The Return of The Multi-Year Bear Market

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Richard Suttmeier is the Chief Market Strategist at www.ValuEngine.com.

ValuEngine is a fundamentally-based quant research firm in Princeton, NJ. ValuEngine


covers over 5,000 stocks every day.

A variety of newsletters and portfolios containing Suttmeier's detailed research, stock


picks, and commentary can be found HERE.

Suttmeier's Four in Four video can be watched on the web HERE.

November 3, 2009 – The Return of the Multi-Year Bear Market

The Dollar Index is bottoming, Copper and Crude Oil struggle around 200-week simple
moving averages, Deteriorating Technicals for US equities.
The Dollar Index is in a bottoming process.
The daily chart shows rising MOJO with the 21-day simple moving average at 76.08 and the
50-day at 76.85. The index has been below its 50-day since April 22nd.
The weekly chart shows oversold MOJO and a weekly close above the five-week modified
moving average at 76.80 shifts the weekly chart to positive.
Comex Copper and Nymex Crude Oil straddle their 200-week simple moving averages.
The weekly chart for copper shows the importance of the 200-week simple moving average at
294, as MOJO flirts with rolling over below 8.0. Weekly support is 286.19 with monthly
resistance at 324.52.
The weekly chart for crude oil shows the 200-week simple moving average as support at
$75.44. This week’s resistance is $79.17. My annual pivots remain supports at $68.81 and
$66.51.
Downside Stock Leadership comes from Transports, Small Caps and SOX.
Transports – The daily chart is becoming oversold with the 21-day and 50-day poised for a
negative cross-over at 3845 and 3822.
The weekly chart shows declining MOJO with a reading of 5.9 on a scale of zero to ten.
Quarterly support is 3158 with weekly resistance at 3878.
Russell 2000 – The daily chart is becoming oversold with the 21-day and 50-day poised for a
negative cross-over at 600.44 and 595.78.
The weekly chart shows declining MOJO with a reading of 6.6. Quarterly support is 424.84 with
weekly resistance at 617.97.
The SOX – The daily chart is oversold with the 21-day and 50-day poised for a negative cross-
over at 318.47 and 316.99.
The weekly chart shows declining MOJO with a reading of 6.1. Annual support is 208.22 with
weekly resistance at 320.10.
The Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ will follow.
The Dow – The daily chart has declining MOJO with my annual pivot as a magnet at 9,750. A
close below the 50-day simple moving average at 9,723 is the next warning.
The weekly chart is still overbought with MOJO at 8.2. A close this week below the five-week
modified moving average at 9,700 shifts the weekly chart to negative. Quarterly support is
7,962.
The S&P 500 – The daily chart has declining MOJO with SPX below the 50-day simple moving
average at 1052.50. My annual pivot is 967.10.
The weekly chart shows that the Ascending Wedge that I have been focusing on has been
broken to the downside. A weekly close below 1047.50 shifts the weekly chart to negative.
The NASDAQ – The daily chart has declining MOJO with the NASDAQ below the 50-day
simple moving average at 2093 with the 200-day at 1790. Weekly close below 2083 shifts the
weekly chart to negative.
Send me your comments and questions to Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com. For more information on
our products and services visit www.ValuEngine.com
That’s today’s Four in Four. Have a great day.

Richard Suttmeier
Chief Market Strategist
www.ValuEngine.com
(800) 381-5576

As Chief Market Strategist at ValuEngine Inc, my research is published regularly on the website
www.ValuEngine.com. I have daily, weekly, monthly, and quarterly newsletters available that track a variety of
equity and other data parameters as well as my most up-to-date analysis of world markets. My newest products
include a weekly ETF newsletter as well as the ValuTrader Model Portfolio newsletter. I hope that you will go to
www.ValuEngine.com and review some of the sample issues of my research.

“I Hold No Positions in the Stocks I Cover.”

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