Modelling Cohen's Method For Standard Setting Progress Tests in The Cardiff Medical School

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Modelling Cohens Method for standard setting Progress Tests in the Cardiff Medical School

Dr Saadia Tayyaba, Professor Kamila Hawthorne, Professor Phil Smith Institute of Medical Education, School of Medicine, Cardiff University

Background
Over fifty standard setting methods have been proposed to date for setting performance standards on medical assessments but we do not have a gold standard yet and are often faced with the dilemma of getting different and contrasting standards from different methods. Within Cardiff Medical School, we utilize both test and student centred methods to ascertain the pass mark for knowledge and clinical assessments. However, with the introduction of progress tests, there is a need to investigate an appropriate method to reliably standard set these exams as they are different from the traditional knowledge assessments and cannot be standard set reliably with the traditional criterion methods.

Objectives of the Study


The purpose of this study is to investigate the suitability of Cohens method for the recently introduced progress tests in the Cardiff Medical School and to find out if any further modification of this method could be implemented to ascertain the pass marks based on the modelling of available local data.

Figure 1: Failure rates using various standard setting procedures

Method: Application of Cohens method to Cardiff progress tests:


Data were modelled from three recent SBA exams across the intermediate and final years. The original method was modified to find out if modelling various reference points and local multipliers produces stable pass mark and less variation in the failure rates.

Figure 2: Comparison of pass rate using highest score as reference point

Figure 3: Comparison of pass rate using 95th percentile as reference point

Cohens standard setting Method


Based on an analysis of the historical data including 54 norm-referenced tests from Maastricht and 52 criterion referenced tests from Groningen University, CohenSchotanus and Van der Vleuten (2010) introduced a new compromise method of standard setting which uses the best performing student as the reference point to set the pass mark. Using this method, the pass mark is calculated as 60% of the score of student at 95th percentile after correcting for guessing. The method is developed under the assumption that combining a pre-fixed cut-off score with a relative point of reference reduces the disadvantages of the conventional criterion and norm referenced methods. A recent modification (Taylor, 2011) of this method has shown application of this method reduces the variation in failure rate when compared to using a fixed pass mark

We were particularly interested in modelling the following combinations to determine what would happen if we set the pass mark at: Based on the original Cohens method 60% of the highest score on the exam 60% of the 95th percentile score Following the modified method (Taylor, 2011) 60% of the 90th percentile score New proposed modification 57.5% of the 95th percentile 55% of the 95th percentile For comparison we modelled the pass mark at: 60% of the 90th percentile The standard norm reference method (Average-SD) Angoff pass mark.

Figure 4: Comparison of pass rate using 90th percentile as reference point

Results
The new modification (57.5% of the 95th percentile) produced reasonable compromise across years in terms of pass rate consistency. Y04 SBA showed lower fail rate at the first reference point (i.e., 60% of the highest score) compared to Y03 and Y05. Failure rates in terms of percent are relativity consistent for the finals across other reference points on Cohen's method as well as the relative (Mean-SD) method. Table1: Failure rate across Years

Conclusion
Failure rate varies across years when using various reference points. Using an indirect criterion-referenced standard by changing the 57.5% multiplier to the score of 95th percentile student provides a better compromise. The assumption of the modified method (Taylor, 2011) that the performance of the 90th percentile student produces the best compromise is not supported, as a further modification based on our data shows 57.5% of the 95th percentile is the best compromise. Results of this study showed Cohens method is more acceptable compared to the conventional norm-referenced method (Average-SD) and also affordable in terms of time and cost. The method is flexible and could be modified to suit individual school policies on the choice of fixed percent multipliers (e.g., 57.5%), point of reference (95th percentile, highest score), and relating the standard to the existing criterion reference methods (e.g., using some Angoff-like discussions to decide on a local multiplier). Further research is indeed important to establish the validity and defensibility of this method for standard setting progress tests.

Purpose and rationale of the Progress tests in Cardiff


As a part of ongoing development of the MBBCH programme, regular progress tests have been introduced from 2013 to test the knowledge and skills of the tomorrows doctors in depth and to monitor their progress throughout the programme.

Format of the Cardiff Progress tests


Cardiff progress tests are based on a systematic blueprint covering all the core curriculum areas The tests are introduced as one formative and two summative tests in year 2 and one summative knowledge assessment in Y3 Y5. The test are taken three times a year across years (2-5), all the years students take the same test at the same time. Each test comprises 140 clinical vignette based SBAs style questions.

Determining the results on Progress tests


Each of the progress tests(Y2-Y4 ) are standards set using a norm-referenced method and converted to aggregate grades Students with an aggregate grade of unsatisfactory would be considered to have failed the year Final years Final years students take two tests and a third test for those with an unsatisfactory grade after the previous two tests. The first two progress tests in the finals contribute to awards of honours and commendations.

Failure rate at the highest reference point is 17.6% for Year 3, (9.5%) for Year 5 and (4.2%) for the Year 4 SBA, respectively. Thus, Year 3 SBA (with average %correct of 66%) came up with highest fail rate with Cohen's method; the fail rate with relative method for this exam is similar to the finals.

References
Cohen-Schotanus J, Van der Vleuten C. (2010). A standard setting method with the best performing students as point of reference: Practical and affordable. Medical Teacher, 32, 154-160. Taylor CA. (2011).Development of a modified Cohen method of standard setting. Medical Teacher, 33: e678-682. Contact information: tayyabas@cardiff.ac.uk smithpe@cardiff.ac.uk hawthornek@cardiff.ac.uk

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