Page: 9 Circulation: 34322 Area of Clip: 98900mm Page 1 of 3 Budget building: construction industry piles on the pressure The building industry has been busy lobbying for tax cuts and a construction-friendly budget, but there are dissenting voices Michael Brennan Political Correspondent r ~1 he ongoing budget nego 11 tiations will get serious this week when senior ministers finally have face-to-face meetings with Public Expenditure Minister Brendan Howlin about their spending estimates. Until now, it has been their civil servants who have been doing the tick-tacking. The big spenders - health minister Leo Varadkar, social protection minister Joan Burton and education minister Jan OSullivan - are all due to lay out their cases for zero cutbacks and, inmost cases, extra spending. But the countrys much-maligned builders have got there ahead of them They have been laying the foundations for a construction-friendly budget for some time. The public face of the campaign has been the Construction Industry Federations (CIF) director general Tom Parlon, a gamekeeper-tumed-poacher who was a Progressive Democrat minister of state during the height of the property bubble He has been in and out of Leinster House lobbying for tax cuts for builders and more funds for capital projects, as well as meeting TDs and ministers at the National Ploughing Championships last week Parlon had a meeting with Noonan and Howlin last week, seeking to have the Vat rate on building cut from 13.5 per cent to 9 per cent There will be more lobbying when Tanaiste Joan Burton addresses the CIF s annual conference this week in the Aviva Stadium in Dublin. Although Noonan appears unwilling to give builders another Vat cut after last years home renovation scheme, there are plenty of other measures in the pot Builders are highly exercised by the 85 per windfall tax on land rezoning profits, introduced by former environment minister John Gormley while in office to remove the incentive for planning corruption Their argument is that the tax stops people from selling land for development and that reducing it would flush more land into the market. Minister of State for Planning, Paudie Coffey, saidhe did not agree with builders' demands to reduce the 85 per cent tax rate to 33 per cent It needs to be looked at so that owners would be amenable to selling. But youd be doing well to get it to 50 per cent, he said. Coffey is a member of the cabinet sub-committee on the Construction2020 strategy, which has been meeting regularly ahead of the budget. Were going to be prioritising areas where demand exists. Its not just a question of building anywhere and everywhere. We need to bring the construction sector back to a sustainable level, he said. Spin versus reality on the housing crisis The campaign for a builders budget has been made easier by the constant reports of rising house prices, rising rents and housing shortages. Just last week, the Society of Chartered Surveyors, which mainly represents estate agents and auctioneers, got considerable coverage of its report warning that there would be a need for at least 35,000 homes in Dublin by 2018, but that there was only planning permission for 26,000. The subtext seemed to be - snap up those precious few houses for sale while you still can. Sound familiar? But this time there is a strong official dissenting voice. The Housing Agency was set up in 2010 as a safeguard against those in the property industry who were trying to talk up a crisis. Housing Agency chairman Conor Skehan said the current shortage of homes for sale in Dublin would be over within two years due to several factors, including more elderly people downsizing and a rise in the number of planning permissions. The homes are in the pipeline. We know the names of the sites and the builders. Word has to go out about that, he said. He warned house-hunters not to make fools of themselves by rushing out to buy on foot of information from vested interests. We will be out at every opportunity to face down people who are trying to panic people into thinking they are missing the boat, and pressuring them to buy at too high a price, he said. Coffey said that the government would be basing its decisions on the figures of the Housing Agency The Housing Agency is independent and it has a mix of expertise, he said The non-transparent budget While the lobby groups are able to secure meetings with ministers to influence the shape of the budget, the entire deliberative process is hidden from the public. One of the governments innovations was to have ministers appearing before Oireachtas committees to discuss pre-budget issues. The results so far have been underwhelming, to say the least, with very little information provided Fine Gael Dublin South East TD Eoghan Murphy has been campaigning for more transparency around the budget for the Sunday Business Post* Sunday, 28 September 2014 Page: 9 Circulation: 34322 Area of Clip: 98900mm Page 2 of 3 past three years, but to little avail We still havent moved to the proper transparent budget process, as in other European countries. One thing Id be looking for is a committee dedicated to the year-round scrutiny of the budget, he said. Murphy said it would have been nice if some of the Comprehensive Spending Review submissions sent in by government departments had been published. He said that all TDs should be able to debate the different options facing the government and therefore move away from the surprise factor. Budget day should be boring. It shouldnt be the piece of political theatre that it is every year. But ministers and their civil servants secretly adore being the possessors of the big budget secret, and show no signs of giving up their annual thrill. Rather than encouraging ministers to debate the budget in public, there are annual warnings about the need to preserve the secrecy and stop negotiating over the airwaves. James Reilly and Joan Burton used to have their knuckles rapped in the past This year, Taoiseach Enda Kenny could not complain when Burton announced a budget measure - allowing people to keep a 30 per child social welfare payment when they return to work - because she is the Tanaiste. So it has been Leo Varadkar who been made an example of - pour encourager les autres. You reduce your chances of gaining a result by talking about it in the media, one government source said. The government also has to sort out some promises that it made in last year s budget which still have not been implemented Ihe most glaring is the provision of free GP care for240,000 children under six, which was supposed to be in place last July. Labour TD Arthur Spring, who raised it in the Dail last week, said he was frustrated that there was now no timeframe at all Its one of the things that is brought up with me by people on the doorsteps, at creches and in playschools. It would benefit people of my generation who are paying exorbitant mortgages and have had their pay reduced, he said The scheme has been costed at 37 million, which is a fraction of what the construction sector may get in this budget. There will be more money for the construction of social houses and schools, after years of cutbacks in the capital budget. It stood at 8.2 billion in 2009 but has fallen since then to 3.3 billion - a 59 per cent reduction Despite the best efforts of builders, capital spending may never reach boomtime levels again But one trick to watch out for on Budget Day on October 14 is the simultaneous release of the five-year capital spending plan It will cover the period up till 2020 - even though the present governments term ends in 2016. It is a modem version of Flanna Fails old trick of having a National Development Plan containing bucketloads of projects for delivery over a long period TDs can tell their constituents that the long-awaitedroad school or health centre is on the way. But the reality is that some of them will never be built 44 Desite the best efforts of builders, capital spending may neverreach boom-time levels again Sunday Business Post* Sunday, 28 September 2014 Page: 9 Circulation: 34322 Area of Clip: 98900mm Page 3 of 3 Brendan Howlin, Minister for Public Expenditure Picture: Photocall From top: Joan Burton, Minister for Social Protection; Jan OSullivan, Minister for Education; and Leo Varadkar, Minister for Health