Jackie.Zhou Yantai Yew Wah International School junzhou013@gmail.com Jackie.Zhou (YWIES) Grade 6 Bilingual Math Data:collection and analysis 1 / 9 Events Event: outcome of an experiment It will rain tomorrow. I will be 1000kg in the next week. You will get 0 when you dont even answer any questions. Sure event: the outcome will denitely happen. Impossible event: the outcome will denitely not happen. Random event: the outcome may happen or may not. When we toss a die(no cheating) We will get 10 We will get a number not larger than 6, We will get 3. Jackie.Zhou (YWIES) Grade 6 Bilingual Math Data:collection and analysis 2 / 9 1.Sure event, impossible event, random event? (1) Toss a die, the number will be odd. (2) You throw a basketball, it will fall. (3) You turn on a TV, a cartoon is playing. (4) Sun rises from west. (5) You buy a ticket, the number is even. (6) A drop of oil will oat on the surface of water. 2. There are 8 red balls and 2 white balls in a bag, all the balls are totally the same expect their colour. You pick up a ball from the bag, which colour more likely you will get? 3. Roll the hand, when it stops, which region more likely it will be in? 4. Rank the bags according to the likelihood of getting red ball. Jackie.Zhou (YWIES) Grade 6 Bilingual Math Data:collection and analysis 3 / 9 Probability: the measure of the likelihood or chance the event will occur the probability of event A is denoted as P(A) A is a sure event, then P(A) = 1 A is an impossible event, then P(A) = 0 A is a random event, then 0 < P(A) < 1 The greater the probability of an event, the greater is the likelihood it will occur. Experimental probability: get the probability of an event from a survey or an experiment. Theoretical probability:get the probability of an event from Jackie.Zhou (YWIES) Grade 6 Bilingual Math Data:collection and analysis 4 / 9 Experimental probability Toss a pin, to nd the probability of event: it will turn upward. number of experiments 10 20 40 number of turning upward number of turning downward frequency of turning upward frequency of turning downward (1) For dierent experiments, will we get the same frequency? (2) Which frequency should we more likely to believe? Jackie.Zhou (YWIES) Grade 6 Bilingual Math Data:collection and analysis 5 / 9 Toss a coin, to nd the probability of event: it will turn upward. number of experiments 10 20 40 number of number on number of tail on frequency of number on frequency of tail on When the number of experiments is large enough, the frequency for an event is stable The accuracy of experimental probability is up to the amount of experiments. The more experiments, the more accurate the experimental probability we will get. Jackie.Zhou (YWIES) Grade 6 Bilingual Math Data:collection and analysis 6 / 9 1. Alex toss a coin ve times, he got heads on 4 times, tails on 1 time. So he think the probability of heads on is 4 5 , the probability of tails on is 1 5 . Do you agree with him? What should we do? 2. Toss a coin, the probability of getting head on is 1 2 , so Alex think if we do 100 experiments, we will get exactly 50 times head on. Is that true? 3. Complete the table and estimate the probability of a seed sprouted. number of seeds 100 200 500 1000 2000 5000 number of sprouted seeds 94 191 473 954 1906 4748 frequency of seed sprouted 4. Complete the table and estimate the probability of a satisfaction. number of people surveyed 10 20 50 100 200 500 number of satised people 7 16 43 81 164 414 frequency of satisfaction Jackie.Zhou (YWIES) Grade 6 Bilingual Math Data:collection and analysis 7 / 9 Theoretical probability Equally likely events: the likelihood of events occur are the same sample space: the list of all possible outcomes. favourable outcomes of A: the possible outcomes of event A Eg1. A common dice is tossed. A is the event that the number is prime. (1) What is the sample space in this experiment? (2) List the favourable outcomes of event A. (3) What is the probability P(A) of event A? P(A) = number of outcomes favourable to A total number of possible outcomes Eg2. All of the letters of the word PROBABLY are written on separate cards. One card is chosen at random. What is the probability that it is not a B? Jackie.Zhou (YWIES) Grade 6 Bilingual Math Data:collection and analysis 8 / 9 Eg3. Toss a common dice (1) What is the probability to get a number bigger than 4? (2) What is the probability to get an even number? Sol: (1) Event A: get a number bigger than 4 All equally likely outcomes: 1,2,3,4,5,6 Favourable outcomes of event A: 5,6 Thus P(A) = 2 6 = 1 3 . (2) Event B: get an even number All equally likely outcomes: 1,2,3,4,5,6 Favourable outcomes of event A: 2,4,6 Thus P(A) = 3 6 = 1 2 . Eg4. There are 3 red balls, 2 white balls, 4 yellow balls in a bag, they are exactly the same except their colour. Pick a ball from the bag, calculate (1) P(pick a red ball)= (2) P(pick a white ball)= (3) P(pick a yellow ball)= Jackie.Zhou (YWIES) Grade 6 Bilingual Math Data:collection and analysis 9 / 9