foreign exchange reserve increased to USD 10.91 billion from USD 1.30 billion.
Export income has increased to USD 22.92 billion from USD 6.47 billion.
Import payment has increased to USD 33.66 billion in 2010-2011 from USD 9.33 billion in
2000-2001.
During the last FY wage earners remittances was USD 11.65 billion which was only 2.50
billion in 2000-2001.

Over the years, performance of the banking sector has improved significantly as has Bangladesh
Banks supervision capacity and tools:

Net NPL ratios have declined by more than two thirds since 2004.
Return on assets has more than doubled since 2004 (from 0.69 to 1.78 average for all banks).
Return on equity has sharply increased from 9.7 percent in 2003 to 21 percent in 2010.
BB prepared risk management guidelines to strengthening debt management and increasing
the quality of assets.
BB conducted stress testing to increase the shock absorbing capacity of the banking sector.
Completed Basel II implementation to increase capital of banks and has started working on
the implementation process of Basel III.

While the economy has grown and the banking system has become more competitive, 45 percent of
the population still remains unbanked. The population per branch (21065) and the ratio of loan
accounts per 1000 adults (42) suggests that the outreach of the formal financial sector is lower than in
India (14485 and 124 respectively) and Pakistan (20340 population per branch and 47 loan accounts
per 1000).
Capital infusion by these new banks will augment the banking systems capacity to meet the credit
needs of the expanding corporate sector. Currently, because of limitations on large exposures, large
corporations must approach many banks simultaneously with their credit needs, which then have to
be stitched together in syndicate or participation loans. The entrance of the new banks will add to the
aggregate capital base of these existing syndications, allowing for larger loans to be granted for
productive investment and job-creation.
Foreign exchange brought in as capital for the new NRB banks and the foreign-exchange position
deposits they are likely to attract will strengthen the countrys balance of payments. Also, expatiate
management in these banks will hopefully have a helpful demonstration effect on the local banking
sector.
Entry of the new banks can therefore be expected to heighten the quality of financial services by
increasing competition in the banking sector. They will also facilitate meeting the growing credit
demand in the fast expanding economy. Moreover, for new banks, the 1:1 ratio of opening rural and
urban branches will increase rural presence of banks, widening financial inclusion.

09/04/2012

GDP(InBillionTK.)

DemandAhead
3850
FasterEconomicGrowth
StableFinancialSystem
GreaterandSustainableEconomy

20102011
2010 2011

NeedForNewBanks

2160

Economyisgrowingfaster~ 7%

20002001

PerCapita Income(InUSD)

FX.Reserve(InBillionUSD)
10.91

374

818

20002001

20102011

1.3
200001

201011

09/04/2012

ExportIncome(InbillionUSD)

ImportCost(InbillionUSD)

33.66

22.92

6.47

200001

9.33
201011
200001

WageEarnersRemittance(InbillionUSD)

201011

BankingSectorContributioninGDP
1.40%

11.65
1.12%

2.5
200001

201011

200001

201011

09/04/2012

BanksNetIncomeafterP&T(Incrore TK.)

BanksDepositGrowth
(Incrore TK.&%)

8637

417064

370%

Growth
88648

1420
200001

Dec,2001

201011

BanksCreditGrowth(Incrore TK.&%)
3642578

Dec,2011

IncreaseinTrade&Commerce

408%

Growth
71749

Dec,2001

Dec,2011

09/04/2012

RiskMitigation
Mitigating Risk and Addressing
Challenges Ahead : Bangladesh
Bankss initiatives
Bank

14

Bangladesh Banks Initiatives To Address


Risk in the Banking Sector

LiquidityRiskManagement

BangladeshBank,inalignmentwithinternationalcommunity,
hastakenvariousinitiativestomitigaterisksfacedbybanks
throughincorporatingdifferentforwardlookingpolicytoolsto
addressthechallengesahead:
(i)LiquidityRiskManagement
(ii)MaintainingFinancialStability
(iii)SeparationofCapitalMarketActivitiesofBanks
(iii) Separation of Capital Market Activities of Banks
(iv)RiskManagementandStressTestingInBanks
(v)BaselIIimplementation
(vi)ContingencyPlanning
(vii)FinancialSafetyNetandBankRegulation
(viii)Governance

15

BanksinBangladeshdidnotexperienceacuteliquiditycrisisin
therecentpast;
However,somebanksfacedliquidityconstraintsin2010
mainlyduetoshortageofcashmoney,attributabletohigh
creditgrowthinthebankingsector.
Theindustryaverageadvancedepositratio(ADR)wasaround
85percentasagainstceilingof85percentforconventional
banksand90percentforIslamicones.
InaccordancewiththeinstructionofBB,banksbroughtdown
theirADRandnow(22March,2012)theindustryaverage
ADRis79.94percent.
DepositGrowth

CreditGrowth

ADR

19.77%

14.39%

79.94%
16

09/04/2012

MaintainingFinancialStability

LiquidityRiskManagement
Banksareprovidingthelongtermloantothecountry'sindustrial
sectorswhichiscreatinganassetliabilitymaturitymismatchinthe
commercialbanks'profiles.
After2010,BangladeshBankhastakenseveralstepstoreduce
liquidityriskinthebanks.
BankswereadvisedtoprepareandsubmittheStructuralLiquidity
Profilemonthlysothattheycaneasilydetectthematurity
y
y
y
y
mismatch.
BBhadprovidedthebanksasimpletooltodeterminetheir
availablefundforinvestment.
BBhadtakeninitiativestoimplementtwooftheBaselIII
componentse.g.,liquiditycoverageratio(LCR)andnetstable
fundingratio(NSFR).

Inordertoachievesustainableeconomicgrowthby
increasingtheresilienceofthebankingsystem,BBhas
putspecialemphasisonmaintainingstabilityinthe
bankingsectorandhasalreadypublisheditsfirst
financialstabilityreporttitled"FinancialStabilityReport,
2010".
Itdiscussesmajortrendsinthebankingindustryand
NBFIsinBangladeshwithrespecttotheirimpacton
financialstability.
BBhadintroducedStressTestingprocesstomeasurethe
resilienceofthebankingsector.

17

MaintainingFinancialStability

18

SeparationofCapitalMarketActivities

Result of the Stress Test on banks at endDec 2011


Negative shift in NPL categories causes 5 banks CAR fall below
10 percent
Increase in NPL causes 10 banks CAR fall below 10 percent
Change in interest rate causes 8 banks CAR fall below 10
percent
Change in equity price causes 4 banks CAR fall below 10
percent
Change in exchange rate causes 2 banks CAR fall below 10
percent
# The above result of stress test (sensitivity analysis) indicates
that banks are quite resilient in different shocks, except to
increase in NPL.
# High credit concentration among the existing banks is one of
the main reasons for this vulnerability.
19

Bankswereadvisedtoestablishseparatesubsidiary
companiesforcapitalmarketactivities.
Thiswillensurethatbanksareengagedincorebusiness
ratherthancapitalmarketoperation.
Almostallthebankshavingengagementincapitalmarket
activitieshadalreadyestablishedseparatesubsidiaries.
BangladeshBankhasalsoimposedstrictlimitationson
exposurestocapitalmarketactivitiesaccordingtoBank
CompanyAct,1991.
DuetotheinitiativesofBB,almostallthebankshadsurvived
fromthecapitalmarketmayhemin20102011.

20

09/04/2012

RiskManagementandStressTesting

RiskManagementandStressTesting

Toharmonizetheprocessofanalyzingandmitigationofdifferent
risksinbankingbusinesstowardsensuringfinancialstability,banks
haveestablishedindependentRiskManagementUnit(RMU).
MainobjectivesofRMU:
TooverseetheRiskManagementofbanksinprudentmanner
ToanalyzevariousriskandprepareRiskManagementPaperof
banks
Toformulateoverallriskassessmentandmanagementpolicies
Toreviewandupdateallriskonasystematicbasis
Tosetportfolioobjectivesandtolerancelimitsforeachtypeof
therisk
BBhascreatedanewunittomonitorriskmanagementfunctionsof
thebanksandstresstestsresultsdonebythem.

BBhasintroducedarevisedRiskManagementGuidelinesfor
banksinFebruary2012tomanagevariousrisksinaprudent
manner.
Thisdocumentpromotesanintegral,bankwideapproachto
riskmanagement.
MostinnovativepartsofthisdocumentareRiskManagement
Organization and Governance and Capital Management
OrganizationandGovernance,andCapitalManagement.
Moreover,inFebruary2011,BBlaunchedarevisedStress
TestingGuidelinestounderstandthestrengthand
vulnerabilitiesofthebanks.
Further,BBhasrevisiteditsCAMELSratingframework,
incorporatedafewnewindicatorsandrestructuredCAMELS
questionnaireforbettersubjectivejudgment.

21

22

ContingencyPlanning

BaselIIimplementation
Withaviewtomakingthebanksmoreshock
absorbentandresilient,BBhasbegunimplementation
ofBaselIIforregulatorycompliancesinceJanuary1,
2010.
AllthebankshavebeenimplementingpillarIthrough
pillarIIIofBaselII,andSRPSREPdialogueswithbanks
willcommencesoon.
43banksoutof47maintainedcapitaladequacyratio
(CAR)ofmorethan10percentattheendDecember
2011.

23

A ContingencyPlanningProjectisunderimplementationsince2011.
UnderthisprojectBBisplanningtoinitiateseveralinstitutionalreforms
namely:
(a)CreatingaFinancialStabilityGroup(FSG)
(b)CreatingaTechnicalSecretariatfortheFSG
(c) CreatingaSpecialAnalyticalUnitinBB
(d)CreatingSeniorBankSpecialistsforBanks
(d) Creating Senior Bank Specialists for Banks
(e)CreatingaSpecializedBankRestructuringUnit
TheSpecialAnalyticalUnitisatbloomingstage.Majortasksare:
Conductmacroprudentialsurveillance
Conductbankbybankstresstestingandsystemic stressteststoassess
resilience;
Contingencyplansforresolution/restructuring/liquidation(livingwills);
Conductspecialoccasionalstudies
Preparepositionpapersidentifyingoptionsforresolutionofsystemiccrises
Preparefinancialstabilityreports
24

09/04/2012

FinancialSafetyNetandBankRegulation

FinancialSafetyNetandBankRegulation

BangladeshintroducedDepositInsuranceScheme inAugust
1984asanattempttoreducetheriskoflossofdepositors'
fundwithbanks.
AfundtitledDepositInsuranceTrustFundhasbeen
createdwithaviewtoprovidingprotection,tosomeextent,
tosmalldepositors(notexceedingBDT0.01million).
ll d
i
(
di BDT 0 01 illi )
BBproposedtoenhancethecoveragetoBDT0.02million.
Currentlyaround85percentdepositorsareunderthe
coverageofthesafelynetprogramofBB.
Premiumrateforproblembanksis0.07percentand0.09
percentforothers.

Toalignthepremiumwiththeinternationalstandard,new
riskbasedpremiumrateof0.10percentforproblembank,
0.09percentforEWSbanksand0.08percentforstandard
banksareunderreviewofthegovernment.
BBiscurrentlyaddressingthebankfailurethroughresorting
BB is currently addressing the bank failure through resorting
tovariousprovisionsofBankCompanyAct,1991and
guidelinesforMerger/Amalgamationofbanks/FIs.
BBisplanningtostrengthentheproblembankresolution
frameworkthroughdevelopingandimplementingbank
restructuringpoliciesinamoreprudentmanner.

25

FinancialSafetyNetandBankRegulation

26

BanksandFIarenotallowedtofailinBangladesh

WiththetechnicalassistanceoftheWorldBank,BBistrying
todevelopaFinancialProjectionModel(FPM) forthebanksin
Bangladesh.
TheFPMwillhelpto:
#assessthestrengthsandweaknessofthebankingsystem
basedonhypotheticalscenarios;
based
on hypothetical scenarios;
#improveBBssystemicriskassessmentcapacityfor
individualbanksandthewholesystem;
#improvethereportingsystemwithmoregranulardataon
riskreturncharacteristicsofeachbankinrelationtotheir
businessmodels;
#developaCAMELratingsystemwithbackwardandforward
lookingindicators.
27

BCCI
OrientalBank
NCL
BCI

EBL
ICBBank
NCCBL
BCBL
28

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