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World Populations The world population is constantly growing every single day, every single minute.

It has experienced an even greater growth since the Black Death in 1350. Since the population growth is constant, many people are wondering what it will be in 2030. The question may seem impossible to solve but there are many equations that may serve for estimation. One of these equations is linear. The formula for the linear model is 3E+06x - 2E+09. The R2 was .5064 when calculated. However, this graph was not accurate at all. We came up with a total of 4,090,000,000. The next equation we used was a logarithmic. The formula for the logarithmic model is 2E+09ln(x) - 1E+10. The R2 was .3511 when calculated. This graph was not accurate as well. The curve was bent the complete opposite way. When plugging in 2030, we came up with a total 5,231,582,144. Our last equation was the exponential function. Out of all the equations, this served to be the best. The equation ended up being 7E+07e.0019x. The R2 value was .7721. This value was the closest to 1; therefore this is the best equation to use. When calculating the population for 2030, we came up with a total of 3,312,621,809. Although the total population was less than the rest, the R value for the equation proved to be the best option. Population size does vary on many different things. Factors such as births, deaths, immigration and emigration are some of the things that may change a population. Populations vary in their capacity to grow; however, there are always limits to the growth of a population in nature. Environmental resistance keeps a population in balance. Each species have different biotic potentials because of certain variations.

Carrying capacity is the maximum population size of the species that the environment can sustain indefinitely without wiping out the resources. This includes the food, habitat, water and other things available in the environment. An areas carrying capacity is not static. For exponentially growing populations the growth starts slow. It then enters a phase where the growth is rapid and eventually levels out when the carrying capacity has been reached. The carrying capacity can also be lowered. This is caused by resource destruction, degradation during an overshoot period, or it may be extended through social and technological changes. Determining certain carrying capacities is easy in most cases, for animals. However, when determining carrying capacities for humans, things get a lot more complicated.

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